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    Phasor-Only State Estimation

    Ali Abur

    Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering

    Northeastern University, Boston

    [email protected]

    PSERC Webinar

    October 7, 2014

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    Talk Outline

    Background and terminology

    State estimation

    Phasor measurements

    Phasor-only state estimationWLS: exact cancellations

    LAV: improved robustness

    Extension to 3-phase networks

    Observability and error identificationClosing remarks

    2

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    Background and terminology

    (Static) state estimation

    Measurement type: SCADA / Synchrophasor

    Formulation: Nonlinear / Linear

    Network model: + sequence / 3-phase

    Dynamic state estimation

    Wide-area, using gen/load/network variables

    Local, using gen variables, boundary measurementsor estimates

    3

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    Modeling

    Gen

    1

    Gen

    2

    Gen

    NG

    Load 1 Load 2

    Load NLTransmission Network[Lines + Transformers]

    Measurements4

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    Modeling [ SSE ]

    Gen

    1

    Gen

    2

    Gen

    NG

    Load 1 Load 2

    Load NL

    Transmission Network

    [Lines + Transformers]

    Estimated Measurements

    SSE: Estimation of the snap-shot

    at time t

    Linear or NL

    Pos Seq or 3-Phase

    SCADA or Phasor or

    Mixed SCADA/Phasor

    5

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    Modeling [ DSE ]

    Gen

    1

    Gen

    2

    Gen

    NG

    Load 1 Load 2

    Load NL

    Transmission Network

    [Lines + Transformers]

    Estimated Measurements

    DSE: Single machine / zonal / wide-area

    Detailed Gen and Load modelsFrequency and power angle estimation

    Zone-2

    Zone-1

    Zone NZ

    Tracking the network and

    dynamic gen/load state

    variables in real-time

    6

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    Timeline

    [z(t)]

    ()

    ()

    + + 2 + 3 + 4

    DSE /

    Local

    SSE /

    Wide-area

    DSE /

    Wide-area

    SSE

    DSE

    7

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    Timeline

    [z(t)]

    ()

    ()

    + + 2 + 3 + 4

    DSE /

    Local

    SSE /

    Wide-area

    DSE /

    Wide-area

    DSE

    8

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    Talk Outline

    Background and terminology

    State estimation

    Phasor measurements

    Phasor-only state estimationWLS: exact cancellations

    LAV: improved robustness

    Extension to 3-phase networks

    Observability and error identificationClosing remarks

    9

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    Static state estimation:

    Objective and measurements

    Objective: To obtain the best estimate of the state of the system

    based on a set of measurements.

    State variables: voltage phasors at all buses in the system

    Measurements:

    Power injection measurements

    Power flow measurements

    Voltage/Current magnitude measurements

    Synchronized phasor measurements

    SCADA

    Measurem

    ents

    Introduced by Schweppe and his co-workers in 1969.

    Schweppe, F.C., Wildes, J., and Rom, D., Power system static state estimation: Parts I, II, III,Power Industry Computer Applications (PICA), Denver, CO, June 1969.

    10

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    State estimation: data/info flow diagram

    Topology Processor

    Network Observability Analysis WLS State Estimator

    Bad Data Processor

    Parameter and Topology Error Processor

    Analog MeasurementsPi, Qi, Pf, Qf, V, I

    TopologyProcessor

    StateEstimator

    NetworkObservability Check

    V,Bad DataProcessor

    Network Parameters, Branch Status,

    Substation Configuration

    Parameter and Topology Errors

    Detection, Identification,

    Correction

    Load Forecasts

    Generation Schedules

    PM +

    11

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    Topology Processor

    Network Observability Analysis Robust LAV State Estimator

    Bad Data Processor

    Parameter and Topology Error Processor

    Analog MeasurementsPi, Qi, Pf, Qf, V, I

    TopologyProcessor

    StateEstimator

    NetworkObservability Check

    V,Bad DataProcessor

    Network Parameters, Branch Status,

    Substation Configuration

    Parameter and Topology Errors

    Detection, Identification,

    Correction

    Load Forecasts

    Generation Schedules

    State estimation: data/info flow diagram

    PM +

    12

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    Talk Outline

    Background and terminology

    State estimation

    Phasor measurements

    Phasor-only state estimationWLS: exact cancellations

    LAV: improved robustness

    Extension to 3-phase networks

    Observability and error identificationClosing remarks

    13

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    Phasor measurement units (PMU)

    Synchronized Phasor Measurements and TheirApplications by A.G. Phadke and J.S. Thorp

    Invented by Professors Phadke and Thorp in 1988.

