outcomes of strategic urban development master plan … · outcomes of strategic urban development...

1

2nd SeminarJICA Study Team

June 2008

Outcomes of Strategic Urban Development Master Plan and Pre-Feasibility Study

Ministry of Housing, Utilities & Urban Development

General Organization for Physical Planning

Greater Cairo Region Urban Planning Center

The Strategic Urban Development Master Plan Studyfor Sustainable Development of the Greater Cairo Region

In Arab Republic of Egypt

Japan International Cooperation Agency

JICA Study Team

Phase 1: Outcomes of Strategic Urban Development Master Plan for the Greater Cairo Region

2

Study Area and Work Flow“Study area including Cairo, part of Giza and Qaliobeya, and 10th or Ramadan”

1. Analysis of Cairo Region's Role in Egypt

1) Population and its D istribution2) Late st Sixth Five Year Plan (2007/2008-2011/2012)3) Econom ic and Industrial D evelopm ent in Egy pt4) Soc ial D eve lopm ent in Egypt

1) Populat ion and it s D ist r ibut ion in the North Egypt Se ct or2) Economic and Social P rofile in the N ort h Egypt Sec tor3) Urban, Indust ria l, and T ra nspor t at ion D evelopme nt in t heNor t h Egypt Sect or

O pinion PollSurvey

D emographicAnaly sis

Existing Land Usein 2007

Infrastructure Close Cooperationwith Exp erts

2. Existing Conditions of Study AreaWorkshop for

Planning Zone

Traffic Dema nd andCapa city Ana lysis

LandCoverAnalysis

Context byPlanning Zone

Technic alSeminar

W ebsite

National Level Regional Level

Development Growth Orientation in the Region

Inte rv iewing1,241 house holds

and 297e nterprises

Using latestcensus by shiakha

in 2006

Updating G IS dataand supple mental

survey s

Discussing withGO PP,

governorate s, andlocal consultants

Conducting 7-days workshop

with gove rnorateofficials

Main Challenges and Assets

Modelling trafficdemand and

transportationne twork

Analyzing satelliteimages in 2001

and 2007

Providing issuesand constraints of16 planning zones

Ex changingexper iences of urb anp lanning and urban

d evelopment

O pening a websitefor public relation

SWOT Analysis

Prov iding demandprojection andkey issue s forwate r supply,

sewerage, powersupply , and solid

waste

Note: SWOT means Stre ngth, We akness, O pportunity, andThreats

3. Goal, Spatial Development Plan, and Transportation Plan for the Study Area until 2027

Planning Framework in the Study Area until 2027

Sub-sector Strategy in 11 Different Issues related to Urban Planning in 2027

Transportation Plan in 2027

Key Diagram in 2027

General Land Use Plan in 2027

Action Plan until 2027

Socio-economic framework of the study area until 2027

Population projection until 2027 at governorates and study area

Future growth pattern in the s tudy area until 2027

Distribution of population, employment, and education until 2027

Goal, Objective, and Development Strategy in the Study Area until 2027

Governorate Admin. Area Growth Rate(km2) in 1996-2006

1996 2006 (% per year)Cairo 1,636 6,801 7,787 1.4(%within S.A.) (100.0) (100.0)Giza 1,550 3,876 5,131 2.9(%within S.A.) (81.0) (81.8)Qaliobeya 788 2,207 3,059 3.3(%within S.A.) (66.9) (72.2)Sub-tot al 3,974 12,884 15,997 2.2(%within S.A.) (86.5) (87.3)10th of Ramadan 393 48 124 10.0Total 4,367 13,045 16,101 2.2

Population(1,000)

Study Area of Master PlanNote: In April 2008 after the completion of draftfinal report , the Presintial Decree declared to dividethe Cairo governorate into Cairo and Helwangovernorates and the Giza governorate into Giza and6th of October governorates. This administrativechange does not affect the outcomes of the masterplan, since the MP was formulated based on thephysical condistions of the city, and theadministrative changes meet the recommendations

h h bWorkflow of Master Plan

Population Projection for Governorates in Cairo Region“Population estimated at 27million in 2027”

5074 6059 6801 77872417

3719 47846273

16812512

33014237

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

1976 1986 1996 2006

Popu

latio

n (1

,000

)

Cairo Giza Qaliobeya

9,17212,290

14,88618,297

5074 60 59 6801 778 7 7893 8490 9144 98071 0487241737 19 4784

627 3 6445 7360 8206 9037 9797

168125 12

3301423 7 4344

48845429

59686446

0

5000

1 0000

1 5000

2 0000

2 5000

3 0000

1976 19 86 1996 200 6 2007 2012 2017 2022 2027

Popu

latio

n (1

,000

)

