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© 2020 Ipsos 1 POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 Clifford Young President, Ipsos Public Affairs

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Page 1: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© 2020 Ipsos 1

POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020

Clifford YoungPresident, Ipsos Public Affairs

Page 2: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos2 ‒

Reuters/Ipsos Data. Conducted June 22-23, 2020

Right Direction/Wrong TrackALL ADULT AMERICANS

Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?

22%

67%

11%

All Adults

23%

68%

9%

All Registered

Voters

10%

85%

5%

Democratic Registered

Voters

46%

42%

12%

Republican Registered

Voters

7%

82%

11%

Independent Registered

Voters

Right Direction

Wrong Track

Don’t know

Page 3: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos3 ‒

Reuters/Ipsos Data.

Most Important Problem Facing AmericaALL ADULT AMERICANS

In your opinion, what is the most important problem facing the U.S. today?

All Adults All Registered VotersDemocratic

Registered VotersRepublican

Registered VotersIndependent

Registered Voters

Economy generally 19% 20% 19% 21% 20%

Unemployment / lack of jobs 10% 9% 9% 9% 9%

War / foreign conflicts 1% 1% 1% 0% 3%Immigration 5% 5% 1% 11% 1%

Terrorism / terrorist attacks 3% 3% 2% 5% 1%Healthcare 16% 17% 23% 9% 24%

Energy issues 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%Morality 9% 9% 7% 12% 9%

Education 3% 3% 3% 2% 3%Crime 8% 8% 5% 13% 7%

Environment 5% 5% 8% 2% 5%Other 16% 17% 21% 13% 15%

Don’t know 3% 2% 1% 2% 4%

Page 4: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

4 ‒

Reuters/Ipsos Data.

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

In your opinion, what is the most important problem facing the U.S. today?

Healthcare

Immigration

Economy generally

Unemployment/jobs

Most Important Problem Facing AmericaALL ADULT AMERICANS

January 2012 December 2019 March 2020 May 2020 June 2020

Healthcare 6% 18% 28% 20% 16%

Economy +

Jobs65% 16% 20% 35% 29%

Immigration 3% 15% 9% 7% 5%

Page 5: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos5 ‒

Reuters/Ipsos Data.

Donald Trump’s ApprovalALL ADULT AMERICANS

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President?Is that strongly (approve/disapprove) or somewhat (approve/disapprove)? (Asked of those who selected “approve” or “disapprove”) Q2b. If you had to choose, do you lean more towards approve or disapprove? (Asked of those who selected “don’t know”)

All Adults Registered VotersDemocratic

Registered VotersRepublican

Registered VotersIndependent

Registered Voters

Strongly approve 23% 25% 4% 56% 12%

Somewhat approve 14% 13% 5% 23% 17%

Lean towards approve 2% 1% 0% 1% 2%

Lean towards disapprove 2% 1% 0% 3% 2%

Somewhat disapprove 10% 9% 10% 7% 9%

Strongly disapprove 45% 49% 80% 9% 47%

Not sure 4% 2% 0% 1% 10%

TOTAL APPROVE 39% 39% 9% 81% 31%

TOTAL DISAPPROVE 57% 59% 90% 18% 59%

Page 6: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos

Jan

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6 ‒

Reuters/Ipsos Data.

57%

39%

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President?

Total Approval

Total Disapproval

Donald Trump’s ApprovalALL ADULT AMERICANS

Page 7: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos7 ‒

Reuters/Ipsos Data.

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the following issues? Coronavirus / COVID-19

Total Approval

Total Disapproval

Trump’s Approval on CoronavirusALL ADULT AMERICANS

38% 39%

47%49% 48%

42%48%

44% 43% 43% 41% 42% 41% 40%43%

40% 38%

47% 49% 47%44% 46%

53%48%

52% 53%50%

54% 52% 53% 54% 52%55% 57%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

March2-3

March9-10

March16-17

March18-24

March30-31

April 6-7

April13-14

April15-21

April27-28

May 4-5May 11-12

May 18-19

May 20-27

June 1-2June 8-9June 10-16

June 22-23

Page 8: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos8 ‒

Reuters/Ipsos Data.

