page 1 ipsos mori political monitor - 2009 - combined ... · -ain 10) 10) 10) 10) vote male female...

Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - 2009 - CombinedGeneral Public 18+ - Telephone Omnibus

Table 1

Q.1(A)/Q.1(B) Combined Voting Intention -

Base : All

Fieldwork dates : 2009 Monthly: 16-18 Jan.,13-15 Feb.,13-15 Mar.,17-19 Apr.,29-31 May,19-21 June,17-19 July,21-23 Aug.,25-27 Sept.,16-18 Oct.,13-15 Nov.,11-13 Dec.Weighted together - not by each monthRespondent Type : General Public 18+ - Telephone OmnibusSource : Ipsos MORI J2009/51,55,59,63,67,71,75,79,83,87,91,95 /J17489x9 *=Less than 0.5%

UnweiTotalghtedLikelihood(WeighTotalSocial ClassAgeGenderto voteted)

(10)Absolu

WouldtelyNOT(9 to(8 to(7 to(6 tocert

C2DEABC1DEC2C1AB75+65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-2455+35-5418-34FemaleMalevote10)10)10)10)-ain1207654556621314123143359326211082620196420032337204311094584434031526420565611547035803486519066628912076Unweighted Total1207654226654293424883526312810132456182719972360200814284283435734366231584511646872791385608984613912076Weighted Total937939915402214618452811259183020191477152818001530103934963328256947414652217622171257683801755689393Total Voting34591299220866363611171090360857571546672536325142912178611763174363255428533031312323163507Conservative

37%33%41%31%34%40%42%43%42%39%36%37%35%31%41%37%34%37%37%29%41%40%39%39%42%37%

28371365144781654979764925460241445950645038010169658311422138978164219232123225914632811Labour30%34%27%38%30%28%25%31%30%28%30%28%29%37%29%29%32%30%30%36%26%27%28%28%26%30%

1753680106835432654152714034030825933033817264958951096778037117513661472152610401748Liberal Democrats (Lib19%17%20%16%18%19%20%17%17%21%17%18%22%17%19%18%20%20%17%17%19%19%19%19%19%19%Dem)

261124119675766541240354856303574104651001446148174185196127243Scottish Nationalist3%3%2%3%3%2%2%2%2%2%3%3%2%3%2%3%3%2%3%3%2%2%2%2%2%3%

72294612172818322121281393419224431*495158614475Plaid Cymru1%1%1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%

4031422437666121122143944739675598316913421616914223278303319182385Green Party4%4%4%4%4%4%5%2%2%3%5%5%5%6%2%5%5%5%4%6%4%4%4%4%3%4%

2701491217376625931764857502118124106391021684201222234241190270UKIP3%4%2%3%4%2%2%4%4%3%4%3%1%2%4%3%2%2%4%2%3%3%3%3%3%3%

175129785772423672217425044333992777213512120138150161111207British National Party2%3%1%3%4%1%1%1%1%1%3%3%3%3%1%3%3%2%3%5%2%2%2%2%2%2%

1497571294637357212833332384966315592310911912813197146Other2%2%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%2%1%1%2%1%1%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%

622-66761-152873204411062551578716685-5541225330342354-15912930909864853695"Conservative Lead over7%-2%14%-7%5%11%17%13%13%11%6%9%6%-5%12%8%1%7%8%-7%15%13%12%11%15%7%Labour"

9404674732701972891845714912513519316617127432833757436685341438499555294939Undecided8%9%7%9%8%8%6%6%6%7%7%8%8%12%6%8%10%9%6%7%5%6%6%6%5%8%

14338226054293933382677718816626732128220335458948476266585582107133158701427Would not vote12%15%9%15%16%10%9%8%8%9%13%14%14%14%8%14%14%12%11%73%1%1%2%2%1%12%

298129161804980824999545838281415396411391515218232235240198290Refused2%2%2%3%2%2%3%5%4%3%3%2%1%1%4%2%1%2%3%*3%3%3%3%3%2%

2613139494-149741517415112101111131026Will vote for another*******-******************party but don't know

which

Unweigh-Past voteTotalted(2005 GeneralNewspaperChildren inWorkingVoting(Weig

TotalElection)readershipGOR RegionshouseholdTenureWork sectorGovernmentstatus(voters only)hted)Notfull-Not

GreatTotalSocPrivtime/ConConserownerialateOwnedDissaNotNotserCon-

LibLabervBroadTabEngLonMid1 oroccuprentrentoutMortVolunPrivPubtisSatisworkFull-LabvatLibLabserv-DemsourativesheetloidlanddonSouthlandsNorthmoreNoneierererrightgagetaryatelic-fiedfiedingtime-ouriveDem-ourative

120761299351625812569494210329147242403755408133158730892017741230417147491573758296985772713678252946537591517532837345912076Unweighted Total120761248344525352461504710406154942833751404134808562873120771133329754352015297141385892705652155556575588017482811350712076Weighted Total93791154297723692141397080741212333929143139258867836977150880926654313163412110816702222250904303657558801748281135079393Total Voting34591483842103825160432264161413116592994125522868329277123916293816083213138278191315943507---35073507Conservative

37%13%13%89%39%40%40%34%42%40%30%36%38%41%22%34%46%38%24%39%30%47%13%38%37%53%---100%37%2837721946296231262238041885384511148002010187665425164512315711003811177141215941217-2811-2811-2811Labour

30%6%65%1%29%32%29%34%26%29%35%31%30%27%43%31%24%29%35%27%35%18%64%31%28%-48%-100%-30%175383436482430567155926772248454245512891276283170444832427902181305340908839174817481748--1748Liberal Democrats (Lib

19%72%12%3%20%14%19%22%22%17%17%18%19%18%19%21%17%19%26%19%20%19%15%18%20%27%30%100%--19%Dem)26183074512632212416617715868174910911143516666122121243243---243Scottish Nationalist

3%1%1%*2%3%****8%3%3%2%4%2%2%3%*3%3%2%3%2%3%4%4%---3%72414211241--75-205559114243511910601352237575---75Plaid Cymru1%***1%1%*--3%-1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%---1%

4034990271179634766154107123114270274584684190191785328571192193385385---385Green Party4%4%3%1%5%2%4%5%5%4%4%4%4%4%4%6%3%4%12%4%5%4%3%4%4%6%7%---4%

2702058664412325313105966962208218331610111831292325411141129270270---270UKIP3%2%2%3%2%3%3%1%3%3%2%2%3%3%2%2%4%3%2%3%2%4%*3%3%4%5%---3%

1756393822106183195386698412313655154195-1141819014107101207207---207British National Party2%1%1%2%1%3%2%2%2%3%2%3%2%2%4%2%2%2%-3%2%3%1%2%2%3%4%---2%

14914521524631221237575347991131712377616922128166185140140---146Other2%1%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%---2%

62276-15622073203341846-1560320-184141543992-32426593398-19508-591961-11343193763507-28110-28113507695"Conservative Lead over7%7%-52%88%9%9%10%*17%11%-6%5%8%14%-22%3%22%9%-11%12%-5%29%-51%6%9%53%-48%0%-100%100%7%Labour"

940412317912938880712134229430332161564317910523241012376119631190547392-----939Undecided8%3%7%3%5%8%8%8%8%8%7%9%7%7%9%9%7%8%6%7%8%7%7%8%7%-----8%

143346215681415711243186504448475516907874335200274600186801781053227706721-----1427Would not vote12%4%6%3%6%11%12%12%12%12%12%15%11%10%16%18%8%11%9%13%13%12%8%11%13%-----12%

298717164910525625888811448239223471612110271093118262167123-----290Refused2%1%*1%2%2%2%2%2%2%3%1%3%3%2%1%4%2%4%2%2%2%2%3%2%-----2%

26-531132559610818149351011242041115-----26Will vote for another*-***********************-----*party but don't know

which


Table 2


Base : All


Unweighted“Safe” LabourLabour - ConservativeTotalTotalSize of majorityseatsmarginalsConservative target2005 seat(Weighted)

LabourLabourLess than 15%More than 5%Majority 20%majoritymajority

Over 25%up to 25%up to 15%Less than 5%or morebelow 13.9%below 8.7%Top 200Top 100Lib DemLabourConservative12076213326872091140919971407867269014058514402293312076Unweighted Total12076216626902069138319851429891263213998114387299712076Weighted Total937916582137159610981502109069720391091664335623839393Total Voting3459519792656429359469298781458207103011353507Conservative

37%31%37%41%39%24%43%43%38%42%31%31%48%37%

283756158543029962132621056728613812135172811Labour30%34%27%27%27%41%30%30%28%26%21%36%22%30%

