paramount resources ltd. november 2021 corporate presentation
TRANSCRIPT
November 2021
Corporate Presentation
Advisories
• In the interest of providing information regarding Paramount Resources Ltd. ("Paramount", "PRL" or the "Company") and its future plans and operations, this presentation contains certain forward-looking information and statements. The projections, estimates and forecasts contained in such forward-looking information and statements necessarily involve a number of assumptions and are subject to both known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause the Company's actual performance and financial results in future periods to differ materially from these projections, estimates and forecasts. The Advisories Appendix attached hereto lists some of the material assumptions, risks and uncertainties that these projections, estimates and forecasts are based on and are subject to. Readers are encouraged to carefully review the Advisories Appendix.
• All dollar amounts in this presentation are expressed in Canadian dollars, unless otherwise noted.
• Reserves and production information are presented in accordance with Canadian standards.
• The Advisories Appendix attached hereto contains additional information concerning the oil and gas measures and terms, reserves data and non-GAAP financial measures contained in this presentation.
• The forward-looking information and statements contained in this presentation are made effective as of November 3, 2021. Certain internally estimated play data contained in this presentation was prepared effective October 1, 2021. In each case, events or information subsequent to the applicable effective dates have not been incorporated.
• This presentation includes references to sales volumes of "natural gas", "condensate and oil", "NGLs", "Other NGLs" and "Liquids". "Natural gas" refers to conventional natural gas and shale gas combined. "Condensate and oil" refers to condensate, light and medium crude oil and tight oil combined. "NGLs" refers to condensate and Other NGLs combined. "Other NGLs" refers to ethane, propane and butane combined. "Liquids" refers to condensate and oil and Other NGLs combined. Readers are referred to the Product Type Information section of Advisories Appendix for more information about sales volumes by the specific product types of shale gas, conventional natural gas, NGLs, tight oil and light and medium crude oil.
2
83% 65%
70%
56% 59% 66%
6% 24%
25%
31% 34%
34%
9% 11%
13% 5%
-
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
$550
-
10
20
30
40
2020A 2021F 2022F 2023F
Pro
du
ctio
n (M
Bo
e/d
)
-
10
20
30
40
2020A 2021F 2022F 2023F
Pro
du
ctio
n (M
Bo
e/d
)
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2020A 2021F 2022F 2023F
Pro
du
ctio
n (M
Bo
e/d
)
68,340
85,000
90,000
97,500
86,500
94,000
102,500
82,000
65,000
70,000
75,000
80,000
85,000
90,000
95,000
100,000
105,000
2020A 4Q21F 2021F 2022F 2023F
Shares Outstanding (MM) 135.0
Market Capitalization ($MM) (3) ~$2,900
Net Debt at Sep. 30, 2021 ($MM) (4) ~$580
Enterprise Value ($MM) ~$3,500
Monthly Dividend ($/share | Annualized Yield) (5) $0.06 | 3.4%
3
Corporate Overview
• Founded in 1976 (IPO’d in 1978)
• Significant insider ownership (~46%) (1)
• 1P Reserves: 311 MMBoe (46% liquids) (2)
• 2P Reserves: 632 MMBoe (47% liquids) (2)
• Q3 2021 Production: 82,150 Boe/d (45% liquids)
• Monthly dividend increased to $0.06/sh in November 2021
Focus Areas
Market Snapshot (TSX-POU)
(1) Consists of Common Shares held by directors, officers and other insiders. (2) See Advisories Appendix – Reserves Data. (3) 135.0MM shares at $21.48/share. (4) “Free cash flow”, “net debt” and “net debt to adjusted funds flow” are Non-GAAP Financial Measures. See Advisories Appendix – Non GAAP Financial Measures.
(5) Annualized yield is obtained by dividing 12 months of the stated monthly dividend by a share price of $21.48. (6) 2023 amounts are current expectations based on preliminary planning and current market conditions and are subject to change.
Natural Gas
Other NGLs
Condensate and Oil
Grande Prairie
*2021F, 2022F and 2023F production is based on midpoint of guidance
Wapiti/Karr Montney
Kaybob Montney/Duvernay
Willesden Green Duvernay
Paramount has significant land positions in the most liquids-rich areas of the prolific Montney and Duvernay plays
39% Liquids
46%
Liquids
(6)
44% Liquids
48%
Liquids
45% Liquids
Production (MBoe/d)(% Liquids)
~82(44%)
90-94
(46%)97.5-102.5
(48%)
CapEx ($MM) $285-$295 $500-$540 $475-$525
ARO ($MM) $25 $33 $40
Mid-point FCF ($MM) (4) ~$215 ~$455 ~$450
Net Debt/AFF (4) ~0.8x ~0.3x ~0.3x
Guidance Summary 2021F 2022F 2023F(6)
Kaybob and Central
2021F
(Midpoint)2022F
(Midpoint)
Grande Prairie
Kaybob
Central AB and Other
Corporate
Region
Sustaining Capital and Maintenance
Category
2023F
(Midpoint) (6)
Capital Outlook ($MM) Production Outlook Range (Boe/d)
Related to in year production growth
Related to subsequent year production growth
*
* Related to both in year and subsequent year production growth
-
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
AFF CapEx & ARO FCF Uses AFF CapEx & ARO FCF Uses
2022F 2023F
$M
M
Free Cash Flow Generation and Debt Reduction
4
Paramount expects to achieve its net debt target of ~$300MM by Q3 2022
(1) See Advisories Appendix – Forward Looking Information for a breakdown of the pricing, cost and expenditure assumptions on which the forecast or illustrative free cash flow is based. (2) “Free cash flow”, “net debt”, “net debt to adjusted funds flow” and “adjusted funds flow" are Non-GAAP Financial Measures. See Advisories Appendix –
Non GAAP Financial Measures. (3) Based on year-end share count (includes ~5.3MM shares for conversion of convertible debentures into Common Shares at year-end 2021). Debt adjusted share count calculated as year-end share count plus (year-end net debt divided by current share price).
• ~110% free cash flow growth in 2022
• ~$165 million in proceeds from dispositions in 2021:
• ~$80 million from non-core asset sales in Q1
• ~$85 million from sale of Birch asset in Q3
2021F 2022F 2023F
Free Cash Flow Guidance ~$215 ~$455 ~$450
Midpoint of CapEx Guidance ~$290 ~$520 ~$500
ARO Guidance ~$25 ~$33 ~$40
Illustrative Adjusted Funds Flow (“AFF”) ~$530 ~$1,000 ~$1,000
Illustrative Net Debt* <$500 ~$300 ~$300
Illustrative Net Debt / AFF* ~0.8x ~0.3x ~0.3x
YoY Production and FCF Growth
Production per Share Growth (3) 15% 12% 9%
Production per Debt Adjusted Share Growth (3) 30% 17% 9%
• Paramount is prioritizing free cash flow as follows:
1) Net debt reduction to ~$300MM
2) Shareholder returns - Dividends and Share buybacks
3) Incremental growth - Organic development and Acquisitions
Illustrative Adjusted Funds Flow And Net Debt ($MM) (1)(2)
* Assumes that FCF is directed towards debt until achieving net debt of ~$300MM.
Illustrative AFF and FCF Estimates (1)(2)
• The Company has hedged ~23% of its midpoint 2022 forecast production to
provide greater FCF certainty
• Paramount estimates a WTI price of ~US$52.50/Bbl is required to fund 2022
CapEx, ARO, the dividend, and to achieve its net debt target
US$90/Bbl WTI
US$80/Bbl WTI
US$70/Bbl WTI
US$60/Bbl WTI
US$50/Bbl WTI
US$90/Bbl WTI
US$80/Bbl WTI
US$70/Bbl WTI
US$60/Bbl WTI
US$50/Bbl WTI
Debt
Repayment
Monthly Dividend
Remaining FCF
Monthly Dividend
Remaining FCF
2022F 2023F 2024F 2025F 2026F
Co
rpo
rate
FC
F ($
MM
)
Five-Year Outlook
5
Material free cash flow generation provides funding for incremental shareholder returns and growth
(1) Annual Capital Spending excludes land acquisitions and abandonment and reclamation activities. (2) The stated anticipated cumulative free cash flow is based on the following assumptions: (i) the stated annual capital expenditures and compound annual production growth; (ii) approximately $40 million in average annual abandonment
and reclamation costs, (iii) strip commodity prices and foreign exchange rates as at Oct. 22, 2021, and (iv) internal management estimates of future royalties, operating costs and transportation and processing costs.
