7/29/2019 Oscars 2013: What will win and what should win

1/2

10 The Guardian 22.02.13

Peter

Bradshaw

Xan

Brooks

CatherIne

shoard

andrew

PULVer

henry

Barnes

Best Picture

Will win Argo Argo Lincoln Argo Argo

Should win Django Unchained Django Unchained Lincoln Django Unchained Django Unchained

Shoulda been acontender

Killing Them

SotlyThe Master Ted Ted Killing Them Sotly

Best director

Will win Steven Spielberg (Lincoln) Steven Spielberg Steven Spielberg Steven Spielberg Steven Spielberg

Should win Steven SpielbergMichael Haneke

(Amour)

David O Russell

(Silver Linings Playbook)Steven Spielberg Steven Spielberg

Shoulda been

a contender

Paul Thomas Anderson

(The Master)

Paul Thomas

AndersonPaul Thomas Anderson

Quentin Tarantino

(Django Unchained)

Leos Carax

(Holy Motors)

Best actor

Will winDaniel Day-Lewis

(Lincoln)Daniel Day-Lewis Daniel Day-Lewis Daniel Day-Lewis Daniel Day-Lewis

Should winDaniel Day-Lewis

(Lincoln)

Joaquin Phoenix

(The Master)Daniel Day-Lewis Daniel Day-Lewis Daniel Day-Lewis

Shoulda been

a contender

Denis Levant

(Holy Motors)

Jean-Louis Trintignant

(Amour)

John Hawkes

(The Sessions)Paul Dano (For Ellen)

Matthias Schoenaerts

(Rust and Bone)

Best supporting actor

Will win Alan Arkin (Argo)Robert De Niro

(Silver Linings Playbook)

Christoph Waltz

(Django Unchained)

Tommy Lee Jones

(Lincoln)Christoph Waltz

Should winPhilip Seymour Hofman

(The Master)Philip Seymour Hofman Philip Seymour Hofman

Christoph Waltz

(Django Unchained)Philip Seymour Hofman

Shoulda beena contender

Edward Norton

(Moonrise Kingdom)

Viggo Mortensen

(On the Road)

Samuel L Jackson

(Django Unchained)Seth MacFarlane (Ted)

Matthew McConaughey

(Magic Mike)

Best actress

Will win Emmanuelle Riva (Amour) Emmanuelle RivaJessica Chastain

(Zero Dark Thirty)

Jennier Lawrence

(Silver Linings Playbook)Emmanuelle Riva

Should win Emmanuelle Riva Emmanuelle Riva Emmanuelle Riva Jennier Lawrence Emmanuelle Riva

Shoulda been a

contender

Marion Cotillard

(Rust and Bone)

Michelle Williams

(Take this Waltz)

Elle Fanning

(Ginger and Rosa)Marion Cotillard

Annika Wedderkopp

(The Hunt)

Best supporting actress

Will winAnne Hathaway

(Les Miserables)Anne Hathaway Anne Hathaway Anne Hathaway Anne Hathaway

Should winSally Field

(Lincoln)Helen Hunt (The Sessions) Sally Field

Amy Adams

(The Master)Amy Adams

Shoulda been acontender

Olivia Williams

(Anna Karenina)

Elizabeth Olsen

(Liberal Arts)

Juno Temple

(Killer Joe)

Nicole Kidman

(The Paperboy)Juno Temple

OSCARS

2013

What should Win?

What Will Win?Our critics pick this years likely winners

MarionCotillard

(RustandBone)

7/29/2019 Oscars 2013: What will win and what should win

2/2

22.02.13 The Guardian 11

T

HE MOMENTUM HASSHIFTED, newspaperreaders in America have

been inormed, in nouncertain terms, over

the past week. A series o ads in the LAand NY Times ull-page, emphaticont quoted the lions share o a veryshort blog by the critic Roger Ebertwhich launched last Friday. For BestPicture, it read, more and more, rommany dierent quarters, I hear aectionor Silver Linings Playbook. People tellme, I have a brother-in-law exactly likethat. I sense a groundswell.

Such last-gasp campaigning (votingclosed on Tuesday) marked HarveyWeinsteins nal chance to cheerlead

or the only horse he has let in therace. The super-producer usuallydominates awards season; this yearhe hasnt, despite some well-groomedponies. The Master opped at thebox ofce, then bagged neither a bestpicture nor best director nomination,despite ecstatic reviews. This Wein-stein has ascribed to his own inabilityto sufciently educate people aboutcinema. How can olks recognise a mas-terpiece i they dont have the trainingto know one when they see it? As orDjango Unchained, he has admitted heshould have sent out screeners, ratherthan assuming voters would make theeort to see it on the big screen. Twoqualied apologies, then, which beatup philistine peers as much as himsel,but admissions o ailure, none the less.

So he has cut his losses and insteadthrown his weight behind David O Rus-sells screwball romcom. Trouble is,or such a terric, photogenic lm, itsa strangely tough sell, as evidenced bythe switchback tactics employed to ogit. Silver Linings didnt y in Americawhen initially marketed as a dark com-edy. So, despite some noises o aboutits depiction o bipolar disorder, amore traditional awards campaign was

launched ocusing on the ways in whichit raises awareness o mental illness.Russell and star Robert De Niro both

spoke about their own amilies experi-ences o manic depression. The lm wasscreened to combat veterans in Iraq,who might identiy with the post-

traumatic-stress angle. A series oads were launched quoting oneDr Mehmet Oz, MD, who wrotethat the lm shows us thehumanity and similarities inthe lives o those who are chal-lenged with major disorders.

That was at the end o January.For the nal urlong, though, some-thing a little more eelgood wasrequired, and Ebert came through

bang on deadline. Silver Linings once adark comedy, then a sensitive drama isnow a redemptive romance. Yes, the

Ebert quote touches on the troubled-

amily-member angle, but it alsohighlights the lms st-pumpingclimax and cheery domesticity.The choice o photo to illustrate is

inspired: an embrace rom the nalscene thats as close to an everyper-

son cuddle as Bradley Cooper andJennier Lawrence can get. Weinsteindoesnt like losing. Maybe love reallycan save the day.Catherine Shoard

Every cloud Can Silver Linings

Playbook save theday or faggingsuper-producerHarvey Weinstein

Weinstein:admitt

ed

tomistakeswiththe

marketingofDjango

Unchained