1753288457291199252150983922012255474551748Liberal Democrats (Lib19%17%21%18%18%17%14%14%19%18%34%16%19%19%Dem)

261793736137321367271144243Scottish Nationalist3%5%2%2%1%5%**2%1%4%3%*3%

722015318232292339775Plaid Cymru1%1%1%*2%2%*****1%*1%

403601026954565033925229150102385Green Party4%4%5%4%5%4%5%5%4%5%4%4%4%4%

2705867525342523385532811189270UKIP3%3%3%3%5%3%5%5%4%5%4%3%4%3%

17541503419422110441569048207British National Party2%2%2%2%2%3%2%1%2%1%1%3%2%2%

14932322312341713331816227146Other2%2%1%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%*2%1%2%

622-42207226130-2621448921317270-183618695"Conservative Lead over7%-3%10%14%12%-17%13%13%10%16%10%-5%26%7%Labour"

9401632011721201461328024312158361224939Undecided8%8%7%8%9%7%9%9%9%9%7%8%7%8%

143329530424413529717195287156745663271427Would not vote12%14%11%12%10%15%12%11%11%11%9%13%11%12%

298464255283634185926169755290Refused2%2%2%3%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%

26563353244-8826Will vote for another**********-***party but don't know

which


Table 3


Base : All


Unwtd.Wtd.TotalWAVE - MONTH - 2009GOR - Government Office RegionTotal

NorthYorkshiWest/WestEastre &

DecembeNovembeSeptembFebruarScotlanMerseysMidlandSouthSouthGreaterMidlandHumbersNorthrrOctobererAugustJulyJuneMayAprilMarchyJanuarydWalesidesWestEastLondonEasternsideEast

12076101710069961003101310121004100110111007100110051119628139210961067170114721152879103253812076Unweighted Total12076103698197910051013985101510089981022100610271065605139210891065167015491150908105353212076Weighted Total93798097797618177877717627117828187948028464731076847837129012128927038233959393Total Voting34593082743082792922812742542923183093181591223643483576394163893062941123507Conservative

37%38%35%40%34%37%36%36%36%37%39%39%40%19%26%34%41%43%50%34%44%44%36%28%37%

28372512612352142312061951732462722532742781533802421762594182362142971592811Labour30%31%33%31%26%29%27%26%24%31%33%32%34%33%32%35%29%21%20%34%26%30%36%40%30%

175314412313620814614513814015513514713211771203142201255267167103140811748Liberal Democrats (Lib19%18%16%18%25%19%19%18%20%20%17%19%16%14%15%19%17%24%20%22%19%15%17%20%19%Dem)

261212318181316211522252923241-1---2-1--243Scottish Nationalist3%3%3%2%2%2%2%3%2%3%3%4%3%28%-*---*-*--3%

728468355105658-74-1-------75Plaid Cymru1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%-16%-*-------1%

403273422344444404627272019241450403455663816419385Green Party4%3%4%3%4%6%6%5%7%4%3%2%2%3%3%5%5%4%4%5%4%2%5%2%4%

27027281727243645376786413273243491327252018270UKIP3%3%4%2%3%3%5%6%5%1%1%1%1%*3%3%4%5%4%1%3%3%2%4%3%

17516201091922292117171611101527261618192618248207British National Party2%2%3%1%1%2%3%4%3%2%2%2%1%1%3%3%3%2%1%2%3%3%3%2%2%

14971292015171515119691411241710161292079146Other2%1%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%2%1%1%1%1%3%1%2%2%

622571373656175798246465644-119-32-16106181380-115393-4-46695"Conservative Lead over7%7%2%10%8%8%10%10%11%6%6%7%5%-14%-7%-1%13%22%29%*17%13%*-12%7%Labour"

9408972835669618310382836394904395948213912188708137939Undecided8%9%7%9%6%7%6%8%10%8%8%6%9%8%7%7%9%8%8%8%8%8%8%7%8%

14331131011071071361261421661049912010710282170121128190186139106118851427Would not vote12%11%10%11%11%13%13%14%17%10%10%12%10%10%14%12%11%12%11%12%12%12%11%16%12%

298222626211725272725222823267462716472527262814290Refused2%2%3%3%2%2%3%3%3%3%2%3%2%2%1%3%2%2%3%2%2%3%3%3%2%

2633-4421151111-51235333226Will vote for another***-*****1%****-**********party but don't know

which


Table 4


Base : All



(10)Absolu


C2DEABC1DEC2C1AB75+65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-2455+35-5418-34FemaleMalevote10)10)10)10)-ain6289247538141416105918012013714171412311102114283326729452244110032213068-628962896289628962896289Unweighted Total6289239037491244114518621887653160611531086114681333527592232114830463093-613961396139613961396139Weighted Total569021373431110810281691174057714441034984104175530924792025106527312837-556855685568556855685568Total Voting23287981518401397740778284677433366420310110110978642011731142-231623162316231623162316Conservative

41%37%44%36%39%44%45%49%47%42%37%40%41%35%45%39%39%43%40%-42%42%42%42%42%42%

154063782636727042640016039725928525817688656542264679784-146314631463146314631463Labour27%30%24%33%26%25%23%28%27%25%29%25%23%29%26%27%25%25%28%-26%26%26%26%26%26%

10673646761921713113648822521416620717651439373227549490-104010401040104010401040Liberal Democrats (Lib19%17%20%17%17%18%21%15%16%21%17%20%23%17%18%18%21%20%17%-19%19%19%19%19%19%Dem)

139616531303431426242834884961165373-127127127127127127Scottish Nationalist2%3%2%3%3%2%2%1%2%2%3%3%1%3%2%3%1%2%3%-2%2%2%2%2%2%

43143068218213117363241192321-444444444444Plaid Cymru1%1%1%1%1%1%**1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%-1%1%1%1%1%1%

188561262829606572227393933214977559884-182182182182182182Green Party3%3%4%2%3%4%4%1%2%3%4%4%4%7%2%4%5%4%3%-3%3%3%3%3%3%

187979346504351225537443115891762374116-190190190190190190UKIP3%5%3%4%5%3%3%4%4%4%5%3%2%3%4%4%2%3%4%-3%3%3%3%3%3%

9665462342242151511252721122652334368-111111111111111111British National Party2%3%1%2%4%1%1%1%1%1%3%3%3%4%1%3%3%2%2%-2%2%2%2%2%2%

1024552143131215141924211173346183859-979797979797Other2%2%2%1%3%2%1%1%1%2%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%1%2%-2%2%2%2%2%2%

7881616913412731437812428017481163134214532441554943580853853853853853853"Conservative Lead over14%8%20%3%12%19%22%21%19%17%8%16%18%7%18%12%15%18%13%0%15%15%15%15%15%15%Labour"

317128166656394722574664463321514010747175119-294294294294294294Undecided5%5%4%5%5%5%4%4%5%6%4%5%4%5%5%5%4%6%4%-5%5%5%5%5%5%

70373216211815814715171062132163931-707070707070Would not vote1%2%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%-1%1%1%1%1%1%

20386112523455574374424122154116631993105-198198198198198198Refused3%4%3%4%3%3%3%7%5%4%4%2%2%1%4%3%2%3%3%-3%3%3%3%3%3%

9373-43--424--46-82-101010101010Will vote for another****-**--***--**-**-******party but don't know

which


Table 5

Q.1(A)/Q.1(B) Combined Voting Intention - certain to vote

Base : All certain to vote






6289880210419251783247453687542251193721011443483150576884732661239693189714634550142136202669414733591067154023286289Unweighted Total6289828204418751665246652687622218187020511495462848238204332137268611525946774489134334162723410332501040146323166139Weighted Total5690801192018101550224547866982020170418431367418943767443941915246110623846054096123430742494410332501040146323165568Total Voting232810425416286291047213726996374261058917171962187146964999261022180216311013269902316---23162316Conservative

41%13%13%90%41%47%45%39%48%44%33%43%41%45%25%37%50%41%25%43%30%53%9%43%40%56%---100%42%15404912381542161012142004164196283411121103829311341862035541208529828830633-1463-1463-1463Labour

27%6%64%1%27%27%25%29%21%25%34%25%27%24%39%29%22%25%33%23%34%13%67%27%25%-45%-100%-26%1067587250533183099091564413012982388018051497729850726465134779199534505104010401040--1040Liberal Democrats (Lib

19%73%13%3%20%14%19%22%22%18%16%17%19%18%20%20%16%21%24%20%22%19%16%17%20%25%32%100%--19%Dem)13961523254*---12730969126836551641392326364127127---127Scottish Nationalist

