potus radio june 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020 · proposals to move some money currently going to police...
TRANSCRIPT
© 2020 Ipsos 1
POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020
Clifford YoungPresident, Ipsos Public Affairs
© Ipsos2 ‒
Reuters/Ipsos Data. Conducted June 22-23, 2020
Right Direction/Wrong TrackALL ADULT AMERICANS
Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?
22%
67%
11%
All Adults
23%
68%
9%
All Registered
Voters
10%
85%
5%
Democratic Registered
Voters
46%
42%
12%
Republican Registered
Voters
7%
82%
11%
Independent Registered
Voters
Right Direction
Wrong Track
Don’t know
© Ipsos3 ‒
Reuters/Ipsos Data.
Most Important Problem Facing AmericaALL ADULT AMERICANS
In your opinion, what is the most important problem facing the U.S. today?
All Adults All Registered VotersDemocratic
Registered VotersRepublican
Registered VotersIndependent
Registered Voters
Economy generally 19% 20% 19% 21% 20%
Unemployment / lack of jobs 10% 9% 9% 9% 9%
War / foreign conflicts 1% 1% 1% 0% 3%Immigration 5% 5% 1% 11% 1%
Terrorism / terrorist attacks 3% 3% 2% 5% 1%Healthcare 16% 17% 23% 9% 24%
Energy issues 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%Morality 9% 9% 7% 12% 9%
Education 3% 3% 3% 2% 3%Crime 8% 8% 5% 13% 7%
Environment 5% 5% 8% 2% 5%Other 16% 17% 21% 13% 15%
Don’t know 3% 2% 1% 2% 4%
© Ipsos
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
4 ‒
Reuters/Ipsos Data.
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
In your opinion, what is the most important problem facing the U.S. today?
Healthcare
Immigration
Economy generally
Unemployment/jobs
Most Important Problem Facing AmericaALL ADULT AMERICANS
January 2012 December 2019 March 2020 May 2020 June 2020
Healthcare 6% 18% 28% 20% 16%
Economy +
Jobs65% 16% 20% 35% 29%
Immigration 3% 15% 9% 7% 5%
© Ipsos5 ‒
Reuters/Ipsos Data.
Donald Trump’s ApprovalALL ADULT AMERICANS
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President?Is that strongly (approve/disapprove) or somewhat (approve/disapprove)? (Asked of those who selected “approve” or “disapprove”) Q2b. If you had to choose, do you lean more towards approve or disapprove? (Asked of those who selected “don’t know”)
All Adults Registered VotersDemocratic
Registered VotersRepublican
Registered VotersIndependent
Registered Voters
Strongly approve 23% 25% 4% 56% 12%
Somewhat approve 14% 13% 5% 23% 17%
Lean towards approve 2% 1% 0% 1% 2%
Lean towards disapprove 2% 1% 0% 3% 2%
Somewhat disapprove 10% 9% 10% 7% 9%
Strongly disapprove 45% 49% 80% 9% 47%
Not sure 4% 2% 0% 1% 10%
TOTAL APPROVE 39% 39% 9% 81% 31%
TOTAL DISAPPROVE 57% 59% 90% 18% 59%
© Ipsos
Jan
20
-24
, 2
017
Fe
b 1
0-1
4,
20
17
Ma
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017
Ma
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4-2
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20
17
Ap
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1-2
5, 2
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Ma
y 1
2-1
6,
201
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Jun
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20
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Jun
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1-2
7,
201
7
July
14
-18
, 20
17
Au
g 4
-8, 2
017
Au
g 2
5-2
9,
20
17
Se
pt
15
-19
, 20
17
Oct
6-1
0, 2
017
Oct
27
-31,
201
7
Nov 1
7-2
1,
20
17
Dec 8
-12,
201
7
Dec 2
9, 2
017