    They calculate the real-time phasor measurements

    synchronized to an absolute time reference provided by

    the Global Positioning System.

    PMUs facilitate direct measurement of phase angle

    differences between remote bus voltages in a power grid.

    14

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    Phasor Measurement Units (PMU)Phasor Data Concentrators (PDC)[*]

    GPS CLOCK

    AntennaPMU 1

    PT

    CT

    PDC

    [*] IEEE PSRC Working Group C37 Report

    CORPORATE

    PDC

    REGIONAL

    PDC

    DATA STORAGE

    & APPLICATIONS

    DATA STORAGE

    & APPLICATIONS

    PMU 2

    PMU 3

    PMU 4PMU K

    15

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    Taken verbatim from: IEEE C37.244-2013 PDC Guide

    PDC Definition:

    A function that collects phasor data, and discrete event

    data from PMUs and possibly from other PDCs, andtransmits data to other applications.

    PDCs may buffer data for a short time period, but do not

    store the data. This guide defines a PDC as a function

    that may exist within any given device.

    Phasor Data Concentrator (PDC)

    16

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    Phasor voltage measurements

    Reference

    17

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    Reference phasor

    +1

    --2

    --3 +1

    --2

    --3

    Reference

    Reference

    18

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    US Energy Information Administration: http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=5630

    Under the Recovery Act SGIG and SGDP programs, their numbers rapidly increased : 166 1126

    19

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    Measurements provided by PMUs

    PMU

    V phasor

    I phasors

    ALL 3-PHASES ARE TYPICALLY MEASURED

    BUT

    ONLY POSITIVE SEQUENCE COMPONENTS ARE REPORTED

    = []0+

    + =

    [+ +

    ]

    =

    20

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    Talk Outline

    Background and terminology

    State estimation

    Phasor measurements

    Phasor-only state estimationWLS: exact cancellations

    LAV: improved robustness

    Extension to 3-phase networks

    Observability and error identificationClosing remarks

    21

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    Measurement equations

    onlyparametersnetworkofFunctionH

    ModelLinearXHZ

    tsMeasuremenPhasor

    XhH

    ModellinearNonXhZtsMeasuremenSCADA

    x

    :

    )(:

    )(

    +=

    +=

    A.G. Phadke, J.S. Thorp, and K.J. Karimi, State Estimation with Phasor Measurements,

    IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, vol. 1, no.1, pp. 233-241, February 1986.

    22

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    Talk Outline

    Background and terminology

    State estimation

    Phasor measurements

    Phasor-only state estimationWLS: exact cancellations

    LAV: improved robustness

    Extension to 3-phase networks

    Observability and error identificationClosing remarks

    23

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    Phasor-only WLS state estimation

    varianceerroriiR

    ERHRHG

    solutionDirectZRHGX

    sidualrXHZrtoSubject

    rMinimize

    problemestimationstateWLS

    ModelLinearXHZ

    i

    TT

    T

    m

    i i

    i

    ),(:

    )cov(}{;

    e

    :

    2

    1

    11

    2

    2

    ===

    =

    =

    +=

    24

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    Phasor-only WLS state estimation

    [ ]

    matrixincidencebus-branch:

    matrixadmittancebranch:

    matrixidentity:

    A

    Y

    U

    VAY

    U

    currentsBranch

    voltagesBus

    I

    VZ

    b

    b

    m

    m

    m

    +

    =

    =

    Consider a fully measured system:

    Note: Shunt branches are neglected initially, they will be introduced later. 25

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    Phasor-only WLS state estimation

    [ ]

    [ ] [ ]

    ++=

    ++

    +=

    +

    +=

    jfeH

    jfeAjbg

    U

    jdc

    jfe

    I

    VLet

    F

    mm

    mm

    m

    m

    )(

    26

    Ph l WLS i i

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    Phasor-only WLS state estimation:

    Complex to real transformation

    [ ]

    +

    =

    +

    =

    feHZ

    f

    e

    gAbA

    bAgA

    U

    U

    d

    c

    f

    e

    m

    m

    m

    m

    ][

    27

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    Ph l WLS t t ti ti

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    Phasor-only WLS state estimation:

    Correction for shunt terms

    XHRHGX

    XHZRHGX

    ZRHGXXE

    XEHuE

    XHuuXHXHHZ

    shT

    sh

    Tcorr

    T

    sh

    sh

    sh

    )(

    }{

    }{}{

    )(][

    11

    11

    11

    =

    =

    ==

    =

    +=+=++=

    Very sparse

    29

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    System Case

    MSE

    WLSDecoupled

    WLS

    A1 0.59 0.592 0.59 0.59

    3 0.62 0.62

    B

    1 0.61 0.61

    2 0.61 0.603 0.62 0.63

    C

    1 0.59 0.59

    2 0.58 0.59

    3 0.58 0.59

    Average MSE Values ( for 100 Simulations)

