prediction of oesophageal varices and its grades using the...
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375
ISSN 2286-4822
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EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH
Vol. V, Issue 1/ April 2017
Impact Factor: 3.4546 (UIF)
DRJI Value: 5.9 (B+)
Prediction of Oesophageal Varices and Its Grades
Using the Glycated Albumin to Glycated
Haemoglobin (GA/HbA1c) Ratio in Egyptian
Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
NOHA A. ELNAKEEB
EMAN EL-SAYED1
HOSAM S ELBAZ Department of Internal Medicine
Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt
AMIRA I HAMED
Department of Clinical Pathology
Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt
Abstract:
Many non-invasive methods have been proposed to evaluate the
presence and the grade of oesophageal varices (O.Vs). This work aimed
to assess the value of GA/HbA1c ratio as a non-invasive predictor of
OV and its grading. The study included 45 patients with established
liver cirrhosis and oesophageal varices (subdivided into 3 groups
according to the O.Vs grade), and 15 non cirrhotic patients as a control
group. The history, clinical examination, laboratory investigations,
ultrasound examination and Upper Gastrointestinal Endoscopy were
done for all subject & GA/HbA1c ratio was calculated. There was a
highly significant difference between patient and control, and between
different patients’ subgroups as regard the GA/HbA1c ratio and there
was a high positive correlation between the GA/HbA1c ratio and grade
of OVs in all patients’ subgroups. These findings are suggestive that
the increased GA/HbA1c ratio may be considered as a predictor for
presence of O.Vs and its grade.
1 Corresponding author: [email protected]
Noha A. Elnakeeb, Eman El-Sayed, Hosam S Elbaz, Amira I Hamed- Prediction of
Oesophageal Varices and Its Grades Using the Glycated Albumin to Glycated
Haemoglobin (GA/HbA1c) Ratio in Egyptian Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH - Vol. V, Issue 1 / April 2017
376
Key words: Glycated albumin, HbA1c, non-invasive predictors,
oesophageal varices.
INTRODUCTION:
According to the latest WHO data published in January 2015,
Liver cirrhosis Deaths reached about 41.4 thousand patients
representing the third leading cause of death in Egypt (WHO:
Egypt Health profile, 2015). Portal hypertension is a major
complication of liver cirrhosis and can be a direct cause of
variceal haemorrhage and of bleeding-related deaths.
The upper gastrointestinal endoscopy (UGE) is still the
gold standard method to diagnose early oesophageal varices
and its bleeding and further complications (Garcia-Tsao et
al., 2007). But endoscopy is costly, invasive technique and
unpleasant procedure that some “patients at risk” would never
agree to undergo UGE because of the perceived discomfort. In
addition, it is unclear how often patients should be screened
endoscopically for varices. Therefore, the importance of non-
invasive predictors for early diagnosis of oesophageal varices
has emerged.
Many studies in this field were done using platelet
count, Insulin resistance, splenomegaly, bilirubinemia, PT,
platelet count/spleen diameter ratio and serum fibrosis markers
but their accuracy remains limited (Madhotra et al., 2002;
Thomopoulos et al., 2003; Burton et al., 2007; De
Franchis,2008; Eslam et al., 2013)
Glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and glycated albumin
(GA) are indexes of glycemic control in patients with diabetes
mellitus. HbA1c depends on the lifespan of erythrocytes which
is about 120 d. Glycated albumin correlates with the plasma
glucose levels during the past few weeks because the turnover
of albumin is about 20 d. Although the ratio of GA/HbA1c is
usually close to 3, In patients with chronic liver disease (CLD),
Noha A. Elnakeeb, Eman El-Sayed, Hosam S Elbaz, Amira I Hamed- Prediction of
Oesophageal Varices and Its Grades Using the Glycated Albumin to Glycated
Haemoglobin (GA/HbA1c) Ratio in Egyptian Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH - Vol. V, Issue 1 / April 2017
377
hypersplenism shortens the lifespan of erythrocytes, leading to
lower HbA1c levels relative to the plasma glucose level. On the
other hand, the turnover periods of serum albumin in CLD
patients is prolonged as a compensatory mechanism for the
reduced production of albumin. Therefore, the GA levels in CLD
patients are higher relative to the degree of glycaemia (Koga
and Kasayama, 2010)
Indeed, the GA/HbA1c ratio has been reported to be
associated with the histological stage of liver fibrosis and portal
hypertension in HCV-positive CLD and non-alcoholic
steatohepatitis (Bando et al., 2009; Aizawa et al., 2012;
Sakai et al., 2012; Bando et al., 2012) This study aimed to
determine the relation between (GA/HbA1c) ratio and the
oesophageal varices presence and its grading, in Egyptian
patients with liver cirrhosis.
PATIENTS AND METHODS:
This case-control study included 45 patients with liver cirrhosis
of any Child-Pugh grade attending the Gastroenterology-
Hepatology department and endoscopy unit of internal
medicine department at Ain Shams University Hospitals, and
included 15 (non-cirrhotic) patients as a control group in the
period from May 2014 to April 2015.
Subjects were divided into two groups:
Group I: included 45 patients with liver cirrhosis, diagnosed by
the laboratory, endoscopic and ultrasonographic finings. This
group was further subdivided into 3 subgroups according to the
grade of the O.Vs and subsequently the risk of bleeding:
Group I A: 15 patients with grade I to II oesophageal varices,
"low risk group".
Group I B: 15 patients with grade III to IV oesophageal
varices, "medium risk group".
Noha A. Elnakeeb, Eman El-Sayed, Hosam S Elbaz, Amira I Hamed- Prediction of
Oesophageal Varices and Its Grades Using the Glycated Albumin to Glycated
Haemoglobin (GA/HbA1c) Ratio in Egyptian Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH - Vol. V, Issue 1 / April 2017
378
Group I C: 15 patients with oesophageal varices with red
signs, "high risk group".
Group II: 15 non-cirrhotic patients (as control).
Exclusion criteria: Diabetic patients, renal impairment,
previous history of upper GIT bleeding (Hematemesis &
melena) or any previous intervention for the oesophageal
varices, decrease RBCs life span like chronic haemolytic
anaemia, recent blood donation in recent three months, cases of
portal vein thrombosis and hepatocellular carcinoma.
All patients and controls were subjected to:
I. Full medical history taking and complete clinical
examination: With special stress on previous history
of chronic liver disease, symptoms of liver cell failure
such as (jaundice, bleeding and encephalopathy)
medical history of chronic disease as D.M. And
examination of liver and spleen size, ascites & signs of
liver cell failure as jaundice, palmar erythema and
encephalopathy.
II. Laboratory investigations: including Complete
blood count (CBC) and Erythrocyte sedimentation rate
(ESR), Liver function tests (aspartate
aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase
(ALT), serum albumin, total and direct bilirubin and
Alkaline phosphatase), Prothrombin Time (PT in
seconds), International Normalized Ratio (INR),
Fasting Blood Sugar (FBS), two hours post prandial
sugar, Renal function tests [Serum creatinine, Blood
Urea Nitrogen (BUN), urea]
III. Glycated albumin to glycated haemoglobin ratio:
Glycated albumin was measured by Sandwich ELISA
technique utilizing a commercial kit manufactured by
Glory Science. According to the manufacturer, the
Noha A. Elnakeeb, Eman El-Sayed, Hosam S Elbaz, Amira I Hamed- Prediction of
Oesophageal Varices and Its Grades Using the Glycated Albumin to Glycated
Haemoglobin (GA/HbA1c) Ratio in Egyptian Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH - Vol. V, Issue 1 / April 2017
379
assay range is 0.5 to 250 %. Glycated hemoglobin,
however, was measured by an HPLC assay on Biorad
automated system. The assay is linear up to a
concentration of 10 %. Then the GA/HbA1c ratio was
calculated.
IV. Abdominal ultrasound: To detect Portal Vein
Diameter (PVD), liver span and spleen bipolar
longitudinal diameter & ascites and to exclude other
organomegaly, portal vein thrombosis or
hepatocellular carcinoma.
V. Upper Gastrointestinal Endoscopy: Performed
after written consent from patients under sedation to
determine the grade of esophageal varices and the
grade of Portal Hypertensive gastropathy:
- Grading of OVs was done according to Paquet
grading system (Paquet., 1982):
Grade I: Microcapillaries located in distal oesophagus or
oesophago-gastric junction.
