planning, policy and governmental affairs september 24…

PLANNING, POLICY AND GOVERNMENTAL AFFAIRS SEPTEMBER 24, 2021

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SUBJECT Impact of Delta Variant on Public Education (K-20)

APPLICABLE STATUTE, RULE, OR POLICY Idaho Code § 33-3730

BACKGROUND/DISCUSSION Dr. Kathy Turner, Deputy State Epidemiologist at Idaho’s Division of Public Health will provide a brief data update on COVID-19 in Idaho. The presidents of Idaho’s public four-year institutions will provide their own current assessment of COVID-19 data points and what public health measures are in place on their respective campuses. Additionally, Andy Grover of the Idaho Association of School Administrators will provide an overview of the current impacts on Idaho public schools (K-12).

IMPACT Information provided may inform future action or guidance.

ATTACHMENTS Attachment 1 – Idaho Data Update

STAFF COMMENTS AND RECOMMENDATIONS This will be an opportunity for the full Board to publically hear and discuss COVID-19 data and mitigation measures on campuses.

BOARD ACTION This item is for informational purposes only.

1

Idaho data updateGovernor’s Coronavirus

Work GroupSeptember 13, 2021

PLANNING, POLICY AND GOVERNMENTAL AFFAIRS SEPTEMBER 24, 2021 ATTACHMENT 1

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2y = 25.059x - 1E+06

R² = 0.2387

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Record: December 9, 2020: 2,298 casesMost recent daily high rate: September 17, 2021: 1,730 cases

Most Recent Trend of Total Cases30-day average daily case count: 99914-day average daily case count: 1,134


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3Daily PCR/NAT results received electronically

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Recent increasing trend

December 1, 2020 September 11, 2021

A transmission error resulted ina large hospital system sending2 days worth of data on one day


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4


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5Cases among children 5-12 years: 2021The incidence rate among children 5-12 years reached the highest rate over the

course of the outbreak to 319 cases per 100,000 population.

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Rate per 100KNumber of cases

Week ending Jan. 9 Week ending Sep. 18


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6Cases among teens 13-17 years: 2021The incidence rate among teens 13-17 years was 589 cases per 100,000population last week, the highest rate over the course of the outbreak.

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Rate per 100KNumber of cases

Week ending Jan. 9 Week ending Sep. 18


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7


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8 717patients

192patients


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9COVID-19 patients on ventilator: last 30 days

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12/18/2020: 63 patients


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10Proportion of ICU stays: 2021 complete months

704

384

488

428

295

180

271

716

18.3%15.9% 16.6% 16.1% 18.0%

15.6%

22.9% 22.9%

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January February March April May June July August*

Num

ber of hospital admissions

Perc

ent o

f adm

issi

ons

that

incl

ude

an IC

U st

ay

Admissions Percent of ICU stays

*Data are preliminary


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11Deaths by age group: mid-April – third week of September

3.2%

40.8%

56.0%

2020

18-49 50-79 80+

7.3%

58.6%

34.2%

2021

18-49 50-79 80+


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12Vaccine breakthrough cases

5,605 Cases

Or approximately 0.73% of fullyvaccinated people

512 Variantsof public health interest or concern

Variant CountAlpha 26Beta 1Delta 355Gamma 4Iota 1Mu 5


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13

515

1321 1292

1543

568

24884 341 20 85 125 151 159 865 2870 1329

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January February March April May June July August* September*

Month of Vaccination Month of Illness

Comparison of Month Vaccination Completed and Month of Illness

*Through September 18

Avg time between vaccination and illness: 136 days


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14Vaccine Type

7%

35%

57%

11%

29%

60%

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Janssen Moderna PfizerVaccinated Idahoans Vaccinated Cases

Vaccine Type Among Vaccine Breakthrough Cases vs. Vaccinated Idahoans


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15Rates by vaccination status since May 15Event Total Total Fully Vaccinated

July 17 (mid-date)Rate Among Fully

Vaccinated

Cases 5,319 681,931 780.0 / 100,000Fully Vaccinated

Hospitalizations 186 681,931 27.3 / 100,000Fully Vaccinated

Deaths 57 681,931 8.4 / 100,000Fully Vaccinated

Event Total Total Not Fully VaccinatedJuly 17 (mid-date)

Rate Among Not FullyVaccinated

Cases 46,787 1,157,175 4,043 / 100,000Not Fully Vaccinated

Hospitalizations 1,942 1,157,175 167.8 / 100,000Not Fully Vaccinated

Deaths 457 1,157,175 39.5 / 100,000Not Fully Vaccinated

Population of Idaho: 1,839,106 (2020 US Census)

People who arevaccinated are

over 6 times lesslikely to be

hospitalized forCOVID-19 if theybecome infected

However, they areover 5 times lesslikely to become

infected in the firstplace

RR:

5.2

6.2

4.7


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16Vaccination status of cases May 15 – Sep 11

4,416,10.1%

39,256, 89.9%

Cases

Fully VaccinatedNot Fully Vaccinated

164,8.9%

1,683, 91.1%

Hospitalizations


43,12.0%

316, 88.0%

Deaths


Fully vaccinated:

SARS-CoV-2 was detected ≥14 days after receiving the second dose of a 2-dose series or a dose of 1-dose COVID-19 vaccine, with no history of a positive PCR test in the 45 days prior.

24,8.6%

256, 91.4%

ICU Stays



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17Take away from the rate ratio calculations

During May 15 – September 11 there wereabout:• 34,800 cases,• 1,500 hospitalizations, and• 250 deaths

That likely would not have occurred if thepopulation were fully vaccinated


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planning, policy and governmental affairs september 24…

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