An-update on the Ministry of Electricity’s Plan & Strategies

Oct. 2013

Planning & Studies Office

Planning & Studies Office

Presentation Roadmap

Overview & Introduction to the generation plan.• Master plan .• existing generation system .• Combined cycle.

Overview & Introduction to the transmission network.• Existing network.• Reinforcement.

Overview & Introduction to the distribution network.• Existing network.• Energy consumption.• Challenges.

Renewable energy program.• Generation side • Solar + Wind sites• Distribution side.

Issues to be addressed. Future strategy. Summary.

Planning & Studies Office

Introduction

The presentation covers a time span extending to the years (2017-2030)

Includes all the major components of electricity sectors (Generation, Transmission, Distribution & Renewable energy).

Gives the urgent needs to be addressed

Planning & Studies Officeo 25 Year of war & lack of investment.o Significant damage to power plants, substations & transmission

lines.o 12 Year of sanctions had deprived (M.E) of any assets & resources

to maintain or expand system accompanied by degradation.o These challenges had led (M.E) to prepare a very powerful Master

Plan.o Fast Track gas power units contracts were singed in (2008-2009)o Actual start of Master Plan was 2008 when the Mega Deal to

supply 56/GE F9Es (7000MW) + 18 unit/Siemens (3200MW) was actually budgeted and signed December 2008.

o Installation of Mega Deal power units was delayed to 2010 due to the need for EPC contracts formulation consultations and assignment of budget.

Background

Power generation plan

Gas power plants

Thermal power plants

Renewable energy (Solar & Wind)

Combined Cycle

12547 MW (2013-2019)

13590 MW (2013-2019)

400 MW (2014-2017)

5632 MW (2013-2019)

Planning & Studies Office

The aim : to satisfy unmet electricity demand and provide reliable continuous supply

o No more Diesel plants after 2012.

Planning & Studies Office

Participation percentage

Attainable power (MW) Plant Type

46% 5900 Gas turbine

23% 2890 Steam turbine

8% 900 Hydro

9% 1100 Diesel

14% 1850 Imports & Barges Demand

15183 12640

Existing Generation System(Q3-2013)

Kirkuk

New Steam, Gas turbine & Diesel projectsIn service (2013)

Planning & Studies Office

Khairat: 10x125MW Kerbala: 2x125MW

Hilla: 2x125MW

Quds : 4x125MWTaji: 4x40MW

Rumaila :2x292MW

Zubaidiya2: 3x330MW

Mukhliss Kafi : 230 MW

Plant Type. Capacity (MW)

Steam Turbine 990

Gas Turbine 3049

Diesel 230

Total 4269

Najaf: 1x55MW

Kirkuk

New Steam, Gas turbine & Diesel projectsPlanned to be In service (2013)

Planning & Studies Office

Akkaz: 2x125MWTaza :1x292MW

Bazurgan: 2x60MW

Mansuriya : 3x185MW

Plant Type. Capacity (MW)

Steam Turbine 0

Gas Turbine 1877

Diesel 0

Total 2127

Haydariya: 1x160MW

Nenawa: 4x125MW

Kirkuk

Steam, Gas turbine & Diesel projects(2014-2020)

Planning & Studies Office

Haydariya: 4x125MWHaydariya: 1x160MWHaydariya: 1x160MW

Saddir: 2x169MWBaghdad sout: 1x150MW

Shat Al-Basra: 10x125 MWNajibiya: 4x125MWRumaila :3x292MW Hartha :2x610MW

Dibis: 2x169MWDibis2: 2x160MW

Amara: 4x125MWAmara: 2x300MW

Samawa: 4x125MW

Nassiriya: 4x125MWNassiriya: 6x300MW

Al-Shamal :4x350MW

Salah Al-deen :2x630MW

Anbar (CCGT): 1644 MWAnbar : 6x300 MW

Yousfiya: 2x210MWYousfiya: 4x350MW

Zubaidiya: 2x610MWZubaidiya: 1x330MW

Plant Type. Capacity (MW)

Steam Turbine + CCGT

14244

Gas Turbine 8121

Diesel 0

Total 22365

Dewaniya: 4x125MW

Baiji: 6x169MW

Mansuriya: 3x185MW

Akkaz: 1x120MW

Khairat: 3x330MW

2013 2014 2015 total0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

3983

6024

1778

11785

MW

Planning & Studies Office

Gas power plant project 2013-2015

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 total0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

1150330 770

5502

73445940

600

21636MW

Planning & Studies Office

steam power plant project 2013-2019

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 total0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

51336354

2548

55027344

5940

600

33421

MW

Planning & Studies Office

steam & gas power plant projects 2013-2019

Planning & Studies Office

Combined Cycle conversion Program

Added Capacity(MW)

Conversion start Year

538 Phase one

2839 Phase two

2255 Phase three

To be announced

All existing and new gas power plants operated on natural gas will be converted from simple cycle to combined cycle.

All new gas power plants operated on crude oil or heavy fuel oil will be converted to combined cycle when operated on natural gas.

