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OSODaily 27 Agustus 2019
ODAY TOP STOCK TRADED (LQ45) JAKARTA COMPOSITE INDEX
6,214.51 (41.09)
-0.66%
Previous 6,255.60 Lowest
6,149.02 Highest 6,230.32 Val IDR bn
8,918
Volbn 16.96 Mkt Cap IDRtr
7,176.16 Net Forg 1DIDRbn (318.29) Net ForgYTDIDRbn
60,736.6
Return YTD (%) 0.32 Month to date (%)
(2.75)
Indices
Last Chg% YTD% Americas
Dow Jones United States 25,898.83 1.05 11.02 S&P 500 United States 2,878.38 1.10 14.82 Nasdaq United States 7,853.74 1.32 18.36 EIDO United States 24.40 0.58 (1.69) EMEA
FTSE 100 United Kingdom 7,094.98 (0.47) 5.45
CAC 40 France 5,351.02 0.45 13.11 D DAX Germany 11,658.04 0.40 10.41
Asia Pacific
Nikkei Japanese 20,710.91 (2.07) 1.34 Shanghai China 2,883.44 0.49 16.18 TWSE Taiwan 10,529.78 0.08 8.33 KOSPI Korea 1,948.30 (1.81) (6.27) KLSE Malaysia 1,602.47 0.43 (4.81) ST – Times Singapore 3,127.74 (0.56) 1.36 Sensex India 36,472.93 0.63 1.75 Hangseng Hongkong 26,048.72 0.50 1.29
Sectoral Previous Lastest Chg% YTD% AGRICULTURE 1,368.97 20,261.04 1.15 2.39 MINING 1,590.04 2,897.43 (1.17) 14.82 MISC INDUSTRY 1,172.08 10,538.11 (1.74) 6.45 BASIC INDUSTRY 841.62 1,916.31 0.79 (5.37) CONSUMER GOODS 2,403.30 1,609.33 (0.55) (5.33) PROPERTY 498.20 3,110.35 (1.45) (0.11) INFRASTRUKTUR 1,216.31 36,701.16 2.16 3.95 FINANCE 1,252.95 26,179.33 (1.91) (0.64) MANUFAKTURE 1,509.39 20,261.04 1.15 2.39 TRADE 785.36 2,897.43 (1.17) 14.82 LQ 45 975.26 10,538.11 (1.74) 6.45
Commodities Previous Lastest Chg% YTD%
Oil (USD/bbl) 54.17 53.64 (0.98) 18.52 Gold (USD tr.oz) 1,526.90 1,527.15 0.02 19.24 Nickel (USD/mtrc ton) 15,660.00 15,660.00 - 46.49 Tin (USD/mtrc ton) 16,175.00 15,880.00 (1.82) (18.46) Copper (USD/mtrc ton) 5,683.00 5,633.00 (0.88) (5.57) CPO (MYR/ton) 2,210.00 2,213.00 0.14 10.43 Coal (USD/ton) 64.50 64.50 - (37.07)
Currencies
Last Chg% YTD% IDR / USD
14,243.00 (0.03) 1.03
IDR / AUD
9,626.16 0.09 5.60 IDR / EUR
15,828.54 (0.17) 3.90
IDR /SGD
10,265.89 0.09 2.82 IDR / JPY
134.48 (0.48) (2.86)
IDR / GBP
17,433.14 (0.78) 5.08 Global Macro Economics CB Rate CPI YoY GDP YoY United States 2.25 1.80 2.30 Euro Area 0.00 1.00 1.10 United Kingdom 0.75 2.10 1.20 Japan 0.10 0.50 1.20 China 4.35 2.80 6.20 Domestic macro Economics Lastest Chg% YTD% Jibor 5.00 (15.02) 28.20 GovBonds (5y) 6.73 1.11 (14.91) GovBonds (10y) 7.29 0.66 (9.16)
Inflasi YoY 3.32
Inflasi MoM 0.31 Bi rate 5.50 GDP Growth YoY (%) 5.05
Foreign Reserve (Bn) 125.90 Government Bonds Yield% Wow% Ytd% 7 Year 7.23 7.23 7.23 15 Year 7.73 7.73 7.73 20 Year 7.82 7.82 7.82 30 Year 8.06 8.06 8.06
Source: Bloomberg LP & OSO Research Team
Market Review Pada perdagangan Senin (26/08) IHSG ditutup melemah sebesar 0.66% ke level 6.214.51. Delapan dari sepuluh indeks sektoral berakhir dalam zona merah, dimana sektor industri dasar dan keuangan memimpin pelemahan masing-masing sebesar 1.97% dan 0.97%. Adapun saham yang menjadi pemberat indeks diantaranya: SMMA, BMRI, TLKM, GGRM, HMSP. Pelaku pasar asing membukukan aksi jual bersih (Netsell) senilai Rp 904 miliar. Nilai tukar rupiah terdepresiasi sebesar 0.03% ke level Rp 14.243. Global Review Pada perdagangan semalam (26/08) bursa saham Wall Street berhasil ditutup dalam zona hijau, dimana Dow Jones menguat sebesar 1.05%, S&P 500 naik 1.10% dan Nasdaq positif 1.32%. Penguatan tersebut seiring dengan pernyataan dari presiden Amerika Serikat (AS) yang meredakan kekhawatiran pasar, Trump mengatakan bahwa dirinya ingin menemui kesepakatan dagang dengan China dalam.pertemuan KTT G7 di Perancis. Selain itu pasar juga optimis bahwa The Fed akan kembali menurunkan tingkat suku bunga pada bulan depan, hal ini didukung oleh data Departemen Perdagangan AS pada bulan Juli yang menunjukkan pertumbuhan yang moderat namun pengiriman barang turun paling besar selama tiga tahun terakhir. JCI Prediction IHSG ditutup melemah sebesar 0.66% ke level 6.214. IHSG ditutup bullish candle. Adapun indikator Stochastic melemah dan MACD histogram bergerak negatif dengan Volume meningkat. Kami perkirakan IHSG bergerak menguat dengan pergerakan di kisaran 6161-6265. Major Economic Release
Coincident Index Final bulan Juni 2019 turun
ke level 100.4 dari sebelumnya di level 103.4.
