[ppt]state of global retailing in russia - maurizio ammannato · web view36.6 today & tomorrow...

24
State of Global Retailing A Closer Look at Russia Artem Bektemirov, CEO Pharmacy Chain 36.6 NRF Annual Meeting 16 January 2005

Upload: phamhanh

Post on 17-Jun-2018

213 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • State of Global Retailing

    A Closer Look at Russia

    Artem Bektemirov, CEO

    Pharmacy Chain 36.6

    NRF Annual Meeting

    16 January 2005

  • Soviet-Style

    Retailing

  • Retailing Today

  • Shopping at Apteka 36.6

  • RUSSIA: #1 EMERGING RETAIL
    GROWTH MARKET

    A.T. Kearneys 2004 Global Retail Development Index

    RankingCountryCountry RiskMarket AttractivenessMarket SaturationTime PressureScore1Russia5656771001002India62349272883China7142629086

  • Market Growth: 10% annual growth in the next 5 years. Already one of the 10 largest retail markets in the world.

    Strong Economy: Driven by strong trade balance, growth in productivity and investment, and fiscal responsibility.

    Market Opportunities: With rising incomes, consumers seek greater quality and choice offered by modern formats.

    Government Support: Relatively liberal policies in consumer economy balance traditional hurdles.

    Strong Local Players Emerging: Russia retailers now emerging with operating efficiencies comparable to international benchmarks.

    WHY RUSSIA IS #1
    RETAIL GROWTH MARKET

  • RUSSIAS TWO ECONOMIES

    Consumer-BasedResource-Based% of GDP50%25%Growth Rate (2002-04)15-20%10-15%Govt InfluenceLimitedSignificantPrivatizationEntrepreneurial start ups after 1990sPrivatized State Resources in 1990sPolitical RisksAdequateVery HighCompany SizeSMEs and MMEsDomestic Blue ChipsConcentrationVaries by SectorHighInvestmentUnder-investedHighly-invested

  • Real growth of consumer income and retail turnover % y-o-y

    Source: State statistic committee, IRG estimations

    6-Year Annual Average:

    Retail:

    9.1%

    Income: 10.3%

    RUSSIAS RETAIL MARKET:
    $170 BILLION AND GROWING

  • RETAIL MARKET SEGMENTS

    Source: GKS, UFG, Euromonitor

    Annual

    Forecast Growth

    2004-2010*

    Electronics 15%

    DIY 14%

    Food 12%

    Cosmetics 11%

    Pharmaceuticals 9%

    *nominal USD, CAGR

    Pharmaceuticals

  • RUSSIAN RETAIL MARKET
    REMAINS FRAGMENTED

    5%

    Food

    36%

    Electronics

    9%

    DIY

    6%

    Pharmaceuticals

    Source: UFG Research

    Top-5 Players Marketshare

    Food:

    Metro

    Electronics: Eldorado

    Pharmaceuticals:

    36.6

    DIY:

    Starik

    Hottabych

    Top Russian

    Retailers

  • FOOD RETAIL:
    RUSSIA vs. INTERNATIONAL

    Sales per Square Meter (2002)

    USD

  • PHARMACY RETAIL CHAINS:
    RUSSIA vs. INTERNATIONAL

    Sales per Square Meter (2003)

    USD

  • RUSSIAN RETAIL: FUTURE TRENDS

    New Formats: New and different formats (DIY, convenience stores).

    Consolidation: Small chains bought by larger retailers.

    Regional Expansion: Cities with population +1 million.

    Foreign Retailers: Continued expansion over next 2 - 3 years.

    Large Format Retail: Trade centers and hypermarkets.

  • RUSSIAN RETAIL: MAIN BARRIERS

    Capital: Lack of investments for domestic retail chain development.

    Consumer Income: Low income of Russian population outside Moscow.

    Real Estate Shortage/Prices: Lack of space and high rental and purchase prices.

    Competition: Particularly with unorganized trade and open markets.

    Bureaucracy & Red Tape.

  • PHARMACEUTICAL
    MARKET FORECAST

    Source: Pharmexpert, RMBC, DSM, 36.6

    Moscow

    Regions

    Russia

    3,671

    4,038

    4,442

    4,886

    5,375

    5,805

    6,269

    2003-2009 CAGR*

    Russia

    9.3%

    Regions

    10%

    Moscow

    5.8%

    *Compound Annual Growth Rate

    USD Millions

  • PARA-PHARMACEUTICAL
    MARKET FORECAST

    *Includes medical devices (blood pressure meters, thermometers, glucometers, etc.), first aid (adhesive bandages, wound care materials, etc.), patient care products, specialty hosiery and support products.

