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Page 1: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Poverty,

Inequality, and

Development

Page 2: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-2

The Growth Controversy:

Seven Critical Questions

• What is the extent of relative inequality, and

how is this related to the extent of poverty?

• Who are the poor?

• Who benefits from economic growth?

• Does rapid growth necessarily cause

greater income inequality?

• Do the poor benefit from growth?

Page 3: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-3

The Growth Controversy:

Seven Critical Questions

• Are high levels of inequality always bad?

• What policies can reduce poverty?

Page 4: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-4

Measuring Inequality and

Poverty

• Measuring Inequality

– Size distributions (quintiles, deciles)

– Lorenz curves

– Gini coefficients

– Functional distributions

Page 5: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Table 5.1 Typical Size Distribution of

Personal Income in a Developing Country by

Income Shares—Quintiles and Deciles

Page 6: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Figure 5.1 The Lorenz Curve

Page 7: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Figure 5.2 The Greater the Curvature of the

Lorenz Line, the Greater the Relative

Degree of Inequality

Page 8: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-8

Figure 5.3 Estimating the Gini

Coefficient

Page 9: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Figure 5.4 Four Possible Lorenz

Curves

Page 10: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-10

Figure 5.5 Functional Income

Distribution in a Market Economy: An

Illustration

Page 11: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-11

Measuring Inequality and

Poverty

• Measuring Absolute Poverty

– Headcount Index

– Total poverty gap

– Where Yp is the absolute poverty line

– Yi is income of person I

TPG Y Yp ii

H

( )1

Page 12: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-12

Figure 5.6 Measuring the Total

Poverty Gap

Page 13: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-13

Measuring Inequality and

Poverty

• Measuring Absolute Poverty

– Average poverty gap

– Where H is number of persons

– TPG is total poverty gap

APGTPG

H

Page 14: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-14

Measuring Inequality and

Poverty

• Measuring Absolute Poverty

– Foster-Greer-Thorbecke measure

Pn

Y Y

Y

p ii

H

p

1 1

( )

Page 15: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Measuring Inequality and

Poverty:

• Measuring Absolute Poverty

– The Human Poverty Index (HPI)

Page 16: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Poverty, Inequality, and Social

Welfare

• What’s so bad about inequality?

• Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz

curves: some stylized typologies

– Traditional sector enrichment (see Figure 5.7)

– Modern sector enrichment (see Figure 5.8)

– Modern sector enlargement (see Figure 5.9)

Page 17: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Figure 5.7 Improved Income

Distribution under the Traditional-

Sector Enrichment Growth Typology

Page 18: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Figure 5.8 Worsened Income

Distribution under the Modern-Sector

Enrichment Growth Typology

Page 19: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Figure 5.9 Crossing Lorenz Curves in

the Modern-Sector Enlargement

Growth Typology

Page 20: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Poverty, Inequality, and Social

Welfare

• Kuznets’ inverted-U hypothesis

Page 21: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Figure 5.10 The “Inverted-U”

Kuznets Curve

Page 22: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Table 5.2 Selected Income

Distribution Estimate

Page 23: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Table 5.3 Income and Inequality in

Selected Countries

Page 24: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Figure 5.11 Kuznets Curve with

Latin American Countries

Identified

Page 25: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-25

Figure 5.12 Plot of Inequality Data

for Selected Countries

Page 26: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-26

Poverty, Inequality, and Social

Welfare

• Growth and inequality

Page 27: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-27

Figure 5.13 Long-Term Economic

Growth and Income Inequality, 1965-

1996

Page 28: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Figure 5.14 Change in Inequality in

Selected Countries, with or without

Growth

Page 29: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Absolute Poverty: Extent and

Magnitude

• Extreme Poverty

– $1-a-day headcount shows some progress

– Incidence of extreme poverty is uneven

Page 30: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Table 5.4 Regional Poverty

Incidence, 2004

Page 31: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Table 5.5 Poverty Incidence in

Selected Countries

Page 32: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Table 5.5 Poverty Incidence in

Selected Countries (continued)

Page 33: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Absolute Poverty: Extent and

Magnitude

• Growth and poverty

– Impact on per capita growth

– Limited saving and investment by rich in poor countries

– Impact on productivity

– Lack of home demand

– Incentives for public participation in the development process

Page 34: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Economic Characteristics of

Poverty Groups

• Rural Poverty

• Women and poverty (See chapter 8 for

more detail)

• Ethnic minorities, indigenous populations,

and poverty

Page 35: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Table 5.6 Poverty: Rural versus

Urban

Page 36: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Table 5.7 Indigenous Poverty in

Latin America

Page 37: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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The Range of Policy Options:

Some Basic Considerations

• Areas of intervention

– Altering the functional distribution

– Mitigating the size distribution

– Moderating (reducing) the size distribution at

upper levels

– Moderating (increasing) the size distribution at

lower levels

Page 38: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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The Range of Policy Options:

Some Basic Considerations

• Policy options

– Changing relative factor prices

– Progressive redistribution of asset ownership

– Progressive taxation

– Transfer payments and public provision of

goods and services

Page 39: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Summary and Conclusions: The

Need for a Package of Policies

• Policies to correct factor price distortions

• Policies to change the distribution of assets, power, and access to education and associated employment opportunities

• Policies of progressive taxation and directed transfer payments

• Policies designed to build capabilities and human and social capital of the poor

Page 40: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Case Study: Bangladesh

Page 41: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Concepts for Review

• Absolute poverty

• Asset ownership

• Character of economic

growth

• Deciles

• Disposable income

• Elasticity of factor

substitution

• Factor-price distortions

• Factor share

distribution of income

• Factors of production

• Foster-Greer-

Thorbecke (FGT)

index

• Functional distribution

of income

Page 42: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-42

Concepts for Review (cont’d)

• Gini coefficient

• Headcount index

• Human Poverty Index

• Income inequality

• Indirect taxes

• Kuznets curve

• Land reform

• Lorenz curve

• Neoclassical price-

incentive model

• Personal distribution of

income

• Poverty gap

• Progressive income

tax

Page 43: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Concepts for Review (cont’d)

• Public consumption

• Quintiles

• Redistribution policies

• Regressive tax

• Size distribution of

income

• Subsidy

• Workfare programs

Page 44: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Appendix 5.1: Appropriate Technology and

Employment Generation: The Price

Incentive Model

• Choice of techniques

• Factor Price distortions and appropriate

technology

• Possibilities of Labor-Capital substitution

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Figure A5.1.1 Choice of Techniques:

The Price Incentive Model

Page 46: Poverty, Inequality, and Development · Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare •What’s so bad about inequality? •Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized

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Appendix 5.2: The Ahluwalia-

Chenery Welfare Index

• Constructing poverty-weighted index of

social welfare

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Table A5.2.1 Income Distribution and

Growth in the Twelve Selected

Countries