occidental petroleum corporation february 14, 2018...4q17 results *see significant items affecting...
TRANSCRIPT
February 14, 2018Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Fourth Quarter 2017Earnings Conference Call
2
Cautionary Statements
Forward-Looking StatementsPortions of this presentation contain forward-looking statements and involve risks and uncertainties that could materially affect expected results of operations, liquidity, cash flows and business prospects. Actual results may differ from anticipated results, sometimes materially, and reported results should not be considered an indication of future performance. Factors that could cause results to differ include, but are not limited to: global commodity pricing fluctuations; supply and demand considerations for Occidental's products; higher-than-expected costs; the regulatory approval environment; not successfully completing, or any material delay of, field developments, expansion projects, capital expenditures, efficiency projects, acquisitions or dispositions; uncertainties about the estimated quantities of oil and natural gas reserves; lower-than-expected production from development projects or acquisitions; exploration risks; general economic slowdowns domestically or internationally; political conditions and events; liability under environmental regulations including remedial actions; litigation; disruption or interruption of production or manufacturing or facility damage due to accidents, chemical releases, labor unrest, weather, natural disasters, cyber attacks or insurgent activity; failure of risk management; changes in law or regulations; reorganization or restructuring of Occidental's operations; or changes in tax rates. Words such as “estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “will,” “would,” “should,” “could,” “may,” “might,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “intend,” “believe,” “expect,” “aim,” “goal,” “target,” “objective,” “likely” or similar expressions that convey the prospective nature of events or outcomes generally indicate forward-looking statements. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. Unless legally required, Occidental does not undertake any obligation to update any forward looking statements, as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Material risks that may affect Occidental’s results of operations and financial position appear in Part I, Item 1A “Risk Factors” of the 2016 Form 10-K.
Use of non-GAAP Financial InformationThis presentation includes non-GAAP financial measures. You can find the reconciliations to comparable GAAP financial measures on the “Investors” section of our website.
3
Occidental Petroleum
• 2017 Highlights and Beyond
• Pathway to Breakeven Progress
• Financial Summary and Guidance
• Permian Resources Update
• International Update
• Closing Remarks
4
Improved our Cash Flow in 2017 to Accelerate Breakeven Plan
CO2-EOR Advancement> Sequestered over ~800,000 MT of
anthropogenic CO2 as recognized by Oxy’s EPA approved MRV plan
> Four unconventional EOR technical pilots since 2014
Cost Innovation> Successful completion of SL2 multi-
lateral pilot and construction of logistics hub
> Successful implementation of Oxy Drilling Dynamics to international operations
Well Productivity Improvement> Permian Resources average 6 month
cumulative production increased over 20% compared to 2016
> Achieved record rates across 8 benches in Permian Resources
All-in Reserves Replacement> 187% total company, 318% total
Permian
Cash Flow Enhancement> International upstream assets
generated over $1 Bn of free cash flow> Export volumes of 190 MBopd from
Ingleside terminal and successful VLCC docking
Asset Optimization> Sold South Texas Gas position to
add two additional rigs in Permian Resources
> Sold non-core Permian Resources Acreage for synergistic CO2-EOR position
Asset Start-ups> Completed two major chemical
projects on-time and on-budget –Ethylene Cracker and 4CPe Plant
International Contracts> Extended Block 9 and signed
Block 30 in Oman
Advanced Technologies and Operations
Increased the Value of our AssetsEnhanced Our Portfolio
5
Advanced Technologies and Operations
Increased the Value of our AssetsEnhanced Our Portfolio
Improved our Cash Flow in 2017 to Accelerate Breakeven Plan
1 Cash outflows excluding working capital2Refer to 4th Quarter Earnings Release for definitions of F&D calculations
Cash Inflows Cash Outflows
Net Asset Sales
Tax Refund
Capital Expenditures
Dividends
Operating Cash Flow
$5.8 Bn
6 Month Cumulative
Prod
uctio
n
Permian Resources
1
2017
Delivering Long-term Sustainability of our Value Proposition
5 Year 3 Year 2017
F&D
Cos
ts p
er B
OE
(All-
in)2
$6.0 Bn $17.96 $17.22
$8.53
RRR187%
2016
6
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Annual OperatingCash Inflows
Sustaining Capitalat
$50 WTI
GrowingDividend
5%-8% ProductionGrowth
Net DebtReduction &Opportunistic
Growth
ShareRepurchases
Disciplined Cash Flow Priorities Following Breakeven Plan Achievement
1Estimated cash flows exclude working capital
Estimated Cash Flows ($ Bn)1
CFFO$50 WTI
CFFO$60 WTI
$50 WTI: Value Proposition Fully Funded
Sustaining Business
Dividend Growth
Production Growth
$50+ WTI: Opportunistic Balance Sheet and Growth
Strong Balance Sheet
$60+ WTI: Opportunistic Growth and Share Buybacks
Long
-term
Sus
tain
abili
ty o
f our
Val
ue P
ropo
sitio
n
ROCE Leadership
7
$1.9
$0.5
$0.8
$0.1 $0.3
$0.3
$3.9
2018 Capital Program by Asset ($ Bn)
Chemicals
Midstream
Exploration & Other
International
Permian EOR
Permian Resources
1Sustaining capital based on a 2018E production decline rate of 15%
2018 Capital Will Deliver Breakeven Plan & 8% to 12% Production Growth
Oil & Gas
2018 Capital Program by Type
TotalCompany Sustaining1
58%Growth
39%
Exploration 3%
DCW74%
Facilities18%
Maintenance5%
Exploration3%
8
Occidental Petroleum
• 2017 Highlights and Beyond
• Pathway to Breakeven Progress
• Financial Summary and Guidance
• Permian Resources Update
• International Update
• Closing Remarks
9
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
4Q17 Annualized CFFOAdjusted to $40 WTI
Chemicals Midstream & Marketing Remaining 50Mboed Permian
Resources Production
Cash Flow Neutral at$40 WTI
Increase in CashFlow at $50 WTI
Cash Flow Breakevenwith 5%-8% Growth
at $50 WTI
$3.9
$4.0 $4.1$4.5
Current Dividend
$2.4
Sustaining Capital$2.3
~$120 MM per $1 Change oil price
Current Dividend
$2.4
Sustaining Capital$2.1
Cash Flow Breakeven at $50:Dividend + 5% – 8% Production Growth $5.7 $5.7
Ope
ratin
g C
ash
Flow
($ B
n)
Growth Capital$1.0
Cash Flow Neutral at $40:Dividend with Flat Production
Pathway to Cash Flow Breakeven at Low Oil Prices
$4.5$4.3 Actual
4Q PositiveMidstream Seasonality
10
$0.2
$0.3
$0.9
$0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
Chemicals Midstream Permian Resources Production
Other Improvements
Annualized Cash Flow From Operations Improvements ($ Bn)
Breakeven PlanAchieved since 1Q17
Seminole San Andres Synergy Value
Achieved
Chemicals $50/ton Caustic
Soda Realizations Achieved
4CPe Plant Ramp-up
through 1H18
Al Hosn Optimization and Crude Terminal Capacity Upgrade
Remaining
50 Mboed Growth
Remaining
Achieving Goals to Cash Flow Breakeven at $50 WTI4CPe Plant operations started in December 2017, on-time and on-budget. Manufacturing ramp-up will occur through 1H18.