Fuel burn (2012) (mmBtu)/2012

CRUDE OIL 28%

FUEL OIL

(HFO) 28%

DIESEL OIL 1%

GAS OIL 7%

N. GAS 36%

Overview of (T&D) networks

A. Transmission

Existing Transmission and Distribution Network

GenerationGenerationTransmission

Network

Distribution Network

System Load

400 kV

11 kV

132 kV

11 kV33 kV 11 kV33 kV

GenerationG

G

11 kV 11 kV

LOAD

LOAD LOAD

LOAD

Major Load Centres

10%

30%

10%

Reinforcement of the Existing Transmission Network

Exist2012

Planned to be in operation (2013)

Planned to be in operation (2014)

Planned to be in operation (2015)

400 kV Substations 25 6 13

400 kV Overhead Lines 4900 km 1500km

132 kV Substations 210 29 12 42

132 kV Overhead Lines 12,500km 2500km

• Plan to implement flexible AC systems (FACTS) is under development

Overview of (T&D) networks

B. Distribution

Energy Consumption2013

42%23

%

3%

6%26%

domesticindustrialagriculturalcommercialgovernmental

Planning & Studies Office

• The domestic demand is the highest , demand side management program is under development.

Reinforcement of the Existing Distribution Network

Exist2012 2013 2014 2015

Additions 33/11 kv S/S 356 184 82 144

Installed capacity (MVA) 22137 33729 38895 47967

Attainable capacity (MW) 19409 21740 26276

Planning & Studies Office

Reinforcement of distribution networks(2012-2016)

1. Rehabilitation of the existing network.

2. Adding 400 (33/11 kV)substation.

3. Energy efficiency programs.

4. Dispatch control centers.

Renewable energy program

o In 2011 “Renewable energy & Environment Center” was established.

o Renewable Energy programs have been approved in both Generation & Distribution sides.

o Solar Potential in IRAQ:o 5.7 kWh/m2/Day.o 2050 kWh/m2/Year.

Renewable energy program

Renewable energy program

Generati on side:

o Utilize solar & wind power to supply small isolated locations that cannot economically be connected to the grid .

o Install “on grid” & concentrated solar power )CSP( plants in later stages.

Renewable energy program

o The first stage is to utilize solar and wind power to supply ten isolated areas:

• Total capacity : 50 MW.• Total cost ) Estimated ( : 200 MUSD.• Current status : Tendering • Expected date of operation : 2014

First stage

Renewable Energy program

Phase one :

Solar + Batteries+Wind turbines

DG units+

Methodology

Renewable energy sites

Al-waleed border point

Planning & Studies Office

Treibeel border point

Al-sheeb

Al-shelamcha

Al-salman

Bssaiya

Al-nekhaib

Al-rahmaniya

IRAN

Syria

Al-rufei

Bazurgan

Al-sa’ad

Renewable energy program

S t ra te g y

The renewable energy target is to reach 2% of the available power by the end of 2017.

2012 2013 2014 2015 Total0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Expected capacity additions from Renewable energy to grid (2013-2016)MW

2014 2015 2016 2017

o Renewable energy )solar & wind( are promising , but technical and regulating measures are required to unleash their potentials.

o Detailed solar atlas of Iraq need to be created.o Detailed wind atlas of Iraq need to be created.o Legislation ,incentives should be issued to

promote renewable goals.o Technical assistance infrastructure of the

center is required.

Renewable energy program

Renewable energy program

D i s t r i b u ti o n s i d e:D e m a n d s i d e m a n a g e m e n t

o Solar water heaters.

o Air-conditioning solar systems.

o Lighting )L.E.D(.

o Domestic self generation units )PV(.

Planning & Studies Office

o It’s Anticipated that the generation will match the demand during the year 2015.

o Two strategies :o 2012-2015 :

o Capacity additions to satisfy the unmet demand.

o 2016-2020 :o Reduce demand (Demand side management).o Large scale conversion of the gas turbines in the plants of the

“ Mega Deal” from burning crude oil or HFO to burning Natural gas .o Large scale conversion of the simple cycle gas turbine units to

combined cycle units.o Mapping technical potentials (Solar , Wind , Waste & Bio energy)

Present and future strategies

Planning & Studies Office

Strategies for the years (2012-2020)

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 202012000

14000

16000

18000

20000

22000

24000

26000

Load forecast (High) Strategy

G=D

Capacity additions to meet the demand

• Reduce Demand.• Conversion of Gt units to burning N.G• Combined cycle units (CCGT).• Renewable Energy.

Planning & Studies Office

o A lot of work has been done already.

o M.E have made a lot of progress , but there is still a great work to deal with, but it is setting itself up for the future

o The ministry now has the planning tools and needs training and Consultations to carry-on the planning process

Summary

Planning & Studies Office

o Iraq’s economy has started to accelerate.

o (Oil & Gas) output & revenues are increasing

o Major projects are planned.

o Investment in electrical sector in Iraq (2012-2030) estimated to be 75 BUSD:

• Generation 35 BUSD• Transmission 10 BUSD• Distribution 30 BUSD.

Summary