Pollutant ValuationCost Containment Calculation of

Damaged Assets

Eddie LeungSecured Environment

Successful & Sustainable Adoption of New Technology

Law/Government Must Have Enforcement of IP Rights

Must Have Social Support

Science/Technology

Must Be Viable

Business/Financial

Must Be Cost-Effective

Why Is It …

• That so many disasters end up costing so much more than initially anticipated??

• That salvage values end up being so much less than initially anticipated??

Answer

Most disasters end up being significantly more costly than initially anticipated, in part, because ex ante (before the fact) analyses fail to include all costs that end up being counted ex post (after the fact).

That is, most analyses fail to include all short term AND long term, private AND social costs.

Every Action Involving PollutantsEntails Trade-Offs

Private vs. Social Costs of Responding to Pollutant

Value of Damaged Inventory

Salvage Value (e.g., after earthquake damage)

=V(Recovered Goods)

– C(Recovery)

Where C(Recovery) include all(i) short-term and long-term, (ii) private and social costs associated with recovery

Value of Polluted Inventory

Value of Damaged or Polluted Goods =V(Recovered Goods)

– C(Recovery)

– C(Decontamination)Where C(*) include all(i) short-term and long-term, (ii) private and social costs associated with, respectively, recovery and decontamination (e.g., cleanup, process, disposal, liability, compliance, compensation, etc.)

Specific Example: Total Costs of Emergency Coolant

Private and Social Short-Term and Long-Term Total Costs associated with Coolant= Cost of Coolant+ Cost of Delivery+ Cost of Fire Fighting Operation+ Cost of Radioactive Air Emission Abatement+ Cost of Radioactive Soil Pollutant Decontamination+ Cost of Radioactive Water Effluent Processing+ Cost of Facility Clean Up+ Cost of Facility Decommissioning+ Cost of Long Term Monitoring+ Cost of Compensation+ Cost of Business Interruption+ …

Explosion Fire

Loss of Control

Loss of Coolant

ReplaceCoolant

Loss of Power

Back upPower

Recovery

Remediation

Evacuation

Compensation

Relocation

Temporary Storage

Logistics

Processing

Release

Temporary Storage

Logistics

Processing

Disposal

Disposal

Water

Soil

$/TBq Atmosphere

Air

$/km² Contaminated

$/km³ Contaminated

$/m³ coolant

Pathway Spent Fuel Coolant1. Primary pollutant (radioactivity) contained inside spent fuel pool, no release

2. A loss circulation or coolant will lead to release of radioactivity

3. Added make-up coolant (cost of coolant)will become contaminated with primary pollutant

4. All coolant outside of containment is a releaseand will required treatment

Total Costs of Nuclear Power Generation: Planned vs. Un-Planned Emergencies