oregon hoffman poll - presidential primary 4-28-16
TRANSCRIPT
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8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
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The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
On Tuesday April 26th and Wednesday April 27th, The Hoffman Research Groupsurveyed a cross section of Oregon Republican voters to ascertain their preferences in the2016 Presidential Primary Election.
The survey is based on landline and cellphone interviews with 555 randomly chosen
likely Oregon Republican Primary voters. Attention was given to Oregon’s rural and urbandivide within seven geographic regions. The survey also maintained appropriate balanceswith regard to age, gender and vote propensity.
The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.16 at a 95% confidence level.
Headquartered in Portland, OR, The Hoffman Research Group, a division of GatewayCommunications Inc., has conducted hundreds of political tracking surveys and marketresearch projects since 1984.
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
For more information, please contact Tim Nashif, CEO of Gateway Communications, Inc.503-257-0100 • [email protected]
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8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
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The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
Image Question Language: “I’m going to read the names of three public figures
and ask you to tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. If
you have no impression or have never heard of the person that’s okay, just say so.”
Table 1. John Kasich Image
34% Favorable
25% Unfavorable
24% No Impression
17% Never Heard Of
Table 2. Ted Cruz Image
42% Favorable
37% Unfavorable
19% No Impression
2% Never Heard Of
Table 3. Donald Trump Image
49% Favorable
40% Unfavorable
11% No Impression
0% Never Heard Of
OREGON
STATEWIDE TRACKING SURVEY
CONDUCTED APRIL 26-27, 2016
TOPLINE REPORT[N=555]
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8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
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The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
Table 4. If the Republican Primary Election for President of the United
States were held today, would you vote for John Kasich, Ted Cruz,
or Donald Trump?
17% John Kasich
26% Ted Cruz
43% Donald Trump
13% Undecided (Option not read initially)
(IF CANDIDATE CHOSEN ON BALLOT QUESTION 4)
Table 5a. Is there a chance you could change your mind?
Overall
36% Yes
64% No
John Kasich
49% Yes
51% No
Ted Cruz
49% Yes
51% No
Donald Trump
24% Yes
76% No
(IF ‘UNDECIDED’ CHOSEN ON BALLOT QUESTION 4)
Table 5b. If you absolutely had to choose today, would you vote for John
Kasich, Ted Cruz, or Donald Trump? (n=67)
18% John Kasich
15% Ted Cruz25% Donald Trump
42% Still Undecided (Option not read initially)
Topline Report (Cont’d)
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8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
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The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
Demographic Information:
Table 6. Respondent Age
12% 18-34
38% 35-54
50% 55+
Table 7. Respondent Gender
48% Male
52% Female
Table 8. Voting History
1% New6% 1 of 4
16% 2 of 4
29% 3 of 4
47% 4 of 4
Table 9. Oregon Region
8% Multnomah
10% Clackamas
12% Washington
26% Mid
7% Coast
18% Southern
19% Eastern
Topline Report (Cont’d)
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8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