2%1%1%*2%2%*---7%2%2%2%4%2%2%2%1%3%2%2%3%2%3%3%4%---2%432928131--44-113335521916112636528164444---44Plaid Cymru1%***1%1%*--3%-1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%---1%

1882653157134160398345534513513127234982148624130388795182182---182Green Party3%3%3%1%5%2%3%6%4%3%3%3%3%3%4%6%3%3%13%4%4%3%3%3%4%4%6%---3%

18711425534831797637552371531552310758038514179610981190190---190UKIP3%1%2%3%2%4%4%1%3%4%3%3%4%4%3%3%4%3%2%4%2%4%1%4%3%5%6%---3%

96424271655100142742424070772672651-65910365655111111---111British National Party2%*1%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%3%2%2%3%2%1%2%-3%1%3%*2%2%3%3%---2%

1021136122141851227363435618277295214316851041569494---97Other2%1%2%1%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%3%1%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%3%2%1%1%2%2%3%---2%

78855-983161320843792370547323-17248596924-10633545379-8481-271634-7184963572316-14630-14632316853"Conservative Lead over14%7%-51%89%13%19%19%10%27%19%-1%18%14%21%-14%8%28%15%-8%20%-4%40%-58%16%14%56%-45%0%-100%100%15%Labour"

3171897446511824132108879878215236342210912751113921450178116-----294Undecided5%2%5%2%4%5%5%4%5%5%5%5%5%5%4%5%5%5%4%4%6%5%4%5%4%-----5%

704147122457173017232446431591924-27948193931-----70Would not vote1%1%1%*1%1%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%-1%1%1%1%1%1%-----1%

20351211387317415566082251701612579269469221233911978-----198Refused3%1%1%1%2%3%3%2%3%3%4%2%4%3%3%2%4%3%4%3%3%3%3%3%3%-----3%9-13151014241862116-3110-64-----10Will vote for another*-****************-***-**-----*party but don't know

which


Table 6






Over 25%up to 25%up to 15%Less than 5%or morebelow 13.9%below 8.7%Top 200Top 100Lib DemLabourConservative62891080140811277679577464741429772481222316126289Unweighted Total62891057137810887469177474821359755437216916116139Weighted Total569096212729766828306654331218679406194014995568Total Voting23283505264182872283142065103041316717692316Conservative

41%36%41%43%42%27%47%48%42%45%32%35%51%42%

1540302270255166311176117291159836242811463Labour27%31%21%26%24%37%26%27%24%23%21%32%19%26%


1394323206391118318631127Scottish Nationalist2%4%2%2%1%5%**1%*4%3%*2%

43711312112272123544Plaid Cymru1%1%1%*2%1%**1%**1%*1%

188345526293122154226157848182Green Party3%4%4%3%4%4%3%3%3%4%4%4%3%3%

187364940412942276240178366190UKIP3%4%4%4%6%4%6%6%5%6%4%4%4%3%

96192823112214426925226111British National Party2%2%2%2%2%3%2%1%2%1%1%3%2%2%

102212413722111020141391897Other2%2%2%1%1%3%2%2%2%2%*2%1%2%

78848257163120-83138892191454747488853"Conservative Lead over14%5%20%17%18%-10%21%21%18%21%12%2%33%15%Labour"

3175161564144442980431612266294Undecided5%5%4%5%5%5%6%6%6%6%4%6%4%5%

701317144161151711733870Would not vote1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%2%*1%

20327284018232614422196835198Refused3%3%2%4%2%3%3%3%3%3%2%3%2%3%9411141121-5310Will vote for another**********-***party but don't know

which


Table 7







62895305135285305145245105285495225105315913307285605749237545864615252576289Unweighted Total62895324814955475055015124995275054975405693027215445718857625634615162456139Weighted Total56904844304405034584634664364854614604825002826524965257976985174104692235568Total Voting232821016719517919719317917519719521921010574253222261432269259187189632316Conservative

41%43%39%44%36%43%42%38%40%41%42%48%44%21%26%39%45%50%54%39%50%46%40%28%42%

154012612911512612010897831361491311461668320912087129200112105163901463Labour27%26%30%26%25%26%23%21%19%28%32%28%30%33%29%32%24%17%16%29%22%26%35%40%26%

106792758113181829080107648078775410988125160156956469431040Liberal Democrats (Lib19%19%17%18%26%18%18%19%18%22%14%17%16%15%19%17%18%24%20%22%18%16%15%19%19%Dem)

139881212789101119715126-*--------127Scottish Nationalist2%2%2%3%2%2%2%2%2%2%4%2%3%25%-*--------2%

43444423343336-42-1-------44Plaid Cymru1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%-15%-*-------1%

188151410172023222510144913820141529391113181182Green Party3%3%3%2%3%4%5%5%6%2%3%1%2%3%3%3%3%3%4%6%2%3%4%1%3%

187171510201924353154652925262728724161213190UKIP3%4%3%2%4%4%5%7%7%1%1%1%1%*3%4%5%5%4%1%5%4%3%6%3%

9688636122115779765181358141113126111British National Party2%2%2%1%1%1%3%5%4%1%2%2%1%1%2%3%3%1%1%2%2%3%3%3%2%

1023117128119139635481812511125126797Other2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%3%2%1%1%1%1%3%3%2%1%1%2%1%3%1%3%2%

788843880537885829261468865-61-944103174303701478226-27853"Conservative Lead over14%17%9%18%11%17%18%18%21%13%10%19%13%-12%-3%7%21%33%38%10%29%20%6%-12%15%Labour"

317272431192719213320271827411231303047322125179294Undecided5%5%5%6%4%5%4%4%7%4%5%4%5%7%4%4%5%5%5%4%4%5%3%4%5%

70*76124767*6312936441017457170Would not vote1%*1%1%2%1%1%1%1%*1%1%2%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%*1%

203191718121411182420101619194301511291521202111198Refused3%4%4%4%2%3%2%4%5%4%2%3%4%3%1%4%3%2%3%2%4%4%4%5%3%

913-1211-2-----1-121111110Will vote for another**1%-****-*-----*-********party but don't know

which


Table 8





(10)Absolu


C2DEABC1DEC2C1AB75+65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-2455+35-5418-34FemaleMalevote10)10)10)10)-ain1207654556621314123143359326211082620196420032337204311094584434031526420565611547035803486519066628912076Unweighted Total1207654226654293424883526312810132456182719972360200814284283435734366231584511646872791385608984613912076Weighted Total305311141987557557992994312723511481602495288123410837831515158550232325842729280121193100Conservative

25%21%30%19%22%28%32%31%29%28%24%25%25%20%29%25%23%24%27%4%34%33%32%31%35%26%2287106312056574066565492024773183624013823267957647091108115964139816151776187512552267Labour

19%20%18%22%16%19%18%20%19%17%18%17%19%23%19%18%21%18%20%5%20%20%21%21%20%19%

14775859033072784554481112802522292852961455325144418106783410251183126613099111488Liberal Democrats (Lib12%11%14%10%11%13%14%11%11%14%11%12%15%10%12%12%13%13%12%3%15%15%15%15%15%12%Dem)

2361121076348624510362745522732639759911276131155166176117219Scottish Nationalist2%2%2%2%2%2%1%1%1%2%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%1%2%*2%2%2%2%2%2%

6626439172816322111181073319173831*464953574269Plaid Cymru1%*1%*1%1%**1%1%1%**1%1%**1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%

34011420658561089872742638062476914210917714313190236255266156320Green Party3%2%3%2%2%3%3%1%1%2%3%3%3%3%2%3%3%3%2%1%3%3%3%3%3%3%

23412610958685554246143554419111059931861494177198207211167235UKIP2%2%2%2%3%2%2%2%2%2%3%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%3%*3%3%2%2%3%2%

1256-515-22-24152484-881010511Scottish Socialist Party***-***-**-********-******

41182551313123798118*161981727-363939403044Independent Candidate****1%****1%*********-1%*****

22715310167865645828304960503758110878017412161181196207149255Other2%3%2%2%3%2%1%1%1%2%2%3%2%3%1%3%3%1%3%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%

22801107115261549265549719846333035544234732279379766913569031329911230139515318442259Undecided19%20%17%21%20%19%16%20%19%18%18%19%17%23%19%18%19%22%15%11%14%16%16%17%14%19%

1370784576406378321255721781612523132661903385654577176438397293117140601360Would not vote11%14%9%14%15%9%8%7%7%9%13%13%13%13%8%13%13%12%11%72%1%1%1%2%1%11%

2110127384-14764-5134129199910921Don't know*******-*****-************

43220622112680117104631538578553820237132582152129304331342350275428Refused4%4%3%4%3%3%3%6%6%5%4%2%2%1%6%3%2%3%4%1%4%4%4%4%4%4%


Table 9

Q.1(A). How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?

