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Philippine Statistics Authority

SPECIAL RELEASE OFFICE OF THE NATIONAL STATISTICIAN

Volume I No. 2 Quezon City, Philippines

If you want to know more about these statistics

write or call Crops Statistics Division 376-2022

PSA Website: http//www.psa.gov.ph

PALAY

Palay production for January-June 2016 may decline to

7.66 million MT, 7.98 percent below the 8.32 million MT output in 2015. Harvest area may cut down from 2.06 million to 1.93 million hectares, or by 6.27 percent. Yield per hectare may drop by 1.83 percent, from 4.04 MT in 2015 to 3.96 MT in 2016 (Table 1.0).

The January-March 2016 palay production at 3.93 million MT fell from the 2015 output of 4.37 million MT by 9.97 percent. Harvest area dropped to 1.08 million hectares from last year’s record of 1.15 million hectares. Yield per hectare lessened from 3.80 MT in 2015 to 3.64 MT in 2016 or by 4.31 percent (Table 1.1).

- Substantial decreases in production were noted in Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon,

MIMAROPA, Western Visayas and SOCCSKSARGEN.

April 2016 Round Situation and Outlook Report

HIGHLIGHTS

Palay and corn outputs for January to March 2016 were lower than their 2015 levels by 9.97 percent and 19.07 percent, respectively. The negative growth was largely attributed to the adverse effects of the El Niño Phenomenon, damages in yield caused by Typhoon “Nona” during 4th quarter 2015 and flooding caused by the North East Monsoon rains in January 2016.

Forecasts on standing crops of both palay and corn indicate lower production in the second quarter of

2016. These may bring about reduction in outputs by 5.79 percent for palay and by 10.18 percent for corn. Planting intentions of palay and corn farmers for the July-September 2016 harvest indicate substantial

increases in output levels compared to their respective records in 2015.

2

- Decrements in harvest area and low yield were attributed mostly on insufficient water supply and effect of dry spell across the regions in the country.

- Typhoon “Nona” which occurred on the 4th

quarter 2015 affected the 1st quarter 2016 palay production in Central Luzon and MIMAROPA. Moreover, the drought in some provinces in these regions caused crop damages resulting to declines in harvest area and yield.

- The reduction of harvest area in Cagayan Valley

was affected by flood in Cagayan province which was caused by the North East Monsoon rains.

- In Western Visayas and SOCCSKSARGEN, crops

were damaged due to the adverse effects of El Niño during vegetative and reproductive stages of palay.

The April-June 2016 forecast on standing crop

indicates production of 3.73 million MT, 5.79 percent lower than 3.96 million MT output in 2015. Harvest area may contract from 914 thousand hectares to 852 thousand hectares, or 6.71 percent. However, yield may rise from 4.33 MT per hectare in 2015 to 4.37 MT in 2016 (Table 1.2).

- Most of the regions may possibly have negative

production except for Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon and Bicol.

- Probable reductions in production are expected due to decreases in harvest area and yield as affected by El Niño. Abrupt drops are likely to be in Eastern Visayas, Northern Mindanao, SOCCSKSARGEN, Caraga and ARMM.

- Possible increments in Cagayan Valley and Central Luzon are attributed to replanting after the occurrence of flood and typhoon “Nona”, respectively. The use of hybrid seeds in Bicol may also cause an upward movement.

The July-September 2016 forecast based on farmers’ planting intentions indicates increase in production by 24.69 percent, from 2.55 million MT in 2015 to 3.18 million MT. Harvest area may expand from 653 thousand hectares to 820 thousand hectares, or by 25.68percent. Yield per hectare may decline from 3.91 MT in 2015 to 3.88 MT in 2016 (Table 1.4).

3

- Increments in production are anticipated in all regions except CAR and MIMAROPA.

- Probable increases in harvest areas are attributed to the forecast from PAG-ASA on the early onset of rains, availability of irrigation waters and government interventions. Farmers are upbeat that they can plant palay in May 2016 and onwards.

CORN

The January-June 2016 production of corn may

decline to 2.83 million MT, 16.41 percent below the 3.38 million MT output in 2015. Harvest area may contract from 1.04 million hectares to 0.90 million hectares, or by 13.66 percent. Yield per hectare may decrease from 3.24 MT in 2015 to 3.13 MT in 2016, or by 3.18 percent (Table 2.0). Corn output in January-March 2016 at 1.92

million MT was 19.07 percent lower than the 2.37 million MT record in 2015. Harvest area reduced to 629 thousand hectares or by 12.02 percent from the 2015 level of 715 thousand hectares (Table 2.1).

- The reductions were attributed to Cagayan

Valley, Northern Mindanao, SOCCSKSARGEN and ARMM.

- In Cagayan Valley, lower output was

attributed to the movement of harvests to 2nd

quarter due to late plantings for white corn. Also, some areas for yellow corn were left in-fallow due to insufficient water supply. Harvest areas contracted due to shifting to cassava and sugarcane in Isabela and Nueva Vizcaya. Moreover, the occurrence of typhoon “Nona” affected yield during the vegetative stage of the crop.

- In Northern Mindanao, decreased harvest area and yield were due to crop damages,

infestation of rats, and lesser plantings due to insufficient rainfall caused by prolonged dry spell.

- The reduction in harvest area and yield in SOCCSKSARGEN were attributed to damages

in crop brought by the adverse effects of El Niño phenomenon and rat infestation in North Cotabato and Sultan Kudarat.

- In Maguindanao, damaged harvest areas and decreased yield brought by dry spell

contributed to output reduction in ARMM.

Yield per hectare decreased from 3.31 MT in 2015 to 3.05 MT in 2016. This was due to insufficient soil moisture resulting in smaller cobs produced in almost all regions. Even

4

then, higher yield compared to last year were noted in Ilocos Region, CALABARZON and Caraga (Table 2.1).

The April-June 2016 forecast on standing crop

indicates lower production and harvest area by 10.18 percent and 17.21 percent, from their respective levels in 2015. Yield per hectare will grow by 8.48 percent from 3.07 MT level in 2015 to 3.3 MT (Table 2.2).

- Northern Mindanao, SOCCSKSARGEN and ARMM may post significant reductions in production and harvest areas. These may be due to the adverse effects of El Niño wherein some corn areas were not planted and extreme heat may cause harvests of smaller cobs.

- Probable yield per hectare may rise from 3.07 MT in 2015 to 3.33 MT in 2016. This could be attributed to the anticipation of good weather condition and use of good quality seeds.

Based on farmers’ planting intentions, the July-

September 2016 forecasts on production and harvest area may surpass their 2015 levels by 10.40 percent and 10.25 percent, respectively. Probable yield per hectare in 2015 and 2016 are almost the same (Table 2.4).

