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Polar Networking A View from Layer 1 Presented to the NITRD JET by Patrick Smith NSF/OPP/AIL 21 May 2019 1

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Page 1: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Polar NetworkingA View from Layer 1

Presented to the NITRD JET by

Patrick Smith

NSF/OPP/AIL

21 May 2019

1

Page 2: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite CommunicationsConstruction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous communications satellites are between $200M to $600M. Service lifetimes are nominally 15 years. Satellite operators place satellites in global regions and target service where revenue will be generated to produce a positive return on investment for shareholders:

• Land masses with high population densities• Global shipping and airline routes• FCC requires operators to provide service between 70°N to 55°S

• Latitude > 54°S (Tierra del Fuego) Not many people Not many ships Not many aircraft NO SUBSTANTIVE REVENUE

World population distribution by latitude and longitude - 2015

Global shipping route maritime traffic density

Global air route airline traffic density

∴ 𝑂𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠 𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑦 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑖𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝐴𝑟𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑐 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑛𝑜𝑡 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑧𝑒𝑑 𝑡𝑜 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒 𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑡𝑜 𝐴𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑟𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎

2

Page 3: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Conventional Geostationary Earth Orbit (GEO) satellites cannot provide coverage at latitudes greater than ± 81°At greater latitudes, the satellite is obscured by the Earth’s horizon.

Polar Region Satellite Communications Basics

3

Page 4: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Global Fiber Cable Connectivity Basics

TeleGeography Submarine Cable Map of the Worldhttps://www.submarinecablemap.com/

Not Much

NOTHING!

4

+ ~,c111~ Oc~an

~0u1hern Oc@ n ->

Arc:t c Oce1m .\retie Ocran Arel c Ocenn.

Page 5: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

The North

5

)

7

" UP

-= Cl ■

Page 6: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Undersea Cables Important to the Arctic

6

Qu·n llio11 , b _ ble N l or RFS: 2017 December Cable Length: 1,900 m Owners: Quin Ilion URL: http:/ /www.Qexpressnet.com Landing Points • Kotzebue, AK, United States • Nome, AK, United Sta es • Point Hope, AK, United States • Prudhoe Bay, AK, United States • Utqiagvik, AK, United States • Wainwright, AK, Uni ted Stat

,,

~ ·

I n RFS: 2009 March Cable Length: ,780 km Owners: TELE Greenland URL: http://www.telepost.gl Landing Points • Landeyjar, Iceland • M ilton, L, Canada

uuk, Greenland • Qaqortoq, Greenland

Greenl nd Connect North RFS: 2017 December Cable l ength: 680 km Owners: TELE Greenland URL: http://www.telepost.gl Landing Points

Aasiaat, Greenland Mani itsoq, Greenland Nuuk, Green land Sisimiut, Greenland

Svalbard Undersea Cabl System RFS : 2004January Cable Length : 2,714 km Owners: Telenor landing Points

Breiv1ka, Norway Longyearbyen, Sva lbard, orway

Page 7: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Alaska United EastRFS: 1999 FebruaryCable Length: 3,751 kmOwners: GCIURL: http://www.alaskaunited.comLanding Points• Juneau, AK, United States• Lynnwood, WA, United States• Valdez, AK, United States• Whittier, AK, United States

NorthStarRFS: 1999 OctoberCable Length: 3,229 kmOwners: Alaska CommunicationsURL: https://www.alaskacommunications.comLanding Points• Hillsboro, OR, United States• Lena Point, AK, United States• Valdez, AK, United States• Whittier, AK, United States

Alaska United WestRFS: 2004 JuneCable Length: 2,485 kmOwners: GCIURL: http://www.alaskaunited.comLanding Points• Seward, AK, United States• Warrenton, OR, United States

Quintillion Subsea Cable Network

ACS Alaska-Oregon Network (AKORN)RFS: 2009 AprilCable Length: 3,000 kmOwners: Alaska CommunicationsURL: https://www.alaskacommunications.comLanding Points• Anchorage, AK, United States• Florence, OR, United States• Homer, AK, United States• Nikiski, AK, United States

Anchorage, Fairbanks and Prudhoe Bay are interconnected by terrestrial fiber along the Alyeskapipeline route

7

C ukchr Sea

0

0

iea

or9 o<o

0

Beau·o a " I

Page 8: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

More on Quintillion

8

RUSSIA

PHASE a

Wainwright Utqiagvik Point Hope

Kotzebue

Alaska

Prudhoe Bay

Quintillion Terrestrial Line RFS 2017

Existing Systems

Page 9: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Longyearbyen

Ny Alesund

9

Thule AFB Kangerlussuaq

Page 10: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

The South

10

I: •1u:

.... ..