Leading Economic Index Final bulan Juni 2019
turun ke level 93.3 dari sebelumnya di level
94.9.
Durable Goods Order bulan Juli 2019 naik
sebesar 2.1% lebih tinggi dari pertumbuhan
sebelumnya sebesar 1.8% (MoM).
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OSODaily 27 Agustus 2019
TODAY TOP STOCK TRADED (LQ45)
Top Gainers
Last Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
PGAS IJ Equity
1,915 4.64 (9.67) 46.42 1.85
ADRO IJ Equity
1,120 3.23 (7.82) 35.82 1.41
ERAA IJ Equity
1,520 2.70 (30.91) 4.85 0.88
MNCN IJ Equity
1,280 1.99 85.51 18.27 0.96
AKRA IJ Equity
4,090 1.49 (4.66) 16.42 1.20
Top Losers
Last Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
TKIM IJ Equity
9,375 (6.02) (15.54) 29.19 2.38
INCO IJ Equity
3,130 (5.15) (3.99) 31.10 1.84
MEDC IJ Equity
730 (3.95) 6.57 13.03 1.78
PWON IJ Equity
645 (3.73) 4.03 31.06 1.40
INKP IJ Equity
6,700 (3.60) (41.99) 36.66 2.45
Top Volume
Last Volume (Mn) YTD% MC (T) Beta
ANTM IJ Equity
1,030 147.2 34.6 24.75 1.73
PWON IJ Equity
645 84.7 4.0 31.06 1.40
ADRO IJ Equity
1,120 82.1 (7.8) 35.82 1.41
TLKM IJ Equity
4,330 77.6 17.1 428.94 0.78
PGAS IJ Equity
1,915 75.9 (9.7) 46.42 1.85
Top Value
Last Value (Bn) YTD% MC (T) Beta
TLKM IJ Equity
4,330 363.0 17.1 428.94 0.78
BBRI IJ Equity
4,070 237.0 11.2 502.02 1.63
ASII IJ Equity
6,575 232.4 (20.1) 266.18 1.28
ADRO IJ Equity
1,120 219.7 (7.8) 35.82 1.41
BBCA IJ Equity
29,950 198.2 15.2 738.42 1.02
BENCHMARK INDICES COMPARISON Indices Country Latest P/E PBV Target 2019F Asia Pacific
IHSG
Indonesia 6,215 18.94 2.13 6,800
Nikkei
Japanese 20,261 14.39 1.54 24,086
Shanghai
China 2,864 13.75 1.43 3,235
TWSE
Taiwan 10,355 16.43 1.58 11,399
KOSPI
Korea 1,916 12.36 0.76 2,568
KLSE
Malaysia 1,601 20.44 1.63 1,722
ST - Times
Singapore 3,067 12.06 1.02 3,591
Sensex
India 37,421 26.01 2.82 42,714
Hangseng
Hongkong 25,680 10.01 1.14 32,537
JAKARTA COMPOSITE INDEX MOVERS
Movers
Latest Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
PGAS IJ Equity
1915 4.64 (9.67) 46 1.85
TOPS IJ Equity
650 8.33 (21.69) 22 0.60
ADRO IJ Equity
1120 3.23 (7.82) 36 1.41
INPP IJ Equity
935 10.00 33.57 10 (0.39)
MINA IJ Equity
2120 6.80 173.55 14 0.71
Laggard
Latest Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
SMMA IJ Equity
7400 (19.57) (14.45) 47 0.75
BMRI IJ Equity
7050 (1.74) (4.41) 329 1.55
TLKM IJ Equity
4330 (1.14) 17.10 429 0.78
GGRM IJ Equity
74500 (2.58) (10.91) 143 0.96
HMSP IJ Equity
2830 (1.05) (23.72) 329 1.23
Movers
Latest Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
OSO MANAJEMEN INVESTASI
Mutual Fund Latest 1 Month (%)
Oso Sustainability Fund
1,433.55 (3.67) Oso Syariah Equity Fund
1,308.27 (3.31)
Source: Bloomberg LP & OSO Research Team
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OSODaily 27 Agustus 2019
COMPARATION OF JCI PERFORMANCE (SEAG)
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MACRO ECONOMIC & INDUSTRY NEWS Presiden Amerika Serikat Donald Trump meramalkan kesepakatan perdagangan dengan China menemui titik cerah
setelah ada gerakan positif oleh China. Pernyataan ini menenangkan pasar global yang goyah akibat perang tarif kedua negara dengan ekonomi terbesar di dunia itu. Trump mengatakan setelah KTT G7 di Prancis ia percaya China tulus ingin mencapai kesepakatan.