- ARMM, Cagayan Valley and Zamboanga Peninsula may contribute to substantial increments in production. Farmers in these regions are optimistic that they can plant corn in the unutilized areas in the previous quarter.

Technical Notes:

Production refers to the quantity produced and actually harvested for a particular crop during the reference period. For palay and corn, harvest area refers to the actual area harvested/to be harvested during the reference quarter. Estimates and forecasts of production and harvest area of palay and corn are generated from the Quarterly Palay and Corn Production Survey (PCPS) of which there are four survey rounds in a year, that is, January, April, July and October. The following are the data taken from these surveys:

1) Production estimates of the previous quarter for each survey round; 2) Forecast one quarter ahead based on the standing crop; and 3) Forecast two quarters ahead based on planting intentions.

5

(1)

PRODUCTION ('000MT)

January-March 4,368 3,932 (9.97)

Irrigated 3,471 3,154 (9.11)

Rainfed 897 778 (13.28)

April-June 3,956 3,727 a/ (5.79)

Irrigated 3,451 3,331 (3.47)

Rainfed 505 395 (21.61)

January-June 8,324 7,659 (7.98)

Irrigated 6,922 6,486 (6.30)

Rainfed 1,402 1,173 (16.28)

July-September 2,552 3,182 b/ 24.69

Irrigated 1,919 2,315 20.62

Rainfed 632 867 37.05

January-September 10,875 10,841 (0.32)

Irrigated 8,841 8,801 (0.46)

Rainfed 2,034 2,040 0.30

HARVEST AREA ('000Ha)

January-March 1,149 1,081 (5.91)

Irrigated 805 763 (5.16)

Rainfed 345 318 (7.66)

April-June 914 852 a/ (6.71)

Irrigated 729 710 (2.57)

Rainfed 185 142 (23.05)

January-June 2,063 1,933 (6.27)

Irrigated 1,533 1,473 (3.93)

Rainfed 529 460 (13.03)

July-September 653 820 b/ 25.68

Irrigated 448 537 19.95

Rainfed 205 283 38.19

January-September 2,715 2,754 1.41

Irrigated 1,981 2,010 1.46

Rainfed 734 744 1.28

YIELD/HECTARE (MT)

January-March 3.80 3.64 (4.31)

Irrigated 4.31 4.13 (4.17)

Rainfed 2.60 2.45 (6.08)

April-June 4.33 4.37 0.99

Irrigated 4.73 4.69 (0.92)

Rainfed 2.73 2.78 1.87

January-June 4.04 3.96 (1.83)

Irrigated 4.51 4.40 (2.47)

Rainfed 2.65 2.55 (3.73)

July-September 3.91 3.88 (0.79)

Irrigated 4.29 4.31 0.56

Rainfed 3.08 3.06 (0.83)

January-September 4.01 3.94 (1.71)

Irrigated 4.46 4.38 (1.89)

Rainfed 2.77 2.74 (0.97)

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

b/ - Planting intentions

2015 Estimates Apr. 2016/2015 Apr. 2016 rd

2016 Forecasts

(2) (3) (4)

Table 1.0 Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

Philippines, January-September, 2015-2016

ITEMPercent Change

6

Table 1.1 Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region, Philippines, January-March, 2015-2016

Apr'16 rd Level %

(4) (5) (6) (7)

PRODUCTION (MT)

PHILIPPINES 4,367,715.40 3,932,292.40 (435,423) (9.97) 100.00 (9.97)

CAR 58,934 54,002 (4,932) (8.37) 1.37 (0.11)

Ilocos 327,805 317,496 (10,309) (3.14) 8.07 (0.24)

Cagayan Valley 647,865 580,077 (67,788) (10.46) 14.75 (1.55)

Central Luzon 731,122 641,215 (89,907) (12.30) 16.31 (2.06)

CALABARZON 86,875 89,973 3,098 3.57 2.29 0.07

MIMAROPA 297,898 229,685 (68,213) (22.90) 5.84 (1.56)

Bicol 284,034 289,543 5,509 1.94 7.36 0.13

Western Visayas 454,307 387,519 (66,788) (14.70) 9.85 (1.53)

Central Visayas 79,098 64,096 (15,002) (18.97) 1.63 (0.34)

Eastern Visayas 226,731 285,519 58,788 25.93 7.26 1.35

Zamboanga Peninsula 194,702 145,887 (48,815) (25.07) 3.71 (1.12)

Northern Mindanao 180,694 170,185 (10,509) (5.82) 4.33 (0.24)

Davao Region 131,814 121,375 (10,439) (7.92) 3.09 (0.24)

SOCCSKSARGEN 406,442 345,452 (60,990) (15.01) 8.79 (1.40)

Caraga 13,906 17,937 4,032 28.99 0.46 0.09

ARMM 139,746 121,945 (17,801) (12.74) 3.10 (0.41)

NIR 105,743 70,386 (35,357) (33.44) 1.79 (0.81)

HARVEST AREA (Ha)

PHILIPPINES 1,149,026 1,081,096 (67,930) (5.91) 100.00 (5.91)

CAR 13,953 13,455 (498) (3.57) 1.24 (0.04)

Ilocos 70,819 68,672 (2,147) (3.03) 6.35 (0.19)

Cagayan Valley 148,410 133,114 (15,296) (10.31) 12.31 (1.33)

Central Luzon 144,676 137,099 (7,577) (5.24) 12.68 (0.66)

CALABARZON 24,121 24,539 418 1.73 2.27 0.04

MIMAROPA 80,060 65,578 (14,482) (18.09) 6.07 (1.26)

Bicol 78,392 78,754 362 0.46 7.28 0.03

Western Visayas 158,220 142,660 (15,560) (9.83) 13.20 (1.35)

Central Visayas 26,890 25,588 (1,302) (4.84) 2.37 (0.11)

Eastern Visayas 72,909 87,168 14,259 19.56 8.06 1.24



Davao Region 28,450 30,328 1,878 6.60 2.81 0.16

SOCCSKSARGEN 108,183 102,857 (5,326) (4.92) 9.51 (0.46)

Caraga 4,345 5,682 1,337 30.77 0.53 0.12

ARMM 66,690 60,977 (5,713) (8.57) 5.64 (0.50)

NIR 29,506 20,909 (8,597) (29.14) 1.93 (0.75)

YIELD/ HA (MT)

PHILIPPINES 3.80 3.64 (0.16) (4.31)

CAR 4.22 4.01 (0.21) (4.98)

Ilocos 4.63 4.62 (0.01) (0.12)

Cagayan Valley 4.37 4.36 (0.01) (0.17)

