pbl schemes for icon: cgils test martin köhler (dwd) dmitrii mironov, matthias raschendorfer,...

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PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI) Prognostic TKE (Raschendorfer, COSMO & GME) Prognostic TKE, , , (Mironov, Machulskaya, experimental) EDMF-dry/stratocu (Köhler, Beljaars, ECMWF) EDMF-DUALM-shallow (Neggers, Köhler, Beljaars, experimental) CGILS test 2 2 q q

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Page 1: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD)

Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD)Roel Neggers (KNMI)

Prognostic TKE (Raschendorfer, COSMO & GME)

Prognostic TKE, , , (Mironov, Machulskaya, experimental)

EDMF-dry/stratocu (Köhler, Beljaars, ECMWF)

EDMF-DUALM-shallow (Neggers, Köhler, Beljaars, experimental)

CGILS test

2 2q q

Page 2: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

TKE schemes

Page 3: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

TKE-Scalar Variance Closure ModelDmitrii Mironov

• Transport (prognostic) equations for TKE and variances of scalars (<’2> and (<qt’2>) including third-order transport.

• Algebraic (diagnostic) formulations for scalar fluxes, Reynolds-stress components, and turbulence length scale (for speed).

• Statistical SGS cloud scheme, either Gaussian (e.g. Sommeria and Deardorff 1977), or with exponential tail to account for the effect of cumulus clouds (e.g. Bechtold et al. 1995).

• Optionally, prognostic equations for scalar skewness (mass-flux ideas recast in terms of ensemble-mean quantities).

Page 4: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Treatment of Scalar Variances

TKE equation:

22

2

1

2

1wzz

wt

pwuwz

wg

z

vvw

z

uuw

t

ei2

2

1

Scalar-variance equation:

Convection/stable stratification = Potential Energy Kinetic Energy

No reason to prefer one form of energy over the other!

Page 5: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Comparison with One-Equation Models(Draft Horses of Geophysical Turbulence Modelling)

Scalar variance equation:

22

2

1

2

1wzz

wt

Production = Dissipation

Flux equation:

No counter-gradient term

2

gC

zeCw bg

Page 6: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

EDMF schemes

Page 7: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

EDMF at ECMWFConvective Boundary Layer

dry EDMF theory & SCM

Pier Siebesma & Joao Teixeira 2000, 2007

stratocumulus EDMF & unified implementation

Martin Köhler 2005, 2010

stratocumulus inversion entrainment numerics

Martin Köhler 2008

shallow cumulus DUALM EDMF

Roel Neggers & Martin Köhler 2007-2010

ECMWF operational

Page 8: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

EDMF at ECMWF:Stratocumulus

• sl, qt conserved variables

• M surface driven

• cloud top down diffusion

• cloud top entrainment

• cloud scheme: conversion (Beta distr.)

• stability criteria allowing strcu

lqtq

Page 9: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

preVOCA: VOCALS at Oct 2006 – Low Cloud

Page 10: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

EDMF at ECMWF:Shallow Cumulus DUALM

Neggers, Köhler, Beljaars 2009

Concepts: • multiple updrafts

• mass-flux closure

• entrainment pre-moistening

• bimodal statistical cloud scheme

• cloud overlap

Page 11: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Brian Mapes (~1995 GCSS meeting):Postulates that convection selects favourable environment.

Peter Bechtold (2008):Moist environments yield less entrainment.

Convective premoistening

Page 12: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Brown, Zhang 1997

RH during TOGA/COARE

Moist low levels (~800hPa) favour deep convection

PDF

RH (%)

Page 13: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Derbyshire et al 2004MetO CRM CNRM CRM

MetOffice SCMIFS SCM

Environment RH

RH (%)

mass flux mass flux

• small ε to get high cloud top

• large ε to get large RH sensitivity

Page 14: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Jarecka, Grabowski, Pawlowska, 2009

cloud fraction (grid box)

box

env

RH

RHenvironment

Entrained air is premoistened.