Base : All






120761299351625812569494210329147242403755408133158730892017741230417147491573758296985772713678252946537591517532837345912076Unweighted Total120761248344525352461504710406154942833751404134808562873120771133329754352015297141385892705652155556575588017482811350712076Weighted Total30531343321914760142128463781256102681885922272544283245108514593314572812789239166214393100---31003100Conservative

25%11%10%75%31%28%27%24%29%27%20%25%26%29%14%22%33%27%16%28%20%32%9%25%26%47%---88%26%

228759157323509101319133216736829126541612151451221751010034689530983112731279989-2267-2267-2267Labour19%5%46%1%21%20%18%21%16%18%23%19%19%17%25%19%15%18%23%17%22%10%47%20%18%-39%-81%-19%

147772331673377471132222660541546739110931090241142361729356871861100302753734148814881488--1488Liberal Democrats (Lib12%58%9%3%15%9%13%15%14%11%12%11%13%12%12%12%11%13%18%13%13%13%11%12%13%23%25%85%--12%Dem)

2368277381113221217581601416215429811043214860109110219219---219Scottish Nationalist2%1%1%*2%2%****5%2%2%2%3%1%1%2%*2%2%2%2%2%2%3%4%---2%

66414210221--69-18515311422311189541347226969---69Plaid Cymru1%******--2%-1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%*1%1%*1%*1%1%---1%

340457418938529353126969897222233473668165181434423364162158320320---320Green Party3%4%2%1%4%2%3%3%3%3%2%3%3%3%2%3%2%3%9%3%3%3%2%2%3%5%5%---3%

2342052624010721910898264571781932614871063114202247118117235235---235UKIP2%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%1%3%2%2%2%1%3%*2%2%4%4%---2%

12*4-251-1-104891136-62111381111---11Scottish Socialist Party***-***-*-********-********---*

4152025213919278202440311129122741317274444---44Independent Candidate**1%******1%*1%*****1%1%******1%1%---*

227115645321302262667979189165167612152115-1312822822124130248248---255Other2%1%2%2%1%3%2%2%2%3%2%3%2%2%3%2%2%2%-2%2%3%1%2%2%4%4%---2%

228017672127939593519553058346967296561599157743222260996838902281161542413089527739242455183672259Undecided19%14%21%11%16%19%19%20%19%19%18%19%19%18%21%20%18%18%19%17%20%19%16%20%17%12%16%14%18%10%19%

137044206631375491186178478427455486870837317187260578156541711012211669691-----1360Would not vote11%4%6%2%6%11%11%12%11%11%11%14%10%10%15%17%8%11%8%12%12%12%8%10%12%-----11%21-531122149576151182481103184813-----21Don't know

*-***********************-----*4321846456416738045134128166863383227425182140815540285852631656955152640428Refused

4%1%1%2%3%3%4%3%3%3%4%2%4%4%4%2%6%3%4%3%3%3%3%4%3%1%1%1%1%1%4%


Table 10


Base : All




Over 25%up to 25%up to 15%Less than 5%or morebelow 13.9%below 8.7%Top 200Top 100Lib DemLabourConservative12076213326872091140919971407867269014058514402293312076Unweighted Total12076216626902069138319851429891263213998114387299712076Weighted Total305345870756237531340826468340618489310043100Conservative

25%21%26%27%27%16%29%30%26%29%23%20%33%26%

22874584753392425042551664552291219724132267Labour19%21%18%16%17%25%18%19%17%16%15%22%14%19%



661815317212282337669Plaid Cymru1%1%1%*1%1%*****1%*1%

3405084654945473181502812889320Green Party3%2%3%3%4%2%3%3%3%4%3%3%3%3%

234505948473647287545259682235UKIP2%2%2%2%3%2%3%3%3%3%3%2%3%2%

12314-1--4-*3111Scottish Socialist Party****-*--*-****

4181178106512101171244Independent Candidate****1%1%*1%*1%****

227545043195331175122611249255Other2%3%2%2%1%3%2%2%2%2%1%3%2%2%

22803804844042833652831735182611458405462259Undecided19%18%18%20%20%18%20%19%20%19%18%19%18%19%

137028429223013128316691277149665443151360Would not vote11%13%11%11%9%14%12%10%11%11%8%12%10%11%21532233233-6621Don't know

**********-***4327672823665472791392315187428Refused

4%4%3%4%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%4%


Table 11


Base : All





12076101710069961003101310121004100110111007100110051119628139210961067170114721152879103253812076Unweighted Total12076103698197910051013985101510089981022100610271065605139210891065167015491150908105353212076Weighted Total30532782432612562622552352052642832812771401143193103155643783412622581013100Conservative

25%27%25%27%26%26%26%23%20%26%28%28%27%13%19%23%28%30%34%24%30%29%25%19%26%22872022211911781881561401231992302052352301253052061392143211801702461312267Labour

19%19%22%19%18%19%16%14%12%20%22%20%23%22%21%22%19%13%13%21%16%19%23%25%19%14771181051201911291201141161291061281121036317512517120822614285120701488Liberal Democrats (Lib

12%11%11%12%19%13%12%11%11%13%10%13%11%10%10%13%11%16%12%15%12%9%11%13%12%Dem)236202116161313201117222821216-1---2-1--219Scottish Nationalist

2%2%2%2%2%1%1%2%1%2%2%3%2%20%-*---*-*--2%668468145105358-68-1-------69Plaid Cymru1%1%*1%1%**1%1%***1%-11%-*-------1%

340232620314039343819211513171039392944533215338320Green Party3%2%3%2%3%4%4%3%4%2%2%2%1%2%2%3%4%3%3%3%3%2%3%2%3%

23427281723212641296656411242634451024201818235UKIP2%3%3%2%2%2%3%4%3%1%1%1%1%*2%2%2%3%3%1%2%2%2%3%2%

121*22211--*1210----1-----11Scottish Socialist Party********--***1%----*-----*

41-31974654-31-5-8351594344Independent Candidate*-**1%1%*1%**-**-1%-1%****1%*1%*

227162714122329322422231716101845281624262824278255Other2%2%3%1%1%2%3%3%2%2%2%2%2%1%3%3%3%2%1%2%2%3%3%2%2%

2280202167192141169179208249190191165206204100258192215314305226177180872259Undecided19%19%17%20%14%17%18%20%25%19%19%16%20%19%17%19%18%20%19%20%20%19%17%16%19%

1370109959710113211813916099951151019579160113117183178133102116841360Would not vote11%11%10%10%10%13%12%14%16%10%9%11%10%9%13%11%10%11%11%12%12%11%11%16%11%

2123-4311*5111--51234232121Don't know***-*****1%***--**********

4323239443224393838394235263612623924654537404820428Refused4%3%4%4%3%2%4%4%4%4%4%4%3%3%2%4%4%2%4%3%3%4%5%4%4%


Table 12


Base : All



(10)Absolu


C2DEABC1DEC2C1AB75+65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-2455+35-5418-34FemaleMalevote10)10)10)10)-ain271213401372789551741631297663456441496388268111993765616351077135136416321804194311802712Unweighted Total271213131374741572773601261615415433497385342103092972715711116141129615621738188211192687Weighted Total40618522110778125964813460647040371941347824815913231269303322197407Conservative15%14%16%14%14%16%16%18%22%14%15%14%10%11%19%14%11%16%14%9%18%17%17%17%18%15%

550302242159143142100521259697104685422120112231323115244308347383208544Labour20%23%18%21%25%18%17%20%20%23%22%21%18%16%21%22%17%20%21%11%19%20%20%20%19%20%

27695165474886792960563045422611675691571033150183206217128260Liberal Democrats (Lib10%7%12%6%8%11%13%11%10%14%7%9%11%8%11%8%9%10%9%2%12%12%12%12%11%10%Dem)251212494824734331176816-161919201025Scottish Nationalist1%1%1%1%2%*1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%-1%1%1%1%1%1%6333*-3111*-321*56--334416Plaid Cymru*****-*****-1%1%**1%*--******

6328361811132371221016131114262540251334148532665Green Party2%2%3%2%2%2%4%3%2%*2%3%3%3%1%3%3%3%2%*3%3%3%3%2%2%

362312148757154251720781619-242427302335UKIP1%2%1%2%1%1%1%3%2%1%*1%*2%2%1%1%1%2%-2%2%2%2%2%1%

1*-*-------*---*--*------*Scottish Socialist Party**-*-------*---*--*------*6232-11***21-113141-444445Independent Candidate****-*******-******-******

37251411138735315852824718213202529302039Other1%2%1%2%2%1%1%1%1%1%4%2%1%1%1%3%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%

9404674732701972891845714912513519316617127432833757436685341438499555294939Undecided35%36%34%36%34%37%31%22%24%30%31%39%43%50%27%35%46%37%33%61%26%28%29%30%26%35%

6338292414171251061591512162428452216101416191067Would not vote2%3%2%3%2%2%2%2%2%1%3%2%4%4%2%3%4%3%2%11%1%1%1%1%1%3%

298129161804980824999545838281415396411391515218232235240198290Refused11%10%12%11%9%10%14%19%16%13%13%8%7%4%15%10%6%9%14%3%17%15%13%13%18%11%

531211----21-1-41221122314Don't know******----1%*-*-****1%******


Table 13

Q.1(B). Which party are you most inclined to support?

