pagwash conference nagasaki 2015 plenary session i humanitarian impact of nuclear weapons:...
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Nagasaki City from above : a few days before Atomic Bombing (US Air Force) My home Original target University Hospital Actual targetTRANSCRIPT
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Pagwash Conference Nagasaki 2015
Plenary Session I Humanitarian Impact of Nuclear Weapons:Humanitarian Impact of Nuclear Weapons: Life-long Health Effects of Atomic BombingLife-long Health Effects of Atomic Bombing In Hiroshima and NagasakiIn Hiroshima and Nagasaki
Masao Tomonaga, M.D., Ph.D.Masao Tomonaga, M.D., Ph.D. Honorary DirectorHonorary Director Japanese Red Cross Nagasaki Atomic Bomb HospitalJapanese Red Cross Nagasaki Atomic Bomb Hospital
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Hiroshima Bomb (Uranium) Nagasaki Bomb (Plutonium)
Immediate death >120,000Immediate death >120,000Atomic Bomb survivors 140,000Atomic Bomb survivors 140,000 Immediate death >75,000Immediate death >75,000
Atomic Bomb survivors 74,000Atomic Bomb survivors 74,000
Aug. 6 1945Aug. 6 1945 Aug. 9, 1945Aug. 9, 1945
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Nagasaki City from above : a few days before Atomic Bombing (US Air Force)
My home My home
Original target
University Hospital
Actual target
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Just after Bombing
The point I survived
Ground ZeroGround Zero
Original targetOriginal target2.5 km2.5 km
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Physical Damages Caused by the Nagasaki Atomic BombingPhysical Damages Caused by the Nagasaki Atomic Bombing
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Heat rays2000~500℃
Burned to boneCarbonizationSevere burns immediate death skin tear-off
By Yamahata
Heat
level (cal/cm2)
)
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No medical aid but waiting for death No medical aid but waiting for death
By Yamahata
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Nagasaki Medical University Hospital(旧)長崎医科大学付属毉院
Red CrossNagasaki
Atomic Bomb Hospital
Ground ZeroGround Zero
600m600m
900 Medical Students and Professors died900 Medical Students and Professors died
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Acute Radiation Sickness(ARS): First sign is hair lossAcute Radiation Sickness(ARS): First sign is hair loss
Radiation and Burn combined usually led death
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He recovered after 1.5 years’ bed life in this positionHe recovered after 1.5 years’ bed life in this position
Mr. Taniguchi gave a speech at NPT ConferenceIn 2010 at New York by showing his photo.
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Only one ambulance at an elementary school with some doctors and nurses but no drug, no blood transfusion, no antibiotics.
All Hospitals were destroyed in Nagasaki CityAll Hospitals were destroyed in Nagasaki City
Sin-kozen Elemetary School
Many died of acute radiation sicknessMany died of acute radiation sickness
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My HouseMy Housewas herewas here
By Joe O’Donnell, U.S. Army
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MicrocephalyMicrocephaly
Control
Radiation during early pregnancyRadiation during early pregnancy
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Distance from thehypocenter
Dea
th R
ate
Colon damage
Bone marrow damage
Normal controls
Death rate in the first three months due to injuries and Death rate in the first three months due to injuries and Acute radiation sickness (ARS)Acute radiation sickness (ARS)
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Initial observation of increased rate of leukemia Initial observation of increased rate of leukemia among atomic bomb survivorsamong atomic bomb survivors
From [Leukemia : Dameshek & Gunz 1974]
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Leukemia dose response based on a quadratic excess absolute risk (EAR) model
0
5
10
15
20
3035
40
25
0 1 2 3 4Dose (SV)
Exce
ss c
ases
per
104
PY
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0 1 2 3 4 50.0
0.5
1.0Ex
cess
Rel
ativ
e Ri
sk (
ERR)
Colon dose (Sv)Pierce AD, Shimizu Y, Preston DL, Vaeth M, Mabuchi K: Studies of the Mortality of atomic bomb survivors. Report 12, Part 1. Cancer: 1950-1990. Radiation Research, 146, 1-27, 1996
Solid cancer dose-response for a male of 30yearsof age at the time of exposure
Excess Pelative Risk (EPR): Ratio of death rate (or rate of incidence) for the exposed population and thedeath rate (or rate of incidence) in the control group. An ERR = 0.5 means an increase of 50%.