Marketing differential continued to improve substantially surpassing our $2.10 per barrel breakeven plan assumption
Added 20 Mboed of Permian Resources Production sequentially and 30 Mboed since 1Q17 net of ~5 Mboed divestment
11
Current Cash Balance Will Fund Plan to Breakeven assuming $50 WTI in 2018Cash flow outspend through the completion of our plan is covered by our cash balance but total liquidity includes:
• Current cash balance: $1.7 Bn
• Portfolio management: $0.5 - $2.0 Bn
• PAGP units: $0.6 Bn
• Undrawn revolving credit facility: $3.0 Bn
We do not anticipate increasing debt levels to achieve plan
(2.0)
(1.0)
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Operating Cash Flowat $50 WTI
Dividends Capital Expenditures Available Liquidity
Estimated Cash Flows Through End of 2018 at $50 WTI1
Cash Balance
PAGP
Portfolio Management
Cash Flow Deficit
$B
n
$3.9 Bn
1Estimated cash flows exclude working capital
12
Occidental Petroleum
• 2017 Highlights and Beyond
• Pathway to Breakeven Progress
• Financial Summary and Guidance
• Permian Resources Update
• International Update
• Closing Remarks
13
4Q17 Results
*See Significant Items Affecting Earnings in the Earnings Release Attachments.
Total reported production (Boed) 621,000
Total Permian Resources production (Boed) 159,000
Reported diluted EPS $0.65
Core diluted EPS* $0.41
4Q17 CFFO before working capital & other $1.5 Bn
4Q17 capital expenditures $1.2 Bn
Cash balance as of 12/31/2017 $1.7 Bn
4Q17 Actual versus Guidance Reconciliation
Boed
PSC Impact 5,000
Permian Third-Party 4,000
Permian OBO Timing 2,000
Permian Weather 1,000
Total ~12,000
14
2017 Cash Flow and Cash Balance Reconciliation
Beginning CashBalance 1/1/17
CFFO Before WorkingCapital
Change in WorkingCapital
Dividends Capital Expenditures Asset Sales Acquisitions/Other
Tax Refund Ending Cash Balance12/31/2017
$1.7
($2.3)$4.7
$2.2
($3.6)
($0.3)
$1.4$0.8
($1.1)
($ in Bn)
15
2018 Guidance
Oil & Gas Segment
• FY 2018E Production
> Total production of 640,000– 665,000 boed
> Permian Resources production of 195,000 – 209,000 boed
> International production of 286,000 – 297,000 boed
• 1Q18E Production
> Total production of 592,000 – 603,000 boed
> Permian Resources production of 169,000 – 173,000 boed
> International production of 265,000 – 271,000 boed
> Al Hosn Gas production of 58,000 – 59,000 boed
> Dolphin production of 36,000 boed
• Commodity Price Assumptions
> 1Q18E assumes $60 WTI / $65 Brent
> 2Q18E– 4Q18E assumes $55 WTI / $60 Brent
Production Costs – FY 2018E
• Domestic Oil & Gas: ~$12.50/ boe
Exploration Expense
• ~$20 MM in 1Q18E
• ~$150 MM in 2018E
DD&A – FY 2018E
• Oil & Gas: ~$13.50/ boe
• Chemicals and Midstream: $715 MM
Midstream
• $10– $30 MM pre-tax income in 1Q18E
> Midland – MEH spread of $3.00 - $3.25 / boe
• $200 - $300 MM pre-tax income in 2018
> Midland – MEH spread of $2.50 - $3.00 / boe
Chemical Segment
• ~$250 MM pre-tax income in 1Q18E
• ~$1,000 MM pre-tax income in 2018E
Corporate
• FY 2018E Total Company tax rate: 36%
• FY 2018E Int'l tax rate: 45%
• Interest expense of $85 MM in 1Q18E
16
Cash Flow Sensitivities in 2018
Oil & Gas
> Annualized cash flow changes ~$110 million per ~$1.00 / barrel change in oil prices
• ~$80 million per ~$1.00 / barrel change in WTI prices
• ~$30 million per ~$1.00 / barrel change in Brent prices
> Annualized cash flow changes ~$40 million per ~$0.50 / Mmbtu change in natural gas prices> Annualized production changes 800 – 1,000 boed per ~$1.00 / barrel change in Brent prices
Chemicals> Annualized cash flow changes ~$30 million per ~$10 / ton change in realized caustic soda prices
Midstream> Annualized cash flow changes ~$45 million per ~$0.25 / barrel change in Midland to MEH spread
17
Occidental Petroleum
• 2017 Highlights and Beyond
• Pathway to Breakeven Progress
• Financial Summary and Guidance
• Permian Resources Update
• International Update
• Closing Remarks
18
Improved our Cash Flow in 2017 to Accelerate Breakeven Plan
Permian Resources> Four unconventional EOR technical pilots
since 2014
> Constructed Aventine Logistics Hub
> Successful SL2 multi-lateral pilot
Permian EOR> Sequestered over ~800,000 MT of
anthropogenic CO2 as recognized by Oxy’s EPA approved MRV plan
Subsurface and Data Analytics> Geomechanics and petrophysical
breakthroughs provide well productivity improvements through landing zone and stimulation designs
> Dysfunction detection and prevention analytics for artificial lift and drilling
Permian Resources> Added 750 undrilled locations to <$50
breakeven inventory
> 2017 F&D* of $8.57 and 373% RRR*
> New well average 6 month cumulative production increased over 20% compared to 2016
> Improved 4Q17 operating costs 9% YoY to a record $7.63/boe
Permian EOR> Added 100 Mmboe of potential resource with
<$6.00 future development cost
> 2017 F&D* of $7.66 and 111% RRR*
> Reduced SSAU operating costs more than $5.00/boe and increased production 3,600** boed since Aug 1st
Permian Resources> Sold $600 MM of assets beyond current
10 year development plan
> Completed 17,000 net acre trades for improved development value
> Added a new modular development area in New Mexico – Turkey Track
Permian EOR> Acquired additional interest and
operatorship in the CO2-EOR Seminole San Andres Unit
> 1st injection in one new CO2 flood and six expansions
South Texas> Sold assets and reinvested proceeds
into Permian Resources
Advanced Technologies and Operations
Increased the Value of our AssetsEnhanced Our Portfolio
*2017 Finding and Development Cost (F&D) and Reserves Replacement Ratio (RRR) calculated using organic reserve additions. Refer to 4th Quarter Earnings Release for definitions of F&D calculations**Total gross production increase at the Seminole San Andres Unit (SSAU).
