oilseed prod. in world
TRANSCRIPT
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8/14/2019 Oilseed Prod. in World
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World Harvested Area1979/80 - 1999/00
1979/80
1989/90
1999/00120
130
140
150
160
170
180
620
640
660
680
700
720
740
World Harvested Area1979/80 - 1999/00
1979/80
1989/90
1999/00120
130
140
150
160
170
180
620
640
660
680
700
720
740
Million hectares
Oilseeds Grains
oilseeds
grains
World Production
1979/80 - 1999/00
1979/80
1989/90
1999/00100
150
200
250
300
350
400
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1,900
Million tons
oilseeds
grains
Oilseeds Grains
November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD
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Oilseeds
Area breaks record setin 1979/80 due tofavorable soybeanloan rate
Area trending higherfor soybeans,sunflowerseed andrapeseed
Grains
Total-grain area downfor third year due tocontinued weak prices
Wheat lowest levelsince 1988/89; barleylowest on record
Corn at 5-year averagelevel 1979/80 1989/90 1999/00
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
Million hectares
United States' Grains Area Down, Oilseeds Up
oilseedsgrains
GrainsOilseeds
United States' Grains and Oilseeds Output LowerOilseeds
Output down slightlybecause of loweraverage yield
Soybean yield hurt byregional weatherproblems in the eastand south
GrainsTotal-grain outputslightly lower
Wheat output lower asreduced area offsetsnear-record yield
Corn output down,third largestproduction andsecond highest yield
1979/80 1989/90 1999/0030
40
50
60
70
80
90
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Million tons
grains
Grains
oilseeds
Oilseeds
November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD
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8/14/2019 Oilseed Prod. in World
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1979/80 1989/90 1999/000
2
4
6
8
10
34
36
38
40
42
44
EU's Oilseeds Area Grow, Grains Decrease
OilseedsRapeseed areacontinues trend higheron strong demand
Third consecutiveovershoot ofMaximum GuaranteedArea expected for1999/2000, thoughfinal data not yetavailable
Grains
Area falls for secondyear
Weather difficulties,weaker prices, andincreased set-asidepressure area
Million hectares
grains
Grains
oilseeds
Oilseeds
1979/80
1989/90
1999/000
5
10
15
20
125
150
175
200
225
Million tons
EU's Grains Output Decline, Oilseeds at Record
Oilseeds
Production trendshigher, record level
Rapeseed yieldpushes to new loftyrecord
Grains
Total-grain upwardtrend output trimmed
Wheat yield down fromlast season's recordlevel
Decrease in barleymore than offsets anincrease in corn
grains
Grains
oilseeds
Oilseeds
November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD
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Argentina's Oilseeds Area Drop, Grains Rise
1979/80 1989/90 1999/002
4
6
8
10
12
14
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Million hectares
OilseedsArea forecast to benear last year's record
Soybean area helpedby recent improvementin soybean/corn priceratio
Sunflowerseed areadown
Grains
Area expands asproducers attempt tomaximize income
Wheat area increase13 percent
Corn up, taking somesunflowerseed area
grains
Grains
oilseeds
Oilseeds
1979/80 1989/90 1999/000
5
10
15
20
25
30
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Argentina's Oilseeds Output Down, Grains Higher
Oilseeds
Production downslightly followingrecord last year
Soybean yield below1997/98 record
Sunflowerseed outputdown following recordarea last year
Grains
Output up due tohigher area
Wheat output higher,second highest yield
Corn yield off 1997/98spike, but still strongand above last season
Million tons
oilseeds
grains
GrainsOilseeds
November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD
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Brazil's Oilseeds Area Stable, Grains Decrease
1979/80 1989/90 1999/008
10
12
14
16
18
16
18
20
22
24
26Oilseeds
Area forecast downmarginally
Recent increase insoybean/corn priceratio could result inarea being near lastyear's level
Grains
Long-term areadecline
Wheat continues todecline, while cornincreases
Devaluation of Real,access to credit, andrural debt majorconcerns
Million hectares
grains
Grains
oilseeds
Oilseeds
Brazil's Oilseeds Output Decline, Grains Rise
1979/80 1989/90 1999/007
14
21
28
35
21
28
35
42
49
Oilseeds