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The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
Cross-Tabulations
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8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
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The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
TABLE 1 - JOHN KASICH IMAGE
KASICH IMAGE
Favorable Unfavorable
No
Impression
Never
Heard Of Total
TOTALCRUZ IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
TRUMP IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Undecided
COULD CHANGE MIND Yes (Soft Support)
No (Firm Support)
BALLOT LEAN John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Still Undecided
AGE 18-34
35-54
55+
GENDER Male
Female
AGE BY GENDER Young Male
Young Feml
Older Male
Older Feml
VOTING PROPENSITY 1 of 4
2 of 4
3 of 4
4 of 4
New
STATE REGION Multnomah
Clackamas
Washington
Mid
Coast
Southern
Eastern
34% 25% 24% 17% 55544% 17% 23% 16% 230
30% 44% 21% 5% 205
22% 7% 35% 36% 103
9% 0% 9% 82% 11
28% 38% 21% 13% 273
46% 11% 24% 19% 220
24% 12% 40% 24% 58
0% 0% 0% 100% 1
85% 2% 7% 5% 94
28% 20% 33% 19% 146
21% 41% 24% 14% 241
27% 11% 27% 35% 74
45% 12% 26% 17% 171
30% 36% 22% 12% 302
42% 8% 17% 33% 12
10% 0% 40% 50% 10
29% 18% 29% 24% 17
32% 11% 25% 32% 28
28% 25% 25% 23% 65
27% 23% 31% 19% 212
41% 26% 19% 14% 278
34% 29% 24% 12% 266
35% 20% 24% 21% 289
26% 42% 19% 13% 31
29% 9% 29% 32% 34
35% 28% 25% 12% 235
35% 22% 23% 20% 255
22% 28% 39% 11% 36
35% 19% 23% 23% 91
29% 27% 29% 15% 163
40% 25% 19% 16% 261
0% 25% 75% 0% 4
43% 15% 28% 13% 46
45% 17% 22% 16% 58
41% 25% 17% 17% 64
34% 22% 29% 14% 145
22% 44% 22% 12% 41
36% 31% 20% 13% 98
24% 23% 25% 27% 103
HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
Conducted April 26-27, 2016
Republican, Likely Voters
State of Oregon
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8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
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The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
TABLE 2 - TED CRUZ IMAGE
CRUZ IMAGE
Favorable Unfavorable
No
Impression
Never
Heard Of Total
TOTALKASICH IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
TRUMP IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Undecided
COULD CHANGE MIND Yes (Soft Support)
No (Firm Support)
BALLOT LEAN John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Still Undecided
AGE 18-34
35-54
55+
GENDER Male
Female
AGE BY GENDER Young Male
Young Feml
Older Male
Older Feml
VOTING PROPENSITY 1 of 4
2 of 4
3 of 4
4 of 4
New
STATE REGION Multnomah
Clackamas
Washington
Mid
Coast
Southern
Eastern
42% 37% 19% 2% 54954% 33% 12% 1% 188
29% 66% 5% 0% 137
39% 33% 27% 1% 132
39% 11% 40% 10% 92
35% 49% 13% 2% 271
53% 25% 20% 2% 217
33% 26% 38% 3% 58
0% 0% 100% 0% 1
27% 46% 24% 2% 91
87% 3% 10% 0% 145
20% 61% 17% 2% 240
42% 18% 34% 5% 73
54% 25% 20% 1% 167
36% 49% 13% 2% 301
25% 42% 25% 8% 12
50% 0% 50% 0% 10
47% 24% 24% 6% 17
52% 11% 33% 4% 27
43% 35% 17% 5% 65
41% 38% 19% 2% 211
42% 37% 19% 1% 273
39% 44% 15% 2% 261
45% 31% 22% 2% 288
35% 45% 13% 6% 31
50% 26% 21% 3% 34
39% 44% 15% 1% 230
44% 31% 22% 2% 254
33% 44% 19% 3% 36
39% 38% 20% 3% 90
42% 34% 22% 2% 160
44% 39% 16% 2% 259
50% 25% 25% 0% 4
33% 39% 28% 0% 46
52% 31% 16% 2% 58
28% 38% 31% 3% 64
52% 34% 13% 1% 141
32% 52% 12% 2% 40
45% 42% 11% 1% 97
36% 34% 25% 5% 103
HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
Conducted April 26-27, 2016
Republican, Likely Voters
State of Oregon
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8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
8/15