19
Added 750 Horizontal Locations in 2017 with <$50 Breakeven
17 years of inventory <$50 breakeven with 10 rigs
Note: Breakeven defined as positive NPV 10 as of 12/31/2017
Und
rille
d Lo
catio
ns
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4Q16 <$50 BE Drilled 2017 Demonstrated CostImprovement
DemonstratedWell Performance
LandImprovement
EvaluatedNew Acreage
Tax Reform 4Q17 <$50 BE
3,132
Midland Basin
Texas Delaware
Basin
(118)
175
150150
150
125
New Mexico
Delaware Basin
2,500
Exceeded <$50 Inventory Growth Goal
> Added 750 locations in 2017 vs 400 location goal
> Increased <$50 average lateral length from 8,400 ftto 8,500 ft
> Executed 17,000 net acre trades to enable longer laterals and consolidated facilities
20
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0 30 60 90 120 150 180
3rd Bone Spring Performance
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0 30 60 90 120 150 180
2nd Bone Spring Performance2
Excellent Results in Greater Sand Dunes
Notes: 1Three stream production results. 2Excludes two 2nd Bone Spring wells shut-in for extended period for offset frac
Sustainable Step Change in Well Results De-risks Breakeven Plan
Oil (Bod) Gas (Boed)NGL (Boed)
18 new top tier wells in 4Q17
Includes 1 Avalon appraisal• 1,818 30 day Boed
• Improvement opportunities
Sustained productivity• 3Q and 4Q Peak 30 Boed per
1,000 ft of lateral~ 470
2H17 Wells2 – Peak 30D Production Rates1
2016 Average10 Wells ~5,000’
Cum
ulat
ive
Prod
uctio
n (M
boe)
Days Online
2H17 – 7 Wells ~7,900’
2016 Average4 Wells ~5,100’
2nd Bone Spring
3rd Bone Spring
Wolfcamp XY
2H17 - 12 Wells ~6,500’
1Q18 Record WellCC 27/28 #44H
9,800’ WC XY1
2 W
ells
~6
,50
0'
7 W
ells
~7
,90
0'
3 W
ells
~5
,40
0'
2,987
3,543
2,372
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
New Record Well
Online Jan 2018 Cedar Canyon 27/28 Fed 44H
Wolfcamp XY – 9,800’
6,111 30-Day Boed8,361 24-Hr Boed
21
3Q17 4Q17 1Q18E 2Q18E 3Q18E 4Q18E
169 - 173
184 - 199
206 - 220
220 - 244
159
Permian Resources Production (Mboed)
Permian Resources Value-based Production GrowthBreakeven Plan Milestone Achieved in 3Q18
Dec-2017 Exit at 172 Mboed
4Q17 Production Impacts
• ~3 Mboed: 3rd Party Downtime
• ~2 Mboed: OBO Timing
• ~1 Mboed: Weather Downtime
1Q18 Production Notes
• ~2 Mboed: January weather
• Development optimization shifts wells online to 2Q
• Planned artificial lift installation
Bre
akev
en P
lan
Achi
eved
+80
Mbo
ed fr
om 1
Q17139
QoQ Growth: 14% 7% 12% 11% 9%
Wells Online: 28 45 34 – 38 59 – 63 53 – 57 41 – 45
+20
Mbo
ed fr
om 3
Q17
~45% Production Growth
22
D&C70%
Facilities15%
OBO10%
Other5%
Greater Barilla Draw ~4 rigs
Permian Resources Acreage
Permian EOR Acreage
Greater Sand Dunes ~5.5 rigs
Turkey Track ~0.5 rigs
2018 Capex$1.9 B
13 Rigs195 Wells Online
11Development
Rigs
2 Net Non-op Rigs
180 Development
Wells
2018 Capital by Type
2018 Well Count 2018 Rig Count
Permian Resources 2018 Focused Development
Permian Resources 2018 Program
Midland Basin ~1 rig
• Appraise 6 new benches
• Additional Unconventional CO2-EOR pilots
• Logistics hub in New Mexico online
• Logistics solutions in TX Delaware
• First 2.5 mile laterals
• Expanding produced water recycling
15 Appraisal Wells
23
Occidental Petroleum
• 2017 Highlights and Beyond
• Pathway to Breakeven Progress
• Financial Summary and Guidance
• Permian Resources Update
• International Update
• Closing Remarks
24
2017 International Highlights and 2018 Plan
> 2017 production of 298 Mboedgenerated over $1 Bn of free cash flow at ~$55 Brent
> Pipeline of potential short and long-cycle projects
> Best international HES performance in Oxy history Oman Block Position
201
7 M
ilest
ones
201
8 P
lan
> Record Al Hosn Gas production of 71 Mboed achieved via plant optimization
> Milestones of 1 Bn barrels of oil produced in Oman and record gross production from the La Cira Infantas field in Colombia
> Extended Block 9 and signed Block 30 which brings Oman acreage to 2.3 Million
> Step-out wells in Oman and Colombia added 50 MM barrels of net resource
> Al Hosn Gas Plant debottlenecking increases capacity by 11% for $10 MM of capital. Peak-rate of ~83 Mboed will be reached in 3Q18.