Penerimaan pajak Indonesia terbilang minim. Data yang dirilis pemerintah menunjukkan, penerimaan dari pajak hanya tumbuh 2,68% menjadi Rp 705,59 triliun hingga akhir Juli 2019. Realisasi penerimaan pajak ini baru memenuhi 44,73% dari target APBN 2019 yang sebesar Rp 1.577,6 triliun hingga akhir tahun. Menurut Ketua Badan Otonom Hipmi Tax Center Ajib Hamdani, pertumbuhan penerimaan pajak Indonesia sebenarnya bukan lesu, tetapi targetnya yang tidak masuk akal.
Gubernur People's Bank of China (POBC) mendesak perbankan untuk menggunakan suku bunga acuan, Loan Prime Rate (LPR), sesegera mungkin dalam menyalurkan pinjaman. Dalam pertemuan dengan pejabat 24 lembaga keuangan, Senin (26/8), Yi meminta mereka untuk menghapus suku bunga dasar dalam penentuan bunga pinjaman, dan menurunkan bunga pinjaman riil.
CORPORATES NEWS PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia Tbk (BBRI) bersiap masuk ke bisnis fintech lending. Buktinya, BRI berencana untuk
mengakuisisi perusahaan fintech di Indonesia untuk mendukung bisnis pembiayaan sektor usaha mikro, kecil dan menengah (UMKM).
PT Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk (PGAS) berencana menaikkan anggaran belanja modal dan kenaikan capex untuk 2020 dibanding tahun ini bahkan cukup signifikan yang mencapai US$ 705 juta, naik sekitar 40% dibanding anggaran tahun ini, US$ 500 juta. Adapun serapan capex hingga pertengahan tahun ini sekitar 30%.
PT Phapros Tbk (PEHA) melebarkan sayap ke pasar ekspor yang membidik beberapa pasar di luar negeri, di antaranya Peru dan Nigeria. Penjualan ekspor ke Peru rencananya akan mulai dilakukan pada November 2019 mendatang. Adapun produk yang akan diekspor meliputi produk obat-obatan untuk penyakit tuberkulosis bernama Pro TB.
Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation (SMBC) berencana melepas kepemilikan sahamnya di PT Bank BTPN Tbk (BTPN). Ini dilakukan untuk memenuhi ketentuan Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) terkait minimum saham publik beredar (free float) sebesar 7,5%.
PT Dafam Property Indonesia Tbk (DFAM) merencanakan pengelolaan hotel berbintang empat di kawasan Tanjung Tabalong, Kalimantan Selatan. Perseroan telah menandatangani perjanjian MoU dengan PT Linda Central Land untuk membangun hotel yang nantinya dinamakan Grand Linda Tanjung di pusat kota Tanjung Tabalong.
PT Trimitra Propertindo Tbk (LAND) pada akhir tahun lalu menggunakan dana sebesar Rp 250 miliar untuk menggarap apartemen the Canary yang menargetkan marketing sales sebesar Rp 400 miliar. Hingga saat ini, penjualan unit di apartemen The Canary sudah mencapai 70% dari target Rp 400 miliar setara dengan Rp 280 miliar.
Sumber: Kontan, Bisnis Indonesia, Iqplus
NOTE: Positive Sentiment Negative Sentiment Netral
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Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Uptrend MACD line/histogram : Negatif Stochastic : Bearish Volume : Meningkat
Recommendation : BUY Entry Buy : 1.615 – 1.630 Target Price : 1.680 – 1.695 Support : 1.590 – 1.600 Cutloss : 1.585
DAILY TECHNICAL
JPFA | PENJUALAN JAPFA COMFEED CAPAI Rp18,24 TRILIUN HINGGA JUNI 2019 PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk (JPFA) meraih penjualan neto sebesar Rp18,24 triliun hingga periode 30 Juni 2019 naik dibandingkan penjualan neto Rp16,70 triliun di periode sama tahun sebelumnya. Laporan keuangan perseroan Kamis menyebutkan, laba bruto turun menjadi Rp3,32 triliun dari Rp3,81 triliun setelah beban pokok penjualan naik menjadi Rp14,92 triliun dari Rp12,90 triliun. Laba usaha turun menjadi Rp1,48 triliun dari laba usaha Rp2,09 triliun dan laba sebelum pajak turun menjadi Rp1,25 triliun dari laba sebelum pajak tahun sebelumnya Rp1,61 triliun dan laba periode berjalan yang diatribusikan ke pemilik entitas induk.
