portfolio management
TRANSCRIPT
PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
INTRODUCTION
Sharekhan is one of the leading retail broking house of SSKI group which
was running successfully since 1922 in the country. it is the retail broking
arm of the Mumbai-based SSKI group, which has over eight decades of
experience in the stock broking business.
The firm’s online trading and investment site - www.sharekhan.com - was
launched on Feb 8, 2000.
Contd
The site gives access to superior content and transaction facility to retail
customers across the country. Known for its jargon-free, investor friendly
language and high quality research, the site has a registered base of over two
lakh customers.
The number of trading members currently stands More than 8 Lacs.
PRODUCT PORTFOLIO - SHAREKHANEquities DerivativesCurrency futuresCommodity futureMutual fund distributionIPOPMSMargin funding3 in 1 account
PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT?
Portfolio is a collection of asset.
The asset may be physical or financial like Shares Bonds, Debentures, and
Preference Shares etc.
Main objective is to maximize portfolio return and at the same time minimizing
the portfolio risk by diversification.
Portfolio management is the management of various financial assets, which
comprise the portfolio.
PHASES OF PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
1. Security analysis
2. Portfolio analysis
3. Portfolio selection
4. Portfolio revision
5. Portfolio evaluation
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Aim: The main aim of this study is to understand the portfolio management.
Objectives:
i. To calculate the return of various companies.
ii. To calculate the risk of various companies.
iii. To calculate the portfolio return & risk of different portfolios designed for the
combination of various companies.
iv. To evaluate the performance of various portfolios.
v. To understand, analyze and select the best portfolio.
vi. To understand the effect of diversification of investment.
Research Methodology
Research type: - Empirical
Type of sampling: - Convenient sampling
Sample size: - 5 companies from different sectors is selected from NSE CNX
Nifty
Sample universe: - Companies listed & trade in NSE
Data type: - Secondary data
Research tools used: -
a. Arithmetic average or mean
b. Return = Dividend + (Current price - Previous price) * 100
Previous price
c. Standard deviation
d. Variance
e. Correlation - Karl Pearson’s method
f. Sharpe’s Index
g. Treynor’s Index
h. Jenson’s Index
Data collection methods
The entire date were collected from the secondary source. Internet is main
source of secondary sources of date collection used. Magazines, Newspapers
and Journals were also used for collecting data
Analysis and Interpretations
The analysis and interpretation has been made with the help of graphs and
percentage of returns of securities. Microsoft Excel 2013 & IBM SPSS
Statistics 20 is the software used for this purpose.
Limitations of the study
i. The sample size is limited by 5 stocks from 5 different sectors.
ii. Markowitz modern portfolio theory is used here to calculate return & risk of portfolio.
iii. Portfolio created for the study is of 2 securities/stock combination, for making study easier and
understandable. Portfolios with 2 or more number of stock can give a wider image of portfolio
management.
iv. While constructing portfolios the stock are given equal weightage, return & risk will change if
weightage is different.
v. The data was collected from the time horizon of one financial year starting from April 2014 to March
2015.
vi. The data has been collected from secondary sources only, relevance of information may not fully
trustworthy.
ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION
Selected Stocks
1. HDFC Bank Limited
2. Lupin Limited
3. Hindustan Unilever
4. Tata Consultancy Services
5. Tata Motors
Return & Risk of Benchmark index: NSE CNX NIFTY
FY15 (MoM) Return for NSE CNX Nifty = 1.92%
FY15 (MoM) Risk for NSE CNX Nifty = 3.88
Return, Risk, & Beta of Stocks
Stocks Return, R Risk, SD Beta, β
HDFC Bank 2.90 5.22 1.13
Lupin 7.13 7.17 -0.41
HUL 4.37 8.49 1.73
TCS 6.98 16.80 0.07
Tata Motors 2.79 8.24 1.42
HDFC Bank Lupin HUL TCS Tata Motors-2.00
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
Return, Risk & Beta Of Individual Stocks FY15 (MoM)
Return, R Risk, SD Beta, β
Correlation & Covariance of Portfolios
Portfolio Stocks Combination Correlation Covariance
1 HDFC Bank & Lupin -0.32 -11.81
2 HDFC Bank & HUL 0.80 35.46
3 HDFC Bank & TCS -0.16 -14.25
4 HDFC Bank & Tata Motors 0.53 22.77
5 Lupin & HUL 0.23 13.68
6 Lupin & TCS 0.57 68.15
7 Lupin & Tata Motors 0.20 11.89
8 HUL & TCS 0.28 39.59
9 HUL & Tata Motors 0.70 48.75
10 TCS & Tata Motors -0.07 -9.19
Return, Risk, & Beta of Portfolios
Portfolio Stocks Combination Return Risk Beta, β
1 HDFC Bank & Lupin 5.02 3.71 0.50
2 HDFC Bank & HUL 3.64 6.52 1.43
3 HDFC Bank & TCS 4.94 8.38 0.60
4 HDFC Bank & Tata Motors 2.85 5.93 1.28
5 Lupin & HUL 5.75 6.14 0.80
6 Lupin & TCS 7.06 10.84 -0.04
7 Lupin & Tata Motors 4.96 5.98 0.64
8 HUL & TCS 5.68 10.41 0.90
9 HUL & Tata Motors 3.58 7.71 1.58
10 TCS & Tata Motors 4.89 9.11 0.75
HDFC Bank & Lupin
HDFC Bank & HUL
HDFC Bank & TCS
HDFC Bank & Tata Motors
Lupin & HUL Lupin & TCS Lupin & Tata Motors
HUL & TCS HUL & Tata Motors
TCS & Tata Motors
-2.00
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
Return, Risk & Beta of Portfolios FY15 (MoM)
Return Risk Beta, β
Portfolio Performance Evaluation
Sharpe's Index - Sharpe's Performance IndexPortfolio Stocks Combination Rp T SD Sp Rank
1 HDFC Bank & Lupin 5.02 0.71 3.71 1.16 1
2 HDFC Bank & HUL 3.64 0.71 6.52 0.45 8
3 HDFC Bank & TCS 4.94 0.71 8.38 0.50 5
4 HDFC Bank & Tata Motors 2.85 0.71 5.93 0.36 10
5 Lupin & HUL 5.75 0.71 6.14 0.82 2
6 Lupin & TCS 7.06 0.71 10.84 0.59 4
7 Lupin & Tata Motors 4.96 0.71 5.98 0.71 3
8 HUL & TCS 5.68 0.71 10.41 0.48 6
9 HUL & Tata Motors 3.58 0.71 7.71 0.37 9
10 TCS & Tata Motors 4.89 0.71 9.11 0.46 7
Treynor's Index - Treynor's Reward-to-Variability Measure
Portfolio Stocks Combination Rp T βp Tp Rank
1 HDFC Bank & Lupin 5.02 0.71 0.50 8.70 1
2 HDFC Bank & HUL 3.64 0.71 1.43 2.05 7
3 HDFC Bank & TCS 4.94 0.71 0.60 7.05 2
4 HDFC Bank & Tata Motors 2.85 0.71 1.28 1.67 9
5 Lupin & HUL 5.75 0.71 0.80 6.34 4
6 Lupin & TCS 7.06 0.71 -0.04 -181.29 10
7 Lupin & Tata Motors 4.96 0.71 0.64 6.64 3
8 HUL & TCS 5.68 0.71 0.90 5.52 6
9 HUL & Tata Motors 3.58 0.71 1.58 1.82 8
10 TCS & Tata Motors 4.89 0.71 0.75 5.61 5
Jenson's Index - Reward to risk ratio
Portfolio Stocks Combination Rp ERM T βp ERP (%) Result
1 HDFC Bank & Lupin 5.02 1.92 0.71 0.50 1.31 Efficient
2 HDFC Bank & HUL 3.64 1.92 0.71 1.43 2.44 Efficient
3 HDFC Bank & TCS 4.94 1.92 0.71 0.60 1.44 Efficient
4 HDFC Bank & Tata
Motors
2.85 1.92 0.71 1.28 2.25 Efficient
5 Lupin & HUL 5.75 1.92 0.71 0.80 1.67 Efficient