> Sanction TECA Steamflood in Colombia after 2017 pilot
> Continue step-out program in Oman and Colombia
Al H
osn
Gas
Pla
nt
Al Hosn Gas – Project Execution and Operational Excellence• World-class, state-of-the-art sour-gas project delivered on-time and on-budget
• Production and throughput continues to improve with operational excellence
• Modifications will occur during turnaround beginning in 1Q18 and ending in 2Q18
• Minimal capital will be required
Al Hosn Gas Plant 25
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E
Al Hosn Gas Production(Mboed)
Original Plan
Current Plan
2018Debottlenecking$10 MM Capital
2017OptimizationNo Capital
Initial Production
26
Complex, Major Project CapabilityIndustry-leading execution performance
Compared to industry average of >20% capital overruns and 9 months delay
Domestic Projects• Ingleside, TX – Ethylene Cracker• Ingleside, TX – Oil Terminal• Geismar, LA – 4CPe Plant
International Projects• UAE – Al Hosn Gas• Oman – Block 62 Gas Plant
Recent Major Projects Delivered On-time and On-budget
27
Occidental Petroleum
• 2017 Highlights and Beyond
• Pathway to Breakeven Progress
• Financial Summary and Guidance
• Permian Resources Update
• International Update
• Closing Remarks
28
Short and Long-term Executive Compensation Changes
1 For CEO, 80% of target value is linked to company performance; 20% is based on individual performance. 2 CROCE defined as (Net Income + DD&A + After-tax Interest Expense) / Average (Total Debt + Total Equity).
Expanded use of returns-based metrics for incentive compensation
Short-term Incentives Long-term Incentives
15% of CEO annual bonus1 is determined by CROCE2, with a
performance target of 18%
> Improved alignment with shareholders
25% of CEO long-term incentive compensation is determined by
CROCE, with a performance target of 20%. CEO long-term incentive is
70% performance-based
> Consistent with our historical practices
CROCE-based compensation
~20%2018 CEO Compensation
at Target
Appendix
30
Average Shareholder Payout Ratio (%)1
Shareholder Distributions Over the Last Three Years (2016 – 2014)
9%
6%5% 5% 5% 5%
4%
1% 1%
1 OXY 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
66%
56% 56%
44%
30%27%
22%
14%9%
1 OXY 3 4 6 2 5 7 8
1 Source: Company filings and Factset. Shareholder distributions include dividends and share repurchases. Peers 1 – 8 include APC, APA, COP, CVX, EOG, HES, MRO, XOM
> Strong history and commitment to shareholder returns
> Confidence in asset capabilities and conservative balance sheet allows us to sustain dividend through cycle
> Improving payout ratio through high-margin growth with leadership in ROCE
54
28
10 95 3 2 1 1
3 4 OXY 6 1 5 2 7 8
5.325.02
4.294.28
2.622.30
0.990.85
0.78
1 4 3 OXY 5 6 2 7 8
Average Shareholder Payout per Share ($/Sh)1
Cumulative Distributions ($Bn)1
Average Shareholder Distribution Yield (%)1
31
Strong Balance Sheet - Oxy Credit Ratings Vs. Peers
Source: Factset, 02/12/2018
Company S&P Ratings
S&P Outlook
Moody’s Ratings
Moody’s Outlook
XOM AA+ Negative Aaa StableCVX AA- Negative Aa2 StableOXY A Stable A3 StableEOG BBB+ Stable Baa1 StableCOP A- Stable Baa1 StablePXD BBB Stable Baa3 StableAPA BBB Stable Baa3 StableNBL BBB Negative Baa3 StableDVN BBB Stable Ba1 StableAPC BBB Stable Ba1 StableMRO BBB- Stable Ba1 StableHES BBB- Stable Ba1 StableCXO BBB- Stable Ba1 PositiveCLR BB+ Stable Ba3 PositiveWPX B+ Stable B2 StableWLL BB- Stable B3 Positive
32
Appendix Contents
• Social Responsibility, Environment, and Governance
• 2017 Reserves
• Permian Updates
• Chemicals and Midstream Updates
33
Occidental’s First Climate Report will be Released in 1Q 2018
Stockholder Proposal• Produce a report assessing portfolio impacts of plausible scenarios that
address climate change, including the International Energy Agency’s “450 Scenario”
Report Highlights• Board and Management’s process for identifying, assessing, and managing
climate-related risks and long-term strategy for sustainability
• Results from scenario analysis including the International Energy Agency’s “450 Scenario” and newly released “Sustainable Development Scenario”
• Capital planning and risk assessment process improvements to incorporate additional climate-related risks into future project evaluations
• Metrics, targets and commitment to continued and improved transparency in reporting
• New climate-related metric included in CEO compensation plan for 2018
• Overview of Occidental’s world-class CO2 EOR assets and industry leading expertise in CO2 sequestration
Report will be posted on the Social Responsibility section of Oxy.com
34
Oxy Safety Culture and Strong Performance
Committed to the highest standards of conduct
Fostering a culture of safety excellence and continuous improvement to achieve a zero-incident safety record, everywhere we operate
Stop Work Authority policy requires employees and contractors to halt production, shut down any equipment or stop any job to prevent an accident or environmental incident
In 2017, Oxy had its best-ever employee safety performance record
•Incidents and Cases per 100 Workers
Global Employee Injury and Illness Incidence Rate
0.33
0.3
0.380.36
0.25
0.2
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
35
Water Infrastructure Drives Value & Environmental Benefits
$3.50
$2.10
$0.75
$-
$1
$2
$3
$4
Original Improved Current
Cost
/ b
bl o
f wat
er
Produced Water Costs Frac Water Costs Water Recycling
Greater Sand Dunes Cost Savings Per Barrel*
$7.8MM savings from recycling program**
Delaware Basin Frac Water Usage
*Cost structure illustration based on Greater Sand Dunes development area**Savings calculated using total water recycled of 5.8 MM bbls since project inception (mid-2016) multiplied by the savings of $1.35 ($2.10/bbl to $0.75/bbl)e
Truck Produced Water+ Truck Frac Water
Pipe Produced Water+ Truck Frac Water
Recycle Produced Water for Frac Water
$1.50
$2.00$1.50
$0.60
• Increasing Recycled Water Usage from ~30% to ~50% in 2018
• Greater Sand Dunes Water Recycling Project
> 80% of frac water YTD is recycled produced water
> 5.8 MM bbls recycled since project inception (mid-2016)
> Savings of $7.8 MM
11%
57%
32% Fresh Water
Brackish Water
Recycled Water
10%
40%50%
2017 Actuals 2018 Plan
3636
Injection well
CO2
Drivewater CO2 Water
MiscibleZone
OilBank
Producer wellbore
Producing Reservoir
Production
Oil Sales
Produced Gas
Oil / Water / Gas Separator
Gas PlantGas & NGL
SalesMakeup CO2
Supplied from Pipeline
CO2 Recycled from Gas Plant
Makeup CO2Supplied from Anthropogenic
Sources
Emissions Reducing Opportunity
C02 EOR Process
37
How does CO2EOR Work
Physics of Miscible CO2 EOR at Pore Scale
• Water injection (blue) recovers oil in large pores; leaving trapped oil (red) in small pores
• CO2 (yellow) dissolves and displaces trapped oil; leaving only heavy ends (brown) in the reservoir
• The process is normally finalized by injecting chase water after the CO2. Sequestered CO2 remains permanently trapped in the pore spaces
Water Injection
CO2 Injection
Water Injection
Oil (Red)
SequesteredCO2 (Yellow)
38
Appendix Contents
• Social Responsibility, Environment, and Governance
• 2017 Reserves
• Permian Updates
• Chemicals and Midstream Updates
39
Total Company Reserve
Replacement 2017
187% All In
162% Organic
YE 2016Reserves
Production* Additions Acquisitions &Sales
YE 2017Reserves
2,406 (220)
3572,59855
74% Proved Developed
75% Liquids
All reserves are in Mmboe. *2017 Production includes South Texas.