- J
an
2,
201
8
Jan
19
-23
, 2
018
Fe
b 9
-13
, 2
01
8
Ma
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-6, 2
018
Ma
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3-2
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Ap
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Ma
y 4
-8,
20
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Ma
y 2
5-2
9,
201
8
Jun
e 1
5-1
9,
201
8
July
6-
10
, 2
01
8
July
27
-31
, 20
18
Au
gu
st 1
5-2
1
Se
pt
5-1
1,
201
8
Se
pt
26
-Oct
2, 2
01
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Octo
be
r 17
-23,
201
8
Nove
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r 14
-20
, 2
018
De
ce
mbe
r 5-1
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20
18
Dece
mbe
r 26
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8-…
Jan
uary
16
-22,
20
19
Fe
bru
ary
6-1
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19
Ma
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Ap
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, 20
19
Jun
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4-2
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201
9
July
15
-16
, 20
19
Au
gu
st 1
-5, 2
01
9
Au
gu
st 2
6-2
7,
201
9
Se
pt
16
-17
, 20
19
Oct
7-8
, 20
19
Oct
28
-29,
201
9
Nov 1
8-1
9,
20
19
Dec 9
-10,
201
9
Jan
uary
13
-14,
20
20
Fe
bru
ary
3-4
, 2
02
0
Ma
rch 2
-3, 2
020
Ma
rch 3
0-3
1,
20
20
Ap
ril 1
5-2
1, 2
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Ma
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Jun
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20
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Jun
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202
0
6 ‒
Reuters/Ipsos Data.
57%
39%
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President?
Total Approval
Total Disapproval
Donald Trump’s ApprovalALL ADULT AMERICANS
© Ipsos7 ‒
Reuters/Ipsos Data.
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the following issues? Coronavirus / COVID-19
Total Approval
Total Disapproval
Trump’s Approval on CoronavirusALL ADULT AMERICANS
38% 39%
47%49% 48%
42%48%
44% 43% 43% 41% 42% 41% 40%43%
40% 38%
47% 49% 47%44% 46%
53%48%
52% 53%50%
54% 52% 53% 54% 52%55% 57%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
March2-3
March9-10
March16-17
March18-24
March30-31
April 6-7
April13-14
April15-21
April27-28
May 4-5May 11-12
May 18-19
May 20-27
June 1-2June 8-9June 10-16
June 22-23
© Ipsos8 ‒
Reuters/Ipsos Data.
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the following issues? The US economy
Total Approval
Total Disapproval
Trump’s Approval on the EconomyALL ADULT AMERICANS
51% 47% 48% 50%53%
50%54%
50% 52% 51% 49% 48% 49% 48% 50% 49% 50%
42%45% 45%
42%41%
44%41%
44% 42% 42%45% 45% 44% 46% 44% 45% 45%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
March2-3
March9-10
March16-17
March18-24
March30-31
April 6-7
April13-14
April15-21
April27-28
May 4-5May 11-12
May 18-19
May 20-27
June 1-2June 8-9June 10-16
June 22-23
© 2020 Ipsos 9
PROTESTS / POLICE REFORM
© Ipsos
6% 3% 3%10%
14%
5%
26% 14%
12%
7%
18%
12%
29%
24%
33%
35%
39%
61%
19%29%
Total Democrat Republican Independent
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Somewhat oppose
Strongly oppose
Don't know
10 ‒
Reuters/Ipsos Poll Conducted June 10-16, 2020
Do you support or oppose the peaceful protests and demonstrations that have taken place across the country after the death of George Floyd?