BOMEX LES runentrainment

regime

Page 15: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

BOMEX LES cloud blobs

x

t

cloud blob time scalecloud

dt

cloud blob identification from LWP boundaries

WVP

x

y

Page 16: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

BOMEX LES cloud blobs

blobs size 1000: (250m)2 · 300s

Time, lagged around blob center, normalized by blob time scale

166 blobs size 1000-10000

shifte

d b

lob m

ean W

VP [

g/m

2]

/ cloudt

100g/m2

40g/m2

2890g/mWVP

Page 17: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

prognostic total water variance equation

most moist environment favours shallow convection

decay time-scale outside BL

3 hours

DUALM convective preconditioningMartin Köhler & Olaf Stiller & Thijs Heus

2 2' ' '

2 ' 't tq qt t tq w q qw q

t z z

, ( )t upup env

qq q

z

LCLqt

10%

qt

10%

qt

10%

time

height

prog. 2

tq

decay2

tq

moist

Page 18: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

CGILS results

Page 19: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Equilibrium state (80-100days)

cloud cover[%]

liquid water[g/m2]

water vapor[kg/m2]

sensible[W/m2]

latent[W/m2]

S12 ctr 100 79 40 13 19 19 21 10 72 68

p2k 100 79 51 16 24 24 16 6 86 84

S11 ctr 100 71 115 49 22 23 15 7 93 87

p2k 100 79 122 64 26 28 15 6 101 100

S6 ctr 16 17 26 25 36 35 9 8 108 108

p2k 17 22 30 35 42 43 10 9 113 116

EDMF-strcu EDMF-DUALM-shallowcu

Page 20: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

EDMF-strcu (and Tiedtke shallow)

ql RH

Time [days]

S12ctl p2k

S6ctl p2k

S11ctl p2k

ql RH

Time [days]

ql RH

Time [days]

ql RH

Time [days]

ql RH

Time [days]

ql RH

Time [days]

Page 21: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

EDMF-DUALM-shallowcu

ql RH

Time [days]

S12ctl p2k

S6ctl p2k

S11ctl p2k

ql RH

Time [days]

ql RH

Time [days]

ql RH

Time [days]

ql RH

Time [days]

qlRH

Time [days]

Page 22: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

conclusions

• ICON model• boundary layer: TKE and/or EDMF closures• clouds: probably prognostic PDF, prognostic ice

• EDMF models at ECMWF have negative cloud climate feedback

• mostly more LWP

Page 23: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Extra Slides: CGILS talk

Page 24: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

EDMF differences

• Cloud diagnostic: • EDMF-strcu: Beta-distribution (bounded) CCstrcu=100%• EDMF-DUALM: Gaussian distribution (open) CCstrcu=80%

Page 25: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

ECMWF EDMF framework

Siebesma & Cuijpers, 1995

)()1( uu

e

e

u

u wawawaw

M

M-fluxenv. fluxsub-core flux

K-diffusion

Page 26: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Single-Column Tests: Dry Convective PBL

Mean potential temperature in shear-free convective PBL.

Red – TKE scheme, blue – TKE-scalar variance scheme, black dashed – LES data.

Page 27: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Single-Column Tests: Nocturnal Stratocumuli

Fractional cloud cover (left) and cloud water content (middle) in DYCOMS-II.

Red – TKE scheme, blue – TKE-scalar variance scheme.

Black solid curve in the right figure shows LES data.

Page 28: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Single-Column Tests: Shallow Cumuli

Fractional cloud cover (upper row) and cloud water content (lower row) in BOMEX.

Red – TKE scheme, blue – TKE-scalar variance scheme. Black solid curves in the middle figures show LES data.

Gaussian

Gaussian

skewed

skewed

Page 29: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Louise Nuijens: LES of cumulus, influence of wind speed

Page 30: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

BOMEX LES preconditioning of convection?