The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
TABLE 3 - DONALD TRUMP IMAGE
TRUMP IMAGE
Favorable Unfavorable
No
Impression
Never
Heard Of Total
TOTALKASICH IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
CRUZ IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Undecided
COULD CHANGE MIND Yes (Soft Support)
No (Firm Support)
BALLOT LEAN John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Still Undecided
AGE 18-34
35-54
55+
GENDER Male
Female
AGE BY GENDER Young Male
Young Feml
Older Male
Older Feml
VOTING PROPENSITY 1 of 4
2 of 4
3 of 4
4 of 4
New
STATE REGION Multnomah
Clackamas
Washington
Mid
Coast
Southern
Eastern
49% 40% 11% 0% 55240% 53% 7% 0% 191
76% 18% 5% 0% 136
43% 40% 17% 0% 134
38% 45% 15% 1% 91
42% 50% 8% 0% 229
66% 27% 7% 0% 204
35% 43% 21% 1% 103
45% 36% 18% 0% 11
6% 86% 8% 0% 93
17% 68% 15% 0% 146
90% 3% 7% 0% 240
37% 47% 16% 0% 73
38% 46% 15% 0% 170
59% 35% 6% 0% 301
8% 92% 0% 0% 12
11% 78% 11% 0% 9
53% 18% 29% 0% 17
54% 29% 18% 0% 28
40% 51% 9% 0% 65
48% 37% 15% 0% 210
53% 39% 8% 0% 277
61% 31% 9% 0% 264
39% 48% 12% 0% 288
48% 45% 6% 0% 31
32% 56% 12% 0% 34
62% 29% 9% 0% 233
40% 47% 12% 0% 254
58% 19% 22% 0% 36
48% 38% 13% 1% 90
52% 40% 9% 0% 162
47% 43% 9% 0% 260
50% 50% 0% 0% 4
48% 41% 11% 0% 46
34% 53% 12% 0% 58
38% 52% 9% 2% 64
42% 48% 10% 0% 145
60% 30% 10% 0% 40
62% 30% 8% 0% 97
61% 26% 13% 0% 102
HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
Conducted April 26-27, 2016
Republican, Likely Voters
State of Oregon
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8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
9/15
The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
TABLE 4 - IF THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION FOR PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES
WERE HELD TODAY, WOULD YOU VOTE FOR JOHN KASICH, TED CRUZ, OR DONALD TRUMP?
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT
John Kasich Ted Cruz
Donald
Trump Undecided Total
TOTAL
KASICH IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
CRUZ IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
TRUMP IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
COULD CHANGE MIND Yes (Soft Support)
No (Firm Support)
BALLOT LEAN John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Still Undecided
AGE 18-34
35-54
55+
GENDER Male
Female
AGE BY GENDER Young Male
Young Feml
Older Male
Older Feml
VOTING PROPENSITY 1 of 4
2 of 4
3 of 4
4 of 4
NewSTATE REGION Multnomah
Clackamas
Washington
Mid
Coast
Southern
Eastern
17% 26% 43% 13% 555
42% 21% 26% 10% 191
1% 21% 72% 6% 137
5% 36% 44% 15% 134
5% 30% 37% 28% 93
11% 55% 21% 13% 230
20% 2% 71% 6% 205
21% 15% 40% 24% 103
18% 0% 45% 36% 11
2% 9% 79% 10% 273
36% 45% 3% 15% 220
12% 38% 29% 21% 58
0% 0% 100% 0% 1
26% 41% 33% 0% 171
16% 25% 60% 0% 302
0% 0% 0% 100% 12
0% 0% 0% 100% 10
0% 0% 0% 100% 17
0% 0% 0% 100% 28
17% 40% 31% 12% 65
14% 29% 46% 11% 212
19% 21% 45% 15% 278
17% 22% 53% 8% 266
17% 30% 34% 18% 289
16% 29% 45% 10% 31
18% 50% 18% 15% 34
17% 21% 54% 8% 235
17% 28% 36% 19% 255
14% 14% 67% 6% 36
16% 27% 35% 21% 91
14% 28% 46% 12% 163
20% 26% 41% 13% 261
0% 50% 50% 0% 422% 24% 43% 11% 46
24% 31% 29% 16% 58
31% 17% 33% 19% 64
15% 34% 37% 13% 145
15% 22% 59% 5% 41
13% 24% 52% 10% 98
9% 22% 52% 17% 103
HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
Conducted April 26-27, 2016
Republican, Likely Voters
State of Oregon
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8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
10/15
The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
(IF CANDIDATE CHOSEN ON BALLOT QUESTION)
TABLE 5a - IS THERE A CHANCE YOU COULD CHANGE YOUR MIND?
