preliminary program 2018 annual conference

73
Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 1 of 73 Pavilion Ballroom A 6/26/2018 1:00 PM5:00 PM WEAI LOUNGE Pavilion Ballroom Foyer 6/26/2018 1:00 PM7:00 PM REGISTRATION OPEN [1] Gulf Islands C 6/26/2018 2:30 PM4:15 PM Individually Organized Session PROGRAM EVALUATION AND TREATMENT EFFECTS: APPLICATIONS AND METHODS Organizer: Brigham R. Frandsen, Brigham Young University Chair: Brigham R. Frandsen, Brigham Young University Papers: Benjamin Hansen*, University of Oregon, NBER, and IZA Peer Effects and the Speed of Learning in New Market Entrants: Evidence from the Green Rush in Washington State Randall Lewis*, Netflix, and Jeffrey Wong, Netflix Incrementality Bidding and Attribution Kareem Haggag, Carnegie Mellon University, Richard W. Patterson*, United States Military Academy, Nolan G. Pope, University of Chicago, and Aaron Feudo, United States Military Academy Attribution Bias in Major Decisions: Evidence from the United States Military Academy Brigham R. Frandsen*, Brigham Young University, and Lars J. Lefgren, Brigham Young University Partial Identification of the Distribution of Treatment Effects with an Application to the Knowledge Is Power Program (KIPP) [3] Grand Ballroom C 6/26/2018 2:30 PM4:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association CRYPTOCURRENCY SESSION I: BITCOIN MARKETS, BEHAVIOR, AND ADOPTION Organizer: Gina C. Pieters, Trinity University Chair: Gina C. Pieters, Trinity University Papers: Nicole Jonkers*, De Nederlandsche Bank What Drives Bitcoin Adoption by retailers? Gerald P. Dwyer Jr.*, Clemson University, Jeremy Choquette, Clemson University, and Kyle Richard, Clemson University Bitcoin Exchanges Gianna Figa Talamanca*, University of Perugia, and Alessandra Cretarola, University of Perugia Bitcoin’s Rise and Fall and Market Exuberance Discussants: Wilko Bolt, De Nederlandsche Bank Gina C. Pieters, Trinity University Maarten van Oordt, Bank of Canada [4] Grand Ballroom D 6/26/2018 2:30 PM4:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association MONETARY POLICY: IMPLEMENTATION AND TRANSMISSION Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Eric Fischer, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Papers: Anthony Murphy*, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas The Death of the Phillips Curve Enchuan Shao*, University of Saskatchewan, and Kwabena Bediako, University of Alberta The Impact of Return on Collateral in a Channel System Diogo Duarte*, Florida International University, and Rodolfo Prieto, Boston University Equilibrium Implications of Interest Rate Smoothing Eric Fischer*, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco U.S. Monetary Expectations and Emerging Market Debt Flows Discussants: Enrique Martinez-Garcia, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Anthony Murphy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Pavel Kapinos, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Michael Connolly, Boston College [5] Junior Ballroom A 6/26/2018 2:30 PM4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session INTERNATIONAL TRADE POLICY AND TRADE NETWORKS Chair: Miguel D. Ramirez, Trinity College, Connecticut Papers: Barbara Dluhosch*, Helmut Schmidt University Trade, Inequality, and Subjective Well-Being: Getting at the Roots of the Backlash Against Globalization Evren Ors*, HEC Paris, Banu Demir Pakel, Bilkent University, Beata S. Javorcik, University of Oxford, and Tomasz Michalski, HEC Paris Financial Constraints and the Propagation of Shocks in Production Networks Miguel D. Ramirez*, Trinity College, Connecticut Economic and Institutional Determinants of FDI in the Chilean Case: A Times-Series Analysis, 1960-2015 Flavia Rovira*, Centro de Investigación Económica, and Marcel Vaillant, University of the Republic, Uruguay Preferential Trade Agreement Formation: Analysis of Determinants in a PTA Network with a Stochastic Actor Oriented Model Discussants: Evren Ors, HEC Paris Miguel D. Ramirez, Trinity College, Connecticut Flavia Rovira, Centro de Investigación Económica Barbara Dluhosch, Helmut Schmidt University [6] Beluga 6/26/2018 2:30 PM4:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session INTERNATIONAL PAYMENTS AND BUSINESS CYCLES Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Joshua Aizenman, University of Southern California Papers: Helen Huixian Zhang*, University of Auckland Can a Trade-Related International Payment System Prevent Speculative Currency Crises? Ping-Hung Chou*, Chien Hsin University of Science and Technology, and Jen-Jen Tseng, Chien Hsin University of Science and Technology Western Economic Association International 93rd Annual Conference Preliminary Program June 26–30, 2018 Sheraton Vancouver Wall Centre, B.C., Canada

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Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 1 of 73

Pavilion Ballroom A 6/26/2018 1:00 PM–5:00 PM

WEAI LOUNGE

Pavilion Ballroom Foyer 6/26/2018 1:00 PM–7:00 PM

REGISTRATION OPEN

[1] Gulf Islands C 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Individually Organized Session

PROGRAM EVALUATION AND TREATMENT

EFFECTS: APPLICATIONS AND METHODS

Organizer: Brigham R. Frandsen, Brigham Young University Chair: Brigham R. Frandsen, Brigham Young University Papers: Benjamin Hansen*, University of Oregon, NBER, and IZA

Peer Effects and the Speed of Learning in New Market Entrants: Evidence from the Green Rush in Washington State

Randall Lewis*, Netflix, and Jeffrey Wong, Netflix

Incrementality Bidding and Attribution

Kareem Haggag, Carnegie Mellon University, Richard W. Patterson*, United States Military Academy, Nolan G. Pope, University of Chicago, and Aaron Feudo, United States Military Academy

Attribution Bias in Major Decisions: Evidence from the United States Military Academy

Brigham R. Frandsen*, Brigham Young University, and Lars J. Lefgren, Brigham Young University

Partial Identification of the Distribution of Treatment Effects with an Application to the Knowledge Is Power Program (KIPP)

[3] Grand Ballroom C 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

CRYPTOCURRENCY SESSION I: BITCOIN

MARKETS, BEHAVIOR, AND ADOPTION

Organizer: Gina C. Pieters, Trinity University Chair: Gina C. Pieters, Trinity University Papers: Nicole Jonkers*, De Nederlandsche Bank

What Drives Bitcoin Adoption by retailers?

Gerald P. Dwyer Jr.*, Clemson University, Jeremy Choquette, Clemson University, and Kyle Richard, Clemson University

Bitcoin Exchanges

Gianna Figa Talamanca*, University of Perugia, and Alessandra Cretarola, University of Perugia

Bitcoin’s Rise and Fall and Market Exuberance

Discussants: Wilko Bolt, De Nederlandsche Bank Gina C. Pieters, Trinity University Maarten van Oordt, Bank of Canada

[4] Grand Ballroom D 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

MONETARY POLICY: IMPLEMENTATION AND

TRANSMISSION

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Eric Fischer, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Papers: Anthony Murphy*, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

The Death of the Phillips Curve

Enchuan Shao*, University of Saskatchewan, and Kwabena Bediako, University of Alberta

The Impact of Return on Collateral in a Channel System

Diogo Duarte*, Florida International University, and Rodolfo Prieto, Boston University

Equilibrium Implications of Interest Rate Smoothing Eric Fischer*, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

U.S. Monetary Expectations and Emerging Market Debt Flows

Discussants: Enrique Martinez-Garcia, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Anthony Murphy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Pavel Kapinos, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Michael Connolly, Boston College

[5] Junior Ballroom A 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

INTERNATIONAL TRADE POLICY AND TRADE

NETWORKS

Chair: Miguel D. Ramirez, Trinity College, Connecticut Papers: Barbara Dluhosch*, Helmut Schmidt University

Trade, Inequality, and Subjective Well-Being: Getting at the Roots of the Backlash Against Globalization

Evren Ors*, HEC Paris, Banu Demir Pakel, Bilkent University, Beata S. Javorcik, University of Oxford, and Tomasz Michalski, HEC Paris

Financial Constraints and the Propagation of Shocks in Production Networks

Miguel D. Ramirez*, Trinity College, Connecticut Economic and Institutional Determinants of FDI in the Chilean Case: A Times-Series Analysis, 1960-2015

Flavia Rovira*, Centro de Investigación Económica, and Marcel Vaillant, University of the Republic, Uruguay

Preferential Trade Agreement Formation: Analysis of Determinants in a PTA Network with a Stochastic Actor Oriented Model

Discussants: Evren Ors, HEC Paris Miguel D. Ramirez, Trinity College, Connecticut Flavia Rovira, Centro de Investigación Económica Barbara Dluhosch, Helmut Schmidt University

[6] Beluga 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

INTERNATIONAL PAYMENTS AND BUSINESS

CYCLES

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Joshua Aizenman, University of Southern California Papers: Helen Huixian Zhang*, University of Auckland

Can a Trade-Related International Payment System Prevent Speculative Currency Crises?

Ping-Hung Chou*, Chien Hsin University of Science and Technology, and Jen-Jen Tseng, Chien Hsin University of Science and Technology

Western Economic Association International

93rd Annual Conference Preliminary Program

June 26–30, 2018 Sheraton Vancouver Wall Centre, B.C., Canada

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 2 of 73

International Linkage of Investment Cycles

Jake Meyer*, California State University, Long Beach

Checks and Imbalances: A Moderated Mediated 4th Generation Banking Crisis Analysis

Ta-Sheng Chou*, Chung Yuan Christian University

Bayesian Estimation of a Panel Probit Model with Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form: Application to International Business Cycle Forecasting

Discussants: Joshua Aizenman, University of Southern California Ganesh Viswanath Natraj, University of California, Berkeley Ta-Sheng Chou, Chung Yuan Christian University Xiancong Wu, Southwest University of Political Science & Law

[7] Grand Ballroom B 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

ASSET PRICING AND RISK

Chair: Yan Zhou, California State University, Sacramento Papers: Eunhee Lee*, Gyeongsang National University, Heejoon Han, Sungkyunkwan University, and Chang Sik Kim, Sungkyunkwan University

A Triple Regime Stochastic Volatility Model with Threshold and Leverage Effects

Ming-Chang Wang*, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan

Do Private Placements Have Active Media Management than Public Offerings? Evidence from Taiwan

Chih-Chiang Wu*, Yuan Ze University, and Wei-Peng Chen, National Taipei University of Technology

R&D Expenditures and Asymmetric Idiosyncratic Risk

Yan Zhou*, California State University, Sacramento, and Cathy Hua, California State University, Sacramento

Volatility Spillovers in Financial Assets and Determinants of Contagion: The Impact of Brexit

Discussants: Ming-Chang Wang, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan Chih-Chiang Wu, Yuan Ze University Yan Zhou, California State University, Sacramento Eunhee Lee, Gyeongsang National University

[8] Grand Ballroom A 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

HEALTH ECONOMICS I

Chair: Sarah E. Tinkler, Portland State University Papers: Yeon Choi*, Michigan State University

The Effect of Broader Liver Sharing on Patient Outcomes: The Regression Discontinuity Approach

Charles R. Link*, University of Delaware, and Simon Condliffe, West Chester University

Access to Dental Care by Low Income Adults - The Role of State Medicaid Programs

Sarah E. Tinkler*, Portland State University, Rajiv Sharma, Portland State University, Raven Susu-Mago, Portland State University, and Miron Stano, Oakland University

Trends in Appointment Availability and Waits to Appointment for Medicaid Patients: 2013-2016

Daehyun Kim*, University of Southern California

Overconfidence Reduces Willingness to Accept Unpleasant Mental Health Information

Discussants: Charles R. Link, University of Delaware Sarah E. Tinkler, Portland State University Daehyun Kim, University of Southern California Yeon Choi, Michigan State University

[9] Gulf Islands D 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Individually Organized Session

PERSONAL FINANCIAL RETURNS TO EDUCATION

AT CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY IN THE LOS

ANGELES REGION

Organizer: Kenneth S. Chapman, California State University, Northridge Chair: Kenneth S. Chapman, California State University, Northridge Papers: Richard Moore*, California State University, Northridge, Kenneth S. Chapman, California State University, Northridge, Bettina Huber, California State University, Northridge, Catherine Hou, California State University, Northridge, and Raymundo Ruvalcava, California State University, Northridge

The Effect of In-School Earnings on Time-To-Graduation and Post Education Earnings: Comprehensive Data on Student Earnings at Seven Los Angeles Area California State University Campuses

Discussants: Govind Hariharan, Kennesaw State University James P. Dow, California State University, Northridge Maria Casanova Rivas, California State University, Fullerton

[10] Finback 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

LABOR MARKET AND WORK BENEFITS

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Wendy A. Stock, Montana State University Bozeman Papers: Wendy A. Stock*, Montana State University Bozeman

Longer Term Labor Market Impacts of Paid Parental Leave

Lishu Zhang*, ShenZhen University, and Sherman D. Hanna, Ohio State University

Research on the Main Economics Factors that Encouraging Chinese Workers to Delay Their Retirement

Yu Luo*, Renmin University of China

Why Do Financiers Earn More? Financialization of the Economy and Income Inequality in China since the Mid-1990’s

Discussants: Lishu Zhang, ShenZhen University Yu Luo, Renmin University of China Wendy A. Stock, Montana State University Bozeman

[11] Gulf Islands B 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

MULTI-PRODUCT AND COMPETITION

Chair: Tohru Naito, Doshisha University Papers: Ramon Caminal*, Institute of Economic Analysis (CSIC)

Competition and Dynamic Product Diversity

Hyunchul Kim*, Sungkyunkwan University, and Jungwon Yeo, Singapore Management University

Multiproduct Search and Retail Pricing: Some Empirical Results

Chia-Chi Wang*, Tatung University

Environmental Corporate Social Responsibility and Multi-Product Competition

Tohru Naito*, Doshisha University, and Akio Kawasaki, Oita University

Partial Privatization Under Asymmetric Multi-Market Competition

Discussants: Hyunchul Kim, Sungkyunkwan University

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 3 of 73

Chia-Chi Wang, Tatung University Tohru Naito, Doshisha University Ramon Caminal, Institute of Economic Analysis (CSIC)

[11.5] Gulf Islands A 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

MERGER AND MARKET CONCENTRATION

Chair: Jacob Cosman, Johns Hopkins University Papers: Jacob Cosman*, Johns Hopkins University, and Luis Quintero, Johns Hopkins University

Concentration and Market Cycles in the Production of New Housing

Zexuan Liu*, Tianjin University of Finance and Economics

Is Firm’s Horizontal Merger a Good News for Their Vertically Integrated Partners? Evidence from U.S. Airline Industry

Hae Yeun Park*, University of Southern California

The Price Effect of the Low-Cost Carriers’ Mergers

Discussants: Zexuan Liu, Tianjin University of Finance and Economics Hae Yeun Park, University of Southern California Jacob Cosman, Johns Hopkins University

[12] Parksville 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

MICROECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC

DEVELOPMENT

Chair: Laura A. Lamb, Thompson Rivers University Papers: Wook Sohn*, The BOK Economic Research Institute, and Laila Ume, National University of Sciences and Technology

Impact of Microfinance on Poverty Alleviation: A Global Analysis

Duncan G. Walker*, United States Military Academy

Winning Peace with Tactical Economics: Violence, Governance, and Military Development Aid in Afghanistan

Laura A. Lamb*, Thompson Rivers University, and Belayet Hossain, Thompson Rivers University

Cultural Attachment and Indigenous Wellbeing in Canada: The Urban-Rural Divide

Discussants: Duncan G. Walker, United States Military Academy Laura A. Lamb, Thompson Rivers University Wook Sohn, The BOK Economic Research Institute

[13] Junior Ballroom C 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Individually Organized Session

WORLD AND THE CHINESE ECONOMY

Organizer: Qing Liu, Tsinghua University Chair: Qing Liu, Tsinghua University Papers: Daoju Peng, Capital University of Economics and Business, and Kang Shi*, Chinese University of Hong Kong

Global Value Chains and International Business Cycle-movement: Does Distance Matter?

