potential pitfalls to high-z sne

7
1 Universe is Made up of normal matter Choice A (Theorists) Universe is Flat Inflation is correct Hubble Constant less than 60 Choice B (Observers) Universe is Open Inflation is wrong Hubble Constant less than 80 Choice C (people with few friends) Universe is Flat Universe is dominated by Cosmological Constant Zwicky’s SN Search from 1930s-1960s giving Kowal’s Hubble Diagram in 1968 Ib/Ic SN Contamination realised in 1984/5 1st distant SN discovered in 1988 by a Danish team (z=0.3) 7 SNe discovered in 1994 by Perlmutter et al. at z = 0.4 Calan/Tololo Survey of 29 Nearby SNe Ia completed in 1994 High-Z SN Ia History Potential Pitfalls to High-Z SNe Potential Pitfalls to High-Z SNe Ia Distances Ia Distances • Extinction Are the Extinction Properties of High-Z and low-Z SNe the same? • Evolution Are the SNe Seen today the same as the SNe of yesterday? Selection Effects? Are the corrections larger than the measurement? • K-corrections How accurately can we transform to the restframe? Gravitational Lensing Does Weak Lensing significantly bias the measurement? z Distance N brightness Selection Effects/Malmquist Bias

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Page 1: Potential Pitfalls to High-Z SNe

1

Universe is Made up of normal matter

Choice A (Theorists)Universe is FlatInflation is correctHubble Constant less than 60

Choice B (Observers)Universe is OpenInflation is wrongHubble Constant less than 80

Choice C (people with few friends)Universe is FlatUniverse is dominated by Cosmological Constant

Zwicky’s SN Search from 1930s-1960sgiving Kowal’s Hubble Diagram in 1968

Ib/Ic SN Contamination realised in 1984/5

1st distant SN discovered in 1988 by aDanish team (z=0.3)

7 SNe discovered in 1994 by Perlmutteret al. at z = 0.4

Calan/Tololo Survey of 29 Nearby SNeIa completed in 1994

High-Z SN Ia History

Potential Pitfalls to High-Z SNePotential Pitfalls to High-Z SNeIa DistancesIa Distances

• Extinction– Are the Extinction Properties of High-Z and low-Z SNe the

same?

• Evolution– Are the SNe Seen today the same as the SNe of yesterday?

• Selection Effects?– Are the corrections larger than the measurement?

• K-corrections– How accurately can we transform to the restframe?

• Gravitational Lensing– Does Weak Lensing significantly bias the measurement?

z

Dis

tan

ce

N

brightness

Selection Effects/Malmquist Bias

Page 2: Potential Pitfalls to High-Z SNe

2

Selection EffectsSelection EffectsMonte Carlo SimulationMonte Carlo Simulation

0%

40%

80%Am

ount

Brighte

rth

an m

ean

Monte Carlo Simulations

• Play through complicated scenarios on acomputer.

• Do many trials to lower you uncertainty• Easy way to learn simulate very complicated

situations

• Example : Craps– Rules. On first roll of two dice, 7,11 you

win…2,3,12 you lose. Otherwise, you need tomatch your first roll before rolling another 7 (or youlose). What are your odds?

Craps – simulation…3 different goes…

Precision

• Monte Carlo simulations are just like anexperiment…

• Precision increases as thesqrt(measurements).

• You will have a problem in the secondround where you need to do a MonteCarlo Calculation.

K-CorrectionsK-Corrections

As the light of an object become redshifted,we see it at different wavelengths

B band (440nm)

Z=0 Z=0.5

R band (650nm)

!

mi = Mi + 5log(DL /10pc)

(m "M) # 5logDL

10pc

$

% &

'

( )

F(*,z)d* =

L*

(1+ z)

$

% &

'

( ) d*

(1+ z)

4+DL

2

mi = Zi " 2.5logSi(*)F(*)d*,Si(*)d*,

Mi = Zi " 2.5logSi(*)L(*)d*,Si(*)d*,

1

4+ (10pc)2$

% &

'

( )

mi(z) = Zi " 2.5log

Si(*)

L*

(1+ z)

$

% &

'

( ) d*

(1+ z)

4+DL

2,

Si(*)d*,

(mi(z) "Mi) = Zi " 2.5log

Si(*)

L*

(1+ z)

$

% &

'

( ) d*

(1+ z)

4+DL

2,

Si(*)d*,

$

%

& & & & & & &

'

(

) ) ) ) ) ) )

" Zi " 2.5logSi(*)L(*)d*,Si(*)d*,

1

4+ (10pc)2$

% &

'

( )

$

% & &

'

( ) )

!

(mi(z) "Mi) = 2.5logSi(#)L(#)d#$

Si(#)L#

(1+ z)

%

& '

(

) * d#

(1+ z)$

%

&

' ' ' '

(

)

* * * *

+ 5logDL

10pc

%

& '

(

) *

(m "M) = (mi(z) "Mi) "Ki

where,

Ki(z) = 2.5log (1+ z)Si(#)L(#)d#$

Si(#)L#

(1+ z)

%

& '

(

) * d#$

+

,

- - - -

.

/

0 0 0 0

analagous for two different filters is

(m "M) = (mi(z) "M j ) "Kij (z),

where

Kij (z) = 2.5log (1+ z)Si(#)L(#)d#$

S j (#)L(# /(1+ z))d#$

+

, - -

.