Base : All undecided or refused






2712212788346467109223263279468439237191984199540926710109853573868419225101638107485610002765504062712Unweighted Total2712194767323458110123353509698238957421937189950624779111084610573211901509157111168419792605444072687Weighted Total4061452189661833803815613811282325324473215417061514034939252155407---407407Conservative15%7%7%58%14%17%16%11%16%17%12%11%17%17%9%13%19%15%12%14%12%18%8%16%14%48%---100%15%

55012374611324946897180163202146397362142341352271120671346139315229-544-544-544Labour20%6%49%2%25%23%20%28%19%20%23%20%21%19%28%14%17%21%24%19%22%18%27%20%20%-56%-100%-20%

27611049954962374011769746419618642298410271033220439155105260260260--260Liberal Democrats (Lib10%57%6%3%12%9%10%12%12%8%8%9%10%10%8%12%11%9%14%10%10%11%8%10%9%31%27%100%--10%Dem)25-3-715----258171762710-10318713112525---25Scottish Nationalist1%-*-1%1%----3%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%-1%1%1%1%1%1%3%3%---1%

6---12---6-246--24-216-5166---6Plaid Cymru*---**---1%-***--**-***-**1%1%---*

6341592411541329112517484112111724135952830356565---65Green Party2%2%2%3%5%1%2%4%3%1%3%2%2%2%2%4%2%2%2%3%3%3%2%2%3%8%7%---2%

36*644163431614553025631311-15330423123535---35UKIP1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%1%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%-1%1%2%1%1%1%4%4%---1%

1---------*-*--*-----*-*-**---*Scottish Socialist Party*---------*-*--*-----*-*-**---*613--15-113145--41-1*4-3155---5Independent Candidate***--**-******--**-***-**1%*---*

3739671233312171017222874820-22334520193939---39Other1%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%2%-2%1%2%1%1%2%5%4%---1%

940412317912938880712134229430332161564317910523241012376119631190547392-----939Undecided35%21%30%24%28%35%35%35%35%36%34%43%32%34%35%42%29%37%27%36%37%33%37%35%35%-----35%6329542358827212030373618131422327741163730-----67Would not vote2%1%1%2%1%2%2%2%3%3%2%4%2%2%3%5%2%2%6%3%2%2%3%2%3%-----3%

298717164910525625888811448239223471612110271093118262167123-----290Refused11%4%2%5%11%10%11%7%9%11%13%7%12%12%9%6%15%9%15%10%10%10%12%11%11%-----11%

5----1411121331112-213122-----4Don't know*----*************-******-----*


Table 14






Over 25%up to 25%up to 15%Less than 5%or morebelow 13.9%below 8.7%Top 200Top 100Lib DemLabourConservative271244457150032343833619764031718710096122712Unweighted Total27124575574863194293301996103001689926332687Weighted Total40661859455466135985324137131407Conservative15%13%15%19%17%11%19%17%16%17%14%14%21%15%

550103110915711770441135717241104544Labour20%23%20%19%18%27%21%22%18%19%10%24%16%20%

276425343353318124824386469260Liberal Democrats (Lib10%9%9%9%11%8%5%6%8%8%22%6%11%10%Dem)2544524--6-29125Scottish Nationalist1%1%1%1%1%1%--1%-1%1%*1%

62*-12--*--316Plaid Cymru***-**--*--***

6310194611321021221365Green Party2%2%3%1%2%2%1%1%2%1%1%2%2%2%

368846755118415735UKIP1%2%1%1%2%2%1%2%2%3%2%1%1%1%1------------*Scottish Socialist Party*------------*631*-3--1**4-5Independent Candidate*1%**-1%--****-*

3761843102*9**171339Other1%1%3%1%1%2%**1%**2%2%1%

9401632011721201461328024312158361224939Undecided35%36%36%35%38%34%40%40%40%40%35%36%35%35%

63101313514541088211267Would not vote2%2%2%3%2%3%2%2%2%3%5%2%2%3%

298464255283634185926169755290Refused11%10%8%11%9%8%10%9%10%9%9%10%9%11%5-3112--11-224Don't know*-1%***--**-***


Table 15







27122392172431752022272422712262312062332651213152382443753272722122301132712Unweighted Total27122332062361731922182462872292332012332401123192322393793502632172291072687Weighted Total406303147233026394927362841198453843753848443512407Conservative15%13%15%20%13%16%12%16%17%12%15%14%17%8%7%14%17%18%20%11%18%20%16%11%15%

5504940443643495549464348394829753638459755435128544Labour20%21%19%19%21%22%23%23%17%20%18%24%17%20%26%23%15%16%12%28%21%20%22%26%20%

276261816171725242426301920159291730474025192011260Liberal Democrats (Lib10%11%9%7%10%9%11%10%8%11%13%9%9%6%8%9%7%13%12%12%9%9%9%10%10%Dem)251222-31363*225----------25Scottish Nationalist1%*1%1%1%-1%*1%2%1%*1%10%----------1%6----21--13---6---------6Plaid Cymru*----1%*--*1%---5%---------*

634823456886467411*51013618*65Green Party2%2%4%1%2%2%2%2%3%4%3%2%3%3%4%3%*2%3%4%2%*3%*2%

361*1431048-23--146943342-35UKIP1%***2%2%4%2%3%-1%2%--1%1%2%4%1%1%1%2%1%-1%

1--------*---*----------*Scottish Socialist Party*--------*---*----------*6-*12--1-------111-----15Independent Candidate*-*1%1%--*-------*1%*-----1%*

37622425373321234654335-339Other1%3%1%1%2%1%2%1%3%1%1%1%*1%3%1%2%2%1%1%1%3%-3%1%

9408972835669618310382836394904395948213912188708137939Undecided35%38%35%35%33%36%28%34%36%36%36%31%40%37%38%30%40%34%37%35%34%32%36%34%35%

634510658375446731071188653*67Would not vote2%2%3%4%3%3%4%1%2%2%2%2%3%3%2%3%3%5%2%2%2%2%1%*3%

298222626211725272725222823267462716472527262814290Refused11%9%13%11%12%9%12%11%9%11%9%14%10%11%7%14%12%7%12%7%10%12%12%13%11%

511--11-1----1-----11-114Don't know*1%*--1%*-*----*-----*1%-*1%*


Table 16





(10)Absolu


C2DEABC1DEC2C1AB75+65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-2455+35-5418-34FemaleMalevote10)10)10)10)-ain6289247538141416105918012013714171412311102114283326729452244110032213068-628962896289628962896289Unweighted Total6289239037491244114518621887653160611531086114681333527592232114830463093-613961396139613961396139Weighted Total2123711140834336768272625659140333638530210299472140410511068-211921192119211921192119Conservative

34%30%38%28%32%37%38%39%37%35%31%34%37%30%36%32%35%34%35%-35%35%35%35%35%35%131654071631622436535013434121624622315178557469229569686-125512551255125512551255Labour

21%23%19%25%20%20%19%21%21%19%23%19%19%23%20%21%20%19%22%-20%20%20%20%20%20%

9323265851701562703167619318015018116047373331207475436-911911911911911911Liberal Democrats (Lib15%14%16%14%14%14%17%12%12%16%14%16%20%14%14%15%18%16%14%-15%15%15%15%15%15%Dem)

130566131253229424202533684558144968-117117117117117117Scottish Nationalist2%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%3%1%2%2%3%1%2%2%-2%2%2%2%2%2%