• = Cl -

Page 11: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

PalmerStation

SouthPole

Station

McMurdoStation

AucklandNZ

SydneyAU

PerthAU

PuntaArenas

CL

0°West East|

US Antarctic Program

• The National program in Antarctica• NSF assigned Executive Manager by Presidential

Memorandum• Three year-round stations• Active & influential presence expressed via

science research

11

Page 12: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

USAP Global Wide Area Private Network

• Centennial: 2 x 200 Mbps• McMurdo: 18/10 Mbps• Palmer: 6 Mbps• South Pole:

• 2 x 7 kbps• 1.5 Mbps• 5/225 Mbps• 30/10 Mbps

• Port Hueneme: 20 Mbps• Christchurch: 100 Mbps• Punta Arenas: 10 Mbps• Charleston: 6 Mbps• Alexandria: 20 Mbps

12

Sal~llit~ Constallati011

Centennial co Temporary

kyn tTermlnal

Temporary O Terminal

Optus Lockridge, WA

Teleport

Black I • elecom Facility

Leidos Leased Facility Alex.andria, VA

Naval Information Warfare Center Charleston, SC

USAP Facility Punta Arenas

CL

Palmer Station

Page 13: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Satellites Supporting US Antarctic Program’s Layer 1

13

Maritime Sa tellites lnmarsat 5-F2 lnmarsat 4-Fl lnmarsat 4-F3

~- ·-. \'-!~ . ": ..... . ' .'."'::.-.-.- ..... '.'.'. ·.·. ·. '.'.' .. _. .. .': .·: .- ,'. . • ...... ' ..... · · ········· ' ., . . ' . .. ..... .. . .. ' ...

• • • ' ••• ' • ••••••••••• - • •• • '' ••••• ••••• ••• •••• ••••••• • • ·.·.·.·.·.·.·.'.··:•:-.~:-:·-~·-:·-~-~--~--~--~-::::::✓ . ....

Fixed Satel lites lntelsit IS-23 Optus 0 1

...... '' ..................................... ................ ............................. ... .

Inclined Sate llites NASA TDRS F6 UK Moo Skynet 4C US DoD DSCS 3B7

Page 14: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Research Vessel/Icebreaker Nathaniel B. Palmer

• Deck space limits practical antenna size to ~ 1m

• Satellite availability limits coverage and capacity

• High Rate is modest (2 Mbps/512 kbps)• OPEX can be an issue

Maritime Networking Constraints

14

Gap in USAP ship operating region

Low data rate region

High data rate region

Low data rate region

Typical USAP ship operating region

Page 15: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

South Pole Challenge – Big Science – Big Data

AstronomyCosmology – Echoes of the Big Bang

AstrophysicsIce Cube Neutrino Telescope

10 TB/day by 2027-ish

!

South Pole Telescope

CMB S4 TelescopeProposed

15

• Actuill Request (Bytes/Oily) • Estimilted Projection (Bytes/Oily) _ 500bn - - ---- --- -- -

f ' 4ibn 492bn 492bn 4921Ml

€ j I 4G0bn I I

I 317bn I ) 300bn • I

, . I E I

! 222hn 223~ I -..- 1! 21l5bn 210bn · .. I ._ , .. . _._ ·. , r~ ... ~~ 1 ,-~'"-i .. U,7bl\ 197bn 1·.

I .

-• I • I

i IOCbn I

-ttobn- • t I "' I 'ii

€ Obn Obn Obn Obn Obn Ooo Obn 0 1n Obn Obn Obn Obn "" Obn ..