Central Luzon 5.05 4.68 (0.38) (7.45)

CALABARZON 3.60 3.67 0.06 1.80

MIMAROPA 3.72 3.50 (0.22) (5.87)

Bicol 3.62 3.68 0.05 1.47

Western Visayas 2.87 2.72 (0.15) (5.40)

Central Visayas 2.94 2.50 (0.44) (14.84)

Eastern Visayas 3.11 3.28 0.17 5.33

Zamboanga Peninsula 3.77 3.32 (0.45) (12.05)

Northern Mindanao 4.32 4.28 (0.04) (0.96)

Davao Region 4.63 4.00 (0.63) (13.62)

SOCCSKSARGEN 3.76 3.36 (0.40) (10.60)

Caraga 3.20 3.16 (0.04) (1.36)

ARMM 2.10 2.00 (0.10) (4.56)

NIR 3.58 3.37 (0.22) (6.07)


(1) (2) (3)

Apr'16 rd / 2015

Change

Percent share

% Point

Contrib'nI tem

January-March

Estimates

20152016

7

Table 1.2 Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region, Philippines, April-June, 2015-2016

Apr'16 rd a/ Level %

(2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)

PRODUCTION (MT)

PHILIPPINES 3,955,837 3,726,926 (228,910) (5.79) 100.00 (5.79)

CAR 139,200 133,908 (5,292) (3.80) 3.59 (0.13)

Ilocos 140,993 138,796 (2,197) (1.56) 3.72 (0.06)

Cagayan Valley 738,605 797,374 58,770 7.96 21.39 1.49

Central Luzon 1,148,675 1,161,628 12,953 1.13 31.17 0.33

CALABARZON 126,660 120,912 (5,748) (4.54) 3.24 (0.15)

MIMAROPA 144,693 137,323 (7,370) (5.09) 3.68 (0.19)

Bicol 343,349 359,348 15,999 4.66 9.64 0.40

Western Visayas 65,963 46,804 (19,159) (29.05) 1.26 (0.48)

Central Visayas 42,012 23,552 (18,460) (43.94) 0.63 (0.47)

Eastern Visayas 301,516 255,349 (46,167) (15.31) 6.85 (1.17)



Davao Region 84,000 64,775 (19,225) (22.89) 1.74 (0.49)

SOCCSKSARGEN 87,139 27,009 (60,130) (69.00) 0.72 (1.52)

Caraga 293,074 237,884 (55,190) (18.83) 6.38 (1.40)

ARMM 74,920 39,486 (35,434) (47.30) 1.06 (0.90)

NIR 35,309 32,017 (3,292) (9.32) 0.86 (0.08)

HARVEST AREA (Ha)

PHILIPPINES 913,541 852,230 (61,311) (6.71) 100.00 (6.71)

CAR 30,652 30,674 22 0.07 3.60 0.00

Ilocos 32,059 31,920 (139) (0.43) 3.75 (0.02)

Cagayan Valley 164,860 173,399 8,539 5.18 20.35 0.93

Central Luzon 178,729 182,767 4,038 2.26 21.45 0.44

CALABARZON 34,615 33,311 (1,304) (3.77) 3.91 (0.14)

MIMAROPA 37,781 38,412 631 1.67 4.51 0.07

Bicol 91,200 94,810 3,610 3.96 11.12 0.40

Western Visayas 27,366 18,684 (8,682) (31.73) 2.19 (0.95)

Central Visayas 14,445 11,458 (2,987) (20.68) 1.34 (0.33)

Eastern Visayas 76,958 67,637 (9,321) (12.11) 7.94 (1.02)

Zamboanga Peninsula 15,555 16,358 803 5.16 1.92 0.09


Davao Region 20,889 17,152 (3,737) (17.89) 2.01 (0.41)

SOCCSKSARGEN 25,674 9,131 (16,543) (64.43) 1.07 (1.81)

Caraga 92,111 77,513 (14,599) (15.85) 9.10 (1.60)

ARMM 29,230 13,210 (16,020) (54.81) 1.55 (1.75)

NIR 11,234 10,432 (802) (7.14) 1.22 (0.09)

YIELD/ HA (MT)

PHILIPPINES 4.33 4.37 0.04 0.99

CAR 4.54 4.37 (0.18) (3.87)

Ilocos 4.40 4.35 (0.05) (1.13)

Cagayan Valley 4.48 4.60 0.12 2.64

Central Luzon 6.43 6.36 (0.07) (1.11)

CALABARZON 3.66 3.63 (0.03) (0.80)

MIMAROPA 3.83 3.58 (0.25) (6.65)

Bicol 3.76 3.79 0.03 0.67

Western Visayas 2.41 2.51 0.09 3.93

Central Visayas 2.91 2.06 (0.85) (29.33)

Eastern Visayas 3.92 3.78 (0.14) (3.64)



Davao Region 4.02 3.78 (0.24) (6.09)

SOCCSKSARGEN 3.39 2.96 (0.44) (12.85)

Caraga 3.18 3.07 (0.11) (3.54)

ARMM 2.56 2.99 0.43 16.62

NIR 3.14 3.07 (0.07) (2.35)


a/ - Standing crop

(1)

Apr'16 rd / 2015% Point

Contrib'nI tem

April-June

2015 Estimates2016 Forecasts

Change

Percent share

8

Table 1.3 Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region, Philippines, January-June, 2015-2016

Apr'16 rd Level %

(2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)

PRODUCTION (MT)

PHILIPPINES 8,323,552 7,659,219 (664,333) (7.98) 100.00 (7.98)

CAR 198,134 187,910 (10,224) (5.16) 2.45 (0.12)

Ilocos 468,798 456,292 (12,506) (2.67) 5.96 (0.15)

Cagayan Valley 1,386,469 1,377,451 (9,018) (0.65) 17.98 (0.11)

Central Luzon 1,879,797 1,802,843 (76,954) (4.09) 23.54 (0.92)

CALABARZON 213,535 210,885 (2,650) (1.24) 2.75 (0.03)

MIMAROPA 442,591 367,008 (75,583) (17.08) 4.79 (0.91)

Bicol 627,383 648,891 21,508 3.43 8.47 0.26

Western Visayas 520,270 434,323 (85,947) (16.52) 5.67 (1.03)

Central Visayas 121,110 87,648 (33,462) (27.63) 1.14 (0.40)

Eastern Visayas 528,247 540,868 12,621 2.39 7.06 0.15



Davao Region 215,814 186,150 (29,664) (13.75) 2.43 (0.36)

SOCCSKSARGEN 493,581 372,461 (121,120) (24.54) 4.86 (1.46)

