pertamina strategy in fulfilling domestic gas...
TRANSCRIPT
Pertamina Strategy In Fulfilling Domestic Gas Demand
Jakarta, 18 June 2014 The 5th International Indonesia Gas Infrastructure
Agenda
Pertamina: Gas Business Strategy 2
1 Indonesia’s Gas Balance
3
2
Pertamina: Gas Infrastructure Development
4 Conclusion and Recommendation
Domestic Gas Demand Expected to Grow at 5.1% p.a, with Power and Industry Sectors Accounting for ~70% (or ~ 6.0 bcfd) of Demand by 2025
mmscfd
1,765 1,765 1,805 2,005
890 962 1,1801,0971,448 1,530
1,5301,890
2,344 2,5553,008
244171144
113
5.1% p.a.
Power (Captive)
Power (Grid)
Fertilizers
Industry
1Refinery City Gas
2025
8,922
224~956
2020
7,782
224~760
2018
6,800
58~208
2015
5,435
491
28~79
CAGR (%)
Source: Pertamina Gas Balance 2025_V 2014
HIGH CASE DEMAND SCENARIO
1 High case demand assumes the fuel and feedstock demand from refineries and two GRR projects while the low case Refinery scenario assumes only feedstock demand from existing refineries
18.0 28.3
4.8
3.4
1.3
9.2
3
2025 20
18 2015
Deficit in Java is Expected to be ~1.7-2.1 bcfd by 2025, with Kalimantan, Papua is Expected to Remain Surplus Regions
43496151
806 445
-390 -189
mmscfd
0000
-368 -499
-123 -188
-283 -210
0
-118
0 -42 0
1,388 1,209 793
724 785 765
511 490
-254 -357
-168 -271
-138 -205
-191
Deficit region
Surplus region
Central Sumatra Central Java
Indonesia’s deficit :
Papua
East Java
Sulawesi
South Sumatra -456 -487 -1,089
-1,270
-580 -879
-646 -667
West Java
North Sumatra Kalimantan
-38-109 -211 -270
283 -253
462 -249
-926 -1,076
-786 -837
Source: Pertamina Gas Balance 2025_ v2014 4
Agenda
Pertamina: Gas Business Strategy 2
3
5
Pertamina: Gas Infrastructure Development
4 Conclusion and Recommendation
1 Indonesia’s Gas Balance
Upstream Midstream Downstream PT Pertamina EP Pipe : PT Pertamina Gas PT Pertamina Trans Kontinental
PT Pertamina EP Cepu LNG : PT Arun NGL PT Pertamina Retail
PT Pertamina Drilling Services Indonesia PT Badak NGL Pertamina Energy Trading Ltd.
PT Pertamina Hulu Energi PT DSLNG PT Patra Niaga PT Pertamina Geothermal Energy Regas : PT Nusantara Regas PT Pertamina Lubricants
International LNG Access PT Perta Arun Gas PT Pertagas Niaga
PT Perta Daya Gas
Upstream, Midstream, and Downstream Integration for National Energy’s assurance
(1) Pertamina also has some non-core-business vehicles.
Operational Vehicles(1) :
Interfacing area between oil (blue area) and gas (red area) can only be run effective & efficient by Pertamina, which integrates Upstream through Downstream Sectors in Oil and Gas Business.
6
Pertamina’s Concept on Gas Business (1/2)
• Need huge investment, sufficient expertise, & coordination with relevant parties to accelerate monetization
• Pertamina has International LNG player’s access & trust for LNG International as supply portfolio.
• Domestic gas reserves (Indonesia has 2% of world’s reserves) & International LNG portfolio.
• Optimize of existing infrastructures, & efficiency of planned infrastructures are needed.
• Coordination between open access pipeline & inter-island infrastructures.
Infrastructures (Trans Sumatra and Trans Java Pipelines, Regas, FRSU)
• Availability of gas for all consumers with competitive price to reduce fuel subsidy, giving optimum multiplier effects.
• Assures re-invests for Upstream sectors.
Potential saving of 1.5 – 2 Billion USD in Governmental Expenditures through CNG conversion program.