Cairo Giza Qal iobeya

9,17212,290

14,88618,297

18,68220,734

22,77924,813

26,73013.8

12.611.5 10.7

1.99

2.80

2.08 2.04

02468

10121416

1976 1986 1996 2006

Shar

e to

Tot

al P

opul

atio

n (%

)

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

Gro

wth

Rat

e (%

per

yea

r)

Growth Rate Share of Cairo Region

Existing Conditions Analysis Proposal

Growth Rate and Share to Total Populaiton in the Coutnry Estimated Population in 1976-2027Existing Population in 1976-2006

Growth Rate Estimated by Caior Demographic Center Estimated Growth Rate in 1976-2027Growth Rate in 1976-2006

1.531.711.881.95

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

'01'-06 '06'-11 '11'-16 '016'-21

Gro

wth

Rat

e (%

per

yea

r)

Cairo Giza Qaliobeya Total

1.501.731.90

2.112.102.081.93

2.97

0.000.501.001.502.002.503.003.504.004.505.00

76-86 86-96 96-06 06-07 07-12 12-17 17-22 22-27

Gro

wth

Rate

(% p

er y

ear)


2.97

1.932.08

0.000.501.001.502.002.503.003.504.004.505.00

76-86 86-96 96-06

Gro

wth

Rate

(% p

er y

ear)


-Existing Population of 18million in 2006-Growth Rate increasing from 1.93% per year in 1986-2006to 2.08% in 1996-2006

-Actual growth rate in 96-06 higher than High-case at1.95% per year by Cairo Demographic Center--Share to the total population decreasing to 10.7%

-Estimated growth rate slowing down to the level (1.5%per year) estimated by CDC-Estimated population of 27million in 2027

Note: Cairo includes Cairo and Helwan governorates.Note: GIza includes Giza and 6th of October governorates and a part of Helwan governorate.

3

Planning Framework for the Study Area“Population estimated at 24million with 7million workers and 6million students in 2027”

10,298

12,333

15,739

2,416

3,168

4,295 4,158

218

601

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000

1996

2006

2027

Main Agglomeration Villages NUC

12,932

16,101

24,192

37

58

50

100

93

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

University

Secondary

Preparatory

Primary

Employment

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000

University

Secondary

Preparatory

Primary

Tertiary

Secondary

Primary 427

2,333

2,824

4,126

1,281

1,334

877

Education

Employment

10,298

12,333

2,416

3,168

218

601

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000

1996

2006

Main Agglomerati on Vi llages NUC

12,932

16,101


Population Growth Rate by Built-up Area in 1996-2006 Population by Built-up Area in 1996-2027Population by Built-up Area in 1996-2006

Employment Rate and Enrolment Rate in 2006 (% ) Number of Workers and Students in 2027Number of Workers and Students in 2006

- Existing Population of 16million in 2006- No. of workers at 4.3million and No. of students at3.4million in 2006

-High growth rate at 10.7% per year in NUCs in 1996-2006-Need to improve Employment rate and Enrolment rate forpreparatory and higher according to the 6th 5-year plan

-Estimated population at 24million in 2027, of which 4million inNUCs (growth rate at 5.7-14.3% in 2006-2027)-No. of wokers at 7.4million and students at 5.8million in 2027

10.7

2.0

1.7

2.2

0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0

NUC

Villages &Small Towns

Main Agglo.

Study Area

(95%)

(100%)

(100%)

(100%)

(50%)504

593

479

1,827

2,384

1,667

260

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000

University

Secondary

Preparatory

Primary

Tertiary

Secondary

Primary

Education

Employment

Future Growth Pattern in 2027“Selecting Multi-polarized case for the largest population in NUCs”

Proposal

10.3 12.316.6 16.9 15.7

2.43.2

4.6 4.6 4.3

3.0 2.7 4.2

0.20.6

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

1996 2006 Alt-1in 2027

Alt-2in 2027

Alt -3in 2027

Main Agglomerat ion Villages and Small Towns NUCs

Existing Conditions Analysis

Alternative-1: Trend Basis Alternative-3: Multi-polarized CasePopulation Density in 2027 (person per year)

Alternative-2: East-West Direction Population Distribution by AlternativesCurrent Trend

-Alt. 3 for multi-polarized case having the largestpopulaiton shift to NUCs, selected for future growthpattern

-Economic activities incl. industries, commerical, andtourisms.concentrating on the main agglomeration withhigh population density at 303 persons per ha

-Three alternatives formulated for the future growthpattern. Alt. 1 for Trend basis and Alt. 2 for Continuousurbanization in East-West direction

62

250

303

257

0 100 200 300 400

NUC

Villages &Small Towns

Main Agglo.