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Year

Page 16: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Challenge: Networking by the Clock…

16

0000 UTC 0600 UTC

: -~- - fllll':-

1800 UTC 1200 UTC

bind 1p, 0.64, 3

Skyn t·4C

Sout h Pol S1t1II te Co111r.11 Sync:hron Zlt lon with Time lon (A.u1tr1l umm r: ID c 201 }

Wd b nd

, a, l "'

0v 1l1p •.

Wld band •P, .0 , U 'Ht

DSCS 87, l .19, !I .

yn I 4 Overlap, 1.. 18, 129'

2. , 1 "

dG1p, 0.

Page 17: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Present Day South Pole Science Data Exfiltration

Max Daily Capability = ~ 470 GB/day

17

SPTR-2 Daily Transfer (Bytes) by Date and Project ID SOObn ------~-----------------------------------

41 . 'iii' I ~ 300bn -: - --+-ff-I+-+' +----~--+--------------,- ---++------+,---+--------,--------+-----IH-

f . C l! l-.::-2oobn _. ------t-----lllltttHll------,-~..._. .... _ ~--+----+-+-----t~+--- ---+

ta C

100bn

I I t I

I , i l II I I I I I I I I I

Jul2016 Jan 2.017 Jul2017 Jan 2018 Jul2018 Jan 2019

Project ID

• A-107-S

A-111-S

• A-119-S

• A-128-S

• A-149-S

• A-333-S

• A-365-S

• A-379-S

• DB_Rep_Data

• 0-257-S

Page 18: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Slicing the Bandwidth Salami at McMurdo

18

• The present McMurdo Station service just fits into one satellite transponder

Page 19: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

McMurdo Station Network Bandwidth History

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

19

83

19

84

19

85

19

86

19

87

19

88

19

89

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

20

04

20

07

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

Ban

dw

idth

(M

bp

s)

Year

McM Inbound Bandwidth (kbps) McM Outbound Bandwidth (kbps)

Jan 1983

Observation Hill

Internet

1.2 kbps

May 1985

Blk. Is

Internet

4.8 kbps

Feb 1989

Blk. Is

Internet

9.6 kbps

Feb 1992

Blk. Is

Internet

1 Mbps

Feb 1993

Blk. Is

Internet

1.5 Mbps

Feb 2004

Blk. Is

Internet

3 Mbps

Dec 2007

Blk. Is

Internet

8 Mbps

Jam 2010

Blk. Is

Internet

10 Mbps

Jan 2011

Blk. Is

Internet

18 Mbps In

10 Mbps Out

19

■ ■

I I I I I I _________ l

I I I I I I I I ________________ !

I I I I I I I _____________ l

Page 20: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

20

At Home

At McMurdo

A Note on the UXMeeting the needs of a small town of 1,000 people with bandwidth available in remote, rural America…

"' 30 H C: 0

t "' 20 H .... ., C.

.!'.: 10 H ..; .a

0

Inbound ■ Outbound ■ WAIi Link ■ WAIi Link

WAN Link Optimized Bandwidth - McMurdo

Fro11

Current : 24. 38 11 Aver11ge: Current : 11 . 54 M Average:

Physical Limit Download Physical Limit . Upload

19 .88 M 9.20 M

2018/U/08

Maxi11u11 : Maxi11u11 :

WAN Link Bandwidth - McMurdo

Fro11

Current : 15 , 65 M Average: Current : 8 . 19 M Average:

Physical Limit Download Physical Limit . Upload

To 2018/12/08

15, 2 M MaXl.llUII l

6,29 M MaXJ.IIUll l

34.16 11 Total In : 1.4 TB 11 . 68 M Total Out: 649,73 GB

17.76 M Total In: 1 . 09 TB 8 . 61 M Total Out: 444.23 GB

Page 21: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Questions?

21

Photograph By:Joshua SwansonDate: July 9, 2016Source: https://photolibrary.usap.gov/#3-1

The Aurora Australis and the Milky Way shine over Black Island in the middle of winter. Black Island is a telecommunications facility that provides internet, phone and television services for McMurdo Station, about 25 miles away.