Juanyi Jenny Xu*, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

Policy Distortion and Resource Misallocation in China

Chong-En Bai, Tsinghua University, Qing Liu*, Tsinghua University, and Wen Yao, Tsinghua University

Skill Premium and Preferential Policy: The Case of China

Discussants: Juanyi Jenny Xu, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology Qing Liu, Tsinghua University Kang Shi, Chinese University of Hong Kong

[14] Port Hardy 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

AGRICULTURE AND MARKET ANALYSIS

Chair: Yiwen Yang, Soochow University Papers: Kenneth G. Stewart*, University of Victoria

Suits’ Watermelon Model: The Missing Simultaneous Equations Empirical Application

Xinpeng Xu*, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, and Yu Sheng, Peking University

The Productivity Impact of Climate Change: Evidence from Australia’s Millennium Drought

Yiwen Yang*, Soochow University, and PingSun Leung, University of Hawaii at Manoa

Price Premium of Price Discount for Locally-Produced Food Products? A Temporal Analysis

Discussants: Xinpeng Xu, Hong Kong Polytechnic University Yiwen Yang, Soochow University Kenneth G. Stewart, University of Victoria

[15] Orca 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

ECONOMICS OF CHINA: ECOLOGY AND

ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Zhuo Qiao, University of Macau Papers: Zhuo Qiao*, University of Macau, and Hao Chen, National Cheng Kung University, Taiwan

Convergence Analysis of Regional Ecological Efficiency in China

Fei Yu*, Asian Development Bank

How much is Improved Urban Environment Worth? A Hedonic Valuation in Urban China

Lu Liu*, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, and Paul M. Jakus, Utah State University

Spatial Hedonic Study for Monopoly Supplied Urban Land via English Auction - Evidence from China

Discussants: Ying-Erh Chen, Tamkang University Zhuo Qiao, University of Macau Fei Yu, Asian Development Bank

[16] Junior Ballroom B 6/26/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM North American Association of Sports Economists

PERFORMANCE IN INDIVIDUAL SPORTS

Organizer: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Chair: Ben Zamzow, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor Papers: Mariya Burdina, University of Central Oklahoma, Daniel C. Hickman*, University of Idaho, Moscow, and Neil Metz, University of Central Oklahoma

The Impact of Fatherhood on Job Performance: Evidence from the PGA Tour

Samuel K. Allen*, Virginia Military Institute, and Julianne Treme, North Carolina State University

Do Professional Tennis Players Become More Efficient as They Age?

Christian Deutscher*, Bielefeld University, Sebastian Gehrmann, Bielefeld University, Marius Otting, Bielefeld University, Hendrik Scholten, Bielefeld University, and Sandra Schneemann, Bielefeld University

Performance Under Pressure in Professional Darts

Ben Zamzow*, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 4 of 73

Competition between Teams & Individuals: Evidence from Championship Cross-Country Running

Discussants: Samuel K. Allen, Virginia Military Institute Neil Metz, University of Central Oklahoma Duane W. Rockerbie, University of Lethbridge Christian Deutscher, Bielefeld University

Pavilion Ballroom A 6/26/2018 4:15 PM–4:30 PM

REFRESHMENT BREAK

[17] Beluga 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

MICROECONOMICS: THEORY AND APPLICATIONS

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Lu Liu, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics Papers: Wing-Keung Wong*, Asia University, Xu Guo, Beijing Normal University, and Martin Egozcue, University of the Republic, Uruguay

Optimal Production Decision with Disappointment Aversion under Uncertainty

Ying-Erh Chen*, Tamkang University, Chi-ling Wang, Tamkang University, and Jerry Chen-Yu Miao, Tamkang University

Evaluating the Performance of Automobile Insurance Pricing Based on Vehicle Maintenance Records

Jack W. Hou*, California State University, Long Beach, and Iveta Paleckova, Silesian University in Opava

Static versus Dynamic Efficiency in the Banking Sector: Evidence from the Czech Republic and Slovakia

Discussants: Ping-Hung Chou, Chien Hsin University of Science and Technology Lu Liu, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics Helen Huixian Zhang, University of Auckland

[18] Port McNeill 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Defense Economics Session

DEFENSE ECONOMICS: TOPICS IN

INTERNATIONAL DEFENSE ECONOMICS

Organizer: Thomas Light, RAND Corporation, Ellen M. Pint, RAND Corporation, and Laura H. Baldwin, RAND Corporation Chair: Dean D. Dudley, United States Military Academy Papers: Heewon Chung*, Korea Institute for Defense Analyses, and Jun Hyung Yu, Korea Institute for Defense Analyses

The Economic Impact of International Political Relations: Evidence of the Relationship between Likelihood of International Conflict and National Economic Performance

James Craig Stone*, Canadian Forces College

The Budget and Acquisition Challenges of Implementing Canada’s New Defence Policy

Discussants: James T. Bang, St. Ambrose University R. Bruce Williamson, Maine Public Utilities Commission

[19] Finback 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

SAVINGS AND GROWTH

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Guoqiang Li, University of Macau Papers: Joshua Aizenman*, University of Southern California, Yin-Wong Cheung, University of California, Santa Cruz, and

City University of Hong Kong, and Hiro Ito, Portland State University

The Interest Rate Effect on Private Saving: Alternative Perspectives

Guoqiang Li*, University of Macau, Xinhua Gu, University of Macau, and Pui Sun Tam, University of Macau

The New Explanation for High Saving and Rising Inequality in China

Michael Alexeev, Indiana University Bloomington, and Yao-Yu Chih*, Texas State University

Oil Price Shocks and Economic Growth in the US

Discussants: Guoqiang Li, University of Macau Yao-Yu Chih, Texas State University Jake Meyer, California State University, Long Beach

[20] Grand Ballroom C 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

CRYPTOCURRENCY SESSION II:

CRYPTOCURRENCY MARKETS, TECHNOLOGY,

AND IMPLICATIONS

Organizer: Gina C. Pieters, Trinity University Chair: Gina C. Pieters, Trinity University Papers: Gina C. Pieters*, Trinity University

How Has the Cryptocurrency Market Changed?

Sean Foley*, University of Sydney, Ann Dyhrberg, University of Sydney, and Jiri Svec, University of Sydney

How Investible is Bitcoin? Analyzing the Structure, Liquidity, Trading Costs and Behavior of “Crypto Currency” Markets

Bilal Bagis*, Bingol University

Monetary Policy in the New Era: Negative Rates and Cryptocurrencies

Jason Potts*, RMIT University, Chris Berg, RMIT University, and Sinclair Davidson, RMIT University

Ledgers

Discussants: Nicole Jonkers, De Nederlandsche Bank Gianna Figa Talamanca, University of Perugia Jason Potts, RMIT University Bilal Bagis, Bingol University

[21] Grand Ballroom D 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

MONETARY POLICY: UNCONVENTIONAL

MONETARY POLICY, UNCERTAINTY AND

SYSTEMIC RISK

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Eric Fischer, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Papers: Ricardo Gimeno*, Banco de Espana, Oscar Arce, Banco de Espana, and Sergio Mayordomo, Banco de Espana

Making Room for the Needy: The Credit-Reallocation Effects of the ECB’s Corporate QE

Pavel Kapinos*, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Monetary Policy News and Systemic Risk at the Zero Lower Bound

Enrique Martinez-Garcia*, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, and Rachel Doehr, Claremont McKenna College

Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations at the Zero Lower Bound

Discussants: Gustavo Suarez, Federal Reserve Board of Governors Philipp Koenig, Deutsche Bundesbank Diogo Duarte, Florida International University

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 5 of 73

[22] Junior Ballroom A 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

TRADE AND LABOR MARKETS

Chair: Sara Wong, Escuela Superior Politecnica del Litoral Papers: Xue Bai*, Brock University, Arpita Chatterjee, University of New South Wales, Kala Krishna, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, NBER, and CESifo, and Hong Ma, Tsinghua University

Trade and Minimum Wages in General Equilibrium: Theory and Evidence

Hao-Chung Li*, National Chengchi University, Taiwan, and Pei-Chen Weng, National Chengchi University, Taiwan

The Effects of Global Competition from China on Taiwanese Labor Market

Sara Wong*, Escuela Superior Politecnica del Litoral Real Exchange Rate and Manufacturing Industry Profitability and Employment in Ecuador

Minjung Kim*, Wonkwang University

Intra-firm Trade and Labor Demand

Discussants: Hao-Chung Li, National Chengchi University, Taiwan Sara Wong, Escuela Superior Politecnica del Litoral Minjung Kim, Wonkwang University Xue Bai, Brock University

[24] Junior Ballroom C 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Middle East Economic Association

EDUCATION AND HEALTH IN DEVELOPING

COUNTRIES

Organizer: Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School, Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California, and Rahel Schomaker, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences Chair: Louis Jaeck, United Arab Emirates University Papers: Bilal Khan*, University of International Business and Economics, China

Education-Occupation Mismatch in the Developing Countries

Sarmistha Pal*, University of Surrey, and Bibhas Saha, Durham University

Enhancing Excellence: Socially Motivated Private Schools of Nepal

Tushar Bharati, University of Southern California, and Dawoon Jung*, University of Southern California

How do Teachers Differ Across Countries and Across Times and Does it Matter?

Tushar Bharati*, University of Southern California

An Alternative Approach to Studying Parent-Child Interactions

Teresa Molina*, University of Hawaii at Manoa

Health-Seeking Amidst Violence: Evidence from the Philippines

[25] Grand Ballroom B 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

INFORMATION AND FINANCIAL MARKETS

Chair: Ming-Chang Cheng, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan Papers: Lawrence J. White*, New York University

The Credit Rating Agencies and Their Role in the Financial System

Ming-Chang Cheng*, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan, Kai Chen, State University of New York at Oneonta,

Chien-Chi Lee, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan, and Chih-Hsun Wu, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan

Wealth Effects of Dividend Announcements on Bondholders - The Case of Taiwan Bond Markets

Runjing Lu*, University of California, San Diego, and Siyu Chen, National University of Singapore

The Shine of Star: The Effect of Star Analyst Title on Market Reaction to Financial Analysts’ Stock Recommendations

Gordon Y. N. Tang*, Hong Kong Baptist University, Tina T. He, United International College, and Wilson X. B. Li, United International College

Foreign Investors Ownership and Stock Price Synchronicity of Chinese Listed Firms: Further Evidence

Discussants: Ming-Chang Cheng, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan Runjing Lu, University of California, San Diego Gordon Y. N. Tang, Hong Kong Baptist University Lawrence J. White, New York University

[26] Gulf Islands D 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Individually Organized Session

DYNAMIC MODELS IN LABOR ECONOMICS

Organizer: John C. Ham, New York University Abu Dhabi Chair: John C. Ham, New York University Abu Dhabi Papers: John C. Ham*, New York University Abu Dhabi

Dynamics in the Indonesian Labor Market Bernd Fitzenberger*, Humboldt University, Berlin

The Effects of Training Incidence and Duration on Labor Market Transitions

Salvador Navarro*, Western University, Ontario

A Dynamic Model of Peer Effects and Skill Production

Alfonso Flores-Lagunes*, Syracuse University

Bounding Average and Quantile Effects of Training on Employment and Unemployment Durations under Selection, Censoring, and Noncompliance

[27] Gulf Islands B 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Individually Organized Session

ECONOMICS OF CRIME

Organizer: Benjamin Hansen, University of Oregon, NBER, and IZA Chair: Benjamin Hansen, University of Oregon, NBER, and IZA Papers: Jillian B. Carr, Purdue University, and Analisa M. Packham*, Miami University, Ohio

Does Resource Scarcity Affect Domestic Violence?