Caraga 306,980 255,821 (51,158) (16.67) 3.34 (0.61)

ARMM 214,666 161,431 (53,235) (24.80) 2.11 (0.64)

NIR 141,052 102,403 (38,649) (27.40) 1.34 (0.46)

HARVEST AREA (Ha)

PHILIPPINES 2,062,567 1,933,326 (129,241) (6.27) 100.00 (6.27)

CAR 44,605 44,129 (476) (1.07) 2.28 (0.02)

Ilocos 102,878 100,592 (2,286) (2.22) 5.20 (0.11)

Cagayan Valley 313,270 306,513 (6,757) (2.16) 15.85 (0.33)

Central Luzon 323,405 319,866 (3,539) (1.09) 16.54 (0.17)

CALABARZON 58,736 57,850 (886) (1.51) 2.99 (0.04)

MIMAROPA 117,841 103,990 (13,851) (11.75) 5.38 (0.67)

Bicol 169,592 173,564 3,972 2.34 8.98 0.19

Western Visayas 185,586 161,344 (24,242) (13.06) 8.35 (1.18)

Central Visayas 41,335 37,046 (4,289) (10.38) 1.92 (0.21)

Eastern Visayas 149,867 154,805 4,938 3.29 8.01 0.24



Davao Region 49,339 47,480 (1,859) (3.77) 2.46 (0.09)

SOCCSKSARGEN 133,857 111,988 (21,869) (16.34) 5.79 (1.06)

Caraga 96,456 83,195 (13,262) (13.75) 4.30 (0.64)

ARMM 95,920 74,187 (21,733) (22.66) 3.84 (1.05)

NIR 40,740 31,341 (9,399) (23.07) 1.62 (0.46)

YIELD/ HA (MT)

PHILIPPINES 4.04 3.96 (0.07) (1.83)

CAR 4.44 4.26 (0.18) (4.14)

Ilocos 4.56 4.54 (0.02) (0.46)

Cagayan Valley 4.43 4.49 0.07 1.54

Central Luzon 5.81 5.64 (0.18) (3.03)

CALABARZON 3.64 3.65 0.01 0.27

MIMAROPA 3.76 3.53 (0.23) (6.03)

Bicol 3.70 3.74 0.04 1.06

Western Visayas 2.80 2.69 (0.11) (3.98)

Central Visayas 2.93 2.37 (0.56) (19.25)

Eastern Visayas 3.52 3.49 (0.03) (0.88)



Davao Region 4.37 3.92 (0.45) (10.37)

SOCCSKSARGEN 3.69 3.33 (0.36) (9.80)

Caraga 3.18 3.07 (0.11) (3.38)

ARMM 2.24 2.18 (0.06) (2.77)

NIR 3.46 3.27 (0.19) (5.63)


(1)

Apr'16 rd / 2015 Percent share

January-June

% Point

Contrib'n2015 Estimates2016 Forecasts

ChangeItem

9

Table 1.4 Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region, Philippines, July-September, 2015-2016

Apr'16 rd b/ Level %

(2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)

PRODUCTION (MT)

PHILIPPINES 2,551,546 3,181,507 629,961 24.69 100.00 24.69

CAR 64,111 63,887 (224) (0.35) 2.01 (0.01)

Ilocos 98,963 140,716 41,753 42.19 4.42 1.64

Cagayan Valley 204,305 296,559 92,254 45.16 9.32 3.62

Central Luzon 154,514 216,809 62,295 40.32 6.81 2.44

CALABARZON 37,174 64,873 27,699 74.51 2.04 1.09

MIMAROPA 83,507 73,089 (10,418) (12.48) 2.30 (0.41)

Bicol 205,232 228,231 22,999 11.21 7.17 0.90

Western Visayas 358,645 450,288 91,643 25.55 14.15 3.59

Central Visayas 7,179 8,850 1,671 23.28 0.28 0.07

Eastern Visayas 117,726 122,781 5,055 4.29 3.86 0.20

Zamboanga Peninsula 159,011 208,110 49,099 30.88 6.54 1.92

Northern Mindanao 186,082 218,542 32,460 17.44 6.87 1.27

Davao Region 119,030 137,532 18,502 15.54 4.32 0.73

SOCCSKSARGEN 392,937 465,955 73,018 18.58 14.65 2.86

Caraga 23,666 25,177 1,511 6.38 0.79 0.06

ARMM 117,698 233,198 115,500 98.13 7.33 4.53

NIR 221,766 226,910 5,144 2.32 7.13 0.20

HARVEST AREA (Ha)

PHILIPPINES 652,718 820,358 167,639 25.68 100.00 25.68

CAR 19,427 19,375 (52) (0.27) 2.36 (0.01)

Ilocos 22,858 32,668 9,810 42.92 3.98 1.50

Cagayan Valley 44,268 65,820 21,551 48.68 8.02 3.30

Central Luzon 33,090 44,390 11,300 34.15 5.41 1.73

CALABARZON 10,247 18,038 7,791 76.03 2.20 1.19

MIMAROPA 21,900 18,462 (3,438) (15.70) 2.25 (0.53)

Bicol 51,901 59,567 7,666 14.77 7.26 1.17

Western Visayas 104,788 132,178 27,390 26.14 16.11 4.20

Central Visayas 1,969 2,512 543 27.58 0.31 0.08

Eastern Visayas 35,035 35,151 116 0.33 4.28 0.02



Davao Region 26,161 31,223 5,062 19.35 3.81 0.78

SOCCSKSARGEN 100,217 114,737 14,520 14.49 13.99 2.22

Caraga 7,319 7,395 76 1.04 0.90 0.01

ARMM 41,593 85,578 43,985 105.75 10.43 6.74

NIR 53,460 55,355 1,895 3.54 6.75 0.29

YIELD/ HA (MT)

PHILIPPINES 3.91 3.88 (0.03) (0.79)

CAR 3.30 3.30 (0.00) (0.08)

Ilocos 4.33 4.31 (0.02) (0.51)

Cagayan Valley 4.62 4.51 (0.11) (2.37)

Central Luzon 4.67 4.88 0.21 4.60

CALABARZON 3.63 3.60 (0.03) (0.86)

MIMAROPA 3.81 3.96 0.15 3.82

Bicol 3.95 3.83 (0.12) (3.11)

Western Visayas 3.42 3.41 (0.02) (0.46)

Central Visayas 3.65 3.52 (0.12) (3.37)




Davao Region 4.55 4.40 (0.15) (3.19)

SOCCSKSARGEN 3.92 4.06 0.14 3.58

Caraga 3.23 3.40 0.17 5.29

ARMM 2.83 2.72 (0.10) (3.70)

NIR 4.15 4.10 (0.05) (1.18)



