our life got better. real per capita household income growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 source:...

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OUR LIFE GOT BETTER

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Page 1: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

OUR LIFE GOT BETTER

Page 2: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012

Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding the Rural North

2.6 times

20% poorest 2º quintile 3° quintile 4° quintile 20% richest

6.4 6.0 5.4

4.1

2.5

Page 3: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

april/2002

april/2003

may/2004

may/2005

april/2006

april/2007

may/2008

feb/2009

jan/10 jan/11 jan/12 jan/13

200240 260

300350

380415

465510

545

622671

Minimum Wage Evolution(R$ and % real variation)

Source: Banco Central. Note: Developed by Ministry of Finance. Data: R$ and Var % real (deflated by INPC)

Real increase 72%

Page 4: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

Formal Jobs Evolution (in million)

Source: RAIS/MTE. Note: Balanced by the end of the periods

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 41518

27.2 28.7 29.5 31.4 33.2

35.2 37.6 39.4 41.2

44.1 46.3 47.4 48.7

+21.5 million formal jobs

Page 5: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

BOLSA FAMILIAPROGRAM

OUR LIFE GOT BETTER

Page 6: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

1. Alleviate poverty and hunger

2. Increase education attendance and reduce school dropout rates

3. Improve access to health services for children, pregnant and breastfeeding women

Bolsa Família Program: Main Goals

Page 7: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

Brazil Without Extreme Poverty Plan

Bolsa Família Expansion

Cash transfers (US$ billions)

Families in Bolsa Família (millions)

200220012000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

1.70.

50.0

8.710.1

12.0

2.1

4.1

4.8

5.5 6.16.6

7.2 7.9

14.1

3.6

12.89.2

Page 8: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

HEALTH FOR BOLSA FAMÍLIA’S CHILDREN

HAS IMPROVED

OUR LIFE GOT BETTER

Page 9: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

50% increase in prenatal healthcare

14% reduction in premature birth rates

Less babies born underweight

99.1% children get vaccinated

OUR LIFE GOT BETTER

Page 10: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

58% decrease inmalnutrition mortality rates

46% decrease in diarrhea mortality rates

Children aged from 0 to 5 years old

OUR LIFE GOT BETTER

Page 11: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

16.8

16.2

15.615.1

14.5

Prevalence of stunting (%) in children up to5 years old in the Bolsa Família Program

Page 12: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

EDUCATION FOR BOLSA FAMÍLIA’S CHILDREN

HAS IMPROVED

OUR LIFE GOT BETTER

Page 13: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

Almost 16 million students

are monitored for attendance

OUR LIFE GOT BETTER

Page 14: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

BF improves school performance of poor children

Approval rates in public schools in 2012

Basic/Middle School High School

50

85,288,2

79,775,7

Bols

a Fa

míli

a

With

out B

olsa

Fam

ília

Page 15: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

% de estudantes de 15 anos da rede pública na série/ano esperado

20% poorest people

80% rest of the population

32.1

63.1

53.8

73.2

31.0

19,4

-37%

Bolsa Família reduces educational inequality

% of 15 years old students at public schools at the appropriate grade level

Page 16: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

BOLSA FAMÍLIA IMPACT ON POVERTY AND EXTREME POVERTY

OUR LIFE GOT BETTER

Page 17: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

• For the poorest the value of benefits increased by 102%

• Bolsa Família increased by 55% over inflation

US$ 1.25/ day per capita

Monthly familyincome per capita

Bolsa Família

Closing the gap

Modeling BF impact with variable benefits

Page 18: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

Bolsa Família keeps 36 million people out of extreme poverty

OUR LIFE GOT BETTER

Page 19: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

Extreme poverty reduction (%)Rate by age

Age0

2

4

6

8

10

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70

Reduction of

89%

Reduction of

36%

Without Bolsa Família

With Bolsa Família after “Brazil Without Extreme Poverty Plan"

With Bolsa Família before “Brazil Without Extreme Poverty Plan”

Page 20: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

Every extremely poor family must be part of Bolsa Familia 919 thousand families have been located and included 600 thousand yet to be found (estimate)

ACTIVE SEARCHING

The State shall go where

poverty is

The poor shall no

longer seek the State for

help

Page 21: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

ACTIVE SEARCHING

Page 22: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

ACTIVE SEARCHING – SOCIAL ASSISTANCE

1,197 social assistance mobile teams 113 speedboats for the mobile teams

Page 23: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

ACTIVE SEARCHING

919 thousand families located and included in the Registry

Page 24: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

ACTIVE SEARCHING

Page 25: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

Single Registry for Social Programs

The Single Registry is the main door to other policies and services (Brazil Without Extreme Poverty Plan)

One third of Brazilian families are registered

Page 26: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

Social Benefits (coverage)

Old Age and Disability Pensions; Sickness and

Work Injury Benefit(84.4 million)

Social Assistance Benefits

(Old Age; Disability)(28.9 million)

UnemploymentInsurance(7.8 million)

Bolsa FamíliaProgram

(14.1 million families)

Benefit Types

Contributory

Non-Contributory

Page 27: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

POSITIVE EFFECTS OF BOLSA FAMÍLIA ON THE ECONOMY

OUR LIFE GOT BETTER

Page 28: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

GDP Multiplier Effect= US$ 1.78

US$ 1.00

OUR LIFE GOT BETTER

Page 29: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

Bolsa Família does so much for Brazil that

every Brazilian benefits

OUR LIFE GOT BETTER

Page 30: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

ENDING

POVERTYIS ONLY

THEBEGINNING

EXTREME

Page 31: OUR LIFE GOT BETTER. Real Per Capita Household Income Growth by quintile (%) – 2002/2012 Source: IBGE/PNAD. Note: Harmonized Data: Brazil, disgarding

Schoool Expansion in the most vulnerable areas Priority to schools with more than 50% students as

Bolsa Família beneficiaries

Source: SIMEC/MEC, July 2013.

Full-time Education