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  • 7/27/2019 PBI Hundred Days Poll

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    October 7, 2013

    PBI/CSULA Poll shows L.A. voters give high marksto Mayor Garcetti for first 100 days

    LAPD and DWP work draw majority approval, though 25% of votersstrongly disapprove of DWP

    Contacts:

    Raphael Sonenshein, Director, PBI/CSULA Poll, (323) 343 3770Susan Pinkus, SH Pinkus Research Associates, (323) 650 3107

    Los Angeles, Ca .A Pat Brown Institute (PBI)/California State University, LosAngeles Poll (PBI/CSULA Poll) released today found registered voters give highmarks and a 56 percent approval rating to Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti for hisfirst 100 days as mayor.

    The 501 registered voters who responded to the PBI/CSULA Poll said that, alongwith the 56 percent approval rating, there was a 5-1 edge between positive andnegative evaluations of the mayor s work, and an 11 percent disapproval rate. Thefindings were consistent across Los Angeles broad and ethnically diversecommunities.

    The poll also found that voters are still getting to know the new mayor, with one-third of voters having yet to form an opinion about the mayors performance.Among those who voted for his top opponent during the election, Wendy Greuel, 40percent indicated they were unsure, while more approved than disapproved of Garcettis work.

    Though the majority of voters hold positive views of Garcetti personally, relativelyfew offered specific reasons for either liking or disliking him. A majority of voterssaid they did not know enough about him to form an opinion about him personally.

    Mayor Garcetti is getting good reviews from the voters as he introduces himself asthe citys most visible public official. The council presidency, his previous position, isnot as well known to voters, said Raphael Sonenshein, executive director of PBIan d director of the PBI/CSULA Poll. The voters do not yet know him well, but theyseem to be giving him a strong opening to become successful.

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    As the new mayor settles in, voters are split about the direction of the city, with a42-41 plurality stating that the city is going in the wrong direction. This is similar tothe result found in the PBI/CSULA mayoral poll in May.

    The poll also found that voters believe the most critical issues the city faces are theeconomy and job creation (29 percent), congestion and overcrowding (14 percent)and crime, violence, and drugs (13 percent).

    The LAPD and the DWP

    The PBI/CSULA Poll inquired about voters approval of the performance of the LosAngeles Police Department (LAPD) and the Department of Water and Power (DWP)since the mayor took office.

    The LAPD received majority approval among those polled, with a 64-30 percentmargin. Fifteen percent of voters strongly disapproved, a view held by roughly aquarter of African Americans and Latinos.

    The police depar tment has long been a central focus of ci ty politics, saidSonenshein. Its striking that the DWP is now also in the foreground as a source of political debate.

    While a majority of voters approve of the work of the DWP (55-38 percent), one-quarter of voters strongly disapprove of the departments work. Seventy-eightpercent of those voters who strongly disapproved of the DWP endorsed the viewthat the government protects special interests instead of people like me.

    One of Garcettis major cha llenges in his first 100 days was the negotiation of anew contract with DWP employees, which was covered heavily by local media.However, roughly three-quarters of the registered voters said they did not knowenough about the crisis to have an opinion of the mayors handling of it .

    While attitudes and perceptions of the LAPD have had decades to evolve, thevoters are still devel oping their views about the DWP, said Sonenshein.

    Full results of the PBI/CSULA poll will be released later this week.

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    Pat Brown Institute/CSULA Poll First Hundred Days

    Race/Ethnicity Gender GeographyTotal White Black Hispanic Male Female Valley Non Valley

    M ayor Appr oval Approve - Strongly 13% 14% 10% 15% 11% 15% 12% 15%Approve - Somewhat 43% 47% 35% 42% 44% 42% 45% 41%Disapprove - Somewhat 8% 7% 8% 10% 9% 7% 8% 7%Disapprove - Strongly 3% 4% 7% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3%

    Not Sure - Refused 33% 28% 39% 30% 32% 33% 32% 34%I mpression of M ayor

    Favorable - Very 11% 14% 5% 11% 12% 10% 8% 14%Favorable - Somewhat 26% 32% 22% 24% 28% 25% 27% 25%Unfavorable - Somewhat 5% 4% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5%Unfavorable - Very 2% 1% 5% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1%Havent Heard Enough 55% 48% 63% 57% 52% 57% 58% 53%

