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Policing Social Tension: The Long View Cumberland Lodge 2016 Dr Timothy Brain

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Policing Social Tension: The Long View

Cumberland Lodge 2016

Dr Timothy Brain

Alternative: the British Policing model has historically implicitly recognised the use of extreme force in extreme circumstances

‘Social Tension’?

• Stress in society, or sections of society, which are • a consequence of adverse factors

– Economic – Social – racial – political

• which may lead to serious disorder • The social tension may go unnoticed and

unaddressed until after serious disorder has occurred

CoP Public Order Planning and Deployment

?

Riot 12 or more persons Use or threaten Unlawful violence For a common purpose Conduct cause a person of Reasonable firmness To fear for their personal safety

‘Social Tension Curve’

Preconditions

Precipitants

Trigger(s)

Riot Containment/ suppression/ exhaustion/

absence of leadership?

Extended tension (sporadic recurrences)

New normality?/ ‘learn the lessons’

Investigation/ Exemplary sentencing?/

Inquiries(?)

Dynamics

Stone, Le Bon & Brain

Political interventions

Opportunities for avoidance

Uncertain consequences

‘Nurturing the British Policing model’?

• 18th century theories on prevention – quasi social control?

• Value in PO situations apparent as early as 1833

• Consideration of ‘Third Force’ – Special Constables

• An important factor in role out of ‘New Police’ 1835-1856

• Specialist selection and training • Troops (‘Yeomanry’ (early) and

regulars (later) continued to be used in support until 1920s

• Special constables sanctioned but used less in PO situations after 1848 until 1926

Evolution – 1870s-1960s

Transition 1968 ‘Winning by appearing to lose’

1976

1977

1980

1981

Rapid change

ACPO PO Manual 1983

Scarman Report 1981

‘Crisis of legitimacy’

1981

1981

1985

Categories of disorder – by estimated ‘common purpose’

• Political • Sectarian • Labour dispute • Communal (‘Racial’) • Environmental • Anti Police • Football(?) • Social protest • Commodity

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Riots & civil disobedience categories since 1900

1900 1901 1902 1903 1904 1905 1906 1907 1908 1909 1910 1911 1912 1913 1914 1915 1916 1917 1918 1919

Boer War

TDA S 2

Syndicalism

Suffrattes

Lock out

HOC WW1 Russian Rev

Europe Revs

1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 1926 1927 1928 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938

1939

Emg Powers Act

NUWCM

Miners’ Strike

Gen Strike

Cut in benefit

POA 1936

WW2

1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959

Palestine

N C’wealth

Communist Ifit

Short Recession

B’ham & L’pool Pro war

Girmbsy Dock Pehrhyn Quarry

Liverpool Sectarian

Liverpool Sectarian Liverpool Sectarian

Suffragettes Black Friday

S Wales Mining (Tonypandy)

Liverpool Dock

London Dock Strike

Cornish Clay Workers

WW1 anti German

WW1 anti German

Pro Bolshevism (Luton)

Police Strike London

Miners’ Strike S Wales, Yorks,

Violent picketing

General Strike ,2000+ arrests mainly NE

National Unemployed marches Hyde Park;

Liverpool; Old Market (Bristol)

Battle of Cable St (BUF)

White on black Nottingham, Notting

Hill

Somali/Arab/White employment riots

S Shields

Anti Jewish Riots M'chester & L'pool

BUF formed Benefit cut

Unemployed march Liverpool

Unemployed march on Downing St

Pro Bolshevism Sheffield

Wall St NUWM

Unemp marches Bristol, S Wales,

Manchester

Police Strikes x2

Communal x7 (S Shields, L’pool etc

Canadian demob

Unemp marches

Desborough HO Pol Dept Comintern

Blaina

Unemp march peaceful

Oldham, Bradford, Leeds, Burnley

Football x3

1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979

US Civil Rts

V’nam esc

TDA RRA

Radical St u Al

US riots

In PlaceStrife

Ind Rel Act

‘U turn’

Oil shock

Winter of Dis’t

Con elect

1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Recession

Unemp 3m

ACPO PO Man

Miners’ Strike

SA Townships

Com Charge

Rodney King

Los Angeles Rt

Fuel Esc tax

Vancouver APEC

HRA 1998

Seattle

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Cisse case

Iraq War

Recession

HMIC ‘Adapting’

Grosvenor Sq

Saltley Coke Depot

Left v right Red Lion Sq (K Gately) Lewisham

(Shields deployed)

Southall (Blair Peach)

Grunwick

Steel Strike (2ndaries)

St Paul's

Brixton, (London), Toxteth, Moss Side,

Handsworth, + others

Greenham Common

begins

CEGB Devon

Warrington Print

Miners’ Strike Orgreave + others?