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang kembali menguji level 1.680. Apabila break 1.680 next harga ke level 1.695. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu break up atau menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 1.585 jika sudah melewati support 1.590 – 1.600.
|JPFA|PE : 11.56x | PBV : 1.83x | ROE: 15.90% | NPM : 4.54% | DER : 1.41x | Fair Value : 1.800|
Souce: OSO Research Team
BUY
NOTE:
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Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Uptrend MACD line/histogram : Positif Stochastic : Bearish Volume : Meningkat Tipis
Recommendation : BUY Entry Buy : 2.440 – 2.460 Target Price : 2.510 – 2.550 Support : 2.400 – 2.420 Cutloss : 2.390
DAILY TECHNICAL
BUY |MYOR|PE : 34.17x | PBV : 5.87x | ROE: 17.21% | NPM : 6.69% | DER : 0.88x | Fair Value : -|
Racikan Mayora Indah Memperkuat Bisnis (Tamat) Cara kerja manajemen MYOR yang tetap fokus dibidangnya (makanan dan minuman ringan), kebijakan leverage yang relatif agresif tetapi tetap konservatif (DER masih kurang dari 1 kali), kebijakan dividen yang fair (sekitar 30 – 40%), power of brand yang kuat, hingga jaringan bisnisnya yang sudah merambah mancanegara menjamin perusahaan akan terus tumbuh. Posisi kas yang tidak terlalu besar sekitar Rp2 triliun dibanding asetnya senilai Rp17,7 triliun juga menunjukkan bahwa MYOR tidak sedang dalam posisi memiliki uang banyak, dan tidak tahu menahu peruntukkannya seperti kebanyakan perusahaan consumer goods lainnya.
Souce: OSO Research Team
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang kembali menguji level 2.510. Apabila berhasil menguji 2.510 next harga ke level 2.550. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu break up atau berbalik menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 2.390 jika sudah melewati support 2.400 – 2.420.
NOTE:
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Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Uptrend MACD line/histogram : Positif Stochastic : Bullish Volume : Turun
Recommendation : BUY Entry Buy : 1.480 – 1.500 Target Price : 1.540 – 1.560 Support : 1.470 – 1.475 Cutloss : 1.465
DAILY TECHNICAL
BUY |PNBN|PE : 11.36x | PBV : 0.85x | ROE: 7.54% | NPM : 16.09% | DER : 4.05x | Fair Value : 1.700|
PNBN Cetak Laba Bersih Sebesar Rp1,68 Triliun Bank Panin Tbk (PNBN) membukukan laba semester I 2019 sebesar Rp1,68 triliun atau naik 23,86% YoY. Pertumbuhan laba tersebut terutama ditopang oleh pendapatan bunga bersih perseroan Rp4,35 triliun, dan pendapatan operasional termasuk pendapatan komisi yang mencapai Rp1,1 triliun. Penyaluran kredit per Juni 2019 tercatat sebesar Rp153,50 triliun, tumbuh 3,74% YoY. Dari total kredit tersebut porsi segmen ritel dan segmen komersial mencapai 56% dari total kredit, sedangkan sisanya berasal dari kredit ke korporasi. Rasio Non Performing Loan (NPL) per Juni 2019 tercatat sebesar 3,0% (gross) dan 0,96% (net).
Souce: OSO Research Team
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang menguji level 1.540. Apabila break 1.540 next harga ke level 1.560. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu tembus 1.540 atau malah berbailk menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 1.465 jika sudah melewati support 1.470 – 1.475.