Grade II: One or two small varices located in the distal
oesophagus.
Grade III: Medium-sized varices of any number.
Grade IV: Large-sized varices in any part of oesophagus.
Red colour signs: are red wale marks as
longitudinal red streaks on varices, Cherry
red spots, Hematocystic spots (raised discrete
red spots overlying varices that resemble
"blood blisters", Diffuse erythema denotes a
diffuse red colour of the varix. (Bosch et al.,
2003). (Kim et al., 1997)
- Grading of Portal Hypertensive Gastropathy
(PHG): was done according to Baveno grading
system (De Franchis R, on behalf of the Baveno
VI Faculty, 2015).
Noha A. Elnakeeb, Eman El-Sayed, Hosam S Elbaz, Amira I Hamed- Prediction of
Oesophageal Varices and Its Grades Using the Glycated Albumin to Glycated
Haemoglobin (GA/HbA1c) Ratio in Egyptian Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH - Vol. V, Issue 1 / April 2017
380
Mild PHG: Fine pink speckling (scarlatina-
type rash), Superficial reddening Mosaic
pattern.
Severe PHG: Discrete red spots, Diffuse
hemorrhagic brown lesion
VI. Statistical analysis: The collected data was revised,
coded, tabulated and introduced to a PC using
Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS 15.0.1 for
windows; SPSS Inc, Chicago, IL, 2001). Data were
presented and suitable analysis was done according to
the type of data obtained for each parameter.
Descriptive statistics
Mean, Standard deviation (± SD) and range for parametric
numerical data, Frequency and percentage of non-numerical
data.
Analytical statistics
Student t- Test was used to assess the statistical significance of
the difference between two study group means. Analysis of
variance (ANOVA) test is used to determine the statistically
significant differences between the means of three or more
independent (unrelated) groups. Correlation analysis: Pearson's
correlation coefficient (r) test was used to assess the strength of
association between two quantitative variables. The correlation
coefficient defines the strength and direction of the linear
relationship between two variables.
P- value (propability test): to assess the level of significance
P>0.05=Non-significant (NS).
P≤0.05: Significant (S).
P≤0.01: Highly significant (HS).
Noha A. Elnakeeb, Eman El-Sayed, Hosam S Elbaz, Amira I Hamed- Prediction of
Oesophageal Varices and Its Grades Using the Glycated Albumin to Glycated
Haemoglobin (GA/HbA1c) Ratio in Egyptian Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH - Vol. V, Issue 1 / April 2017
381
RESULTS:
This study was conducted on 45 patients with liver cirrhosis
and oesophageal varices recruited from the Gastroenterology-
Hepatology department and endoscopy unit of internal
medicine department at Ain Shams University Hospitals in the
period from May 2014 to April 2015.They were (24 male & 21
female), their age ranged from 40 to 65 years old and mean ±
SD of 54.4 ± 5.79 years old. Fifteen non-cirrhotic patients of
matching age and sex, attending the department for other
complains were included as a control group.
Comparison between both patients and control groups:
showed nearly a highly significant difference regarding
different laboratory investigations (table 1). Also, comparing
the two groups regarding the ultrasound findings, there was a
highly significant difference as regards the splenic diameter
and the portal vein diameter (table 2). Comparison between
patients and control as regard Endoscopic results showed that
the mean ± SD of the number of O.V cords was (3 ± 0.8), PHG
was mild in 22 (48.9%) and severe in 17 (37.8%) of patients
group.
Table (1): Comparison between patients and control as regard
laboratory data.
Patients Control
Mean ± SD Mean ± SD t-test p-value Sig.
