orbital space settlements and a solar system wide web

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    Orbital Space Settlements

    and a Solar System WideWeb

    Humanity could be life's ticket to the stars

    (The dinosaurs werent space-faring)

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    http://spaceflight.nasa.gov/history/shuttle-mir/photos/sts71/mir-imax/hmg0018.jpg

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    People Live Everywhere

    Every continent, including Antarctica

    Hottest, driest deserts

    Coldest, iciest regions

    Wettest rain forests

    On water

    For short periods, in orbit

    6,000,000,000 people on Earth

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    Life is Everywhere

    On nearly all land areas

    In nearly all waters

    In the rocks under the Earth

    In near-boiling water

    In ice

    On desert rocks

    On a spacecraft on the Moon

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    Next Target: Orbit

    Your lifetime: thousands of peopleliving in orbit

    A few centuries: most of humanity in

    orbit.

    Next millenium:generation shipsto the stars

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    Orbital Space Settlement

    Who? Ordinary people. What? Artificial ecosystems inside

    gigantic rotating, pressurized

    spacecraft. Where? In orbit; near Earth at first.

    How? With great difficulty.

    Wh

    y? To grow. When? Decades.

    How much will it cost? If youhave toask, you can't afford it.

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    Who

    Today: highly trained astronauts. $20-40 million tourist trip to Mir

    Survivor in Space

    Tomorrow: everyone wh

    o wants to go. 100 - 10,000,000 people per colony Ultimately, thousands or even millions of

    colonies

    Sounds unrealistic? A hundred years ago nobody had ever flown in

    an airplane.

    Today ~ 500 million person/flights per year.

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    What

    A space settlement is a home in orbit,not just a place to work.

    Live on the inside of air-tight,

    kilometer scale, rotating spacecraft.

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    Where

    In orbit, not on a planet or moon.

    Moon (1/6g) and Mars (3/8g) gravitytoo low.

    Children will not have the bones andmuscles needed to visit Earth.

    Orbital colonies rotate for 1g.

    Continuous solar energy. Large-scale construction easier.

    Much closer: hours not days ormonths.

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    How

    Materials Moon

    Oxygen, silicon, metals, some hydrogen forwater.

    Near-Earth Asteroids Wide variety of materials including water,

    carbon, metals, and silicon.

    Radiation protection

    Life support: Biosphere II scientificfailure, engineering success!

    Transportation critical and difficult.

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    Why

    Growth = survival.

    Largest asteroid converted to spacesettlements can produce living area

    ~500 times the surface area of theEarth. 3D object to 2D shells

    Uncrowdedhomes for trillions of people. New land.

    Nice place to live.

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    Real Estate Features

    Great views

    Low/0-g recreation Human powered flight

    Cylindrical swimming pools Dance, gymnastics

    Sports: soccer

    Environmental independence Custom living

    Weather art

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    When

    A few decades should be sufficient tobuild the first one.

    No serious effort now.

    Technology requirements: Safer, cheaper launch

    Extraterrestrial materials

    Large scale orbital construction Closed ecological life support systems

    And much more

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    How much will it cost?

    If youhave to ask, you cant affordit. How much did Silicon Valley cost?

    Orbital space settlements will be farmore expensive: all materials imported transportation difficult

    build all life support hostile environment new techniques must be developed

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    ey ro em: aunc

    $/kg $/me(73 kg)

    Failure rate

    Shuttle 22,000 1,606,000 0.5-1%

    Commerciallauncher

    2,600-30,000 189,800-2,190,000

    6 - 33%

    airline 5 365 1/2,000,000

    2010 NASA goal 2,200 160,600 1/10,000

    2020 NASA goal 220 16,060 1/10,000

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    Launch Data Systems

    Major opportunities for informationtechnology. SIAT: wiring trend data were very

    difficult to develop. Some launch failures caused by

    software Sea Launch second flight

    Ariane V

    The comma ,

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    Information Power Grid

    IPG: integrated nationwide network of computers,databases, and instruments.

    The Network is the Computer

    IP

    G valu

    e help reduce launch costs and failure rates support for automation necessary to exploit solar system

    exploration by thousands of spacecraft

    Problems: low bandwidths

    long latencies

    intermittent communications

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    Integration TimelineNAS

    Single building

    A few supercomputers

    Many workstations

    Mass storage

    VisualizationRemote access

    IPGNation wide

    Many supercomputers

    Condor pools

    Mass storage

    Instruments

    This talkSolar system wide

    Terrestrial Grid

    Satellites

    Landers and Rovers

    Deep space comm.

