pension reform: what can the united states and australia learn from each other? by jon forman alfred...

38
Pension Reform: What Can the United States and Australia Learn from Each Other? by Jon Forman Alfred P. Murrah Professor of Law University of Oklahoma Sixth Annual Labor and Employment Law Colloquium Los Angeles, California September 16, 2011

Upload: warren-bradley

Post on 31-Dec-2015

219 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Pension Reform: What Can the United States and

Australia Learn from Each Other?

by Jon FormanAlfred P. Murrah Professor of Law

University of Oklahoma

Sixth Annual Labor and Employment Law Colloquium

Los Angeles, CaliforniaSeptember 16, 2011

2

Outline

Life Cycle Model Social Security/ Age Pension Private Pension/ Superannuation Supplemental Savings

3

People are Living Longer:Americans

Year Life expectancy

at birth

Life expectancy

at age 65

Men Women Men Women

1960 66.7 73.2 12.9 15.9

2000 74.0 79.4 15.9 19.0

2040 79.0 82.6 18.8 20.9

2080 82.4 85.6 20.8 22.8

4

But People Are Retiring Earlier: Percentage of Workers Electing Social

Security Benefits at Various Ages

Year Age 62 Ages 63-64

Age 65 Ages 66+

Average age

1965 23.0 17.7 23.4 35.9 65.9

1975 35.7 24.5 31.1 8.7 63.9

1985 57.2 21.1 17.7 4.0 63.6

1995 58.3 19.5 16.3 6.0 63.6

2004 57.5 19.0 18.6 4.8 63.7

5

6

$

Stages of the Simple Economic Life Cycle

Birth Age Age Death 20-25 60-65

Income

Consumption

7

U.S. Social Security Social Security taxes Workers pay

6.2% of their earnings for Social Security, and 1.45% of their earnings for Hospital Insurance

under Medicare (Part A)

Employers pay an equal amount The total is 12.4% for Social Security and

2.9% for HI 20011 tax base is $106,800 in 2011

Social Security Administration, 2009 Social Security Changes, http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/COLA/cbb.html.

8

Worker Benefits

Workers over 62 are eligible If they have worked 10 years

Benefits are based on a workers earnings history Career-average earnings Average Indexed Monthly Earnings (AIME)

Board of Trustees, 2011: Table VI.F10.

Replacement Rates for Retired Worker Age 65, 2011

90% of people 65 and older get Social Security.

Nearly 2 in 3 (64%) get half or more of their income from Social Security.

About 1 in 3 get almost all (90% or more) of their income from Social Security.

10SSA, 2010a: Table 9.A1.

Ruffing and Van de Water, 2011.

Medium Earner’s Replacement Rate at 65 After Medicare Parts B and D Premiums

11

The Australian Age Pension

funded from general revenues 2011, a maximum of $670.90 every

fortnight for singles and $1,011.40 for couples

The single benefit is designed to provide about 25% of average male earnings

Benefits are reduced by both an asset test and an income test

12

13

Two Basic Types of Pensions

Defined benefit plans Defined contribution plans

14

What is a Defined Benefit Plan?

Employer promises employees a specific benefit at retirement

To provide that benefit, the employer makes payments into a trust fund and makes withdrawals from the trust fund

Employer contributions are based on actuarial valuations

15

Defined Benefit Plan

Employer bears all of the investment risks and responsibilities

Typical plan provides each worker with a specific annual retirement benefit that is tied to the worker’s final average pay and number of years of service

16

Defined Benefit Plan

For example, a plan might provide that a worker’s annual retirement benefit is equal to 2% times years of service, times final average pay

B = 2% × yos × fap Final-average-pay formula

17

Defined Benefit Plan Worker with 30 years of service would

receive 60 percent of her pre-retirement earnings

Worker earning $50,000 would get $30,000-a-year pension B = $30,000 = 60% × $50,000 = 60% × fap = 2 percent × 30 yos × $50,000 fap

18

What is a Defined Contribution Plan?

