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OREGON AND SW WA MARKET UPDATE February 2017
Portland Metro and Southwest Washington
(Multnomah, Clackamas, Washington, Columbia, & Clark Counties) Single Family Homes Resale (RMLS & Trendgraphix).
Summary: Year- over –year drops in new listings, but gains in pending sales. For Sale: (-12.1% ); Sold: (-9.4% ); Pending: (-13.1%
) Inventory: 1.7 month; Average Price Sold: 400,000 8.1 % ; Median: 355,000, 12.7% ; DOM: 47 vs. 48. Consumers are willing to pay more to get settled into a home. We should start to see an increase in activity as we move toward the spring months where more homes that come on the market will be sold quickly. As we see in Seattle Metro, we are seeing the same in the Portland area as well. “We are seeing frenzy hot activity on new listings coming on the market. We continue to see an extreme shortage where over 95% of the activity is taking place up to $750,000.” (J. Lennox Scott Chairman & CEO of John L. Scott)
Scroll down for additional markets
ADDITIONAL MARKETS
February 2017
SW Washington (Vancouver Metro/Clark County): Single Family Resale (February): For Sale: -22.3% ; Sold: -7.9% ; Pending: --8.6% ; Average Sold Price: $340,000 6.9% ; Inventory: 1.7 vs. 2 months; Median Price: $300,000 12.8% Days on Market 52 vs. 53 days. Prices continue to rise in SW Washington. (RMLS) Portland Metro (Eastside/Westside Portland): Single Family Resale (February): For Sale: -8.7% ; Sold:-9.8% ; Pending: -14.3% ; Average Sold Price: $416,000 8.3% ; Inventory: 1.2 vs. 1.1 months; Median Price: $366,000 10.9% Days on Market: 45 vs.46 days. However, prices continue to rise. (RMLS) Southern Oregon (Grants Pass, Medford & Ashland): Single Family Resale (February): For Sale:-31.5% ; Sold: -25.8% ; Pending: -11.1% ; Average Sold Price: $294,000 23% ; Inventory: 1.8 vs. 2.3 months; Median Price: $265,000 18.3% ; Days on Market: 73 vs. 59 days. Central Oregon (Bend, Redmond, Sister &, Sunriver): Single Family Resale (February): For Sale: -24.5% ; Sold: -19.9% ; Pending: -19.9% ; Average Sold Price: $421,000 11.4% ; Inventory: 2.1 vs. 2.2 months; Median Price: $345,000 19% ; Days on Market: 125 vs. 115 days. 88% of the sales activity is where there is an extreme shortage of inventory. Willamette Valley/Salem Area: Single Family Resale (February): For Sale: -2.6% ; Sold: 0.5% ; Pending: -58.6% Average Sold Price: $257,000 4.5% ; Inventory: 7.9 vs. 3.4 months; Median Price: $244,000 9.9% ; Days on Market: 103 vs.110 days. Eugene & Springfield, Oregon area: (February): For Sale: -30.1% ; Sold: -33.7% ; Pending: 1.1% ; Average Sold Price: $281,000 6% ; Inventory: 1.2 vs. 1.8 months last year; Median Price: $260,000 18.2% ; Days on Market: 48 vs. 61 days.
* Scroll down for Market Snapshots of SW WA & Portland Metro *
J. Lennox Scott, Chairman and CEO
Key Market Indicators - March 1, 2017Portland Housing Update
SURGESales Activity
Shortage of Homes for sale
Quick Market for New Listings
Portland Area Market - Based on Resale Listings and Pending Contracts (March 1, 2017) Ask your broker for the months supply for your selected price range/area.
For February 2017 March 1, 2017 Source: Freddie Mac
Percentage of HomesSelling in the First 30 Days
Historically Low Interest Rates
Months of Supply
1.11 to 2
3 to 4
5 to 6
7 to 8
9+
Shortage
Low
Healthy
Adjusting
Correction
Upper single digit +
Up single digits
Equilibrium
Down single digits
Major correction
Months Supply Level Price Trend
15yrs ago 10yrs ago 5yrs ago 1yr ago
7.70% 6.32% 4.07% 3.96%
Amazing Interest rates
1 to 2 Shortage Upper single digits +
Some John L. Scott offices are independently owned and operated.
Our robust market has created extreme conditions. We’re seeing frenzy hot activity on each new listing coming on the market. Inventory levels were driven down over the winter and we continue to experience an extreme shortage of homes available for sale in the more affordable and mid price ranges where 90% of the sales activity is taking place. We are looking forward to some relief when more inventory comes on the market in March.
Extreme Market Conditions – Frenzy Hot Activity on All New Listings
25%
55%
Normal Current
Unbelievable 3%
Amazing 4%
Fantastic 5%
Great 6%
Good 7%4.10%
J. Lennox Scott, Chairman and CEO
Key Market Indicators - March 1, 2017Vancouver Housing Update
SURGESales Activity
Shortage of Homes for sale
Quick Market for New Listings
Vancouver County Market - Based on Resale Listings and Pending Contracts (March 1, 2017) Ask your broker for the months supply for your selected price range/area.
For February 2017 March 1, 2017 Source: Freddie Mac
Historically Low Interest Rates
Months of Supply
1.11 to 2
3 to 4
5 to 6
7 to 8
9+
Shortage
Low
Healthy
Adjusting
Correction
Upper single digit +
Up single digits
Equilibrium
Down single digits
Major correction
Months Supply Level Price Trend
15yrs ago 10yrs ago 5yrs ago 1yr ago
7.70% 6.32% 4.07% 3.96%
Amazing Interest rates
1 to 2 Shortage Upper single digits +
Some John L. Scott offices are independently owned and operated.
Our robust market has created extreme conditions. We’re seeing frenzy hot activity on each new listing coming on the market. Inventory levels were driven down over the winter and we continue to experience an extreme shortage of homes available for sale in the more affordable and mid price ranges where 90% of the sales activity is taking place. We are looking forward to some relief when more inventory comes on the market in March.
Extreme Market Conditions – Frenzy Hot Activity on All New Listings
Percentage of HomesSelling in the First 30 Days
25%
55%
Normal Current
Unbelievable 3%
Amazing 4%
Fantastic 5%
Great 6%
Good 7%4.10%
Oregon / SW WA
Listings Taken - % of Monthly Average - Seasonality - Resale Only 2013 - 2017
As of February 28, 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
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150
160
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
100 on the ScaleEquals Monthly
Average for Each Year
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
% o
f M
onth
ly A
vera
ge for
Each
Year
Created by Anatoliy BorisovDatabase Access Date & Time: John L. Scott - Branch Operations - Company Owned Offices3/1/2017 1:24:29PM Page 3 of 3