COULD CHANGE MIND
Yes No Total
TOTAL
KASICH IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
CRUZ IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
TRUMP IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Undecided
AGE 18-34
35-54
55+
GENDER MaleFemale
AGE BY GENDER Young Male
Young Feml
Older Male
Older Feml
VOTING PROPENSITY 1 of 4
2 of 4
3 of 4
4 of 4
New
STATE REGION Multnomah
Clackamas
Washington
Mid
Coast
Southern
Eastern
36% 64% 473
46% 54% 168
16% 84% 128
41% 59% 111
44% 56% 66
46% 54% 199
22% 78% 189
45% 55% 73
29% 71% 7
27% 73% 244
43% 57% 184
60% 40% 43
0% 0% 0
49% 51% 92
49% 51% 144
24% 76% 237
0% 0% 0
39% 61% 57
39% 61% 186
33% 67% 230
35% 65% 24237% 63% 231
32% 68% 28
45% 55% 29
36% 64% 214
36% 64% 202
33% 67% 33
43% 57% 70
35% 65% 142
36% 64% 224
25% 75% 4
30% 70% 40
47% 53% 49
36% 64% 50
34% 66% 125
28% 72% 39
44% 56% 86
32% 68% 84
HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
Conducted April 26-27, 2016
Republican, Likely Voters
State of Oregon
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8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
11/15
The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
(IF UNDECIDED CHOSEN ON BALLOT QUESTION)
TABLE 5b - IF YOU ABSOLUTELY HAD TO CHOOSE TODAY, WOULD YOU
VOTE FOR JOHN KASICH, TED CRUZ, OR DONALD TRUMP?
BALLOT LEAN
John Kasich Ted Cruz
Donald
Trump
Still
Undecided Total
TOTAL
KASICH IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
CRUZ IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No ImpressionNever Heard Of
TRUMP IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
AGE 18-34
35-54
55+
GENDER Male
Female
AGE BY GENDER Young Male
Young Feml
Older Male
Older Feml
VOTING PROPENSITY 1 of 4
2 of 4
3 of 4
4 of 4
New
STATE REGION Multnomah
Clackamas
Washington
Mid
Coast
Southern
Eastern
18% 15% 25% 42% 67
25% 5% 25% 45% 20
14% 0% 43% 43% 7
11% 22% 28% 39% 18
18% 23% 18% 41% 22
10% 17% 27% 47% 30
42% 0% 33% 25% 12
14% 24% 19% 43% 2133% 0% 33% 33% 3
4% 4% 35% 58% 26
38% 24% 10% 28% 29
0% 9% 45% 45% 11
0% 0% 0% 0% 0
25% 0% 12% 62% 8
20% 20% 30% 30% 20
15% 15% 26% 44% 39
11% 6% 33% 50% 18
20% 18% 22% 39% 49
0% 0% 33% 67% 3
40% 0% 0% 60% 5
13% 7% 33% 47% 15
18% 20% 25% 36% 44
0% 0% 100% 0% 1
28% 11% 28% 33% 18
15% 20% 15% 50% 20
14% 14% 29% 43% 28
0% 0% 0% 0% 0
20% 0% 0% 80% 5
29% 29% 29% 14% 7
0% 11% 33% 56% 9
21% 21% 21% 37% 19
0% 0% 50% 50% 2
33% 0% 33% 33% 9
12% 19% 25% 44% 16
HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
Conducted April 26-27, 2016
Republican, Likely Voters
State of Oregon
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8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
12/15
The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
TABLE 6 - RESPONDENT AGE
AGE
18-34 35-54 55+ Total
TOTALKASICH IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
CRUZ IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
TRUMP IMAGE Favorable
UnfavorableNo Impression
Never Heard Of
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Undecided
