oress 1 industry briefing
TRANSCRIPT
ORESS 1 Industry BriefingInternational and Offshore Energy Division
2 November 2021
2 An Roinn Comhshaoil, Aeráide agus Cumarsáide | Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications
Timeline
• Consultations Ongoing
• ORESS 1 Draft Terms and Conditions
o Closes December 6th
• CRU Offshore Grid Connection Assessment (GCA)
o Closes November 22nd
• Q1 2022
• ORESS 1 Consultation Response
• CRU Grid Connection Assessment Decision
• Q2 2022
• ORESS 1 Final Ts&Cs – s.t. enactment of MAP Bill
• H2 2022
• MAC Awards, GCAs Issued, ORESS 1 Opens, s.t. previous milestones met
3 An Roinn Comhshaoil, Aeráide agus Cumarsáide | Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications
Auction Eligibility
1) Grid Connection Assessment (GCA)
• Consultation process ongoing [CRU], to be issued by EirGrid
• Maximum Export Capacity (MEC)
2) Maritime Area Consent (MAC) or Foreshore Lease
• MAC Consultation process forthcoming
3) Declaration of Bidding Independence
• Ownership at >10% level to be declared
4 An Roinn Comhshaoil, Aeráide agus Cumarsáide | Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications
Approach
• DECC is open to considering different approaches to indexation of ORESS-1 strike prices (including: zero indexation; indexation
of operating costs only and/or certain capex items; and full indexation).
• DECC is generally less interested in arguments in favour of indexation on the basis of lowering initial strike prices and more
interested in evidence that some form of indexation reduces the cost of capital and/or underlying cost assumptions.
Consultation feedback requested
• DECC is seeking industry feedback and evidence regarding the approach to indexation that is most likely to result in the lowest
cost to consumers on a whole of life discounted cashflow basis.
• DECC is particularly interested in ORE specific factors that may indicate that some form of indexation may lower overall costs to
consumers (e.g. the longer construction timeframe associated with ORE than onshore).
KPMG report
• Available to consultees is a recent KPMG report commissioned by DECC, which found that:
- developers would generally prefer full (followed by partial) indexation – but would be able to bid without indexation
- funders considered that zero indexation would deter many institutional investors.
Indexation
5 An Roinn Comhshaoil, Aeráide agus Cumarsáide | Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications
Approach
• The proposed Bid Bond and Performance Security requirements have been developed having regard to practices in peer
European jurisdictions, lessons learnt from the RESS-1 Onshore auction and relevant EPC contracting practices.
• Securities will be applied on a €/MWh volume basis (rather than a capacity basis) consistent with the auction procuring ORE
volume and Ireland’s renewable energy targets being volume based.
Rates
• The draft Bid Bond and Performance Security rates are €7/MWh and €24/MWh respectively of one year’s Deemed Energy
Quantity.
• These levels will be reviewed having regard to consultation feedback, the RESS-2 Onshore T&Cs and RESS-1 delivery outcomes.
Risk allocation
• Bid Bonds are in place for the limited time between Offer submission and execution of the Implementation Agreement (or within 10
working days of notification of an unsuccessful Offer). Applicants that comply with the T&Cs will have their Bid Bond returned.
• The Performance Security will be drawn down for failure to meet milestones and other default events under the IA.
