policy context module 2: analysis of policy context

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Module 2: Analysis of Policy Context

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Module 2: Analysis of Policy Context

Overview• To achieve their objectives in the food and

agriculture sector, governments can use:– policies, and– supporting public expenditures

• The MAFAP project focuses on three main monitoring domains:– incentives and disincentives resulting from policies in place– public expenditures, including national budget and aid

flows– performance and development indicators.

Overview (continued)• The two first categories of indicators will require

original analytical work so as to generate new information and core indicators of the MAFAP project

• Third domain rests exclusively on secondary sources of data, indicators and policy studies.

• Whenever possible the intention is to establish broad connections between the policy environment and the performance of the agricultural sector.

proposed description of the policy context

• Brief description of the policy environment including summarized information on policies and policy decisions directly relevant to the food and agricultural sectors,

• Indicators of performance and development in various domains,

• Ancillary indicators relevant to interpreting the indicators on incentives/disincentives and public expenditures.

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• Part 1: Background – Description of the economy, and the agricultural economy – F&A policy environment & political economy

• Part 2: Findings based on in-depth analysis of agricultural and food policies and public investment in agriculture– Analysis of price incentives and disincentives in agriculture and

degree of market development.– Analysis of public expenditures and aid directed to agriculture– Analysis of development and performance indicators and

linkages• Part 4: Specific policy issues of interest to the country• Conclusions

– Policy implications and elements for an evidence-based policy dialogue

– Lessons learned and way forward

Outlines of the country report

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• Country and global monitoring reports are used to improve policy dialogue in relevant policy fora at national, sub-regional and pan African levels

• The policy review:– Describe the context of the analysis– Provides essential background to

interpret the results

Purpose of the policy review

Elements of the review• Economic context analysis

– Overall development issues– Agricultural sector development issues– Food security issues– Poverty issues

• Policy context analysis– Policy objectives and agenda and

country milestones – Key food and agricultural policies in

the country– Main actors of the agricultural and

food sectors

Economic context• Major features of the ag. & food

economy :– Structure of the ag. & food sector– Natural resource base (endowments) – Crop production & production

technology, – Development challenges &

constraints. – Sector performance indicators

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Economic context• Most important ag. commodities

based on :– contributions to exports earnings – farm incomes (poverty reduction)– employment– food security

• Use of secondary data and previous studies– recent indicators of the agricultural

sector performance• Include supporting data (tables and

graphs)

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Policy Context• Primary interest on the commodity focused

policies• Should include economy and sector-wide

policies• Policy context analysis can be organized in

many ways– Thematically on issues relevant to the policy

monitoring process and the computation of indicators, e.g. pricing policy, trade policy, etc..

– Commodity by commodity

Policy context: Major themes• Introductory overview of the policy context:• Overview of the Government:

– Policy framework: Initiatives, strategies and programmes

– Policy objectives and related instruments and interventions

– Recent reforms of policies & programs– Policy making process (fora, etc.)– Main policy actors

• Should cover the dynamic aspect (last, say, two decades) and review recent changes in the policy environment

Economy-Wide Measures: Examples

– Exchange rate regimes– Tariffs– Marketing boards and monopolistic pricing– Export subsidies/taxes– Science and technology: research, extension and

development– Agricultural credit– Export credit– Consumer taxes and subsidies– Input markets incentives (energy, fertilizer,

seed ...etc.)– Trade restrictions such as quotas

Development and performance indicators (DPI) • Provide quantitative information on the

setting within which incentives/ disincentives and public expenditures are being analyzed.

• For example – indicator on percentage of rural roads paved

will complement the analysis by linking the analysis of disincentives caused by (high) transportation costs and the government expenditures on infrastructure.

Considerations for selecting suitable (DPI)• The policy issues and national objectives

under consideration (food security, economic growth, poverty reduction, etc.);

• Simple yet meaningful indicators; and,• Data availability and quality.

2/10/2011 14

Examples of DPI• A set of useful performance and

development indicators (DPIs) can be defined and classified by building on nine core thematic categories.

• Wherever possible, the indicators should be disaggregated.

• These indicators constitute a preliminary list which should not be considered as final but only indicative.

2/10/2011 15

Sectoral performance & Market structure

–Production, consumption, trade and changes in stocks

–Agriculture as a share of rural and overall economic activity

–Agricultural GDP and share of total GDP–Agricultural sector growth and economic

growth

2/10/2011 16

Costs in Output Markets–Share of rural roads that are paved –Development of water infrastructure

2/10/2011 17

Costs in Input Markets–Share of farms with access to credit –Share of land for which there is legally

recognized land tenure

2/10/2011 18

Poverty, Inequality, & Food Security– Rural poor as a percentage of total poor

population– Share of food insecure urban households vs.

rural households and food insecure female-headed households vs. male-headed households

– Gross per capita income rural vs. urban; male vs. female

– Change (%) in land access for women and minority groups

2/10/2011 19

Health –Life expectancy at birth–Prevalence (percentage) of underweight

and undernourished children –Percentage of the population with

access to safe drinking water– HIV prevalence

2/10/2011 20

Labor & Employment–Percentage of rural labour force

employed in agriculture–Share of women and men in the labour

force –Earned income ratio female vs. male

2/10/2011 21

Demography & Population–Population growth rates–Percentage of farmers who are

members of community/producer organizations

–Emigration rate (%)

2/10/2011 22

Education–Education index–Enrolment ratio (%)

2/10/2011 23

Environment & Natural Resources–Degree of deforestation– Irrigated land as a percentage of crop

land–Frequency of drought and other natural

calamities

2/10/2011 24