Study Area

4

Future Urban Area in 2027“Encroachment on agricultural lands slowing down in 2001-2007”“Enhance the urban growth boundary to secure the preservation areas and the efficient investment”

-Enhance urban growth boundary to (i) Preserve thenatural, archeological and agricultural lands fromurbanization and (ii) Provide land for for 24million people

-Negative population growth in main agglomeratoin, whilerelatively high rates around main agglomerattion and inNUCs

-Encroachment on agricultural lands slowing down in2001-2007, which population increasing in NUCs andVillages & small towns


Growth Rate and Population Density by Built-up Area Natural and Archeological Reservation AreaPopulation Growth Rate by Shiakha in 1996-2006

Annually Encorached Agricultural Land in 1968-2007 General Land Use PlanUrban Area Change in 2001-2007

0.002.004.00

6.008.00

10.00

12.00

0 100 200 300 400

Density (person per ha)G

row

th R

ate

(% p

er y

ear)

Main Agglo Village & Small Town NUC Total

328

593

447

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1968-1977 1977-1982 2001-2007

Ave

rage

Enc

roac

hed

Lan

d (h

a pe

rye

ar)

General Land Use Plan“Misuses including Insufficient green areas and Environmentally-affected industrial areas“Land use plan for efficient and environmental city

-Key diagram for new urban centers to alter the urbanstructure. General land use to create Efficient andenvironmental city based on the proposed goals

-Existing land use for the study area and 16 planningzones formulated to recogniza existing conditions

-Misuses incl. (i) Insufficient green areas in mainagglomeration, (ii) Industrial uses in residential areas, (iii)insufficient lands for new urban centers


Factories to be Relocated Key Diagram in 2027Existing Land Use Map for Study Area

Green Area per Capita General Land Use Plan in 2027Existing Land Use Map for Planning Zone 1

29.3

27.4

26.9

11.8

5.5

3.2

1.5

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

New York ('97)

Berlin ('97)

London ('97)

Paris ('97)

Tokyo ('04)

Study Area ('06)

Main Agglo. ('06)

Green Area per Capita (sq.m per capita)

5

Transportation Plan“Assessment based on the planning framework in 2027 and the updated CREATS system”

26,578

24,984

22,790

21,278

18,655

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000

2027

2022

2017

2012

2007

Change LRT No. 1 from Girls Collegetowards New Cairo to Extention forMetro Line 3 Red line of V/C is over 1.00

Red line of V/C is over 1.50

(Private Mode)

(Public Mode)


V/C Analysis for Road Transport in 2027 Strengthen Cross Section E1-E2-E3 by CorridorUpdated CREATS System

V/C Analysis for PublicTransport in 2027 Strengthen Cross Section E1-E2-E3 by ExpresswayTrip Generation (1,000trips per day)

-Modification on Updated CREATS system to meet thetraffic demand in 2027 in the east side by Extention ofMetro Line 3 and Expressway (E12)

-Assessment based on conditions;i) Updated CREATS systemii) Trip demand following the planning framework in 2027

-Volume/Capacity analysis identifying cross-sections,which will be saturated in 2027 and need improvement

ExpresswayPrimary RdMetro

ExpresswayPrimary RdMetro

CREATS: Transportation Master Plan andFeasibility Study of Urban TransportProjects in Greater Cairo Region

CREATS+Expressway+On-going &Approved Projects

Infrastructure“Capacity analysis and efficient issues for water supply, wastewater, solid waste management, and power supply””

Qaliob eya

C ai roGiza

E xist ing W WTPs in S tud y Are a

1 212

3

109

F i 2 7 7 L i M f WWTP i S d A

8

4

5

7

6

13

11

G ov ern orat e B u il t - up A r ea N o . N ame o f WWT P

C ai r o 1 G a ba l Al As fe r2 A l B er k a3 H e lw an

10 th o f R am ada n 4 1 0t h of R am ad anB adr 5 B a drA l Sh or ou q 6 S h or ouq15 th o f M a y 7 1 5t h of M ayN ew Ca ir o 8 N e w C ai r o

G i za 9 Z en ei n10 A b u Ra w ash

6t h of O ct ob er 11 6 t h of O c to berQ a li obe ya M ai n ag gl om e ra ti on 12 B a lak s/ Sh obr a A l