(1)

Apr'16 rd / 2015

Change

Percent share

% Point

Contrib'n

July-September

2015 Estimates2016 ForecastsItem

10

Table 1.5 Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region, Philippines, January-September, 2015-2016

Apr'16 rd Level %

(2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)

PRODUCTION (MT)

PHILIPPINES 10,875,098 10,840,726 (34,372) (0.32) 100.00 (0.32)

CAR 262,245 251,797 (10,448) (3.98) 2.32 (0.10)

Ilocos 567,761 597,008 29,247 5.15 5.51 0.27

Cagayan Valley 1,590,774 1,674,010 83,236 5.23 15.44 0.77

Central Luzon 2,034,311 2,019,652 (14,659) (0.72) 18.63 (0.13)

CALABARZON 250,709 275,758 25,049 9.99 2.54 0.23

MIMAROPA 526,098 440,097 (86,001) (16.35) 4.06 (0.79)

Bicol 832,615 877,122 44,507 5.35 8.09 0.41

Western Visayas 878,915 884,611 5,696 0.65 8.16 0.05

Central Visayas 128,289 96,498 (31,791) (24.78) 0.89 (0.29)

Eastern Visayas 645,973 663,649 17,676 2.74 6.12 0.16



Davao Region 334,844 323,682 (11,162) (3.33) 2.99 (0.10)

SOCCSKSARGEN 886,518 838,416 (48,102) (5.43) 7.73 (0.44)

Caraga 330,646 280,998 (49,648) (15.02) 2.59 (0.46)

ARMM 332,364 394,630 62,266 18.73 3.64 0.57

NIR 362,818 329,313 (33,505) (9.23) 3.04 (0.31)

HARVEST AREA (Ha)

PHILIPPINES 2,715,285 2,753,683 38,398 1.41 100.00 1.41

CAR 64,032 63,504 (528) (0.82) 2.31 (0.02)

Ilocos 125,736 133,260 7,524 5.98 4.84 0.28

Cagayan Valley 357,538 372,333 14,795 4.14 13.52 0.54

Central Luzon 356,495 364,256 7,761 2.18 13.23 0.29

CALABARZON 68,983 75,888 6,905 10.01 2.76 0.25

MIMAROPA 139,741 122,452 (17,289) (12.37) 4.45 (0.64)

Bicol 221,493 233,131 11,638 5.25 8.47 0.43

Western Visayas 290,374 293,522 3,148 1.08 10.66 0.12

Central Visayas 43,304 39,558 (3,746) (8.65) 1.44 (0.14)

Eastern Visayas 184,902 189,956 5,054 2.73 6.90 0.19


Northern Mindanao 111,909 112,197 288 0.26 4.07 0.01

Davao Region 75,500 78,703 3,203 4.24 2.86 0.12

SOCCSKSARGEN 234,074 226,725 (7,349) (3.14) 8.23 (0.27)

Caraga 103,775 90,590 (13,186) (12.71) 3.29 (0.49)

ARMM 137,513 159,765 22,252 16.18 5.80 0.82

NIR 94,200 86,696 (7,504) (7.97) 3.15 (0.28)

YIELD/ HA (MT)

PHILIPPINES 4.01 3.94 (0.07) (1.71)

CAR 4.10 3.97 (0.13) (3.19)

Ilocos 4.52 4.48 (0.04) (0.79)

Cagayan Valley 4.45 4.50 0.05 1.05

Central Luzon 5.71 5.54 (0.16) (2.84)

CALABARZON 3.63 3.63 (0.00) (0.02)

MIMAROPA 3.76 3.59 (0.17) (4.54)

Bicol 3.76 3.76 0.00 0.09

Western Visayas 3.03 3.01 (0.01) (0.43)

Central Visayas 2.96 2.44 (0.52) (17.66)




Davao Region 4.44 4.11 (0.32) (7.27)

SOCCSKSARGEN 3.79 3.70 (0.09) (2.36)

Caraga 3.19 3.10 (0.08) (2.65)

ARMM 2.42 2.47 0.05 2.20

NIR 3.85 3.80 (0.05) (1.38)


(1)

Apr'16 rd / 2015

January-September

2016 ForecastsChange

Percent share2015 Estimates

% Point

Contrib'nI tem

11

(1)

PRODUCTION ('000MT)

January-March 2,369 1,917 (19.07)

White 511 356 (30.31)

Yellow 1,858 1,561 (15.97)

April-June 1,012 909 a/ (10.18)

White 250 162 (35.16)

Yellow 763 747 (2.01)

January-June 3,381 2,826 (16.41)

White 760 518 (31.90)

Yellow 2,620 2,308 (11.91)

July-September 2,407 2,657 b/ 10.40

White 756 937 23.98

Yellow 1,651 1,720 4.18


White 1,516 1,455 (4.04)

Yellow 4,272 4,029 (5.69)

HARVEST AREA ('000Ha)

January-March 715 629 (12.02)

White 291 247 (15.29)

Yellow 424 383 (9.78)

April-June 330 273 a/ (17.21)

White 152 101 (33.32)

Yellow 178 172 (3.40)

January-June 1,045 902 (13.66)

White 443 348 (21.48)

Yellow 602 554 (7.90)

July-September 882 973 b/ 10.25

White 468 547 16.93

Yellow 415 426 2.73


White 911 895 (1.77)

Yellow 1,016 980 (3.56)

YIELD/HECTARE (MT)

January-March 3.31 3.05 (8.00)

White 1.75 1.44 (17.72)

Yellow 4.38 4.08 (6.87)

April-June 3.07 3.33 8.48

White 1.64 1.59 (2.76)

Yellow 4.29 4.36 1.44

January-June 3.24 3.13 (3.18)

White 1.71 1.49 (13.27)

Yellow 4.36 4.17 (4.36)

July-September 2.73 2.73 0.13

White 1.62 1.71 6.03

Yellow 3.98 4.04 1.42

January-September 3.00 2.92 (2.62)

White 1.66 1.63 (2.32)

Yellow 4.20 4.11 (2.21)


a/ - Standing crop


Table 2.0 Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,

Philippines, January-September, 2015-2016

ITEM 2015 Estimates2016 Forecasts Percent Change

Apr. 2016 rd Apr. 2016/2015

(2) (3) (4)

12

Table 2.1 Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region, Philippines, January-March, 2015-2016

Apr'16 rd Level %

(4) (5) (6) (7)

PRODUCTION (MT)

PHILIPPINES 2,368,532 1,916,945 (451,587) (19.07) 100.00 (19.07)

CAR 93,172 68,719 (24,453) (26.25) 3.58 (1.03)

