practical aspects of dam break analysis - sancold

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Practical aspects of dam break analysis Louis C Hattingh Hattingh Anderson Associates CC

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Page 1: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Practical aspects of dam break analysis

Louis C Hattingh

Hattingh Anderson Associates CC

Page 2: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Dam break analysis

• It is a model

• You need to understand what you model & have an idea of the answers that you expect

• Very little known inputs & lots of assumptions

Page 3: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Baldwin Hills Reservoir

Page 4: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

What is important?

• Mode of failure (including mechanism) – Breach width

– Time

• Assumptions – Reservoir water level

– Floods or sunny day

• Level of accuracy

Page 5: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Failure modes

• Internal erosion

• Structural

• Hydrologic

• Hydraulic

• Seismic

• Operational

• Other

Page 6: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Failure modes • Internal erosion • Structural

– Concrete gravity dams failures – Concrete arch dam failures – Concrete buttress dam failures

• Hydrologic – Overtopping

• Hydraulic – Failure due to erosion of rock – Failure due to overtopping of spillway walls and stilling basins – Stagnation Pressure Failure of Spillway Chutes – Cavitation Damage Induced Failure of Spillways

• Seismic – Failure of embankment dams during to seismic loads – Seismic failure of retaining walls

• Operational • Other

– Landslide failures and incidents – Trunnion Friction Radial Gate Failure – Drum Gate Failures

Page 7: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

El Guapo Dam, Venezuela

• Built 1975 to 1980 • No proper hydrologic studies - based on

similar basin • Spillway system

– Original uncontrolled ogee with downstream chute

– Tunnel spillway added after chute wall overtopping during construction

• Failure in 1999

Page 8: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

El Guapo Dam, Venezuela

Is not a flip bucket but a hydraulic jump basin

Page 9: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Flow outside the spillway chute

Walls Began to overflow at 1:15 am on 12/16/1999

Page 10: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Water level behind dam decreased at 9:00 am on 12/16/1999

12/1/2014 ENTRO Dam Safety Training

Module Louis

Hattingh

10

Page 11: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD
Page 12: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Water level rose again – erosion had undercut basin, chute and spillway weir at 4:00 pm on 12/16/1999

Page 13: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Approach channel collapsed at 5:00 pm on 12/16/1999

Page 14: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Flood wave reached 1st village at 6:00 pm on 12/16/1999 – reservoir lowered 30 meters in 40 minutes

Page 15: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Zoeknog Dam

• Weathered granites

• No provision for dispersive material during construction

• Incorrect blanket drain position

• No attention to piezometer warning during first filling

• Failed on 25 January 1993

Page 16: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD
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Gleno Dam, Italy

• 50 m high multiple concrete arch dam 213 m long

• Masonry gravity plug built in deep central valley gorge (use lime mortar instead of cement mortar)

• Original concrete gravity • Changed to multiple arch but not

approved

Page 22: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Gleno Dam, Italy

Page 23: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Gleno Dam, Italy

Page 24: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Gleno Dam, Italy

• 1923: – Failure of one of the buttresses leading to

multiple arch failure – 356 fatalities

• Change in design • Iffy concrete quality • Inappropriate material

– Lime mortar for masonry section • Settlement of masonry plug?

Page 25: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Malpasset Dam, France

• Thin arch dam 66.1 m high and 6.7 m thick at base

• Foundation = gneiss

• No foundation grouting or drainage features

• Designed by Andre Coyne

• Completed 1954

Page 26: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Malpasset Dam, France

Page 27: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Malpasset Dam, France

Page 28: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Malpasset Dam

• 1959: – Failure

– 421 fatalities • View of left

abutment and thrust block following the failure

• Thrust block moved about 1 m into abutment and slightly d/s

• FAILURE MODE?

Page 29: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

• U/S dipping fault and D/S dipping foliation shear formed lt. abut block

• Arch thrust in direction of foliation decreased permeability

• Tensile stress at u/s face opened foliation shear

• Nearly full uplift developed on foliation

• Block slid out on fault (phi = 30o) and dam went with it

After P. Londe

Malpasset Dam, France

Page 30: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Kariba Dam, Zambia/Zimbabwe

• 128 m high concrete arch • Built between 1956 & 1959 • World’s largest artificial lake • Gated spillway sill = 33 m below crest • Spillway use created 80 m deep eroded

plunge pool over 20 years • Geological feature (discontinuity) in the

river section that was not picked up during planning and design

• Plans are abreast to deal with the issue

Page 31: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Kariba Dam, Zambia/Zimbabwe

Page 32: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Taum Sauk Dam, USA • Concrete-faced

earthfill “ring-dike” structure

• Upper reservoir of pumped-storage project

• Water routinely stored on 3 m high parapet

• NO SPILLWAY!!!