• Paramount is providing an initial outlook through to the end of 2026 to highlight its
free cash flow and production growth potential
• The Company does not expect to pay Canadian income taxes within the next five
years at current strip prices
• Tax pools as of September 30, 2021 total ~$4.7 billion, including ~$3.5 billion
of immediately deductible pools
Illustrative Cumulative 2022-2026F Corporate Free Cash Flow
Potential (2)
Highlights of 5-Year Outlook
Annual Capital Spending (1) ~$500 MM
Compound Annual Production Growth Rate ~5%
Cumulative Free Cash Flow (2) >$2.7 Bn
Karr
Wapiti
Montney Oil
Willesden Green
Smoky
Ante CreekKaybobNorth
Kaybob South
-
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
- 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0
6
Prudent Development of Inventory-Rich Opportunity SetParamount is allocating capital based on risk and return of opportunities while maintaining its balance sheet strength
• Significant inventory of opportunities across Paramount's
land base at various stages in the development lifecycle
• Free cash flows from properties in development stage
available for debt reduction and reinvestment
• Track record of opportunistic property dispositions
with a focus on maximizing value
• Measured and focused approach to development
• Current capital remains weighted towards Karr/Wapiti
• Owned and operated infrastructure in Kaybob allows
for near-term Duvernay development at Smoky and
Kaybob North
• Willesden Green Duvernay requires infrastructure
build-out to support material production growth
• Work ongoing to determine optimized
production plateau level
• Very attractive rate of return potential in the Duvernay,
where significant upside exists should DCET costs be
successfully reduced to Karr/Wapiti levels
(1) Paramount’s expectation as of October 1, 2021 of rate of return vs. total value assuming full field development on a relative basis.
Rat
e o
f R
etu
rn
Capital Allocation Long-TermNear-Term
Longer-term Assets:
• Deep Basin – Multi-Stacked Horizons
• Cavalier Energy – Heavy Oil
• Liard Basin – Dry Gas
• Horn River – Dry Gas
• MGM (Mackenzie Delta) – Dry Gas
Pla
y U
nd
erst
and
ing
Early Stage Appraisal Develop Harvest
Significant Asset Optionality & Value (1) Stage of Development
SmokyKaybob North
Dashed circles represent updated IRR/total value
assuming DC costs are scaled to those of Karr
Resthaven Sold in
2018 for $340MM
Musreau Sold in 2016
for $2.1Bn
West Central Sold
in 2019 for $55MM
Birch Sold in July
2021 for $85MM
Kaybob North
Willesden Green
Kaybob South
Ante Creek
Smoky
Wapiti
Karr
Montney Oil
7
Karr Activity and ProductionParamount’s flagship asset at Karr reached targeted plateau production of ~40,000 Boe/d in March 2021
• Actively began development in 2016 with 74 wells brought onstream to the end of October 2021
• 2022 activities include 14 drills, 16 completions and 16 wells to be brought onstream
• Maintaining targeted plateau production of ~40,000 Boe/d will require ~12-16 wells (1) per year
• At plateau production, annual asset level free cash flow would be $340 million to $365 million (2)
• Management high-graded undeveloped location count of 224 wells (Middle Montney development)
• ~63% assigned reserves as at December 31, 2020 (3)
• Supports 20+ years of production at plateau with Upper and Lower Montney included
Quarterly Production (Boe/d) and Activity Outlook
(1) Early years will require more wells to maintain plateau production, given higher initial declines. Over time, less wells are required. (2) “Asset level free cash flow” is a Non-GAAP financial measure. See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” in the Advisories section. Stated amounts are illustrative assuming netbacks equal to Karr 2021 YTD per-unit netbacks of
$30.77/Boe, and 12 to 16 new wells per year at an average DCET cost of $7.1 million per well, excluding the cost of any potential incremental infrastructure requirements in the future. (3) See Advisories Appendix – Undeveloped Locations.
40,000 39,000 39,000
42,000 43,000 43,000
33,230
38,679 39,878
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
1Q21A 2Q21A 3Q21A 4Q21F 2022F 2023F
Quarterly Production (Boe/d) and Activity Outlook
• Brought onstream 6
wells at the 3-10 pad
• Drilled 3 wells at the 4-
28 pad and 5 wells at
the 7-18 pad
• Commenced drilling of 5
wells at the 5-16 East
pad
• Brought onstream 3
wells at the 4-28 pad
• Finished completion
operations of 5 wells at
the 7-18 pad
• 7 day, 50% sales
volume curtailment at 6-
18 facility
• Brought onstream 5
wells at the 7-18 pad
• Commenced drilling of 7
wells at the 16-17 pad
(only 7 to be drilled in
2021)
• Commenced completion
operations on 5 wells on
the 5-16 East pad in Q3
• Finished completions,
tie-in and brought on
production 5 wells at the
5-16 East pad in late
October
52% Liquids 51% Liquids
55% Liquids
54% Liquids52% Liquids 49% Liquids
• Complete and bring
onstream 7 of 12 wells
on the 16-17 pad in
2Q22
• Drill, complete, tie-in
and bring onstream the
remaining 5 wells on the
16-17 pad
• Drill, complete, tie-in
and bring onstream the
4 well 1-2N pad
• Commence drilling of
the 5 well 4-2 pad
• Maintain target plateau
production by bringing
onstream ~12-16
wells(1)
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Cumulative Boe – Karr Wells
8
Karr Performance and Recent HighlightsParamount’s Montney wells at Karr continue to perform strongly, resulting in improved deliverability
(1) Production measured at the wellhead. Natural gas sales volumes are lower by approximately 6 percent and liquids sales volumes are lower by approximately 6 percent due to shrinkage. The production rates and volumes stated are over a short period of time and, therefore, are not necessarily indicative of average daily production, long-
term performance or of ultimate recovery from the wells. CGR means the condensate to gas ratio calculated by dividing wellhead NGLs volumes by wellhead natural gas volumes. See Advisories Appendix – Oil and Gas Measures and Definitions. (2) Based on actuals to September 2021 and forecasts thereafter. (3) Production measured
at the wellhead. Natural gas sales volumes are lower by approximately 6 percent and liquids sales volumes are lower by approximately 6 percent due to shrinkage. (4) Per well data based on management estimates and price deck. See Advisories Appendix – Play Data. (5) See Advisories Appendix – Oil and Gas Measures and Definitions.
Cumulative NGLs – Karr Wells• Highly productive liquids-rich wells drive industry-
leading half-cycle economics
• Estimated per well sales volumes now ~1.7
MMBoe (up from ~1.2 MMBoe) on lower DCET
• Implied capital efficiency of ~$5,500/Boe/d (4)
• PDP finding and development costs were
$8.96/Boe in the Grande Prairie Region in 2020 (5)
• Results in a recycle ratio of 3.4x when using
Karr’s 2021 YTD operating netback of
$30.77/Boe
IP 365 (Boe/d) 1,297
IP 365 CGR (Bbl/MMcf) 169
Sales Volume (MBoe) 1,677
Average CGR (Bbl/MMcf) 97
Sales Gas Volume (Bcf) 5.9
Sales Condensate (MBbl) 560
DCET ($MM) $7.1
Play Data – 3,000m Avg. Lateral Length (4)
Type Curve (3)
Type Curve (3)
Recent Highlights
• The five-well 5-16 East pad was brought onstream in late October
• Preliminary DCET costs averaged $6.3MM/well
• Brought onstream five wells on the 7-18 pad in late July
• DCET costs averaged $6.1MM/well
• Averaged 2,137 Boe/d (6.4 MMcf/d of shale gas and 1,076
Bbl/d of NGLs) of peak 30-day wellhead production per well
with an average CGR of 169 Bbl/MMcf (1)
• Projected payout of approximately 5 months after coming
onstream (2)
• The six-well 3-10 pad that was brought onstream in February
2021 continues to outperform internal type well projections
resulting in all wells paying out in just four months
• Achieved an operating netback of $35.27/Boe in the third quarter
of 2021, representing a new record for the Karr asset
• Operating expenses were $9.03/Boe in the third quarter, lower
than the targeted $10.00/Boe at plateau production
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Karr Performance
Karr Well Performance by Program
* Well 22 DCET significantly higher due to failed liner and subsequent casing repair.
Lifetime Netback (Actual + Forecast Using Oct. 1, 2021 Price Deck) divided by DCET by Well (Right Axis)
Actual Netback to Aug. 31, 2021 (1) (Left Axis)
Forecast Remaining Netback (Per Dec. 31, 2020 McDaniel Report) (2) (Left Axis)
Average DCET by Program (Left Axis)
(1) See Advisories Appendix – Non GAAP Measures. (2) See Advisories Appendix – Reserves Data. Amounts represent undiscounted forecast proved plus probable netback over the remaining life of each well as included in the McDaniel Report. (3) Amounts represent undiscounted forecast total proved plus probable netback over the remaining
life of each well as calculated by management consistent with the forecasts, assumptions and methodology in the McDaniel Report but utilizing an updated price forecast that is the average of the Oct. 1, 2021 price forecasts for McDaniel and GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. and the Sep. 30, 2021 price forecast of Sproule Associates Ltd.
