party polarization in the u.s. senate
TRANSCRIPT
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Sean M. Theriault
The University of Texas
Political Warriors: The Ugly Side of Party
Polarization in Congress
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Party Polarizers
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Party Polarizers
and
Partisan Warriors
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Party Polarizers
and
Partisan Warriors
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“For some time, I’ve had a growing conviction that Congress is not operating as it should. There is much too much partisanship and not enough progress; too much narrow ideology and not enough practical problem-solving. Even at a time of enormous national challenge, the people's business is not getting done.”
--Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN)
February 2010 -
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“For some time, I’ve had a growing conviction that Congress is not operating as it should. There is much too much partisanship and not enough progress; too much narrow ideology and not enough practical problem-solving. Even at a time of enormous national challenge, the people's business is not getting done.”
--Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN)
February 2010 -
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Does too much partisanship =
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Does too much partisanship =
not enough progress?
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Does too much partisanship =
not enough progress?
Does too much narrow ideology =
not enough practical
problem-solving?
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Does too much partisanship =
not enough progress?
Does too much narrow ideology =
not enough practical
problem-solving?
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or
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or
Party Polarizers
Political Warriors
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or
Party Polarizers
Political Warriors
Party Polarizers
Political Warriors
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Political
Warriors
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The Bipartisan Budget Commission
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The Bipartisan Budget Commission
34 Cosponsors – 13 Democrats and 21 Republicans
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The Bipartisan Budget Commission
34 Cosponsors – 13 Democrats and 21 Republicans
On Jan. 19, President Obama endorsed the idea
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The Bipartisan Budget Commission
34 Cosponsors – 13 Democrats and 21 Republicans
On Jan. 19, President Obama endorsed the idea
On Jan. 20, McCain and Inhofe withdrew as cosponsors
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The Bipartisan Budget Commission
34 Cosponsors – 13 Democrats and 21 Republicans
On Jan. 19, President Obama endorsed the idea
On Jan. 20, McCain and Inhofe withdrew as cosponsors
On Jan. 21, Crapo and Brownback withdrew
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The Bipartisan Budget Commission
34 Cosponsors – 13 Democrats and 21 Republicans
On Jan. 19, President Obama endorsed the idea
On Jan. 20, McCain and Inhofe withdrew as cosponsors
On Jan. 21, Crapo and Brownback withdrew
On Jan. 22, Hutchison and Ensign withdrew
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The Bipartisan Budget Commission
34 Cosponsors – 13 Democrats and 21 Republicans
On Jan. 19, President Obama endorsed the idea
On Jan. 20, McCain and Inhofe withdrew as cosponsors
On Jan. 21, Crapo and Brownback withdrew
On Jan. 22, Hutchison and Ensign withdrew
On Jan. 26, the amendment is defeated, 53-46
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Secr
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ta
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Secr
et
San
ta Went Didn’t
Republicans 22 25
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Secr
et
San
ta Went Didn’t
Republicans 22 25
Democrats 40 13
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Secr
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ta Went Didn’t
Republicans 22 25
Democrats 40 13
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Republicans 22 25
Democrats 40 13
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Secr
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Republicans 22 25
Democrats 40 13
Republicans 0.46 0.50
Democrats -0.35 -0.37
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“Reducing health care costs by eliminating payments for fraudulent claims and
prohibiting coverage for abortion drugs and erective dysfunction drugs for rapists and
child molester.”
Amendment by
Senator Tom Coburn (R-OK)
March 2010 -
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“Reducing health care costs by eliminating payments for fraudulent claims and
prohibiting coverage for abortion drugs and erective dysfunction drugs for rapists and
child molester.”
Amendment by
Senator Tom Coburn (R-OK)
March 2010 -
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Roll Calls on Amendments Rank Congress Senator Roll Call Votes
1. 111th Tom Coburn (R-OK) 49
2. (Tie) 110th Tom Coburn (R-OK) 34
2. (Tie) 110th Jim DeMint (R-SC) 34
4. 103rd Jesse Helms (R-NC) 33
5. 104th Paul Wellstone (D-MN) 29
6. (Tie) 108th Robert Byrd (D-WV) 28
6. (Tie) 104th Tom Harkin (D-IA) 28
6. (Tie) 103rd John McCain (R-AZ) 28
9. 111th John McCain (R-AZ) 27
10. (Tie) 112th Tom Coburn (R-OK) 25
10. (Tie) 104th Byron Dorgan (D-ND) 25
10. (Tie) 106th Paul Wellstone (D-MN) 25
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A Couple of Cases…
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112
Boxer (D-CA)
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A Couple of Cases…
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112
Boxer (D-CA)
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A Couple of Cases…
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112
Boxer (D-CA)
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A Couple of Cases…
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112
Boxer (D-CA)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112
Kyl (R-AZ)
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A Couple of Cases…
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112
Boxer (D-CA)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112
Kyl (R-AZ)
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Roll Calls on Amendments
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
103rd 104th 105th 106th 107th 108th 109th 110th 111th 112th Total
Roll Calls on Amendments
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Roll Calls on Amendments
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
103rd 104th 105th 106th 107th 108th 109th 110th 111th 112th Total
Roll Calls on Amendments
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Roll Calls on Amendments
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
103rd 104th 105th 106th 107th 108th 109th 110th 111th 112th Total
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Putting it All Together...
-0.55 -0.5 -0.45 -0.4 -0.35 -0.3 -0.25 -0.2 -0.15
Democrats in the 109th Congress
Party Polarizers
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Putting it All Together...
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
-0.55 -0.5 -0.45 -0.4 -0.35 -0.3 -0.25 -0.2 -0.15
Democrats in the 109th Congress
Party Polarizers
Political Warriors
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Putting it All Together...
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
Republicans in the 111th Congress
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Putting it All Together...
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
Republicans in the 111th Congress
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
-0.55 -0.45 -0.35 -0.25 -0.15
Democrats in the 109th Congress
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Preliminary Findings
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Preliminary Findings
• Warfare is carried about by relatively few warriors
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Preliminary Findings
• Warfare is carried about by relatively few warriors
• A good proxy…
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Preliminary Findings
• Warfare is carried about by relatively few warriors
• A good proxy…
• but probably not the best
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Political Warfare Behavior
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Political Warfare Behavior
•Amendment Support
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Political Warfare Behavior
•Amendment Support
•Cosponsorship
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Political Warfare Behavior
•Amendment Support
•Cosponsorship
•Donating Against Incumbents
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Questions?