    Source: Euromonitor, Pharmexpert, Supplier data, Internal estimates

    Dietary supplements

    Other*

    Total PPh

    343

    399

    477

    566

    667

    783

    911

    2003-2009 CAGR

    Total PPh

    18%

    Other

    20%

    Supplements

    15.8%

    USD Millions

  • COSMETICS AND TOILETRIES
    MARKET FORECAST

    Sources: AIPM/RMBC, UFG, GKS, Euromonitor

    GROWTH

    Y-o-Y, %

    MARKET

    USD billions

    Diapers 16.1%

    Sanitary

    Protection 15.5%

    Skin Care 14.6%

    Fastest Growing

    % CAGR

    (2003-2008)

  • Pharmacy Chain 36.6

    Russias Leading Health and Beauty Retailer

  • 36.6 AT A GLANCE

    sales in 2003. EBITDA was 9.3% in 2003.

    market capitalization. 20% of shares placed

    in 2003 IPO.

    topline annual growth: 30% in retail, 20% in

    manufacturing.

    in 7 Russian regions.

    purchases in 4th quarter 2004.

    in the generic portfolio of Veropharm.

    skilled personnel and experienced

    management team.

    250

    pharmacies

    145

    million

    25%

    290

    products

    6000

    employees

    147.8

    million

    7.3

    million

  • 36.6 EXPANSION

    250 pharmacies

    7 regions

    30 million

    customers

  • 36.6 IS RUSSIAS MOST
    RECOGNIZABLE BRAND

    Source: Gallup Media Survey, 2003

    Also leads in:

    attendance 49%

    purchases 40%

  • CUSTOMER VALUE PROPOSITION

    Convenient locations.

    Reliable quality products.

    Excellent shopping experience.

    Wide assortment.

    Competitive prices.

    We strive to increase the value of the company by providing our customers with a reason to come back.

  • 36.6 TODAY & TOMORROW

    By 2008:

    $800 million in sales

    10% of market

    60 million customers

    0

    5

    0

    1

    0

    0

    1

    5

    0

    2

    0

    0

    2

    5

    0

    3

    0

    0

    $55

    $76

    $45

    $45

    $39

    STORES

    2003

    SALES 2003

    USD millions

    36.6

    o3

    rigla

    first aid

    natur produkt

  • Address: 105082 Moscow,

    36 Bolshaya Pochtovaya str.

    Tel.: +7 (095) 792-5207

    Fax: +7 (095) 792-5206

    E-mail: [email protected]

    www.pharmacychain366.com

    5.8

    6.6

    7.5

    8.4

    9.4

    10.2

    11.1

    12.8%

    15.0%

    13.3%

    12.4%

    10.8%

    9.4%

    8.4%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    0.0

    2.0

    4.0

    6.0

    8.0

    10.0

    12.0

    617

    660

    706

    749

    786

    826

    867

    3,054

    3,378

    3,736

    4,137

    4,588

    4,979

    5,402

    2003

    2004F

    2005F

    2006F

    2007F

    2008F

    2009F

    11.9

    8.5

    8.9

    14.6

    10.2

    9.0

    9.0

    10.9

    9.2

    8.0

    9.2

    8.5

    0.0

    2.0

    4.0

    6.0

    8.0

    10.0

    12.0

    14.0

    16.0

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004F

    2005F

    Income

    Retail turnover

    163

    199

    237

    278

    322

    368

    413

    180

    200

    240

    288

    346

    415

    498

    2002

    2003

    2004F

    2005F

    2006F

    2007F

    2008F

    Apparel

    13%

    Other

    19%

    Food

    47%

    Furniture

    7%

    Consumer

    electronics

    4%

    Cosmetics

    & toiletries

    4%

    2%

    DIY

    4%

    72.4%

    67.2%

    63.2%

    63.0%

    62.6%

    58.9%

    56.2%

    56.2%

    52.3%

    51.2%

    36.6

    GUM

    TsUM

    IKEA

    Detsky Mir

    Starik Khottabych

    Technosila

    M.Video

    Okhotny Ryad

    Mir

    15500

    14080

    16500

    9400

    5600

    4900

    22000

    Tesco

    Sainsbury

    Safeway

    Morrisons

    Pyaterochka

    Perekrestok

    Sedmoy Kontinent

    7,000

    4,120

    7,500

    9,100

    Walgreen

    CVS

    Rite-Aid

    36.6