K h eim aA l O bo ur 13 O b ou r

M ai n ag gl om e ra ti on

M ai n ag gl om e ra ti on

02,0004,0006,0008,000

10,00012,00014,00016,000

2007 2027Wat

er V

olum

e (1,

000m

3/da

y

Sup ply Capacity Demand (Scenario 1)

Deman d (Scenario 2)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2007 2027

Wat

er V

olum

e (1

,000

m3/

day)

Capacity Generation (Scenario 1)Generation (Scenario 2)

Qal iobe ya

C air oGiza

E xist ing W PPs in S tud y Ar ea

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1 0

8

9

1 1

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

F i gur e 2 .7 .2 Loc at io n Map of WPP s in St ud y Are a

G ov erno rat e Bu i lt - up A rea No . N ame o f WP P

1 M ust or od2 Am e ri a

3 Ro d Al F ar ag4 Al R od a

5 Fus ta t6 M aad i

7 He lw an8 Al M a rg9 Al T ab een

1 0 Ka fr Al E l w10t h of Ra m ad an 1 1 10t h of Ra m ada n

1 2 Gi za1 3 Em b aba

1 4 Ge zir a t A l Da habAl She ik h Zaye d 1 5 Sh eik h Zay ed6t h of O ct ob er 1 6 6t h of O ct ob erM ai nagg lo m er at io n

1 7 Sh obr a A l Kh ei m a

Al Ob our 1 8 Ob our

Q al io bey a

C ai r o M ai nagg lo m er at io n

G i za M ai nagg lo m er at io n


Water Demand and Supply Capacity in 2027 Efficient IssuesWater Demand and Supply Capacity in 2007

Generated Wastewater and Treatment Capacity in 2027 Efficient IssuesGenerated Wastewater and Treatment Capacity in 2007

[Review of water distribution]Six NUCs of 10 of Ramadan, Al Obour, Badr, 15th of Mayand Al Shorouk will have shortage of water supply,though the total supply capacity is adequate for the totaldemand.in 2027. Water distribution will need to bereviewed.[Improvement for quality of water supply]Studies will be necessary to;1) Review the water leakage, water tariff, and improper water uses for better operation.2) Monitor the groundwater used in Villages & Small Towns.

Water Demand in 2007:4,119,000m3/day

Supply Capacity in 2007:8,742,000m3/day

18 Water PurificationPlant in the Study Area

Generated Wastewater in2007: 3,790,000m3/day

Treatment Capacity in2007: 4,557,000m3/day

13 Watewater TreatmentPlant in the Study Area

[Review of service area by treatment plant]Three NUCs of 10 of Ramadan, 15th of May and Badr willhave shortage of treatment capacity, though the total capacity isenough for the total generated volume .in 2027. Collection andtreatment system will need to be reviewed.[Improvements of quality of wastewater treatment]1) Provide secondary treatment step of Abu Rawash WWTP2) Conduct studies for the Treatment system in Villages &Small Towns, Reuse of treated water and Better treatmentfor industrial effluents.

-Restructuing the water distribution system and serviceareas for water supply and waste water, even in sufficienttotal capacity. Needs to improve the service quality.

-Existing capacity for purification and treatment sufficientfor water demand and wastewater generation

-Sufficient capacity for purification and treatment to meetwater demand and wastewater generatoin in 2027 aftercompletion of on-going and planned projects

6

Development Corridor in 2027“Needs to strengthen transport systems and urban centers in NUCs”

Promoting Industrial and R&D Area

Key Diagram in 2027

Promoting New Business and Commercial Area

Three Development Corridors in 2027Transport Project in 2027

Needs to strengthen the transport in east andwest direction

Needs to reform the urban structure byenhancing the urban centers in NUCs

Phase 2: Outcomes of Pre-Feasibility Study for Western Development Corridor

7

Work Flow of Pre-Feasibility Study

1. Urban Planning for Western Development Corridor

8

The study area including the existing main agglomeration in Giza and 6th of October/ Shiekh Zayed NUCs.