NOTE:
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Sector Rotation
Mingguan
Bulanan
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OSODaily 27 Agustus 2019
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR BASIC INDUSTRY
BRPT IJ Equity 725 - 51.67 3.79 55.87 5.16 1.13 5.21 98.23 635 -12% Sell
CPIN IJ Equity 4,640 (0.22) (35.78) 3.97 19.79 12.23 13.99 21.19 22.95 4,594 -1% Sell
INKP IJ Equity 6,700 (3.60) (41.99) 0.66 6.48 2.60 4.61 10.66 113.83 11,300 69% Buy
INTP IJ Equity 20,425 (3.54) 10.70 3.44 52.55 28.29 5.47 6.48 0.50 19,321 -5% Sell
JPFA IJ Equity 1,630 3.16 (24.19) 1.96 10.08 4.62 8.00 20.16 59.63 1,718 5% Hold
SMGR IJ Equity 12,875 (1.53) 11.96 2.52 29.47 10.82 4.11 8.74 30.13 13,824 7% Hold
TKIM IJ Equity 9,375 (6.02) (15.54) 1.53 10.03 15.27 6.95 16.45 120.71 13,000 39% Buy
TPIA IJ Equity 8,425 0.30 42.19 5.88 83.11 27.38 4.18 7.14 34.35 4,568 -46% Sell
Industry Average in LQ45 2.97 33.42 13.30 6.06 12.00 60.04
Total of Industry Average 1.61 23.40 9.95 2.84 (22.99) 101.08
SECTOR CONSUMER GOODS
GGRM IJ Equity 74,500 (2.58) (10.91) 3.23 16.83 9.92 12.84 20.01 38.38 92,451 24% Buy
HMSP IJ Equity 2,830 (1.05) (23.72) 11.56 23.24 17.56 32.64 50.51 0.33 3,656 29% Buy
ICBP IJ Equity 11,750 (0.21) 12.44 6.01 28.18 16.78 13.48 22.92 9.06 12,041 2% Hold
INDF IJ Equity 7,725 (0.64) 3.69 1.94 14.26 5.57 4.98 14.36 59.18 8,278 7% Hold
KLBF IJ Equity 1,620 - 6.58 5.18 30.38 20.17 13.62 17.85 2.34 1,597 -1% Sell
UNVR IJ Equity 45,875 0.11 1.05 68.97 37.74 25.55 43.81 183.94 20.26 45,490 -1% Sell
Industry Average in LQ45 16.15 25.10 15.93 20.23 51.60 21.59
Total of Industry Average 6.34 25.69 21.46 8.89 19.66 46.26
SECTOR INFRASTRUCTURE
EXCL IJ Equity 3,320 (0.30) 67.68 1.90 130.48 3.69 (5.11) (14.59) 125.77 3,861 16% Buy
JSMR IJ Equity 5,700 - 33.18 2.34 18.66 6.17 2.50 13.33 157.26 6,431 13% Buy
PGAS IJ Equity 1,915 4.64 (9.67) 1.29 15.19 2.54 3.11 7.41 109.43 2,478 29% Buy
TLKM IJ Equity 4,330 (1.14) 17.10 4.57 21.01 6.55 9.77 22.82 37.58 4,713 9% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 2.52 46.34 4.74 2.57 7.24 107.51
Total of Industry Average 3.03 36.88 176.21 (3.80) (2.44) 131.60
Source: Bloomber LP
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OSODaily 27 Agustus 2019
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR MINING
ADRO IJ Equity 1,120 3.23 (7.82) 0.66 4.81 1.92 7.45 14.21 32.95 1,576 41% Buy
AKRA IJ Equity 4,090 1.49 (4.66) 1.99 22.61 12.97 4.78 11.01 42.61 4,929 21% Buy
ANTM IJ Equity 1,030 1.48 34.64 1.24 30.93 9.04 2.47 4.14 50.26 1,209 17% Buy
INCO IJ Equity 3,130 (5.15) (3.99) 1.17 413.43 18.17 0.23 0.27 1.94 3,814 22% Buy
INDY IJ Equity 1,330 (2.56) (16.09) 0.53 29.87 1.00 0.46 1.74 129.53 2,125 60% Buy
ITMG IJ Equity 12,000 (0.62) (40.74) 1.03 4.00 2.22 17.45 25.70 - 18,958 58% Buy
MEDC IJ Equity 730 (3.95) 6.57 0.72 9.06 1.40 (1.14) (5.07) 202.38 1,043 43% Buy
PTBA IJ Equity 2,410 (3.21) (43.95) 1.47 5.39 3.88 19.44 29.25 5.12 3,509 46% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 1.10 65.01 6.32 6.39 10.16 58.10
Total of Industry Average 2.20 34.84 9.84 3.71 3.85 94.98
SECTOR MISC INDUSTRY
ASII IJ Equity 6,575 - (20.06) 1.91 12.62 6.84 6.40 15.79 49.27 8,025 22% Buy
SRIL IJ Equity 338 0.60 (5.59) 0.84 5.22 2.29 6.72 17.23 139.64 Neutral #VALUE! #VALUE!
