off-grid opportunities the paradigm shift - ips) …...in 2015: •$27.0+ billion, the highest in...
TRANSCRIPT
Off-Grid Opportunities
The Paradigm Shift
Sohail Hasnie Principal Energy Specialist, Asian Development Bank November 2016
FOUNDED IN 1966
• 67 members;
• 48 in the region
• 40 borrowing members
• Japan and the United
States are the 2 largest members
Manila HQ
OFFICES
31 field offices
3,105 employees, spanning
59 nationalities
ADB’s CORE BUSINESS
• Finance and Advice for
Development Solutions
• Loans
• Technical Assistance
• Grants
• Guarantees
• Equity Investments
• Policy Dialogue
• Knowledge and
Partnerships
Numbers In 2015:
•$27.0+ billion, the highest in ADB's history
•$16.3 billion in loans and grants
•$10.7 billion in cofinancing
Procurement
• contracts for goods and works: $11.1 billion
• contracts for consulting services: $637 million
3+
disruptive technologies
Source: http://www.kotzendes-einhorn.de/blog/2011-06/the-hard-disk-youve-been-waiting-for-na-endlich/
1992
10 MB
about $300 /MB
16 GB or 16,000 MB
$4.8 million
16,000 MB @$300 per MB
Less than $40 in 2016
$7,600 in 1977
Disruptive Technology #1
60-80% Energy Efficiency Everywhere
Disruptive Technology #2
Pacific countries or
Afghanistan
Fossil-Fuel-Free:
by 2020 All by 2025?
It can be the least cost option!
The Paradigm Shift
Where do we start?
The Paradigm Shift
Batteries
Disruptive Technology #3
Cost of storage
Battery Cost $500 per kWh
10,000 cycles 500,00/10,000
5 cents per kWh per charge
Source: http://reneweconomy.com.au/graph-of-the-day-tesla-powerwall-2-way-ahead-of-competition-on-price-62928/
Software
• Decarbonize "people"
• Manage incumbent
• Build mega projects
• Standards through examples
• Communicate
• Innovate procurement
• Bring in young people
Hardware
• Energy Efficiency be the norm
• Technology partnerships
• DC Off-grid solar
• Electric Vehicles
• (boats, cars, trikes and bikes)
• On grid solar and batteries
• Floating Solar
Demonstration Project #1
Pilot: 500 solar kits: 100 each in Tajikistan, Kyrgyz Republic, Mongolia, Afghanistan and Pakistan 2016-2017: $2 million
Planned Scale up in 2017-2018: 100,000 units in Afghanistan or Pakistan
Estimated cost: $100 million
Second-life car batteries may bring electricity to millions
Demonstration Project #2
Floating Solar $0.68 / Wp
Small scale EV Project
Why locally made small EVs?
• Higher income (low operating cost: 7 kWh of electricity or 80 pesos vs 5 liters of gasoline 250 pesos)
• No down payment : payments from daily savings
• 5-year or 80,000 km warranty with after sales service
• Long-life lithium-ion battery with solar charging options
• Modern transport: good looking, no noise, no pollution, safe and comfortable to ride
Regional Battery Factory
Partnerships • Hydro Tasmania • Argonne National Lab • Australian Energy Regulator
Others? Workshops • 13 February, 2017, Dushanbe, Tajikistan • 5-9 June 2017, Manila, Philippines