Continuous urban areas in southern part of Giza up to Pyramids

Two archeological and one natural (geological) protectorates

Study Area for Pre-FS

4,0581000Population in 2006

843km2Land Area

Q’tyUnitItem

Existing Land Use Map in the Study Area

On-going urban development between NUCs and main agglomeration including;

Grand Egyptian MuseumLarge tourism investment zoneSmart village and Abu Rawash

industrial area

On-going Urban Development Projects

Future Growth Pattern of Western Development Corridor in 2027

On-going Project in the Study Area

9

Planning Framework for Western Development Corridor in 2027

Population by built-up area in 2027

Framework based on the master plan for the GCR in the 1st phase

2,386 3,232 3,321 3,716 4,001 4,236 4,448427639 663

822 965 1,099 1,216565831

1,068

341177157

27

30 3665

106155 199

20

01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,000

1996 2006 2007 2012 2017 2022 2027

Main agglomeration Villages & small towns 6th of October Al Sheikh Zayed

2,860 6,9316,3205,6374,9444,1974,058

2,0331,6671,3911,1429319281,000Total

3863303002772622551,000University

1,6471,3371,0918656696741,000Pri., Pre., and Sec.No. of Student

1,5101,4131,2511,1149879641,000Total

9078497586786015871,000Tertiary

5395054403883433351,000Secondary

6460534843421,000PrimaryNo. of Workers

6,931 6,320 5,637 4,944 4,1974,0581,000Population

202720222017201220072006UnitCategory

Population, Workers, Students in 2006-2027 in the Study Area for Pre-FS

Continuous urban areas unserved by public transport in south Giza up to Pyramids

New development taking place in areas between NUC and main agglomeration

Active development near Sheikh Zayedalong Alex. Desert Road and 26th July road

Mid/high density area along the existing and new urban centers

General Land Use Plan of the Study Area in 2027

Park

Commercial

Housing

Tourism

Business

SportGeneral Land Use Plan in the Study Area

10

65 62

51

3629 25

0

1020

30

40

5060

70

Availability ofmeans of

transportation

Reasonable price Availability ofservice and

utilities

Availability ofhealth careservices

Availability of alleducational

services

Standard of living

Peop

le's

Perc

eptio

n (%

)

Candidate Routes for Pre-Feasibility Study

Rail66.39Utilization of Egypt Railway Plan

8

Rail39.99Railway Plan on Extension Road of North Expressway

7

Rail32.31Extension of Metro 4 to 6th of October

6

Rail35.19Extension of Metro 4 to 6th of October

5

Rail40.73Railway Plan on the Same Track of Option 3

4

Bus40.73Bus Plan3

Rail35.9Railway Plan on the Same Track of Option 1

2

Bus35.9Bus Plan1

ModeLength (km)

Name of Option

Description of Eight OptionsEight Options of Transport Route

People’s Perception for Conditions to Move to NUC

Not recommended

Considered Necessary as a

point-to-point road

Alt. Option to Option 5

Recommended as medium & long

term

Not recommended

Recommended as short term plan

Not recommended

Not recommended

Overall Evaluation

633

1,004

1,606

1,605

969

578

977

545

Construc-tion cost(US$ mil.)

7,190LittlePoint to point

74Utilization of Egypt Railway Plan

8

2,600SomePoint to point

324Road and Railway Plan on Extension of North Expressway

7

2,270A littleCorridor dev.

594Extension of Metro No 4 to 6th of October Road

6

2,030A littleCorridor dev.

666Extension of Metro No 4 to 6th of October Road

5

1,240ManyPoint to point

660Railway Plan on Saft-El Laban Axes and 26th of July Road

4

2,510LittlePoint to point

318Busway Plan on Saft El Laban Axes and 26th of July Road

3

1,330SomePoint to point

620Railway Plan on 26th of July Road

2

2,330A littlePoint to point

324Busway Plan on 26th of July Road

1

Investment per

pass. (US$/Pa.)

Socio-Environ-mental aspect

Urban Develop-

mentDirection

Magnitude of Traffic

Demand in 2027 (‘000)

Name of Option

Comparative Analysis for Alternative Routes

Option 3 and Option 5 selected for the transport route of development corridor

11

Routes and Stations (Railway and Busway)

Giza City(main

agglomeration)

6th of OctoberIndustrial Area

6th of OctoberUrban Center

University

Al SheikhZayed Urban

Center

Athletic Park incl.International

Football Stadium

NationalMuseum

InternationalConvention

Area

IT andManuracturingIndustrial Area

Central PublicPark

Pyramid Area

The western development corridor will interlink CBD of main agglomeration, urban centers of NUCs, industrial areas, public parks and a new national museum (Greater Egyptian Museum), and a new international convention area, and so on.

Main Activities along Corridor

2. Traffic Demand

12

0.8Bus

2.2Passenger Car

2.8Minibus

3.4Taxi

88.0Shared Taxi

Share (%)Transport Mode

High rate of shared taxis (88%) for tripsVery limited use of cars.Main destinations of 80% to Giza (36%), Pyramids area (20-40%) and Imbaba (20%), Very long travel time of 104 minutes (incl. 74minutes for vehicle trip)

1.6%3.2%7.9%39.7%39.7%Share

DokkiShubraMaadiEl AhramGizaArea

From 6th of October

2.4%4.1%19.8%21.2%36.3%Share

DokkiKhalifahEl AhramImbabaGizaArea

To 6th of October

3.0 LEFare

73.8Vehicle Time

7.6Waiting Time for Transfer

2.1Walking Time for Transfer

13.2Waiting Time

3.15.0Walking Time to/from Mode (min.)

Last Mode

Linked Trip

First Mode

Item

Travel Mode, Travel Destination and Travel Time

Share by Transport Mode

Share by “Origin to” and “Destination from” 6th of October

Travel Time and Fare of 6th of October Residents

Location of Traffic Count Survey

Future Demand by Bus and Railway Station until 2027

Traffic demands are estimated for each station based on the traffic model of SDMP as updated with the surveys and socio economic/population framework

13

Short term: Busway along 26th of July and Metro 3

Public Transport Network ImprovementImprovement in 2008-2012

80,700229,650202772,800209,2502022 with 6th of October Line120,700313,8002022 w/o 6th of October Line61,700157,450201740,400100,800Year 2012

Bus Exclusive Lane Operation221,000795,800Year 2027201,400679,9002022 with 6th of October Line151,500439,0502022 w/o 6th of October Line144,800425,8002017

6th of October Line

Max. through-Pax

Passengers

Summary of Demands of Railway and Busway

Demand for busway exceeding capacity of 300,000 in 2022.Railway starting serve until 2022.Busway for short term and railway for medium-long term

Improvement in 2018-2022Improvement in 2013-2017

Medium term: Metro 4 up to Pyramids and Metro Line 3 westward to Imbaba and eastward

Long term: 6th October Line from Pyramids to 6th

October, and Metro 3 eastwards and East Wing

3. Railway Plan

14

Routes and Stations (Railway)

Interlinking the existing and planned urban area

Running existing roads to minimize the land acquisition

Convenient transit to Line 1, 2, and 4Mitigating environmental impact and cost

reduction by mixture of underground, elevated, and on-ground.

1st Phase (15.2km) and 2nd Phase (25.3km)

9th District Central

El Malek El Saleh (Metro 1)

Giza Square (Metro 2)

Al Wahat Rd.

Bank Str.

Interlinked Underground and Elevated Railway Elevated Railway

Phase 1 and Phase 2 of Railway

15.2km in 1st Phase and 25.3km in 2nd Phase44.5min from CBD to 6th of October

40.519.213.87.5

Total

10025.315.2Total4717.71.5At-Grade347.66.2Elevated190.07.5Underground

%Ph. 2Ph. 1Type

Less than Heavy Rail(not so favorable for at-grade section as it shall

require a girder.)

Less than Heavy Rail(Difficult to maintain at-

grade for most part.)

Most appropriate to 6th

Oct LineOverall Evaluation

Example

Smallest because rubber tire use

Smaller noise due to no traction gear

Noisy (protection measure required)

Noise, Vibration and Scenery

within 30kmwithin 40kmwithin 100kmTravel Distance

Easy construction Girder type mitigates traffics

Girder type mitigates traffics

Easiness of Viaduct Construction

Smaller than Heavy RailSmaller than Heavy RailLargeTransportation Capacity

Good for elevatedGood for elevated/underground

Good for any alignment

Compatibility with Route Condition

MonorailLinear Motor Heavy RailEvaluation Item

Evaluation of Suitable Railway System

Comparison by Three Railway Systems

15

31,00020,300pax/hr/wayTransport Capacity

4.55min.Train Headway (peak hr)

159153train/day/directionTrains per Day

26(3)

14(2)

set(set)

Required Train Set (excl. reserved)

20884carRequired No. of Car

8 (1,266)

6(942)

car/train(pax./car)

Cars per Train(Nominal pax. per car)

km/h

min.

pax/hr/way

Unit

44.5(Express)

61.0 (Ordinary)

24.5Traveling Time

54.6 (Express)

39.8 (Ordinary)

37.2Scheduled Speed

30,94020,272Max Traffic Volume

Phase II (2027)

Phase I (2017)

Item

Train Operation Condition and Construction Standard

Basic Operation Conditions for Railway

Phase 1 and Phase 2 of Railway

Phase 2 Phase 1

DC 1,500 VFeeding Line Volt.

Slab TrackMain Line ViaductBallast TrackMain Line Ground170 mPlatform Length

3,000 mMin Vertic. Radius of C.

Overhead Catenary

Power Collection S.