Production down afterrecord yield in 1997/98
Soybean productiondown on lower area
Cottonseed yield risesas production shifts toCenter-West
Grains
Output expands due tohigher corn yield
Wheat down, yield ataverage level
Rice retreats fromrecord level
Million tons
grains
Grains
oilseeds
Oilseeds
November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD
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China's Grains Area Stable, Oilseeds Increase
1979/80 1989/90 1999/0016
18
20
22
24
26
81
84
87
90
93
96
Million hectares
Oilseeds
Area trending upwardagain after drop in1996/97
Soybean area declinesas imports increase
Rapeseed and peanutareas at record levels
Grains
Area declinesmarginally
Corn at record leveldue to demand andsupport prices
Wheat declines due todry weather
Rice nearly unchanged
grains
Grains
oilseeds
Oilseeds
1979/80 1989/90 1999/000
10
20
30
40
50
200
250
300
350
400
450
China's Grains and Oilseeds Output at Record
Oilseeds
Production sets a newrecord
Peanut and rapeseedoutput higher
Soybean area andyield decline
Grains
Total-grain output atrecord level
Corn down from lastyear's record, butsecond highest
Wheat at secondhighest output
Rice at record level
Million tons
grains
Grains
oilseeds
Oilseeds
November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD
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8/14/2019 Oilseed Prod. in World
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FSU Grains Area Slide, Oilseeds at Record
1979/80 1989/90 1999/007
8
9
10
11
12
13
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
OilseedsArea jumps on strong
demand for rapeseedand sunflowerseed
Cottonseed steadyafter decline earlier inthe decade
Grains
Area continues to dropdue to unfavorableweather and landdiversion
Feed demand falls aslivestock and poultrynumbers decline
Russia's wheat downdue to drought atplanting
Million hectares
grains
Grains
oilseeds
Oilseeds
FSU Grains Output Up Slightly, Oilseeds Recover
1979/80 1989/90 1999/006
8
10
12
14
16
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
Oilseeds
Production reboundsfollowing declineearlier in the decade
Sunflowerseed higherdespite low yield
Grains
Total-grain output
slightly above lastyear's poor level
Russian andKazakstan wheatrebound
Russia and Ukraineyield still constrainedby variable weatherand economicdificulties
Million tons
grains
Grains
oilseeds
Oilseeds
November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD
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India's Grains Area Climb, Oilseeds Decrease
1979/80 1989/90 1999/0016
20
24
28
32
36
96
100
104
108
112
OilseedsArea down from therecord set last year
Lower tariff reducesdomestic prices andincentive to plant
Soybean area morethan triples in 10 years
Grains
Area starting to trendhigher
Wheat and rice at
record levelCoarse grains declineover long-term
Million hectares
grains
Grains
oilseeds
Oilseeds
India's Grains Production Record, Oilseeds Lower
1979/80 1989/90 1999/005
10
15
20
25
30
75
100
125
150
175
200
Oilseed
Drought in westerngrowing areas reducescrops' prospects
Peanut yield forecastlowest in 14 years
Soybean output downmarginally
GrainProduction at recordlevel
Wheat and rice atrecord owing to largeryield and area
Coarse grains lower asmonsoon is irregular,although "normal"
Million tons
grains
Grains
oilseeds
Oilseeds
November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD
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Canada's Oilseeds Area Record, Grains Lower
1979/80 1989/90 1999/000
2
4
6
8
16
18
20
22
24
OilseedsArea trending higher,
recent volatility
Strong prices relativeto grains inducesrecord oilseed area
Soybean sunflowerand rapeseed areas allat high levels
Grains
Weak durum wheatprices pressures area
Wheat and barley alsodecreases due torotation, wet weatherat planting, andrelatively strongerrapeseed prices
Million hectares
grains
Grains
oilseeds
Oilseeds
Canada's Oilseeds Output Record, Grains Higher
1979/80 1989/90 1999/002
4
6
8
10
12
20
30
40
50
60
70
Oilseeds
Output increaseencouraged by greatercrush capacity
Rapeseed benefitsfrom favorablemoisture, despiteplanting difficulties
GrainsTotal-grain output updue to favorable lateseason weather
Wheat recovers fromlate planting, barleybenefits fromfavorable weather
Oats and corn lower
Million tons
grains
Grains
oilseeds
Oilseeds
November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD