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IEA 2019. All rights reserved. Power System Flexibility Campaign Paolo Frankl, Head of the Renewable Energy Division, IEA IEEJ, Tokyo, 11 June 2019 IEA IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

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Page 1: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

Power System Flexibility CampaignPaolo Frankl, Head of the Renewable Energy Division, IEAIEEJ, Tokyo, 11 June 2019

IEA

IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Page 2: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

2IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

Specific power system regions can be at higher VRE integration phases due to limited interconnection and VRE penetration. This can require market reforms to meet increased flexibility requirements

System integration: different phases

% V

RE o

f ann

ual e

lect

ricity

gen

erat

ion

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%VRE shares in total electricity generation by region in 2018

Phase 1 - No relevant impact on system Phase 2 - Minor to moderate impact on system operation

Phase 3 - VRE determines the operation pattern of the system Phase 4 - VRE makes up almost all generation in some periods

IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Page 3: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

3IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

Very high shares of wind & solar PV require reforms to attract investment at unprecedented level in grids & interconnections, flexible power plants, affordable storage & demand-side response

Flexibility is the cornerstone of tomorrow’s power systems

All sources of flexibility

needed

6

5

2

1

Mobilise existing power system

flexibility

4

3

Targeted investment in

flexibility needed

Phases of integration with variable renewables share, 2017Integration

phase

Wind and solar PV share of generation0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 90%80%

India

ChinaUnited States

IndiaChina

United StatesEuropean Union European Union

United Kingdom

Germany

Germany

United Kingdom

Phases of integration with variable renewables share, 2017 to 2030

Denmark

Denmark

CanadaCanada

IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Page 4: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

4IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

Campaign brings together a broad spectrum of actors and experiences from across the globe

The PSF Campaign NetworkIEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Page 5: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

5IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

Work on the campaign has been key to elevate innovative technical solutions to high-level policy discussions

More than 2 years of continuous work on power plant and system flexibility

Focus on thermal power plant flexibility for VRE integration

Focus on VRE, grids, demand response and storage for system flexibility

Focus on digitalisation, market design and sector coupling

Advanced Power Plant Flexibility

Power System Flexibility

CEM 8 CEM 9 CEM 10

IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Page 6: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

6IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

Power plants remain the largest source of flexibility

Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants; a range of strategies are available to unlock low-cost flexibility, many are non-technical solutions.

0

10

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30

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50

60

70

80

1 5 9 13 17 21 26 30

GW

November 2017

Other

Pumped storagehydro

Natural Gas

Hard coal

Lignite

Nuclear

Conventional electricity generation in Germany in November 2017

Source: Agora (2018b), Die Energiewende im Stromsektor: Stand der Dinge 2017

Advanced Power Flexibility •Clean Energy Ministerial Campaign,14 partner countries and 14 industry and NGO partners

•Results published at CEM9

•Continued with broader scope: Power System Flexibility

IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Page 7: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

7IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

Status of Power System Transformation 2019

Focus on: Power System Flexibility

Co-authored by:

Available at:

https://webstore.iea.org/status-of-power-system-transformation-2019

IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Page 8: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

8IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

The institutional context defines the set of instruments available to boost power system flexibility. Enabling new services and roles may also require rethinking the institutional framework.

Identifying and engaging with the right actor at each level is key

Policy, market and regulatory frameworks (“How”)

Hardware and infrastructure (“What”)Institutions and actors (“Who”)

Typical decision makers Categories of interventions Asset types

Energy strategies

Legal frameworks

Policies and programmes

Regulatory frameworks and decisions

Power sector planning exercises

Retail electricity pricing

Power market rules and codes

System operation protocols

Connection codes

Energy ministry

Regulatory agency

System operator, electric utility, standards body

IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Page 9: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

9IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

Redefining grid codes, ancillary service prequalification requirements and remuneration schemes are needed to tap into the flexibility potential from VRE. This strongly depends on the institutional framework.

All power system assets can provide flexibility, including VRE

• Appropriate policy, market and regulatory frameworks can enable participation from a broad range of power system assets.

- Example: Tampa Electric Company (USA) study on system integration of PV

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%Ann

ual P

rodu

ctio

n Co

st S

avin

gs (%

)

Solar Penetration Potential (%)

Full Flexibility Downward Dispatch Curtailable Must Take

IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Page 10: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

10IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

Enhanced trade across regions can bring substantial cost savings and emission reductions by sharing flexibility resources more widely.

Electricity networks remain a critical enabler of system flexibility

• Inter-regional and international coordination can yield significant economic benefits- Example: IEA China Power System Transformation study (NPS scenario, 2035)

Potential for yearly 36 bn USD system cost reduction (9%) with economic dispatch

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Existing trade Flexible interregionaltrade

USD

/MW

h

Fuel cost Other O&M cost Carbon cost CO2 emissions

Costs

3 750

4 000

4 250

4 500

Existing trade Flexible interregionaltrade

Mt

CO2 emissions

IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Page 11: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

11IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

Prequalification requirements and the design of flexibility services are key to enable battery storage in flexibility services. Benefit stacking can increase financial viability but requires further regulatory review.

Batteries are becoming a cost-competitive flexibility provider• Changes to connection codes and

market rules enable participation by energy storage resources.

• Regulatory innovation is needed to unlock multiple benefit streams for storage resources in a system-effective manner.

• Example: Hornsdale Power Reserve participates in regulation, contingency reserve and energy markets in South Australia

FCAS: Frequency control ancillary services

IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Page 12: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

12IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

Allowing the aggregation of loads to meet market entry requirements, defining the role of an independent aggregators, and clarifying balancing responsibilities are key measures for DER contribution to system flexibility

Distributed energy resources offer significant flexibility potential

• Realising benefits from distributed energy resources depends on a variety of market rules and regulations that enable their participation

• Allowing the aggregation of loads is a typical measure, allowing distributed energy resource access to ancillary services

- Example: Fortum Spring Virtual Battery in Finland, aggregating loads of electric water heaters

IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Page 13: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

13IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

A new Clean Energy Ministerial horizontal accelerator focused on sector coupling will be considered in 2019 to broaden understanding and share experiences of this trend.

Sector Coupling addresses wider energy system decarbonisation• Sector coupling efforts have the potential

to enroll new flexible loads at scale to enhance power system flexibility.

• As all energy sectors are impacted there is a need for coordination of economic policies beyond the power system.

• Interlinkage of taxes and tariffs between various sectors of electricity, fuels, gas and bioenergy should not become barriers for wider system decarbonization

IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Page 14: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

14IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

Conclusions and the way forward

• Policy maker engagement with actors across the power system is a priority to unlock latent flexibility potential and de-risk investments.

• Regulatory innovation is essential to integrate new system resources for flexibility such as VRE, grids, storage and DER.

• Market reforms to provide clear price signals and new revenue streams are key to ensure flexible operation of existing assets and investment in flexible resources.

• In regulated contexts, regulatory innovations are key to recognise the value of flexible operations and new system resources as alternatives to conventional investments.

• The PSF campaign will push ahead in three areas of significant opportunity:

Digitalisation - Market design – Sector coupling

IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Page 15: Power System Flexibility Campaigneneken.ieej.or.jp/data/8535.pdfPower plants remain the largest source of flexibility Significant system flexibility lies latent in many power plants;

15IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

www.iea.orgIEA

IEEJ:July 2019 © IEEJ2019

Contact :[email protected]