2016/17 Program2.4x Avg/Well
2019 Program2.7x Avg/Well
2020 Program4.1x Avg/Well
2018 Program2.7x Avg/Well
$13.3 MM $11.9 MM $12.3 MM$7.8 MM
Wells exhibit strong returns and quick payouts
$6.5 MM
2021 Program5.7x Avg/Well
Forecast Remaining Netback (Using Oct. 1, 2021 Price Deck) (3) (Left Axis)
10
Wapiti Activity and ProductionParamount has accelerated 2021 development to advance the next major phase of growth at Wapiti
• Development commenced in 2018 with 36 wells brought onstream to the end of October 2021
• 2022 activity includes 32 drills, 25 completions and 22 wells to be brought onstream
• Takeaway capacity in place to support Montney production growth
• Targeting plateau production of ~30,000 Boe/d in 2023
• Management full field development location count of 221 wells
• ~66% assigned reserves as at December 31, 2020 (1)
• Supports 20+ years of production at plateau
Quarterly Production (Boe/d) and Activity Outlook
(1) See Advisories Appendix – Undeveloped Locations.
• Completed the drilling of
remaining 4 wells on the
7-well 6-4 pad
• Completed 7 wells on
the 6-4 pad
• Commenced drilling 7
wells on the 9-22 pad
• Brought onstream 7
wells on the 6-4 pad
• 10 day scheduled
facility outage
• Drilled one tenure well
• Complete and bring
onstream 4 of 7 wells
on the 9-22 pad
• Commence drilling of
the 8 well 8-22 pad (2 to
be drilled in 2021)
12,000
19,000
26,000
16,000
22,000
29,000
14,107
10,604
14,651
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
1Q21A 2Q21A 3Q21A 4Q21F 2022F 2023F
59% Liquids60% Liquids
59% Liquids
57% Liquids
62% Liquids 62% Liquids
• Bring onstream the
remaining 3 wells on
the 9-22 pad and 1 well
on the 10-22 pad
• Finish the drilling of the
8-22 pad, CET and
bring onstream all 8
wells
• DCET 2x 8 well pads
and bring onstream 10
wells
• Drill the 8 well 8-15 pad
• Continue to bring new
wells onstream in
support of reaching the
targeted 30,000 Boe/d
in the year
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oe
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Recent Highlights
• In May, Paramount expanded its capital program to bring forward
activities by approximately 6 months into the second half of 2021
• More recently, the Company also accelerated additional drilling
activity into late 2021
Plans include:
• DCET and bring on production seven new Montney wells at
the 9-22 pad
• Commence drilling operations on the eight-well 8-22 pad in
late 2021
• Install associated infrastructure
Benefits:
• Higher 2021 exit production and 2022 production
• Improved 2023+ asset level free cash flow profile
• The seven well 6-4 pad was brought onstream in early July
• DCET costs averaged $6.9 million per well
• Averaged 1,292 Boe/d (3.0 MMcf/d of shale gas and 794 Bbl/d
of NGLs) of peak 30-day wellhead production per well with an
average CGR of 266 Bbl/MMcf (1)
11
Wapiti Performance and Recent HighlightsLower DCET costs and the implementation of an optimized well completion have further enhanced Wapiti economics
• Implied capital efficiency of ~$8,200/Boe/d using
the Company’s assumptions (3)
• PDP finding and development costs were
$8.96/Boe in the Grande Prairie Region in 2020 (4)
• Results in a recycle ratio of 3.5x when using
Wapiti’s 2021 YTD operating netback of
$31.60/Boe
IP 365 (Boe/d) 856
IP 365 CGR (Bbl/MMcf) 192
Sales Volume (MBoe) 780
Average CGR (Bbl/MMcf) 172
Sales Gas Volume (Bcf) 2.2
Sales Condensate (MBbl) 368
DCET ($MM) $7.0
Play Data – 3,000m Avg. Lateral Length (3)
(1) Production measured at the wellhead. Natural gas sales volumes are lower by approximately 13 percent and liquids sales volumes are lower by approximately 1 percent due to shrinkage. The production rates and volumes stated are over a short period of time and, therefore, are not necessarily indicative of average daily production, long-
term performance or of ultimate recovery from the wells. CGR means the condensate to gas ratio calculated by dividing wellhead NGLs volumes by wellhead natural gas volumes. See Advisories Appendix – Oil and Gas Measures and Definitions. (2) Production measured at the wellhead. Natural gas sales volumes are lower by
approximately 13 percent and wellhead liquids sales volumes are lower by approximately 1 percent due to shrinkage, under normalized operations. (3) Per well data based on management estimates and price deck. See Advisories Appendix – Play Data. (4) See Advisories Appendix – Oil and Gas Measures and Definitions.
Cumulative Boe – Wapiti Wells
Cumulative NGLs – Wapiti Wells
Type Curve (2)
Type Curve (2)
$0
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$MM
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12
Wapiti Performance
Wapiti Well Performance by Program
2018/19 Program2.4x Avg/Well
$11.3 MM
2019/20 Program2.6x Avg/Well
$9.6 MM
2020 Program3.5x Avg/Well
$7.5 MM
With recent well cost improvements, Wapiti wells are generating strong returns on invested capital
Lifetime Netback (Actual + Forecast Using Oct. 1, 2021 Price Deck) divided by DCET by Well (Right Axis)
Actual Netback to Aug. 31, 2021 (1) (Left Axis)
Forecast Remaining Netback (Per Dec. 31, 2020 McDaniel Report) (2) (Left Axis)
Average DCET by Program (Left Axis)
(1) See Advisories Appendix – Non GAAP Measures. (2) See Advisories Appendix – Reserves Data. Amounts represent undiscounted forecast proved plus probable netback over the remaining life of each well as included in the McDaniel Report. (3) Amounts represent undiscounted forecast total proved plus probable netback over the remaining
life of each well as calculated by management consistent with the forecasts, assumptions and methodology in the McDaniel Report but utilizing an updated price forecast that is the average of the Oct. 1, 2021 price forecasts for McDaniel and GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. and the Sep. 30, 2021 price forecast of Sproule Associates Ltd.
Forecast Remaining Netback (Using Oct. 1, 2021 Price Deck) (3) (Left Axis)
2021 Program4.4x Avg/Well
$6.9 MM
$6.0 MM/well
$5.9 MM/well
$3.9 MM/well
$3.2 MM/well
$200
$350
$500
$650
$800
-
$1.0
$2.0
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
$6.0
$7.0
$8.0
2018 2019 2020 2021
$/to
nn
e$M
M
Total Completion Cost (LHS)
Completion Cost / Tonne of Proppant (RHS)
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Dep
th (M
eter
s)
Days from Spud
13
Grande Prairie Capital EfficienciesParamount’s focus on continuous improvement has resulted in consistently lower well costs at Karr and Wapiti
Grande Prairie Region Average Drilling Days Grande Prairie Region Average Completion Costs
• Paramount expects to realize capital cost efficiencies in its Duvernay plays at Kaybob and Willesden Green, similar to the gains achieved over the past 18 months at Karr and Wapiti, as it commences pad development and captures economies of scale
01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40D
epth
(Met
ers)
Days from Spud
Pacesetter2021202020192018
14
Kaybob DuvernayParamount controls a material and increasingly de-risked position in the Kaybob Duvernay
Kaybob Duvernay Plans:
• With Karr at plateau production and Wapiti on its way to achieving plateau
production in 2023, the Company is now in a position to start methodically
developing its Kaybob Duvernay assets
• Development of the Duvernay at Kaybob Smoky and Kaybob North will
commence in 2022
Kaybob Duvernay Overview:
• Large portfolio of resource plays in the Kaybob Region
• ~200,000 net acres of Duvernay rights
• ~272,000 net acres of Montney rights
• Two recent large transactions totaling over $1.2 billion in lands directly adjacent to
the Company’s Kaybob North Duvernay asset base
• Increased activity by purchasers expected to continue to de-risk
Paramount’s lands
• Ownership in critical facilities and pipeline infrastructure including:
• 8-9 Gas Plant
• 6-16 Smoky Gas Plant
• 12-10 Oil Battery
• Paramount owns and operates a crude oil terminal in the Kaybob area that was first
put into service in 2019
• Netback enhancing for the Kaybob Region, capturing incremental value in
price differentials with capacity to handle future growth
15
Kaybob Smoky Duvernay OverviewA competitive cost structure at Smoky coupled with targeted capital efficiencies are expected to drive FCF growth
• The Kaybob Smoky Duvernay asset has been de-risked with competitor wells surrounding
Paramount’s lands
• Plans for 2022 include the expansion of the Company’s 100% owned and operated 6-16
facility that would increase gas processing capacity from 6.5 MMcf/d to 12 MMcf/d and
increase condensate processing and handling capacity from 2,000 Bbl/d to 5,000 Bbl/d
• Plans also include the drilling, completion, tie-in and bringing onstream of the four-well 10-35
pad in the second half of 2022
• Targeting plateau production of ~6,000 Boe/d by 2024
• ~49 full field development locations (~53% assigned reserves as at December 31, 2020) (1)
(1) See Advisories Appendix – Undeveloped Locations. (2) Per well data based on management estimates and price deck. See Advisories Appendix – Play Data
IP 365 (Boe/d) 680
IP 365 CGR (Bbl/MMcf) 315
Sales Volume (MBoe) 1,055
Average CGR (Bbl/MMcf) 257
Sales Gas Volume (Bcf) 2.2
Sales Condensate (MBbl) 568
DCET ($MM) $9.0
Play Data – 2,800m Avg. Lateral Length (2)• Implied capital efficiency of
~$13,200/Boe/d using the Company’s
assumptions (2)
• Paramount expects to realize capital
cost efficiencies at Smoky Duvernay
similar to those achieved over the past
two years at Karr and Wapiti
16
Kaybob North Duvernay OverviewThe next wedge of production growth for Paramount will come from the Kaybob North Duvernay play
• Competitor activity continues to de-risk Paramount land
• Activity has increased in 2021 and expect this to continue into 2022+
• In 2022, the Company plans to drill the remaining two wells at the three-well 12-21 pad and
bring all three wells onstream in late 2022
• Targeting plateau production of ~12,000 Boe/d by 2026
• ~83 full field development locations (1) that factors in:
• ~600m inter-well spacing, up from 320m last year; and
• Longer lateral length of 4,200m, up from 3,000m last year
• Work continues to determine optimal inter-well spacing
IP 365 (Boe/d) 668
IP 365 CGR (Bbl/MMcf) 475
Sales Volume (MBoe) 1,036
Average CGR (Bbl/MMcf) 333
Sales Gas Volume (Bcf) 2.0
Sales Condensate (MBbl) 662
DCET ($MM) $11.2
Play Data – 4,200m Avg. Lateral Length (2)
(1) See Advisories Appendix – Undeveloped Locations. (2) Per well data based on management estimates and price deck. See Advisories Appendix – Play Data
• Implied capital efficiency of
~$16,800/Boe/d using the Company’s
assumptions (2)
• Paramount expects to realize capital
cost efficiencies in the Kaybob North
Duvernay similar to those achieved
over the past two years at Karr and
Wapiti
17
Other Duvernay and Montney Assets at KaybobAssets have significant upside with a great deal of running room. Limited capital is currently being deployed
Kaybob South Duvernay Kaybob North Montney Oil
• Enhanced oil recovery pilot project will be expanded in 2022 to continue to assess the viability of implementation across the entire field
• ~28 full field development locations (~79% assigned reserves as at December 31, 2020) (1)
• In 2019, the Company brought on production 5 (2.5 net) wells on the 2-28 pad
• ~64 (gross) full field development locations (~47% assigned reserves as at December 31, 2020) (1)
• Plans for 2022 include the completion, tie-in and bringing onstream of one tenure well in the second half of the year
• ~98 full field development locations (~1% assigned reserves as at December 31, 2020) (1)
Ante Creek Montney Oil
(1) See Advisories Appendix – Undeveloped Locations.