Hb (g/dL) 9.71 ± 0.60 10.83 ± 0.48 -6.474 <0.001 HS
Plt (X103/UL) 140.36 ± 53.98 377.27 ± 30.30 -16.114 <0.001 HS
AST (U/L) 53.93 ± 5.31 31.20 ± 7.86 12.656 <0.001 HS
ALT (U/L) 57.33 ± 6.46 30.40 ± 9.27 12.479 <0.001 HS
Alk.P (IU/L) 83.16 ± 26.40 64.93 ± 13.73 2.550 0.013 S
T.Bil (mg/dl) 1.15 ± 0.16 0.85 ± 0.09 6.548 <0.001 HS
D.Bil (mg/dl) 0.65 ± 0.09 0.45 ± 0.05 7.706 <0.001 HS
S.Alb (g/dl) 3.21 ± 0.48 4.43 ± 0.34 -9.032 <0.001 HS
PT (Sec) 17.89 ± 3.19 13.87 ± 1.06 4.769 <0.001 HS
INR 3.88 ± 16.64 1.02 ± 0.04 0.661 0.511 NS
Hb=haemoglobin, Plt=platelets, ALT=Alanine aminotransferase,
AST=Aspartate aminotransferase, Alk.P=alkaline phosphatase, T.Bil=Total
Noha A. Elnakeeb, Eman El-Sayed, Hosam S Elbaz, Amira I Hamed- Prediction of
Oesophageal Varices and Its Grades Using the Glycated Albumin to Glycated
Haemoglobin (GA/HbA1c) Ratio in Egyptian Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH - Vol. V, Issue 1 / April 2017
382
Bilirubin, D.Bil =Direct Bilirubin, S.alb=serum albumin, PT=prothrombin
time, INR=international normalized ratio.
Table (2): Comparisons between patients and control as regard
Ultrasound examination.
patients
Mean ± SD
Control
Mean ± SD
t-test p-value Sig.
Liver span (cm) 14.33 ± 2.74 13.33 ± 1.05 1.375 0.175 NS
Splenic diameter (cm) 17.58 ± 1.41 10.67± 1.40 16.512 <0.001 HS
PVD (mm) 16.5 ± 2.43 9.33 ±1.50 12.853 <0.001 HS
Ascites* 15 (33.34 %) - - - -
*is represented as the number (and %) of patients who had ascites.
Comparison between patient and control groups: there was a
highly significant (HS) difference (p<0.001) as regard glycated
albumin level (being higher in the patients group), comparing
the glycated Hb levels showed a highly significant difference
between both groups (being lower in the patients group), and by
comparing the GA/HbA1c ratio there was a highly significant
statistical difference between both groups being higher in the
patients group (GA/HbA1c ratio =3.03±0.11 in the control
group, and equals 4.3±0.57 in the patients group) (table3).
Table (3): Comparison between patients and control as regard
Glycated Alb, Glycated Hb and the GA/HbA1c ratio:
Patients
(Mean ± SD)
Control
(Mean ± SD)
t-test p-value Sig.
Glycated Alb (%) 15.86 ± 0.84 13.35 ± 0.42 11.006 <0.001 HS
Glycated Hb (%). 3.67 ± 0.34 4.37 ± 0.20 -7.601 <0.001 HS
GA/HbA1c Ratio 4.3 ± 0.57 3.03 ± 0.11 9.046 <0.001 HS
Comparison between the three patients’ subgroups: regarding
the laboratory investigations showed that there was a highly
significant difference as regards (Hb, Platelet count, Alkaline
phosphatase, total Bilirubin, serum Albumin and PT), also
there was a significant difference by comparing AST, ALT and
direct Bilirubin levels. And there was a highly significant
difference between different patient subgroups by comparing
Noha A. Elnakeeb, Eman El-Sayed, Hosam S Elbaz, Amira I Hamed- Prediction of
Oesophageal Varices and Its Grades Using the Glycated Albumin to Glycated
Haemoglobin (GA/HbA1c) Ratio in Egyptian Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH - Vol. V, Issue 1 / April 2017
383
the liver span, splenic diameter and Portal vein diameter, and a
significant difference as regard presence of ascites (table 4).
There was a highly significant difference as regards grade of
O.Vs and P.H.G (table 5).
Table (4): comparison between different cirrhotic patients’ subgroups
as regard laboratory data and U/S findings:
Group Ia Group
Ib
Group Ic ANOVA
(Mean ±
SD)
(Mean ±
SD)
(Mean ±
SD)
F P Sig
.