COULD CHANGE MIND Yes (Soft Support)
No (Firm Support)
BALLOT LEAN John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Still Undecided
GENDER Male
Female
VOTING PROPENSITY 1 of 4
2 of 4
3 of 4
4 of 4
New
STATE REGION Multnomah
Clackamas
Washington
Mid
Coast
Southern
Eastern
12% 38% 50% 5559% 30% 60% 191
12% 36% 53% 137
12% 49% 40% 134
16% 43% 41% 93
12% 37% 50% 230
11% 39% 50% 205
11% 40% 50% 103
27% 36% 36% 11
10% 37% 53% 273
15% 35% 50% 22010% 53% 36% 58
0% 0% 100% 1
12% 32% 56% 94
18% 42% 40% 146
8% 40% 51% 241
11% 32% 57% 74
13% 42% 45% 171
12% 38% 51% 302
17% 33% 50% 12
0% 40% 60% 10
6% 35% 59% 17
18% 21% 61% 28
12% 38% 51% 266
12% 39% 49% 289
3% 67% 31% 36
15% 47% 37% 91
16% 41% 43% 163
9% 29% 62% 261
25% 75% 0% 4
11% 28% 61% 46
10% 43% 47% 58
12% 36% 52% 64
10% 39% 51% 145
17% 34% 49% 41
12% 43% 45% 98
12% 38% 50% 103
HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
Conducted April 26-27, 2016
Republican, Likely Voters
State of Oregon
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8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
13/15
The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
TABLE 7 - RESPONDENT GENDER
GENDER
Male Female Total
TOTAL
KASICH IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
CRUZ IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
TRUMP IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Undecided
COULD CHANGE MIND Yes (Soft Support)
No (Firm Support)
BALLOT LEAN John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Still Undecided
AGE 18-34
35-54
55+
VOTING PROPENSITY 1 of 4
2 of 4
3 of 4
4 of 4
New
STATE REGION MultnomahClackamas
Washington
Mid
Coast
Southern
Eastern
48% 52% 555
48% 52% 191
57% 43% 137
49% 51% 134
34% 66% 93
44% 56% 230
57% 43% 205
38% 62% 103
45% 55% 11
59% 41% 273
37% 63% 220
40% 60% 58
0% 100% 1
48% 52% 94
40% 60% 146
59% 41% 241
28% 72% 74
50% 50% 171
52% 48% 302
17% 83% 12
10% 90% 10
35% 65% 17
32% 68% 28
48% 52% 65
47% 53% 212
49% 51% 278
61% 39% 36
43% 57% 91
50% 50% 163
46% 54% 261
75% 25% 4
46% 54% 4648% 52% 58
48% 52% 64
45% 55% 145
51% 49% 41
52% 48% 98
48% 52% 103
HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
Conducted April 26-27, 2016
Republican, Likely Voters
State of Oregon
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8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
14/15
The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
TABLE 8 - VOTING PROPENSITY
VOTING PROPENSITY
1 of 4 2 of 4 3 of 4 4 of 4 New Total
TOTAL
KASICH IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
CRUZ IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
TRUMP IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No ImpressionNever Heard Of
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Undecided
COULD CHANGE MIND Yes (Soft Support)
No (Firm Support)
BALLOT LEAN John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Still Undecided
AGE 18-34
35-54
55+
GENDER Male
Female
AGE BY GENDER Young Male
Young Feml
Older Male
Older Feml
STATE REGION Multnomah
Clackamas
Washington
Mid