0
50
100
150
200
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Cu
mu
lati
ve O
il (M
Bb
l)
Normalized Time Months
18
Central Willesden Green Duvernay OverviewMaterial, contiguous Duvernay land position at Willesden Green with strong results from most recent wells
• Early production rates at the two-well 4-7 pad brought onstream in July are extremely encouraging
• Despite being restricted by facility constraints, average gross peak 30-day production per well at
the 4-7 pad was 1,498 Boe/d (3.3 MMcf/d of shale gas and 948 Bbl/d of NGLs) with an average
CGR of 287 Bbl/MMcf (1)
• Planned activities in 2022 include the addition of water infrastructure and FEED studies for future facility
expansion that will benefit Duvernay development in the Willesden Green area
• ~181 full field development locations (~10% assigned reserves as at December 31, 2020) (2)
(1) Production measured at the wellhead. Natural gas sales volumes are lower by approximately 4 percent and liquids sales volumes are lower by approximately 9 percent due to shrinkage. The production rates and volumes stated are over a short period of time and, therefore, are not necessarily indicative of average
daily production, long-term performance or of ultimate recovery from the wells. CGR means the condensate to gas ratio calculated by dividing wellhead NGLs volumes by wellhead natural gas volumes. See Advisories Appendix - Oil and Gas Measures and Definitions. (2) See Advisories Appendix – Undeveloped
Locations. (3) Per well data based on management estimates and price deck. See Advisories Appendix – Play Data.
IP 365 (Boe/d) 770
IP 365 CGR (Bbl/MMcf) 284
Sales Volume (MBoe) 1,238
Average CGR (Bbl/MMcf) 227
Sales Gas Volume (Bcf) 2.8
Sales Condensate (MBbl) 626
DCET ($MM) $10.0
Play Data at 4,000m Avg. Lateral Length (3)
One well drilled to a lateral length of ~4,000m and
a total MD of ~7,400m (longest horizontal well
drilled in the Company’s history)
Paramount’s 5-29 well is one of
the best performing Duvernay oil
wells in Willesden Green to date
Oil – All Industry WG Duvernay Oil Wells
• Implied capital efficiency of ~$13,000/Boe/d using the Company’s assumptions (3)
• The company expects capital efficiencies to improve over time as it develops the play
0.0000
0.0100
0.0200
0.0300
-
250,000
500,000
750,000
2019 2020
tCO2e/Boe
tCO2e
Scope 1 Scope 2 Intesity
Environmental, Social and Governance (“ESG”)
19
Paramount prides itself in delivering value to all stakeholders in a responsible manner
• Reduced year-over-year Scope 1 & 2 absolute
emissions by 17% in 2020
• Completed the replacement of high vent controllers,
reducing GHG emissions by an estimated 60,000
tCO2e annually after accounting for recent
dispositions
• Bi-fuel drilling rigs contributed to a ~56% reduction
in per well diesel consumption since 2018
• New Karr wastewater infrastructure expected to
reduce GHG emissions by ~13,500 tCO2e annually
• Foster a safety conscious culture with written
policies and procedures to protect the health and
safety of those involved with and affected by our
operations
• Support a wide range of community and charitable
organizations both financially and through
volunteer hours
• Committed to creating and maintaining an
environment that respects diverse traditions,
heritages and experiences
• 75% Independent Board Members; Independent Lead
Director
• Fully independent Audit, Compensation, Corporate
Governance, and Reserves Committees
• Environmental, Health and Safety Committee of the
Board of Directors and senior management provide
oversight in ESG related matters
Environmental Social
• Minimum shareholding requirements for directors
• Officers and directors prohibited from hedging
Paramount securities
• Loans to officers and directors prohibited
• Code of Ethics and Code of Business Conduct
• Anonymous Whistleblower Policy and portal
Governance
0.4%Scope 1 + 2
emissions
intensity
17%Scope 1 + 2
absolute
emissions
Scope 1 Scope 2 Intensity
Paramount’s ESG report can be found on our website (including performance tables)
Emission Reduction Initiative
20
Paramount is evaluating a zero/ultra-low emissions power generation, CCUS and EOR project
O2Generator
Zero/Ultra-low
Emissions
Commercial
Power Sales
Zero/ultra-low
emissions
onsite power
generation
Oxy-Combustion
Turbine
Steam
Condenser &
Separator
Natural
Gas
Pure Water
CO2
Compressed CO2 is
injected into existing oil
fields as part of an EOR
scheme
Excess water is
condensed and used in
the Company’s future
completion operations
• Paramount has engaged an outside engineering firm and is working with
Clean Energy Systems Inc. (“CES”) to assess the opportunity for an ultra-
low emission upgrade to one of the Company’s facilities
• Paramount has held an indirect ownership in CES for over a decade
through its investment in Paxton Corporation
• Benefits include:
• Zero/ultra-low greenhouse gas emission power generation for use at the
facility with excess sold to the grid
• Eliminates effectively all Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions associated with
the facility
• CO2 to be captured, compressed and injected into a nearby 100%
Paramount owned and operated oil field, increasing the ultimate
recovery and extending the life of the asset, improving the return
proposition of the total project
• Excess water from condensed process steam to be used in the
Company’s future developments, minimizing the need to procure fresh
water from streams and rivers
58% 17%
6%
11% 8%
Credit Facility and Risk Management
21
Paramount has an active market risk diversification and risk management strategy
The Company has undertaken an active hedging program to provide greater free cash
flow certainty
• ~23% of forecast midpoint 2022 production is hedged
• ~15,500 Bbl/d of oil and ~36 MMcf/d of natural gas hedged in 2022
• Well-diversified natural gas portfolio with sales priced at Alberta, California, Chicago, Ventura and Eastern
Canada markets
AECO
Dawn
Malin
US Midwest
AECO Fixed-Price
Physicals
2022F Gas Diversification
Credit Facility and Convertible Debentures
• Paramount has a $900 million financial-covenant based revolving bank credit facility (June 2024 maturity date)
• Expandable to $1.0 billion with accordion feature (subject to incremental lender commitments)
• ~$490 million drawn at September 30, 2021
• The Company has delivered notices to redeem all $35 million of its 7.5% senior unsecured convertible debentures, effective December 3, 2021
• All holders are expected to exercise their right to convert resulting in ~5.3 million Common Shares being issued
Strategic and Long-Term Investments
22
Paramount is unique in that it holds strategic positions in a number of public and private entities
Summary of Investments & Other Assets
Investments in Public Companies (1) ~$230 million
Investments in Private Companies (2) ~$70 million
Drilling Rigs – Book Value (2) ~$60 million
Undeveloped Land Not quantified
Total ~$360 million
MGM Energy Corp.