Aaron Chalfin*, University of Pennsylvania, and Monica Deza, Hunter College CUNY

New Evidence on Mexican Immigration and Crime in the United States: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Immigration Enforcement Rates

Benjamin Hansen*, University of Oregon, NBER, and IZA, Keaton S. Miller, University of Oregon, and Caroline Weber, University of Oregon

The Grass is Greener on the Other Side: How Extensive is Interstate Diversion of Recreational Marijuana

Discussants: Kendall Houghton, University of Oregon Anita Mukherjee, University of Wisconsin – Madison Analisa M. Packham, Miami University, Ohio

[28] Gulf Islands C 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 6 of 73

BUSINESS ECONOMICS

Chair: Prudencia Uchiba, University of Douala Papers: Audrey Q. Tran*, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan, and Ming-Chang Cheng, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan

Altering Entrepreneurship Research: The Entrepreneurial Transition from Young Startups to Established Companies

Prudencia Uchiba*, University of Douala

Analyzing Purchase Intentions of Counterfeit Luxury Brands: Consumers’ Attitudes toward Purchase Intentions of Counterfeit Luxury Footwear Brands in Cameroon

Discussants: Audrey Q. Tran, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan Prudencia Uchiba, University of Douala

[29] Parksville 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

APPLICATION IN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

Chair: Donggyun Shin, Victoria University of Wellington Papers: William D. Ferguson*, Grinnell College

Collective Action, Political Settlements, and the Political Economy of Development

Lee-Jung Lu*, Tungnan University, and Wei-Neng Wang, Institute of Economics Academia Sinica

An Analysis of the Relationships between Corruption and Foreign Aid on Economic Growth

Luyen Nguyen*, New Mexico State University, and Christopher A. Erickson, New Mexico State University

Innovation and Development in the U.S. Empirical Test Using Vector Error Correction Model

Donggyun Shin*, Victoria University of Wellington, and Seonyoung Park, University of Delaware

Growth Patterns and Income Polarization in the United States: Evidence from County-Level Panel Data (1970-2014)

Discussants: Lee-Jung Lu, Tungnan University Luyen Nguyen, New Mexico State University Seonyoung Park, University of Delaware William D. Ferguson, Grinnell College

[30] Port Hardy 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS

Chair: John McCollough, Lamar University Papers: Pierre de Villiers*, Stellenbosch University

Environmental Education: Influencing Consumers Towards Sustainable Behaviour

Mahelet G. Fikru*, Missouri University of Science and Technology

Using the Toxic Release Inventory to Develop Environmental Performance Indicators

Yaping He*, Southeast University, China, Kangning Xu, Southeast University, China, and Pengfei Sheng, Henan University

The Effect of Urbanization on Energy Use in China

John McCollough*, Lamar University

As Nations Develop Then Which Consumers Become Throwaway Consumers First

Discussants: Mahelet G. Fikru, Missouri University of Science and Technology Yaping He, Southeast University, China John McCollough, Lamar University Pierre de Villiers, Stellenbosch University

[31] Gulf Islands A 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Transportation and Public Utilities Group

TRADE AND TRANSPORTATION I

Organizer: Wesley W. Wilson, University of Oregon Chair: Laingo Randrianariso, University of British Columbia Papers: Young-Tae Chang*, Inha University, Ahhyun Jo, Inha University, and Kyoungsuk Choi, Shandong Normal University

Port Efficiency and International Trade in China

William W. Wilson*, North Dakota State University, and Javier D. Ho, Panama Canal Authority

Panama Canal Felix Friedt*, Macalester College

Trade, Infrastructure and Local Wages: Trade-induced Labor Market Spillovers Arising from Natural Disasters

Discussants: Toby Sytsma, University of Oregon Laingo Randrianariso, University of British Columbia Woan Foong Wong, University of Oregon

[32] Junior Ballroom B 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM North American Association of Sports Economists

TOPICS IN SPORTS ECONOMICS: MLB AND THE

NCAA

Organizer: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Chair: Laura B. Beaudin, Bryant University Papers: Roger D. Blair*, University of Florida, and Wenche Wang, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

Rethinking MLB’s Antitrust Exemption

Rodney D. Fort*, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

The Cost of Concussions to MLB Owners

Laura B. Beaudin*, Bryant University, Aziz N. Berdiev, Bryant University, and Timothy Coletta, Bryant University

Does Equity in Athletic Expenditure Impact Competitive Balance at the Conference Level? A Comparison of Men’s and Women’s Division 1 Basketball Outcomes

R. Todd Jewell*, Texas State University

Subsidizing Inefficiency: A College Sports Conundrum

Discussants: Rodney D. Fort, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor R. Todd Jewell, Texas State University Ben Zamzow, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor Roger D. Blair, University of Florida

[33] Grand Ballroom A 6/26/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM AEA Committee on the Status of Women in the Economics Profession

INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION AND IMMIGRATION

POLICY I

Organizer: Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, San Diego State University Chair: Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, San Diego State University Papers: Neil M. Bennett*, University of California, Irvine

Migration in Response to Long-run Weather Variation

Emily Conover, Hamilton College, Melanie Khamis, Wesleyan University, and IZA, and Sarah Pearlman*, Vassar College

Reversed Migration Trends and Local Labor Markets: Evidence from Mexico

Kusum Mundra*, Rutgers University, and IZA

Economic Assimilation of Indian Immigrants in the U.S.: The Role of the H-1B Visa Program

Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, San Diego State University, and Francisca Antman*, University of Colorado Boulder

Immigration Raids and Worker Productivity

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 7 of 73

Discussants: Lucas van der Velde, GRAPE, and Warsaw School of Economics Shikha Silwal, Washington and Lee University Monica Garcia-Perez, St. Cloud State University Melissa Knox, University of Washington Seattle

Pavilion Ballroom 6/26/2018 6:30 PM–8:00 PM

WELCOME RECEPTION

All badge-wearing registrants are welcome to attend. Pavilion Ballroom C 6/27/2018 7:30 AM–8:10 AM

CSWEP/CSMGEP HOSPITALITY BREAKFAST

All are welcome to join us for conversation while enjoying a light continental breakfast. Pavilion Ballroom A 6/27/2018 7:30 AM–6:30 PM

WEAI LOUNGE

Pavilion Ballroom Foyer 6/27/2018 7:30 AM–6:30 PM

REGISTRATION OPEN

[34] Beluga 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

APPLIED MICRO I

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: James R. Barth, Auburn University, and Milken Institute Papers: Manojit Chattopadhyay*, Indian Institute of Management Raipur

A Two Stage Approach for Identifying Profitable Target Customers

Yinan Ni*, Auburn University, and James R. Barth, Auburn University, and Milken Institute

Dynamic Capital Structures of Nations

Mengqi Niu*, Jinan University

Capacity Utilization and Misallocation

Discussants: Yinan Ni, Auburn University Mengqi Niu, Jinan University Manojit Chattopadhyay, Indian Institute of Management Raipur

[35] Port McNeill 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Defense Economics Session

DECIDING THE DEMAND FOR DEFENSE

PERSONNEL: WHAT’S THE OPTIMAL FORCE MIX?

Organizer: David S. C. Chu, Institute for Defense Analyses, and Stanley A. Horowitz, Institute for Defense Analyses Chair: David S. C. Chu, Institute for Defense Analyses Papers: David R. Graham*, Institute for Defense Analyses

Total Force Mix, The Ongoing Challenge

Stanley A. Horowitz*, Institute for Defense Analyses

Alternative Career Paths for Helicopter Pilots

Sarah Burns, Institute for Defense Analyses, John E. Whitley, Institute for Defense Analyses, and James Bishop*, Institute for Defense Analyses

Medical Reservists and Medical Readiness

Discussants: Jeffrey P. Angers Jeffrey D. Goldstein, Office of Management and Budget

[36] Parksville 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

PRODUCTION AND FIRM BEHAVIOR

Chair: Xuejuan Su, University of Alberta

Papers: Ming-Yuan Chen, National Central University, Taiwan, and Chun Lin Kao*, National Central University, Taiwan

Employee Downsizing, Financial Constraints, and Production Efficiency of Firms

Jannett Highfill*, Bradley University, and Michael McAsey, Bradley University

A Simple Theory Comparing Firm-Level Development from Research in an Intra-Industry Trade Context

Xuejuan Su*, University of Alberta, and Tilman Klumpp, University of Alberta

Public Private Competition

Nikhil Vellodi*, New York University

Consumer Reviews and Firm Dynamics

Discussants: Jannett Highfill, Bradley University Xuejuan Su, University of Alberta Nikhil Vellodi, New York University Ming-Yuan Chen, National Central University, Taiwan

[37] Junior Ballroom A 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

FINANCIAL CRISES AND MACROECONOMIC

FLUCTUATIONS

Chair: Peter M. Summers, High Point University Papers: Ronel Elul*, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Boragan Aruoba, University of Maryland, College Park, and Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, University of Maryland, College Park

How Big is the Wealth Effect? House Prices and Household Consumption During the Great Recession

Christos Shiamptanis*, Wilfrid Laurier University

Austerity Measures: Do They Avert Solvency Crises?

Peter M. Summers*, High Point University

Do Credit Booms Predict Financial Crises? Evidence from a Partial Linear Model

Discussants: Christos Shiamptanis, Wilfrid Laurier University ByungWoo Kim, Korea National University of Transportation Ronel Elul, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

[38] Gulf Islands B 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

MACROECONOMIC ACTIVITY AND FINANCIAL

MARKETS

Chair: Kristin A. Van Gaasbeck, California State University, Sacramento Papers: Atsushi Miyake*, Kobe Gakuin University, and Kazunobu Muro, Meiji Gakuin University

Credit Market Imperfection and Goods Market Deregulation

Peter D. Jonson*, University of Melbourne, and Clifford R. Wymer, Sapienza University of Rome

A Macro-Economic Policy Model of the United Kingdom 1855-2014 with Investment, Share Prices and Animal Spirits

Kristin A. Van Gaasbeck*, California State University, Sacramento, and Taylor Paige Marchelle, California State University, Sacramento

The Effects of Political Stability in Local Currency Bond Markets

Discussants: Atsushi Miyake, Kobe Gakuin University Peter D. Jonson, University of Melbourne Kristin A. Van Gaasbeck, California State University, Sacramento

[39] Grand Ballroom C 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 8 of 73

MONETARY POLICY: MONETARY POLICY AND

BANK LENDING

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Miguel Garcia-Posada, Banco de Espana Papers: Gustavo Suarez*, Federal Reserve Board of Governors, Giovanni Dell’Ariccia, International Monetary Fund, and CEPR, and Luc Laeven, European Central Bank

Monetary Policy and Bank Lending Terms: Evidence from a Survey of U.S. Loans

Judit Temesvary*, Federal Reserve Board of Governors, and Horacio Sapriza, Federal Reserve Board of Governors

Monetary Transmission and Economic Conditions: How Does the Strength of the Bank Credit Channel Depend on Real Economic Activity?

Miguel Garcia-Posada*, Banco de Espana, Oscar Arce, Banco de Espana, Sergio Mayordomo, Banco de Espana, and Steven Ongena, University of Zurich, Swiss Finance Institute, and CEPR

Adapting Lending Policies when Negative Rates Bite Banks’ Profits

Discussants: Jana Ohls, Deutsche Bundesbank Matias Ossandon Busch, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Elis Naiborhu, Bank of Indonesia, and University of Warwick

[40] Finback 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

TRADE POLICY AND TRADE BARRIERS

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Stephen V. Marks, Pomona College Papers: Stephen V. Marks*, Pomona College

Trade Policy Strategy in Indonesia

Wei-Chih Chen*, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan

The Impacts of Technical Barriers to Trade on Firms’ Extensive and Intensive Margins of Exports

Shi Young Lee*, Chung-Ang University

Does the Linder Hypothesis Hold for Service Trade? Some Policy Implications for Service Trade Liberalization

Discussants: Wei-Chih Chen, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan Shi Young Lee, Chung-Ang University Stephen V. Marks, Pomona College

[41] Junior Ballroom D 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

INTERNATIONAL FINANCE AND ECONOMIC

GROWTH

Chair: Ching-Yi Lin, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan Papers: Kelfala M. Kallon*, University of Northern Colorado

The Long-Run Comparative Impact of Foreign Aid, FDI, and Foreign Debt on Economic Growth: Evidence from the Economic Commission of West African States (ECOWAS)

Filippo Rebessi*, California State University, East Bay, and David Perez-Reyna, Universidad de Los Andes, Colombia

Devaluations and Growth: The Role of Financial Development Kamal Upadhyaya*, University of New Haven, Hem C. Basnet, Methodist University, and Ficawoyi Donou-Adonsou, John Carroll University

Remittances, Inflation and Exchange Rate: Evidence from South Asia

Ching-Yi Lin*, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan

The Potential Effects of the Asian Dollar

Discussants: Filippo Rebessi, California State University, East Bay Kamal Upadhyaya, University of New Haven Ching-Yi Lin, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan Kelfala M. Kallon, University of Northern Colorado

[42] Grand Ballroom D 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

CORPORATE FINANCE: CORPORATE

GOVERNANCE

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Maarten van Oordt, Bank of Canada Papers: Natalya Martynova*, Deutsche Bundesbank, Enrico Perotti, University of Amsterdam, and Javier Suarez, CEMFI

Bank Capital Forbearance

Maarten van Oordt*, Bank of Canada

Credit Risk Transfer and Bank Insolvency Risk

Discussants: Sebastian Garnreiter, Deutsche Bundesbank Xiao-Ming Li, Massey University

[43] Port Hardy 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

GOVERNMENT SPENDING

Chair: Janet Dzator, University of Newcastle Papers: Christoper Biolsi*, Western Kentucky University, and H. Youn Kim, Western Kentucky University

Analyzing State Government Spending: Balanced-Budget Rules or Forward-Looking Decisions?

Christine A. Clarke*, University of the West Indies at Mona

Small States and Governance: The Case of Central Banking in the Post-Crisis World

Janet Dzator*, University of Newcastle, Eugenia Amporfu, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, and Michael Dzator, Central Queensland University

Understanding Maternal Health Care Choice - A Mediated Model of the Effects of Policies and Practices on the Intention to Promote Maternal Health

Kuniyoshi Saito*, Meiji Gakuin University

A Quantitative Analysis of Lighthouse Provision

Discussants: Christine A. Clarke, University of the West Indies at Mona Janet Dzator, University of Newcastle Kuniyoshi Saito, Meiji Gakuin University Christoper Biolsi, Western Kentucky University

[44] Gulf Islands D 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

HEALTH CARE AND HOSPITALS

Chair: David T. Mitchell, University of Central Arkansas Papers: Jinhyung Lee*, Sungkyunkwan University, and Byung In Lim, Chungbuk National University

Liquidity Constraints in Hospital Capital Investments

Gregory G. Lubiani*, Texas A&M University – Commerce

Factor Input Utilization in the Delivery of Long-Term Health Care

Bidisha Mandal, Washington State University Pullman, and Kara Grant*, Washington State University Pullman

Emergency Department versus Primary Care Utilization: A Tradeoff between Time Cost and Market

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 9 of 73

David T. Mitchell*, University of Central Arkansas, Danny Hughes, Georgia Institute of Technology, and Darwyyn Deyo, San Jose State University

Just What the Doctor Ordered: Tort Reforms and Hospital Imaging Utilization

Discussants: Gregory G. Lubiani, Texas A&M University – Commerce Kara Grant, Washington State University Pullman David T. Mitchell, University of Central Arkansas Jinhyung Lee, Sungkyunkwan University

[45] Gulf Islands C 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

ECONOMICS OF EDUCATION I

Chair: Robert Rosenman, Washington State University Pullman Papers: Briana M. Ballis*, University of California, Davis

How Does Special Education Access Impact Short and Long Run Student Outcomes?