Hb (g/dl) 10.1 ± 0.49 9.79 ±
0.45
9.19 ± 0.45 16.348 <0.00
1
HS
Plt (X103/UL) 196.87 ±
51.87
129.47 ±
22.52
94.73 ±
13.45
35.924 <0.00
1
HS
AST (U/L) 52.00 ± 4.87 52.87 ±
5.79
56.93 ± 4.06 4.233 0.021 S
ALT (U/L) 54.73 ± 5.43 55.40 ±
6.21
61.87 ± 5.46 7.138 0.002 S
Alk.P (IU/L) 64.07 ±
17.60
82.60 ±
30.50
102.80 ±
12.13
12.178 <0.00
1
HS
T.Bil (mg/dl) 1.03 ± 0.12 1.11 ±
0.14
1.30 ± 0.10 20.262 <0.00
1
HS
D.Bil. (mg/dl) 0.70± 0.08 0.61±
0.11
0.64 ± 0.07 3.724 0.032 S
S.Alb (g/dl) 3.70 ± 0.38 3.11 ±
0.35
2.83 ± 0.22 28.724 <0.00
1
HS
PT (sec) 14.93 ± 2.12 18.13 ±
1.77
20.60 ± 2.67 24.656 <0.00
1
HS
INR 1.19 ± 0.14 1.4 ±
0.18
1.57 ± 0.22 1.015 0.371 NS
Liver span (cm) 17.73±1.91 13.00±1.
20
12.47±0.52 70.913 <0.00
1
HS
Splenic
diameter(cm)
16.27±0.70 17.73±0.
96
19.87±0.92 65.333 <0.00
1
HS
PVD (mm) 15.40±1.12 16.13±0.
83
16.5±1.19 100.00
3
<0.00
1
HS
Ascites* 0 (0%) 6 (40%) 9 (60%) 5.904 0.015 S
Hb=haemoglobin, Plt=platelets, ALT=Alanine aminotransferase, AST=Aspartate
aminotransferase, Alk.P=alkaline phosphatase, T.Bil=Total Bilirubin, D.Bil =Direct
Bilirubin, S.alb=serum albumin, PT=prothrombin time, INR=international normalized
ratio.
*is represented as the number (and %) of patients who had ascites.
Noha A. Elnakeeb, Eman El-Sayed, Hosam S Elbaz, Amira I Hamed- Prediction of
Oesophageal Varices and Its Grades Using the Glycated Albumin to Glycated
Haemoglobin (GA/HbA1c) Ratio in Egyptian Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH - Vol. V, Issue 1 / April 2017
384
Table (5): comparison between different cirrhotic patients’ subgroups
as regard Endoscopic findings:
Endoscopy:
Group Ia Group Ib Group Ic ANOVA
F P Sig.
OV
No of cords (mean±SD)
2.73 ± 0.88
2.93 ± 0.70
3.40 ± 0.63
3.142
0.053
NS
P.H.G
Mild [No (%)]
Severe [No (%)]
10 (66.67%)
9 (60%)
2 (13.33%)
26.266
<0.001
HS
0 (0%) 5 (33.4%) 13 (86.67%)
Comparing the glycated albumin values between the three
patients’ subgroups (table 6) showed a highly significant
difference, being highest in group Ic “the high risk “group
(mean ± SD is 16.64 ± 0.58 %). in contrast, the values of the
glycated Hb (HbA1c) were of the lowest values in the high-risk
group and there was a highly significant difference when
comparing the three groups. The GA/HbA1c ratio was
increasing with the increasing risk of bleeding, showing the
lowest value in the “low risk” group (3.77 ± 0.24) and the
highest value in the “high risk” group (5.03 ± 0.22).
Tables (6): comparison between different patients subgroups as
regard Glycated Alb, Glycated Hb and The GA/HbA1c ratio.
Group Ia Group Ib Group Ic ANOVA
Mean ± SD Mean ±SD Mean ±SD p Sig.