Bid Bonds & Performance Securities
6 An Roinn Comhshaoil, Aeráide agus Cumarsáide | Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications
• Offers to be selected in ascending price order
• RESS 1 (onshore) winner selection mechanism included:
• The 5% rule: Accepted additional offers with price within 5% of
marginal offer at target
• The X and Y rule: Included consideration of whether a “viability gap”
exists in the ordered list of offers qualified
• ORESS 1 (offshore) does not propose to use these rules
Auction Mechanics: ORESS vs RESS
7 An Roinn Comhshaoil, Aeráide agus Cumarsáide | Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications
Example 1
• Min 1,000 GWh; Max 3,000 GWh
• 5,000 GWh of offers qualify
• CRU competition ratio of 2.0
• No viability gap
➢ Auction Starting Quantity (ASQ) = 5,000/2.0 = 2,500
GWh
➢ Additional 150 GWh accepted because offer price
within 5% of that at ASQ
➢ 2,650 GWh in total accepted
Example 2
• Min 1,000 GWh; Max 3,000 GWh
• 4,800 GWh of offers qualify
• CRU competition ratio of 1.5
• Viability gap at 3,300
➢ Auction Starting Quantity (ASQ) = 3,300/1.5 = 2,200
GWh
➢ Additional 200 GWh accepted because offer price
within 5% of that at ASQ
➢ 2,400 GWh in total accepted
How RESS 1 Worked: 5% and X&Y€/MWh
GWh
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000
ASQ
2,650
€/MWh
GWh
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000
ASQ
2,400
8 An Roinn Comhshaoil, Aeráide agus Cumarsáide | Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications
Example
• 2,500 GWh of offers qualify (5 projects of 500 GWh
each)
• CRU competition ratio of 2.083
➢ Auction Starting Quantity (ASQ) = 2,500/2.083
= 1,200 GWh
➢ No X and Y rule, so ASQ unaffected by any
“viability gap”
➢ The lowest cost projects that first meet or
exceed ASQ are accepted, so 1,500 GWh in
total accepted
➢ No 5% rule, so the 4th cheapest offer is not
accepted, no matter how close its offer price is
to that of the 3rd cheapest
How ORESS 1 is Proposed
€/MWh
GWh
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
ASQ
1,200
Values are illustrative only
9 An Roinn Comhshaoil, Aeráide agus Cumarsáide | Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications
Selected offers will be eligible for support based on the strike price specified
in their offer – there will be no clearing price applied to offers
Pay as Bid
€/MWh
GWh
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
ASQ
1,200
Values are illustrative only
Strike Price of Offer 3Strike Price of Offer 2
Strike Price of Offer 1
10 An Roinn Comhshaoil, Aeráide agus Cumarsáide | Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications
Milestones
Possible Phase One Project Timeline (Indicative Only)
(Timing and sequence subject to change)
Proposed Interim
Milestone Date
Proposed Final
Milestone Date
2022/3 Grid Connection Assessment Issue
MAC Grant
ORESS 1 Offer
Planning Permission
2024 Grid Offer, CRU Licences
Commencement Date
Construction Begins
31 Mar – Planning Permission
31 Dec – Commencement Date
30 Jun – Planning Permission
2025 Construction 30 Jun – Commencement Date
2026 Construction
1 Jan – ORESS 1 Support available (with COD)
2027 Commercial Operation Date (COD) (Q2 = 15year support) 30 Jun - COD
2028 Operation, Year 2 30 Jun – COD (Longstop Date)
2042 30 Jun – ORESS 1 Support Ends
(14-16.5 years support)
11 An Roinn Comhshaoil, Aeráide agus Cumarsáide | Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications
Additional Proposals
• Community Benefit Funds
• Early contributions from Commencement Date
o i.e. a number of years prior to Commercial Operation
o Provision to offset against post-COD obligations
• Nationally-Managed
• Local Operation & Maintenance
• Ireland or Northern Ireland
12 An Roinn Comhshaoil, Aeráide agus Cumarsáide | Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications
• As per RESS 2, in line with EU State Aid Decision (SA. 54683, 2020) and the
associated plan for ex-post evaluation of the scheme, ORESS 1 applicants are
required to provide the information specified in the Financial Questionnaire as
drafted at Annex B of the draft ORESS 1 Terms and Conditions.
• The questionnaire covers areas including expected project returns, capital and
operating costs and the likelihood of alternative routes to market including
Corporate Power Purchase Agreements or export to other jurisdictions.
• All information provided under this heading will be held in strict confidence and
the Section 36 (Commercially sensitive information) exemption from release
under the FOI Act will be applied.
Financial Questionnaire
13 An Roinn Comhshaoil, Aeráide agus Cumarsáide | Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications
• The Project Delivery Plan Questionnaire is outlined in Annex C of the draft ORESS 1 Terms and Conditions. In order to better inform Government policy and the design of future ORESS auctions, ORESS 1 applicants will be required to provide the information specified in the Questionnaire.
• The questionnaire is broken down into 6 parts; Project Summary, Business Environment, Infrastructure, People, Place and Ideas.
• The information is to be submitted post-auction by successful projects only and will therefore have no bearing on the winner selection process at auction. There is no intention to score or evaluate this information at any stage.
• All information provided under this heading will be held in strict confidence and the Section 36 (Commercially sensitive information) exemption from release under the FOI Act will be applied.
Project Delivery Plan Questionnaire
Q&A