/ 0 0

+ Z j " Zi

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

Photometry and K-corrections

definition of absolute mag

definition of distance modulus

Flux of redshiftedsource

definition of mag

Page 3: Potential Pitfalls to High-Z SNe

3

K-CorrectionsK-Corrections

ij

j

i

ij

i

i

i

i

i

ii

ZZdzFS

dFSzK

dzFS

dFSzK

dS

dFSZm

!+""

#

$

%%

&

'

++=

""

#

$

%%

&

'

++=

!=

((

((

((

)))

)))

)))

)))

))

)))

))1/(()(

)()()1(log5.2

))1/(()(

)()()1(log5.2

)(

)()(log5.2

Kim et al. 1996

iijj MKmMm !!=! )(

e.g SN Ia at z=0.5 has R=22.2 and K-Corr (R->B) =–0.75 and MB =-19.5its (m-M) = 22.2 + 0.75 + 19.5 = 42.45

S. Perlmutter, G . Aldering, S. Deustua, S. Fabbro, G . Goldhaber, D. G room,A. Kim, M. Kim, R. Knop, P. Nugent, (LBL & CfPA)N. Walton (Isaac Newton G roup)A. Fruchter, N. Panagia (STSci)A. Goobar (Univ of Stockholm)R. Pa in (IN2P3, Paris)I. Hook, C . Lidman (ESO)M. DellaValle (Univ of Padova)R. Ellis (CalTech)R. McMahon (IofA, Cambridge)B. Schaefer (Yale)P. Ruiz-Lapuente (Univ of Barcelona)H. Newberg (Fermilab)C. Pennypacker

• Brian Schmidt (ANU)• Nick Suntzeff, Bob Schommer, Chris Smith (CTIO)• Mark Phillips (Carnegie)• Bruno Leibundgut and Jason Spyromilio (ESO)• Bob Kirshner, Peter Challis, Tom Matheson (Harvard)• Alex Filippenko, Weidong Li, Saurabh Jha (Berkeley)• Peter Garnavich, Stephen Holland (Notre Dame)• Chris Stubbs (UW)• John Tonry, Brian Barris (University of Hawaii)• Adam Reiss (Space Telescope)• Alejandro Clocchiatti (Catolica Chile)• Jesper Sollerman (Stockholm)

BrunoLeibundgut

John Tonry

Nick Suntzeff

Saurabh JhaChris Smith

Peter Garnavich

PeteChallis

Adam Riess

Alejandro Clocchiatti

Alex Filippenko

Jason SpyromilioChris Stubbs

Bob KirshnerMark Phillips

Mario Hamuy

Jose Maza

Bob Schommer

Ron Gilliland

Brian Schmidt

Tom Matheson

Gajus Miknaitis

Brian Barris

Stephen Holland

Weidong Li

Page 4: Potential Pitfalls to High-Z SNe

4

4 April

SN

28 April

Page 5: Potential Pitfalls to High-Z SNe

5

So What is the Dark Energy?One possibility is that the Universe is

permeated by an energy density,constant in time and uniform in space.

Such a “cosmological constant” (Lambda:Λ) was originally postulated by Einstein,but later rejected when the expansion ofthe Universe was first detected.

General arguments from the scale ofparticle interactions, however, suggestthat if Λ is not zero, it should be verylarge, larger by more than 1050 than whatis measured.

If dark energy is due to a cosmologicalconstant, its ratio of pressure to energydensity (its equation of state) is w = P/ρ =−1 at all times.

0!"#

M!"!#

1!"#

( )31 zM +!

"

"

#

Why Now?

So What is the Dark Energy?Another possibility is that the dark

energy is some kind of dynamicalfluid, not previously known tophysics, but similar to what causedinflation.

In this case the equation of state of thefluid would likely not be constant, butwould vary with time.

Different theories of dynamical darkenergy are distinguished throughtheir differing predictions for theevolution of the equation of state.

Unfortunately none of these theorieshas any particularly sound basis, andmost spend much of their timelooking like a CosmologicalConstant.

So What is the Dark Energy?An alternative explanation of the

accelerating expansion of the Universe isthat general relativity or the standardcosmological model is incorrect.

Whether general relativity is incorrect or theUniverse is filled with an unanticipatedform of energy, exploration of theacceleration of the Universe’s expansionmight profoundly change ourunderstanding of the composition andnature of the Universe.

Stolen from Karl Glazebrook

Current Results on w

• Supernova measurements of DL from z=0 toz=1.5 (Nearby, SCP, High-Z, CFHTLS,Essence, Higher-Z)

• BAO (+CMB constraint of acoustic scale atz=1089) measurement of 4% by SDSS at<z=0.35>

• ΩM measurement of 0.27± 0.03 via2dF+SDSS

• WMAP + LSS combined constraints

Page 6: Potential Pitfalls to High-Z SNe

6

Hubble has found 50 newSupernovae

Half beyond the reach of the ground

Higher-Z(Riess et al. ApJ in Press)

SNLS Austier et al. BAO Eisenstein et al.

Austier et al. CFHT Legacy Survey – assumes FlatUniverse And uses CMB + BAO measurement.

w=-1+/-0.1

Essence

MichaelWood-Vaseyet al. ApJSubmitted

w=-1.05±.13(0.13 mag sys)

Page 7: Potential Pitfalls to High-Z SNe

7

SNLS+Essenceusing MLCS2k2w=1.07 ±.0.09

Dark Energy looks like Λ

• As near as we can tell the Universe isexpanding just as a Cosmological Constantwould predict. (based on luminosity distancebetween z=0 to z=1.5 from SN Ia - andAngular-size distance (modified) betweenz=0.35 and z=1089) and power spectrum infofrom LSS+CMB.