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Within 1.5 km from ground zero, survivors tend Within 1.5 km from ground zero, survivors tend to develop three times more second or third to develop three times more second or third cancerscancers
Multiple Cancers among Nagasaki Atomic Bomb Survivours
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Recent MDS (myelodyplastic syndromes) Survey Recent MDS (myelodyplastic syndromes) Survey in Nagasaki in Nagasaki “ “Second wave of leukmia”Second wave of leukmia”
MDS: Leukemia-related Blood Malignancy Frequently occur among elderly population (over 60 yrs)
Clinical FeatureClinical FeatureMorphological dysplasia as shown in photographs
Anemia and low White Blood Cell counts Ineffective hematopiesis20-30% of patients with MDS eventually transform to AML Chromosome abnormality in 50%Several subtypes with low to high AML transformationDignosis is difficult Tretment is difficult, very resistant to drugsIncreasing in the developed countriesAlmost equal to AML incidence in developed countries
Excess risk of MDS Excess risk of MDS
Masako Iwanaga et al: International J. of Oncology 2011
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Time trend of Atomic Bomb-related Time trend of Atomic Bomb-related CancersCancers
0 10 20 30 40 50 60Years since 1945Years since 1945
Dea
th e
xces
s
1st Leukemia Phase(( AML/ALL/CML)AML/ALL/CML)
Solid Cancers Phase(Thyroid,Breast,Lung,Colon, Stomach, multiple cancers)
2nd Leukemia Phase (MDS/AML)(MDS/AML)
Less than 20 yrs old ATBLess than 20 yrs old ATB
Early onset Late onsetLate onset
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Hypothesis: Organ stem cell hit theoryHypothesis: Organ stem cell hit theory
A stem cellGamma &/or neutron rayspenetrate cell nucleus containing DNA double strand.DNA is cut but usually repaired to normal. However, miss-repair takes place occasionally, leading to cancer/leukemiaprone mutations.
Fusion genes for leukemiaFusion genes for leukemia
Why Atomic Bomb Helath Effects are long-lasting?Why Atomic Bomb Helath Effects are long-lasting?
Germ cells(sperm or ova) DNA damage may cause trans-Germ cells(sperm or ova) DNA damage may cause trans-generation effects to Hibakushas’ children (F1) ;generation effects to Hibakushas’ children (F1) ; Long-lasting anxiety for Atomic Bomb Survivors when Long-lasting anxiety for Atomic Bomb Survivors when they gave a birth to their children, because animal they gave a birth to their children, because animal experiments accumulated proved trans-generational effects. experiments accumulated proved trans-generational effects.
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Many girls with face burn eventually lost chance of marriageMany girls with face burn eventually lost chance of marriage.Her lonely life was further enhanced by loss of many family members.
By Noriyuki Aida
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Psychological Damage Study for Survivors after a half century(1995)Psychological Damage Study for Survivors after a half century(1995) by WHO General Health Questionnaire (GHQ) by WHO General Health Questionnaire (GHQ)
Depression, PTSD etc.
By Sumihisa Honda
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ConclusionConclusion
The atomic bombs are “Gene-targeting weapon”.The atomic bombs are “Gene-targeting weapon”. The radiation immediately causes DNA damage,The radiation immediately causes DNA damage, that induces leukemia/cancers during that induces leukemia/cancers during survivors’ entire life. survivors’ entire life. Psychological effect” is also long-lasting and profoundPsychological effect” is also long-lasting and profound
From medical view point, nuclear weapons are apparentlyFrom medical view point, nuclear weapons are apparentlyanti-humanitarian in its nature.anti-humanitarian in its nature.
Together with its indiscriminate effects on human beings Together with its indiscriminate effects on human beings and devastating consequence on cities, only solution ofand devastating consequence on cities, only solution offort this danger and fear is their total elimination. fort this danger and fear is their total elimination.