post-petroleum energetics and sea water agriculture, with dennis bushnell

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  • 8/14/2019 POST-PETROLEUM ENERGETICS AND SEA WATER AGRICULTURE, with Dennis Bushnell

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    Precis of Post-Petroleum EnergeticsIncluding Seawater

    Agriculture

    Dennis Bushnell

    Chief ScientistNASA Langley Research Center

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    The (Economic) Ages of

    Humankind Hunter/Killer groups (~1 Million - ~5K BC)

    Agriculture (~5K BC - ~1850 AD) Industrial (~1850 AD - ~1950 AD)

    Information/BIO/NANO(~1950 AD - ~2030

    AD) Virtual (~2030 - ?)

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    Hunter-Gatherer - Nature Provided

    Agriculture - Controlled Nature(Plants/Animals)

    Industrial - Mechanized Agriculture

    [1800-97% Farmers,Now-2%]

    IT/BIO/Nano - Automating

    Industry/AgricultureVirtual - Robotization of

    IT/Bio/Nano/Industry/Agriculture

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    Humans Have Taken Over and Vastly

    Shortened Evolution

    [Human Engendered~E7 times Natural]Of the Planet

    Global Warming/Pollution/Deforestation

    Huge Public Works (e.g. 3 GorgesDam)

    Of the Human Species

    Genomic Design and Repair

    Mind Children (Moravec)

    Products/Life Forms

    Cross Species Molecular Breeding

    Directed Evolution (Maxygen etc.)

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    Human Environment changing from

    Natural [before],to Manmade [Now]

    To VIRTUAL [Evolving Future]

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    - CO2 levels are NOW greater

    than at any time in the last650,000 Years

    - Tundra Melting,Releasinghuge amounts of Methane.- European Gulf Stream

    Heating reduced by 30%[overlying fresh water from

    melting glaciers?].

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    Prevention of collapse of theEcosystem has now become

    the overwhelming issue

    European Commission on KeyTechnologies for Europe,2005

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    Rational[s] for Going Green

    Escalating Price of Petroleum

    Warming [ Including Acidic

    Oceans]

    National Security/Geo-Politics

    Economics/ Balance of Payments

    Personal Economics/Independence

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    THE KEY TECHNOLOGIESTHE KEY TECHNOLOGIES(highly synergistic / at the frontiers of the small / in a

    feeding frenzy off each other)

    IT (comms/computing/sensors/electronics/machine

    intelligence)

    Bio (genomics/molecular biology/designer life forms)

    Nano (coatings/barriers/computers/sensors/materials/

    assemblers)

    Energetics (HEDM (various)/revol.

    solar/biomass/explosives/propellants/storage)

    Quantum

    [crypto/computing/sensors/optics/Electronics]

    Societal Technological Systems (motivational

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    The [Major] Societal Problems

    Warming [Anthropogenic CO2-Induced,Attendant Arctic and Ocean MethaneRelease]

    Consequent Green EnergyConsequent Green EnergyRequirementRequirement, Simultaneous Demise ofCheap Oil

    Shortages of Water & Arable Land An Increasing Food Shortage

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    Current Worldwide Energy Usage

    Petroleum - 140 Exojoules Natural Gas - 85

    Coal - 90

    Biomass - 55 [ Potential to 4,000+ ]

    Nuclear Fission - 28 Hydroelectric - 9

    Geothermal - 2 [ potential to 5,000 ]

    Solar - .2 [ Potential to 1,600+ ] Others [Wind, etc.] - ~7

    P t l [T t ti

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    Petroleum [TransportationFuel] Outlook

    In General,Cheap Oil Production is peakingor has peaked.Residual supplies will havegreater production costs.IncreasingPetroleum demand,particularly from the

    developing world ,will ensure ever increasingoil prices and shifts,from purely economicdrivers, to Alternatives [H2,Biomass]

    Demand Example - U.S. has 745 vehicles per

    1,000 population.China,the second largest oilimporter, has 3 vehicles per 1,000population.If China goes to 5 Vehicles per1,000 Population they will have to DOUBLE

    their Oil Imports to 10 Million Barrels/Day

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    Energy and Warming 75% of Energy Usage is releasing climate-

    changing amounts of Fossil Carbon asCO2

    This Fossil CO2 warming is releasingFossil Methane from the Tundra andseabeds,Methane some 22X more of awarming gas than CO2,A WarmingAccelerant

    Of the Renewables,only Solar [viaBiomass and Other Approaches] has thepotential to provide the requisiteCapacity [Wind,Hydro,Conv. Nuccannot.]