Industry Average in LQ45 1.37 8.92 4.57 6.56 16.51 94.46
Total of Industry Average 2.62 402.07 5.93 3.07 3.25 94.41
SECTOR PROPERTY
BSDE IJ Equity 1,375 (1.79) 9.56 0.92 8.78 8.68 5.69 11.01 46.06 1,695 23% Buy
CTRA IJ Equity 1,160 (4.92) 14.85 1.48 16.52 8.08 3.84 9.39 50.80 1,349 16% Buy
PTPP IJ Equity 1,860 (1.59) 3.05 0.90 8.34 3.88 2.84 11.34 74.03 2,647 42% Buy
PWON IJ Equity 645 (3.73) 4.03 2.28 11.18 8.27 11.10 22.42 36.44 765 19% Buy
WIKA IJ Equity 2,290 (2.14) 38.37 1.34 9.75 5.00 3.70 14.89 78.93 2,832 24% Buy
WSKT IJ Equity 1,750 (2.23) 4.17 1.32 12.05 4.71 1.58 11.35 224.10 2,305 32% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 1.37 11.10 6.44 4.79 13.40 85.06
Total of Industry Average 2.71 28.98 13.88 4.74 10.42 47.63
Source: Bloomber LP
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OSODaily 27 Agustus 2019
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR TRADE
ERAA IJ Equity 1,520 2.70 (30.91) 1.04 9.45 4.04 4.54 11.78 88.81 1,975 30% Buy
LPPF IJ Equity 3,000 (3.23) (46.43) 4.65 9.34 5.01 15.33 45.23 - 4,783 59% Buy
MNCN IJ Equity 1,280 1.99 85.51 1.50 7.77 4.51 12.35 20.53 42.22 1,565 22% Buy
SCMA IJ Equity 1,165 0.43 (37.70) 3.43 11.98 8.67 20.52 29.07 0.33 1,889 62% Buy
UNTR IJ Equity 20,125 (1.83) (26.42) 1.37 6.69 3.00 10.84 21.57 17.95 31,008 54% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 2.40 9.05 5.04 12.72 25.64 29.86
Total of Industry Average 7.08 34.46 18.19 0.96 2.66 65.29
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) LDR (%) NPL NIM (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR FINANCE
BBCA IJ Equity 29,950 (0.08) 15.19 4.63 27.05 88.15 1.40 6.53 6.30 30,662 2% Hold
BBRI IJ Equity 4,070 (0.25) 11.20 2.64 14.80 90.10 2.27 7.35 64.57 4,670 15% Buy
BBNI IJ Equity 7,500 (1.64) (14.77) 1.22 9.19 92.85 1.90 5.14 82.33 10,017 34% Buy
BBTN IJ Equity 2,150 (1.83) (15.35) 0.92 8.47 103.45 2.82 3.81 188.00 2,698 25% Buy
BMRI IJ Equity 7,050 (1.74) (4.41) 1.77 12.48 100.47 2.75 5.36 56.75 8,971 27% Buy
BTPS IJ Equity 3,280 1.55 82.73 6.32 25.23 454.49 1.39 38.72 149.94 3,545 8% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 2.24 14.40 95.00 2.23 5.64 79.59
Total of Industry Average 5.04 29.82 110.09 3.09 7.78 84.38
Source: Bloomber LP
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Ticker Last YtD% MA5 RSI Rec MACD Trend
Bollinger Band
Pivot Point
Support Resistance Stop Loss
Level Recommendation
Lower Middle Upper 1 2 1 2
ADRO IJ Equity 1,120 (7.8) Negatif Trading Positif 935 1,110 1,280 1,090 1,055 1,020 1,125 1,160 1,000 Hold
AKRA IJ Equity 4,090 (4.7) Positif Trading Positif 3,720 3,930 4,135 4,025 3,945 3,825 4,145 4,225 3,765 Speculative Buy
ANTM IJ Equity 1,030 34.6 Positif Trading Negatif 850 1,010 1,165 1,030 1,005 985 1,050 1,075 970 Hold
ASII IJ Equity 6,575 (20.1) Negatif Trading Negatif 6,200 6,750 7,275 6,525 6,425 6,300 6,650 6,750 6,200 Sell
BBCA IJ Equity 29,950 15.2 Positif Trading Negatif 29,300 30,225 31,150 29,750 29,475 29,050 30,175 30,450 28,600 Hold
BBNI IJ Equity 7,500 (14.8) Positif Oversold Negatif 7,475 7,975 8,475 7,475 7,425 7,325 7,575 7,625 7,200 Speculative Buy
BBRI IJ Equity 4,070 11.2 Positif Oversold Negatif 3,990 4,270 4,555 4,040 4,010 3,970 4,080 4,110 3,910 Speculative Buy
BBTN IJ Equity 2,150 (15.4) Positif Oversold Negatif 2,140 2,300 2,460 2,145 2,130 2,105 2,170 2,185 2,075 Speculative Buy
BMRI IJ Equity 7,050 (4.4) Positif Oversold Negatif 7,025 7,475 7,925 7,075 7,025 6,975 7,125 7,175 6,850 Speculative Buy
BRPT IJ Equity 725 51.7 Positif Trading Negatif 700 740 780 720 710 700 730 740 685 Hold
BSDE IJ Equity 1,375 9.6 Positif Trading Positif 1,275 1,355 1,435 1,370 1,350 1,320 1,400 1,420 1,300 Speculative Buy
