power system economics

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POWER S POWER SYSTEM ECONOMICS STEM ECONOMICS (EKONOMIKA ELEKTROENERGETSKOG SUSTAVA) (EKONOMIKA ELEKTROENERGETSKOG SUSTAVA) Osijek, 2009.

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Lectures on Power System Economics and Cost Benefit Analysis

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Page 1: Power System Economics

POWER SPOWER SYYSTEM ECONOMICSSTEM ECONOMICS(EKONOMIKA ELEKTROENERGETSKOG SUSTAVA)(EKONOMIKA ELEKTROENERGETSKOG SUSTAVA)

Osijek, 2009.

Page 2: Power System Economics

POWER SPOWER SYYSTEM ECONOMICSSTEM ECONOMICS

Lecturers:

Assistant professor Damir Šljivac, PhD

Faculty of Electrical Engineering in Osijek

Power System Department

e-mail: [email protected]

Zoran Kovač, MSc

HEP Croatian Utility - Transmission System Operator

Transmission Area of Osijek

e-mail: [email protected]

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Page 3: Power System Economics

POWER SPOWER SYYSTEM ECONOMICSSTEM ECONOMICSTeaching assistants:

Krešimir Fekete, MEng Goran Knežević, MEngFaculty of Electrical Engineering

Power System DepartmentFaculty of Electrical Engineering

Power System Departmente-mail: [email protected]

D ij l T ić ME

e-mail: [email protected]

Danijel Topić, MEng

Faculty of Electrical Engineering

Po er S stem DepartmentPower System Department

e-mail: [email protected]

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Page 4: Power System Economics

DIE205 Power System EconomicsDIE205 Power System Economics

D - Master studies (cro. Diplomski studij)

I - Elective course (cro. Izborni kolegij)I Elective course (cro. Izborni kolegij)

E - Power systems (cro. Elektroenergetika)

2 - 2nd semester; 05 - elective course no. 05;

Teaching methods: Student assessment and examination methods:

• Lectures (30 hours)

• Problem solving (15 hours)

methods:• Seminars• Mid-term exams

• Lab practice (15 hours) • Lab preparations and reports• Final exam

5 ECTS credits

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Page 5: Power System Economics

R fReferences:

Steven Soft: Power System Economics, J. Wiley and Sons, New York, USA, 2002

De Paoli, L., Višković, A.: Ekonomija i politika proizvodnje električne energije, , , j p p j g j(Economics and Policies of Electric Energy Production), Kigen Zagreb, 2007.

Udovičić, B.: Elektroenergetski sustav (Power Systems), Kigen Zagreb, 2005.

H Nagel: Planiranje razdjelnih mreža (Distribution Network Planning ) Graphis Zagreb H. Nagel: Planiranje razdjelnih mreža (Distribution Network Planning ), Graphis, Zagreb, 1999.

Recommended additional references:

Goić, R.: Ekonomika u EES (Power System Economics), lectures, FESB Split, 2004./2005.

V.A. Levi: Planiranje razvoja elektroenergetskih sistema pomoću računara (Computer-j j g p ( paided Power System Planning), Stylos, Novi Sad, SCG, 1998.

R. Billinton, R.N.Allan: Reliability Evaluation of Power Systems, 2nd Edition, Plenum Press, New York, USA, 1996

T. W. Berrie: Electricity Economics and Planning, Peter Peregrinus Ltd., London, UK, 1992

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Page 6: Power System Economics

1 BASICS OF ENGINEERING ECONOMICS1 BASICS OF ENGINEERING ECONOMICS

LECTURESLECTURES

1. BASICS OF ENGINEERING ECONOMICS1. BASICS OF ENGINEERING ECONOMICS1.1. Fundamental terms of economics for engineers

definitions the main objectives of economic analysisdefinitions, the main objectives of economic analysis,actualization, payback analysis, optimization in power system

1 2 Costs and revenues1.2. Costs and revenues

cost estimation, life-cycle cost, cost categories, fixed cost, variable cost, marginal cost, revenue and profit functions

1.3. Time value of money

basic terms of actualization, cash flowchart, interest ratescalculation, amortization schemes

1.4. Investment payback

methods for economic appraisal of investments in power systems:systems:

PV - present value, FV - future value, IP - index of profitabilty, IRR - internal rate of return, PP- payback period

n

k

kk MARRMFPV

0)1(

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Page 7: Power System Economics

22 POWER CONSUMPTION MODELSPOWER CONSUMPTION MODELS

LECTURESLECTURES

2.1. Load Duration Curve

d fi iti f l d d ti t i l d d ti

22. . POWER CONSUMPTION MODELSPOWER CONSUMPTION MODELS

definition of load duration curve, consumer categories, load duration curve approximations

Pmax

Pmin

Variable (peak) load

2.2. Load forecasting

min

Constant(basic) load

g

factors affecting load patterns, load forecasting categories, load forecasting for the following year

2 3 Tariff model2.3. Tariff model

basic principles for tariff model determining, tariff models for electricity, tariff models for electricity in Croatia

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Page 8: Power System Economics

33.. COSTCOST--BENEFIT ANALYSIS OFBENEFIT ANALYSIS OFLECTURESLECTURES

3.1. Production cost calculating methodology

33. . COSTCOST BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF ELECTRIC ENERGY GENERATIONELECTRIC ENERGY GENERATION

g gy

production costs, investment cost, operational and maintenance costs, payback prediction analysis of selected type of the power plant

kn

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jk

kk aHaFaOMaI

PC

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3.2. Production costs of thermal power plant

investment costs production costs projected overall costs (NEA/IEA methodology) reinvestment costs, production costs, projected overall costs (NEA/IEA methodology), re-powering, analyses of different type of the power plants: thermo, nuclear, gas turbine, combine cycle gas turbine, integrated gasification combined cycle

