T H E T I M E F A C T O R

Precious Metals Calculating th    e Major Time cycles in the Gold and Silver markets

S E P T E M B E R . 2 0 1 1

‘My work on Major Time Frames and Sections of the Market was telling me that a major low was due and March 2001 was the time to buy.’

From that point in time gold commenced its greatest bull run ever.

Trading with the Time Factor – volume two

The Master Time cycles in Gold - explained

excerpts from Trading with the Time Factor - volume 2

When I first embarked on my study of the markets and how the Time Factor plays such a large role, I never imagined that it would one day lead me to being able to forecast future market turning points with such accuracy. Seeing the markets move with such exactness over and over again can make you at times expect that all major market movements need to start and end with the same Swiss clock like precision.

My early studies of Gann involved going back and finding historical data on commodity prices as far back as I could. I even went to the lengths of going through all the historical data Gann left behind in his book How to Make Profits in Commodities and recreating these into price charts on huge sheets of paper to see how past cycles had worked.

In early 2000, my study of the markets was quickly drawn to the gold market. My father and I had a broker at the time who was a perma-bull on commodity stocks, despite them having been beaten down for so many years.

Both dad and I had been looking at some fundamental research on the gold market, which suggested to us that the price of gold should be more than the price it was trading at. My father therefore sent me on a mission to analyse the time frames in the gold market to see if I could discover if any of this Gann stuff was also telling us that the timing was now right to buy…

[Using my time calculations] I had figured that March 2001 was the time period to look out for. As history shows, gold prices continued their move south reaching a final bear market low in August 1999 at $253.00 an ounce and after a brief spike in September and October 1999, gold prices eventually ground their way back down again, and double bottoms were finally achieved on 16 February 2001 and 2 April 2001 at around $255.00/oz [March 2001 being right in the middle]. The work I had done on Major Time Frames and Sections of the Market was telling me a major low was due and that we should now be looking for the buy.

GOLDThe Major Time cycles ending the bear market

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1ST CYCLE 2ND CYCLE 3RD CYCLE

THE MASTER TIME FACTOR

MAR 2001 JAN 1993 FEB 1985

GOLD – Major Time cycles (bear market lows)

Between February and April 2001, gold made a final bear market low. Prices then advanced by more than 700% .

The major time cycle which ended the 20 year bear market in Gold also ended the bull market run to the all-time high in Sept 2011.

And it was accurate to within a week.

These calculations and how you could have predicted them are explained in – Trading with the Time Factor

GOLD – Major Time cycles

The end of the next Major Time cycle will complete in March 2022. It will be an important period to watch.

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MASTER TIME FACTOR – 1ST CYCLE

ACTUAL HIGH – 6 SEP 2011

TIME FACTOR - 2ND CYCLE

FORECAST DATE – 2 SEP 2011

SILVERTrading to Time in the Silver market

Forecasting key turning points in the silver market

I honestly believe that what you are about to learn in this chapter can be used as a standalone tool that can be used as a basis for trading the dates of your forecast market tops and bottoms.

The Trading Tools I am teaching you in this book will equip you with what is needed to forecast a future turning point in the market a year or more in advance – but it is important to remember that you won’t actually be able to buy or sell off that forecast until the day actually arrives.

In an earlier chapter, we walked through how to calculate when a major bull or bear market cycle is likely to begin and end using long term time frames. In almost all circumstances, those time frames you will be dealing with will be over 500 or even 1000 days… My trading to Time technique however, allows you to narrow that forecast to within one or two trading days.

By observing the markets closely… you will soon discover that the market will ‘tell’ you which date (or time) you should be looking for future tops or bottoms to occur.

It is for that reason, that I call this Trading Tool, “trading to Time”. The trading to Time technique will improve the accuracy of your long term forecasts and help you to pin-point the exact date of a forecast future market top or bottom.

(selected excerpts from Trading with the Time Factor – volume 2)

Each of the points identified represents a ‘trading to Time’ date.

I explain how to calculate these dates, simply in Trading with the Time Factor

SILVER – trading to Time

Each of the points identified represents a ‘trading to Time’ date. I explain how to calculate these dates, simply in Trading with the Time Factor

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For further information.

thetimefactor.com