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OSCILLATIONS from ARCTIC WARMING:Record Cold & Hot,

RISING SEAS

Paul H. Carrwww.MirrorOfNature.org

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WEATHER EXTREMES ARE INCREASING.

• Record-Cold and Snowfall in New England during 2015 winter.

-Record high sea temps, 11.5 C, put more water vapor (snow) in the atmosphere.

• Record-Hot West Sees First 100-Degree Temperature of 2015.

- CA 4 yr. drought longest in history.

A darker Arctic is boosting global warmingFrom1979 to 2011, less reflecting ice, more absorbing water made North Pole warm twice as

fast as the rest of the earth. http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2014/02/13/1318201111.abstract

Proc. National Academy of Science, Feb 18, 2014.

ARCTIC MELTING IN THE LAST 32 YEARS SATELITE PHOTO

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PAST COLD ARCTIC PRESENT WARMER ARCTIC

Higher pressure sub-tropic constrained the low-pressure arctic

Lower pressure difference allows waves of arctic air to invade the South: Warmer & Colder Winters.

Cold Air Oscillates South from the ArcticThe Arctic is warming twice as fast as the rest of our earth.

Therefore the temperature and the accompanying pressure difference that used to keep arctic air up North comes South, bringing cold air to Atlanta & New Orleans.

A Wacky Jet Steam Is Making Our Weather Severe , Scientific American, Nov 18, 2014

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The jet stream that circles Earth's north pole travels west to east. But when the jet stream interacts with a Rossby wave, as shown here, the winds can wander far north and south, bringing frigid air to normally mild southern states. http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2014/02/16/277911739/warming-arctic-may-be-causing-jet-stream-to-lose-its-way

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Arctic Winter Ice Reached New Low Feb 28, 2015

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ANOMALOUSLY HIGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF +5 deg. C PUT MORE WATER VAPOR IN THE ATMOSPHERE. STORMS CARRY IT OVER THE COLD LAND TO MAKE MORE SNOW.

Blue: Sea level change from tide-gauge data (Church J.A. and White N.J., Geophys. Res. Lett. 2006; 33: L01602)Red: Univ. Colorado sea level analyses in satellite era (http://www.columbia.edu/~mhs119/SeaLevel/).

Present Sea level rise rate is 4 times that of 1900.

1 ft./100 years.

7.5 in./100 years

3 in. /100 years

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The rate of sea level increase correlates with the blue line of CO2 increase.

Sea level rise is a proxy for global temperature, due to thermal expansion (50%) & the melting of ice (50%)

Sea level rise rate has increased 4 times: 3.1 mm/year ( 1 ft/100 yr. ) now from 0.8 mm/year in 1900

1880-1980: 0.3 C TEMP INCREASE1980- 2012: 0.55 TEMPERATURE INCREASE

(Hansen, J., Ruedy, R., Sato, M., and Lo, K., 2010: Global surface temperature change, Rev. Geophys. 48, RG4004.)

LONG TERM CLIMATE AVERAGES REMOVE THE SHORT TERM WEATHER FLUCTUATIONS

IS THE “FAUX PAUSE” STATISTICALLY AND CLIMACTICALLY SIGNIFICANT? OUR PRESENT DECADE HAS BEEN THE WARMEST IN CENTRURIES 11

Oceanic heat sink.Evolution of the ocean heat content (OHC) at several depths of the global ocean between 1980 and 2011.

A Clement, and P DiNezio Science 2014;343:976-978http://www.sciencemag.org/content/343/6174/976.full

Published by AAAS12

Most recent prediction for 2100: 2 to 6 feet13

14Sea levels predicted to rise 2-4 feet by 2100 will flood Back Bay.

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CONCLUSIONS1. WEATHER EXTREMES ARE INCREASING -Wet areas are becoming wetter: Floods, Snow Atmosphere holds more water at higher temps. -Dry areas, drier: Droughts, Wildfires

2. RISING SEA LEVELS ARE A BETTER MEASURE OF GLOBAL WARMING THAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE.

Learn more at www.MirrorOfNature.org

16Source: US National Climate Assessment

• Melting Greenland• Melting Antarctica• Mountain Glaciers• Thermal Expansion

Global temperatures have risen since 1960, but rate of sea level rise has be greater.

EARTH WILL CROSS DANGER TRESHOLD BY 2036M. Mann. Scientific American, vol 310, April 2014

Faux Pause

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