    Biomass Produces Liquid Fuels and isless expensive than other Solar

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    [Direct] Solar EnergyUtilization Spectrum

    Biomass

    PV [emerging Plastic/Nano PV,1/10th thecost., to 70% efficiency?]

    H2 from Photosynthesis [GenomicBiologics and artificial Photosynthesis]

    Photo-Catalytic Disassociation of Water

    Solar Furnaces/Concentrators/Direct

    Heating [including Zn production for H2Storage/ Generation..]

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    Biomass Benefits

    Renewable Nearly CO2-Neutral

    No New H2 infrastructure Required

    Minimal Sulfur Relatively Inexpensive

    Energy costs of biomassproduction/Processing up to an order of

    magnitude less than Energy Yields- Capacity/Tonnage Currently limited by

    sweet water and arable land

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    Bio-Refineries

    Bio-Chemical,EnzymaticBio-Chemical,EnzymaticHydrolysis/Fermentation of BiomassHydrolysis/Fermentation of Biomassinto Sugars,Lignin,alcohol and Methaneinto Sugars,Lignin,alcohol and Methane

    Thermochemical,Pyrolysis/gasification,

    Conversion to gas/liquid/solid mix,catalysisproducing Biopolymers and Liquid orGaseous Fuels

    Chemical,Biomass Oil conversion toBioDiesel etc. fuels

    - Due to costs of Biomass transportation, Bio-refineries should be Distributed/Scalable,Products largely delivered/deliverable viaPipelines

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    Sampling - BiomassUtilization Archipelago

    Transportation/Liquid Fuels [Distill/Refineit]

    Direct Heat Generation [Burn it]

    Direct Electricity Generation [Bio FuelCells]

    Food [via Genomics]

    Petro-Chemical Feed-Stock [Plastics etc.] Direct H2 Production [e.g.

    Fermentation/Algae feeding]

    On Site Micro-Power/Co-[electricity]

    Generation

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    Biomass Energy Potential[s]

    6% of U.S. land mass producingBiomass could supply the U.S. with

    current Oil AND Natural Gas Usage Estimates indicate that Biomass

    grown on the Sahara [only] could

    supply the Worlds EnergyRequirement[s]

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    Water Scarcity is now thesingle greatest threat to

    Human Health,The

    Environment and the Global

    Food Supply

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    The Emerging Desert MantraThe Emerging Desert Mantra[Some 44% of land worldwide is

    Wasteland] Desert Area Characteristics

    - Sunlight

    - Brackish/Saline Ground Water

    - Many near/on seacoasts

    Utilize these Resources For:

    - Nano-Plastic PV

    - Saline-Seawater Agriculture forBiomass/Energy and Food

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    Conventional/Historical Wisdom -Seawater/Saline

    incursions/occurance Detrimental-to-Disasterous for Agriculture

    Unconventional -Saline/Salt water

    Agriculture a Viable-to-Desirable Alternative to

    Conventional

    Agriculture

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    Saline/Seawater Agriculture

    Quasi-Conventional:- For Food & Fodder

    - Reclaim/Desalinate land via Biologics

    Unconventional- For

    Land,Water,Energy,Warming,Minerals,Food and Terra-Forming/enhancedRainfall i.e. STRATEGIC Not Tactical,to Contribute to ALL the MajorProblems,not just food

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    Advantages of Seawater AG

    97% of all water is seawater,will not Run Out

    Seawater Contains:- wide variety of important minerals

    - ~ 80% of Nutrients required for Agriculture[need to add Nitrogen,Phosphorus and Iron]

    In proximity to a number of Dry/DesertAreas

    Mi l E t ti f

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    Mineral Extraction fromSeawater

    - [Conventional] mining is one of the mostenvironmentally damaging activities carriedout by Humans

    Seawater AG puts missing/trace Minerals

    back into Food Supply Current Seawater Mineral Extraction -Current Seawater Mineral Extraction -Magnesium,Bromide,Salts,Phosphorites,Magnesium,Bromide,Salts,Phosphorites,Metallic Sulfides,Metallic Sulfides,

    Seawater and Brines appear destined toreplace Mineral Ores as the main source ofLight Metals

    Nascent [low cost/energy] Bio/Algae

    Extraction Approaches.