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the following issues? The US economy

Total Approval

Total Disapproval

Trump’s Approval on the EconomyALL ADULT AMERICANS

51% 47% 48% 50%53%

50%54%

50% 52% 51% 49% 48% 49% 48% 50% 49% 50%

42%45% 45%

42%41%

44%41%

44% 42% 42%45% 45% 44% 46% 44% 45% 45%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

March2-3

March9-10

March16-17

March18-24

March30-31

April 6-7

April13-14

April15-21

April27-28

May 4-5May 11-12

May 18-19

May 20-27

June 1-2June 8-9June 10-16

June 22-23

Page 9: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© 2020 Ipsos 9

PROTESTS / POLICE REFORM

Page 10: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos

6% 3% 3%10%

14%

5%

26% 14%

12%

7%

18%

12%

29%

24%

33%

35%

39%

61%

19%29%

Total Democrat Republican Independent

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Somewhat oppose

Strongly oppose

Don't know

10 ‒

Reuters/Ipsos Poll Conducted June 10-16, 2020

Do you support or oppose the peaceful protests and demonstrations that have taken place across the country after the death of George Floyd?

Support for the Protests Following George Floyd’s DeathALL ADULT AMERICANS

Page 11: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos

85%77%

73%64%

48% 47%

Protesters are angryabout the treatment ofblack people in police

custody

Peaceful protests anddemonstrations are anappropriate response

to the killing of anunarmed man by

police

Protestors are angryat President Donald

Trump

I am sympathetic topeople who are outprotesting right now

Protesters are lookingfor an opportunity to

loot or steal

Police are doing agood job handling

these protests

11 ‒

Reuters/Ipsos Poll. Conducted June 10-16, 2020

Please indicate how much you agree or disagree with each of the following statements…

Perceptions of ProtestsALL ADULT AMERICANS

% Agree (Net)

Page 12: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos12 ‒

Axios/Ipsos Coronavirus Index. Wave 14; n=1,023

Vast Majority of Protests to Date Have Been PeacefulALL ADULT AMERICANS

Yes11%

No88%

Skipped1%

How much of a risk to your health and wellbeing do you think the following activities are right now? Going to protests, rallies or demonstrations

Total

As best you know, have people in your immediate family or circle of friends done the following in the last week? Attended an in-person protest or demonstration

% Large/Moderate risk

89%

87%

90%

88%

93%

88%

All Americans African AmericanDemocrat

HispanicWhite Republican

Page 13: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos13 ‒

USA Today Poll Conducted June 8-9, 2020

How much do you trust the following, if at all, to promote justice and equal treatment for People of all races?

Racial Divides Regarding Trust in Individuals’ and Groups’ Ability to Promote Justice and Equality

ALL ADULT AMERICANS

14%

22%

71%

78%

28%

87%

57%

44%45%48%

45%

65%

50%

76%

38%40%

51%52%56%

60%

72%

President TrumpPolice unionsJoe BidenProtestorsLocal police and lawenforcement

Black Lives MatterU.S. military

White AmericansTotal Black Americans

Page 14: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos14 ‒

Source: Ipsos https://risk-analytics.io/pages/george_floyd_protests.html

Protests still ongoing across the nation, more than two weeks after George Floyd’s deathVast Majority of Protests to Date Have Been PeacefulALL ADULT AMERICANS

16%

84%

Protest with observable violence

Peaceful protests

Page 15: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos

38% 57%

90% 8%

79% 16%

15 ‒

American support for and opposition to…

Most Americans Oppose “Defund the Police” Movement But Still Support Reform Measures

ALL ADULT AMERICANS

With every stop, requiring officers to provide civilians with the officer’s badge number, name, and the reason for the stop

Community oversight in policing, including a police commission of civilians

Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health assistance, and domestic violence

Broken window policing where law enforcement focuses on policing low level offenses

The 'defund the police' movement

Proposals to completely dismantle police departments and give more financial support to address homelessness, mental health, and domestic violence

58% 34%

73% 24%

Support Oppose

Reuters/Ipsos poll. Conducted June 10-16, 2020

41% 53%

Page 16: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos16 ‒

Do you support or oppose banning the use of chokeholds by police officers?

Majority of Americans Support Ban on Chokehold UseALL ADULT AMERICANS

Percentage of Americans who support banning the use of chokeholds by police officers

ABC News/Ipsos Poll Conducted June 17–18, 2020

63% All Americans

Republican

WhiteHispanic

Democrat

African American

Page 17: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© 2020 Ipsos 17

CORONAVIRUS

Page 18: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos18 ‒

% Large/Moderate Risk

Perceived Risk of Outside Activities Continues to IncreaseHow much of a risk to your health and well-being do you think the following activities are right now?