2017 Reserve Additions Through Program Execution200 MMBOE Reserve Additions prior to price revisions
40
Successful Drilling and A&D Programs Leading to Lower F&D Costs
> Positive total-company performance revisions
> Improved productivity and lower well costs in Permian Resources
> Purchased ~80 MM Boe more barrels than sold in Permian transactions
> Expanded capacity at Al Hosn Gas> Successful extension of Oman Block
9 contract
$18.05 $18.36
$8.34
5 Year 3 Year 2017
F&D
Cos
ts (O
rgan
ic)*
*Refer to 4th Quarter Earnings Release for definitions of F&D calculations.Occidental incurred approximately $0.7 Billion to convert proved undeveloped reserves to proved developed reserves.
$17.96 $17.22
$8.53
5 Year 3 Year 2017
F&D
Cos
ts (A
ll So
urce
s)*
Program Execution Highlights
41
2017 Total Company Reserve Replacement
MMBOE2016 YE Proved Reserves 2,406Production (220)Revisions of Previous Estimates 151Improved Recovery 201Extensions & Discoveries 5Total Organic 356Purchases & Sales 552017 YE Proved Reserves 2,598
Total Additions (All In) 412Reserve Replacement (All in) 187%Reserve Replacement (Organic) 162%
42
2017 U.S. Reserve Replacement
MMBOE2016 YE Proved Reserves 1,353Production (111)Revisions of Previous Estimates 109Improved Recovery 149Extensions & Discoveries 0Total Organic 258Purchase & Sales 552017 YE Proved Reserves 1,555
Total Additions (All In) 313Reserve Replacement (All in) 282%Reserve Replacement (Organic) 232%
43
Appendix Contents
• Social Responsibility, Environment, and Governance
• 2017 Reserves
• Permian Updates
• Chemicals and Midstream Updates
44
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Jan - Jul 2017 Avg Sep-2017 Dec-2017
MB
oed
SSAU Gross Production
Creating Value at the Seminole San Andres Unit
Increased Production 3,600 Boed or 16%
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$1/Boe $2/Boe $3/Boe $4/Boe $5/Boe
Value of Opex Synergies ($MM PV10)
Acquired Interest Existing Interest
• Increased plant inlet volume 32%• Reduced flaring by 60%• Implemented surveillance workflows
Reduced Redrill Capital Costs by 36% Greater than $5/boe Opex Reduction
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Prior Operator AFE Oxy Planned Oxy Actual
IP 3
0 B
oed
SSAU Redrill Well Productivity
• Savings utilizing Permian scale• Implemented Oxy well design• Operating capability improved efficiency
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
Prior Operator AFE Oxy Planned Oxy Actual$
MM
SSAU Redrill Well Cost
$0
$100
$200
$300
Oxy Planned Oxy Actual
$ M
M
SSAU Lift Revision Cost
$0
$10
$20
$30
Prior Operator Opex Oxy Current Opex Oxy Opex Target
Ope
x$
/boe
SSAU Opex
>$5/boereduction to-date
• Optimized Purchased Injectant• Well Enhancement Execution• Optimized Resource Deployment
45
-
50
100
150
200
250
0 30 60 90
Cum
ulat
ive
MB
OE
Turkey Track - New Modular Development AreaNew Mexico Modular Development AreaLeveraging Permian Scale to Realize Value in Smaller Development Areas
• Turkey Track – North Delaware Basin> Greater than 40% all-in ROR at $50 WTI
> Successful appraisal of 3rd Bone Spring
> Well costs 25% below target costs at $7.7MM per well – 10,000’
> Drilled in 20 days
> Achieved 12 frac stages per day
• Similar scale opportunities available in other areas of the Permian Basin
Southeast New Mexico
Greater Sand Dunes
Innovative Development Provides Scale Advantages to Regional Areas
Multi-bench potential
Modular Facilities
Utilizes Basin Synergies
Turkey Track – Cumulative 30 Day MBOE
3rd Bone Spring1 well ~ 9,800’
Future 3rd Bone Spring Development
Days Online
2nd Bone Spring4 wells ~ 9,700’
Future 2nd and 3rd Bone Spring Development
46
2017 Barilla Draw proper– Wolfcamp A Optimized Landing Point Results
-
50
100
150
200
250
- 30 60 90 120 150 180
Days Online
Average of 2017 10,000 ft wells (3)
Average of 2017 5,000 ft wells (5)
Pre-2017 Wolfcamp A WellsAvg. Lateral ~4,700’
$5.17
$1.94
$3.93 $4.59
$9.62
$-
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
Red Bull South Mentone Lockridge Barilla - Birds of PreyArea
Tx Delaware - TotalOperated Fields
Greater Barilla DrawOperating Excellence & Strong Results
Strong results across multiple fields > Core Barilla Draw continues excellent
results and improvement from previous years
> Tier 1 results in Wolfcamp A and B in Red Bull South acquisition acreage
> Successful appraisal of 2nd Bone Spring and 3rd Bone Spring in 2017
Horizontal development continues to improve margins
> Four fields with horizontal wells have at or below $5/boe operating cost
Hz Development Yields Low Operating Costs
Four Greater Barilla Draw fields with all or almost all horizontal development
Includes ~700 vertical wells
Hz well count: 59 11 11 18
Avg. Hz well age: ~2 years ~ 2 years ~2 years ~2.5 years
Cum
MB
OE
47
-
30.00
60.00
90.00
120.00
150.00
180.00
- 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360
Cum
Oil
-MB
O
Midland Basin - Merchant
Operating cost <$2.75/boe
> Horizontal only development
> 10,000 ft wells go-forward