BTPS IJ Equity 3,280 82.7 Positif Trading Negatif 3,045 3,265 3,490 3,235 3,185 3,125 3,295 3,345 3,075 Hold
CPIN IJ Equity 4,640 (35.8) Positif Trading Negatif 4,350 4,835 5,325 4,630 4,570 4,530 4,670 4,730 4,460 Hold
CTRA IJ Equity 1,160 14.9 Positif Trading Negatif 1,165 1,235 1,300 1,175 1,155 1,125 1,205 1,225 1,105 Hold
ERAA IJ Equity 1,520 (30.9) Positif Oversold Negatif 1,610 1,935 2,265 1,470 1,395 1,325 1,540 1,615 1,305 Speculative Buy
EXCL IJ Equity 3,320 67.7 Negatif Trading Negatif 3,155 3,285 3,410 3,295 3,245 3,165 3,375 3,425 3,115 Sell
GGRM IJ Equity 74,500 (10.9) Positif Trading Positif 71,325 74,525 77,700 74,575 73,775 73,150 75,200 76,000 72,050 Speculative Buy
HMSP IJ Equity 2,830 (23.7) Positif Trading Positif 2,785 2,925 3,070 2,815 2,790 2,765 2,840 2,865 2,725 Speculative Buy
ICBP IJ Equity 11,750 12.4 Negatif OverBought Positif 10,375 11,225 12,075 11,625 11,450 11,100 11,975 12,150 10,925 Sell
INCO IJ Equity 3,130 (4.0) Positif Trading Positif 2,735 3,190 3,645 3,170 3,100 3,010 3,260 3,330 2,965 Speculative Buy
INDF IJ Equity 7,725 3.7 Negatif OverBought Positif 6,800 7,375 7,925 7,625 7,500 7,350 7,775 7,900 7,250 Sell
INDY IJ Equity 1,330 (16.1) Positif Trading Positif 1,280 1,405 1,530 1,330 1,310 1,275 1,365 1,385 1,255 Speculative Buy
INKP IJ Equity 6,700 (42.0) Positif Trading Positif 6,475 7,150 7,850 6,725 6,650 6,550 6,825 6,900 6,450 Speculative Buy
source: Bloomberg Lp
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OSODaily 27 Agustus 2019
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Ticker Last YtD% MA5 RSI Rec MACD Trend
Bollinger Band
Pivot Point
Support Resistance Stop Loss
Level Recommendation
Lower Middle Upper 1 2 1 2
INTP IJ Equity 20,425 10.7 Positif Trading Negatif 21,050 21,900 22,750 20,500 20,325 20,100 20,725 20,900 19,800 Hold
ITMG IJ Equity 12,000 (40.7) Positif Strong Buy Negatif 11,175 14,725 18,275 11,925 11,825 11,625 12,125 12,225 11,450 Buy
JPFA IJ Equity 1,630 (24.2) Negatif Trading Positif 1,500 1,565 1,625 1,585 1,545 1,490 1,640 1,680 1,470 Hold
JSMR IJ Equity 5,700 33.2 Positif Trading Negatif 5,550 5,750 5,950 5,650 5,550 5,450 5,750 5,850 5,375 Hold
KLBF IJ Equity 1,620 6.6 Negatif OverBought Positif 1,355 1,490 1,620 1,595 1,570 1,495 1,670 1,695 1,475 Sell
LPPF IJ Equity 3,000 (46.4) Positif Oversold Negatif 2,900 3,335 3,765 3,020 2,980 2,940 3,060 3,100 2,895 Speculative Buy
MEDC IJ Equity 730 6.6 Positif Oversold Negatif 740 795 850 745 730 720 755 770 705 Speculative Buy
MNCN IJ Equity 1,280 85.5 Positif Trading Negatif 1,210 1,305 1,400 1,255 1,220 1,180 1,295 1,330 1,160 Hold
PGAS IJ Equity 1,915 (9.7) Positif Oversold Negatif 1,840 1,955 2,070 1,855 1,790 1,715 1,930 1,995 1,690 Speculative Buy
PTBA IJ Equity 2,410 (44.0) Positif Oversold Positif 2,305 2,540 2,775 2,430 2,395 2,360 2,465 2,500 2,320 Buy
PTPP IJ Equity 1,860 3.0 Positif Trading Positif 1,755 1,940 2,130 1,855 1,820 1,785 1,890 1,925 1,760 Speculative Buy
PWON IJ Equity 645 4.0 Positif Trading Negatif 660 695 730 650 635 610 675 690 600 Hold
SCMA IJ Equity 1,165 (37.7) Positif Oversold Negatif 1,080 1,295 1,510 1,160 1,145 1,125 1,180 1,195 1,110 Speculative Buy
SMGR IJ Equity 12,875 12.0 Positif Trading Positif 12,375 12,850 13,325 12,900 12,600 12,200 13,300 13,600 12,000 Speculative Buy
SRIL IJ Equity 338 (5.6) Positif Oversold Negatif 335 341 347 337 335 333 339 341 328 Speculative Buy
TKIM IJ Equity 9,375 (15.5) Positif Trading Positif 8,675 10,325 11,950 9,625 9,350 9,025 9,950 10,225 8,875 Speculative Buy
TLKM IJ Equity 4,330 17.1 Negatif Trading Positif 4,100 4,285 4,470 4,315 4,265 4,235 4,345 4,395 4,170 Hold
TPIA IJ Equity 8,425 42.2 Negatif Strong Sell Positif 5,825 7,250 8,700 8,400 8,325 8,250 8,475 8,550 8,125 Sell