Page 22: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Backup

22

Page 23: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Prospective NewSpace Satcom Operators

23

It’s been a busy time at the FCC … Filings totaling 14,536 potential satellites received in recent years

Sample of Filings - License applications and petitions for U.S. market access for communications systems filed with the FCC since January 2014

1. The Boeing Company

Communications 6. Space Exploration Holdings LLC (SpaceX)

Communications

2. LeoSat MA, Inc Communications 7. Space Norway AS Communications

3. New Spectrum Satellite, Ltd.

Communications, Direct-to-Home

8. Telesat Canada Communications

4. O3b Limited (SES) Communications 9. ViaSat, Inc. Communications

5. Kepler Communications

Communications 10.WorldVu Satellites Limited (OneWeb)

Communications

Space Exploration

Holdings LLC (Spac,eX)

LEO

Wor1ldVu Satelllites Limited

(OneWeb) MEO

720 ---'_~14:o;__.,,.......;1..,;,1.,;_1_,___1_12 ___ 1_s ___ 60 30 24

WorldVu Kepler Telesat Theia LeoSat MA, THE BOEING O3b Limited ViaSat, Inc. Satellites Communic .... Canada LEO Ho ldings A, Inc LEO COMPANY (SES) MEO M EO Limited LEO Inc. LEO HEO

(OneWeb) LEO

11 5 112 3 2 14536

New Karousel LLC Audacy Space Total Spectrum HEO Corporation Norway AS

S.atell ite, Ltd MEO HEO HEO (TAP)

Page 24: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

NewSpace Examples that Support the Polar Regions

24

• > $10B total cost

$1B in capital raised• Constellation size:

Initial: 4,728 satellites

Extended: 7,518 satellites

• Deployed in stages

Expect polar coverage ≥ 2025+

• Different orbit planes tailored to geographic coverage

• 2 test satellites in orbit

• > $? total cost

$20M in Canadian Govcommitments

Looking for investment partners

• 117 satellites

• Planned start of service: 2021

• Different orbit planes tailored to geographic coverage

• 1 test satellite in orbit

• Spectrum rights at issue

• Optical inter-satellite links

• Gigabit networking

• Spectrum rights secure• Optical inter-satellite links• Gigabit networking

• $3.6B total cost

Japan JSAT GSO operator a Series A investor

• 78 satellites

• Planned start of service: 2021

• Conducting Series A investment rounds ($100M)

• Series B investment estimated as $175M

• $3.5B total cost

≥ $1.5B investment raised

• 720 satellites

• 1st launch at 10 satellites by 4Q CY2018

• Successive launch cadence of 34-36 satellites per launch every 21 days

• Planned start of service to Alaska in 2019

• $? total cost

$5.1M angel investor seed funding

• 140 satellites

• Test satellite launched Jan 2018

• IoT, M2M service

lli 1<EPLER

, •

SP~CE ~ I

I TBIBSBI I Space Exploration Technologi s

■ ■

■ ■

I I ■ • • •

I I ■ . ■ . ■ •

~ I OneWeb

ACCESS FOR E\IEIYON E

Page 25: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Iridium NEXT

25

• New DoD contract with Iridium to begin October 2019

• Continue fixed cost/unlimited use for low bitrate data

• New metered cost for higher data rates, starting at 352 kbps

• All satellites successfully launched• Full service by mid 2019• Higher data rates (Certus)• New “hosted payload” services

Aircraft tracking, Ship tracking)

• Replenishment and upgrade of current constellation

• 75 new satellites: 66 operational, 9 on-orbit spares

0 8 e • • ' I

Iridium CertussM Reliable. Everywhere.

176 Iridium Certus 200 UIPII

® tCDll.-

@ ~c,,,111

0 et-•-

704 Iridium Certus 700 \QpS

e-, ... -­G,,_~ @-...io.-1WN

@,-

Iridium Cortus 350 @riv•Oi!la~~ i;i! vw .......... ·al.ow~Viko

···:.- iridium· Everywhere

Page 26: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

South Pole Station Satellite Network Connectivity

26

2.4m

3.Sm

◄ ... ■ .................. ..