    Not sure - Refused 1% * 0% 1% * 1% 0% 1%Thi ngs in Ci ty are Going in Right Di rection or on Wrong Track

    Right Direction 41% 40% 31% 41% 49% 34% 37% 43%Wrong Track 42% 48% 41% 42% 36% 47% 48% 39%

    Not sure - Refused 17% 12% 27% 16% 15% 18% 15% 17% Approve or Disapprove of Mayors Handling of New Contract with Department of Water and Powers Employees

    Approve - Strongly 6% 7% 13% 2% 7% 5% 6% 7%Approve - Somewhat 6% 9% 14% 3% 7% 6% 7% 7%Disapprove - Somewhat 3% 4% 0% 2% 4% 2% 6% 1%Disapprove - Strongly 4% 5% 3% 2% 4% 4% 5% 3%Havent Heard Enough 79% 74% 68% 91% 77% 81% 76% 81%

    Not sure - Refused 1% 1% 2% 1% * 2% * 2%Appr ove or D isapprove of th e Way the Los Angeles Poli ce Department i s doing its Job

    Approve - Strongly 27% 32% 16% 22% 30% 24% 27% 24%Approve - Somewhat 38% 39% 32% 36% 38% 38% 42% 35%Disapprove - Somewhat 15% 15% 23% 12% 14% 16% 13% 17%Disapprove - Strongly 15% 10% 23% 25% 16% 15% 14% 17%

    Not Sure - Refused 6% 5% 6% 5% 2% 8% 4% 7%Appr ove or D isapprove of th e Way the Department of Water and Power i s doin g its Job Approve - Strongly 22% 19% 18% 31% 26% 19% 24% 21%Approve - Somewhat 33% 30% 45% 38% 32% 35% 31% 35%Disapprove - Somewhat 10% 12% 11% 6% 10% 11% 11% 10%Disapprove - Strongly 28% 30% 15% 22% 28% 28% 29% 27%

    Not Sure - Refused 6% 9% 10% 3% 5% 7% 6% 7%M ost I mportant Problem F acing L os Angeles Today Nothing in Particular 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1%City Govt/Corruption 10% 10% 4% 9% 11% 9% 12% 8%Violence/Crime/Drugs 13% 6% 25% 14% 11% 15% 7% 16%Economy/Jobs 29% 26% 30% 37% 31% 27% 27% 30%Education/

    School Violence 9% 8% 11% 7% 9% 10% 8% 10%

    Congestion/Overcrowding 14% 22% 6% 9% 15% 12% 15% 13%

    Transportation/Street Maintenance 7% 6% 4% 4% 6% 7% 8% 6%

    Something Else 12% 17% 10% 9% 12% 13% 15% 10% Not Sure 6% 3% 10% 8% 5% 6% 5% 6%

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    How the Poll Was Conducted

    The nonpartisan Pat Brown Institute (PBI)/California State University, Los AngelesPoll, contacted 687 adults in the city of Los Angeles by telephone October 2 to5, 2013. The poll was conducted under the direction of Susan Pinkus, PBI pollingconsultant. The poll reached 501 registered voters. Telephone numbers werechosen from a list of all exchanges in the city, and random digit dialing techniquesallowed listed and unlisted numbers, as well as cellphone numbers, to be contacted.Multiple attempts were made to contact each number. Adults in the sample wereweighted slightly to conform with their respective census proportions bygender, ethnicity, age, education, city region, and cell phone usage. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 points. For certain subgroups, the error margin may besomewhat higher. Poll results may also be affected by factors such as questionwording and the order in which questions are presented. Interviews and data

    collection were conducted by Abt SRBI of New York. While Asian Pacific Islandervoters were interviewed and are included as part of the overall results in this poll,they were too small a subgroup of the sample to be examined in detail. Interviewswere conducted in both English and Spanish. CSULA political science professors GarCulbert and Scott Bowman, as well as Adam Sonenshein, assisted in the design of the questionnaire and the analysis of the poll.