40123058218113107363231092121-424242424242Plaid Cymru1%1%1%*1%1%**1%1%1%*1%1%1%*1%1%1%-1%1%1%1%1%1%

163491072425535421425353430163970468769-156156156156156156Green Party3%2%3%2%2%3%3%*1%2%3%3%4%5%1%3%4%3%2%-3%3%3%3%3%3%

164858238473746164433432815577712066101-167167167167167167UKIP3%4%2%3%4%2%2%3%3%3%4%2%2%2%3%3%2%2%3%-3%3%3%3%3%3%

723-212-21-1*-31*32-555555Scottish Socialist Party***-***-**-**-*****-******

29121939127146695*101551119-303030303030Independent Candidate****1%1%***1%1%1%1%**1%**1%-******

13782672656363161823313625164167415198-149149149149149149Other2%3%2%2%5%2%2%1%1%2%3%3%3%5%1%3%4%2%3%-2%2%2%2%2%2%

893349495200150258237952401671391648450407302134482362-844844844844844844Undecided14%15%13%16%13%14%13%15%15%15%13%14%10%15%15%14%12%16%12%-14%14%14%14%14%14%

60312813181612814710131062023163129-606060606060Would not vote1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%-1%1%1%1%1%1%

8272-43--423--45-81-999999Don't know****-**--***--**-**-******

28713414275597467511085854341831668821141135-275275275275275275Refused5%6%4%6%5%4%4%8%7%5%5%3%2%1%6%4%2%5%4%-4%4%4%4%4%4%


Table 17

Q.A. How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?







6289880210419251783247453687542251193721011443483150576884732661239693189714634550142136202669414733591067154023286289Unweighted Total6289828204418751665246652687622218187020511495462848238204332137268611525946774489134334162723410332501040146323166139Weighted Total21239422415175969671951250889674556555155517971691358679302495716319929511949242119---21192119Conservative

34%11%11%81%36%39%37%33%40%36%27%37%34%37%21%31%41%35%21%37%24%44%7%35%34%52%---92%35%

13164110661436052810351693593505462939618922479836153128469175397777711544-1255-1255-1255Labour21%5%52%1%22%21%20%22%16%19%27%20%21%18%30%23%17%20%24%18%26%9%58%21%20%-39%-86%-20%

932517224482792597941373892652572146977051346424745822411122671187456455911911911--911Liberal Democrats (Lib15%62%11%3%17%11%15%18%18%14%13%14%15%15%16%15%12%17%19%16%18%15%14%13%17%22%28%88%--15%Dem)

13061223046*---11728898622834511591384305859117117---117Scottish Nationalist2%1%1%*2%2%*---6%2%2%2%3%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%3%4%---2%

402928131--42-113134521816112535528154242---42Plaid Cymru1%****1%*--2%-1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%*1%1%1%1%---1%

1632345115431140337143413911511323184073137221107357482156156---156Green Party3%3%2%1%3%1%3%4%3%2%2%3%2%2%3%4%2%3%11%3%3%2%3%2%3%4%5%---3%

164113852317415765465483713114017965753751215959275167167---167UKIP3%1%2%3%2%3%3%1%2%3%2%2%3%3%2%2%3%3%2%3%2%4%*3%3%4%5%---3%

7*2-121-1-3235--31-12412355---5Scottish Socialist Party***-***-*-****--**-********---*

2941124142717167151530-*722115628211193030---30Independent Candidate**1%**1%1%**1%*1%*1%-**1%1%1%1%1%**1%1%1%---*

1371038322774135234051584910010530113867-811613697080147147---149Other2%1%2%2%2%3%3%3%2%3%3%3%2%2%4%3%2%2%-3%2%3%1%2%3%4%5%---2%

8931033351532183237191003022602831896546551186530634920324104642133504340362388123192166844Undecided14%12%16%8%13%13%14%13%14%14%14%13%14%14%14%15%14%13%17%12%15%14%10%15%12%9%12%12%13%7%14%604114111951132416191544381191720-22739183326-----60Would not vote1%1%1%*1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%-1%1%1%1%1%1%-----1%8-1315914231862115-319-63-----9Don't know*-****************-***-**-----*

2871328354611124728778511348225218411213187492291864717898473251531275Refused5%2%1%2%3%5%5%4%3%5%6%3%5%5%5%3%6%3%3%4%4%4%3%5%4%1%1%*1%1%4%


Table 18






Over 25%up to 25%up to 15%Less than 5%or morebelow 13.9%below 8.7%Top 200Top 100Lib DemLabourConservative62891080140811277679577464741429772481222316126289Unweighted Total62891057137810887469177474821359755437216916116139Weighted Total21233164813872622012851864642771206037132119Conservative

34%30%35%36%35%22%38%39%34%37%27%28%44%35%

131626124220214127213993240127765282371255Labour21%25%18%19%19%30%19%19%18%17%17%24%15%20%



40711311112272122442Plaid Cymru1%1%1%*1%1%*****1%*1%

163294823262819123624156543156Green Party3%3%4%2%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%

164324338382640255434147562167UKIP3%3%3%3%5%3%5%5%4%5%3%3%4%3%7111----1-*-15Scottish Socialist Party****----*-*-**

2949556337718930Independent Candidate**1%*1%1%*1%1%1%**1%*

13728303011282311331626828149Other2%3%2%3%2%3%3%2%2%2%*3%2%2%

8931391781571101291177720711450334190844Undecided14%13%13%14%15%14%16%16%15%15%11%15%12%14%

601312134151151610529860Would not vote1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%*1%84-1131111-439Don't know**-*******-***

287444757223934186028139857275Refused5%4%3%5%3%4%5%4%4%4%3%4%4%4%


Table 19







62895305135285305145245105285495225105315913307285605749237545864615252576289Unweighted Total62895324814955475055015124995275054975405693027215445718857625634615162456139Weighted Total21231941491721711841781621531771862031909671226203239400250234166176582119Conservative

34%37%31%35%31%36%36%32%31%34%37%41%35%17%24%31%37%42%45%33%42%36%34%24%35%1316108114971129386766512313411113515070181101751151699781139771255Labour

21%20%24%20%20%18%17%15%13%23%27%22%25%26%23%25%19%13%13%22%17%18%27%31%20%93282677511970687768925670686849917911513813785535839911Liberal Democrats (Lib15%15%14%15%22%14%14%15%14%17%11%14%13%12%16%13%14%20%16%18%15%12%11%16%15%Dem)

1308812117797918715116-*--------117Scottish Nationalist2%1%2%2%2%1%1%2%1%2%4%1%3%20%-*--------2%

40444413343336-41-1-------42Plaid Cymru1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%-14%-*-------1%

163111271617192222810389716141425331012141156Green Party3%2%2%1%3%3%4%4%4%1%2%1%1%2%2%2%3%2%3%4%2%3%3%1%3%

164171410161619332552452822212127621141113167UKIP3%3%3%2%3%3%4%6%5%1%*1%1%*3%3%4%4%3%1%4%3%2%5%3%

71*2-1----*1-3----1-----5Scottish Socialist Party****-*----**-1%----*-----*

29-3*663434-11-3-6241243330Independent Candidate*-1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%-**-1%-1%****1%1%1%*

13791597617231911131011773215611231415145149Other2%2%3%2%1%1%3%4%4%2%3%2%2%1%2%4%3%1%1%3%2%3%3%2%2%

8937460735383767297675663708936104798211910068765930844Undecided14%14%13%15%10%16%15%14%19%13%11%13%13%16%12%14%15%14%13%13%12%16%12%12%14%

60*55114755*62853643813357160Would not vote1%*1%1%2%1%1%1%1%*1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%*1%

813-12-1-2-----1-12111119Don't know**1%-**-*-*-----*-********

287222729201519243126212121235422013362828333315275Refused5%4%6%6%4%3%4%5%6%5%4%4%4%4%2%6%4%2%4%4%5%7%6%6%4%


Table 20





(10)Absolu


C2DEABC1DEC2C1AB75+65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-2455+35-5418-34FemaleMalevote10)10)10)10)-ain118051466631320133732917237724420321010937621413146676504-118011801180118011801180Unweighted Total118048363627420933230414734822619319810353574390155623497-111911191119111911191119Weighted Total2058711057295852278630293688116651612374-197197197197197197Conservative17%18%17%21%14%17%17%19%25%13%15%18%8%14%20%17%10%20%15%-18%18%18%18%18%18%

224971115146615025564338352511100733510999-208208208208208208Labour19%20%17%19%22%18%16%17%16%19%20%17%24%20%17%19%23%18%20%-19%19%19%19%19%19%