Wholly owned by Paramount
Mackenzie Delta
• ~181,912 (29,342 net) acres
• Significant Discoveries at Umiak,
Qavvik, Olivier, Langley and Ellice
Central Mackenzie
• 301,055 (177,544 net) acres
• Significant Discovery at Nogha, Colville
Lake
• Significant Discovery of shale oil at East
Mackay
Fox Drilling
Wholly owned by Paramount
• Four triple-sized walking rigs
• Three conventional triple-sized rigs
Liard Basin
Cavalier Energy Inc.
Wholly owned by Paramount
• Cavalier Energy’s lands are prospective for in-
situ thermal oil recovery and heavy oil
• 1.354 million gross acres of land located
primarily in the Athabasca and Peace River
regions of Alberta
• ~430 gross sections with Clearwater and
Bluesky potential
Horn River BasinMuskwa Shale Play
• Prospective feedstock for west coast LNG
• Paramount holds ~34,049 (18,341 net) acres
• 65 gross (32.5 net) drilled and producing wells
(1) Market value of public companies as at Sep. 30, 2021 (includes 39.8 million shares of NuVista Energy Ltd. @ $5.14/share). (2) Carrying value as at Sep. 30, 2021. For further details refer to Paramount’s consolidated financial statements as at Sep. 30, 2021.
Besa River Shale Play
• Prospective feedstock for west coast LNG
• Paramount holds ~135 net sections
• Drilled 4 (4.0 net) wells for play delineation and
land retention
SultranParamount holds a ~16% ownership
• Supply chain and logistics solutions for
bulk commodities
• Wholly-owned BC terminal facilities
(Pacific Coast Terminals Co. Ltd.)
Other Long Term Resources
Liard Basin natural gas
Mackenzie Delta natural gas
Cavalier Energy thermal oil and Clearwater potential
• Minimal ongoing holding costs, lease rental only
• Maintain flexibility to determine development timeline
• Prospective for future free cash flow through joint ventures, farm outs or dispositions
Paramount Investment Attributes
• 40+ year history of responsible energy development and environmental stewardship
• Extensive portfolio of liquids-rich resource plays in the Montney and Duvernay
• Risk-adjusted returns-focused capital allocation strategy supported by rigorous full-cycle analysis
• Significant and sustainable improvement in both capital and operating cost structure
• Forecast to generate meaningful free cash flow
• Not expected to pay Canadian income taxes within the next five years at current strip prices
• Strong liquidity position with expected year-end 2021F net debt to adjusted funds flow of ~0.8x (1)
• Stakeholder-aligned management and board with significant insider ownership
• Incremental shareholder returns with the implementation of an inaugural monthly $0.02/share dividend in July 2021 and
subsequent tripling in November to $0.06/share
23
Paramount offers a unique investment proposition
(1) “Net debt”, “adjusted funds flow” and “net debt to adjusted funds flow” are Non-GAAP Financial Measures. See Advisories Appendix – Non GAAP Financial Measures.
Appendix
DCET Costs Total
Wellhead
NGLs
Wellhead Shale
Gas CGR (3)
Total
Wellhead
NGLs
Wellhead
Shale Gas CGR (3)
($MM) (Boe/d) (Bbl/d) (MMcf/d) (Bbl/MMcf) (MBoe) (MBbl) (Bcf) (Bbl/MMcf)
7-18 Pad
00/01-06-066-04W6/0 2,359 1,212 6.9 176 208 113 565 201 105
00/02-06-066-04W6/0 2,246 1,038 7.3 143 188 93 566 165 106
02/01-06-066-04W6/0 2,574 1,314 7.6 174 226 127 594 214 105
02/02-06-066-04W6/0 2,490 1,230 7.6 163 191 97 563 172 106
03/03-06-066-04W6/0 1,018 585 2.6 225 88 49 235 207 100
Avg. per well $6.1 2,137 1,076 6.4 169 180 96 505 189 104
4-28 Pad
00/08-27-066-04W6/0 1,482 882 3.6 245 201 112 530 212 192
00/09-27-066-04W6/0 1,019 524 3.0 176 164 87 464 187 194
02/16-32-066-04W6/2 1,384 777 3.6 213 227 117 657 178 196
Avg. per well $6.9 1,295 728 3.4 214 197 105 550 191 194
3-10 Pad
00/01-34-065-05W6/0 2,139 962 7.1 136 464 234 1,378 170 257
00/02-34-065-05W6/0 2,527 1,513 6.1 249 521 284 1,418 201 266
00/03-34-065-05W6/0 2,103 1,091 6.1 180 493 237 1,531 155 268
02/01-34-065-05W6/0 2,095 910 7.1 128 493 247 1,478 167 262
02/02-34-065-05W6/0 2,025 995 6.2 161 480 226 1,522 149 268
02/03-34-065-05W6/0 2,095 1,207 5.3 226 492 243 1,495 162 265
Avg. per well $6.6 2,164 1,113 6.3 176 491 245 1,470 167 264
2020 Wells
15 wells (Avg. per well) $7.8 1,548 907 3.8 236 400 205 1,166 176 404
2019 Wells
8 wells (Avg. per well) $12.3 1,825 1,262 3.4 373 543 333 1,262 264 727
2018 Wells
5 wells (Avg. per well) $11.9 1,760 1,051 4.3 247 701 367 2,005 183 853
2016/2017 Wells
27 wells (Avg. per well) $13.3 1,969 1,171 4.8 245 841 418 2,546 164 1,201
Days on
Production
Peak 30-Day (1)
Cumulative (2)
25
AppendixThe following summarizes the performance of the wells at Karr
(1) Peak 30-Day is the highest daily average production rate over a 30-day consecutive period for each well, measured at the wellhead. Natural gas sales volumes are approximately 6 percent lower and NGLs sales volumes are approximately 6 percent lower due to shrinkage. Excludes days when the wells did not produce. The production rates
and volumes shown are 30-day peak rates over a short period of time and, therefore, are not necessarily indicative of average daily production, long-term performance or of ultimate recovery from the wells. These wells were produced at restricted rates from time-to-time due to facility and gathering system constraints. See ʺOil and Gas Measures
and Definitionsʺ in the Advisories. (2) Cumulative is the aggregate production measured at the wellhead to October 31, 2021. Natural gas sales volumes are approximately 6 percent lower and NGLs sales volumes are approximately 6 percent lower due to shrinkage. These wells were produced at restricted rates from time-to-time due to facility
and gathering system constraints. The production rates and volumes shown are not necessarily indicative of average daily production, long-term performance or of ultimate recovery from the wells. (3) CGR means condensate to gas ratio calculated by dividing wellhead NGLs by wellhead natural gas volumes.
*Paramount is a single stream reporter, and as such, all public production data represents recombined gas.
DCET Costs Total Wellhead NGLs
Wellhead
Shale Gas CGR (3)
Total
Wellhead
NGLs
Wellhead
Shale Gas CGR (3)
($MM) (Boe/d) (Bbl/d) (MMcf/d) (Bbl/MMcf) (MBoe) (MBbl) (Bcf) (Bbl/MMcf)
6-4 Pad
02/06-16-068-06W6/0 1,040 744 1.8 418 91 64 167 382 103
03/05-16-068-06W6/0 1,284 879 2.4 362 106 71 212 333 94
03/06-16-068-06W6/0 1,336 952 2.3 413 99 68 185 367 101
00/11-28-067-06W6/0 1,105 680 2.6 266 96 53 256 208 106
00/12-28-067-06W6/0 1,413 771 3.9 200 120 67 319 210 100
02/11-28-067-06W6/0 1,268 695 3.4 202 122 67 326 207 106
02/12-28-067-06W6/0 1,598 837 4.6 183 131 71 360 197 93
Avg. per well $6.9 1,292 794 3.0 266 109 66 261 253 100
5-3 West Pad
00/07-16-068-06W6/0 1,124 798 2.0 407 260 176 506 347 318
00/10-28-067-06W6/0 1,274 814 2.8 295 253 144 652 221 309
02/07-16-068-06W6/0 1,195 838 2.1 391 240 167 434 386 291
02/10-28-067-06W6/0 1,248 790 2.7 288 221 128 558 229 279
03/09-28-067-06W6/0 1,105 733 2.2 329 258 152 637 239 329
Avg. per well $7.5 1,189 795 2.4 336 246 153 557 275 305
5-3 East Pad
03/11-27-067-06W6/0 2,013 1,241 4.6 268 388 203 1,114 182 631
04/06-15-068-06W6/0 1,567 1,053 3.1 341 317 190 763 249 593
02/09-28-067-06W6/0 1,694 1,055 3.8 275 306 171 813 210 507
02/11-27-067-06W6/0 1,931 1,209 4.3 279 389 220 1,013 217 615
00/12-27-067-06W6/0 1,315 868 2.7 323 288 158 779 203 551
02/12-27-067-06W6/0 1,843 1,191 3.9 304 360 189 1,029 183 555
00/09-28-067-06W6/0 1,526 1,012 3.1 328 322 178 861 207 524
03/06-15-068-06W6/0 1,312 918 2.4 389 322 197 748 263 559
00/05-15-068-06W6/0 1,287 895 2.3 381 247 163 503 323 512
02/05-15-068-06W6/0 1,484 997 2.9 342 319 195 742 263 541
00/08-16-068-06W6/0 1,339 878 2.8 318 323 206 700 294 541
02/08-16-068-06W6/0 1,743 1,214 3.2 382 285 196 532 369 450
Avg. per well $9.6 1,588 1,044 3.3 320 322 189 800 236 548
9-3 Pad
11 wells (Avg. per well) $11.1 1,051 722 2.0 366 368 220 888 248 778
Peak 30-Day (1)
Cumulative (2)
Days on
Production
26
AppendixThe following summarizes the performance of the wells at Wapiti
(1) Peak 30-Day is the highest daily average production rate over a 30-day consecutive period for each well, measured at the wellhead. Natural gas sales volumes are approximately 13 percent lower and NGLs sales volumes are approximately 1 percent lower due to shrinkage. Excludes days when the wells did not produce. The production rates
and volumes shown are 30-day peak rates over a short period of time and, therefore, are not necessarily indicative of average daily production, long-term performance or of ultimate recovery from the wells. These wells were produced at restricted rates from time-to-time due to facility and gathering system constraints. See ʺOil and Gas Measures
and Definitionsʺ in the Advisories. (2) Cumulative is the aggregate production measured at the wellhead to October 31, 2021. Natural gas sales volumes are approximately 13 percent lower and NGLs sales volumes are approximately 1 percent lower due to shrinkage. These wells were produced at restricted rates from time-to-time due to facility
and gathering system constraints. The production rates and volumes shown are not necessarily indicative of average daily production, long-term performance or of ultimate recovery from the wells. (3) CGR means condensate to gas ratio calculated by dividing wellhead NGLs by wellhead natural gas volumes.
