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National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington What’s New 2014-15 National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office Christopher Strong

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Page 1: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

What’s New 2014-15

National Weather Service

Baltimore/Washington

Weather Forecast Office

Christopher Strong

Page 2: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

Outline

• What’s New

• Other Discussion Topics

Page 3: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

New for 2014-15 Winter

• 2 New General Forecasters • Ashley Sears (NWS New York) • Andrew Snyder (NWS Wilmington OH)

• Still down

• 1 Senior Forecaster • 1 Entry Level Forecaster (Met Intern) • 1 Electronics Tech

Page 4: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

New for 2014-15 Winter

• More Geographically Precise Warnings • Central MD - NoVA • Starting Dec 3rd

Page 5: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

New for 2014-15 Winter

• More Geographically Precise Warnings • Blue Ridge • Starting Dec 3rd

Page 6: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

Winter Probabilistic Expansion

• Successful Test Here Last Winter

• Will Spread Up I-95 This Winter

– NWS Phili (Mt. Holly)

– NWS NYC (Upton)

– NYC Boston (Taunton)

Page 7: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

New Snow Color Curve

• All Across NWS’s Eastern Region

• Applies to:

– Snow Forecast

– Max/Min

• 13 bins

• 4 base colors

Page 8: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

• Problem:

– Snow Squalls

– Road Temps <30

– Highways

• Result:

– Multi-vehicle pileups

Variable Message Signs Initiative

Page 9: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

• Partnership with DOTs – Initially For Snow Squalls

• Message on variable message

signs on major highways. – Heavy Snow Ahead – Icy Roads

• Alerts motorists of dangerous

conditions ahead.

• Plan to initiate this winter.

Variable Message Signs Initiative

Page 10: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

Page 11: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

NWS’s Storm Prediction Center

• Effective Oct 22nd

• 3 tier 5 tier

• “See Text” – Now Mapped – Renamed “Marginal

• High-End “Slight” (hatched)

– Renamed “Enhanced

Page 12: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

Developing WeatherReady

• Local WeatherReady Recognition

– Self-Guided Checklists

– Hosted on our Website

– Grass-roots spread of Weather Ready Nation

– Testing locally with our Pilot Project

Page 13: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

Developing WeatherReady

• Any level entity:

– Stadium

– Family

– Business

– Parks

– Airports

– Schools

– etc.

Page 14: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

Developing Weather-Ready

• Weather Ready Nation Ambassadors

– Partner with NWS in spreading important info

– Available to Media

Page 15: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

Other Discussion Topics

Page 16: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

Not New, but Important

• SVR’s / TOR’s – Severe Tstm/Tornado Warnings

• Updated, Shrunk, Canceled, Expired with SVS’s – Severe Weather Statements

• SVS’s Also Contain – New information

• Spotters/Law Enforcement • Radar • Media • Confirmed Tornado Touchdowns • Confirmed Damage

Page 17: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

National Weather Association Conference

• Next Week

• Salt Lake City, UT

• Anyone going?

Page 18: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

Tidal Flooding

• What does it mean to you?

• Ever mention?

• Hurricane vs. Nor’easter vs. ‘Other’

– Any differences?

• Open Discussion

Page 19: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

Review of Winter Probabilistic

• http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winterdemo

• Open Discussion

Page 20: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

Open Discussion

• What are your biggest winter challenges?

• What have you learned from the government leaders here?

Page 21: PowerPoint Presentation - National Weather ServiceOutline •What’s New •Other Discussion Topics National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington New for 2014-15 Winter

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington

Christopher Strong

Warning Coordination Meteorologist

National Weather Service

Baltimore/Washington Forecast Office

[email protected]

(703) 996-2223 (my office)

(703) 996-2201 (24 hr direct to forecasters - unlisted)