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POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010 THIS IS NOT YOUR FATHER’S UTAH Michael E. Christensen, Ph.D. Director Office of Legislative Research and General Counsel January 24, 2012 Produced by the Office of Legislative Research and General Counsel

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Page 1: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES

2000-2010

THIS IS NOT YOUR FATHER’S UTAH

Michael E. Christensen, Ph.D.

Director

Office of Legislative Research and General Counsel

January 24, 2012

Produced by the Office of Legislative Research and General Counsel

Page 2: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

What Will We Cover Today?

Utah population growth from a national perspective

Utah county and city population trends

Utah demographic trends

Race and ethnicity

School-age population

65 and older population

Summary

Page 3: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

Utah Total Population, 1900 to 2010

Source: Census Brief: Cities and Counties of Utah, Prepared by the Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget

Page 4: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

Population Changes 2000-2010

Utah was the third fastest growing state (by percent) in the nation

An increase of 23.8%

From 2,233,169 to 2,763,885

530,716 new Utahns

Utah 13th fastest growing state (by numbers)

Faster growth than: New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois, and Ohio

Latest Census numbers - April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2011

Utah population 2,817,222 - an increase of 1.9%

Utah still third fastest growing state (only behind Washington D.C. and Texas)

Page 5: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

Four Fastest Growing States in Nation

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Nevada Arizona Utah Idaho

Source: Census Brief: Cities and Counties of Utah, Prepared by the Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget

Page 6: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

Growth of All Mountain States

2000-2010

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0%

Nevada

Arizona

Utah

Idaho

Colorado

Wyoming

New Mexico

Source: Census Brief: Cities and Counties of Utah, Prepared by the Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget

Page 7: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

Mountain States Population Growth

2000-2010

Mountain states combined growth: from 17.3 million

to 21.1 million - 3.8 million

This is greater than the growth of two regions:

Midwest 2.5 million

Northeast 1.7 million

Page 8: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

County Population Trends

Increase: 2000-2010

0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000

UtahSalt Lake

DavisWashington

WeberCacheTooele

IronWasatch

UintahBox Elder

SummitSanpete

DuchesneMorgan

JuabSevierKane

CarbonGrandBeaver

GarfieldSan Juan

RichWayne

DaggettPiute

EmeryMillard

Source: Census Brief: Cities and Counties of Utah, Prepared by the Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget

Page 9: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

Counties by Size, 2010 Census Count

Salt Lake, Utah, Davis, Weber –

75.4% of state population

Source: Census Brief: Cities and Counties of Utah, Prepared by the Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget

Page 10: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

10 Fastest Growing Cities (Pop 9,000+)

2000 to 2010

Source: Census Brief: Cities and Counties of Utah, Prepared by the Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget

Page 11: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

Fastest Growing Cities (Pop 9,000+), 2000 to 2010

Ranked by Percent Change

2010

Rank City/Town County 2000 2010

2000-2010

Percent

Change

1 Saratoga Springs Utah 1,003 17,781 1673%

2 Herriman Salt Lake 1,523 21,785 1330%

3 Eagle Mountain Utah 2,157 21,415 893%

4 Cedar Hills Utah 3,094 9,796 217%

5 Syracuse Davis 9,398 24,331 159%

6 West Haven Weber 3,976 10,272 158%

7 Lehi Utah 19,028 47,407 149%

8 Washington Washington 8,186 18,761 129%

9 Highland Utah 8,172 15,523 90%

10 Santaquin Utah 4,834 9,128 89%

11 North Salt Lake Davis 8,749 16,322 87%

12 Holladay Salt Lake 14,561 26,472 82%

13 Spanish Fork Utah 20,246 34,691 71%

14 South Jordan Salt Lake 29,437 50,418 71%

15 Draper Salt Lake 25,220 42,274 68%

16 Hurricane Washington 8,250 13,748 67%

17 Clinton Davis 12,585 20,426 62%

18 West Point Davis 6,033 9,511 58%

19 Heber Wasatch 7,291 11,362 56%

20 Riverton Salt Lake 25,011 38,753 55%

Source: Census Brief: Cities and Counties of Utah, Prepared by the Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget

Page 12: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

Fastest Growing Cities (Pop 9,000+), 2000 to 2010

Ranked by Numeric Change

2010

Rank City/Town County 2000 2010

2000-2010

Numeric

Change

1 West Jordan Salt Lake 68,336 103,712 35,376

2 Lehi Utah 19,028 47,407 28,379

3 St. George Washington 49,663 72,897 23,234

4 South Jordan Salt Lake 29,437 50,418 20,981

5 West Valley City Salt Lake 108,896 129,480 20,584

6 Herriman Salt Lake 1,523 21,785 20,262

7 Eagle Mountain Utah 2,157 21,415 19,258

8 Draper Salt Lake 25,220 42,274 17,054

9 Saratoga Springs Utah 1,003 17,781 16,778

10 Syracuse Davis 9,398 24,331 14,933

11 Spanish Fork Utah 20,246 34,691 14,445

12 Riverton Salt Lake 25,011 38,753 13,742

13 Murray Salt Lake 34,024 46,746 12,722

14 Holladay Salt Lake 14,561 26,472 11,911

15 Washington Washington 8,186 18,761 10,575

16 Pleasant Grove Utah 23,468 33,509 10,041

17 Tooele Tooele 22,502 31,605 9,103

18 Springville Utah 20,424 29,466 9,042

19 Layton Davis 58,474 67,311 8,837

20 Cedar City Iron 20,527 28,857 8,330

Source: Census Brief: Cities and Counties of Utah, Prepared by the Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget

Page 13: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

Race and Ethnicity

Of Utah's population of 2,763,885:

80.4% are white, non-Hispanic decline from 85.3% in 2000

Utah's racial make-up is:

White - 86.1%

Asian - 2.0%

American Indian, Alaska Native - 1.2%

Black or African American - 1.1%

Native Hawaiian, Other Pacific Islander - 0.9%

Two or More Races - 2.7%

Page 14: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

Race and Ethnicity, (cont.)

Utah Ethnicity

Hispanic or Latino population

358,340 Hispanics

13% of state population 9% in 2000

5% in 1990

Hispanics by County and Percent of State Population

Salt Lake - 176,015 or 49.1%

Utah - 55,793 or 15%

Weber - 38,711 or 11%

Davis - 25,753 or 7%

Big Four Counties

75% of state population

83% of Hispanic population

Page 15: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

Growth in School Age Population

2000 to 2030

Source: 2010 Economic Report to the Governor, U.S. Census Bureau

Page 16: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

Growth in Population Age 65+

2000 to 2030

Source: 2010 Economic Report to the Governor, U.S. Census Bureau

Page 17: POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 2000-2010le.utah.gov/lrgc/briefings/2012.PopulationBagels... · 2012-01-23 · Population Changes 2000-2010 Utah was the third fastest growing state

Summary:

This is Not Your Father’s Utah

Third fastest growing state in nation by percent and 13th fastest growing state by number

Trend of increasing urbanization along Wasatch Front (and Back) continues

Washington County a significant exception

Utah's fastest growing cities reflect the rapid growth of northern Utah and southwestern Salt Lake counties

Utah's rapid increase of Hispanics is significantly changing state ethnic make-up

Utah is experiencing two age-related trends that will significantly affect the state over the next few decades:

Slowing growth rates of school-age population

Increasing growth rates of 65 and older population