Glycated Alb (%) 14.97 ±0.51 15.96 ±0.37 16.64 ±0.58 43.327 <0.001 HS
Glycated Hb (%). 3.99 ±0.19 3.71 ±0.16 3.31 ±0.20 50.538 <0.001 HS
GA/HbA1c Ratio 3.77 ±0.24 4.31 ±0.22 5.03 ±0.22 118.877 <0.001 HS
Correlating the GA/HbA1c ratio with other laboratory, U/S
and endoscopic findings (table 7) showed that there was a
significant positive correlation between the GA/HbA1c ratio and
(the number of variceal cords and the PVD) in all subgroups. As
expected, the ratio also correlated with the Hb and serum
albumin levels. But non-significant correlation with (AST, ALT,
Alk.P, total Bilirubin, direct bilirubin, liver span and splenic
diameter). Platelet count was highly negatively correlated to
Noha A. Elnakeeb, Eman El-Sayed, Hosam S Elbaz, Amira I Hamed- Prediction of
Oesophageal Varices and Its Grades Using the Glycated Albumin to Glycated
Haemoglobin (GA/HbA1c) Ratio in Egyptian Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH - Vol. V, Issue 1 / April 2017
385
the AG/HBA1c ratio in the “High risk” group only. PT only
correlated to the ratio in the low risk group.
Table (7): Correlation between the GA/HbA1c ratio and the Other
Studied Parameters in the three patients’ subgroups
All parameters Group Ia Group Ib Group Ic
r p-value r p-value R p-value
Age 0.434 0.106 0.035 0.901 0.277 0.318
Hb -0.550 0.034* -0.626 0.013* -0.588 0.021*
Plt -0.072 0.798 -0.097 0.732 -0.693 0.004*
AST 0.364 0.183 -0.175 0.532 0.362 0.184
ALT 0.352 0.199 0.114 0.685 0.466 0.080
ALK.P 0.463 0.083 0.347 0.205 0.208 0.457
T.Bil. 0.215 0.442 0.062 0.826 0.033 0.907
D.Bil 0.249 0.372 -0.038 0.892 -0.315 0.252
S.Alb -0.532 0.041* -0.315 0.253 -0.745 0.001*
PT 0.561 0.029* 0.357 0.191 0.485 0.067
INR 0.619 0.014* -0.139 0.622 0.579 0.024*
Liver span -0.164 0.559 -0.268 0.335 -0.249 0.370
Splenic diameter -0.426 0.113 0.028 0.921 0.200 0.474
PVD (mm) 0.582 0.023* -0.584 0.022* 0.652 0.008*
Endoscopy
No of cords 0.871 <0.001** 0.379 0.032* 0.682 0.005*
Hb=haemoglobin, Plt=platelets, ALT=Alanine aminotransferase, AST=Aspartate
aminotransferase, Alk.P=alkaline phosphatase, T.Bil=Total Bilirubin, D.Bil =Direct
Bilirubin, S.alb=serum albumin, PT=prothrombin time, INR=international normalized
ratio.
*significant difference, **highly significant difference.
DISCUSSION:
Non-invasive tests of liver fibrosis have revolutionized the
management of chronic liver diseases. Compared with routine
clinical assessments, the non-invasive tests allow more
confident diagnosis of cirrhosis and can also reflect the severity
of cirrhosis and/or portal hypertension. They can therefore be
used to better select patients for varices screening and to allow
cost saving by reducing the number of endoscopies.
The Transient Elastograghy combined with platelet
count is the only recommended technique by The Baveno VI
panel (DeFranchis, 2015) to diagnose portal hypertension.
Noha A. Elnakeeb, Eman El-Sayed, Hosam S Elbaz, Amira I Hamed- Prediction of
Oesophageal Varices and Its Grades Using the Glycated Albumin to Glycated
Haemoglobin (GA/HbA1c) Ratio in Egyptian Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH - Vol. V, Issue 1 / April 2017
386
However, researchers continue to look for an ideal (accurate,
simple, inexpensive and easily reproducible) method.
A new biomarker based on a combination of metabolic
parameters that includes the GA/HbAc ratio had been proposed
as a useful tool for evaluating the risk of presence of
oesophageal varices in patients with liver cirrhosis.
In this study, we aimed to assess the role of GA/HbA1c
ratio as a screening test for the presence of oesophageal varices
in Egyptian patients with liver cirrhosis. The second aim was to
examine the possible correlation between the GA/HbA1c ratio
and the grade of O.Vs.