Multiple Patch Antennas

Skynet-4C

..... .. .. .. ... DSCS 3B-7

. . ... .... .... ··• .. :···· ... NASA TORS F6

◄••·······•

Intel at Airbus Space & Defense RAF Oakhanger, UK

1.5 Mbps bidirectional

International Antarctic Center Christchurch, NZ 10 Mbps Outbound 30 Mbps Inbound

NASA Second TDRSS Ground Terminal White Sands, NM 225Mbps Outbound 5 Mbps Inbound

8 DISA Iridium Gateway Wahiawa, HI

~ 14.2 kbps bidirectional

Page 27: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Notional Satellite Coverage Footprints for DSCS-3B7 and DSCS-3B13Visibility Predictions for DSCS-3B7 for South Pole Station, McMurdo

Station and Christchurch

DEFENSE SATELLITE COMMUNICATIONS SYSTEMDSCS

• A legacy US Military SATCOM system• Generation 3 (DSCS 3) first launched Oct 1982• Now nearly replaced by Wideband Global Satellite

(WGS)• Available for NSF use for Antarctic SATCOM• Operating in highly inclined orbits that enable

direct contact with South Pole Station• To be used for moving 100’s of Gbytes of science

data via the USAP.GOV network• As years pass, the daily contact window at South

Pole increases in timeQ: Why a DSCS satellite ground terminal in NZ?A: NZ can see both satellites made available to NSF

3B7 3B13

Christchurch

Christchurch – South Pole Operational Link Established March, 2016

27

Page 28: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

LegendMcMurdo UploadMcMurdo DownloadUS Household Average Internet SpeedUS Household Peak Average Internet Speed

Mb

ps

How McMurdo SATCOM Bandwidth Compares to Home

28

Comparison of McMurdo SATCOM Bandwidth With US Domestic Internet Trends

,, ,, 85,,".,.,,

,,

75 ... __ ............... ......

...... ...... .,.

,, ,, ,, ,, ,, ,, ,, ,, ,, ,, ,, ,, ,, S1Q/ -·" 44 ---------

20,,,,,,, ... ,..' .,. ,.. .,.

.. ,,' ,,

.,. .. ----------------.,. ... .,. ......

...... _ ...... ---...

_,,,, 4 ---------------- -------- 10 0------------e-,,~ -------------------------------0 ______________ .,.

2008 2009

11 ________________________ l_O_ -----

10 10

-----

,, ,, ,, ,,

,, .,. ,,

Page 29: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

• 2.5: Average US Household Size• 18.75 Mbps: Average US Internet Bandwidth• 7.4 Mbps: Average Per Person, Per Household

Bandwidth• 104 Mbps: Average Peak US Internet Bandwidth• 40 Mbps: Average Per Person, Per Household Peak

Bandwidth

• 871: Average Peak Population (165 are DoD)• 18/10 Mbps: McMurdo Internet Bandwidth

• 0.025/0.014 Mbps (25/14 kbps): Average Per Person Bandwidth

McMurdo is Equivalent to a Small Town Sharing a Single Internet Connection

State-side Household Use Shares a Single Internet Connection

The Reality of Internet in McMurdo

McMurdo to service ~1000 people for base operations, science, medical services, educational outreach, phone service and personal use/morale, 24x7x365, with just a single network connection the size of an average household in middle-America…

29

Page 30: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

This is what the McMurdo Network Ops Center Sees…McMurdo Weekly SITREP: Week Ending 24 Dec 2017

• Lines represent max bandwidth• Red = Inbound• Dark = Outbound

• Green fill represents inbound network traffic, which is the most congested

• Graph “A” shows actual bandwidth use, with total inbound critically approaching the max limit (gaps are maintenance outages)

• Graph “B” shows the “effective” bandwidth after various network traffic optimization steps (compression, content filtering, selective prioritization, etc.)

• We have squeezed better performance out of the basic link, but we’ve hit the limit.