'Stonehenge'

Handsworth, Brixton,

Tottenham

Wapping

Op Delivery

Student loans/

anti Thatcher

Dewsbury

Poll Tax riots

Ely (Cardiff)

Castlemorton Common & Twyford Down

Blackburn & Burnley

Blackbird Leys + others

Hartcliffe

Welling ANL

Anti SA Rugby

Reclaim St B'ham & Camden/Shoreham

Disability Rights

Bradford & Brixton

Newbury Bypass

Luton B'ham G8

Carnival Against C'ism

J18

Fuel Dispute

May Day Carnival

Guido Mask Demo

Millwall v B'ham

Trafalgar Sq/Fairford/Menwith

Asian/Balack Lozells, Handsworth

Drax, Mk Pov Hist, Pro Hunting

Heathrow CC

Kingsnorth CC

G20 London/B'heath/

Ratcliffe W Ham v M'wall

Students

Stock Exchnage/Occupy

Bristol Tescos

Tottenham

August 2011

Sussex Fracking

GK Riots/2.5 m unemp

Notting Hill

3rd Miners’ strike

NI Civ Rts ‘Rivers of

Blood’ MP Com Rel Dept

-15.00

-10.00

-5.00

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00 1

90

0

19

03

19

06

19

09

19

12

19

15

19

18

19

21

19

24

19

27

19

30

19

33

19

36

19

39

19

42

19

45

19

48

19

51

19

54

19

57

19

60

19

63

19

66

19

69

19

72

19

75

19

78

19

81

19

84

19

87

19

90

19

93

19

96

19

99

20

02

20

05

20

08

20

11

20

14

An

nu

al %

UK Unemployment and GDP Rates since 1900

GDP % Unemployment %

War

Oil Shock, Miners’ strike, 3 day week

Wall St crash

Suez

Labour elected

Coalition

National Government

War War War

Heath U turn Conservatives elected

Liberal landslide

Lloyd George budget

SPG formed RMS Windrush

First black officer recruited

Mugging panic

-15.00

-10.00

-5.00

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00 1

90

0

19

03

19

06

19

09

19

12

19

15

19

18

19

21

19

24

19

27

19

30

19

33

19

36

19

39

19

42

19

45

19

48

19

51

19

54

19

57

19

60

19

63

19

66

19

69

19

72

19

75

19

78

19

81

19

84

19

87

19

90

19

93

19

96

19

99

20

02

20

05

20

08

20

11

20

14

An

nu

al %

UK Unemployment and GDP Rates since 1900

GDP % Unemployment %

Miners’ Strike S Wales, Yorks,

Violent picketing

Girmbsy Dock Pehrhyn Quarry

Blaina

Pro Bolshevism (Luton) Police Strikes (x2)

Communal (x7)

General Strike ,2000+ arrests mainly NE

National Unemployed Marches Hyde Park;

Liverpool; Old Market (Bristol)

White on black Nottingham, Notting

Hill

Saltley Coke Depot

Steel Strike (2ndaries)

Warrington Print

Miners’ Strike Orgreave + others?