> Centralized facilities and ample Oxy disposal capacity
> Infrastructure in place to increase marginsTwo play-leading benches under development
> Landing point optimized flow units
> Strong performance in Wolfcamp A and Wolfcamp B benches
> Wolfcamp B performance +22%
Wolfcamp B Improvement = two high-return development benches
Multi-bench program and operating efficiency create play-leading opex
$2.71
$-
$1
$2
$3
2017 Total
Surface Other Total
Merchant Opex / BOE Successful Development Planning from Inception Leads to Greenfield Operating Cost
• First wells online in 2014• 55 horizontals online• Centralized facilities• No water hauling with truck• Central compression for gas lift• Gas lift limits well failures and
downhole cost
New WC B Design
All WC A Wells
Pre 2017 WC B Design
48
Target FormationRecent Well Results
Well NameLateral
Length (ft)Peak 24 Hr
(boed)Peak 30 Day
(boed)Oil (%)
Brushy Canyon Federal 23 13H 4,376 899 833 90%
Avalon Patton MDP1 18 Fed 23H 4,108 2,008 1,509 76%
1st BSS Cedar Canyon 23 2H 4,025 1,428 972 70%
2nd BSS
Cedar Canyon 23 Fed Co 6H 7,241 4,518 3,963 75%Palladium MDP1 7/6 Fed Com 6H 9,852 4,731 3,404 81%Palladium MDP1 7/6 Fed Com 5H 10,040 4,456 3,213 81%Cedar Canyon 21 Fed 022H 4,596 5,162 3,182 76%Patton MDP1 18 Fed 7H 4,581 4,817 3,099 78%Oxy Total 2017 Average 6,475 3,055 2,247 80%
3rd BSS
Cedar Canyon 21-22 FED Com 32H 9,851 5,834 3,916 68%
Cedar Canyon 23 24 Fed 32H 7,235 6,497 3,693 69%Cedar Canyon 23 24 Fed Com 34H 7,172 4,876 3,338 73%Cedar Canyon 21 22 Fed Com 34H 9,820 3,751 3,286 75%Cedar Canyon 21 22 Fed Com 33H 9,758 3,730 3,192 77%Oxy Total 2017 Average 7,303 3,693 2,688 74%
Wolfcamp XY
Patton 18 Fed 6H 4,394 2,774 2,150 71%Calmon 35 Fed 171H 4,453 2,956 2,107 68%Cedar Canyon 16 33H 4,418 2,397 2,049 71%Cedar Canyon 16 34H 4,235 2,287 1,967 70%Oxy Total 2017 Average 5,187 2,595 2,032 72%
Wolfcamp AJanie Conner 204H 4,500 1,980 1,221 78%B Banker 226H 4,400 1,874 1,030 76%Cedar Canyon 27 10H 4,215 1,645 1,486 73%
Wolfcamp DJanie Conner 221H 4,522 2,282 1,809 39%Tiger 14 24S 28E 224H 4,376 1,719 1,417 47%
Wells included in table include non-operated wells. Production data is from internal system for operated wells and from operator data and IHS Enerdeq for non-op wells where available.Wells in blue font were turned to production in 4Q17. All BOE Data is based on two-stream well tests.Average shown for all benches with multiple wells in 2017.
Greater Sand Dunes
Proven Economic Delineating
Outstanding Results in Greater Sand Dunes Area Multi‐Bench Development
Brushy Canyon
Avalon
1st Bone Spring
2nd Bone Spring
3rd Bone Spring
Wolfcamp X-Y
Wolfcamp A
Wolfcamp D
6,0
00
ft
New
New
New
New
49
Target FormationRecent Well Results
Well Name Lateral Length (ft)Peak 24 Hr
(boed)Peak 30 Day
(boed)Oil (%)
Avalon Evaluating
1st BS Evaluating
2nd BS
Collie A East N63H 9,725 1370 1155 81%
Aardvark State 6 2H 4,947 1254 821 87%
Roan State 24 #51H 4,514 993 762 83%
3rd BSBig George 180 SW 3H 7,576 759 571 57%
Morrison, HB 73H 4,927 854 864 75%
Wolfcamp A / DF
Lyda 33-40-1S State 16H 10,164 3,724 3,202 84%
Toyah 4-9 1N 11H 9,845 3,077 2,028 79%
Hamlton 12H 9,380 2,604 2,023 65%
Oppenheimer 188 1H 4,500 2,451 1,907 82%
Buzzard State 21 16H 7,598 2,050 1,822 74%
Allen 39 11H 4,971 1,917 1,755 80%
Oxy Total 2017 Average 7,003 1,735 1,384 77%
Wolfcamp B
Agate 179-142-3S 25H 7,439 2,088 1,731 73%
Daytona Unit 1B 2H 6,947 1,897 1,544 79%
Agate 179 142 2S 21H 7,197 1,941 1,469 80%
Manhattan 183W 1H 7,092 1,831 1,460 75%
Oxy Total 2017 Average 7,867 1,520 1,205 77%
Wolfcamp C Lemur 24 1H 4,251 1,125 937 81%
Wells included in table include non-operated wells. Production data is from internal system for operated wells and from operator data and IHS Enerdeq for non-op wells where available.Wells in blue font were turned to production in 4Q17. All BOE Data is based on two-stream well tests.Average shown for all benches with multiple wells in 2017. Wolfcamp DF wells now combined with Wolfcamp A wells.
Greater Barilla Draw
Proven Economic Delineating
Improving Results in Greater Barilla Draw Area Multi‐Bench Development
Avalon
1st Bone Spring
2nd Bone Spring
3rd Bone Spring
Wolfcamp A/DF
Wolfcamp C
4,5
00
ft
Wolfcamp B
New
50
AVG Lat Length (ft) 4,811 5,789 6,933 ~7,500 6,636 6,204
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2015 2016 1H 17 2017 Expected Top Peers2017
Top Peers2016
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2015 2016 1H 17 2017 Expected Top Peers2017
Top Peers2016
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2015 2016 1H 17 2017Expected
Top Peers2017
Top Peers2016
0
50
100
150
200
250
2015 2016 1H 17 2017 Expected Top Peers2017
Top Peers2016
Permian Resources Wells Continue to Improve
Top Peers is an average of Peers in the Top 15 based on # of wells online within the respective year with 6 month cumulative production available.Oxy and Peer data sourced from IHS Performance Evaluator, Gas Equivalent calculated at 20:1, solid bars represent oil, grey bars represent gas.