Support for the Protests Following George Floyd’s DeathALL ADULT AMERICANS
© Ipsos
85%77%
73%64%
48% 47%
Protesters are angryabout the treatment ofblack people in police
custody
Peaceful protests anddemonstrations are anappropriate response
to the killing of anunarmed man by
police
Protestors are angryat President Donald
Trump
I am sympathetic topeople who are outprotesting right now
Protesters are lookingfor an opportunity to
loot or steal
Police are doing agood job handling
these protests
11 ‒
Reuters/Ipsos Poll. Conducted June 10-16, 2020
Please indicate how much you agree or disagree with each of the following statements…
Perceptions of ProtestsALL ADULT AMERICANS
% Agree (Net)
© Ipsos12 ‒
Axios/Ipsos Coronavirus Index. Wave 14; n=1,023
Vast Majority of Protests to Date Have Been PeacefulALL ADULT AMERICANS
Yes11%
No88%
Skipped1%
How much of a risk to your health and wellbeing do you think the following activities are right now? Going to protests, rallies or demonstrations
Total
As best you know, have people in your immediate family or circle of friends done the following in the last week? Attended an in-person protest or demonstration
% Large/Moderate risk
89%
87%
90%
88%
93%
88%
All Americans African AmericanDemocrat
HispanicWhite Republican
© Ipsos13 ‒
USA Today Poll Conducted June 8-9, 2020
How much do you trust the following, if at all, to promote justice and equal treatment for People of all races?
Racial Divides Regarding Trust in Individuals’ and Groups’ Ability to Promote Justice and Equality
ALL ADULT AMERICANS
14%
22%
71%
78%
28%
87%
57%
44%45%48%
45%
65%
50%
76%
38%40%
51%52%56%
60%
72%
President TrumpPolice unionsJoe BidenProtestorsLocal police and lawenforcement
Black Lives MatterU.S. military
White AmericansTotal Black Americans
© Ipsos14 ‒
Source: Ipsos https://risk-analytics.io/pages/george_floyd_protests.html
Protests still ongoing across the nation, more than two weeks after George Floyd’s deathVast Majority of Protests to Date Have Been PeacefulALL ADULT AMERICANS
16%
84%
Protest with observable violence
Peaceful protests
© Ipsos
38% 57%
90% 8%
79% 16%
15 ‒
American support for and opposition to…
Most Americans Oppose “Defund the Police” Movement But Still Support Reform Measures
ALL ADULT AMERICANS
With every stop, requiring officers to provide civilians with the officer’s badge number, name, and the reason for the stop
Community oversight in policing, including a police commission of civilians
Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health assistance, and domestic violence
Broken window policing where law enforcement focuses on policing low level offenses
The 'defund the police' movement
Proposals to completely dismantle police departments and give more financial support to address homelessness, mental health, and domestic violence
58% 34%
73% 24%
Support Oppose
Reuters/Ipsos poll. Conducted June 10-16, 2020
41% 53%
© Ipsos16 ‒
Do you support or oppose banning the use of chokeholds by police officers?
Majority of Americans Support Ban on Chokehold UseALL ADULT AMERICANS
Percentage of Americans who support banning the use of chokeholds by police officers
ABC News/Ipsos Poll Conducted June 17–18, 2020
63% All Americans
Republican
WhiteHispanic
Democrat
African American
© 2020 Ipsos 17
CORONAVIRUS
© Ipsos18 ‒
% Large/Moderate Risk
Perceived Risk of Outside Activities Continues to IncreaseHow much of a risk to your health and well-being do you think the following activities are right now?