Ilocos 312,396 315,992 3,596 1.15 16.48 0.15

Cagayan Valley 728,895 579,901 (148,994) (20.44) 30.25 (6.29)

Central Luzon 131,273 111,607 (19,666) (14.98) 5.82 (0.83)

CALABARZON 18,073 20,987 2,914 16.12 1.09 0.12

MIMAROPA 54,907 52,216 (2,691) (4.90) 2.72 (0.11)

Bicol 58,125 55,225 (2,900) (4.99) 2.88 (0.12)

Western Visayas 72,178 45,742 (26,436) (36.63) 2.39 (1.12)

Central Visayas 14,848 10,736 (4,112) (27.69) 0.56 (0.17)

Eastern Visayas 11,251 12,503 1,252 11.13 0.65 0.05



Davao Region 44,851 42,125 (2,726) (6.08) 2.20 (0.12)

SOCCSKSARGEN 254,707 204,637 (50,070) (19.66) 10.68 (2.11)

Caraga 832 1,518 686 82.44 0.08 0.03

ARMM 191,268 72,591 (118,677) (62.05) 3.79 (5.01)

NIR 35,804 31,211 (4,593) (12.83) 1.63 (0.19)

HARVEST AREA (Ha)

PHILIPPINES 715,257 629,249 (86,008) (12.02) 100.00 (12.02)

CAR 22,759 22,287 (472) (2.07) 3.54 (0.07)

Ilocos 53,537 53,896 359 0.67 8.57 0.05

Cagayan Valley 161,430 134,342 (27,088) (16.78) 21.35 (3.79)

Central Luzon 21,080 21,226 146 0.69 3.37 0.02

CALABARZON 8,112 7,713 (399) (4.92) 1.23 (0.06)

MIMAROPA 11,642 12,192 550 4.72 1.94 0.08

Bicol 29,824 28,349 (1,475) (4.95) 4.51 (0.21)

Western Visayas 19,555 14,601 (4,954) (25.33) 2.32 (0.69)

Central Visayas 20,292 16,052 (4,240) (20.89) 2.55 (0.59)

Eastern Visayas 7,258 8,133 875 12.06 1.29 0.12



Davao Region 28,912 32,080 3,168 10.96 5.10 0.44

SOCCSKSARGEN 94,600 82,932 (11,668) (12.33) 13.18 (1.63)

Caraga 446 737 291 65.25 0.12 0.04

ARMM 82,610 45,471 (37,139) (44.96) 7.23 (5.19)

NIR 25,210 24,538 (672) (2.67) 3.90 (0.09)

YIELD/ HA (MT)

PHILIPPINES 3.31 3.05 (0.27) (8.00)

CAR 4.09 3.08 (1.01) (24.68)

Ilocos 5.84 5.86 0.03 0.48

Cagayan Valley 4.52 4.32 (0.20) (4.40)

Central Luzon 6.23 5.26 (0.97) (15.57)

CALABARZON 2.23 2.72 0.49 22.13

MIMAROPA 4.72 4.28 (0.43) (9.19)

Bicol 1.95 1.95 (0.00) (0.05)

Western Visayas 3.69 3.13 (0.56) (15.12)

Central Visayas 0.73 0.67 (0.06) (8.59)

Eastern Visayas 1.55 1.54 (0.01) (0.83)



Davao Region 1.55 1.31 (0.24) (15.35)

SOCCSKSARGEN 2.69 2.47 (0.22) (8.35)

Caraga 1.87 2.06 0.19 10.40

ARMM 2.32 1.60 (0.72) (31.05)

NIR 1.42 1.27 (0.15) (10.44)


2015

Estimates

(1) (2) (3)

% Point

Contrib'nI tem

January-March

2016

Change

Percent shareApr'16 rd / 2015

13

Table 2.2 Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region, Philippines, April-June, 2015-2016

Apr'16 rd a/ Level %

(2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)

PRODUCTION (MT)

PHILIPPINES 1,012,241 909,191 (103,051) (10.18) 100.00 (10.18)

CAR 32,136 23,061 (9,075) (28.24) 2.54 (0.90)

Ilocos 161,575 172,633 11,058 6.84 18.99 1.09

Cagayan Valley 237,600 311,773 74,173 31.22 34.29 7.33

Central Luzon 112,712 110,402 (2,310) (2.05) 12.14 (0.23)

CALABARZON 7,714 8,620 906 11.74 0.95 0.09

MIMAROPA 36,248 22,796 (13,452) (37.11) 2.51 (1.33)

Bicol 70,519 85,275 14,756 20.93 9.38 1.46

Western Visayas 24,300 7,717 (16,583) (68.24) 0.85 (1.64)

Central Visayas 3,081 1,535 (1,546) (50.18) 0.17 (0.15)

Eastern Visayas 33,235 25,184 (8,051) (24.22) 2.77 (0.80)



Davao Region 27,712 24,433 (3,279) (11.83) 2.69 (0.32)

SOCCSKSARGEN 76,312 19,700 (56,612) (74.18) 2.17 (5.59)

Caraga 25,538 38,296 12,758 49.96 4.21 1.26

ARMM 96,285 15,053 (81,232) (84.37) 1.66 (8.02)

NIR 14,633 12,261 (2,372) (16.21) 1.35 (0.23)

HARVEST AREA (Ha)

PHILIPPINES 329,780 273,041 (56,739) (17.21) 100.00 (17.21)

CAR 7,963 5,415 (2,548) (32.00) 1.98 (0.77)

Ilocos 29,665 31,296 1,631 5.50 11.46 0.49

Cagayan Valley 53,480 77,334 23,854 44.60 28.32 7.23

Central Luzon 19,494 19,486 (8) (0.04) 7.14 (0.00)

CALABARZON 3,552 3,386 (166) (4.67) 1.24 (0.05)

MIMAROPA 8,492 5,721 (2,771) (32.63) 2.10 (0.84)

Bicol 24,446 27,608 3,162 12.94 10.11 0.96

Western Visayas 7,825 2,977 (4,848) (61.96) 1.09 (1.47)

Central Visayas 5,225 2,797 (2,428) (46.47) 1.02 (0.74)

Eastern Visayas 21,083 16,813 (4,270) (20.25) 6.16 (1.29)

Zamboanga Peninsula 5,612 5,534 (78) (1.39) 2.03 (0.02)


Davao Region 23,827 22,309 (1,518) (6.37) 8.17 (0.46)

SOCCSKSARGEN 32,672 10,458 (22,214) (67.99) 3.83 (6.74)

Caraga 8,758 11,643 2,885 32.94 4.26 0.87

ARMM 46,427 8,563 (37,865) (81.56) 3.14 (11.48)

