optimum allocation and utilisation of track …/menu/general... · optimum allocation and...

25
Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: A case study of tamping Stephen Famurewa, Tao Xin, Arne Nissen, Uday Kumar

Upload: vanphuc

Post on 15-Aug-2018

218 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Optimum Allocation and Utilisation

of track possession time: A case

study of tamping

Stephen Famurewa, Tao Xin, Arne Nissen, Uday Kumar

Page 2: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Contents

Introduction

Research question

Railway track behaviour

Track geometry quality

Tamping strategy

Case study

Result & Conclusion

Page 3: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Introduction to project

2009

2010

2011

0 20 40 60 80 100

Capacity Utilisation

(% Line segment)

Ye

ar

Out of traffic

<60%

60-80%

80-100%

Note: Completed Capacity enhancement plans

88 90 92 94 96

Train Km (passenger)

Train Km (passenger) x109

39 40 41 42

Train Km (goods)

Train Km (goods) x109

Capacity assessment of Swedish transport

administration network Maintenance improvement Framework

Page 4: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Introduction to article

• Railway transport is expected to be competitive

and sustainable transportation.

• Competitiveness requires increase in quantity

(capacity) and quality of service.

• Sustainability ensures tomorrow’s

competitiveness is not limited by present

performance.

Page 5: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Research Question

• Decision support for allocation and utilisation of track

possession time (efficiency).

• Strategy to support quality (effectiveness) and sustain

quality of track .

Track strategy =

Investment strategy + Maintenance strategy

Existing

infrastructure

Page 6: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Railway Track Behavior

• Patience? During a period of inadequate

maintenance, it is a relatively long time before the

track shows signs of stress

• Anger? The track reacts badly & irreversibly to a

prolonged maintenance deficiency and could

result into undesired consequence

• Should we understand it then we can manage it-

Track geometry parameters map this behavior

Conventional or derived parameter

Page 7: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Railway track behavior

• Track geometry quality EN 13848 1-6

Track quality Estimation/prediction

Trend

Grey Model

Linear Model

Exponential Model

Randomness

Markov Model

Fourier Transform

Artificial intelligence

Smoothening technique

Page 8: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Track geometry prediction

• Good track quality deteriorates slowly while poor one does rapidly

*b t

o

b

db

dt

solving the differential equation

e

0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2,5

0 200 400 600 800 1000

Sta

nd

ard

dev

of

lon

g d

efe

cts

Days

Tamping threshold

Deterioration

Recovery

Page 9: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Existing tamping strategies

• Assumed degradation rates of the track geometry,

• Known critical/problem spots

• Track geometry data showing where problems are

emerging

• Availability of the tampers itself

• Correction of isolated defects (c-failures)

• Line tamping when TQI becomes very low

• Advantage of short term saving but long term cost

Page 10: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Proposed strategy

• Line tamping using mulitple sleeper tamper

• Spot tamping

• Both are based on longitudinal defect

Track possession time Systematic + Spot tamping

• Fix the root cause of isolated defects and not tamping

Page 11: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Case Study

• Northern section of iron ore line

• Length considered is ca 134km

• Divided into 200m segment

• Renewal period 2006-2009

• Special treatment for S&C,

critical areas (stations) with

recurrent c- failures or irregular

measmt

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

1400

1420

1440

1460

1480

1500

1520

1540

1560

0,23

34,38

33,34

28,13

Tra

ck M

ark

er

Len

gth

(K

m)

Renewal Year

29,4

Page 12: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Track geometry measurement data

1529,0

1529,5

1530,0

1530,5

1531,0

1531,5

1532,0

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

2007-04-28

2009-06-13

2011-08-16

2012-02-16 M

easu

rem

ent d

ate

Location Long d

efe

ct

20 inspections from April 2007- Aug 2012

Page 13: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

b with distance

Distribution of b

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700

0,0000

0,0005

0,0010

0,0015

0,0020

0,0025

De

teri

ora

tio

n r

ate

Segment from Kiruna to riksgränsen

Page 14: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Modelling process

V=tamping speed

u=travel speed

tp=prepratn time

n=nos of segments

b=degradatn rate

Cp

Cf

hp

hc

p

c

Nnp = 1,2,3,......10

N=2years, 730

days

Tamping strategy

1. Direct

2. Distributed

Nsp,

Nsc,

T.Cp , T.Tp

T.Cc, T.Tc

TC

TT

INPUT

MODELLING PROCESS OUTPUT

Page 15: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Modelling Process

Strategy 1: Direct

Search for Worse area

Each segment is characterised by , b, description

of the quality and its evolution over time

Page 16: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Modelling Process

Strategy 2: Selective

Search for Worse segment

Page 17: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Optimization Framework

Track geometry

data

Flow chart

Page 18: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Model Formulation

*( , ) sb t

os t e

1

, , 1, ,s nm

p

s

nm t s t s N nmnm

6 200

o ppos s ds ds d

d mv u v

( , ) cs t

Constraints & Limits

Growth of defects

When to tamp

Limit for a shift

Otherwise when

Recovery or

improvement

EN:13858-5

Page 19: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Model Formulation

730

1 1

,

1 0

0 0

s

thresholdp cN f s t

xf x

x

Number of segments

Objective Functions

730

1 1

cos * *

1, , 1, ,, , ,

0 0

s

p p c c

p c

p c

Total t c f c f

s t s tf s t f s t

else else

Page 20: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Optimization

i. The problem is a mixed binary non linear

programming

ii. The optimization is done using FORTRAN.

iii. The expected output include

Page 21: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Result

• Estimation of tamping need (nos of segment that will

require tamping over a period of time)

• Optimum number of systematic tamping for a given period

of time

• Number of spot tamping for a given period of time under a

specified specified preventive

• Expected track possession time for different scenario of

the parameter combination

Page 22: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Conclusion

• Estimation of maintenance need is facilitated with this

approach.

• The booking of tamping machine is enhanced and planning

of tamping action.

• Desired geometrical quality of track can be supported and

sustained in an effective way.

• Implementing this approach with a proactive way of

treating isolated failure will contribute to long term cost

saving and reduced track possession time.

Page 23: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

Future work

• Introduction of multiple machine parks

• Emperical study of recovery or improvement.

• Accomodation of critical spots into the model

• Consideration of bandwith of exponential growth.

• Validation of model and improvement.

Page 24: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to
Page 25: Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track …/Menu/general... · Optimum Allocation and Utilisation of track possession time: ... Case study Result & Conclusion . Introduction to

THANKS