ALL ADULT AMERICANS
Axios/Ipsos Coronavirus Index. Wave 1, n=1,092; Wave 2, n=998; Wave 3, n=1,355; Wave 4, n=1,136; Wave 5, n=1,098; Wave 6, n=1021; Wave 7, n=1021; Wave 8, n=1,012; Wave 9, n= 980; Wave 10, n= 1,009; Wave 11, n=1033;
Wave 12, n= 1,006; Wave 13; n=1,022; Wave 14; n=1,023
68%66%
57%64%
69% 74%68%
60%64%68%
66%63%
54%58%
62%64%
60%52%
57%
62%64%
59%52%
57%
62%62%
57%46%
55%58%
52%52%43% 45%
May15-18
May29-
Jun 1
Jun5-8
Jun12-15
Jun19-22
May15-18
May29-
Jun 1
Jun5-8
Jun12-15
Jun19-22
May15-18
May29-
Jun 1
Jun5-8
Jun12-15
Jun19-22
May15-18
May29-
Jun 1
Jun5-8
Jun12-15
Jun19-22
May15-18
May29-
Jun 1
Jun5-8
Jun12-15
Jun19-22
May15-18
May29-
Jun 1
Jun5-8
Jun12-15
Jun19-22
May15-18
May29-
Jun 1
Jun5-8
Jun12-15
Jun19-22
50%
Returning to
your normal
pre-COVID life
Dining in at a
restaurant
Going to a
salon, barber,
or spa
Shopping at
non-grocery
retail stores
In-person
gatherings of
friends/family
outside of
household
Returning to
your normal
place of
employment
Going to the
grocery store
© Ipsos19 ‒
Axios/Ipsos Coronavirus Index. Wave 14; n=1,023
Most Americans Will Stay Home, Avoid Public If NecessaryALL ADULT AMERICANS
If the following were to happen in your state, how
likely would you be to stay at home and avoid
others as much as possible?
% Very/Somewhat likely
The CDC issuing
guidelines for people in
your state to stay home
A new spike in cases in
your state
Your state’s governor
issuing guidelines for
people to stay home
Nearby hospital ICUs
reporting full or near-full
capacity
82%
81%
80%
80%
If there is a second wave of coronavirus
in your state, how likely are you to…
% Very/Somewhat likely
Social distance – stay
home and avoid others
as much as possible
Stop having gatherings
with friends and family
outside of the home
Stop going to
non-grocery retail
stores
87%
80%
74%
© Ipsos20 ‒
Axios/Ipsos Coronavirus Index. Wave 1, n=1,092; Wave 2, n=998; Wave 3, n=1,355; Wave 4, n=1,136; Wave 5, n=1,098; Wave 6, n=1021; Wave 7, n=1021; Wave 8, n=1,012; Wave 9, n= 980; Wave 10, n= 1,009; Wave 11, n=1033;
Wave 12, n= 1,006; Wave 13; n=1,022; Wave 14; n=1,023
Americans Are Self-Isolating LessHave you done the following in the last week?
ALL ADULT AMERICANS
48%
32%
23%19% 19% 19%
24%26%
32%
38%
45% 45%47%
49%
10%
39%
53%55%
53%
43% 43%41%
36%
35% 26% 27%25% 24%
March 13-16
March 20-23
March 27-30
April 3-6 April 10-13 April 17-20 April 24-27 May 1-4 May 8-11 May 15-18 May 29 -June 1
June 5 – 8 June 12-15 June 19-22
Visited friendsor relatives
Self-quarantined
% Yes
© Ipsos
We should restart the economy and allow business to reopen even if the virus is not fully contained.
21 ‒
ALL ADULT AMERICANS
RepublicanDemocrat
Source: U.S. weekly consumer sentiment tracker, Ipsos
37%39%
43%
49% 50%53% 52%
45%
58% 57%54%
48%
46%44% 45%
51%
April 28-29 May 5-6 May 12-13 May 19-20 May 26-27 June 2-3 June 9-10 June 16-17
Americans Divided on Whether Nation Should Reopen for Business
% Agree
© Ipsos© Ipsos22 ‒
Clifford Young President, Ipsos US Public Affairs
+1 312.375.3328
Cliff Young is President of Ipsos Public Affairs in the United States and also leads Ipsos' global election and polling risk practice.
He is a polling expert with specialties in social and public opinion trends, crisis management, corporate and institution reputation and elections.
Cliff is a contributor to POTUS Radio and has served as an expert commentator on Fox News and NPR, among others.
Cliff is also an adjunct professor at Johns Hopkins SAIS and an instructor at both Columbia University SIPA and University of São Paulo where he teaches courses on public opinion and election forecasting.(MORE BIO INFO: http://spotlight.ipsosna.com/index.php/author/clifford-young/)
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