    Fast Decoupled WLS Implementation Results

    31

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    MEAN CPU TIMES OF 100 SIMULATIONS

    System Case

    CPU Times (ms)

    WLSDecoupled

    WLS

    A1 5 2.42 5.7 2.7

    3 9.3 3.9

    B

    1 7.5 3.5

    2 8.7 3.9

    3 14.8 5.8

    C

    1 137.4 75.9

    2 169.5 95.7

    3 284.7 165.6

    Fast Decoupled WLS Implementation Results

    32

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    Talk Outline

    Background and terminology

    State estimation

    Phasor measurements

    Phasor-only state estimationWLS: exact cancellations

    LAV: improved robustness

    Extension to 3-phase networks

    Observability and error identificationClosing remarks

    33

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    L1 (LAV) Estimator

    ]1,,1,1[

    ||1

    =

    +=

    =

    T

    m

    i

    T

    c

    rXHZtoSubject

    rcMinimize

    Robust but with known deficiency:

    Vulnerable to leverage measurements

    34

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    No leverage points

    L1 estimator successfully rejects bad data

    Motivating example: simple regression

    Wrong data

    x

    yy

    35

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    Leverage point exists and contains gross error:

    L1 estimator fails to reject bad measurement

    Wrong data

    (leverage point)

    Motivating example: simple regression

    y

    x

    36

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    Leverage points in measurement model

    Flow measurements on the lines with impedances, which arevery different from the rest of the lines.

    Using a very large weight for a specific measurement.

    Mili L., Cheniae M.G., and Rousseeuw P.J., Robust State Estimation of Electric Power

    Systems IEEE Transactions on Circuits and Systems, Vol. 41, No. 5, May 1994, pp.349-358.

    1

    =

    xxx

    YYY

    xxx

    xxx

    xxx

    xxx

    HR

    LEVERAGE

    MEASUREMENT

    zexH =+

    Scaling both the measured value and the measurement jacobian row will

    eliminate leveraging effect of the measurement.

    Leave zero injections since they are error free by design.

    Incorporate equality constraints in the formulation.37

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    Properties of L1 estimator

    Efficient Linear Programming (LP) code existsto solve it for large scale systems.

    Use of simple scaling eliminates leverage

    points. This is possible due to the type ofphasor measurements (either voltages orbranch currents).

    L1 estimator automatically rejects bad datagiven sufficient local redundancy, hence baddata processing is built-in.

    38

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    Conversion to Equivalent LP Problem

    zrHxts

    rT

    =+..

    ||cmin

    0

    ..cmin

    =

    y

    zMyts

    yT

    ][][

    ]00[c

    IIHHMVUXXy

    cc

    TTTT

    b

    T

    a

    mmnn

    T

    ==

    =

    VUrXXx ba

    == -

    39

    d d

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    Bad data processing

    LP problem is solved once. Choice of initial basis impactssolution time/iterations.

    Update the

    estimates

    Normalized Residuals Test (NRT):

    NRT is repeated as many times as the number of bad data.

    WLS: Post estimation bad data processing / re-estimation

    L1: Linear Programming Solution

    40

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    Small system example

    IEEE 30-bus system Line 1-2 parameter is

    changed to transform 1into a leverage measurement

    Case 1: Base case true solution

    Case 2: Bad leverage

    measurement without scaling

    Case 3: Same as Case 2, but using

    scaling

    41

    Small system example

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    Case-1 Case-2 Case-3

    V (pu)

    (deg) V (pu)

    (deg) V (pu)

    (deg)

    1 1 5.2 1.0118 -3.5462 1 5.2

    2 1 -3.74 0.9999 -3.74 1 -3.74

    3 0.9952 0.13 1.004 -3.8964 0.9952 0.13

    4 0.9992 -4.81 0.9992 -4.81 0.9992 -4.81

    5 1 -9.02 0.9999 -9.02 1 -9.02

    6 0.9851 -7.41 0.9851 -7.41 0.9851 -7.41

    7 0.9869 -8.88 0.9869 -8.88 0.9869 -8.88

    Small system exampleBase case

    True Solution Leverage Measurements

    Bad data

    No scalingLeverage Measurements

    Bad data

    With scaling

    42

    Large test case:

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    Large test case:3625 bus + 4836 branch utility system

    Case a: No bad measurement.