UNTR IJ Equity 20,125 (26.4) Positif Oversold Negatif 18,700 22,425 26,125 20,075 19,950 19,750 20,275 20,400 19,450 Speculative Buy
UNVR IJ Equity 45,875 1.0 Negatif Trading Positif 43,200 44,625 46,050 45,350 44,825 44,100 46,075 46,600 43,450 Hold
WIKA IJ Equity 2,290 38.4 Negatif Trading Positif 2,185 2,300 2,415 2,270 2,220 2,170 2,320 2,370 2,135 Hold
WSKT IJ Equity 1,750 4.2 Positif Oversold Positif 1,660 1,855 2,050 1,755 1,730 1,715 1,770 1,795 1,685 Buy
source: Bloomberg Lp
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OSODaily 27 Agustus 2019
MAJOR ECONOMIC RELEASE CALENDAR
Date Event Country Act Prev Cons
26-Aug-19 Japan, Leading Economic Index Final JUN JPY 100.4 94.9 93.3
Japan, Coincident Index Final JUN JPY 93.3 103.4 100.4
US Durable Goods Orders MoM JUL USD 2.1%
1.8%
US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index AUG USD 2.7 -6.3
US Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM JUL USD 1.4% 1.2%
27-Aug-19 GB Construction PMI AUG GBR 45.3
US Markit Manufacturing PMI Final AUG USD 50.4
US ISM Manufacturing PMI AUG USD 51.2
US Construction Spending MoM JUL USD -1.3%
US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism SEP USD 55.1
US ISM Manufacturing Employment AUG USD 51.7
US ISM Manufacturing New Orders AUG USD 50.8
US ISM Manufacturing Prices AUG USD 45.1
28-Aug-19 China, Caixin Services PMI AUG CNY 51.6
China, Caixin Composite PMI AUG CNY 50.9
US Balance of Trade JUL USD $-55.2B
US Exports JUL USD $206.3B
US Imports JUL USD $261.5B
US Total Vehicle Sales AUG USD 16.8M
US API Crude Oil Stock Change AUG/30 USD -3.5M
29-Aug-19 Japan, Foreign Bond Investment AUG/24 JPY ¥499.7B
Japan, Stock Investment by Foreigners AUG/24 JPY ¥-359.6B
Japan, Consumer Confidence AUG JPY 37.8
Indonesia, Loan Growth YoY JUL IDN 9.92%
US GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est Q2 USD 3.1% 2%
US Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv JUL USD 0%
US Corporate Profits QoQ Prel Q2 USD -3.1%
US GDP Price Index QoQ 2nd Est Q2 USD 0.8% 2.4%
US Goods Trade Balance Adv JUL USD $-74.16B
US Initial Jobless Claims AUG/24 USD 209K 215K
US Continuing Jobless Claims AUG/17 USD 1674K 1680K
US Pending Home Sales MoM JUL USD 2.8% 0.1%
US Pending Home Sales YoY JUL USD 1.6%
US EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change 23/AUG USD 59Bcf 60Bcf
Source: Bloomberg Lp
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OSODaily 27 Agustus 2019
CORPORATE ACTION
RUPS
Date Time Company Event Place
28-Aug-19 9:30 NRCA RUPSLB Hotel Gran Meli Lt 1 14:00 BMRI RUPSLB
29-Aug-19 10:00 LINK RUPSLB 10:00 TRIL RUPSLB Jl Guntur No 45
14:00 BBTN RUPSLB
30-Aug-19 9:30 CNTX RUPSLB Pabrik Perseroan
14:00 ASRM RUPSLB Hotel Borobudur Banda B Room
14:00 BBNI RUPSLB Menara BNI Lt 6 14:00 PGAS RUPSLB
2-Sep-19 10:00 BTPS RUPSLB Menara BTPN, CBD Mega Kuningan 14:00 BBRI RUPSLB
5-Sep-19 8:30 URBN RUPSLB Hotel Grandhika Iskandarsyah
10:00 MPRO RUPSLB Mayapada Tower 2
11-Sep-19 10:00 BTPN RUPSLB Menara BTPN Lt 27 10:00 COCO RUPSLB Bandung
12-Sep-19 14:00 MKNT RUPSLB Jakarta
17-Sep-19 14:00 PANI RUPSLB Aula Serbaguna Dahlia Apartemen Kedoya
18-Sep-19 10:00 INAF RUPSLB Hotel Borobudur Jakarta 14:00 KAEF RUPSLB Hotel Borobudur Jakarta
Dividend
Code Status Cum- Date Ex-Date Recording Date Pay -Date Ammount (IDR)/Share
IKBI Cash Dividen 30-Jul-19 31-Jul-19 1-Aug-19 22-Aug-19 8.8 AKRA Cash Dividen 5-Aug-19 6-Aug-19 7-Aug-19 16-Aug-19 50 SMSM Cash Dividen 8-Aug-19 9-Aug-19 12-Aug-19 23-Aug-19 15
IPO Company Underwriter Offering Date Listing Date IPO Price Shares (Mn)
Kencana Energy Tbk Bahana, RHB, Mirae Asset Sekuritas TBA TBA 250 - 420 977
Source: KSEI and OSO Research Team
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OSODaily 27 Agustus 2019
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