LevelCar Depot35 ‰Max Gradient R=100 mSide Track, Depot R=400 mPlatformR=600 mMain Line

Min Radius Of Curve110km/hOperation Max S.120km/hDesign Max Speed1,435mmTrack GaugeSpecificationItem

Basic Construction Standard

15.2km in 1st Phase and 25.3km in 2nd Phase44.5min from CBD to 6th of October

Location Map

Typical Plan for Station and Depot

Typical Layout of Depot

Typical Layout of Station (elevated)

Typical Layout of

Station(at ground)

16

2,100.8Total Costs

191.0Custom Duties (Total to the above)

304.9Contingency and Management

36.0Whole lineCar Depot

98.0Whole lineSignaling and Telecommunication

146.0Whole linePower Station/Distribution

198.4124 carsCars Costs (Phase II)

134.484 carsCars Costs (Phase I)

270.325.3 kmConstruction Costs (Phase II)

721.815.2 kmConstruction Costs (Phase I)

Cost (mil. USD)RequirementItem

Preliminary Cost Estimate and Construction Schedule

Project approvalVarious formalitiesBasic design and biddingCivil & architectural worksElectrical & mechanical worksTraining & testStart of Operation

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20182017 20222019 2020 2021

Project approvalVarious formalitiesBasic design and biddingCivil & architectural worksElectrical & mechanical worksTraining & testStart of Operation

Phase 1

Phase 2▼

▼

Preliminary Cost Estimate

Construction Schedule

Opened in 2017 (1st Phase) and 2022 (2nd

Phase)Investment amounted 2,101million LE

4. Preliminary Study on 26th of July Busway

17

Routes and Stations (Busway)

Start at BehoutSt. Metro 2Route along

ENR track

Route in agricultural land26th July Road

System Plan: Following CREATS and MOHUUD /MOT PlansTransport Demand: Coordinating 6 Oct. Line operationOutput: Cost Estimates

Exclusive busway

Type 1Type 4 Type 2Type 1 Type 4 Type 4

Type 3Type 2 Type 1 Type 1Type 4

Type 3

Type 3

Route Layout of Busway Five types of cross sections and bus stations

Cross section (Type 1 for at-grade)Cross section (Type 1b for at-grade)Cross section (Type 2 for 26th of July)Cross section (Type 3 for 26th of July-6th of Oct.)

Type 4Type 4

Cross section (Type 4 for Elevated)Cross section (Type 4b for Elevated)Bus terminal station

Bus station (Type 1 for elevated)Bus station (Type 2 for median)Bus station (Type 3 for roadside along railway)Bus station (Type 4 for roadside with railway at median)

Type 1

Type 3Type 2Type 1

Type 3 Type 4

Type 4Type 4 Type 4Type 4

Type 3

Type 3Type 3Type 2

Type 1 Type 1Terminal

Terminal

Structure

Station

Structure

Station

Structure

Station

Structure

Station

18

Typical Cross Section of Busway

Type 1 at-grade level

Type 2 for 26th of July

Type 3 for 26th of July-6th of October

Type 4 for Elevated SectionType 1b at-grade level

Type 4b for Elevated Section

Typical Plan for Bus Stations

Type 1 for Elevated Station Type 2 for Median Station

Type 3 for Roadside Station along Railway Station Type 4 for Roadside Station with Railway Station at Median

19

Typical Plan for Bus Terminals and Depot

Bus Terminal at Bohooth Station Bus Terminal in 6th of October

N

Underground Pedestrian WayTo Bahooth Sta. (Metro Line 2)

Proposed Site for Depot in 6th of October

Preliminary Cost Estimate and Construction Schedule for Busway

67.83Stations (At Grade & Elevated)

Cost(mil. LE)

Item

78.12Sales Tax

1,654.12Total

119.13Engineering and Const. Management, Local Admin, and Contingency

908.00Bus

46.85Depot and Workshop

130.11Bus Terminal

47.71Station Plaza

5.77Intermediate Station

328.72Busway

Preliminary Cost Estimate

7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1. Detailed Design

2. Tendering

3. Land Acquisition

4. Busway Construction

1) Mobilization

2) Preparatory Work

3) Temporary Work

4) Earth Work

5) Foundation Work

6) Substructural Work

7) Superstructural Work

8) Incidental Work

a) Bus terminal & StationPlaza includingPedestrian Bridge

b) Depot Facility

c) Others IncidentalConstruction (Drainage,Curb, Pavement,Marking, etc.)