LES by Thijs Heus:

no sheardx=dy=25m, dt=30sduration: 10h6.4km x 6.4km

WVP’ [g/m2]

PD

F

WVP

x

y

WVP’ [g/m2]

LWP [

g/m

2]

buoyancy

v dz

Page 31: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

31

Conclusion: PDFs are mostly approximated by uni or bi-modal distributions, describable by a few parameters

More examples from Larson et al. JAS

01/02

Note significant error that can occur if PDF

is unimodal

PDF Data

Page 32: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

UKMO: PC2 prognostic variables

Page 33: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Ideas for ICON-NWP

Questions on complexity:

Skewness, PC2, temperature variability

Questions on framework (prognostic variables):

Tiedtke, PC2

Summeria/Deardorff, Tompkins

Possible compromise:

Concept (Gaussian qt=qv+ql+qi, qi from microphys.)

Assumptions:

no T variability

mixed cloud: ice/liquid co-located (no PC2)

equilibrium vapor/liquid (not ice!)

Page 34: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Ideas for ICON-NWP

Turbulence parameterization:

TKE (Raschendorfer) diagnostic , ,

UTCS (Mironov) prognostic , ,

EDMF (Köhler et al) prognostic

Convection parameterization:

Bechtold et al 2008 (evolved Tiedtke 89)

Tendencies: ql, qi, cloud fraction cc

Microphysics:

Doms & Seiffert

Ice homogenious and heterogenious nucleation

Saturation adjustment on the sub-grid scale

2tq 22tq

2tq 2 q

q

Page 35: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Clouds and temperature/moisture variability

Tompkins, 2003

Page 36: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

MOZAIC T, RH and e variability

PDF of 300km legs at 166-222 hPa. Gierens et al 1997.

K4.0T%2RH Pa07.0e

Estimate T variability if = const:

Estimate z displacement from T variability: =>

Estimate ΔRH from Δe: =>Estimate ΔRH from ΔT: =>

v

Temperature RH Vapor partial pressure

K4.00005.0 TKT

lvv qqT 1

km

K10

z

T m40z

PaCTe osat 5030 %13.0RH

%3RH

Page 37: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Final Thoughts

Cloud variability is important down to <1km.

radiation

microphysics

Ice microphysics are equally important

Both macro and micro-scales involve long time-scales

We need at least

prognostic total water variance (or cloud fraction)

prognostic ice water

Page 38: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

LES clouds

LES: mostly all-or-nothing (e.g. SAM, UCLA-LES, KNMI, UKMO)

GCM:

diagnostic (RH based, Slingo)

prognostic CC (Tiedtke)

prognostic (Tompkins)

Tompkins, 2003

Pro

port

ion

all-c

lear

or

all-c

loud

y le

gs

Leg length [km]

Based on 4400km of flight data near ARM SGP at 1-3km height.

2q

Page 39: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

GME and COSMO clouds

Stratiform sub-grid scale cloud:

RH based

Notes: • qsat is interpolated between qsat,liq and qsat,ice

between -5ºC and -25ºC

• ql and qi are 5% of qsat

Page 40: PBL schemes for ICON: CGILS test Martin Köhler (DWD) Dmitrii Mironov, Matthias Raschendorfer, Ekaterina Machulskaya (DWD) Roel Neggers (KNMI)  Prognostic

Ideas: cloud physics at macro- and micro-scales

fc=diagnostic

4 moments: vq lq22qttq iq

Liquid cloud

qt

liqsatq ,

tq

PDF

liquid

Mixed cloud

qt

effsatq ,tq

PDF

liquid

ice

icesatq ,

Ice cloud

qt

effsatq ,tq

PDF

ice

icesatq ,

Sub-grid variability:

• assume Gaussian

• neglect variability

• take fixed ice fraction from

microphysics

tq

il

i

qq

q