Upstream: Securing reserves and production (domestic & overseas)
Midstream: Availability of reliable and efficient infrastructures with sufficient capacity
Downstream: Developing conducive market (acceptable price and giving incentives for U/S dan M/S)
Example: CNG Conversion Program
Converted Public Transportation ‘000 units
Big Cities
Jakarta
121823
239
186 Surabaya
Medan Palembang Total
Investasi 1.5 - 2 Miliar USD
Pertamina’s Concept on Gas Business (2/2)
If those three sectors are integrated and coordinated, gas will become source of energy that can be accepted in market, reliable / uninterrupted, and able to accelerate upstream monetization (develop together, don’t have to wait each other).
7 Source Pertamina
Agenda
Pertamina: Gas Business Strategy 2
1 Indonesia’s Gas Balance
3
8
Pertamina: Gas Infrastructure Development
4 Conclusion and Recommendation
Pertamina’s Planning on Infrastructure Projects Covering All Major Regions in Indonesia to Meet Growing Gas Demand
Source Pertamina
Pertamina Gas Directorate’s planning on key infrastructure development projects
West Java • Cirebon – KHT Pipe • Tegalgede - Muara Tawar Pipe • Nusantara Regas West Java
Central Java • Gresik - Semarang pipe • Semarang - Cirebon Pipe
East Java • EJGP Grati Pipe
Trans Sumatera
• Arun LNG Receiving & Regas • Lhoksueumawe-Medan • Medan Dumai
East Indonesia • LNG KTI
Other infrastructures
• Tempino – Plaju oil pipe • Power & Renewables
Value chain expansion
• NGL plant Sumsel • LPG plant Pondok Tengah • Arun IPP
Maximize downstream
• CNG Transport • CNG Industry • LNG Indominco • LNG for transportation & marine
Sourcing & trading • LNG Trading & sourcing
Others
• Gas for RU IV & VI • LPG Trading • LPG Transhipment • City Gas
Arun
FSRU Jateng FSRU Jabar
LNG KTI development
Trans Sumatera pipeline
Trans Java pipeline
Halmahera
Pomalaa
Makassar
Pesanggaran
Batakan
Tanjong Batu Semberah Bontang
Pipeline, Regasification, and LNG development
Planned pipelines Existing pipelines
Existing FSRU Planned FSRU
LNG KTI development
9
Grissik
• Dimension: 24” x 340 km • Consumers:PowerPlant,Industries • Onstream: Q3 2014
Arun – Belawan Gas Pipeline
Arun
Belawan
M. Karang Gresik
Semarang Tegalgede
Palembang
Wampu
Bontang
Pagerungan
FSRU Nusantara Regas
• Dimension: 24” x 75 km • Consumers: Power Plant & Industries • Onstream: Q3 2014 (1st Phase) Q2 2015 (2nd Phase)
M. Karang – Tegalgede Gas Pipeline • Dimension: 28” x 265 km • Consumers: Industries, Petrochemical &
FerIlizer Plants • Onstream: Q1 2016
Semarang – Gresik Gas Pipeline
P. Batu AAF & KKA
Cirebon
SUPPLY : • DomesIc • InternaIonal
INFRASTRUCTURES : • FSRU • Pipelines • CNG • LPG/NGL Plant
CONSUMERS : • Power Plants • F e r I l i z e r &
Petrochemical Plants • Industries • City Gas
Upstream Downstream Midstream
BUSINESS PROCESS
10
Existing & Ongoing Gas Pipelines Infrastructure to Meet Growing Gas Demand
Source Pertamina
Agenda
Pertamina: Gas Business Strategy 2
1 Indonesia’s Gas Balance
3
11
Pertamina: Gas Infrastructure Development
4 Conclusion and Recommendation
• Indonesia retains the national energy sustainability by optimizing potential domestic sources as well as securing overseas supply supported by a complete Gas Chain Portfolio such as an integrated inter-island infrastructure through open access pipeline. Redouble efforts, including to extent possibility to procure LNG from new supplier, to lock in long term LNG contracts from global suppliers.
• Government has to ensure the availability of reliable and efficient gas infrastructures with sufficient capacity, moreover, their support is essential to accelerate the gas infrastructures development, such as gas/LNG domestic allocation, permits and import licenses.
• Pertamina as 100% State Owned Company has the obligation to support the Government to develop integrated infrastructure.
Pertamina’s View of The Challenges & Opportunities on Gas Infrastructure Development
Source: Pertamina 12