6 M
onth
BO
ECu
mul
ativ
e Pr
oduc
tion
6 M
onth
BO
ECu
mul
ativ
e Pr
oduc
tion
6 M
onth
BO
E Cu
mul
ativ
e Pr
oduc
tion
6 M
onth
BO
ECu
mul
ativ
e Pr
oduc
tion
AVG Lat Length (ft) 4,169 4,906 5,430 ~6,000 5,953 5,235
New Mexico Bone Spring
New Mexico Wolfcamp
Texas Delaware Wolfcamp
Texas Midland Wolfcamp
AVG Lat Length (ft) 4,398 ~6,700 5,619 5,137 AVG Lat Length (ft) 7,168 7,366 7,555 ~8,200 8,273 8,071
*Operators Include: Advanced Pet, Bopco, Bta Oil Producers, CVX, CXO, Caza, CDEV, DVN, EOG, LGCY, MRO, MTDR, Mcelvain O&G, Mewbourne, Murchison, WPX, XEC, XOM
*Operators Include: APC, BHP, CRZO, CVX, CXO, CDEV, EGN, EOG, FANG, HK, Jagged Peak Energy, Mewbourne, MTDR, NBL, RDSA, REN, RSPP, WPX, XEC
*Operators Include: APA, Broad Oak, CPE, CVX, CXO, Crownquest, ECA, EGN, END, EPE, FANG, LPI, PE, PXD, SM, Sem Opg, Surge Opg, XOM
*Operators Include: COP, CXO, CDEV, Caza, DVN, EOG, MRO, MTDR, Mewbourne, WPX, XEC
51
5 7 7
231619 21
22
21
2628
45
1Q17A 2Q17A 3Q17A 4Q17A 1Q18E 2Q18E
Optimized Development PlansOperational resources secured and on-board for 2018
• Added 4 drilling rigs end of 2Q17
• Added 4th frac crew in 3Q17
• Added additional flowback and hookup resources in 4Q17
1H 2017 = ~7,000 ft 2H 2017 = ~7,800 ft 1H 2018 = ~8,500 ft
Texas
New Mexico
Record Well Results Provide Near-term Visibility to Achieving 80 Mboed Production Increase Milestone
34 - 38
59 - 63
1Q18 well counts reflect updated sequencing for optimized pad development
Permian Resources Horizontal Wells Online
Actual Outlook
Average Lateral:
52
• Pipe Yard has 16 rail car spots• 50,000 tons of storage• Pipe from rail line instead of trucked
from Houston• 24-hour access with the ability to
service more than 20 rigs
Dedicated personnel, services and equipment:• Directional drilling• Cementing• Fracturing• Wellhead and frac tree systems
• Northern white sand supply• Regional sand supply • Sand mine to Aventine logistics
• Sand transloading terminal operations• Sand last mile logistics and wellsite
storage provider
- Service Provider Facility
- Sand Provider
- Facility Operator
- OCTG
Project Aventine – Strategic Partnerships Reduce Costs in Value Chain
• HCl facility has 14 rail car spots• OxyChem is the HCl provider
Project Aventine
• 240 acres in Eddy County, NM within 20 miles of Greater Sand Dunes and other future development areas
• 30,000 tons of sand storage + transload capacity
• 2 unit train loops with ability to expand to 3 located off major rail line
• Supports 10-12 rigs per year
• Reduces costs by $500 - $750 k per well• Secures availability of critical materials• Reduces spare equipment and personnel needed on location• Reduction in last mile logistics cost• Dedicated equipment maintenance facilities• Savings start 1Q18, fully operational 2Q18• Phase 2 will support production operations HCl Provider
Mutually Beneficial Partnerships Reduce Costs
52
HCl Facility
53
New D&C Records
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
4Q17 Actual Market Inflation Aventine LogisticsSavings
Design/EfficiencyImprovements
2018 Target
Wel
l Cos
t ($
MM
)
Drilling Completion Hookup
New Mexico Well Cost Improvements
• Well design: fluid optimization and produced water recycling
• Logistics: Project Aventine
• Operating: reduced TTM
Breakeven Plan Sustainability Enhanced by Operating Efficiency and Logistics Savings
New Mexico 2nd Bone Spring 10,000’ Well Cost
$8.9 MM
$0.6 MM $0.8 MM
$0.8 MM$9.9MM
Drilled Jan 2018 Corral Fly 02-01 State 23H2nd Bone Spring – 9,800’
15.8 days Drilling9,701ft lateral – 44 hrs
5,689ft of lateral in 24 hrs1st 10k-ft w/ 5-1/2” floated casing
14 stages / dayCompleted Jan 2018
Cedar Canyon 29 Fed 24H, 25H, and 26H2nd Bone Spring – 4,700’
• Reduction in sand related costs> Direct sourcing> Last mile logistics> Well-site logistics
• Less redundancy in well-site equipment and supervision
• Reduced HCl costs
Note: Well costs include, drilling, completion, hookup, flowback, 1st artificial lift, and capitalized overhead. Well design assumes 3-string casing with 2,000#/ft completion
54
$12.93
$11.17
$8.43$8.00
$7.63
$-
$4.00
$8.00
$12.00
2014 2015 2016 2017 2017 Q4
Permian Resources Opex/BOE
Surface Downhole Supports Energy Other
Operating Capability Reduces Costs
• Water-handling reducing surface costs
• Lift optimization reducing downhole failure costs
55
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Breakeven <$50
Breakeven <$60
Breakeven <$70
AdditionalInventory
4Q17 Normalizedto 7,100'
4Q16
Added ~30 Rig Years of Activity to <$50 Inventory in 2017
3,132
4,771
5,637
11,20711,650
Permian Resources Inventory 2Q17
> Added 750 locations BE <$50
• ~500 in New Mexico
• Replaced majority of inventory from divestitures
• Divestiture impact to locations >$50 only
> Added 3.0 MM ft of horizontal lateral footage to inventory
• Increased average length from 7,100 ft to 7,600 ft
Midland Basin
Texas Delaware
Basin
New Mexico Delaware
Basin
Note: Breakeven defined as positive NPV 10.*As of 12/31/2017. 4Q 2017 increased lateral length adjustment to normalize current inventory to 7,100’.