Page 33: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Taum Sauk Dam, USA

Page 34: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Taum Sauk Dam, USA • Membrane liner installed in 2004 • Reservoir level instrumentation could not

be reinstalled properly due to liner warranty issues

• Instruments were loose and not reading reservoir level properly

• Resetting of reservoir sensors did not account for settlement of embankment

• Alarms wired so high level and high-high level sensors needed to trigger for alarm

• Over-pumping was not detected and dam overtopped and failed

Page 35: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Taum Sauk Dam, USA

Page 36: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Taum Sauk Dam, USA

Page 38: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD
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Page 40: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

0.667

0.1000.100

0.0000.000

0.1000.100

0.667

0.831

0.658

0.6900.6200.580

0.845

0.000

0.100

0.200

0.300

0.400

0.500

0.600

0.700

0.800

0.900

0.000 20.000 40.000 60.000 80.000 100.000 120.000

Re

lative

le

ve

l (m

)

Chainage (m)

Spillway

Right bank of embankment

Left bank of embankment

Page 41: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Vaiont Dam, Italy • 265 m high concrete arch dam • Completed in 1960 • Left side reservoir foundation = steep

slopes in bedded limestone with clay interbeds

• 1 month after completion & after heavy rain = first landslide = 700 000 m3 & 2 m wave

• Exploratory adits, piezometers & level of reservoir adjusted to limit slide movement

Page 42: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD
Page 43: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Vaiont Dam, Italy

Page 44: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Vaiont Dam, Italy

Page 45: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Vaiont Dam, Italy • 1963

– Massive slide of 267 million m3

– 100 m high over dam wall – 2 600 fatalities – Arch survived

• Dam abondoned • Low strength clay layers between

limestone beds • Reservoir geology not fully

understood

Page 46: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Have you considered all relevant failure modes?

Page 47: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Practical example: Gariep Dam will be

destroyed should either Katse or Mohale Dam fail

Page 48: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD
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Page 50: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Katse Dam

Page 51: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD
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Failure mode?

Page 55: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

How to check

• Classical dam break/pull the plug

• Maximum discharge for sudden failure – Q = v x A

– v = 2/3 x (g x y)0.5

Page 56: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Mohale Dam

Page 57: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD
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Failure mode?

Page 61: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Uncertainty for both width & time

Page 62: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

300

250

200

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Breach width (m)

Time of breach

(minutes)

Mohale dam break @ Mohale

Page 63: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

300

250

200

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Breach width (m)

Time of breach

(minutes)

Mohale dam break @ Gariep

Page 64: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

The bottom line

• Katse Dam: – Peak flow @ Katse ≈ 500 000 m3/s

– Peak flow @ upper end of Gariep ≈ 28 000 m3/s

– Peak flow routed through Gariep ≈ 5 400 m3/s

• Gariep SEF: – 26 600 m3/s (unrouted)

– 16 000 m3/s (routed)

Page 65: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

The bottom line

• Mohale Dam: – Peak flow @ Mohale ≈ 320 000 m3/s

– Peak flow @ upper end of Gariep ≈ 18 000 m3/s

– Peak flow routed through Gariep ≈ 2 000 m3/s

• Gariep SEF: – 26 600 m3/s (unrouted)

– 16 000 m3/s (routed)

Page 66: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

300

250

200

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Breach width (m)

Time of breach

(minutes)

Mohale dam break @ Mohale

Page 67: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

300

250

200

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Breach width (m)

Time of breach

(minutes)

Mohale dam break @ Gariep

Page 68: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

What about 60 minutes?

Page 69: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

300

250

200

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Breach width (m)

Time of breach (minutes)

Mohale dam break @ Mohale

Page 70: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

300

250

200

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Breach width (m)

Time of breach (minutes)

Mohale dam break @ Gariep

Page 71: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Water levels & exceedance probabilities

Page 72: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

1 325

1 330

1 335

1 340

1 345

1 350

0.1

1

10

100

1000

10000

71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11

Re

lative

wa

ter

leve

l (m

)

Un

rou

ted

in

flo

ws (

m3/s

)

Time

Inflow (m3/s)

Water level

Page 73: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1 330 1 332 1 334 1 336 1 338 1 340 1 342 1 344 1 346 1 348 1 350

rese

rvo

ir e

xce

ed

an

ce

%

Relative water level (m)

Page 74: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Concluding remarks

• Understand your problem – failure modes

• Consider required accuracy level

• Knowledge of the uncertainties - use sensitivity analysis

• Check the model outputs

Page 75: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Acknowledgements

• Dr Chris Oosthuizen

• Dam Safety Surveillance – present & past

• Gregg Scott – formerly USBR

Page 76: Practical aspects of dam break analysis - SANCOLD

Good luck & enjoy