Ciprian Domnisoru*, Carnegie Mellon University

Heterogeneity across Families in the Impact of Compulsory Schooling Laws

Robert Rosenman*, Washington State University Pullman, and Matthew R. Birch, Washington State University Pullman

How Much Does Merit Aid Actually Matter? Revisiting Merit Aid and College Enrollment When Some Students Come Anyway

Ian W. Li*, University of Western Australia, and David R. Carroll, University of Western Australia

Factors Influencing University Student Satisfaction, Dropout and Academic Performance: An Australian Higher Education Equity Perspective

Discussants: Ciprian Domnisoru, Carnegie Mellon University Robert Rosenman, Washington State University Pullman Ian W. Li, University of Western Australia Briana M. Ballis, University of California, Davis

[47] Port Alberni 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

LABOR MARKET RETURNS

Chair: Matthew D. Baird, RAND Corporation Papers: Matthew D. Baird*, RAND Corporation, Robert Bozick, RAND Corporation, and Melanie A. Zaber, RAND Corporation

Labor Market Returns to Licenses and Certificates and the Intersection with Formal Education

Volha Belskaya*, Ohio University, Athens, and Klara S. Peter, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill

How Does the Expansion of Higher Education Change the Returns to College Quality?

Brad J. Hershbein*, W. E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, and Brookings Institution, and Marcus Dillender, W. E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research

Paid Family Leave and Employer Skill Demand: Evidence from Job Postings

Mallika M. Thomas*, Cornell University

The Impact of Mandated Maternity Leave Policies on the Gender Differential in Promotions

Discussants: Volha Belskaya, Ohio University, Athens Brad J. Hershbein, W. E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, and Brookings Institution Mallika M. Thomas, Cornell University Matthew D. Baird, RAND Corporation

[48] Junior Ballroom C 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Middle East Economic Association

MONETARY POLICY, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT,

AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Organizer: Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School, Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California, and Rahel Schomaker, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences Chair: Mohammed Elgammal, Qatar University Papers: Ilham Haouas*, Abu Dhabi University, Muhammed Hasseeb, Abu Dhabi University, Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School, and Aviral Kumar Tiwari, Montpellier Business School

Population and the Environment: Journey Towards Sustainable Development in MENA Countries

Nathalie Hilmi*, Centre Scientifique de Monaco, Sevil Acar, Altinbas University, Alain Safa, Skill Partners, and Geoffroy Bonnemaison, London School of Economics and Political Science

Can Economic Growth Decouple from CO2 Emissions in the MENA Countries?

Francois Facchini, University of Paris I, Pantheon-Sorbonne, and Louis Jaeck*, United Arab Emirates University

The French Beliefs over Climate Change: A Behavioral Political Economy Approach

Nathalie Hilmi*, Centre Scientifique de Monaco, Wassim Shahin, Lebanese American University, Salpie Djoundourian, Lebanese American University, and Alain Safa, Skill Partners

Monetary versus Environmental Policy: How Can Environmental Objectives be Included in Monetary Policy? The Case of ECB

Discussants: from above participants

[49] Orca 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

STOCK PORTFOLIO, BLOCK-HOLDERS, AND

EXPECTED EARNINGS

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Wing-Keung Wong, Asia University Papers: R.K. Jana*, Indian Institute of Management Raipur, and B. Chakraborty, Institute of Engineering and Management, Kolkata

A Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach for Stock Portfolio Selection

Xiancong Wu*, Southwest University of Political Science & Law, and Hong Wan, State University of New York at Oswego

Do Institutional Investors Deter Block-Holders’ Tunneling? Evidence from Related-Party Transactions in China

Subrata K. Mitra*, Indian Institute of Management Raipur

Stock Price Movement Analysis Using Hurst Exponent Discussants: Wing-Keung Wong, Asia University Subrata K. Mitra, Indian Institute of Management Raipur R.K. Jana, Indian Institute of Management Raipur

[50] Gulf Islands A 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Transportation and Public Utilities Group

TRADE AND TRANSPORTATION II

Organizer: Wesley W. Wilson, University of Oregon Chair: Felix Friedt, Macalester College Papers: Woan Foong Wong*, University of Oregon

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 10 of 73

The Round Trip Effect: Endogenous Transport Costs and International Trade

Toby Sytsma*, University of Oregon

Climatic Disasters and Trade: The Effect of Hurricane Intensity on US Port-Level Trade

Laingo Randrianariso*, University of British Columbia, Anming Zhang, University of British Columbia, Andrew Yuen, University of British Columbia, and David Gillen, University of British Columbia

Belt and Road Initiaties: How the Belt and the Road Are Related Economically and Policy Implications

Discussants: Felix Friedt, Macalester College Young-Tae Chang, Inha University William W. Wilson, North Dakota State University

[51] Junior Ballroom B 6/27/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM North American Association of Sports Economists

OUTCOME UNCERTAINTY AND COMPETITIVE

BALANCE IN PROFESSIONAL SPORTS

Organizer: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Chair: Young Hoon Lee, Sogang University Papers: Young Hoon Lee*, Sogang University, and Rodney D. Fort, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

The Effect of Unbalanced Schedule on Match Outcome Uncertainty

Ricardo M. Santos, Trinity University, and Akira Motomura*, Stonehill College

The Champions League, Bosman Rule, and Competitive Balance in Domestic European Football Leagues

Todd A. McFall*, Wake Forest University, and Rotua Lumbantobing, Western Connecticut State University

Examining Fan Response to More Games: The Case of the NBA Playoffs

Brent Evans*, Georgia College & State University

Modeling Uncertainty in NFL Games

Discussants: Todd A. McFall, Wake Forest University Hayley Jang, Sogang University Anthony C. Krautmann, DePaul University Paul J. Gift, Pepperdine University

Pavilion Ballroom A 6/27/2018 10:00 AM–10:15 AM

REFRESHMENT BREAK

[52] Junior Ballroom D 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Individually Organized Session

CONTEMPORARY ECONOMIC ISSUES

Organizer: Chong-Uk Kim, Sonoma State University Chair: Chong-Uk Kim, Sonoma State University Papers: Sangwon Park, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, and Chong-Uk Kim*, Sonoma State University

Determination of Minimum Wage: Are Minimum Wages Exogenous?

Gieyoung Lim*, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, and Chong-Uk Kim, Sonoma State University

Minimum Wage and Labor Mobility: An Empirical Study on Labor in California

Hosin Song, Ewha Womans University, and Byung-Hill Jun*, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies

A Complete Consistent Test for Mass Points When There are Unknown Number of Mass Points

Heechul Min*, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies

Vertical Integration and Multi-Plant Operation: Evidence from Korea’s Concrete Industry

Discussants: to be announced

[54] Gulf Islands B 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

TIME SERIES MODELS AND FINANCIAL

ECONOMICS

Chair: Terrance Grieb, University of Idaho, Moscow Papers: Terrance Grieb*, University of Idaho, Moscow, and Nam Hoang, University of New England

Hedging Positions, Basis, and Future Prices: A Disaggregated Data Analysis on U.S. Wheat Markets

I-Ming Jiang*, Yuan Ze University, and Alan T. Wang, National Cheng Kung University, Taiwan

The Information Contents of Aggregate Non-Performing Loans, Loan Growth, and High Yield Bond Spread: A Time Series Approach

Yan Olivia Lu*, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, Junsoo Lee, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, and Razvan Pascalau, Plattsburgh State

Johansen-Type Cointegration Tests with a Fourier Function

Discussants: I-Ming Jiang, Yuan Ze University Yan Olivia Lu, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa Terrance Grieb, University of Idaho, Moscow

[55] Parksville 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics

HONESTY, SELF-SERVING BELIEFS, AND

DECEPTION

Organizer: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Chair: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Papers: Jonathan Lafky*, Carleton College, Simon Halliday, Smith College, and Alistair Wilson, University of Pittsburgh

Honesty at the Margin: Experiments on the Dynamics of Deception

Claire Mouminoux*, Institut de Science Financiere et Actuarielle, and Jean-Louis Rulliere, Institut de Science Financiere et Actuarielle

Are We More Honest Than Others Think We Are?

Linda Dezso, University of Vienna, Barna Bako*, Corvinus University of Budapest, Stephan Dickert, Queen Mary University of London, and Erich Kirchler, University of Vienna

Waiting for Divine Intervention: Timing of Uncertainty Resolution Influences Self-Serving Exploitation of Uncertainty in Other-Regarding Preferences

Johannes Ross*, University of Hamburg

Cheap Talk and Risk

Discussants: from above participants

[56] Pavilion Ballroom D 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM President-Elect Featured Session

IMPROVING MEASUREMENT FOR PRODUCTIVITY

ANALYSIS

Organizer: Erwin Diewert, University of British Columbia Chair: Erwin Diewert, University of British Columbia Papers: Kimberly D. Zieschang*, University of Queensland

Measuring Financial Services

Dennis Fixler*, Bureau of Economic Analysis, and Kimberly D. Zieschang, University of Queensland

Productivity of Financial Services Providers

Erwin Diewert, University of British Columbia, Kevin J. Fox*, University of New South Wales, and Paul Schreyer, OECD

The Digital Economy, New Products and Consumer Welfare

Discussants: Erwin Diewert, University of British Columbia

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 11 of 73

Kevin J. Fox, University of New South Wales Dennis Fixler, Bureau of Economic Analysis

[57] Port McNeill 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Defense Economics Session

WOMEN, GENDER, IDENTITY, AND THE FORCE OF

THE FUTURE

Organizer: Jomana Amara, Naval Postgraduate School Chair: Jomana Amara, Naval Postgraduate School Papers: Marigee Bacolod*, Naval Postgraduate School, and Chad Seagren, Naval Postgraduate School

Women Marines: Is 10% the “Right” Number?

Jennifer A. Heissel*, Naval Postgraduate School, Marigee Bacolod, Naval Postgraduate School, and Ryan Sullivan, Naval Postgraduate School

Mothers in the Military: The Effect of DoD Maternity Policy on Retention and Birth Outcomes

Simona Tick*, Naval Postgraduate School, Stephen L. Mehay, Naval Postgraduate School, and Jeremy Arkes, Naval Postgraduate School

Gender and Job Match: Evidence from the U.S. Military

Discussants: Garrett Summers, Office of the Secretary of Defense Michael J. Kuzara, Office of the Secretary of Defense Atin Basuchoudhary, Virginia Military Institute

[58] Junior Ballroom A 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Individually Organized Session

MODELING, MEASURING, AND EVALUATING

ECONOMIC OUTCOMES IN THE PHILIPPINES

Organizer: Lawrence B. Dacuycuy, De La Salle University Chair: Lawrence B. Dacuycuy, De La Salle University Papers: Myrna S. Austria, De La Salle University, and Jesson Pagaduan*, De La Salle University

Assessing the Impact of the Philippine Sin Tax Reform Law on the Demand for Cigarettes

Lawrence B. Dacuycuy*, De La Salle University, Dickson Lim, De La Salle University, and Mariel Monica Sauler, De La Salle University

On Implementation Delays, Marginal Costs and Price Dynamics: A Theoretical Note with Implications for the Philippines

Dickson Lim*, De La Salle University

The Role of Fiscal Policy in a Disaster-Prone Economy

Discussants: Lawrence B. Dacuycuy, De La Salle University Jesson Pagaduan, De La Salle University Lawrence B. Dacuycuy, De La Salle University

[59] Beluga 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

ISSUES IN FINANCIAL MARKETS

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Cesar M. Rodriguez, Portland State University Papers: Burak Dolar*, Western Washington University

Cyclicality of Loan Loss Provisioning in the U.S. Banking Industry: Evidence fro the Period 1993-2007

Ganesh Viswanath Natraj*, University of California, Berkeley

Negative Interest Rates, Quantitative Easing and the Forex Swap Market: Evidence from Order Flow

Makram El-Shagi*, Henan University

When Does Monetary Measurement Matter (Most)?

Discussants: Olena Ogrokhina, Lafayette College

Makram El-Shagi, Henan University Burak Dolar, Western Washington University

[60] Orca 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE I

Organizer: Thomas D. Willett, Claremont McKenna College, and Claremont Graduate University Chair: Levan Efremidze, Pepperdine University Papers: Kenneth S. Kim*, California State University, Fullerton

Korean Exchange Rate Policy

Alice Y. Ouyang*, Central University of Finance and Economics, China

Capital Flows and Macroprudential Policies

Shan Xue*, Claremont Graduate University

Monetary Policy in Hong Kong: How much Scope is there for Independence

Discussants: Zhijun F. Gao, Claremont Graduate University Eric J. Pentecost, Loughborough University Alice Y. Ouyang, Central University of Finance and Economics, China

[61] Finback 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

ECONOMICS OF CHINA: FINANCIAL MARKETS AND

EXPORT ZONES

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Papers: Xiao-rong Du*, Sichuan University, and Ying Jiang, Sichuan University

The Influence of Sudden Stops of Two Direction Cross-Border Capital Flows on Economic Growth of China

HaiYue Liu*, Sichuan University, Yi Xian Li, Jinan University, Rui Yang, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, and Xiao Ping Li, Sichuan University

How Do Chinese Firms Perform Before and After Cross-Border Merger and Acquisitions?

Wei Tian, University of International Business and Economics, China, and Miaojie Yu*, Peking University

Outward FDI and RMB Appreciation: Evidence from Chinese Firms

Discussants: HaiYue Liu, Sichuan University Dahai Fu, Central University of Finance and Economics, China Xiao-rong Du, Sichuan University

[62] Grand Ballroom C 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

BANK RISK AND REGULATION

Organizer: Lena Tonzer, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Matias Ossandon Busch, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Papers: Christian Friedrich*, Bank of Canada, Kristin Forbes, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Toni Ahnert, Bank of Canada, and Dennis Reinhardt, Bank of England

Macroprudential FX Regulations: Shifting the Snowbanks of FX Vulnerability?