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    Relevant IPG Research

    Reservations insure CPUs available for close encounter

    Co-scheduling

    insure DS

    Nand C

    PU reso

    urces available Network scheduling

    Proxies for firewalls Extend to represent remote spacecraft to hide:

    low bandwidth long latency

    intermittent communication

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    IPG Launc Data SystemVision

    Complete database: human and machinereadable

    Software agent architecture forcontinuous examination of the database

    Large computational capabilities Model based reasoning Wearable computers/augmented reality Multi-user virtual reality optimized for

    launch decision support Automated computationally-intensive

    software testing

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    2020 Tourism

    Hotel

    Doctors

    Maids

    Cooks

    Recreational directors

    Reservation clerks

    etc.

    These may be the first colonists.

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    Low 0-gHandicapped/Elderly Colony

    No wheelchairs needed.

    No bed sores.

    Easy to move body even when weak.

    Never fall and break hip.

    Grandchildren will love to visit.

    Need good medical facilities. Telemedicine

    Probably cant return to Earth.

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    AsterAnts: A Concept for

    Large-Scale Meteoroid Return

    Al Globus, MRJ, Inc.

    Bryan Biegel, MRJ Inc.

    Steve Traugott, Sterling Software, Inc.

    NASA Ames Research Center

    Deliverextraterrestrial

    materials to LEO

    Support solarsystem

    colonization

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    Near art ObjectMaterials

    Mining of large NEOs very difficultto automate Mining involves large forces

    Materials properties areunknown andvariable

    Capture of small NEO may not requirehuman life support

    10 million - 1 billion 10m diameterNEOs Far more 1m diameter NEOs

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    Solar Sail in Earth Orbit

    World Space Foundation

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    Znamia 1993

    Guy Pignolet

    20 meter diameter spinning mirror

    deployed from Progress resupply vehicle

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    Solar Sailing 1

    Net force

    Sun Sail

    Photons

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    Solar Sailing 2

    Sun

    Orbital velocity

    Propulsive force

    Outward spiral

    Orbital velocity

    Propulsive force

    Inward spiral

    Sail

    Sail

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    NEO CharacterizationProject

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    Solar System Exploration

    High launch cost of launch = small numberexploration satellites one-of-a-kind personnel-intensive ground

    stations.

    Model based autonomy = autonomousspacecraft

    Requirement drivers

    Autonomous spacecraft use of IPG resources low bandwidths long latencies intermittent communications

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    Each Spacecraft

    Represented by an on-board softwareobject.

    Communicates with terrestrial proxies to

    hide communication problems know schedule for co-scheduling and reservations

    Data stored in Web-accessible archives

    virtu

    al solar system Controlled access using IPG security forcomputational editing

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    Spacecraft Use of IPG

    Autonomous vehicles require occasionallarge-scale processing trajectory analysis

    rendezvous plan generation

    Proxy negotiates for CPU resources, savesresults for next communication window

    Proxy reserves co-scheduled resources fordata analysis during encounters

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    Conclusion

    The colonization of the solar systemcould be the next great adventurefor humanity. There is nothing butrock and radiation in space, no livingthings, no people. The solar system iswaiting to be brought to life by

    humanity's touch. And computerscience can help.

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    NEO Composition

    Widely varied, includes large amountsof: Water

    Carbon Metals, particularly iron

    Silicon

    Spectral studies dont agree very wellwith meteorite analysis

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    Detection o 1-meterdiameter meteoroids

    Current Earth-based optical asteroidtelescopes Smallest found < 10m diameter

    Maximum 1m detection distance ~ 10

    6

    km 2,000 to 200,000 within range at any giventime

    5-7 hit the Earth each day

    Radar required for accurate trajectoryand rotation rate

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    Solar sail experience

    Solar sailing used by Mariner 10mission to Mercury for attitudecontrol Enabled multiple returns to Mercury by

    reducing control gas consumption Ground deployment test by World

    Space Foundation

    Zero-g deployment test by U3P inaircraft Russian Znamia mirror February, 1993

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    Solar sail meteoroid return

    Characteristic acceleration of 1 mm/s2produces 1.3 km/s delta-v per month

    170-182 meters square sail for 500 kgNEO return at 0.25 mm/s2 characteristicacceleration

    Once design is refined, mass production ofAsterAnts spacecraft

    ?NASA build first one open source, thenpay for meteoroid materials by the ton?

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    Summary

    Capture ~1 m diameter NEOs (NearEarth Objects)

    Return to LEO (Low Earth Orbit)

    Solar sails for propulsion Start with one small spacecraft, scaleup with copies

    Early returns have scientific value,later materials for construction andresupply

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    Conclusion

    Benefits small down payment (one small spacecraft)

    scales by mass production

    missions can probably be automated

    no consumables

    Challenges 1m NEO detection difficult

    solar sails have little flight experience

    geosynchronous applications require spacemanufactured sails