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The 2019 European elections A pro-European – and young – electorate with clear expectations First results of the European Parliament post-electoral survey DG COMM Public Opinion Monitoring Unit

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Page 1: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

The 2019 European elections

A pro-European– and young –electorate with clear expectations

First results of the European Parliamentpost-electoralsurvey

DG COMMPublic Opinion Monitoring Unit

Page 2: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

ATTITUDES TOWARD THE EU

2

Page 3: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

5856 57

53 5254

60 60

6467 68 67 68

2931 31

3537 37

31 31

2523 24 24 24

13 13 12 12 119 9 9

11 108 8 7

Oct.-Nov.

2007

EB68.1

June

2009

EB71.3

Oct.-Nov.

2009

EB72.4

Spring

2010

EB73

May

2011

EB75.3

June

2013

EB79.5

Sept.

2015

EB84.1

Sept.-Oct.

2016

EB86.1

Sep.-Oct.

2017

EB88.1

Apr.

2018

EB89.2

Sept.

2018

EB90.1

Feb.-Mar.

2019

EB91.1

June

2019

EB91.5

Benefited Not benefited Don't know

5856 57

53 5254

60 60

6467 68 67 68

2931 31

3537 37

31 31

2523 24 24 24

13 13 12 12 119 9 9

11 108 8 7

Oct.-Nov.

2007

EB68.1

June

2009

EB71.3

Oct.-Nov.

2009

EB72.4

Spring

2010

EB73

May

2011

EB75.3

June

2013

EB79.5

Sept.

2015

EB84.1

Sept.-Oct.

2016

EB86.1

Sep.-Oct.

2017

EB88.1

Apr.

2018

EB89.2

Sept.

2018

EB90.1

Feb.-Mar.

2019

EB91.1

June

2019

EB91.5

Benefited Not benefited Don't know

BENEFITTED FROM BEING IN THE EU? 7 OUT OF 10 CITIZENS BELIEVE SO.

Page 4: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

IN 17 COUNTRIES MORE RESPONDENTS BELIEVE THAT THEIR COUNTRYBENEFITED FROM BEING A MEMBER OF THE EU

Page 5: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

NEVER BEFORE HAVE SO MANY CITIZENS BELIEVED THAT THEIR VOICE COUNTS IN THE EU.

38

34

42

34

3941

3937

43

47

48 48 49

5653

55 54

5957

5356

59

53

48

46 4745

39

911

47

46 5 4 4 5 6

46 5

June

2009

EB71.3

Spring

2010

EB73

June

2012

EB77.4

Nov.-Dec.

2012

EB78.2

June

2013

EB79.5

Nov.-Dec.

2014

EB82.4

Sept.

2015

EB84.1

Sept.-Oct.

2016

EB86.1

Mar.

2017

EB87.1

Sep.-Oct.

2017

EB88.1

Apr.

2018

EB89.2

Sept.

2018

EB90.1

Feb.-Mar. 2019

EB91.1

June

2019

EB91.5

Total 'Agree' Total 'Disagree' Don't know

38

34

42

34

3941

3937

43

47

48 48 49

5653

55 54

5957

5356

59

53

48

46 4745

39

911

47

46 5 4 4 5 6

46 5

June

2009

EB71.3

Spring

2010

EB73

June

2012

EB77.4

Nov.-Dec.

2012

EB78.2

June

2013

EB79.5

Nov.-Dec.

2014

EB82.4

Sept.

2015

EB84.1

Sept.-Oct.

2016

EB86.1

Mar.

2017

EB87.1

Sep.-Oct.

2017

EB88.1

Apr.

2018

EB89.2

Sept.

2018

EB90.1

Feb.-Mar. 2019

EB91.1

June

2019

EB91.5

Total 'Agree' Total 'Disagree' Don't know

Page 6: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

IN 23 COUNTRIES MORE RESPONDENTS BELIEVE THAT THEIR VOICE COUNTS IN THE EU

Page 7: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

TURNOUT IN THE

EUROPEAN ELECTIONS 2019

Page 8: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

HIGHEST TURNOUT FOR THE LAST 20 YEARS

Page 9: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

INCREASED TURNOUT IN 19 EU COUNTRIES

Page 10: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

HIGHEST MOBILISATION OF YOUNG VOTERSVoted 2014 Voted 2019 Diff. '19-'14

EU28 43 51 8

Gender

Man 45 52 7

Woman 41 49 8

Age

16/18-24 28 42 14

25-39 35 47 12

40-54 45 52 7

55 + 51 54 3

Education (End of)