11,996*
Und
evel
oped
Dril
ling
Loca
tions
56
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Proven Leader in Maximizing Recovery Across the Permian
<$10 <$6
Permian EOR Net Resource Potential
MM
BO
E CO2 Floods
TZ/ROZ*Water Floods +
Other Infill Drilling Opportunities
High-gradable Inventory
*Transition Zone and Residual Oil ZoneNote: As of 12/31/2017
Permian EOR
• Seminole San Andres Unit adds low F&D inventory
> ~100 MMboe at < $6.00 future development cost
• Significant opportunity to improve and grow new inventory
> Subsurface characterization
> Operating efficiency
> Technology
Future Development Cost ($/BOE)
Permian EOR Water Floods
Midland Basin
Central BasinPlatform
Additional Conventional
Inventory
Permian EOR CO2 Floods
Permian EOR PlantsTotal
Identified Barrels
57
Permian Resources• Significant growth potential in
all development areas
• ~650,000 net acres within the Delaware and Midland Basin boundaries
• NM Delaware Basin 290,000
• TX Delaware Basin 160,000
• Midland Basin 200,000
Total ~650,000
NetAcres*
Resources Basin Development Areas
• Central Basin Platform 260,000
• New Mexico NW Shelf 150,000
• Continuing Evaluation 340,000
Total ~750,000
NetAcres*
Other Resources Unconventional Areas
• Resources – Unconventional Areas 1.4• Enhanced Oil Recovery Areas 1.1
Oxy Permian Total ~2.5MM
NetAcres*
Business Area Acreage
Permian Resources Acreage Permian EOR Acreage
NM Delaware Basin
TX Delaware Basin
Midland Basin
Central BasinPlatform
New Mexico NW Shelf
*Includes surface and minerals.Note: As of 12/31/2017
• ~325,000 net acres associated with 11,207 wells in unconventional development inventory
• Additional acreage evaluated in 2017 offset by divested acreage
58
Appendix Contents
• Social Responsibility, Environment, and Governance
• 2017 Reserves
• Permian Updates
• Chemicals and Midstream Updates
59
Chemicals Cash Flow Improvement Drivers
JV Ethylene Cracker startup complete
4CPe Plant startup in 4Q17 with ramp through 1H18
Capturing margin from improving pricing and operations
Annualized Chemicals Cash Flow From Operations ($ MM)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1Q17CFFO Annualized
Ethylene CrackerStartup
Market Improvement 4CPe PlantRamp-up
Breakeven PlanTarget
$1,475
$150$1,125
$50
$150
Achieved
60
Chemicals Free Cash to Significantly Increase with Lower Capital Spending
• 4CPe Plant complete on-time and on-budget> Plant started up in 4Q17
• 4CPe Plant manufactures the feedstock for a climate-friendly, next generation refrigerant to be used in automobiles> Feedstock to be provided to new, world-scale plant in Baton Rouge for
production of 1234YF (next generation refrigerant)
• OxyChem capital spend will be near maintenance levels in 2018
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Maintenance & Other Spending New Business Spending
$m
m
Chemicals Capital Spend
4CPe Plant
61
Market Overview Update
• Major industry consolidation complete
• Caustic soda supply-demand balance continues to improve
• PVC demand improved YoY
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1Q
12
2Q
12
3Q
12
4Q
12
1Q
13
2Q
13
3Q
13
4Q
13
1Q
14
2Q
14
3Q
14
4Q
14
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
E
$ M
illio
ns
Chemicals Pre-Tax Earnings (EBIT)1
0.000.501.001.502.002.503.003.504.004.505.00
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1Q
12
2Q
12
3Q
12
4Q
12
1Q
13
2Q
13
3Q
13
4Q
13
1Q
14
2Q
14
3Q
14
4Q
14
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
$/m
cf
$/D
ry S
hort
Ton
FO
B U
S G
ulf C
oast
Chemicals Profitability DriversCaustic Soda Price Natural Gas Price Price
Notes: 1 Chemicals pre-tax earnings excluding special items. 2 IHS Domestic Average Spot Caustic Soda Price. 3 Factset natural gas prices.
2 3
62
Midstream Cash Flow Improvement Drivers
Al Hosn plant continued optimization: 1Q 2018
Oil terminal capacity upgrade: 2H18 – 2019
Near-term Midland to Gulf Coast spread outlook ~$2.50
Annualized Midstream Cash Flow From Operations ($ MM)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1Q17CFFO Annualized
Marketing Spread QuarterlyAverage >$2.10 per Boe
Al Hosn GasPlant Optimization
Crude Oil Terminal CapacityUpgrade
Breakeven Plan Target
$450
$200
$150
$50
$50
Achieved
Downtime Adj.
$50 Actual
Notes:1 Excludes non-cash impacts of mark-to-market on crude contracts. 2 $50 MM improvement due to Al Hosn expansion is $20 MM allocated to midstream and $30 MM allocated to upstream.
1 2
63
Near-term Outlook for Midland to Gulf Coast Spreads
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
Midland to Magellan East Houston Spread ($/bbl)
Actual Outlook
Harvey Impact on
Spread
2018
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
2017
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
2019
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
New Pipeline Capacity
Breakeven Plan Assumption: $2.10
Accelerating global economic growth drives strong demand
Balanced global supply assuming OPEC+ extension
Permian pipeline utilization ~85-90% over time
Possible pipeline capacity constraints pending newproject in-service dates (late 2018/early 2019)
64
Leadership in Gulf Coast Crude Exports
Increasing Ingleside export capacity to 750,000 bopd
Oxy Ingleside – The Premier Crude Export Terminal> Expansion underway for VLCC loading arms, tankage and piping> Increasing capacity 2.5x to 750,000 bopd with 6.8 MMbbls of storage> ~$315mm total capital with ~$115mm spent in 2018> New Permian pipeline supply anticipated 2H19
2H
18
-2
019
VLCC
Suezmax
> Expanding Ingleside Terminal• VLCC loading capability 4Q18• Capacity increase 2H19
> Leading Permian Crude Marketer with ~600,000 bopd
> Largest Permian crude exporter
Ingleside Oil Terminal