    Case b: Single bad measurement.

    Case c: Five bad measurements.

    Case a Case b Case c

    LAV 3.33 s. 3.36 s. 3.57 s.

    WLS 2.32 s. 9.38 s. 50.2 s.

    43

    Phasor only state estimation:

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    Phasor-only state estimation:

    WLS versus L1 (LAV)

    WLS : Linear solution

    Requires bad-data analysis

    Normalized residuals test

    Re-weighting (not applicable) No deficiency in the presence of

    leverage measurements, with scaling.

    Exact cancellations in [G]

    L1 (LAV): Linear programming (single solution)

    computationally competitive in s-s

    Does not require bad-data analysis[*]

    No deficiency in the presence of leverage

    measurements, with scaling.

    [*] Kotiuga W. W. and Vidyasagar M., Bad Data Rejection Properties of WeightedLeast Absolute Value Techniques Applied to Static State Estimation, IEEE

    Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, Vol. PAS-101, No. 4, April 1982,

    pp. 844-851.

    44

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    Talk Outline

    Background and terminologyState estimation

    Phasor measurements

    Phasor-only state estimationWLS: exact cancellations

    LAV: improved robustness

    Extension to 3-phase networks

    Observability and error identificationClosing remarks

    45

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    Further motivation

    Develop a state estimator capable of solvingstate estimation for three-phase unbalanced

    operating conditions,

    yet:

    Utilize existing, well developed and tested

    software as much as possible.

    47

    Proposed approach:

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    Proposed approach:

    Modal decomposition revisited

    Decompose phasor measurements into theirsymmetrical components

    Estimate individual symmetrical components

    of states separately ( in parallel if such

    hardware is available )

    Transform the estimates into phase domain to

    obtain estimated phase voltages and flows.

    48

    Modal decomposition of

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    Modal decomposition ofmeasurement equations

    eHVZ +=

    ][ TIT

    V

    T ZZZ =

    PS TVV = PS TII =

    =

    T

    T

    T

    TZ

    000

    0

    00

    eTHVTZT ZZZ +=

    Phasor domain measurement representationH: 3mx3n

    V: 3nx1

    Z: 30x1

    &Modal domain vectors

    T: 3x3

    VS and IS: 3x1

    T: 3mx3m

    49

    Modal decomposition of

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    =

    1

    11

    00

    00

    00

    T

    TT

    TV

    MVVTV=

    MMMM eVHZ +=

    eTe

    HTTH

    ZTZ

    ZM

    VZM

    ZM

    ===

    0000 eVHZ += rrrr eVHZ +=

    0

    1

    00

    1

    00 ZRHGV T =

    rr

    T

    rrr ZRHGV 11 =

    01

    000 HRHG T =

    Zero sequence Positive/ Negative sequence

    Z0, Zr : mx1

    V0, Vr: nx1

    H0, Hr: mxn!

    rrTrr HRHG

    1=

    Fully decoupled three relations

    Smaller size (Jacobian) matrices

    Modal decomposition ofmeasurement equations

    50

    Large scale 3-phase system example:

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    Large scale 3 phase system example:

    3625-buses and 4836-branches

    Case a Case b Case c

    LAV WLS LAV WLS LAV WLS

    Zero Seq. 3.52 s. 2.32 s. 3.65 s. 9.28 s. 3.78 s. 25.51 s.

    Positive Seq. 3.61 s. 2.62 s. 3.63 s. 9.41 s. 3.66 s. 26.01 s.

    Negative Seq. 3.21 s. 2.22 s. 3.45 s. 9.01 s. 3.62 s. 24.82 s.

    Case a: No bad measurement.

    Case b: Single bad measurement.

    Case c: Five bad measurements.

    51

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    No reference bus or reference PMU

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    No reference bus or reference PMUis needed or should be used

    Eliminate the reference phase angle from the

    SE formulation.

    Bad data in SCADA as well as phasor

    measurements can be detected and identified

    with sufficiently redundant measurement sets.

    PMU

    Meas.

    SCADA

    Meas.

    State

    Estimator &

    Bad Data

    Processor

    Estimated/Corrected

    PMU&SCADA Meas.

    Estimated State

    53

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    Numerical Example

    : Power Injection : Power Flow : Voltage Magnitude

    : PMU54

    Numerical Example

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    Numerical ExampleError in bus 1 phase angle

    TEST A

    Bus 1 is used as the reference bus

    TEST B

    No reference is used

    Measurement

    Normalized

    residual Measurement

    Normalized

    residual

    7.5 10.53

    5.73 7.2

    5.6 5.48

    5.2 5.35

    4.53 4.96

    Test A Test B

    8 1

    74p 8

    65p 74p

    12

    65p

    1V 12

    55

    M i Ob bl I l d

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    Merging Observable Islands

    PMUs can be placed at any bus in theobservable island.