We found that there was a highly significant difference
between patients and control as regards the Glycated Albumin,
HbA1c and the GA/HbA1c ratio. as compared by mean values,
the GA/HbA1c ratio was (3.03) in controls and (4.37) in patients
group, suggesting that the increased (GA/HbA1c) ratio may be
considered as a predictor for presence of O.Vs. Furthermore, the
GA/HbA1c ratio was significantly higher in patients in the
“high risk varices group” as compared by mean value which was
increasing from group Ia (3.77) to group Ib (4.31) to group Ic
(5.03). There was a highly significant positive correlation
between the GA/HbA1c ratio and the grade of Oesophageal
varices suggesting that the increase of GA/HbA1c ratio is
associated with a higher grade of O.Vs and subsequently with
the risk of variceal bleeding and this was in agreement with
(Sakai et al., 2012).
Many previous studies (e.g. Madhotra et al. 2002;
Wang et al., 2012; Eslam et al., 2013) have documented good
predictive value of platelet count as a non-endoscopic variable
for the presence or absence of varices. In our study, there was a
highly significant difference between the three patients’
subgroups as regards the platelet count. In addition, there was
a highly significant negative correlation between the platelet
count and the GA/HbA1c ratio in the “high risk” group.
Noha A. Elnakeeb, Eman El-Sayed, Hosam S Elbaz, Amira I Hamed- Prediction of
Oesophageal Varices and Its Grades Using the Glycated Albumin to Glycated
Haemoglobin (GA/HbA1c) Ratio in Egyptian Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH - Vol. V, Issue 1 / April 2017
387
Also, several studies have evaluated other blood tests to predict
varices such as and AST-to-platelet Index (Tafarel et al.,
2011; Colecchia et al., 2011; Morishita et al., 2014). Also,
Park et al., 2009 developed a simple risk score comprising
bilirubin and platelets to predict Hepatic vein pressure
Gradient (HVPG) and his results agreed with Procopet
etal.,2015. In the current study, there was a highly significant
difference between different patients subgroups as regard liver
function testes: (Platelet count, total Bilirubin, S. Albumin, PT)
and also (Hb and Alkaline Phosphatase) were found to be better
in group Ia (low risk) and worst in group Ic (high risk O.Vs)
which suggested that there may be a relation between
progression of chronic liver disease and the degree of O.Vs and
this agrees with Tafarel et al (2011). Also there was a
significant difference between different patients subgroups as
regard (AST, ALT and direct Billirubin). (Chang et al., 2007)
agreed with our results that low serum albumin level and
prolonged prothrombin time were significant with the presence
of varices.
Many studies have adopted the ultrasound examination
findings as predictors to diagnose portal hypertension. In our
study, the PVD was highly significantly different in the three
patients’ subgroups. This goes in agreement with Hong et al.,
2009; and Cherian et al., 2011 who found that PVD was
significant with the presence of O.Vs. In addition, we found that
the GA/GHbA1c ratio was significantly correlated with the PVD
in all patients’ subgroups. Sharma and Aggarwal ,2007 in a
prospective study, observed that splenomegaly, increased liver
span and platelet count were the independent predictors for the
presence of large varices. In the current study, we also found
highly significant differences between the three patients’
subgroups regarding the liver span and the splenic bipolar
diameter values.
Noha A. Elnakeeb, Eman El-Sayed, Hosam S Elbaz, Amira I Hamed- Prediction of
Oesophageal Varices and Its Grades Using the Glycated Albumin to Glycated
Haemoglobin (GA/HbA1c) Ratio in Egyptian Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH - Vol. V, Issue 1 / April 2017
388
In conclusion, we describe a predictive model for assessing the
probability of the presence of O.Vs which can be used as an
initial screening tool in cirrhotic patients. So far, the available
data do not allow for the complete replacement of endoscopy in
OV screening, but may help in confirming the necessity of
endoscopy in those with suspected high risk of bleeding O.Vs.
Our findings indicate that the GA/HbA1c ratio predicts the
presence of oesophageal variceal and it can be considered in
prognostic models in patients with cirrhosis and portal
hypertension.
RECOMMENDATIONS:
Further prospective studies might be needed to find a cutoff
value of GA/GHba1c ratio and this might result in a
discriminating algorithm to predict which patients with
cirrhosis would benefit from early or regular endoscopy to
detect clinically significant varices. This cost effective
parameter may help identify patients with mild or no O.Vs who
may not need UGE to reduce costs and discomfort for these
patients and the burden on health system.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: The authors declare that there is
no conflict of interests regarding the publication of this paper.
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