6 Lupin & TCS 7.06 1.92 0.71 -0.04 0.67 Efficient
7 Lupin & Tata Motors 4.96 1.92 0.71 0.64 1.48 Efficient
8 HUL & TCS 5.68 1.92 0.71 0.90 1.80 Efficient
9 HUL & Tata Motors 3.58 1.92 0.71 1.58 2.62 Efficient
10 TCS & Tata Motors 4.89 1.92 0.71 0.75 1.61 Efficient
HDFC Bank & Lupin
HDFC Bank & HUL
HDFC Bank & TCS
HDFC Bank & Tata Motors
Lupin & HUL Lupin & TCS Lupin & Tata Motors
HUL & TCS HUL & Tata Motors
TCS & Tata Motors
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
Return & Expected Return (ERP) of portfolios
Return Jenson's Index, ERP (%)
FINDINGS AND CONCLUSION
FINDINGS
Among the individual stock calculation, Lupin is better stock with return of 7.13% and risk of
7.17 and beta of -0.41. In terms of return TCS is also better with a return of 6.98%, but the risk is
16.80, which is too high and with a beta of 0.07. So, TCS is not a good option for investors to
invest.
HUL is also good in terms of return, which is 4.37% with risk of 8.49, but the beta is 1.73.
Therefore HUL is highly sensitive.
On portfolio construction, an equal combination of HDFC Bank & Lupin has given a better risk
adjusted return of 5.02% with risk of only 3.71. The beta of HDFC Bank & Lupin is 0.50. The
correlation and Covariance between HDFC Bank & Lupin are -0.32 and -11.81 respectively.
Lupin & HUL and Lupin & Tata Motors are also good enough in risk
adjusted return. The return and risk of Lupin & HUL are 5.75% and 6.14
respectively. The beta of Lupin & HUL is 0.80 with correlation and
covariance of 0.23 and 13.68 respectively. And the return and risk of Lupin
& Tata Motors are 4.96% and 5.98 respectively. The beta of Lupin & Tata
Motors is 0.64 with correlation and covariance of 0.20 and 11.89
respectively.
A combination of Lupin & TCS is the high return combination with a return
of 7.06%, but the risk is 10.84 and the beta is-0.04.
On evaluating portfolio performance, HDFC Bank & Lupin ranks 1st in
both Sharpe’s and Treynor’s Index, and also this combination is efficient in
Jenson’s Index.
On coming to Jenson’s Index all portfolios are efficient, they all beats the
expected return. Among them the combination of Lupin & TCS performed
well in beating estimation. The expected return from Lupin & TCS is
0.67%, but the actual return is 7.06%.
Finally the noticing thing is that, a portfolio with Lupin is well performed.
CONCLUSION
The aim and objectives of the study has achieved.
Investors with low risk averse can go for investing in a combination HDFC
Bank & Lupin, as the risk is very low.
Investors with moderate risk can go for investing in a combination of Lupin
& HUL and Lupin & Tata Motors, as the risk is not so high.
Investors, who are aggressive can for investing in a combination of Lupin &
TCS, HUL & TCS, TCS & Tata Motors, HDFC Bank & TCS, HDFC Bank
& Tata Motors, HDFC Bank & HUL, and TCS & Tata Motors.
Don’t put your trust in only one investment. It is like “putting all the eggs in
one basket” This will help to reduce the risk in the long term.
The investors are benefited by investing in selected scripts of Industries.
THANK YOU !
“Greater Portfolio Return with less Risk is always is an attractive combination”
for the Investors.