    SCADA pseudo-measurements can merge

    observable islands only if they are incident tothe boundary buses.

    P PS

    S

    56

    R b t M t i

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    Robust Metering

    Bad data appearing in critical measurementscan NOT be detected.

    Adding new measurements at strategic locationswill transform them, allowing detection of bad

    data which would otherwise have been missed.

    Note:

    When a critical measurement is removed fromthe measurement set, the network will no longer beOBSERVABLE.

    57

    Number of Critical Meas Number of PMU needed

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    IEEE 57-bus systemCritical

    Meas.

    Type

    1 F41-43

    2 F36-35

    3 F42-41

    4 F40-56

    5 I-11

    6 I-24

    7 I-39

    8 I-37

    9 I-46

    10 I-48

    11 I-56

    12 I-57

    13 I-34

    P

    P

    Number of Critical Meas. Number of PMU needed

    13 2

    58

    IEEE 118 b s s stemNumber of Critical Meas. Number of PMU needed

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    IEEE 118-bus system29 13

    P

    P

    P

    P

    P

    P

    P

    P

    P

    P

    P

    P

    P

    59

    Impact of PMUs on

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    p

    Parameter Error Identification

    Are there cases where errors in certain

    parameters can not be identified without

    synchronized phasor measurements?

    Cases where more than one set of parameters

    satisfies all SCADA measurements.

    60

    Illustrative Example

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    Illustrative Example

    ),,(),,( 2121 ppxJppxJ =

    k lkl

    klP x

    =

    lm

    mllm

    xP

    =

    ' 'kl k l

    kl k l

    xx

    =

    ' 'lm l m

    lm l m

    xx

    =

    l mlm

    lm

    Px

    =

    kl

    lkkl

    xP

    =

    Pl=Plm - Pkl

    VkVl

    Vm61

    Illustrative Example

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    Illustrative Example

    ),,(),,( 2121 ppxJppxJ =

    k lkl

    klP x

    =

    lm

    mllm

    xP

    =

    ' 'kl k l

    kl k l

    xx

    =

    ' 'lm l m

    lm l m

    xx

    =

    l mlm

    lm

    Px

    =

    kl

    lkkl

    xP

    =

    Pl=Plm - Pkl

    Vk

    Vl

    Vm62

    Remarks and Conclusions

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    Remarks and Conclusions

    LAV estimator will be a computationally viable and effective

    alternative to WLS estimator when the measurement set

    consists of only PMUs. Scaling can be a simple yet effective

    tool in the presence of leverage measurements.

    Use of phasor measurements for SE allows modaldecomposition of measurement equations.

    WLS estimator implementation has built-in simplifications due

    to exact cancellations in the gain [G] matrix.

    Given sufficiently redundant phasor measurements, fast androbust state estimation is possible even for very large scale

    power grids.

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    Related Publications:

    Gl, M. and Abur, A., A Hybrid State Estimator for Systems with Limited Number of PMUs, accepted for

    publication in IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2014.

    Gl, M. and Abur, A., LAV Based Robust State Estimation for Systems Measured by PMUs, IEEE Transactions

    on Smart Grid, Vol. 5, No: 4, July 2014, pp.1808 -- 1814.

    Gl, M. and Abur, A., A Robust PMU Based Three-Phase State Estimator Using Modal Decoupling, IEEE

    Transactions on Power Systems, Nov. 2014, Vol. 29, No: 5, pp.2292-2299.

    Gl, M. and Abur, A., Observability Analysis of Systems Containing Phasor Measurements, Proceedings of

    the IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting, 22-26 July 2012.

    Gl, M. and Abur, A., Effective Measurement Design for Cyber Security, Proceedings of the 18

    th

    PowerSystems Computation Conference, August 18-22, 2014, Wroclaw, Poland.

    Gl, M. and Abur, A., PMU Placement for Robust State Estimation, Proceedings of the North American

    Power Symposium, Sep. 22-24, 2013, Manhattan, KS.

    Acknowledgements

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    g

    National Science Foundation NSF/PSERC

    DOE/Entergy Smart Grid Initiative Grants

    NSF/ERC CURENT

    Jun Zhu, Ph.D. 2009

    Jian Chen, Ph.D. 2008

    Murat Gol , Ph.D. 2014

    Former PhD Students:

    Liuxi Zhang, Ph.D. 2014

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    Thank You

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