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    Alternative Seawater AGEmployment Approaches

    Desalinization [in General,tooexpensive for Agriculture]

    Cold/deeper Ocean water to [via heatexchangers] precipitate moisture fromthe atmosphere

    Seawater Greenhouses [involvevaporization/re-precipitation]

    Direct Plant Seawater Irrigation

    S N b

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    Some Numbers Sahara some 2E9 (2 billion) Acres

    1.2 Acre Meters Required for Agriculture/Irrigation

    [per year] Average Sahara Elevation some 450 Meters

    ~ cost to pump 1.2 acre meters of Seawater to 450Meters altitude [vertical lift only] some $1200/Acre

    1 Acre produces 10-to-40 tons of dry Biomass peryear

    I Ton of dry Biomass provides 16E6 BTUs = 2.75Barrels of Oil

    @ $60/Barrel of oil,1 ton of Biomass worth [afterrefining] ~ $165 [other estimates,which includeAddit. Goodness factors [e.g. countering warming]are as high as $300-$700/ton]

    @ 20 Tons/Acre and $165/ton Value of an Acre of@ 20 Tons/Acre and $165/ton Value of an Acre of

    Biomass = $~3300Biomass = $~3300

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    Irrigation Influences UponRainfall

    Irrigation can Represent an EnormousPerturbation of the Regional AtmosphericWater and Heat Balance

    Cool,Wet Surface increases low levelAtmospheric Instabilities,incites Storms

    Various Studies Indicate -

    - 18%-25% precipitation Increase [from only .4

    acre meter Irrigation]- Irrigation increased Rainfall by 91%

    - Irrigation and Vegetation changes areclear dominating factors with direct

    influence upon atmospheric water content

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    Halophyte [Salt-Plant]Utilization [Per Yensen]

    Patents issued for Halophyte Crop[s][Genetics,Genomics]

    10,000+ Natural Halophyte Plants,250 ofthese are potential Staple crops

    Research ongoing on/for Halophilic [Salt-LOVING] Halophytes,The more salt thefaster the growth

    Huge areas worldwide are already salt-affected [1 B Hectares] and another BillionHectares overlie Saline Aquifers.

    Over 100 halophyte plants now in trials

    for Commercial applications

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    [Sample] Countries withSaline AG projects

    China

    Mexico

    Eritria

    India Pakistan

    Israel

    Libya

    Jordan Tunisia

    - Current Status,PrototypeFarms/Experiments forFOOD

    Egypt

    Iran

    Morocco

    U.S. Saudi Arabia

    Syria

    UAE

    Kuwait Australia

    Sudan

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    Chinese Seawater AGChinese Seawater AG

    ReportingReporting Genetically Modified [grown on Beaches

    using Seawater]:

    - Tomato- Eggplant

    - Pepper

    - Wheat- Rice

    - Rapeseed

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    The Potential[s] for enhanced

    [Halophyte] Plant Growth viaNano/Bio Technology thought

    to be Large, 60%improvements thus far,Only Beginning

    - An Example Requisite Capability -Nitrogen Fixation

    [utilization/extraction from the air]

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    On-going Research Areas

    Enhanced Plant growth rates andenhanced Salt-Loving

    Reduced water/nutrient Requirements

    Irrigation Efficiency Improvements

    Plant /Lifeform tailoring for specific Bio-Conversion/Refining Processes

    Safe/Contained Saline/SeawaterIrrigation Practices,Avoid-to-ObviateFresh Aquifer Contamination

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    TerraForming -1

    Altering a Planetary Surface to make itsuitable for Terrestrial life

    Seawater AG for Biomass Energy can beof sufficient magnitude to qualify as Terra-Forming

    Humans have long practiced Anti-Terraforming with neither plan nor

    prediction It appears timely/necessary to attemptterraforming but with both Plan andPrediction

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    [Obvious] Terraforming

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    [Obvious] TerraformingModeling/Computation

    Requirements/Inputs Irrigated Land Area

    Type of Vegetation/Evaporation Rate

    Vegetation Coverage Atmospheric Particulate details [allow

    cloud formation at .1% super-saturation]

    Utilization of both Boundary LayerMeteorology and Global Circulation/EarthSystem Models

    ETC

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    Bottom Line Enablers/Pull -Saline/Seawater Biomass

    Irrigation Oil Prices now high enough [and going

    higher] to make the economics worth looking

    into [again] H2 Infrastructure Costs & Storage issues

    Potential Halophyte Genomic improvements

    Global Warming,Green Energy Requirements Increasing shortages of Sweet water/ArableLand

    - Requires SERIOUS Forecasting

    Advantages of Shallow Sea/Desert

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    Advantages of Shallow Sea/DesertProduction of Biomass (Via Seawater

    Irrigation - energy, warming, food,land,

    water) Closed CO2 Cycle (Obviates GlobalWarming)

    Food

    Petro-chemical feedstock [plastics etc.] ENERGY

    Terraforming, alter desertification etc.