Yuliyan Mitkov*, University of Bonn, and Todd Keister, Rutgers University

Bailouts, Bails-in and Banking Crises

Matias Ossandon Busch*, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany, Chris Becker, Halle Institute for Economic

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 12 of 73

Research, Germany, and Lena Tonzer, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany

Macroprudential Policy and Intra-Group Dynamics: The Effects of Reserve Requirements in Brazil

Discussants: Matias Ossandon Busch, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Razvan Vlahu, De Nederlandsche Bank Radomir Todorov, Bank of Canada

[63] Grand Ballroom D 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

CORPORATE FINANCE: CEO CHARACTERISTICS,

INCENTIVES AND COMPENSATION

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Abhimanyu Gupta, University of Essex Papers: Sebastian Garnreiter*, Deutsche Bundesbank, Thomas Kick, Deutsche Bundesbank, William Megginson, University of Oklahoma, and King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals, and Andrea Schertler, Leuphana Universitat Luneburg

Bank Executives’ Outside Directorships and Career Outcomes

Nam Nguyen*, University of Quebec, Montreal, Steven Freund, University of Massachusetts, Lowell, Tunde Kovacs, University of Massachusetts, Lowell, and Hieu Phan, University of Massachusetts, Lowell

Midair Refueling for Sensation Seeking? Pilot CEOs and Corporate Debt Contracting

Discussants: Frank Zhichuan Li, University of Western Ontario Abhimanyu Gupta, University of Essex

[64] Gulf Islands D 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

HEALTH ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPING

COUNTRIES

Chair: Pallavi Panda, State University of New York, Geneseo Papers: Mitzie Irene Conchada*, De La Salle University, and Marites Tiongco, De La Salle University

Building a Progressive Home through Mother and Child: An Assessment Maternal and Child Program in the Philippines

Deborah DeGraff*, Bowdoin College, Susan W. Parker, University of Maryland, College Park, Rebeca Wong, University of Texas Medical Branch, and Karina Orozco-Rocha, Consultant

Health Shocks to the Aging and Economic Well-Being: Evidence from a Developing Country

Gordon C. McCord*, University of California, San Diego, Prabhat Barnwal, Michigan State University, Aaditya Dar, George Washington University, Jan von der Goltz, World Bank, Ram Fishman, Tel Aviv University, and Nathan Mueller, Harvard University

Modern Crop Variety Diffusion and Infant Mortality in the Developing World, 1961-2000

Pallavi Panda*, State University of New York, Geneseo

Does Trade Reduce Infant Mortality? Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

Discussants: Deborah DeGraff, Bowdoin College Gordon C. McCord, University of California, San Diego Pallavi Panda, State University of New York, Geneseo Mitzie Irene Conchada, De La Salle University

[65] Gulf Islands C 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

WELFARE, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND POVERTY

Chair: Javier Bronfman, Universidad Adolfo Ibanez Papers: Mehtabul Azam*, Oklahoma State University

Are Urban-Rural Welfare Differences Growing in India?

Javier Bronfman*, Universidad Adolfo Ibanez, and Javiera Monreal, Universidad Adolfo Ibanez

Vulnerability to Poverty in a Time of Crisis

Koyin Chang*, Ming Chuan University, and Yung-Hsiang Ying, National Taiwan Normal University

Mandate-Based Welfare Policies and the Labor Market - A Revisit

Andreas Knabe*, Otto von Guericke University, and Thi Truong An Hoang, Otto von Guericke University

Time-Use, Unemployment, and Well-Being: An Empirical Analysis Using British Time-Use Data

Discussants: Javier Bronfman, Universidad Adolfo Ibanez Koyin Chang, Ming Chuan University Andreas Knabe, Otto von Guericke University Mehtabul Azam, Oklahoma State University

[66] Grand Ballroom A 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM AEA Committee on the Status of Women in the Economics Profession

INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION AND IMMIGRATION

POLICY II

Organizer: Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, San Diego State University Chair: Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, San Diego State University Papers: Monica Garcia-Perez*, St. Cloud State University

DREAMers and Their Health Insurance Dream

Melissa Knox*, University of Washington Seattle, and Jaime Lara, Autonomous University of San Luis Potosi

Social Protection, Risk and Mexico’s Return Migration

Joanna Tyrowicz, University of Warsaw, and Lucas van der Velde*, GRAPE, and Warsaw School of Economics

International Migration and Linguistic Gender Marking

Shikha Silwal*, Washington and Lee University

Clientelism and Remittance in Developing Countries

Discussants: Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, San Diego State University Sarah Pearlman, Vassar College Sandra Orozco-Aleman, Mississippi State University Kusum Mundra, Rutgers University, and IZA

[67] Port Hardy 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

LABOR SUPPLY

Chair: Yuet Yee Wong, Binghamton University SUNY Papers: Sebastian Findeisen*, University of Mannheim

Job Mobility and Career Progression: A Natural Experiment Barry T. Hirsch*, Georgia State University, and Bo Liu, Southern New Hampshire University

Does Winter Weather Decrease Work?

Tomio Kinoshita*, Musashi University

An Estimation of Wage Rate Elasticity of Supply of Working Hours Based on Hedonic Wage Model

Yuet Yee Wong*, Binghamton University SUNY

Does Marriage Make Cents?

Discussants: Barry T. Hirsch, Georgia State University Tomio Kinoshita, Musashi University Yuet Yee Wong, Binghamton University SUNY

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 13 of 73

Sebastian Findeisen, University of Mannheim

[68] Port Alberni 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

DISCRIMINATION IN LABOR MARKETS

Chair: Edward J. Timmons, Saint Francis University Papers: Maria Casanova Rivas*, California State University, Fullerton

Revisiting the Hump-Shaped Profile

Eneli Kindsiko*, University of Tartu

The Illusion of the Universal Academic Career: What Does the Data Show about the Actual Pattern of the PhDs Labor Market Movement

Yusuke Jinnai*, International University of Japan

Do Job Applicants also Discriminate Potential Employers? Evidence from the World’s Largest Online Labor Market

Edward J. Timmons*, Saint Francis University, and Robert J. Thornton, Lehigh University

Here, There, and Back Again: The Licensing, De-Licensing, and Re-Licensing of Barbers in Alabama

Discussants: Eneli Kindsiko, University of Tartu Yusuke Jinnai, International University of Japan Edward J. Timmons, Saint Francis University Maria Casanova Rivas, California State University, Fullerton

[69] Pavilion Ballroom C 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

ECONOMIC GROWTH AND PRODUCTIVITY

Chair: Hideaki Uchida, Mie University Papers: Shyam Gouri Suresh*, Davidson College, and Dylan Fitz, Lawrence University

Poverty Traps Across Levels of Aggregation

Johan Rewilak*, Aston University, Panicos Demetriades, University of Leicester, and Peter L. Rousseau, Vanderbilt University

Finance, Growth and Fragility

Sam Hak Kan Tang*, University of Western Australia, Patrick Jeffree, University of Western Australia, and Bei Li, University of Western Australia

National Leaders, Democratic Institutions and Economic Growth: A New Examination

Hideaki Uchida*, Mie University

Globalization and Productivity Growth with Heterogeneous Firms

Discussants: Johan Rewilak, Aston University Sam Hak Kan Tang, University of Western Australia Hideaki Uchida, Mie University Shyam Gouri Suresh, Davidson College

[70] Junior Ballroom C 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Middle East Economic Association

ENERGY CONSUMPTION, RISK, AND ECONOMIC

GROWTH

Organizer: Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School, Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California, and Rahel Schomaker, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences Chair: Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School Papers: Md. Al Mamun, La Trobe University, Kazi Sohag, Universiti Teknologi Mara, Muhammad Shahbaz, Montpellier Business School, and Shawkat M. Hammoudeh*, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School

Financial Markets, Innovations and Cleaner Energy Production in OECD Countries

Fateh Belaid*, Centre Scientifique et Technique du Batiment, and Adel Ben Youssef, University of Nice Sophia-Antipolis

Untangling Factors Shaping Residential Energy Consumption Patterns in France: Evidence from Quantile Regression

Ahmed A. Khalifa*, Qatar University, and Michael Price, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa

Electricity Demand in Qatar: A Field Experiment Discussants: from above participants

[71] Gulf Islands A 6/27/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Transportation and Public Utilities Group

ELECTRICITY AND ENERGY CHOICES

Organizer: Wesley W. Wilson, University of Oregon Chair: Adrienne Ohler, Illinois State University Papers: Adrienne Ohler*, Illinois State University, and Yeande Marques, Illinois State University

The Impact of Income on Household Electricity Consumption: A Study of Income Elasticities Using Categorical Data

Noha A. Razek*, University of Alberta

Economic Cycles and the Responsiveness of Natural Gas Demand in China’s Residential Sector

Curtis Dlouhy*, University of Oregon

Re-igniting the Coal Mining Industry: Is It Possible or Are We Just Blowing Smoke?

Jung S. You*, California State University, East Bay, and Minsoo Jeong, Yonsei University

The Economic Impact of Nuclear Power Plant Shutdowns

Discussants: Noha A. Razek, University of Alberta Curtis Dlouhy, University of Oregon Jung S. You, California State University, East Bay Adrienne Ohler, Illinois State University

Junior Ballroom B 6/27/2018 10:30 AM–12:00 PM

NAASE JOURNAL OF SPORTS ECONOMICS

EDITORIAL BOARD MEETING (BY INVITATION

ONLY)

Junior Ballroom B 6/27/2018 12:15 PM–1:15 PM

NAASE EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE MEETING (BY

INVITATION ONLY)

[73] Junior Ballroom D 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

INNOVATIONS IN TEACHING PRINCIPLES OF

ECONOMICS

Chair: Erik D. Craft, University of Richmond Papers: James Hornsten*, Northwestern University

Teaching Microeconomics with Live Cooking Demonstrations

Susan A. Jacobson*, Regis University

Re-Imagining Econ. 101: Indigenous, Buddhist, Jesuit, Secular Education

Michael Luzius*, American Intercontinental University

Teaching Principles Using an Adaptive Learning Platform

Erik D. Craft*, University of Richmond, and Maia Linask, University of Richmond

Learning Effects of the Flipped Classroom in a Principles of Microeconomics Course

Discussants: Susan A. Jacobson, Regis University Michael Luzius, American Intercontinental University Erik D. Craft, University of Richmond James Hornsten, Northwestern University

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 14 of 73

[74] Pavilion Ballroom D 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Cliometric Society, and Economic History Association

CRISES AND CONUNDRUMS IN ECONOMIC

HISTORY

Organizer: Michael J. Haupert, University of Wisconsin – La Crosse Chair: Michael McAvoy, SUNY Oneonta Papers: Donna Feir, University of Victoria, Rob Gillezeau, University of Victoria, and Maggie Jones*, Queen’s University, Ontario

Historical Treaty-Making and Long-Term Economic Prosperity of Indigenous Peoples

Benoit M. Papillon*, University of Quebec, Trois-Rivieres

Paradox of Prosperous France: Searching for Hints in the Application of Commercial Insolvency Law

Alexander Lehner*, University of Bologna

450 Years of Portuguese Colonialism in India: Missionaries, Education, Gender Gaps

Discussants: Michael McAvoy, SUNY Oneonta Michael J. Haupert, University of Wisconsin – La Crosse Trevon D. Logan, Ohio State University

[75] Parksville 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics

FIELD EXPERIMENTS

Organizer: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Chair: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Papers: Sabrina Jeworrek*, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany, and Otto von Guericke University, Vanessa Mertins, University of Vechta, and Michael Vlassopoulos, University of Southampton

The Good News About Bad News: Feedback About Past Organizational Failure and Its Impact on Worker Productivity

David Wozniak*, Eastern Michigan University, and Matthew P. Taylor, University of Montana

Should Firms Measure Preferences for Competition and Risk?

Timothy MacNeill*, University of Ontario Institute of Technology, and David Wozniak, Eastern Michigan University

Altruistic Behavior and Ethnic Diversity: Evidence from Honduras

Fanny Chan Fong Yee*, Hang Seng Management College, and Ben Lowe, University of Kent

The Moderating Role of Psychological Trait Reactance in Humorous Product Placements

Discussants: from above participants

[76] Beluga 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

STUDIES ON APPLIED ECONOMIC ISSUES

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Morris Altman, University of Newcastle Papers: Sodany Tong*, University of Newcastle, Morris Altman, University of Newcastle, and Frank W. Agbola, University of Newcastle

Managerial Quality, Productivity, and the Firm’s Business Environment: Evidence from New Zealand Longitudinal Microdata

Hossein Radmard*, American University of Beirut Is There An Optimal Size of Government for the U.S. States?

