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People, Water and Climate: Case Studies in Nei Mong, China and Jaipur, India Sarah Opitz-StapletonInstitute for Social and Environmental Transitionstaplets@i-s-e-t.orghttp://www.i-s-e-t.org

www.i-s-e-t.orgFraming Adaptation Research or Processes?

www.i-s-e-t.orgWho defines the Problems or the Goals?AutonomousPlannedHouseholds, Sm BusinessState/Prov GovsCity GovsCitizen GroupsMed BusinessBlocsNationsTransnatl CorpsTIMESPACESOCIETYwww.i-s-e-t.orgEngage Early and Often

www.i-s-e-t.orgAdapting to Climate Change in China (ACCC)

WikicommonsFunded by: DfID, U.K. Ministry of Energy and Climate Change & the Swiss Agency of Development and Cooperation www.i-s-e-t.orgAdapting to Climate Change in China (ACCC)Climate Impact AssessmentsScopingVulnerability and Risk assessments Identification of adaptation options

Analysis and Evaluation of Options

Prioritization of options

We will knowStrengths and weaknesses for planningKey stakeholders and resourcesCurrent institutional adaptive capacity (baseline)Metrics for assessing long-term progressWe will knowWho is vulnerable and most at riskSocio-economic drivers of vulnerabilityOther vulnerability and risk factorsSystemic thresholdsPeoples attitudes towards climate risksPossible social and environmental impacts

We will knowCosts and benefits of optionsCost effectiveness of optionsTechnical feasibility of optionsPossible social and environmental impacts12th Five Year Plan Recommen-dationsProvincial Adaptation RoadmapsSteps in Adaptive PlanningNew KnowledgeFinal ProductsStakeholder EngagementStakeholder Engagementwww.i-s-e-t.orgNei Mong, ChinaProblem statement:Through improving research level, this project aims to organically integrate climate change and region's economic and social development, especially on the aspect of grassland animal husbandry development and planning and policies of water resources utilization, in order to provide advices for policies and programs on province level and promote the formulation and implementation of adaptation planning on the nation level for strengthening China's response to climate change.www.i-s-e-t.orgUrban Water: Jaipur, India

WikicommonsNOAA SARP NA07OAR4310372www.i-s-e-t.orgProject PhasesAssessing current socio-economic migration processes and projecting plausible future migration patterns (CEDSJ).Assessing current water-use patterns and projecting potential changes in water use patterns (CEDSJ and ISET).Statistical downscaling using output from 2 general circulation models, CGCM3 and ECHAM5, to project a range of potential precipitation changes for the Banas River Basin out to 2030 (ISET).Construct hydrologic scenarios for Jaipur using WEAP to examine the impact of various water demand/ migration/ climate change scenarios on Jaipurs water supply (CEDSJ and ISET).Work with city managers to develop water management solutions robust against a variety of shocks and gradual changes (CEDSJ). This phase is iterative and involves ongoing interaction with key stakeholders.

www.i-s-e-t.orgThe Water NexusMigrationVariability & Climate ChangeInformal Water SectorEnviron. DegradationFormal GovernanceLivelihood Opportunitieswww.i-s-e-t.orgMigration

www.i-s-e-t.orgSpatial Variability: Monsoon Systemswww.i-s-e-t.orgInformal Water Sector

www.i-s-e-t.orgIssues in AdaptationWhile adaptation frameworks are developed, and adaptation research is undertaken, ultimately the majority of adaptation actions will be carried out at local levels.Because of this, there is a critical need to understand the factors people perceive to be enabling or constraining their choices for action.If we cannot deal with immediate, current climate hazards, what makes us think we can plan for unknown climate futures?What are the tradeoffs of investing in adaptation research and framing? www.i-s-e-t.orgThank you!www.i-s-e-t.org