    Preservation/Production of Fresh Water Rich Mineral source (Seawater)

    Utilization of Wastelands (Sahara, etc.)

    Seawater has 85% of plant nutrients

    Frontier Energetics

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    Frontier Energetics(Production/Storage)

    Biomass via saltwater agriculture

    Solar H2 production

    efficient visible light (vs. just ultraviolet)photocatalytic electrolysis of water

    CNT H2 storage, Zeolite H2 storage Direct plant and bacteria H2 production

    SMES/CNT magnets 2 to 20 X energy density of O2- H2 fuel (in a

    battery) Efficient direct conversion (thermal to

    electric), thermal diodes (~24%),Nano-Voids [~30%]

    Advanced Geothermal

    Frontier Energetics

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    Frontier Energetics

    (Production/Storage)

    LENRS and nano-fusion (ala G. Miley,DOE/NAVY),Muon-Catalyzed Fusion

    CNT Flywheels

    Isomers/Quantum nucleonicsSeveral, ~105 X HE

    Offshore methane hydrate

    106 greater than known natural gasreserves

    Hydrogen/Boron-11 Fusion - charged

    particle/Direct conversion,Dense Plasma

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    Aneutronic H-B11 FusionInertial Electrostatic Confinement Fusion

    [QED,IEC,IEF] Produces Protons,Direct MHD

    Electricity Generation vice [Neutron]

    Thermalization Reduced Radiation Hazard[s]/Weight

    High Thrust-to-weight AND High Isp [via

    reduced shielding,magnetics,HighPower Drivers]

    For SSTO,Payload Mass Fraction is ~14%,Launch Cost Estimate ~ $100/lb

    Frontier Energetics

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    Frontier Energetics

    (Production/Storage) Femto-second laser/other production of

    anti-matter/positrons

    Bose-Einstein condensate/Positronium

    storage of Positrons

    HEDM (MIC, SBER, nano-powders, cold

    silicon, solid H2, atomic C/B/H, cubanes,

    metastable He,Etc) Bacteria-based fuel cells

    Plastic Nano PV,factor of 10 cost

    reduction,2X Efficiency [Nanocrystals]

    Antimatter Fuels/Propulsion

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    Antimatter Fuels/PropulsionApproaches

    Positrons - Stored asPositronium?,Gamma emission used forheating,also - via direct conversioncould yield Electrical Energy for 2000Sec. Isp High Thrust MHD Acceleration,negligible fuel fraction

    Trigger Fission at 100% [vice < 5%] for

    fission nuc Propulsion Antihydrogen - Stored as Bose-Einstein

    Condensate,Harvest from Van Allen

    Belts

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    W ld id IT R l ti

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    Worldwide IT Revolution

    Comms/Computing/Sensors/Electronics

    Factor of E07 since 59 [Moores Law]

    Factor of E08 to E12 further

    improvement [Silicon,Molecular/CNT,

    Quantum, Bio, Optical]

    Beyond Human Machine Intelligence?

    Automatics/Robotics in the large

    Immersive multi-sensory VR/Holodecks

    Ubiquitous multi physics/hyperspectral

    sensors [land/sea/air/space]

    IMPACTS OF ONGOING

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    IMPACTS OF ONGOINGREVOLUTION UPON SOCIETY

    Work (at home telecommuting, reduced local/corporal

    travel) Shopping (at home web based, (robotic?) delivery)

    Entertainment/leisure (at home immersive 3-Dinteractive/multi-sensory via VR/holographicprojection)

    Travel (3-D/interactive/multi-sensory tele-travel)

    Education (at home low cost asynchronous, web basedon-demand, highly motivational, life-long distancelearning, .edu)

    Health (at home interactive tele-medicine)

    Politics (increased real-time virtual involvement of thebody politic)

    Commerce (tele-commerce already ubiquitous)

    Tele-Socialization Tele - onsite Manufacturin

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    SOME IT PREDICTIONS

    Quantum computing initiallyavailable in 5 years

    15% of all power today is used bycomputers, will reach 60% by 2020?