ALL ADULT AMERICANS

Axios/Ipsos Coronavirus Index. Wave 1, n=1,092; Wave 2, n=998; Wave 3, n=1,355; Wave 4, n=1,136; Wave 5, n=1,098; Wave 6, n=1021; Wave 7, n=1021; Wave 8, n=1,012; Wave 9, n= 980; Wave 10, n= 1,009; Wave 11, n=1033;

Wave 12, n= 1,006; Wave 13; n=1,022; Wave 14; n=1,023

68%66%

57%64%

69% 74%68%

60%64%68%

66%63%

54%58%

62%64%

60%52%

57%

62%64%

59%52%

57%

62%62%

57%46%

55%58%

52%52%43% 45%

May15-18

May29-

Jun 1

Jun5-8

Jun12-15

Jun19-22

May15-18

May29-

Jun 1

Jun5-8

Jun12-15

Jun19-22

May15-18

May29-

Jun 1

Jun5-8

Jun12-15

Jun19-22

May15-18

May29-

Jun 1

Jun5-8

Jun12-15

Jun19-22

May15-18

May29-

Jun 1

Jun5-8

Jun12-15

Jun19-22

May15-18

May29-

Jun 1

Jun5-8

Jun12-15

Jun19-22

May15-18

May29-

Jun 1

Jun5-8

Jun12-15

Jun19-22

50%

Returning to

your normal

pre-COVID life

Dining in at a

restaurant

Going to a

salon, barber,

or spa

Shopping at

non-grocery

retail stores

In-person

gatherings of

friends/family

outside of

household

Returning to

your normal

place of

employment

Going to the

grocery store

Page 19: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos19 ‒

Axios/Ipsos Coronavirus Index. Wave 14; n=1,023

Most Americans Will Stay Home, Avoid Public If NecessaryALL ADULT AMERICANS

If the following were to happen in your state, how

likely would you be to stay at home and avoid

others as much as possible?

% Very/Somewhat likely

The CDC issuing

guidelines for people in

your state to stay home

A new spike in cases in

your state

Your state’s governor

issuing guidelines for

people to stay home

Nearby hospital ICUs

reporting full or near-full

capacity

82%

81%

80%

80%

If there is a second wave of coronavirus

in your state, how likely are you to…

% Very/Somewhat likely

Social distance – stay

home and avoid others

as much as possible

Stop having gatherings

with friends and family

outside of the home

Stop going to

non-grocery retail

stores

87%

80%

74%

Page 20: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos20 ‒

Axios/Ipsos Coronavirus Index. Wave 1, n=1,092; Wave 2, n=998; Wave 3, n=1,355; Wave 4, n=1,136; Wave 5, n=1,098; Wave 6, n=1021; Wave 7, n=1021; Wave 8, n=1,012; Wave 9, n= 980; Wave 10, n= 1,009; Wave 11, n=1033;

Wave 12, n= 1,006; Wave 13; n=1,022; Wave 14; n=1,023

Americans Are Self-Isolating LessHave you done the following in the last week?

ALL ADULT AMERICANS

48%

32%

23%19% 19% 19%

24%26%

32%

38%

45% 45%47%

49%

10%

39%

53%55%

53%

43% 43%41%

36%

35% 26% 27%25% 24%

March 13-16

March 20-23

March 27-30

April 3-6 April 10-13 April 17-20 April 24-27 May 1-4 May 8-11 May 15-18 May 29 -June 1

June 5 – 8 June 12-15 June 19-22

Visited friendsor relatives

Self-quarantined

% Yes

Page 21: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos

We should restart the economy and allow business to reopen even if the virus is not fully contained.

21 ‒

ALL ADULT AMERICANS

RepublicanDemocrat

Source: U.S. weekly consumer sentiment tracker, Ipsos

37%39%

43%

49% 50%53% 52%

45%

58% 57%54%

48%

46%44% 45%

51%

April 28-29 May 5-6 May 12-13 May 19-20 May 26-27 June 2-3 June 9-10 June 16-17

Americans Divided on Whether Nation Should Reopen for Business

% Agree

Page 22: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos© Ipsos22 ‒

Clifford Young President, Ipsos US Public Affairs

[email protected]

+1 312.375.3328

Cliff Young is President of Ipsos Public Affairs in the United States and also leads Ipsos' global election and polling risk practice.

He is a polling expert with specialties in social and public opinion trends, crisis management, corporate and institution reputation and elections.

Cliff is a contributor to POTUS Radio and has served as an expert commentator on Fox News and NPR, among others.

Cliff is also an adjunct professor at Johns Hopkins SAIS and an instructor at both Columbia University SIPA and University of São Paulo where he teaches courses on public opinion and election forecasting.(MORE BIO INFO: http://spotlight.ipsosna.com/index.php/author/clifford-young/)

Page 23: POTUS RADIO June 24, 2020 · 6/24/2020  · Proposals to move some money currently going to police budgets into better officer training, local programs for homelessness, mental health

© Ipsos© Ipsos23 ‒

About Ipsos

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