*Paramount is a single stream reporter, and as such, all public production data represents recombined gas.
Advisories
Advisories
28
Forward-Looking Information
Certain statements in this presentation constitute forward-looking information under applicable securities legislation. Forward-looking information typically contains statements with words such as "anticipate", "believe", "estimate", "will", "expect", "plan", "intend", "propose", or similar words
suggesting future outcomes or an outlook.
Forward-looking information in this presentation includes, but is not limited to: (i) the payment of future dividends under the Company’s monthly dividend program; (ii) forecast sales volumes in 2021 and 2022 and certain periods therein; (iii) planned capital expenditures in 2021 and 2022 and
the allocation thereof; (iv) planned abandonment and reclamation activities and expenditures; (v) forecast free cash flow in 2021 and 2022; (vi) forecast net debt to adjusted funds flow in 2021; (vii) illustrative adjusted funds flow in 2021, 2022 and 2023; (viii) illustrative net debt in 2021, 2022
and 2023; (ix) illustrative net debt to adjusted funds flow in 2022 and 2023; (x) preliminary anticipated capital expenditures in 2023 and the resulting expected 2023 average sales volumes and free cash flow; (xi) illustrative production per share and debt adjusted share growth and free cash
flow growth: (xii) the expected meeting by the Company of its $300 million net debt target by the end of the third quarter of 2022; (xiii) the Company’s priorities for the allocation of free cash flow; (xiv) the Company’s five-year outlook for capital spending, annual production growth rate and
cumulative free cash flow; (xv) the Company’s expectation that it will not be required to pay Canadian income taxes within the next five years; (xvi) potential rates of return for the Company’s properties; (xvii) the number of wells per year required to maintain plateau production at Karr; (xviii)
illustrative asset level free cash flow potential at Karr; (xix) undeveloped locations for certain properties and the years of plateau production supported by undeveloped locations at Karr and Wapiti; (xx) the targeted date for achieving plateau production at Wapiti; (xxi) play data, anticipated well
performance and forecast netback; (xxii) planned exploration, development and production activities, including the expected timing of completing and bringing new wells on production; (xxiii) preliminary and estimated DCET costs and completion costs; (xxiv) targeted plateau production at
Kaybob Smoky Duvernay and Kaybob North Duvernay and the timing thereof; (xxv) the expected realization of capital cost efficiencies at Kaybob Smoky Duvernay and Kaybob North Duvernay and the potential impact on per well DCET costs; (xxvi) the expectation that capital efficiencies will
improve over time at the Willesden Green property as the play develops; (xxvii) expected GHG reductions associated with controller upgrades and waste water infrastructure; (xviii) general business strategies and objectives and (xxix) the expectation that all holders will exercise their right to
convert their debentures into Common Shares prior to the redemption date.
Such forward-looking information is based on a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect. Assumptions have been made with respect to the following matters, in addition to any other assumptions identified in this presentation or Paramount’s continuous disclosure documents:
(i) future commodity prices and the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic thereon; (ii) the likely impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on operations; (iii) the ability to realize expected cost savings; (iv) royalty rates, taxes and capital, operating, processing, transportation, general &
administrative and other costs; (v) foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates; (vi) general business, economic and market conditions; (vii) the performance of wells and facilities; (viii) the ability of Paramount to obtain the required capital to finance its exploration, development and
other operations and meet its commitments and financial obligations; (ix) the ability of Paramount to obtain equipment, services, supplies and personnel in a timely manner and at an acceptable cost to carry out its activities; (x) the ability of Paramount to secure adequate product processing,
transportation, fractionation and storage capacity on acceptable terms and the capacity and reliability of facilities; (xi) the ability of Paramount to market its production successfully to current and new customers; (xii) the ability of Paramount and its industry partners to obtain drilling success
(including in respect of anticipated production volumes, reserves additions, product yields and resource recoveries) and operational improvements, efficiencies and results consistent with expectations; (xiii) the timely receipt of required governmental and regulatory approvals; (xiv) the receipt
of benefits under government programs; (xv) the application of regulatory requirements respecting abandonment and reclamation; (xvi) anticipated timelines and budgets being met in respect of drilling programs and other operations (including well completions and tie-ins, the construction,
commissioning and start-up of new and expanded facilities, including third-party facilities, and facility turnarounds and maintenance); and (xvii) in the case of the expectation that all holders will exercise their right to convert their debentures into Common Shares prior to the redemption date,
the assumption that the trading price of the Common Shares will continue to remain substantially above the conversion price of the debentures.
In addition to the above: (a) forecast 2021 free cash flow is based on the following assumptions for 2021: (i) the midpoint of forecast capital spending and production, (ii) $25 million in net abandonment and reclamation costs, (iii) realized pricing of $47.55/Boe (US$67.63/Bbl WTI,
US$3.94/MMBtu NYMEX, $3.59/GJ AECO), (iv) royalties of $4.60/Boe, (v) operating costs of $11.15/Boe and (vi) transportation and processing costs of $4.00/Boe; (b) the forecast of 2021 year end net debt to adjusted funds flow assumes the payment of a regular monthly dividend of $0.06
per Common Share commencing in November 2021 and the conversion of the Company’s $35 million of convertible debentures into Common Shares in the fourth quarter of 2021; (c) forecast 2022 free cash flow is based on the following assumptions for 2022: (i) the midpoint of forecast
capital spending and production, (ii) $33 million in net abandonment and reclamation costs, (iii) realized pricing of $53.70/Boe (US$74.44/Bbl WTI, US$4.35/MMBtu NYMEX, $3.95/GJ AECO), (iv) royalties of $6.65/Boe, (v) operating costs of $11.00/Boe and (vi) transportation and processing
costs of $3.85/Boe; (d) the forecasted timing of achieving the targeted net debt level and net debt to adjusted funds flow in the third quarter of 2022 assumes the payment of a regular monthly dividend of $0.06 per Common Share commencing in November 2021 and the conversion of the
Company’s $35 million of convertible debentures into Common Shares in the fourth quarter of 2021; (e) estimated 2023 free cash flow is based on the following assumptions for 2023: (i) the midpoint of expected capital spending and production, (ii) $40 million in abandonment and reclamation
costs, (iii) realized pricing of $48.55/Boe (US$67.39/Bbl WTI, US$3.56/MMBtu NYMEX, 3.28/GJ AECO), (iv) royalties of $5.95/Boe, (v) operating costs of $10.50/Boe and (vi) transportation and processing costs of $3.70/Boe; and (f) the Company’s expectation to not pay Canadian income
taxes within the next five years is based on the current tax regime, the Company's tax pools and the assumptions with respect to production, expenditures, commodity prices, royalties and costs in the five years ended 2026 set forth herein. Taxable income varies depending on total income
and expenses and Paramount’s estimate is sensitive to assumptions regarding commodity prices, production, cash from operating activities, capital spending levels and acquisition and disposition transactions. Changes in these factors could result in the Company paying income taxes earlier
than expected.