NIR 9,594 8,648 (946) (9.86) 3.17 (0.29)

YIELD/ HA (MT)

PHILIPPINES 3.07 3.33 0.26 8.48

CAR 4.04 4.26 0.22 5.53

Ilocos 5.45 5.52 0.07 1.28

Cagayan Valley 4.44 4.03 (0.41) (9.26)

Central Luzon 5.78 5.67 (0.12) (2.01)

CALABARZON 2.17 2.55 0.37 17.22

MIMAROPA 4.27 3.98 (0.28) (6.65)

Bicol 2.88 3.09 0.20 7.07

Western Visayas 3.11 2.59 (0.51) (16.53)

Central Visayas 0.59 0.55 (0.04) (6.93)

Eastern Visayas 1.58 1.50 (0.08) (4.98)

Zamboanga Peninsula 1.76 2.03 0.26 14.88


Davao Region 1.16 1.10 (0.07) (5.83)

SOCCSKSARGEN 2.34 1.88 (0.45) (19.35)

Caraga 2.92 3.29 0.37 12.80

ARMM 2.07 1.76 (0.32) (15.23)

NIR 1.53 1.42 (0.11) (7.04)


a/ - Standing crop

(1)

I tem

April-June


Change

Percent share

% Point

Contrib'nApr'16 rd / 2015

14

Table 2.3 Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region, Philippines, January-June, 2015-2016

Apr'16 rd Level %

(2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)

PRODUCTION (MT)

PHILIPPINES 3,380,773 2,826,136 (554,638) (16.41) 100.00 (16.41)

CAR 125,308 91,780 (33,528) (26.76) 3.25 (0.99)

Ilocos 473,971 488,625 14,654 3.09 17.29 0.43

Cagayan Valley 966,495 891,674 (74,820) (7.74) 31.55 (2.21)

Central Luzon 243,985 222,009 (21,976) (9.01) 7.86 (0.65)

CALABARZON 25,787 29,607 3,820 14.81 1.05 0.11

MIMAROPA 91,155 75,012 (16,143) (17.71) 2.65 (0.48)

Bicol 128,644 140,500 11,856 9.22 4.97 0.35

Western Visayas 96,478 53,459 (43,019) (44.59) 1.89 (1.27)

Central Visayas 17,929 12,271 (5,658) (31.56) 0.43 (0.17)

Eastern Visayas 44,486 37,687 (6,799) (15.28) 1.33 (0.20)



Davao Region 72,563 66,558 (6,005) (8.28) 2.36 (0.18)

SOCCSKSARGEN 331,019 224,337 (106,682) (32.23) 7.94 (3.16)

Caraga 26,370 39,814 13,444 50.98 1.41 0.40

ARMM 287,553 87,644 (199,909) (69.52) 3.10 (5.91)

NIR 50,437 43,472 (6,965) (13.81) 1.54 (0.21)

HARVEST AREA (Ha)

PHILIPPINES 1,045,037 902,290 (142,747) (13.66) 100.00 (13.66)

CAR 30,722 27,702 (3,020) (9.83) 3.07 (0.29)

Ilocos 83,202 85,192 1,990 2.39 9.44 0.19

Cagayan Valley 214,910 211,677 (3,233) (1.50) 23.46 (0.31)

Central Luzon 40,574 40,712 138 0.34 4.51 0.01

CALABARZON 11,664 11,099 (565) (4.84) 1.23 (0.05)

MIMAROPA 20,134 17,913 (2,221) (11.03) 1.99 (0.21)

Bicol 54,270 55,957 1,687 3.11 6.20 0.16

Western Visayas 27,380 17,578 (9,802) (35.80) 1.95 (0.94)

Central Visayas 25,517 18,849 (6,668) (26.13) 2.09 (0.64)

Eastern Visayas 28,341 24,946 (3,395) (11.98) 2.76 (0.32)



Davao Region 52,739 54,389 1,650 3.13 6.03 0.16

SOCCSKSARGEN 127,272 93,390 (33,882) (26.62) 10.35 (3.24)

Caraga 9,204 12,380 3,176 34.51 1.37 0.30

ARMM 129,037 54,034 (75,004) (58.13) 5.99 (7.18)

NIR 34,804 33,186 (1,618) (4.65) 3.68 (0.15)

YIELD/ HA (MT)

PHILIPPINES 3.24 3.13 (0.10) (3.18)

CAR 4.08 3.31 (0.77) (18.77)

Ilocos 5.70 5.74 0.04 0.68

Cagayan Valley 4.50 4.21 (0.28) (6.33)

Central Luzon 6.01 5.45 (0.56) (9.32)

CALABARZON 2.21 2.67 0.46 20.66

MIMAROPA 4.53 4.19 (0.34) (7.51)

Bicol 2.37 2.51 0.14 5.92

Western Visayas 3.52 3.04 (0.48) (13.69)

Central Visayas 0.70 0.65 (0.05) (7.35)

Eastern Visayas 1.57 1.51 (0.06) (3.75)

Zamboanga Peninsula 1.78 1.79 0.01 0.31


Davao Region 1.38 1.22 (0.15) (11.06)

SOCCSKSARGEN 2.60 2.40 (0.20) (7.64)

Caraga 2.87 3.22 0.35 12.25

ARMM 2.23 1.62 (0.61) (27.21)

NIR 1.45 1.31 (0.14) (9.61)


(1)

I tem% Point

Contrib'n2015 Estimates2016 Forecasts

Change

January-June

Percent shareApr'16 rd / 2015

15

Table 2.4 Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region, Philippines, July-September, 2015-2016

Apr'16 rd b/ Level %

(2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)

PRODUCTION (MT)

PHILIPPINES 2,406,989 2,657,275 250,285 10.40 100.00 10.40

CAR 86,918 95,562 8,644 9.94 3.60 0.36

Ilocos 9,432 9,932 500 5.30 0.37 0.02

Cagayan Valley 604,103 663,660 59,556 9.86 24.98 2.47

Central Luzon 23,716 22,077 (1,639) (6.91) 0.83 (0.07)

CALABARZON 12,436 32,008 19,572 157.38 1.20 0.81

MIMAROPA 24,276 21,180 (3,096) (12.75) 0.80 (0.13)

Bicol 65,966 74,641 8,675 13.15 2.81 0.36

Western Visayas 84,627 77,158 (7,469) (8.83) 2.90 (0.31)

Central Visayas 63,267 64,803 1,536 2.43 2.44 0.06

Eastern Visayas 20,108 20,548 440 2.19 0.77 0.02



Davao Region 73,427 95,110 21,683 29.53 3.58 0.90

SOCCSKSARGEN 483,623 498,887 15,264 3.16 18.77 0.63

Caraga 34,288 30,365 (3,923) (11.44) 1.14 (0.16)