13538902316424912333416261646642207454-128128128128128128Liberal Democrats (Lib11%8%14%8%7%13%16%8%9%15%8%13%16%8%12%11%13%12%11%-11%11%11%11%11%11%Dem)9641513-23311-54146-101010101010Scottish Nationalist1%1%1%*2%*1%-*1%1%1%1%-1%1%1%1%1%-1%1%1%1%1%1%31-1*--111*---1*-1--111111Plaid Cymru**-**--****---**-*--******

2571943712582343510881215-262626262626Green Party2%2%3%1%2%2%4%3%2%1%2%2%3%10%2%2%5%2%3%-2%2%2%2%2%2%

2312118465511423*31553914-232323232323UKIP2%2%2%3%2%2%2%4%3%2%1%2%*5%3%1%2%1%3%-2%2%2%2%2%2%

--------------------------Scottish Socialist Party--------------------------5232-11**-21-1*3131-444444Independent Candidate***1%-****-1%1%-2%*1%1%1%*-******

201376761341102215123127-202020202020Other2%3%1%2%3%2%*2%1%*5%1%2%3%1%3%2%2%2%-2%2%2%2%2%2%

317128166656394722574664463321514010747175119-294294294294294294Undecided27%26%26%24%30%28%24%17%21%29%23%32%31%29%24%27%30%28%24%-26%26%26%26%26%26%

10643313-1-55*-19*82-101010101010Would not vote1%1%1%1%1%*1%-*-2%2%*-*2%*1%*-1%1%1%1%1%1%

20386112523455574374424122154116631993105-198198198198198198Refused17%18%18%19%16%16%19%30%21%19%21%11%15%8%20%16%12%15%21%-18%18%18%18%18%18%

11-1-------1---1--1-111111Don't know**-*-------*---*--*-******


Table 21

Q.B. Which party are you most inclined to support?

Base : All undecided or refused - AND - certain to vote






1180129377209280458100413038338241524493295412884554400182982948651957344464254441352242051180Unweighted Total118011636318726543496612837834539623787987315977437436234171338281806814384094211282081971119Weighted Total20510301113480185197468543416316518119768265171711613165197---197197Conservative17%9%8%59%13%18%19%15%20%20%14%14%19%19%11%14%22%16%10%16%13%21%9%19%15%48%---100%18%

224817116281179315869814816014746145889772321325111988-208-208-208Labour19%7%47%1%23%19%19%24%15%20%21%20%18%17%29%18%13%20%29%17%24%16%28%18%20%-49%-100%-19%

13570265395011519513641241041001514514945413107127850128128128--128Liberal Democrats (Lib11%61%7%3%15%11%12%14%14%10%10%10%12%11%9%18%12%11%17%13%9%13%7%12%11%31%31%100%--11%Dem)9-3-28----103755-23-5-82551010---10Scottish Nationalist1%-1%-1%2%----2%1%1%1%3%-*1%-1%-1%1%1%1%2%2%---1%

3--------1--11--11--11-1111---1Plaid Cymru*--------*--**--**--1%*-****---*

2538518421612212620174598114323313132626---26Green Party2%2%2%2%7%1%2%5%3%1%3%2%2%2%2%7%2%2%5%3%2%3%2%2%3%6%6%---2%

23*43392218104*221562105-1022111762323---23UKIP2%*1%2%1%2%2%1%2%3%1%*3%2%4%2%2%1%-2%1%3%1%2%1%6%5%---2%

-------------------------------Scottish Socialist Party-------------------------------513--14-112134--31-1*4-3144---4Independent Candidate*1%1%--**-**1%**1%--1%*-***-**1%1%---*

20-755418241069111522411-1021531282020---20Other2%-2%2%2%1%2%1%1%3%1%4%1%2%2%2%1%3%-2%1%2%2%2%2%5%5%---2%

3171897446511824132108879878215236342210912751113921450178116-----294Undecided27%16%27%23%24%27%25%25%29%25%25%33%24%27%21%28%25%29%21%27%29%26%28%26%26%-----26%10-3215636*48264*24-529255-----10Would not vote1%-1%1%*1%1%3%2%*1%4%*1%2%1%*1%-1%2%1%1%1%1%-----1%

20351211387317415566082251701612579269469221233911978-----198Refused17%4%3%6%14%17%18%12%15%17%21%11%19%18%16%9%21%16%19%17%17%15%22%18%18%-----18%

1----11---11-1---1--11--1-----1Don't know*----**---**-*---*--**--*-----*


Table 22






Over 25%up to 25%up to 15%Less than 5%or morebelow 13.9%below 8.7%Top 200Top 100Lib DemLabourConservative118019423223113718615188285147804502501180Unweighted Total118018322521413216815195267142634312471119Weighted Total205344531242729194628116856197Conservative17%19%20%15%18%16%19%20%17%19%17%16%23%18%

22441285326393724513279643208Labour19%22%12%25%20%23%25%25%19%23%12%22%18%19%

1351231231214942410133331128Liberal Democrats (Lib11%7%14%11%9%8%6%5%9%7%21%8%13%11%Dem)911312--3--3-10Scottish Nationalist1%**2%1%1%--1%--1%-1%

3-*-1---*--111Plaid Cymru*-*-1%---*--***

25672433262*13526Green Party2%3%3%1%3%2%2%2%2%2%*3%2%2%

2346233227548423UKIP2%2%3%1%2%2%1%2%3%4%6%2%2%2%--------------Scottish Socialist Party--------------531*-3--1**4-4Independent Candidate*1%**-2%--1%*1%1%-*

20411118--4-*11620Other2%2%5%*1%5%--1%-1%3%3%2%

3175161564144442980431612266294Undecided27%28%27%26%31%26%29%30%30%30%25%28%27%26%

10*41-2--1124-10Would not vote1%*2%*-1%--**4%1%-1%

20327284018232614422196835198Refused17%15%13%19%14%14%17%15%16%15%14%16%14%18%1-1--1--1--1-1Don't know*-*--*--*--*-*


Table 23







1180103921117098103100126968697981225415010110015313011411394491180Unweighted Total1180968710272989696127947784921124214699951551289610893461119Weighted Total20516182381415172220916209227192233192521135197Conservative17%17%20%22%10%14%15%17%17%21%12%19%22%8%6%19%20%23%21%15%26%20%15%10%18%

2241714171427222117131520101612281813143114242413208Labour19%18%17%17%19%27%23%22%13%14%19%24%11%15%30%19%18%13%9%24%15%22%26%28%19%

1351086121114131215810108518101023191011114128Liberal Democrats (Lib11%10%9%6%17%11%14%13%9%16%11%12%10%8%12%12%10%11%15%14%11%10%12%8%11%Dem)91--1-1-321--10----------10Scottish Nationalist1%1%--1%-1%-3%2%2%--9%----------1%3----*1--1----1---------1Plaid Cymru*----*1%--1%----3%---------*

25332134-32411414-246*14-26Green Party2%3%3%2%1%3%4%-2%2%5%1%1%4%4%3%-2%3%5%*1%4%-2%

231*-42526-21--134621321-23UKIP2%1%*-5%2%5%2%5%-2%2%--3%2%4%6%1%1%3%2%1%-2%

-------------------------Scottish Socialist Party-------------------------5-*12--*-------111-----14Independent Candidate*-*1%3%--*-------1%1%1%-----3%*

20212-13361----232*22*5-320Other2%2%1%2%-1%4%3%5%1%----4%2%2%*2%1%*5%-6%2%

317272431192719213320271827411231303047322125179294Undecided27%28%28%30%27%28%20%22%26%21%35%22%30%36%29%22%30%31%30%25%22%23%19%20%26%

10-21*-*12--*44---123*---10Would not vote1%-2%1%*-*1%2%--1%4%4%---1%1%3%*---1%

203191718121411182420101619194301511291521202111198Refused17%20%20%18%16%14%11%19%19%21%13%20%21%17%10%21%15%12%19%12%22%18%23%25%18%

1-----1---------------1-1Don't know*-----1%---------------1%-*


Table 24





(10)Absolu


C2DEABC1DEC2C1AB75+65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-2455+35-5418-34FemaleMalevote10)10)10)10)-ain1207654556621314123143359326211082620196420032337204311094584434031526420565611547035803486519066628912076Unweighted Total1207654226654293424883526312810132456182719972360200814284283435734366231584511646872791385608984613912076Weighted Total1154701463393308285178541471372062662271812844724096305341164-----11641 - Absolutely certain

10%13%7%13%12%8%6%5%6%7%10%11%11%13%7%11%12%10%9%100%-----10%not to vote2011051055055574871717273851593465110106104------2102