Coast
Southern
Eastern
6% 16% 29% 47% 1% 555
4% 17% 25% 54% 0% 191
7% 12% 32% 47% 1% 137
10% 16% 35% 37% 2% 134
4% 23% 27% 46% 0% 93
5% 15% 29% 50% 1% 230
8% 17% 26% 49% 0% 205
7% 17% 35% 40% 1% 103
9% 27% 27% 36% 0% 11
8% 16% 31% 45% 1% 273
3% 15% 29% 51% 1% 220
14% 21% 24% 41% 0% 580% 100% 0% 0% 0% 1
5% 16% 24% 54% 0% 94
3% 17% 31% 47% 1% 146
10% 13% 31% 45% 1% 241
3% 26% 27% 45% 0% 74
6% 18% 29% 47% 1% 171
7% 13% 31% 48% 1% 302
0% 42% 25% 33% 0% 12
0% 20% 40% 40% 0% 10
6% 29% 18% 47% 0% 17
0% 21% 36% 43% 0% 28
2% 22% 40% 35% 2% 65
11% 20% 32% 35% 1% 212
4% 12% 25% 59% 0% 278
8% 15% 30% 45% 1% 266
5% 18% 28% 48% 0% 289
3% 16% 45% 35% 0% 31
0% 26% 35% 35% 3% 34
9% 14% 29% 47% 1% 235
5% 17% 27% 50% 0% 255
2% 11% 35% 52% 0% 46
3% 24% 29% 41% 2% 58
2% 12% 31% 55% 0% 64
3% 19% 28% 49% 1% 145
10% 15% 37% 39% 0% 41
20% 18% 26% 35% 1% 98
4% 13% 28% 55% 0% 103
HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
Conducted April 26-27, 2016
Republican, Likely Voters
State of Oregon
-
8/17/2019 Oregon Hoffman Poll - Presidential Primary 4-28-16
15/15
The Hoffman Research Group A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
TABLE 9 - OREGON STATE REGION
STATE REGION
Multnomah Clackamas Washington Mid Coast Southern Eastern Total
TOTAL
KASICH IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
CRUZ IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
TRUMP IMAGE Favorable
Unfavorable
No Impression
Never Heard Of
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Undecided
COULD CHANGE MIND Yes (Soft Support)
No (Firm Support)
BALLOT LEAN John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Still Undecided
AGE 18-34
35-54
55+
GENDER Male
Female
AGE BY GENDER Young Male
Young Feml
Older Male
Older Feml
VOTING PROPENSITY 1 of 4
2 of 4
3 of 4
4 of 4
New
8% 10% 12% 26% 7% 18% 19% 555
10% 14% 14% 26% 5% 18% 13% 191
5% 7% 12% 23% 13% 22% 18% 137
10% 10% 8% 31% 7% 15% 19% 134
6% 10% 12% 23% 5% 14% 30% 93
7% 13% 8% 32% 6% 19% 16% 230
9% 9% 12% 23% 10% 20% 17% 205
13% 9% 19% 18% 5% 11% 25% 103
0% 9% 18% 9% 9% 9% 45% 11
8% 7% 9% 22% 9% 22% 23% 273
9% 14% 15% 31% 5% 13% 12% 220
9% 12% 10% 26% 7% 14% 22% 58
0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1
11% 15% 21% 23% 6% 14% 10% 94
8% 12% 8% 34% 6% 16% 16% 146
8% 7% 9% 22% 10% 21% 22% 241
7% 12% 16% 26% 3% 14% 23% 74
7% 13% 11% 25% 6% 22% 16% 171
9% 9% 11% 27% 9% 16% 19% 302
8% 17% 0% 33% 0% 25% 17% 12
0% 20% 10% 40% 0% 0% 30% 10
0% 12% 18% 24% 6% 18% 24% 17
14% 4% 18% 25% 4% 11% 25% 28
8% 9% 12% 23% 11% 18% 18% 65
6% 12% 11% 26% 7% 20% 18% 212
10% 10% 12% 27% 7% 16% 19% 278
8% 11% 12% 24% 8% 19% 18% 266
9% 10% 11% 28% 7% 16% 19% 289
13% 6% 10% 23% 3% 26% 19% 31
3% 12% 15% 24% 18% 12% 18% 34
7% 11% 12% 25% 9% 18% 18% 235
9% 10% 11% 28% 5% 17% 19% 255
3% 6% 3% 11% 11% 56% 11% 36
5% 15% 9% 30% 7% 20% 14% 91
10% 10% 12% 25% 9% 15% 18% 163
9% 9% 13% 27% 6% 13% 22% 261
0% 25% 0% 50% 0% 25% 0% 4
HOFFMAN RESEARCH GROUP: A Division of Gateway Communications Inc.
Conducted April 26-27, 2016
Republican, Likely Voters
State of Oregon