Individual account plan Employer typically contributes a

specified percentage of the worker’s pay to an individual investment account for the worker

Owned by employee Benefits based on contributions and

investment earnings

Defined Contribution Plans: How Individual Retirement Savings Accounts Work

19

CONTRIBUTIONS

FUND BENEFITS

EARNINGS

20

Defined Contribution Plan

For example, employer might contribute 10% of annual pay

Under such a plan, a worker who earned $30,000 in a given year would have $3,000 contributed to her account $3,000 = 10% × $30,000

Benefit at retirement based on contributions, plus earnings

21

Australia: A Universal Pension

1986—industrial agreements for 3 percent of payroll contributions

1992/1993—superannuation guarantee legislation, mandating 3 percent contributions to individual retirement accounts Higher levels phased in, reaching 9

percent in 2002/2003

Tax Treatment of a Typical Individual Account in Australia – tte

22

CONTRIBUTIONS

FUND BENEFITS

EARNINGS

15% TAX 15% TAX ZERO TAX (payable by the fund) (from age 60)

23

IMPROVING NATIONAL SAVINGS AND SUPERANNUATION ADEQUACY

The Government will increase the superannuation guarantee (SG) rate from 9 to 12 per cent over time.

24

Superannuation GOVERNMENT CONTRIBUTIONS FOR

LOW INCOME EARNERS A new superannuation contribution of up to

$500 will be provided by the Government for workers with income up to $37,000.

CATCH-UP CONTRIBUTIONS FOR OLDER WORKERS The Government will allow individuals aged

50 and over with total superannuation balances below $500,000 to make up to $50,000 in concessional superannuation contributions.

Most elderly don’t receive pensions in the U.S.

Percent with Employer-Sponsored Pensions

All age 65+ 41%Couples 51%Unmarried men 42%Unmarried women 34%

25Social Security Finances: A Primer , at 10.

Tax Treatment of a Typical Individual Account in the U.S. – eet

26

CONTRIBUTIONS

FUND BENEFITS

EARNINGS

ZERO TAX ZERO TAX TAX

Tax Treatment of a Roth Individual Account in the U.S. – tee

27

CONTRIBUTIONS

FUND BENEFITS

EARNINGS

TAX ZERO TAX ZERO TAX

28

Goals for a Pension Plan First, ensure that every employee

earns a meaningful retirement benefit and that long-time employees are

guaranteed an adequate income throughout their retirement years

Second, have a minimum of work disincentives for employees coming in and out of service

Third, be affordable and well-financed

Optimal Policies for Maximizing Retirement Income

Contributions Accumulation Pay-out (Decumulation)

29

Contributions

Voluntary v. Mandatory Encourage Saving More

Tax incentives? Limits?

Defaults

30

Accumulation

Fiduciary Duties Diversification and Investments Fees

31

Pay-out (decumulation)

Encourage working longer Encourage saving more Encourage life-time income options

Targeted Withdrawals Annuities

32

Preretirement Earnings Replacement Rates, 2011

Source of replacement rate income

Low earners’replacement

rate

High earners’

replacement rate

Social Security 55.2 33.9

Replacement rate needed from other sources to achieve 75 percent replacement rate

19.8 41.1

33

34Source: http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d11400.pdf.

35https://guidance.fidelity.com/living-in-retirement/annual-portfolio-withdrawals?ref_ls=lr3007.

36Source: http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d11400.pdf.

Policy Options

Encourage sponsors to offer a default annuity Require Sponsors to Provide an Estimate

of Lifetime Annuity Income on Benefit Statements

Improve Individuals’ Understanding about Retirement Income

37

About the Author Jonathan Barry Forman (“Jon”) is the Alfred P.

Murrah Professor of Law at the University of Oklahoma College of Law, teaching tax and pension law and the author of Making America Work (Washington, DC: Urban Institute Press, 2006). He was the Professor in Residence at the Internal Revenue Service Office of Chief Counsel for the 2009-2010 academic year.

Jon can be reached at [email protected];www.law.ou.edu/faculty/forman.shtml.

3838