Weixiao Wu*, Clark University, and Chang Hong, U.S. Department of Agriculture

The Spillover Effect of Export Processing Zones

Discussants: Hossein Radmard, American University of Beirut Weixiao Wu, Clark University Sodany Tong, University of Newcastle

[77] Port McNeill 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Defense Economics Session

DEFENSE ECONOMICS: BEHAVIORAL CHOICES OF

SERVICE MEMBERS

Organizer: Thomas Light, RAND Corporation, Ellen M. Pint, RAND Corporation, and Laura H. Baldwin, RAND Corporation Chair: Carla Tighe Murray, Congressional Budget Office Papers: Jesse M. Cunha*, Naval Postgraduate School, and Pat Veith, Naval Postgraduate School

Peer Effects and Financial Decision Making: Evidence from the U.S. Navy

Julie A. Pechacek*, Institute for Defense Analyses, James Bishop, Institute for Defense Analyses, Peter Picucci, Institute for Defense Analyses, Alexandra Saizan, Institute for Defense Analyses, Amrit Romana, Institute for Defense Analyses, and John Alex Vig, Institute for Defense Analyses

Alcohol Markets and Drinking Culture in the Army and Air Force

Julie A. Pechacek*, Institute for Defense Analyses, James Bishop, Institute for Defense Analyses, Matthew Avery, Institute for Defense Analyses, Peter Picucci, Institute for Defense Analyses, Alexandra Saizan, Institute for Defense Analyses, and Amrit Romana, Institute for Defense Analyses

Can Military Alcohol Market Interventions Reduce Harmful Behaviors? Designing a Controlled Trial

Elizabeth Bass*, Congressional Budget Office

Federal Outlays for the Post 9/11 GI Bill David R. Graham*, Institute for Defense Analyses

Veterans in the DoD Workforce

Discussants: Patricia Tong, RAND Corporation Henry “Chip” Leonard, RAND Corporation Ryan Sullivan, Naval Postgraduate School Lauren Malone, Center for Naval Analyses Jeffrey B. Wenger, RAND Corporation

[78] Junior Ballroom A 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

MONEY DEMAND AND MONETARY REGIMES

Chair: Margaret apRoberts-Warren, Eastern Washington University Papers: Ari Aisen*, International Monetary Fund, and Felix Simione, International Monetary Fund

Towards a New Monetary Policy Regime in Low Income Countries: The Case of Mozambique

Arghya Bhattacharya*, Ashoka University

The Black Market for Currencies: Theory and Evidence

Stephen Matteo Miller*, George Mason University, and Thandinkosi Ndhlela, Monash University

Money Demand and the Parallel Market Before the End of the Zimbabwean Dollar

Discussants: Margaret apRoberts-Warren, Eastern Washington University Stephen Matteo Miller, George Mason University Ari Aisen, International Monetary Fund

[79] Orca 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 15 of 73

TOPICS ON THE CHINESE ECONOMY

Organizer: Massimiliano Tani, University of New South Wales, Canberra Chair: Massimiliano Tani, University of New South Wales, Canberra Papers: Zhiming Cheng*, University of New South Wales, Russell Smyth, Monash University, and Haining Wang, Shandong University

The Effect of Chinese Communist Party Branch on Labour Contract and Social Insurance Coverage in Private Enterprises

Shenghan Cai*, Macquarie University, and Fei Guo, Macquarie University

Genders and International Marriage Migration in China

Xingfei Liu*, University of Alberta, and Massimiliano Tani, University of New South Wales, Canberra

Hukou Change and Financial Risk

Discussants: Massimiliano Tani, University of New South Wales, Canberra Xingfei Liu, University of Alberta Zhiming Cheng, University of New South Wales

[80] Gulf Islands B 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Individually Organized Session

ROBERT E. LIPSEY MEMORIAL PANEL I

Organizer: Zadia M. Feliciano, Queens College, CUNY, and Graduate Center, CUNY, and Alan C. Spearot, University of California, Santa Cruz Chair: Zadia M. Feliciano, Queens College, CUNY, and Graduate Center, CUNY Papers: Abdul A. Munasib*, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, and Robert E. Yuskavage, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Measuring U.S. International Trade and Manufacturing Services

Marta Bengoa, City College of New York, CUNY, Priya Nagaraj*, William Paterson University, and Valeriano Martinez-San Roman, University of Cantabria

Disentangling Trade Effects of Non-Tariff Measures and Regulatory Distance for TPP Countries

Alan C. Spearot*, University of California, Santa Cruz

Optimal Tariff Discrimination: Eidence from the Generalized System of Preferences

Loren Brandt, University of Toronto, Bingjing Li, University of British Columbia, and Peter M. Morrow*, University of Toronto

Is Processing Good?

Discussants: Jung Hur, Sogang University, and Hitotsubashi University Eugene Beaulieu, University of Calgary Trevor Tombe, University of Calgary Laura Alfaro, Harvard University

[81] Chartroom 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

CURRENT ACCOUNT ADJUSTMENT

Chair: Nur Ain Shahrier, Sunway University Papers: Woon Gyu Choi*, International Monetary Fund, Taesu Kang, Bank of Korea, Geun-Young Kim, Bank of Korea, and Byongju Lee, Bank of Korea

Divergent Emerging Market Economy Responses to Global and Domestic Monetary Policy Shocks

Yu-Hsi Chou*, National Taiwan Normal University

Sources of the Current Account Fluctuations in Taiwan: 1989-2015

Nur Ain Shahrier*, Sunway University, and Chuah Lay Lian, World Bank

Analysing the Impact of Different Streams of Capital Inflows and Outflows on Assets Market in ASEAN-4

Jyh-Lin Wu*, National Sun Yat-Sen University, and Jo-wei Wu, Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research

Exchange Rate Regimes and Current Account Adjustments

Discussants: Yu-Hsi Chou, National Taiwan Normal University Nur Ain Shahrier, Sunway University Jyh-Lin Wu, National Sun Yat-Sen University Woon Gyu Choi, International Monetary Fund

[82] Grand Ballroom C 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

FINANCIAL REGULATION: CAPITAL

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Andreas Pfingsten, University of Muenster Papers: Filippo Occhino*, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

The Optimal Response of Bank Capital Requirements to Credit and Risk in a Model with Financial Spillovers

Amine Tarazi*, University of Limoges, Robert DeYoung, University of Kansas, and Isabelle Distinguin, University of Limoges

Bank Liquidity Mangement and Bank Capital Shocks

Andreas Pfingsten*, University of Muenster, Catharina Claussen, University of Muenster, and Johannes Kriebel, University of Muenster

Do Regulatory Capital Requirements Matter for Bond Yields

Discussants: Anil Ari, International Monetary Fund Dieter Wang, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Anup Basu, Queensland University of Technology

[83] Grand Ballroom D 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

CORPORATE FINANCE: FIRM FINANCING

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Lei Sandy Ye, World Bank Papers: Xiao-Ming Li*, Massey University, and Mei Qiu, Massey University

How Important is Economic Policy Uncertainty for Capital Structure Decisions? Evidence from U.S. Firms

Lei Sandy Ye*, World Bank, and Eduardo R. Borensztein, International Monetary Fund

Corporate Debt Overhang and Investment: Firm-Level Evidence

Discussants: Xiao Cen, Columbia Business School Yinuo Zhang, Princeton University

[84] Finback 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

ECONOMICS OF THE PUBLIC SECTOR

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Faqin Lin, Central University of Finance and Economics, China Papers: Antonio Grginovic*, Kozminski University

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 16 of 73

Blockchain-Based Governance: The Case of Poland

Huiran Pan*, California State University, Fullerton

Bank Earnings Volatility and Government Bond Holdings

Julan Du*, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Ruigang Bi, Fudan University, and Zonglai Kou, Chinese University of Hong Kong

Media and Political Competition in an Authoritarian Regime: The Case of Milk Scandal in China

Discussants: Bing Li, Central University of Finance and Economics, China Julan Du, Chinese University of Hong Kong Faqin Lin, Central University of Finance and Economics, China

[85] Port Hardy 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Association for Economic and Development Studies on Bangladesh

TOPICS IN ENVIRONMENT AND DEMOGRAPHICS

Organizer: Sakib Mahmud, University of Wisconsin - Superior Chair: to be announced Papers: Jamil Sayeed*, Carleton University, Md. Deen Islam, University of Dhaka, and Shanjida Yasmin, Carleton University

Prospect of Proxy Means Test as an Efficient Targeting Mechanism of Social Safety Net Programmes in Bangladesh

Tanvir Pavel, Florida International University, Nafisa Halim, Boston University, and Pallab Mozumder*, Florida International University

Internal Migration to Cope with Natural Hazards: The Role of Transient versus Permanent Shocks

Sakib Mahmud*, University of Wisconsin - Superior, and Gazi Hassan, University of Waikato

Public Programs and Remittances Influence on Private Storm-Protection Actions: Is Crowding Out Effect Most Likely Outcome?

Rubana Mahjabeen, University of Wisconsin - Superior, and Praopan Pratoomchat*, University of Wisconsin - Superior

Number of Public High School Graduates of the Midwest USA: Why is it Projected to Decline?

Discussants: Praopan Pratoomchat, University of Wisconsin - Superior Sakib Mahmud, University of Wisconsin - Superior Jamil Sayeed, Carleton University Pallab Mozumder, Florida International University

[86] Port Alberni 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

JOBS AND EARNINGS

Chair: Pawel M. Krolikowski, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Papers: Michael A. Coon*, University of Tampa, and Miao Chi, Drew University

Visa Wait Times and Future Earnings: Evidence from the National Survey of College Graduates

Pawel M. Krolikowski*, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Patrick Coate, National Council for Compensation Insurance, and Mike Zabek, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

Parental Proximity and Earnings After Job Displacements

Aigerim Zhangaliyeva, Tokyo Electron Limited, and Masaki Nakabayashi*, University of Tokyo

Heritage from Czar: The Russian Dual System of Schooling and Signaling

Discussants: Michael A. Coon, University of Tampa Pawel M. Krolikowski, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Masaki Nakabayashi, University of Tokyo

[87] Gulf Islands A 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Transportation and Public Utilities Group

INTERNET CONNECTIONS AND POLICY

Organizer: Wesley W. Wilson, University of Oregon Chair: Gregory L. Rosston, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research Papers: Gregory L. Rosston*, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, and Scott Wallsten, Technology Policy Institute

Connecting the Unconnected: The Effects of Programs Targeting Low-Income Households Without Connections

Ayesha Khalid*, University of Oregon, and Wesley W. Wilson, University of Oregon

Diversification of Cable Operators into Broadband Services: An Investigation of the U.S. Cable Systems

James H. Alleman*, University of Colorado Boulder, and Martin Taschdjian, University of Colorado Boulder

Antitrust for the Tech Giants of the Internet?

Discussants: James H. Alleman, University of Colorado Boulder Gregory L. Rosston, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research Ayesha Khalid, University of Oregon

[88] Grand Ballroom A 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM American Association of Wine Economists

WINE ECONOMICS

Organizer: W. Craig Riddell, University of British Columbia Chair: Orley Ashenfelter, Princeton University Papers: Bernd Frick*, University of Paderborn, Germany

The Legacy of Gurus: The Impact of Armin Diel and Joel Payne on Winery Ratings in Germany

Patrizia Fanasch*, University of Paderborn, Germany, and Bernd Frick, University of Paderborn, Germany

Filling Big Shoes: CEO and COO Succession Planning in Family Businesses

Orley Ashenfelter, Princeton University, Robin Goldstein, Fearless Critic Media, and W. Craig Riddell*, University of British Columbia

The Market for Expert Opinion: The Case of Wine Spectator Awards of Excellence

Discussants: from above participants

[89] Pavilion Ballroom C 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

GENDER EQUALITY, TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE,

AND ECONOMIC GROWTH

Chair: Ata Can Bertay, World Bank Papers: Alberto J. Vindas Quesada*, Arizona State University, Bart Hobijn, Arizona State University, and Todd Schoellman, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Structural Transformation: A Race between Demographics and Technology

Markus P. Schneider*, University of Denver, Christine Ngo, University of Denver, and Yavuz Yasar, University of Denver

The Contributions and Characteristics of Female Entrepreneurship in Manufacturing: The Case of Vietnam

Josip Tica*, University of Zagreb, and Luka Sikic, Institute of Social Sciences Ivo Pilar

International Technological Diffusion Channels in New EU Member States

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 17 of 73

Ljubica Djordjevic, Goethe Universitat Frankfurt, Ata Can Bertay*, World Bank, and Can Sever, University of Maryland, College Park

Gender Inequality and Economic Growth: Evidence from Industry-Level Data

Discussants: Markus P. Schneider, University of Denver Josip Tica, University of Zagreb Ata Can Bertay, World Bank Alberto J. Vindas Quesada, Arizona State University

[90] Gulf Islands C 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

AGRICULTURE AND WATER

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon Chair: Sumeet Gulati, University of British Columbia Papers: Na Lu*, University of New Mexico, and Kira Villa, University of New Mexico

The Effect of Farming on Rural Household’s Health: A Natural Experiment in China

Katryn Pasaribu*, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Christopher D. Clark, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Dayton M. Lambert, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, and Burton C. English, University of Tennessee, Knoxville

Environmental Spillover of Crop Insurance Program: Evidence from Freshwater Assessment Status in 305(b) Report Waters As Assessed

Na Lu*, University of New Mexico

Dynamic Optimization of Fertilizer Management in Agriculture

Arisha Ashraf*, University of California, Riverside, and Ariel Dinar, University of California, Riverside

Sustaining Agricultural Productivity Under California’s Harsh Climatic Conditions: Insights From a Farm-level Questionnaire

Discussants: Katryn Pasaribu, University of Tennessee, Knoxville Na Lu, University of New Mexico Arisha Ashraf, University of California, Riverside Na Lu, University of New Mexico

[91] Gulf Islands D 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

ELECTRICITY, CARBON, EFFICIENCY, AND EQUITY

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon Chair: Daniel H. Simon, Indiana University Bloomington Papers: Yukihide Kurakawa*, Waseda University, and Makoto Tanaka, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies, Japan

Negawatt Trading and Energy Efficiency in Adjustment Markets

Akio Yamazaki*, University of Calgary

Carbon Tax, Productivity, and Reallocation: Lessons from Canadian Manufacturing Plants

Ryan Walch*, University of Oregon

The Effect of California’s Carbon Cap and Trade Program on Co-pollutants and Environmental Justice: Evidence from the Electricity Sector

Daniel H. Simon*, Indiana University Bloomington, Nikos Zirogiannis, Indiana University Bloomington, and Alex Hollingsworth, Indiana University Bloomington

Estimating Co-Pollutant Benefits from Climate Change Policies in the Electricity Sector: An Empirical Approach

Discussants: Akio Yamazaki, University of Calgary Ryan Walch, University of Oregon

Daniel H. Simon, Indiana University Bloomington Yukihide Kurakawa, Waseda University

[92] Junior Ballroom C 6/27/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

URBAN HOUSING MARKETS

Organizer: Brad R. Humphreys, West Virginia University Chair: Yang Zhou, West Virginia University Papers: Dean Stansel*, Southern Methodist University, and Marcus T. Allen, Florida Gulf Coast University

Housing Prices and Economic Freedom in the U.S. Metropolitan Areas

Matt Gnagey, Weber State University, Therese C. Grijalva, Weber State University, and Christopher Yencha*, Weber State University

Are Improvements to Outdoor Recreation Access Capitalized into Home Values?