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Page 9: Power System Economics

33.. COSTCOST--BENEFIT ANALYSIS OFBENEFIT ANALYSIS OFLECTURESLECTURES

3.3. Production costs of hydro power

33. . COSTCOST BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF ELECTRIC ENERGY GENERATIONELECTRIC ENERGY GENERATION

Hydroplant specific investments [€/kW]y p

plant

economic analysis, production costs, investment cost, operational and

investments [€/kW]

, pmaintenance costs, sensitivity analysis of hydro power plant production costs

3.4. Production costs of non-conventional power plantspower plants

projected costs (NEA/IEA methodology) for wind farms, small and micro hydro system solar PV power plant solarsystem, solar PV power plant, solar thermal power plant, CHP plants

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Page 10: Power System Economics

44.. COSTCOST--BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF ELECTRIC ENERGYBENEFIT ANALYSIS OF ELECTRIC ENERGYLECTURESLECTURES

4.1. Optimal power flows

44. . COSTCOST BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF ELECTRIC ENERGY BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF ELECTRIC ENERGY TRAMSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTIONTRAMSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION

4.1. Optimal power flows

goals of optimization, optimization of active and reactive power, power flow controlling devices, optimization limitsoptimization limits

4.2. Cost of transmission and distribution losses

t i i d di t ib ti l ltransmission and distribution losses, losses forecasting according to increasing load

4.3. Investment comparison

time value of investment money in transmission and distribution networks

4.4.Optimal selection of the transmission and4.4.Optimal selection of the transmission and distribution devices

overhead lines, cables, transformer, switching devices optimal selection

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devices optimal selection

Page 11: Power System Economics

55.. PROBABILISTIC COSTPROBABILISTIC COST--BENEFIT ANALYSIS INBENEFIT ANALYSIS INLECTURESLECTURES

5.1. Power system reliability

55. . PROBABILISTIC COSTPROBABILISTIC COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS IN BENEFIT ANALYSIS IN ELECTRICITY MARKETELECTRICITY MARKET

Electricity Market

definitions, mathematical models of components and power system reliability, power quality, reliability indices

5.2. Electricity market and power supply

RegulationRegulationDeregulationDeregulation

electricity market participants, responsibility for reliability of supply in electricity market environment, Usporedba Tipskih krivulja štete potrošača (SCDF) za tip kućanstva

prema paritetu kupovne moći100

Usporedba Tipskih krivulja štete potrošača (SCDF) za tip kućanstva prema paritetu kupovne moći

100

incentive schemes

5.3. Value of lost load

definition and estimation methods of1

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rivu

lja št

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potr

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a (in

t$/k

W)

HrvatskaK d

1

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rivu

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ete

potr

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a (in

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HrvatskaK ddefinition and estimation methods of

VOLL, customer interruption costs CIC, customer damage functions CDF 0

0

0 1 10 100Trajanje prekida opskrbe (h)

Tip

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kr KanadaDanskaVelika BritanijaNepalSaudijska Arabija

0

0

0 1 10 100Trajanje prekida opskrbe (h)

Tip

ska

kr KanadaDanskaVelika BritanijaNepalSaudijska Arabija

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Page 12: Power System Economics

LAB WORKLAB WORK

• 20 computers20 computers

• 27 students

• 6 lab practices• 6 lab practices

TEMPUS EMSA L bTEMPUS EMSA Lab

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Page 13: Power System Economics

LabLab WorkWork practicepractice 1 2 :1 2 :LabLab WorkWork, , practicepractice 1, 2 : 1, 2 : LOSSES CALCULATION IN DISTRIBUTIVE NETWORKLOSSES CALCULATION IN DISTRIBUTIVE NETWORK

1 L i i l id d f d1. Losses in single sided fed distribution network

2. Losses in double sided feddistribution network

Different scenarios (replacing defined copper cables with aluminiumDifferent scenarios (replacing defined copper cables with aluminiumcables)

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Page 14: Power System Economics

LabLab WorkWork practicepractice 3 4 :3 4 :LabLab WorkWork, , practicepractice 3, 4 : 3, 4 : OPTIMAL POWER FLOW IN TRANSMISSION NETWORKOPTIMAL POWER FLOW IN TRANSMISSION NETWORK

• PowerWorld Simulator

• 3 Areas, 1 Superarea

• Economic dispatch

• Optimal power flow

• Calculation of production costs

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Page 15: Power System Economics

LabLab WorkWork practicepractice 5 6 :5 6 :LabLab WorkWork, , practicepractice 5, 6 : 5, 6 : COST COMPARISON OF STAND ALONE POWER SYSTEM COST COMPARISON OF STAND ALONE POWER SYSTEM FOR REMOTE AREA OBJECTFOR REMOTE AREA OBJECT

• Homer Software

• Wind Power

• Micro-hydro systemy y

• Battery

• Diesel generatorDiesel generator

• Converter

• Primary Load• Primary Load

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Page 16: Power System Economics

• Cost comparison of different scenarios (investment production• Cost comparison of different scenarios (investment, production, O&M costs)

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Page 17: Power System Economics

AUDITORIAL EXERCISESAUDITORIAL EXERCISES PROBLEM SOLVINGPROBLEM SOLVINGAUDITORIAL EXERCISES AUDITORIAL EXERCISES –– PROBLEM SOLVINGPROBLEM SOLVING

• solving numerical examples

• 7 terms (2 hours each)

• demonstration and individual problem solving

• exam at the end of each bj tsubject

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