2%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%1%1%1%2%3%4%1%1%3%2%2%------2%3051441847569121631128234568857951113164178150------3283

3%3%3%3%3%3%2%1%1%1%2%3%4%6%1%3%5%3%3%------3%2141179757595245920253446365345808911995------2144

2%2%1%2%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%4%1%2%3%2%2%------2%

102564242835328925916974161130161226212182291387393617453------107058%12%6%12%12%7%5%7%7%7%8%10%11%13%7%9%11%10%8%------9%

415195230116781458518523961739010991134199260165----424-42463%4%3%4%3%4%3%2%2%2%3%3%4%8%2%3%6%4%3%----5%-4%

61731333417713618514937825383143147138136226285340307---647647-64775%6%5%6%5%5%5%4%3%3%4%6%7%10%3%5%8%5%5%---8%7%-5%

99947456727320130126667169122156209197189291365386534507--104110411041-104188%9%9%9%8%9%9%7%7%7%8%9%10%13%7%8%11%9%9%--13%12%12%-9%

7462774561491282382184912311912713814086242265226329404-733733733733-73396%5%7%5%5%7%7%5%5%7%6%6%7%6%6%6%7%5%7%-11%9%9%8%-6%

6289239037491244114518621887653160611531086114681333527592232114830463093-61396139613961396139613910 - Absolutely certain52%44%56%42%46%53%60%64%65%63%54%49%40%23%64%51%33%49%53%-89%78%72%68%100%51%to vote95603143171813314775710155412256525------91Don't know1%1%*1%1%1%*3%2%***1%1%1%*1%1%*------1%

165113147342513166469------15Refused*******************------*

7.767.208.117.147.277.888.378.568.558.357.827.517.176.328.467.656.827.567.851.009.899.649.449.2810.007.70Mean


Table 25

Q.2. And how likely will you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10,where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 that you would be absolutely certain NOT to vote?(formerly Q.C)

Base : All






120761299351625812569494210329147242403755408133158730892017741230417147491573758296985772713678252946537591517532837345912076Unweighted Total120761248344525352461504710406154942833751404134808562873120771133329754352015297141385892705652155556575588017482811350712076Weighted Total1154311534311447510201584043613994347267022991462015001753614686417259656813915437786311641 - Absolutely certain

10%2%4%2%5%9%10%10%9%10%10%12%8%8%14%13%6%9%9%10%10%10%6%9%10%2%3%2%3%2%10%not to vote201233427931813771726668142126483034927102261454210410655581428242102

2%*1%*1%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%3%1%2%4%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%

30518482633143283401171051071351912167338451702173442395914418410011428594432833%1%1%1%1%3%3%3%3%3%3%4%2%2%4%3%1%3%1%3%3%3%2%2%3%2%2%2%2%1%3%

2141239192389185337372686415014734294510241022713856100114758219463921442%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%3%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%1%1%2%1%2%

1025562779610550591711435635336137369666525413721245318459128725255606464429538114308199107058%4%8%4%4%10%9%7%8%9%9%11%8%8%12%12%6%8%9%9%9%8%9%9%8%7%9%7%11%6%9%

41513112426421636155136128160135289276964876200417752271114233191198242541369142463%1%3%2%3%4%3%4%3%3%4%4%3%3%5%4%2%4%2%3%4%3%4%4%3%3%4%3%5%3%4%

6176117274912985771102552111812204254151498010331282929643417133031735938010620017864775%5%5%3%4%6%6%7%6%6%4%6%5%5%7%7%3%6%4%6%7%5%6%5%6%5%6%6%7%5%5%

9991073271891724449101153623223573386957551641142315249496119717260542499620601191281300104188%9%9%7%7%9%9%7%8%9%9%10%8%9%8%10%7%10%4%9%8%8%10%8%9%9%10%11%10%9%9%

74611421215715527361910725922624819054155710063183374153479351419036436947441513617923873396%9%6%6%6%5%6%7%6%6%6%5%6%6%5%6%6%7%8%7%7%6%7%6%7%7%7%8%6%7%6%

628982820441875166524665268762221818702051149546284823820433213726861152594677448913433416272341033250104014632316613910 - Absolutely certain52%66%59%74%68%49%51%49%52%50%51%43%54%55%39%38%65%49%57%49%48%52%50%52%49%62%55%59%52%66%51%to vote9563110941751529273525654135132714-1544338761423437331391Don't know1%*1%**1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%*2%1%1%*-**1%1%1%**1%*1%*1%

16---241024472139513724196106322-115Refused*---**************1%*********-**

7.768.928.419.168.717.607.687.617.767.647.697.197.917.996.906.968.477.707.937.607.547.737.907.797.598.698.368.638.188.847.70Mean


Table 26


Base : All




Over 25%up to 25%up to 15%Less than 5%or morebelow 13.9%below 8.7%Top 200Top 100Lib DemLabourConservative12076213326872091140919971407867269014058514402293312076Unweighted Total12076216626902069138319851429891263213998114387299712076Weighted Total1154224240202110228126722261206145125311641 - Absolutely certain

10%10%9%10%8%11%9%8%9%9%8%10%8%10%not to vote201385532154221144017480552102

2%2%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%1%*2%2%2%

305737248375936266839181209132833%3%3%2%3%3%3%3%3%3%2%3%3%3%

21452344120372714472215785121442%2%1%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%

10252112251841292001326823311859399274107058%10%8%9%9%10%9%8%9%8%7%9%9%9%

4158297744075552610145281699542463%4%4%4%3%4%4%3%4%3%3%4%3%4%

617115140108681117745148744224314164775%5%5%5%5%6%5%5%6%5%5%6%5%5%

9991772571681121751269023512878378245104188%8%10%8%8%9%9%10%9%9%10%9%8%9%

746124167116921237649158766026516573396%6%6%6%7%6%5%6%6%5%7%6%6%6%

6289105713781088746917747482135975543721691611613910 - Absolutely certain52%49%51%53%54%46%52%54%52%54%54%49%54%51%to vote95112481218541549311491Don't know1%*1%*1%1%**1%*1%1%*1%

163*1321111-4215Refused**********-***

7.767.527.787.747.957.397.787.937.807.898.087.617.827.70Mean


Table 27


Base : All





12076101710069961003101310121004100110111007100110051119628139210961067170114721152879103253812076Unweighted Total12076103698197910051013985101510089981022100610271065605139210891065167015491150908105353212076Weighted Total1154867878861031021091239210311886915313810594152158115881007111641 - Absolutely certain

10%8%8%8%9%10%10%11%12%9%10%12%8%9%9%10%10%9%9%10%10%10%9%13%10%not to vote20119202116192122131516141515132613142037261911142102

2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%1%2%1%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%2%2%2%1%3%2%

305292725283736233422181832281728312948403423391232833%3%3%3%3%4%4%2%3%2%2%2%3%3%3%2%3%3%3%3%3%3%4%2%3%

21416172121161928221311191217122815172333281717621442%1%2%2%2%2%2%3%2%1%1%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%2%2%1%2%

1025979694891047884898581898292611091051011411141087911446107058%9%10%10%9%10%8%8%9%9%8%9%8%9%10%8%10%9%8%7%9%9%11%9%9%

415333739373133343343442832412263412753553333371942463%3%4%4%4%3%3%3%3%4%4%3%3%4%4%5%4%3%3%4%3%4%4%4%4%

6175755463362525043517764573734706251941105361482664775%5%6%5%3%6%5%5%4%5%8%6%6%3%6%5%6%5%6%7%5%7%5%5%5%

999959489847892777379898810393381179988159115106799453104188%9%10%9%8%8%9%8%7%8%9%9%10%9%6%8%9%8%10%7%9%9%9%10%9%

7466265605850446272657260636944796763881077044613973396%6%7%6%6%5%4%6%7%7%7%6%6%6%7%6%6%6%5%7%6%5%6%7%6%

6289532481495547505501512499527505497540569302721544571885762563461516245613910 - Absolutely certain52%51%49%51%54%50%51%50%49%53%49%49%53%53%50%52%50%54%53%49%49%51%49%46%51%to vote9511911757136658396861051511416191Don't know1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%*1%*1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%*2%*1%

16-111222-112241311122---15Refused*-******-************---*

7.767.807.737.767.867.547.597.597.497.837.737.597.887.887.667.727.697.867.837.617.577.657.627.367.70Mean


Table 28


Base : All


page 1 ipsos mori political monitor - 2009 - combined ... · -ain 10) 10) 10) 10) vote male female...

Documents