    Wearable/implantable (on-person)electronics--comms, computing,sensory augmentation, healthmonitoring, brain stimulation

    Global Warming Solutions

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    Global Warming Solutions Green Energy

    Conservation Genomic Biologics w/greatly increasedCO2 Uptake

    Trigger Calderas [Nascent Volcanoes],Put

    massive amounts of dust in theAtmosphere

    Nano-Particulates spread on themonolayer of surfactant on the Oceans

    Surface to alter Albedo Gigantic reflective films/membranes in

    orbit

    Seed Oceans with iron to provoke/enable

    Phytoplankton Blooms

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    Nominal Power Densities

    ZPE..E108 X Chemical

    Anti-Matter/Positrons.. E10 X Chemical

    Fission/Fusion.. E6 X Chemical Isomers. E5 X Chemical

    SBER E2 X Chemical

    Hydrogen....38 KWH/Kg HC..14

    Advanced Flywheels. .9 - 20?

    Batteries.. . .04 - 10?

    E ti Wild C d B i

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    Energetics Wild Cards BeingWorked

    Solitons for Low Divergence Power Beaming Positron Storage as Positronium

    High Efficiency Plastic Nano PV

    30%+ Thermo-Electrics High Efficiency [KW/KG] Fuel Cells

    On-Site H2 Generation vice Storage [Zinc,.]

    Room Temperature S-C

    Tapping ZPE

    Controlled Nuclear Isomer Release

    SMES with CNT Magnets

    Lithium Tantalate Crystals

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    First-Order Impacts of Nano

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    First Order Impacts of Nanoupon Energetics

    [Improved Performance/Cost &Requirement Reductions] Fuel Cells

    Photovoltaics H2 Storage [Casimir Forces?]

    Supercapacitors Batteries

    Structural dry weight reductions

    [1/3rd-1/8th]

    H d S

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    Hydrogen Sources

    Genomic Bio Photosynthesis Artificial Photosynthesis

    Electrolysis:

    - Direct visible light Photo-Catalysis

    - Plastic Nano PV Energy- Bio Mass [Incl.Seawater Agric.] Energy

    - Ocean Thermal,Wind Energy

    - Usual Energy Sources [Hydro,Nuc,.] Reformation [JP,Methane,Ammonia.]

    Coal Gasification[w/H20]

    Sulfur-iodine Thermo-chemical Cycle[w/H2O]

    H d St

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    Hydrogen Storage Cryo [incl. Slush, Solid]

    CNTs/Zeolites [Casimir ForceOptimization,Doping]] , CNT Structure

    CNT Pressure Vessels,

    Lithium Nitride,Graphite Nanofibers Ammonia,Ammonia Borane [PNNL]

    Methane,Gas Hydrates

    Porous Magnesium Alloys Titanium doped Hydrides

    Glass/Polymer Microspheres

    Metal/Organic Frameworks

    [A ] O tl k f H2

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    [An] Outlook for H2 Biologic H2 sources could provide a

    Green H2 Supply H2 Infrastructure would take too long to

    put in place [ compared towarming/petroleum problem[s] time

    scales] and is exceedingly expensive Hydrogen Storage is still nascent, Nano

    Tech including Casimir Force Engineeringcould help

    - Bottom Line[s]Biofuel[s] [ usingexisting infrastructures] are/will be the

    Green transportation fuel of choice.

    Suggested Green Energy Best

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    Suggested Green Energy BestBets/Ways Forward

    Seawater Ag, Aquaculture - Biofuels

    Nano Plastic PV

    Advanced Geothermal

    20%-30% Efficient Thermoelectrics[ Harvesting, cycle efficiency ]

    SMES w/CNT Magnets [ 10X Chem storage?]

    Positron storage as Positronium?BTW - Conventional Nuc Fission Fuel CycleWaste a Serious Problem [near term wastestorage approach is casks on an open

    parking lot at an Indian Reservation]

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    Physics Outlook/Issues

    Quantum and Relativity do not Merge

    They do not explain Dark Energy

    They do not explain Dark Matter They do not provide an understanding

    of Non-Locality

    Where did the Anti-Matter Go?

    Many other Unsolved Problems..

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    E tant E planation Approaches

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    Extant Explanation Approaches[Samples,Additional Degrees of Freedom,

    Experimental Verification TBD..] Time Reversals/Retrocausation

    Extra [Spatial] Dimensions

    - Many Worlds/Multiverses- String/M/Brane Theories [ to 11 Dim.]

    - 5 Dim. Larger Universe/ The Bulk

    Larger Constructs

    - Bohm Quantum Potential

    - Holographic Universe

    - Puthoff ZPAether

    - The Bulk

    What is Sought are

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    What is Sought areExplanations for Dark

    Matter/Energy and Non-LocalityEtc. which satisfy Occams

    Razor.Once Found/Determined the

    Ensuing/Enabled Technologies

    should be SeriouslyRevolutionary,including wrt