15- 43 46 3

16-19 38 47 9

20+ 51 59 8

Still studying 37 51 14

Voted 2014 Voted 2019 Diff. '19-'14

EU28 43 51 8

Gender

Man 45 52 7

Woman 41 49 8

Age

16/18-24 28 42 14

25-39 35 47 12

40-54 45 52 7

55 + 51 54 3

Education (End of)

15- 43 46 3

16-19 38 47 9

20+ 51 59 8

Still studying 37 51 14

Voted 2014 Voted 2019 Diff. '19-'14

EU28 43 51 8

Socio-professional category

Self-employed 52 55 3

Managers 53 61 8

Other white collars 44 53 9

Manual workers 35 42 7

House persons 36 47 11

Unemployed 31 37 6

Retired 50 55 5

Students 37 51 14

Left-right political scale

Left 53 64 11

Centre 44 51 7

Right 54 66 12

Image of EU

Positive 59

Neutral 45

Negative 45

Voted 2014 Voted 2019 Diff. '19-'14

EU28 43 51 8

Gender

Man 45 52 7

Woman 41 49 8

Age

16/18-24 28 42 14

25-39 35 47 12

40-54 45 52 7

55 + 51 54 3

Education (End of)

15- 43 46 3

16-19 38 47 9

20+ 51 59 8

Still studying 37 51 14

Page 11: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

REASONS AND MOTIVATIONS TO VOTE

Page 12: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

CIVIC DUTY IS MOST OFTEN INVOKED AS THE REASON FOR VOTE, BUT COMPARED TO 2014 SIGNIFICANTLY MORE HAVE ALSO VOTED BECAUSE THEY AREIN FAVOUR OF THE EU,OR BECAUSE THEY FELT THEY COULD CHANGE THINGS BY VOTING.

Page 13: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

CITIZENS FOR WHOM CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE FUTURE OF THE EU ARE DECISIVEARE MORE LIKELY TO BELIEVE THEY CAN MAKE THINGS CHANGE BY VOTING

Decisive issues

ImmigrationEconomy

and growth

Social

protection of

EU citizens

Consumer

protection

and food

safety

Combating

climate

change and

protecting

the

environment

Promoting

human rights

and

democracy

Fight against

terrorism

The way the

EU should be

working in

the future

Combatting

youth

unemployme

nt

Security and

defence

policy

Protection of

external

borders

Protection of

personal

data

Other

(SPONTANE

OUS)

You can make

things change in

voting in the

Europe

19 20 22 23 25 23 19 24 19 20 22 21 11

Page 14: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

MAIN REASON FOR VOTING WAS CONVICTION THAT IT IS A CIVIC DUTY

Page 15: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

IN ALL EU COUNTRIES MORE RESPONDENTS ALSO VOTED BECAUSE THEY ARE IN FAVOUR OF THE EU

Page 16: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

UK, BELGIUM AND ROMANIA SHOW LARGE INCREASE OF VOTERS EXPRESSING DISAGREEMENT.IN SPAIN, PORTUGAL GREECE AND DENMARK THIS REASON LOSES IMPORTANCE.

Page 17: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

TOP ISSUES WHICH IMPACTED ON CITIZENS’ VOTING DECISION WEREECONOMY & GROWTH,CLIMATE CHANGEAS WELL ASPROMOTING HUMAN RIGHTS AND DEMOCRACY

Page 18: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

ECONOMY AND CLIMATE CHANGE WERE KEY VOTING DRIVERS IN MOST EU COUNTRIES

Page 19: PowerPoint Presentation · 2019. 7. 11. · Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Buruian, Alexandrina (KTBRU) Created Date: 7/10/2019 11:24:35 AM

METHODOLOGY

• Coverage: EU28

• Number of interviews: 27,464 respondents

• Population: General population aged 15 or more (post-election questions were filtered on respondents in the age of voting 18+ EU except 16+ in Austria and Malta, 17+ in Greece)

• Methodology: Face-to-Face

• Fieldwork: 07 - 26 June 2019

• Survey conducted by Kantar, commissioned by the Public Opinion Monitoring Unit, Directorate-General for Communication, European Parliament

CONTACT

European ParliamentDG CommunicationPublic Opinion Monitoring UnitPhilipp M. Schulmeister / Head of [email protected]