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POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU | www.prb.org 2009 World Population Data Sheet “As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More Concentrated in Africa and Asia.” PRESENTATIONS BY CARL HAUB, LINDA JACOBSEN, AND JAMES GRIBBLE AUGUST 2009

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Page 1: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU | www.prb.org

2009 World Population Data Sheet“As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More Concentrated in Africa and Asia.”

PRESENTATIONS BY CARL HAUB, LINDA JACOBSEN, AND JAMES GRIBBLE

AUGUST 2009

Page 2: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects, The 2008 Revision.

World Population Growth Is Almost Entirely Concentrated in the World's Poorer Countries.

World Population (in Billions): 1950-2050

Page 3: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Source: Carl Haub and Mary Mederios Kent, 2009 World Population Data Sheet.

The World’s Youth Population Will Become More Concentrated in Africa and Asia.

Population Ages 15-24 by World Region: 1950 and 2050

1950 2050

Page 4: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects, The 2008 Revision.

More Developed Countries Have Fewer Young People Relative to Elderly.Population by Age and Sex, More Developed Countries: 2009

Page 5: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects, The 2008 Revision.

Less Developed Countries Have Far More Young People Relative to Elderly.Population by Age and Sex, Less Developed Countries: 2009

Page 6: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Sources: (United States) Ansley Coale and Melvin Zelnik (1963); and National Center for Health Statistics. (Bangladesh) United Nations;Demographic and Health Surveys; and other surveys

To Slow Population Growth, Developing Countries’ Fertility Decline Must Be Rapid.

Average Lifetime Births per Woman: 1800-2007

Page 7: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Sources: Carl Haub and Douglas W. Heisler, 1980 World Population Data Sheet; and Carl Haub and Mary Mederios Kent, 2009 World Population Data Sheet.

From 1980 to Today, There Has Been Very Little Change in Africa’s Population Under 15.

Percent of Population Under Age 15: 1980 and 2009

1980 2009

Western Africa 46 44

Middle Africa 43 45

Eastern Africa 46 44

Northern Africa 44 33

Southern Africa 42 33

India 41 32

China 32 19

Page 8: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Source: Carl Haub and Mary Mederios Kent, 2009 World Population Data Sheet.

Africa’s Population of 1 Billion Is Projected to Grow Rapidly Through 2050.

Page 9: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Source: Carl Haub and Mary Mederios Kent, 2009 World Population Data Sheet.

The Differences Between Developed and Developing Countries Can Be Stark.

KEY DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS CANADA UGANDA

2009 Population 34 million 31 million

2050 Population (Projected) 42 million 96 million

Percent of Population Below Age 15 17% 49%

Percent of Population Age 65 and Older 14% 3%

Percent of Population Ages 15 to 24 13% 20%

Annual Births 371,000 1.4 million

Lifetime Births per Woman 1.6 6.7

Annual Infant Deaths 1,900 110,000

Life Expectancy at Birth 78 years 50 years

Page 10: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Population by Age and Sex, United States: 2008

Source: PRB analysis of data from U.S. Census Bureau.

The U.S. Has a Younger Age Structure Than Other Developed Countries.

Page 11: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Population by Age and Sex, United States: 2030 (Projected)

Today’s Youth Will Be in the Prime Working Ages in 2030.

Source: PRB analysis of data from U.S. Census Bureau.

Page 12: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Source: Population Reference Bureau, analysis of data from U.S. Census Bureau.

High School Dropout Rates Are Declining, but Remain Higher Among Hispanic Youth.

Percent High School Dropouts (Ages 16-24), United States: 1972-2007

Page 13: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Source: PRB analysis of data from U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 American Community Survey.

College Enrollment Is Lower Among Black and Hispanic Youth.Enrollment and Employment Status of Persons Ages 18-24, United States: 2007

Page 14: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Sources: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects, The 2008 Revision; and U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics.

The Birth Rate Among U.S. Teenagers Is Twice the Average for all Developed Countries.

Births per 1,000 Females Ages 15-19

Page 15: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Source: PRB analysis of data from U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics.

Birth Rates Remain Much Higher Among Black and Hispanic Teens.Births per 1,000 Females Ages 15-19, United States: 1989-2006

Page 16: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

*Non-Hispanic. Source: PRB analysis of data from U.S. Census Bureau.

By 2030, More Than Half of all Youth Will Be Members of a Racial or Ethnic Minority.

Percent of Youth Ages 15-24, United States: 2008, 2030, and 2050

Page 17: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Source: Population Reference Bureau, analysis of data from U.S. Census Bureau.

In One-Third of U.S. Counties, at Least 25 Percent of Children Live in Poverty.

Page 18: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

The Diversity of Youth

Mali ZambiaPeru

12.7 million

6.0 children per woman

31% urban

12.2 million

6.2 children per woman

37% urban

27.9 million

2.6 children per woman

76% urban

Page 19: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision.

Peru’s Population Structure Is in Transition.Population by Age and Sex, Peru: 2006

Page 20: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Well educated. Young marriage is

infrequent. Few have children

as teens. Desired family

size—2 children.

Young Women in Peru Have Options.

Page 21: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Young Women in Peru Face Other Issues.

Teen childbearing more common in rural areas.

Poverty and childbearing.

Unsafe abortion and maternal death.

Page 22: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision.

Zambia’s Population Structure Is Youthful.Population by Age and Sex, Zambia: 2006

Page 23: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Young Women in Zambia Have Fewer Opportunities.

Less access to education.

Marriage more frequent.

More children during teen years.

Desired family size—4 children.

Page 24: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Young Women in Zambia Face Other Challenges.

Physical and sexual violence common.

Spousal abuse accepted.

High HIV prevalence.

Page 25: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision.

Mali Has a Very Young Population.

Population by Age and Sex, Mali: 2006

Page 26: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Being a Young Woman in Mali Is Difficult.

Marriage common by age 15.

Early childbearing. Desired family size

—6 children.

Page 27: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

© 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org

Young Women in Mali Face Many Challenges.

Low school attendance.

Spousal abuse accepted.

Female genital cutting common.

Page 28: POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU |  2009 World Population Data Sheet As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More

POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU | www.prb.org

2009 World Population Data Sheet“As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More Concentrated in Africa and Asia.”

PRESENTATIONS BY CARL HAUB, LINDA JACOBSEN, AND JAMES GRIBBLE

AUGUST 2009