A

B

For good service, the green should rarely peak above here

30

■ Jnboun Curro- : 17 , I Av,:ra9 1 13 1S 1• ■ OutbOUIIII Curr~ t : S . 7 Avu r J S . 17 Muiau • A l llync liai - DIMI\ d ■ liAN Lln~ Phy1ical l tait

7 S?H h t1\ tn· g SlH To at Out ,

---- I ,,

Page 31: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

McMurdo Challenges – Few Options• McMurdo can barely see satellites above the horizon (3.5° is the best elevation clearance of the smooth Earth

horizon)• McMurdo’s location south of Mt. Erebus and the surrounding hills blocks part of the view to the sky where active

satellites are located• Few satellites visible from McMurdo have antenna coverage patterns that cover McMurdo with service• Of the satellites visible with service, even fewer have the high capacity capability that McMurdo needs• This drove the initial McMurdo satellite communications earth station to be located on Black Island

Visibility “footprints” of satellites with theoretical coverage of McMurdo

Mt. Erebus, Elev. 12,448 ft. ASL has an apparent elevation of ~6° as seen from McMurdo Station, blocking the northern sky

The Black Island Telecommunications Facility (BITF), ~ 20 mi south-southwest of McMurdo and far enough from Ross Island so as to see the geosynchronous arc as far east as the 183°E orbit slot before Mt. Erebus blocks the view. There are no current or expected commercial satellites east of this point.

31

GEO Satellite Arc of Interest

1s2°e 1s3"E

tN

Page 32: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

Black Island Telecommunications Facility• First implemented in 1985• Current structures initiated in 1991• 7.2 m antenna

• Commissioned in 1992 @ C-Band• Re-commissioned in 2007 @ Ku-Band

• 11 m antenna• Commissioned in 1995 @ C-Band• Re-commissioned in 2010 @ Ku-Band

• Designed for un-attended operations• Requires crewing in austral summer for maintenance• Inspection and corrective maintenance winter traverses• Services by 20 mile length microwave communications link• Current facility is over 20 years old and has grown piecemeal over the years• Many major subsystems have reached end of life, requiring life cycle replacements (nearly complete)• NSF partner tenants (NOAA) has expressed concern about reliability• USAP Blue Ribbon Panel has cited as a program single point failure• ROM cost to modernize/replace the facility (not earth stations): ~ US $25M

32

Page 33: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

And More Challenges for Winter Ops• Access to Black Island for repairs and service restoration requires an arduous, time-consuming overland traverse• Response times can take up to a week due to weather and surface conditions

33

Substantial Melt Pools

, ..

/ACE ROUTE: 72 mi

Moderate Differential Melt

Melt Pools w/lensing

Evidence of old shallow lenses

Severe Differential Melting

,

Page 34: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

34

1. USAP Blue Ribbon Panel Recommendations (2012)

Action 4.7-5. Assess the risk posture of the Black Island facility and develop and implement a plan to modernize it over the next five years.

§ 4.7.3.4. McMurdo Station Communications and the Black island Telecommunications Facility

3. NOAA SATCOM ServiceNOAA contract providing current McMurdo satellite services permanently ends in Sep 2022

4. NSF USAP Bandwidth Demand GrowthIncreased mission op tempo and increased demand for morale communications are outstripping current network service for McMurdo, despite state-of-art optimization measures. Bandwidth increases are now essential to keep pace with demand.

Drivers for McMurdo change

2. NOAA Sponsored EUMETSAT Antarctic Data AcquisitionA component of the NOAA-EUMETSAT Joint Polar System AgreementSecond Generation Metop environmental satellite launch in Sep 2021 dramatically increases data flow via McMurdo, outstripping current capacity

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Space Data User Community Driving Bandwidth Demand at McMurdo Station

NOAA/JPSS MC2 NOAA/JPSS MC1NASA

Ground Netwoks MG1

Present and Future User• USAF Defense Meteorological

Satellite Program (DMSP)• McMurdo cited in AFSPC/SMC

RFQ as option for ORS-8

Recent New UserNOAA Joint Polar Satellite System

Present Users• EUMETSAT Polar Satellite• NOAA/NASA/NSF – COSMIC• NASA – Polar LEO satellites tasked to NASA Ground Networks

Future Users• EUMETSAT Polar Satellite – Second Generation• NASA – Polar LEO satellites tasked to NASA Ground Networks

35

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McMurdo Commercial Satellite Communications -- Ross Island Earth Station (RIES)