Brad R. Humphreys, West Virginia University, and Yang Zhou*, West Virginia University

Living near Death? Evidence of Green Space Influence on Residential Real Estate Prices

Marcus T. Allen, Florida Gulf Coast University, Amelia M. Biehl, Florida Gulf Coast University, and Kaitlyn R. Harger*, Florida Gulf Coast University

Evacuation and House Price Capitalization: Evidence from the Waterfront Wonderland

Discussants: Yang Zhou, West Virginia University Dean Stansel, Southern Methodist University Christopher Yencha, Weber State University Kaitlyn R. Harger, Florida Gulf Coast University

Junior Ballroom B 6/27/2018 1:20 PM–2:20 PM

NAASE GENERAL MEMBERSHIP MEETING

Open to NAASE membership only. Dues may be paid at the door. [93] Grand Ballroom A 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Professional Development Session

FRED®: ACTIVE LEARNING WITH DATA — A

HANDS-ON WORKSHOP

Organizer: Diego Mendez-Carbajo, Illinois Wesleyan University Facilitators: Diego Mendez-Carbajo, Illinois Wesleyan University Keith Taylor, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Mark Bayles, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Maria Arias, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

[94] Gulf Islands A 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

PRODUCTION AND ORGANIZATIONS

Chair: Sheng-Ping Yang, Gustavus Adolphus College Papers: Yasuyuki Osumi*, University of Hyogo, and Atsushi Miyake, Kobe Gakuin University

Firm Size, Rate of Return on Capital, and Increasing Returns to Scale - Cases of Japanese Financial and Information Communication Service Sectors

Dale B. Truett*, University of Texas at San Antonio, and Lila J. Truett, University of Texas at San Antonio

Crisis and Response in the Portuguese Textile and Clothing Industry: A Fight for Survival

Lila J. Truett*, University of Texas at San Antonio, and Dale B. Truett, University of Texas at San Antonio

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 18 of 73

Challenges and Opportunities in the Australian Textile Industry: Cost Function Insights

Sheng-Ping Yang*, Gustavus Adolphus College

Market Structure and Investment in the U.S. Aluminum Industry

Discussants: Lila J. Truett, University of Texas at San Antonio Sheng-Ping Yang, Gustavus Adolphus College Yasuyuki Osumi, University of Hyogo Margo Bergman, University of Washington Seattle

[95] Port McNeill 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Defense Economics Session

IMPROVING EFFECTIVENESS OF PROGRAMS AND

SERVICES FOR MILITARY MEMBERS

Organizer: John D. Winkler, RAND Corporation Chair: John D. Winkler, RAND Corporation Papers: James R. Hosek, RAND Corporation, Beth J. Asch, RAND Corporation, Michael Mattock, RAND Corporation, Italo A. Gutierrez, RAND Corporation, Patricia Tong*, RAND Corporation, and Felix Knutson, RAND Corporation

An Assessment of the Military Survivor Benefit Plan

David Knapp*, RAND Corporation, and Laura Miller, RAND Corporation

My Career Advancement Account Evaluation: Spouse Employment and Earnings Analyses

Jeffrey B. Wenger*, RAND Corporation

Evaluation of the MyCAA Scholarship Program

Kimberly Hepner*, RAND Corporation

Improving the Quality of Military Mental Health Care

Discussants: Chris Meyer, Center for Naval Analyses Julie A. Pechacek, Institute for Defense Analyses David S. C. Chu, Institute for Defense Analyses Chris Meyer, Center for Naval Analyses

[96] Grand Ballroom B 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

LABOR MARKET FRICTIONS

Chair: Mihaela Pintea, Florida International University Papers: Zuzana Janko*, San Francisco State University, and Gurleen Popli, University of Sheffield

Re-Examining the Impact of Recessions on Mortality across Canada: A Panel Analysis

Shian-Yu Liao*, Chung Yuan Christian University, and Been-Lon Chen, Academia Sinica

Residential Houses, Business Investment, and Entrepreneurs

Mihaela Pintea*, Florida International University, and Cem (Ali) Karayalcin, Florida International University

The Role of Productivity, Transportation Costs, and Barriers to Intersectoral Mobility in Structural Transformation

Shiyun Zhang*, University of California, Riverside

Immigration, Crimes and Frictional Labor Market Discussants: Shian-Yu Liao, Chung Yuan Christian University Mihaela Pintea, Florida International University Shiyun Zhang, University of California, Riverside Zuzana Janko, San Francisco State University

[97] Junior Ballroom A 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

MONETARY POLICY, COMPETITION, AND RISK

Chair: Michael K. Kuehlwein, Pomona College Papers: David Finck*, University of Giessen, Peter Tillmann, University of Giessen, and Joerg Schmidt, Justus Liebig Universitat Giessen

Time-Varying Monetary Policy Transmission and Household Debt

Cuiyi Zhang*, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, Robert R. Reed, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, and Edgar A. Ghossoub, University of Texas at San Antonio

What Were the Effects of the Federal Reserve’s Term Discount Window Program?

Eiji Okano*, Nagoya City University, and Kazuyuki Inagaki, Nagoya City University

Revisiting the Fiscal Theory of Sovereign Risk from a DSGE Viewpoint

Ejindu S. Ume*, Miami University, Ohio

Bank Competition, Income Inequality, and Monetary Policy

Discussants: Cuiyi Zhang, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa Michael K. Kuehlwein, Pomona College Ejindu S. Ume, Miami University, Ohio David Finck, University of Giessen

[98] Orca 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND POLICY

COORDINATION BETWEEN CHINA AND THE ONE

BELT ONE ROAD COUNTRIES

Organizer: Yihong Tang, Central University of Finance and Economics, China Chair: Yihong Tang, Central University of Finance and Economics, China Papers: Jin Sun*, Central University of Finance and Economics, China, and Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach

Monetary and Financial Cooperation in Promoting Trade between China and the One Belt One Road Countries

Bing Li*, Central University of Finance and Economics, China, and Xiaochen Yan, Central University of Finance and Economics, China

Immunizing from the Terror: China’s New Comparative Advantage and Policy Implications in One Belt One Road?

Faqin Lin*, Central University of Finance and Economics, China, and Mohan Zhou, Central University of Finance and Economics, China

Corruption and Trade: Evidence and Policy from One Belt One Road Countries

Dahai Fu*, Central University of Finance and Economics, China, and Yihong Tang, Central University of Finance and Economics, China

Identifying Export Opportunities for China in One Belt One Road: Implication for Export Promotion Policy

Discussants: Antonio Grginovic, Kozminski University Martin Geiger, Carleton University Huiran Pan, California State University, Fullerton Miaojie Yu, Peking University

[99] Gulf Islands B 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Individually Organized Session

ROBERT E. LIPSEY MEMORIAL PANEL II

Organizer: Zadia M. Feliciano, Queens College, CUNY, and Graduate Center, CUNY, and Alan C. Spearot, University of California, Santa Cruz Chair: Alan C. Spearot, University of California, Santa Cruz Papers: Laura Alfaro*, Harvard University, Ge Cathy Bao, University of International Business and Economics, China, Maggie X. Chen, George Washington University, Junjie Hong, University of International Business and Economics, China,

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 19 of 73

and Claudia Steinwender, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Foreign Powers, Domestic Integration, and Firms: Evidence from Shanghai in the Era of Concessions

Hyunbae Chun*, Sogang University, Jung Hur, Sogang University, and Hitotsubashi University, and Nyeong Seon Son, Sogang University

Servicification of Manufacturing: Evidence from Korean Multinational Firms

Zadia M. Feliciano*, Queens College, CUNY, and Graduate Center, CUNY

Intangible Assets, Corporate Taxes and Multinational Firm’s Relocation: The Case of Puerto Rico

Jennifer Winter, University of Calgary, and Trevor Tombe*, University of Calgary

Fiscal Integration with Internal Trade: Quantifying the Effects of Equalizing Transfers

Discussants: Alan C. Spearot, University of California, Santa Cruz Akira Sasahara, University of Idaho, Moscow Kanda Naknoi, University of Connecticut Priya Nagaraj, William Paterson University

[100] Beluga 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

ECONOMICS OF CHINA: LABOR MARKETS

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Kit Ming Isabel Yan, City University of Hong Kong Papers: Zhiqiang Liu*, University at Buffalo SUNY, Jinquan Gong, Peking University, and Joanne Song McLaughlin, University of California, Irvine, and University at Buffalo SUNY

Returns to Political Capital in Chinese Labor Market

Kit Ming Isabel Yan*, City University of Hong Kong

Heterogeneous Preferences and Risk Sharing at Households Level in China

Longyao Zhang*, Nanjing Agricultural University, Qianqian Ma, Nanjing Agricultural University, Sara Hsu, State University of New York at New Paltz, and Yuyun Xu, Nanjing Agricultural University

Access to Credit Across Households: The Impact of China’s Hukou System

Leilei Shen*, Kansas State University

Polarization of American Workers: The Big Squeeze from Occupational Exposure to Value-Added Imports

Discussants: Longyao Zhang, Nanjing Agricultural University Zhiqiang Liu, University at Buffalo SUNY Kit Ming Isabel Yan, City University of Hong Kong Julan Du, Chinese University of Hong Kong

[101] Finback 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE II

Organizer: Thomas D. Willett, Claremont McKenna College, and Claremont Graduate University Chair: Ozan Sula, Western Washington University Papers: Chris Manfre*, Pepperdine University

News and Markets Response during the U.S. Financial Crisis of 2008

Hassan Almahmood*, Claremont Graduate University, Graham Bird, Claremont Graduate University, and Claremont

McKenna College, and Thomas D. Willett, Claremont McKenna College, and Claremont Graduate University

Capital Flow Reversals and Currency Crises

Wenti Du*, Akita International University, Graham Bird, Claremont Graduate University, and Claremont McKenna College, Eric J. Pentecost, Loughborough University, and Thomas D. Willett, Claremont McKenna College, and Claremont Graduate University

Contagion from the Euro Crisis

Jake Meyer*, California State University, Long Beach, Eric Ming-Ping Chiu, National Chung Hsing University, Taiwan, and Thomas D. Willett, Claremont McKenna College, and Claremont Graduate University

Do Countries Learn from Currency Crises?

Discussants: Wenti Du, Akita International University Ozan Sula, Western Washington University Jie Li, Central University of Finance and Economics, China Kenneth S. Kim, California State University, Fullerton

[102] Grand Ballroom C 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

REAL EFFECTS: BANK SHOCKS AND FIRM

RESPONSES

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Michelle Zemel, Pomona College Papers: Evren Ors*, HEC Paris, Neslihan Karakaya, Deloitte, and Tomasz Michalski, HEC Paris

Banking Integration and Growth: Role of Banks’ Previous Industry Exposure

Michael Connolly*, Boston College

The Real Effects of Stress Testing in a Financial Crisis: Evidence from the SCAP

Dian Yuan*, University of Limoges, Celine Meslier, University of Limoges, and Alain Sauviat, University of Limoges

Local Banking Market Structure, External Financial Dependence and Economic Activity: A New Assessment of the Benefits of Relationship Banking

Manisha Goel, Pomona College, and Michelle Zemel*, Pomona College

Switching to Bonds when Loans are Scarce: Evidence from Four U.S. Crises

Discussants: Huyen Nguyen, University of Nottingham, United Kingdom Eric Fischer, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Michelle Zemel, Pomona College Matteo Millone, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

[103] Grand Ballroom D 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

FINANCIAL REGULATION: LIQUIDITY

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Corinne Dubois, Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne Papers: Quynh-Anh Vo*, Bank of England, and Fabiana Gomez, University of Bristol

Liquidity Management in Banking: The Role of Leverage

Luisa Lambertini, Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne, and Corinne Dubois*, Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 20 of 73

The Empirical Relationship between Liquidity and Wholesale Funding

Julia Körding*, European Central Bank, and De Nederlandsche Bank, and Beatrice Scheubel, European Central Bank

Liquidity Regulation, the Central Bank and the Money Market Discussants: Nam Nguyen, University of Quebec, Montreal Amine Tarazi, University of Limoges Oliver Rehbein, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany

[104] Parksville 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics

COOPERATION, PUBLIC GOODS, AND GUILT

Organizer: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Chair: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Papers: Sandra Hughes Goff*, Skidmore College

Reducing Guilt in a Dictator Game with Take Framing

Brock V. Stoddard*, Appalachian State University, and Caleb A. Cox, Virginia Commonwealth University

Common-Value Public Goods and Informational Social Dilemmas

Joachim Weimann*, University of Magdeburg, Martin Fochmann, University of Cologne, Abdolkarim Sadrieh, University of Magdeburg, and Florian Sachs, University of Magdeburg

The Two Sides of Public Debt: Intergenerational Altruism and Burden Shifting

Arne Pieters*, University of Hamburg

Cooperating Tomorrow: Warm Glow vs. Cold Prickle

Discussants: from above participants

[105] Port Hardy 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Individually Organized Session

ISSUES IN HIGHER EDUCATION

Organizer: Michael R. Ransom, Brigham Young University Chair: Orley Ashenfelter, Princeton University Papers: Kevin M. Williams*, University of Utah, Cesare Fracassi, University of Texas at Austin, and Mark Jansen, University of Utah

Returns to Education in Subprime Credit Markets

Matthew D. Baird*, RAND Corporation, Trey Miller, American Institutes for Research, Jeffrey B. Wenger, RAND Corporation, and Michael S. Kofoed, United States Military Academy

For-Profit Higher Education Responsiveness to Price Shocks: An Investigation of Changes in Post 9-11 GI Bill Allowed Maximum Tuitions

Jared Ashworth, Pepperdine University, Joseph Hotz, Duke University, Arnaud Maurel, Duke University, and Tyler M. Ransom*, University of Oklahoma

Changes across Cohorts in Wage Returns to Schooling and Early Work Experiences

Michael R. Ransom*, Brigham Young University, Michael J. Hilmer, San Diego State University, and Christiana E. Hilmer, San Diego State University

Meritocracy in Academic Labor Markets: A Comparison of Three Fields

Discussants: Michael S. Kofoed, United States Military Academy Brigham R. Frandsen, Brigham Young University Matthew D. Baird, RAND Corporation Ronald L. Oaxaca, University of Arizona

[106] Port Alberni 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM

Volunteer Individual Session

MINIMUM WAGES

Chair: Moiz Bhai, University of Arkansas at Little Rock Papers: Moiz Bhai*, University of Arkansas at Little Rock

Minimum Wages and Subjective Well-Being

Yun Gong*, Johns Hopkins University

The Unequal States of America: Earnings Inequality across U.S. States

Darius D. Martin*, Western Washington University

The Minimum Wage Under Monopsony with Worker Heterogeneity

Discussants: Yun Gong, Johns Hopkins University Darius D. Martin, Western Washington University Moiz Bhai, University of Arkansas at Little Rock

[107] Chartroom 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

SPECIFIC INDUSTRIES

Chair: Linda Welling, University of Victoria Papers: Yong-Kyun Bae*, Pusan National University