9) Environmental Work

10) Cleaning & Demobilization

5. Start of Operation January 2012

Work Item2009 2010 2011

Construction ScheduleOpened in 2012Investment amounted to

1,654.12million LE (incl. busway, buses, and stations)

20

5. Urban Development Plan for Major Stations

Railway

Mixed Use(incl. public services)

Residential Use(medium density)

Residential Use(low density)

Public &TransitSpace

Commercial& Business

Commercial& Business

Development of the railway station and its surrounding areas aims at;Providing efficient transit of the different transportation modesCreating a focal point in the urban areas around to generate passengers

Concept of Land Use Plan for Transport-Oriented Development at Station

Land Use Pattern around Station Station Square and UrbanDevelopment in its Surrounding Area

21

In 6th of October, the 9th District was provisionally selected for central station location in consultation with NUCA

Existing Condition for Central Station AreaLocation Map

Existing Conditions (Vacant Land)(Satellite Imagery in 2008)

Designated Land Use

According to NUCA land use plan, this area is planned for commercial area

The central station area will provide an ideal site for Business headquarters, branches,Services, commercial, financesHigh-rise residentialPublic services, etc.

Land Use Plan for Central Station Area

Land Use Plan for Central

Station Area

Location Map

Site Plan for Station Square

A station square located for assuring the easy transit between different transportation modes.

22

BCR and FAR as the basic tools for building control.

Higher density for areas near the station, lower with the distance

Red: about 15 floorsOrange: about 10 floors

Development Image

Planning Parameters and Development Image

Building Coverage and Floor Area Ratios

100.0560,000Total

76.0425,500Urban Development

24.0134,500Sub-total

3.218,000Park

2.313,000Station Square

18.5103,500Road

Public Facility

Share(%)

Land Area(m2)Land Use Category

Area by Land Use Category

Other ordinary station area will provide at smaller scale

ResidentialNeighborhood shopping and

servicesPublic services

Land Use Plan for Typical Ordinary Station

Land Use Plan(to be adjusted with Existing Conditions)

Location Map Site Plan for Station Square

23

6. Economic Analysis and Environmental Consideration

Pre-Environmental Impact Analysis

Busway Railway

Outcome

Identify (i) environmental issues and (ii) recommendations for EIA in the implemenatation stage.

1)Definitely environmental benefits on ambient air, taffict conditions, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions 2) Local adverse impacts should be studied in Pre-EIA

AdverseImpact

Purpose

Initial Environmental Evaluation (IEE)

Pre-Environmental Impact Assessment (pre-EIA)

1) Impacts largely related to construction phase and to be mitigated to some extent 2) Relocation in the limited areas

1) Impacts largely related to construction phase and to be mitigated to some extent 2) No possibility of mitigation for Change in landscape and the living environment typically along Pyramids Rd.

Purpose Screen in accordance with Egyptian and JICA social-enviornmental guidelines; 1) the potential impacts and 2) the necessity of environmental impact assessment according

Recommendations for EIANeeds for

Futher Study 1) Soil survey of the ENR workshops of El Bohouth 2) Social survey in sensitive areas of El Bohouth, Pyramids Road, and El Bashtir residential zones 3) Mitigation and compensation measures for the adverse impacts

Conclusion 1) Local adverse impacts as Relocation of few activities and Change in the landscape 2) Social and environmetal benefit on air pollution, mobility, energy saving, and GHG emissions

24

Economic and Financial Analysis

1) Economically preferable to implement the projects as a whole2) Busway is commercially feasible, if part of the invetment cost is borne by the public sector

3) Subsidy or low interest rated fund required for railway for sound business model

Conclusion

EIRR

NPV

Case 1 Case 2

21.3% 14.1% 16.5%

LE1,017 million LE1,360 million LE3,057 million

Case 1 Case 3Case 2

Subcidyto Const.

Cost

Case

Economic Analysis

Financial Analysis

0% 100% 0% 100%57%

Distance-based Fare (due to long travel distance)0.6LE/time+0.03LE/km in 2008 (5% increase per year similar to actual fare chane in 2000-2006)

NPV LE186 million LE438 million LE(968)million LE1,300 millionLE5 million

Conclu-sion

FIRR 18.46% 35.7% 8.04% n.a.12.03%

Fare

Feasible in any case with and without subcidy for construction costinstalled.

Marginally feasible, if more than 57% of infurastructure cost is borne bythe purbli sector

Conclu-sion

Economically feasible

Benefit Cost saving by travel time and vehicle operation Increase value added byindustry + Cost saving

Busway Railway OverallUrban Development

17.5%

LE2,285 million

Increase value added byindustry

Busway Railway

Thank you!

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