McMurdo SATCOM Modernization Q&A

Q: What is RIES?A: A 13m dia. communications satellite earth station

Q: Where is RIES located?A: At the base of Crater Hill, at the upper reaches of a plateau directly above McMurdo Station

Q: Why build RIES?A: Several reasons:

1. The USAP Blue Ribbon Plan Report cited the current Black Island SATCOM facility as a risk area

2. NSF needs to provide more bandwidth for USAP and its partners (NOAA, NASA) – and a larger antenna facilitates this

3. NSF has determined that it can see modern SATCOM satellites directly from Ross Island, eliminating the need for Black Island’s view

Q: When will RIES be built?A: Site preparation began with drilling and blasting for

earth work in the 2018/19 Austral Summer. The earth station will be installed in the 2020/21 season. It must be completed to begin service by March, 2021.

36

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Page 37: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

New Market Entrant: Intelsat Horizons-3e

Global operator Intelsat has launched the Horizons-3e High Throughput Satellite (HTS) with high capability Ku-Band beam coverage of McMurdo Station

Next Generation Satellites: The Path for the Pacific IslandsRobert Suber, Intelsat; Session 2: Innovation - New Satellite Technologies and Services in the Pacific, Innovations in satellite technology -more cost-effective, better quality and better performance, 10th Policy and Regulation Forum for Pacific (PRFP-10), Nadi, Fiji; Asia Pacific Telecommunity, 25-27 April 2017 ;http://www.apt.int/2017-WS-Satellite , retrieved 4 Nov 2017

McMurdo coverage

37

Horizons 3e a 169"E Honzons 3e

Ovorvlew of tho Satellite

• Joint satellite of Intelsat and JSAT

• Orbital Location: 169.E

• Satellite type: Boeing 702MP with EpicNG high throughput design

• Launch: 2nd half 2018

• In-service: Q3 2019

• Completes the global coverage of the EpicN° fleet in Asia Pacific region

Mission of tho Satellite

• Payload: optimized C-band and high throughput Ku­band capacity

arget region: Asia & Pacific

• Applications:

• arltlm and A ronautlcal

• Government

• Cellular Backhaul

------

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AqualinkRFS: 2001 DecemberCable Length: n.a.Owners: TelstraURL: n.a.Landing Points• Auckland, New Zealand• Canterbury, New Zealand• Manawatu-Wanganui, New Zealand• Marlborough, New Zealand• Taranaki, New Zealand• Waikato, New Zealand• Wellington, New Zealand

Southern Cross Cable Network (SCCN)RFS: 2000 NovemberCable Length: 30,500 kmOwners: Spark New Zealand, SingtelOptus, Verizon, TelstraURL: http://www.southerncrosscables.comLanding Points• Alexandria, Australia• Brookvale, Australia• Hillsboro, OR, United States• Kahe Point, HI, United States• Morro Bay, CA, United States• Spencer Beach, HI, United States• Suva, Fiji• Takapuna, New Zealand• Whenuapai, New Zealand

Tasman Global Access (TGA) CableRFS: 2017 MarchCable Length: 2,288 kmOwners: Spark New Zealand, Vodafone, TelstraURL: n.a.Landing Points• Oxford Falls, Australia• Raglan, New Zealand

HawaikiRFS: 2018 JulyCable Length: 14,000 kmOwners: Hawaiki Cable CompanyURL: http://hawaikicable.co.nzLanding Points• Kapolei, HI, United States• Mangawhai, New Zealand• Pacific City, OR, United States• Pago Pago, American Samoa• Sydney, Australia

Southern Cross NEXTRFS: 2021 Q4Cable Length: 13,700 kmOwners: Spark New Zealand, SingtelOptus, Verizon, TelstraURL: https://www.southerncrosscables.com/Landing Points• Alexandria, Australia• Apia, Samoa• Kiritimati, Kiribati• Los Angeles, CA, United States• Nukunonu, Tokelau• Savusavu, Fiji• Suva, Fiji• Takapuna, New Zealand

Christchurch

Asia Pacific Fiber

38

Australia

If I

Page 39: Polar Networking - A View from Layer 1SATCOM Issues: Polar Regions are not a Market Driver for Commercial Satellite Communications Construction and launch costs for modern geosynchronous

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