ARMM 182,766 285,709 102,943 56.33 10.75 4.28

NIR 77,629 85,518 7,889 10.16 3.22 0.33

HARVEST AREA (Ha)

PHILIPPINES 882,402 972,859 90,458 10.25 100.00 10.25

CAR 26,601 26,780 179 0.67 2.75 0.02

Ilocos 2,477 2,574 97 3.92 0.26 0.01

Cagayan Valley 151,978 158,294 6,316 4.16 16.27 0.72

Central Luzon 5,640 5,466 (174) (3.09) 0.56 (0.02)

CALABARZON 6,135 12,308 6,173 100.62 1.27 0.70

MIMAROPA 7,394 6,802 (592) (8.01) 0.70 (0.07)

Bicol 31,156 36,287 5,131 16.47 3.73 0.58

Western Visayas 21,392 20,340 (1,052) (4.92) 2.09 (0.12)

Central Visayas 71,772 72,427 655 0.91 7.44 0.07

Eastern Visayas 14,270 14,241 (29) (0.20) 1.46 (0.00)



Davao Region 52,795 61,409 8,614 16.32 6.31 0.98

SOCCSKSARGEN 154,860 158,425 3,565 2.30 16.28 0.40

Caraga 12,645 11,103 (1,542) (12.19) 1.14 (0.17)

ARMM 76,645 112,730 36,085 47.08 11.59 4.09

NIR 51,104 49,385 (1,719) (3.36) 5.08 (0.19)

YIELD/ HA (MT)

PHILIPPINES 2.73 2.73 0.00 0.13

CAR 3.27 3.57 0.30 9.21

Ilocos 3.81 3.86 0.05 1.33

Cagayan Valley 3.97 4.19 0.22 5.48

Central Luzon 4.20 4.04 (0.17) (3.95)

CALABARZON 2.03 2.60 0.57 28.29

MIMAROPA 3.28 3.11 (0.17) (5.16)

Bicol 2.12 2.06 (0.06) (2.85)

Western Visayas 3.96 3.79 (0.16) (4.11)

Central Visayas 0.88 0.89 0.01 1.50




Davao Region 1.39 1.55 0.16 11.36

SOCCSKSARGEN 3.12 3.15 0.03 0.83

Caraga 2.71 2.73 0.02 0.86

ARMM 2.38 2.53 0.15 6.29

NIR 1.52 1.73 0.21 14.00



(1)

I tem

July-September


Change

Percent share

% Point

Contrib'nApr'16 rd / 2015

16

Table 2.5 Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region, Philippines, January-September, 2015-2016

Apr'16 rd Level %

(2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)

PRODUCTION (MT)

PHILIPPINES 5,787,762 5,483,410 (304,352) (5.26) 100.00 (5.26)

CAR 212,226 187,342 (24,884) (11.73) 3.42 (0.43)

Ilocos 483,403 498,557 15,154 3.13 9.09 0.26

Cagayan Valley 1,570,598 1,555,334 (15,264) (0.97) 28.36 (0.26)

Central Luzon 267,701 244,086 (23,615) (8.82) 4.45 (0.41)

CALABARZON 38,223 61,615 23,392 61.20 1.12 0.40

MIMAROPA 115,431 96,192 (19,239) (16.67) 1.75 (0.33)

Bicol 194,610 215,141 20,531 10.55 3.92 0.35

Western Visayas 181,105 130,617 (50,488) (27.88) 2.38 (0.87)

Central Visayas 81,196 77,074 (4,122) (5.08) 1.41 (0.07)

Eastern Visayas 64,594 58,235 (6,359) (9.84) 1.06 (0.11)



Davao Region 145,990 161,668 15,678 10.74 2.95 0.27

SOCCSKSARGEN 814,642 723,224 (91,418) (11.22) 13.19 (1.58)

Caraga 60,658 70,179 9,521 15.70 1.28 0.16

ARMM 470,319 373,353 (96,966) (20.62) 6.81 (1.68)

NIR 128,066 128,990 924 0.72 2.35 0.02

HARVEST AREA (Ha)

PHILIPPINES 1,927,439 1,875,150 (52,289) (2.71) 100.00 (2.71)

CAR 57,323 54,482 (2,841) (4.96) 2.91 (0.15)

Ilocos 85,679 87,766 2,087 2.44 4.68 0.11

Cagayan Valley 366,888 369,970 3,083 0.84 19.73 0.16

Central Luzon 46,214 46,178 (36) (0.08) 2.46 (0.00)

CALABARZON 17,799 23,407 5,608 31.51 1.25 0.29

MIMAROPA 27,528 24,715 (2,813) (10.22) 1.32 (0.15)

Bicol 85,426 92,244 6,818 7.98 4.92 0.35

Western Visayas 48,772 37,918 (10,854) (22.25) 2.02 (0.56)

Central Visayas 97,289 91,276 (6,013) (6.18) 4.87 (0.31)

Eastern Visayas 42,611 39,187 (3,424) (8.04) 2.09 (0.18)



Davao Region 105,534 115,798 10,264 9.73 6.18 0.53

SOCCSKSARGEN 282,132 251,815 (30,317) (10.75) 13.43 (1.57)

Caraga 21,849 23,483 1,634 7.48 1.25 0.08

ARMM 205,682 166,763 (38,919) (18.92) 8.89 (2.02)

NIR 85,908 82,571 (3,337) (3.88) 4.40 (0.17)

YIELD/ HA (MT)

PHILIPPINES 3.00 2.92 (0.08) (2.62)

CAR 3.70 3.44 (0.26) (7.12)

Ilocos 5.64 5.68 0.04 0.68

Cagayan Valley 4.28 4.20 (0.08) (1.80)

Central Luzon 5.79 5.29 (0.51) (8.75)

CALABARZON 2.15 2.63 0.48 22.58

MIMAROPA 4.19 3.89 (0.30) (7.18)

Bicol 2.28 2.33 0.05 2.38

Western Visayas 3.71 3.44 (0.27) (7.23)

Central Visayas 0.83 0.84 0.01 1.18

Eastern Visayas 1.52 1.49 (0.03) (1.97)



Davao Region 1.38 1.40 0.01 0.92

SOCCSKSARGEN 2.89 2.87 (0.02) (0.53)

Caraga 2.78 2.99 0.21 7.65

ARMM 2.29 2.24 (0.05) (2.09)

NIR 1.49 1.56 0.07 4.79


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I tem% Point

Contrib'n

January-September

2016 ForecastsChange

Percent share2015 Estimates Apr'16 rd / 2015

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