Although Paramount believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking information are reasonable based on the information available at the time of the preparation of this presentation, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information as Paramount can
give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Forward-looking information is based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by Paramount
and described in the forward-looking information. These risks and uncertainties include and/or relate (but are not limited) to: (i) fluctuations in commodity prices, including in relation to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic; (ii) changes in capital spending plans and planned exploration and
development activities; (iii) the potential for changes to preliminary anticipated 2023 capital expenditures prior to finalization and changes to the resulting expected or illustrative 2023 average sales volumes, free cash flow, adjusted funds flow, net debt, net debt to adjusted funds flow,
production per share and debt adjusted share growth and free cash flow growth, (iv) changes in foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates, (v) the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to future revenue, free cash flow, future production, reserves additions, liquids yields
(including condensate to natural gas ratios), resources recoveries, well performance, royalty rates, taxes and costs and expenses; (vi) the ability to secure adequate product processing, transportation, fractionation and storage capacity on acceptable terms; (vii) operational risks in exploring
for, developing and producing natural gas and liquids, including the risks of spills, leaks or blowouts; (viii) the ability to obtain equipment, services, supplies and personnel in a timely manner and at an acceptable cost; (ix) potential disruptions or unexpected technical or other difficulties in
designing, developing, expanding or operating new, expanded or existing facilities (including third-party facilities); (x) processing, pipeline and fractionation infrastructure outages, disruptions and constraints; (xi) risks and uncertainties involving the geology of oil and gas deposits; (xii) the
uncertainty of reserves estimates; (xiii) general business, economic and market conditions; (xiv) the ability to generate sufficient cash flow from operating activities and obtain financing to fund planned exploration, development and operational activities and meet current and future
commitments and obligations (including product processing, transportation, fractionation and similar commitments and obligations); (xv) changes in, or in the interpretation of, laws, regulations or policies (including environmental laws); (xvi) the ability to obtain required governmental or
regulatory approvals in a timely manner and to enter into and maintain leases and licenses; (xvii) the effects of weather and other factors, including wildlife and environmental restrictions which affect field operations and access; (xviii) uncertainties regarding the timing and costs of future
abandonment and reclamation obligations and potential liabilities for environmental damage and contamination; (xix) uncertainties regarding aboriginal claims and in maintaining relationships with local populations and other stakeholders; (xx) the outcome of existing and potential lawsuits,
regulatory actions, audits and assessments; (xxi) uncertainties with respect to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic; and (xxii) other risks and uncertainties described elsewhere in this presentation and in Paramount’s filings with Canadian securities authorities, including its Annual Information
Form for the year ended December 31, 2020 and its Management & Discussion and Analysis for the year ended December 31, 2020, which are available under the Company’s profile on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
Advisories
29
This document contains disclosures expressed as "Boe", "$/Boe", "MBoe", "MMBoe" and "Boe/d". Natural gas equivalency volumes have been derived using the ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil when converting natural gas to Boe. Equivalency measures may
be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the well head. For the nine
months ended September 30, 2021, the value ratio between crude oil and natural gas was approximately 26:1. This value ratio is significantly different from the energy equivalency ratio of 6:1. Using a 6:1 ratio would be misleading as an indication of value.
This document contains references to “CGR”, “finding and development costs” and “recycle ratio”, metrics commonly used in the oil and natural gas industry. “Finding and development costs” are calculated by dividing: (i) total capital expenditures for the period (excluding corporate
expenditures and land and property acquisitions) by (ii) the net changes in reserves from the prior year from extensions/improved recovery, technical revisions and economic factors. Finding and development costs are a measure commonly used by management and investors to assess the
relationship between capital invested in oil and gas exploration and development projects and reserve additions associated with such projects. “Recycle ratio” is calculated by dividing netback per Boe by applicable finding and development costs. This metric is utilized by management and
investors to monitor reserve addition efficiencies relative to the netbacks achieved from such reserve additions. “CGR”, “finding and development costs” and “recycle ratio” do not have standardized meanings and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies.
As such, they should not be used to make comparisons. Management uses these metrics for its own performance measurements and to provide shareholders with measures to compare the Company's performance over time; however, such measures are not a reliable indicator of the
Company's future performance and future performance may not compare to the performance in previous periods and therefore should not be unduly relied upon.
All information in this presentation respecting acres of land held is effective as of December 31, 2020.
Additional information respecting the Company’s oil and gas properties and operations is provided in the Company’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2020 which is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
In this presentation, “adjusted funds flow”, “asset level free cash flow”, “free cash flow”, “net debt“, “net debt to adjusted funds flow” and “netback“ (collectively the "Non-GAAP Financial Measures") are used and do not have any standardized meanings as prescribed by International Financial
Reporting Standards (“IFRS”).
"Adjusted funds flow" refers to cash from (used in) operating activities before net changes in non-cash working capital, geological and geophysical expenses, asset retirement obligation settlements, closure costs, provisions and other, dispute settlements and transaction and reorganization
costs. Adjusted funds flow is used to assist management and investors in measuring the Company’s ability to fund capital programs and meet financial obligations, including the settlement of asset retirement obligations. Asset retirement obligation settlements are excluded from the
calculation of adjusted funds flow because such expenditures are not directly linked to the revenue generating activities of the Company. Paramount manages the timing of expenditures related to asset retirement obligation settlements in accordance with regulatory requirements and its
overall approach to managing its asset retirement obligations and, as a result, amounts incurred may vary significantly from period to period. Adjusted funds flow is not intended to represent cash from operating activities, net loss or any other GAAP measure and should not be construed as
being an alternative to, or more meaningful than, cash from operating activities as determined in accordance with IFRS.
“Asset level free cash flow” refers to aggregate netback from an asset during the period less capital expenditures with respect to such asset for the period. Asset level free cash flow is used by management and investors to assess the cash generating capacity of an asset.
Liquids
Bbl Barrels
Bbl/d Barrels per day
MBbl Thousands of barrels
NGLs Natural Gas Liquids
Condensate Pentane and heavier hydrocarbons
WTI West Texas Intermediate
Oil Equivalent
Boe Barrels of oil equivalent
MBoe Thousands of barrels of oil equivalent
MMBoe Millions of barrels of oil equivalent
Boe/d Barrels of oil equivalent per day
Natural Gas
GJ Gigajoules
GJ/d Gigajoules per day
Mcf Thousands of cubic feet
MMcf Millions of cubic feet
MMcf/d Millions of cubic feet per day
AECO AECO-C reference price
Oil and Gas Measures and Definitions
In addition, there are risks that may result in the Company changing, suspending or discontinuing its monthly dividend program, including changes to free cash flow, operating results, capital requirements, financial position, market conditions or corporate strategy and the need to comply with
requirements under debt agreements and applicable laws respecting the declaration and payment of dividends.
Certain forward-looking information in this presentation, including forecast free cash flow in 2021, 2022 and future periods and forecast 2021 year-end net debt to annual adjusted funds flow, may also constitute a “financial outlook” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. A financial
outlook involves statements about Paramount’s prospective financial performance or position and is based on and subject to the assumptions and risk factors described above in respect of forward-looking information generally as well as any other specific assumptions and risk factors in
relation to such financial outlook noted in this presentation. Such assumptions are based on management's assessment of the relevant information currently available and any financial outlook included in this presentation is provided for the purpose of helping readers understand
Paramount’s current expectations and plans for the future. Readers are cautioned that reliance on any financial outlook may not be appropriate for other purposes or in other circumstances and that the risk factors described above or other factors may cause actual results to differ materially
from any financial outlook.
The forward-looking information and statements contained in this presentation are made effective as of November 3, 2021. The internally estimated play data information for Karr, Wapiti, Kaybob Smoky Duvernay, Kaybob North Duvernay and Willesden Green contained at pages 8, 11, 15,
16 and 18 in this presentation has been prepared effective October 1, 2021. In each case, events or information subsequent to the applicable effective dates have not been incorporated.
Total Grande Prairie Region Kaybob Region Central Alberta and Other Region
Q3 2021 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 FY 2020 Q3 2021 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 FY 2020 Q3 2021 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 FY 2020 Q3 2021 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 FY 2020
Shale gas (MMcf/d) 207.1 205.8 197.8 156.7 145.8 132.2 120.6 77.2 36.9 39.3 42.1 43.8 24.4 34.3 35.1 35.7
Conventional natural gas (MMcf/d) 62.6 67.3 75.3 92 2.2 2.1 2 1.4 54.4 58 65.8 82.1 6 7.2 7.5 8.5
Natural gas (MMcf/d) 269.7 273.1 273.1 248.7 148 134.3 122.6 78.6 91.3 97.3 107.9 125.9 30.4 41.5 42.6 44.2
Condensate (Bbl/d) 29,670 26,784 27,017 19,334 26,639 24,086 23,974 15,991 2,072 2,319 2,611 2,885 959 379 433 458
Other NGLs (Bbl/d) 5,017 4,938 5,170 4,325 3,274 2,874 2,984 1,964 1,415 1,569 1,677 1,812 328 495 509 549
NGLs (Bbl/d) 34,687 31,722 32,187 23,659 29,913 26,960 26,958 17,955 3,487 3,888 4,288 4,697 1,287 874 942 1,007
Tight oil (Bbl/d) 475 494 479 462 - - – – 368 354 342 301 107 140 136 161
Light and Medium crude oil (Bbl/d) 2,032 2,265 2,358 2,768 9 4 – 14 1,979 2,224 2,321 2,709 44 37 37 46
Crude oil (Bbl/d) 2,507 2,759 2,837 3,230 9 4 – 14 2,347 2,578 2,663 3,010 151 177 173 207
Total (Boe/d) 82,150 79,995 80,540 68,340 54,586 49,345 47,385 31,076 21,054 22,688 24,938 28,685 6,510 7,962 8,217 8,579
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30
Product Type Information
Below is a complete breakdown of sales volumes for applicable periods by specific product type of shale gas, conventional natural gas, NGLs, tight oil and light and medium crude oil. Numbers may not add due to rounding.