Wapping

S Wales Mining (Tonypandy)

London Dock

August 2011

Police Strike London

Liverpool Dock Grunwick

Cornish Clay Workers

Unemp marches Bristol, S Wales,

Manchester

-15.00

-10.00

-5.00

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00 1

90

0

19

03

19

06

19

09

19

12

19

15

19

18

19

21

19

24

19

27

19

30

19

33

19

36

19

39

19

42

19

45

19

48

19

51

19

54

19

57

19

60

19

63

19

66

19

69

19

72

19

75

19

78

19

81

19

84

19

87

19

90

19

93

19

96

19

99

20

02

20

05

20

08

20

11

20

14

An

nu

al %

UK Unemployment and GDP Rates since 1900

GDP % Unemployment %

Anti Jewish

Notting Hill

Tottenham, etc

Hartcliffe etc

Students

August 2011 Brixton etc

Bradford & Brixton

St Paul’s

Cable St

Notting Hill

Tottenham

Lewisham (Shields deployed)

Tonypandy 1910

Capt Lionel Lindsay (CC 1891-1937)

South Wales 1910

Preconditions • Trades Disputes Act 1906 • Syndicalism - direct political action • ‘Great Unrest’ • 1908 slump; French railways strike • Cut in value of real wages • Series of lock outs and strikes • 1910 heated political environment

Precipitants – autumn 1910 • 1.9.10 Rhondda Ely Pit seem

dispute Lock out • 5.9.10 All Cambrian Collieries

out in sympathy • Oct – official conciliation fails • Oct – French rail strike leaders

arrested • 1.11.10 all Rhondda and

Aberdare pits on strike (30,000) • Llwynypia pit remains

functioning • By management • Lindsay concentrates on

Llwynypia; asks for reinforcements

• AM 7.11.10 crowds gather • At request of magistrates

Lindsay asks for military assistance and mutual aid from Swansea, Cardiff and Bristol

Extended tension • Troops and extra police remain • Rigorous enforcement of picket discipline by ‘the Met’ • Blackleg labour? • 22.11.10 – ‘Battle of Penycraig’ • 23.3.15 - Blaenclydach

New normality – legend Troops delpoyed to Llanelli Aug 1911

‘learn the lessons’ – HOC 1911

Investigation – 530 prosecutions Keir Hardy calls for inquiry; ignored

Political interventions • Churchill criticised for being too conciliatory • Churchill ‘orders’ arrest and prosecutions to

follow; takes credit; deletes subsequent references to ‘vigorous baton charges’

• 21.12.10 – conciliatory(?): summary trials of 13 for intimidation; 1 imprisoned, other variable; offences reduced

Containment/suppression/exhaustion/absence of leadership? • 9.11.10 Troops and police reinforcements arrive • Churchill places all resources under Maj Gen Macready • Troops deployed forward but not used • Picket line disciple resumes; some window breaking • Loss of faith in official leaders

Trigger(s) • 7 pm 7.11.10 – march on Llwynypia gates • common purpose – close powerhouse • 9 pm Gate rushed; line held by 100 police • Attempt at pacification by local leader fails • Diverted from gates to wooden palisade

Riot • Tore it down; stoned police • Lindsay orders(?) baton charge • Bystanders injured • Repeated stoning and baton charges • Powerhouse wrecked but functions • Rioting lasts till midnight

Dynamics • 8.11.10 police and military reinforcements arrive • Conciliation promised at mass meeting • 5 pm youths drinking all day throw stones at collery • Lindsey orders police mounted charge • Charge and counter charge for 2 hours • Miner Samuel Boyce dies of head injuries • Rioters retreat to town square, which they wreck and loot • Spread to Aberaman

The new extremes

2011

2012

‘The New Riot Act’? Dispersal Orders under Anti Social, Crime and Policing Act 2014 + National Decision

Making Model + Tactical Options

Manual

Laporte Judgment Kettling?

Conclusions • Police at fulcrum of social tension since origins of New Police • Police will not be the focus of the political, economic and social

preconditions • May be a contributory precipitant cause, but history does not support that

this is frequently the case • Police are ikely to be involved in the trigger to a riot • Range of preconditions and precipitants have become more varied in late

20th century • Increased incidence in first, third and fourth quarters of 20th century • Anti police may be ‘common purpose’, but rarely before 1975 • Tactical police responses have become increasingly sophisticated • But • Even with the sophistication of the national Decision Making Model etc,

police will be left facing criticism and inquiry in the mid to long term after the events which have occasioned the use of force

• Policing political protest has become a more difficult balancing act since the Laporte judgment