“Free cash flow” refers to adjusted funds flow less total capital expenditures and asset retirement obligation settlements. Free cash flow is used by management and investors to assess the amount of internally generated cash available to repay debt, reinvest in the business or return to
shareholders.
"Net debt" is a measure of the Company’s overall debt position after adjusting for certain working capital amounts and is used by management to assess the Company’s overall leverage position. Refer to the Liquidity and Capital Resources section of the Company’s Management’s
Discussion and Analysis for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 for the calculation of Paramount’s net debt as of September 30, 2021.
“Net debt to adjusted funds flow” is a ratio calculated as the period end net debt divided by adjusted funds flow for the trailing four quarters. The ratio of net debt to adjusted funds flow is commonly used by management and investors to assess the Company’s overall debt position.
"Netback" equals petroleum and natural gas sales less royalties, operating expense and transportation and NGLs processing costs. Netback is commonly used by management and investors to compare the results of the Company’s oil and gas operations between periods.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures should not be considered in isolation or construed as alternatives to their most directly comparable measure calculated in accordance with GAAP, or other measures of financial performance calculated in accordance with GAAP. The Non-GAAP Financial
Measures are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers.
Karr Wapiti
Q3 2021 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 FY 2020 Q3 2021 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 FY 2020
Shale gas (MMcf/d) 113 106.3 89.1 55.6 32.7 25.9 31.5 21.5
Conventional natural gas (MMcf/d) 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.4
Natural gas (MMcf/d) 114.4 107.6 90.2 56.3 33.3 26.4 32.1 21.9
NGLs (Bbl/d) 20,805 20,739 18,203 11,389 9,100 6,211 8,751 6,550
Total (Boe/d) 39,878 38,679 33,230 20,777 14,651 10,604 14,107 10,207
Play Data
The internally estimated play data information for Karr, Wapiti, Kaybob Smoky Duvernay, Kaybob North Duvernay and Willesden Green contained at pages 8, 11, 15, 16 and 18 in this presentation has been prepared effective October 1, 2021 by internal qualified reserves evaluators
from Paramount in accordance with COGEH and using strip commodity prices and foreign exchange rates as at October 22, 2021 ranging from US$57.81 to US$81.95/Bbl WTI, $2.77 to $5.11/GJ AECO and an exchange rate of US$0.80 to US$0.81 for one Canadian dollar. The play
data has been prepared excluding certain wells with significant deviation in completion, lateral length, depletion or infrastructure constraints and has been adjusted for non-producing days. The play data contains no adjustments or assumptions respecting unscheduled potential future
facility and transportation constraints or outages. Underlying forecast economics are half-cycle economics and include only the cost to drill, complete, tie-in and equip wells. The forecasts do not take into account certain other costs, including those required to construct central
processing facilities, regional gathering facilities, condensate stabilization facilities and other infrastructure and costs related to water disposal and wellbore optimization. Sales and production volumes presented in the play data have been estimated on the basis of an equal likelihood
that actual volumes recovered will be greater or less than those estimated.
The metrics and terms “CGR”, “IP 365“, “IP 365 CGR”, “Sales Volumes”, “Average CGR”, “Sales Gas Volume”, “Sales Condensate”, “Implied Capital efficiency” and “DCET” are used in presenting play data. “CGR” means condensate to gas ratio and, except otherwise noted, is
calculated by dividing sales condensate volumes by sales natural gas volumes. “IP 365” means the estimated average daily sales volumes of production over the initial 365 calendar days of production. “IP 365 CGR” means the estimated average CGR over the initial 365 calendar days
of production. “Sales Volume” means the estimated aggregate potential sales volumes of production. “Average CGR” means the estimated average CGR over the life of the well. “Sales Gas Volume” means the estimated aggregate potential sales volumes of natural gas. “Sales
Condensate” means the estimated aggregate potential sales volumes of condensate. “Implied Capital Efficiency” is calculated by dividing IP365 by DCET. “DCET” means estimated drilling, completion, equip and tie-in costs.
The play data contained in this presentation has been included for the purposes of informing readers as to certain assumptions and estimates relied on by management of Paramount as of the date of preparation for capital budgeting and forecasting purposes. The play data represents
an estimate only respecting undeveloped locations subject to near-term development, is subject to revision and may not be applicable to all undeveloped locations. Play data should not be relied on as an estimate or evaluation of reserves or resources associated with the Company’s
properties and readers are referred to the McDaniel Report and to the Company's annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2020, which is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com, for reserves information respecting the Company.
Undeveloped Locations
This presentation contains information respecting Paramount’s internal estimate of future potential undeveloped locations at various properties. The future potential undeveloped location information contained in this presentation represents gross locations and was prepared effective
October 1, 2021 by internal qualified reserves evaluators from Paramount. The undeveloped locations referred to in this presentation were determined by Paramount’s internal evaluators based on, among other matters, their assessment of available reservoir, geological and technical
information, the economic thresholds necessary for development and potential future development plans. There is no certainty that the Company will drill any of the identified future potential undeveloped locations and there is no certainty that such locations will result in additional
reserves or production. The locations on which the Company will actually drill wells, including the number and timing thereof will be dependent upon the availability of funding, regulatory approvals, seasonal restrictions, oil and natural gas prices, costs, actual drilling results, additional
reservoir, geological and technical information that is obtained and other factors. While certain of the estimated undeveloped locations have been de-risked by drilling existing wells in relative close proximity to such locations, many of the locations are further away from existing wells
where management has less information about the characteristics of the reservoir and therefore there is more uncertainty as to whether wells will be drilled in such locations, and if wells are drilled in such locations there is more uncertainty that such wells will result in additional oil and
natural gas reserves or production. This presentation references the percentage of future potential undeveloped locations assigned reserves in the McDaniel Report solely to provide the reader with additional information concerning the proportion of internally estimated future potential
undeveloped locations as compared to locations assigned reserves in the McDaniel Report. The comparability of internally estimated future potential undeveloped locations to locations assigned in the McDaniel Report is limited due to differing effective dates and assumptions. There is
no guarantee that any internally estimated future potential development location will be included and assigned reserves in any future reserves report prepared for the Company.
Advisories
31
The Company forecasts that:
• Fourth quarter 2021 sales volumes will average between 85,000 Boe/d and 86,500 Boe/d (55 percent shale gas and conventional natural gas combined, 39 percent light and medium crude oil, tight oil and condensate combined and 6 percent other NGLs)
• 2021 annual sales volumes will average approximately 82,000 Boe/d (56 percent shale gas and conventional natural gas combined, 38 percent light and medium crude oil, tight oil and condensate combined and 6 percent other NGLs)
• 2022 sales volumes will average between 90,000 Boe/d and 94,000 Boe/d (54 percent shale gas and conventional natural gas combined, 40 percent light and medium crude oil, tight oil and condensate combined and 6 percent other NGLs)
• First half 2022 sales volumes are expected to average between 81,000 Boe/d and 85,000 Boe/d (56 percent shale gas and conventional natural gas combined, 38 percent light and medium crude oil, tight oil and condensate combined and 6 percent other NGLs)
• Second half 2022 sales volumes are expected to average between 99,000 Boe/d and 103,000 Boe/d (53 percent shale gas and conventional natural gas combined, 41 percent light and medium crude oil, tight oil and condensate combined and 6 percent other NGLs)
Reserves Data
Reserves data set forth in this presentation is based upon an evaluation of the Company’s reserves prepared by McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. (“McDaniel”) dated March 2, 2021 and effective December 31, 2020 (the “McDaniel Report”). The price forecast used in the
McDaniel Report is an average of the January 1, 2021 price forecasts for McDaniel and GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. and the December 31, 2020 price forecast of Sproule Associates Ltd. The estimates of reserves contained in the McDaniel Report and referenced in this document
are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates contained in the McDaniel Report and referenced in this document. There is no assurance that the forecast prices and costs
assumptions used in the McDaniel Report will be attained, and variances could be material. Estimated future net revenue does not represent fair market value. The estimates of reserves for individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves for all
properties, due to the effects of aggregation. Readers should refer to the Company's annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2020, which is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com, for a complete description of the McDaniel Report (including reserves by specific
product type of shale gas, conventional natural gas, NGLs, tight oil and light and medium crude oil) and the material assumptions, limitations and risk factors pertaining thereto.
Paramount Resources Ltd.
2800 – 421 7 Avenue S.W.
Calgary, Alberta Canada
T2P-4K9
Telephone: 403.290.3600
www.paramountres.com