Vehicle Manufacturers’ Recall Decisions - Market Characteristics

Charles Hodgson*, Stanford University

Information Externalities, Free Riding, and Optimal Exploration in the Oil Industry

Ana Lelia Magnabosco*, Universidade de Sao Paulo, and Fernando de Freitas, Confederacao Nacional de Servicios

The Effects of Access to Sanitation on the Health and Lives of Brazilian Women

Linda Welling*, University of Victoria, Merwan Engineer, University of Victoria, and Janet Whitney-Brown, L’Arche

Choosing Life Together: Modelling Communities Among Persons with Intellectual Disabilities

Discussants: Charles Hodgson, Stanford University Ana Lelia Magnabosco, Universidade de Sao Paulo Linda Welling, University of Victoria Yong-Kyun Bae, Pusan National University

[108] Gulf Islands C 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

WATER QUANTITY AND QUALITY

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon Chair: John A. Sorrentino, Temple University Papers: Jeremy West*, University of California, Santa Cruz, Robert W. Fairlie, University of California, Santa Cruz, Bryan Pratt, University of California, Santa Cruz, and Liam Rose, University of California, Santa Cruz

Does Moral Suasion Complement Pecuniary Policy? Evidence from Residential Water Conservation

Lopamudra Chakraborti*, CIDE Mexico

A Natural Experiment on US Clean Water Act Monitoring and Compliance

John A. Sorrentino*, Temple University

Residential Development in a Philadelphia Metro Watershed: The Case of the Wissahickon Creek

Discussants: Lopamudra Chakraborti, CIDE Mexico John A. Sorrentino, Temple University Jeremy West, University of California, Santa Cruz

[109] Gulf Islands D 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATION, TECHNOLOGY

AND PRODUCTION

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 21 of 73

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon Chair: Yanming Sun, East China Normal University Papers: Subal C. Kumbhakar, Binghamton University SUNY, Oleg Badunenko, University of Portsmouth, and Michael Willox*, Statistics Canada

Estimation of Environmental and Production Efficiency: A Bi-Production Approach

Devin Lee Gray*, Washington State University Pullman

Strategic Agricultural Technology Diffusion

Yanming Sun*, East China Normal University, and Kevin Currier, Oklahoma State University

Some Implications of Renewable Energy Producers’ Cost Efficiency Incentives in Energy Markets with Overlapping Regulations

Nouri Najjar*, University of British Columbia, and Jevan Cherniwchan, University of Alberta

Environmental Regulations and the Clean-Up of Manufacturing: Plant-Level Evidence from Canada

Discussants: Devin Lee Gray, Washington State University Pullman Nouri Najjar, University of British Columbia Yanming Sun, East China Normal University Michael Willox, Statistics Canada

[110] Pavilion Ballroom C 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

MACROECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC

DEVELOPMENT

Chair: M. Jahangir Alam, HEC Montreal Papers: Justin Cook*, University of California, Merced, and Manisha Shah, University of California, Los Angeles

Aggregate Effects of Social Security: Evidence from NREGA

Dino Carlo A. Saplala*, Ateneo de Manila University

Time Series Analysis of Financial Development, International Trade, and Economic Growth in the Philippines

Yaser Sattari*, Simon Fraser University

Misallocation, Selection, and Aggregate Productivity: The Role of Endogenous Exit

M. Jahangir Alam*, HEC Montreal Misallocation and Trade Policy

Discussants: Dino Carlo A. Saplala, Ateneo de Manila University Yaser Sattari, Simon Fraser University M. Jahangir Alam, HEC Montreal Justin Cook, University of California, Merced

[111] Pavilion Ballroom D 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Professional Development Session AEA Committee on the Status of Women in the Economics Profession, AEA Committee on the Status of Minority Groups in the Economics Profession, and American Society of Hispanic Economists

PANEL OF JOURNAL EDITORS OFFERING ADVICE

ON PUBLISHING

Organizer: Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, San Diego State University, and Ebonya L. Washington, Yale University Moderator: Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, San Diego State University, and Ebonya L. Washington, Yale University Panelists: Julie Cullen, University of California, San Diego Brad R. Humphreys, West Virginia University Thomas Lemieux, University of British Columbia Wesley W. Wilson, University of Oregon

[112] Junior Ballroom B 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM North American Association of Sports Economists

FINANCE, CONTRACTS, AND SUBSIDIES IN MAJOR

LEAGUE SPORTS

Organizer: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Chair: John L. Solow, University of Iowa Papers: Qi Ge*, Skidmore College, and Brad R. Humphreys, West Virginia University

Off-field Behavior and Sponsor Stock Returns: Evidence from the NFL

Anthony C. Krautmann*, DePaul University, and John L. Solow, University of Iowa

The Economics of Long-term Contracts in Major League Baseball

King Banaian*, St. Cloud State University

The Role of Amendments in Passing Legislation: The Case of the Minnesota Vikings Stadium

Discussants: Arne Feddersen, University of Southern Denmark Qi Ge, Skidmore College Michael A. Leeds, Temple University Wenche Wang, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

[113] Junior Ballroom D 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Association for University Business and Economic Research

WESTERN STATES FORECAST I

Organizer: Richard L. Wobbekind, University of Colorado Boulder Moderator: Richard L. Wobbekind, University of Colorado Boulder Papers: Dennis L. Hoffman*, Arizona State University

Arizona and Western States

Raymond E. Sfeir*, Chapman University

California

Richard L. Wobbekind*, University of Colorado Boulder

Colorado

[114] Junior Ballroom C 6/27/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Middle East Economic Association

FINANCIAL MARKETS, FISCAL SYSTEMS, AND

ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

Organizer: Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School, Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California, and Rahel Schomaker, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences Chair: Mahmoud Haddad, University of Tennessee at Martin Papers: Mahmoud Haddad*, University of Tennessee at Martin, and Sam Hakim, Fidelity Investments

Using Alternative Investment Vehicles to Replication Hedge Funds Risk and Return

Ali Soliman*, Nile University, and Salah Sabaa, Nile University

Budget Policies and Social Justice in Egypt: Response to Millennial Challenges

Nils Otter*, Hochschule fur Wirtschaft und Recht Berlin

A Short History of Development Economics

Monika Sheldon-London*, Alpha FTS

Accountability and Asset Recovery: A Leadership and Sustainability Initiative

Discussants: from above participants

Pavilion Ballroom A 6/27/2018 4:15 PM–4:30 PM

REFRESHMENT BREAK

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 22 of 73

[115] Orca 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

TEACHING ECONOMICS

Chair: Viola Deutscher, University of Mannheim Papers: Bahram Adrangi*, University of Portland

A Note on Teaching Constrained Optimization Using Excel: The Case of Utility Maximization Subject to Budget Constraint

Viola Deutscher*, University of Mannheim, Stefanie Findeisen, University of Mannheim, and Jurgen Seifried, University of Mannheim

The Development of Explaining Skills of Prospective Economics Teachers

Allan G. Sleeman*, Western Washington University

What’s Wrong With the Supply and Demand Model?

Caleb Stroup, Davidson College, Phillip Glandon, Kenyon College, Sandeep Mazumder, Wake Forest University, and Ken Kuttner*, Williams College

Macroeconomic Methodologies, Present and Past Discussants: Viola Deutscher, University of Mannheim Allan G. Sleeman, Western Washington University Ken Kuttner, Williams College Bahram Adrangi, University of Portland

[116] Port Hardy 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

REGULATION AND CONSOLIDATION IN HEALTH

CARE

Chair: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi, Hosei University Papers: John Bowblis*, Miami University, Ohio, and Austin C. Smith, Miami University, Ohio

Occupational Licensing of Social Services and Nursing Home Quality: A Regression Discontinuity Approach

Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi*, Hosei University, and Akira Shimada, Nagasaki University

New Eldercare System in an Aging European Society: Theoretical View Based on OLG Framework

Kamyar Nasseh*, American Dental Association, John Bowblis, Miami University, Ohio, Marko Vujicic, American Dental Association, and Sean Shenghsiu Huang, Georgetown University

Consolidation in the Dental Industry: A Closer Look at Dental Payers and Providers

Discussants: Kamyar Nasseh, American Dental Association John Bowblis, Miami University, Ohio Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi, Hosei University

[117] Port McNeill 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Defense Economics Session

DEFENSE ECONOMICS: HUMAN CAPITAL

MANAGEMENT

Organizer: Thomas Light, RAND Corporation, Ellen M. Pint, RAND Corporation, and Laura H. Baldwin, RAND Corporation Chair: David R. Graham, Institute for Defense Analyses Papers: Martha Dunigan*, RAND Corporation, Michael Schwille, RAND Corporation, Samantha Cherney, RAND Corporation, Katherine Hastings, RAND Corporation, Brian Nichiporuk, RAND Corporation, and Peter Schirmer, RAND Corporation

Human Capital Needs for the Department of Defense Operational Contract Support Planning and Integration Workforce

Henry “Chip” Leonard*, RAND Corporation

Human Resource Management Considerations in Defense Institution Building

Jun Hyung Yu*, Korea Institute for Defense Analyses

The Impact of Military Spending on Human Capital Formation: Evidence on How Military Spending Affects Human Capital Resources in the Presence of Threats

Lauren Malone*, Center for Naval Analyses

Service- and Sector-Level Differences in Off-Duty Education Outcomes: Tabulations and Directions for Future Research

Discussants: Carla Tighe Murray, Congressional Budget Office Dean D. Dudley, United States Military Academy Jomana Amara, Naval Postgraduate School James Bishop, Institute for Defense Analyses

[118] Grand Ballroom B 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

FISCAL POLICY

Papers: Andrew J. Abbott*, University of Hull, and Philip Jones, University of Bath

The Cyclicality of Government Health Expenditure: A Public Choice Perspective

Ai Thuy Ho*, Lingnan University, Ping Lin, Lingnan University, and Chi Duc Nguyen, Banking University of Ho Chi Minh City

Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth: Does Freedom Make a Difference?

Discussants: Ai Thuy Ho, Lingnan University Andrew J. Abbott, University of Hull

[119] Gulf Islands B 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Individually Organized Session

ROBERT E. LIPSEY MEMORIAL PANEL III

Organizer: Zadia M. Feliciano, Queens College, CUNY, and Graduate Center, CUNY, and Alan C. Spearot, University of California, Santa Cruz Chair: Alan C. Spearot, University of California, Santa Cruz Papers: Eugene Beaulieu*, University of Calgary

Model Uncertainty in Foreign Direct Investment: Greenfield vs Mergers and Acquisitions

Hyunbae Chun, Sogang University, Jung Hur*, Sogang University, and Hitotsubashi University, Nyeong Seon Son, Sogang University, and Haeyeon Yoon, Sogang University

Do Non-exporting Plants Benefit from Their Peers’ Exporting Activity?

Abigail S. Hornstein, Wesleyan University, and Kanda Naknoi*, University of Connecticut

Investment Pledge Fulfillment: Variation Across Source and Recipient Nations

Robert Feenstra, University of California, Davis, and Akira Sasahara*, University of Idaho, Moscow

The ‘China Shock’ in Trade: Consequences for ASEAN and East Asia

Discussants: Hyunbae Chun, Sogang University Peter M. Morrow, University of Toronto Abdul A. Munasib, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Zadia M. Feliciano, Queens College, CUNY, and Graduate Center, CUNY

[120] Grand Ballroom C 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

FINANCIAL REGULATION: INFORMATION

FRICTIONS AND ASYMMETRIES

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 23 of 73

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Anup Basu, Queensland University of Technology Papers: Kebin Ma*, University of Warwick, and Tamas Vadasz, University of Warwick

Bank Signalling, Risk of Runs, and the Informational Impacts of Regulations

Toni Ahnert*, Bank of Canada, James T. E. Chapman, Bank of Canada, and Carolyn Wilkins, Bank of Canada

How Risk-Sensitive Should Bank Capital Regulation Be?

Alexander Bleck*, University of British Columbia

Risk-Insensitive Regulation

Anup Basu*, Queensland University of Technology, and Uwe Dulleck, Queensland University of Technology

Investing in Complex Financial Products: The Curious Case of Hybrid Securities

Discussants: Toni Ahnert, Bank of Canada Natalya Martynova, Deutsche Bundesbank Joseph Noss, Bank of England Dian Yuan, University of Limoges

[121] Finback 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE III

Organizer: Thomas D. Willett, Claremont McKenna College, and Claremont Graduate University Chair: Eric Ming-Ping Chiu, National Chung Hsing University, Taiwan Papers: James R. Barth*, Auburn University, and Milken Institute, and Yanfei Sun, Auburn University

U.S. Bank Funding Sources: Do Brokered Deposits Increase the Likelihood of Bank Failures

Ran Tao*, University of Wisconsin – Whitewater, and Richard C. K. Burdekin, Claremont McKenna College

Financial Market Interdependence between China and Australia

Michael Gelman*, Claremont McKenna College

Endogenous Liquidity Constraints

Jie Li*, Central University of Finance and Economics, China

Asymmetric Credit Constraints

Discussants: Ran Tao, University of Wisconsin – Whitewater Michael Gelman, Claremont McKenna College Yanfei Sun, Auburn University Kenneth S. Kim, California State University, Fullerton

[122] Port Alberni 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

BANKING RISK AND REGULATION

Chair: Anthony Murphy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Papers: Meng-Fen Hsieh*, National Taichung University of Science and Technology, Taiwan, and Chien-Chiang Lee, National Sun Yat-Sen University, Taiwan

Liquidity Creation, Regulations and Systematic Risk

Ruey-Ching Hwang*, National Dong Hwa University, Taiwan, and Chih-Kang Chu, National Dong Hwa University, Taiwan

Predicting the Loss Given Default Distribution via a Combination of the Logistic and Right-Tail Extended Beta Regressions

Jin-Ping Lee*, Feng Chia University, Taiwan

Systemic Risk and the Cost of Deposit Insurance

Anthony Murphy*, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Shan Luo, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and Emily Andruska, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Understanding the Exposure at Default Risk of CRE Construction Loans

Discussants: Ruey-Ching Hwang, National Dong Hwa University, Taiwan Jin-Ping Lee, Feng Chia University, Taiwan Anthony Murphy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Meng-Fen Hsieh, National Taichung University of Science and Technology, Taiwan

[123] Grand Ballroom D 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

REAL EFFECTS: REGULATION AND COLLATERAL

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Klaus Schaeck, University of Bristol Papers: Oliver Rehbein*, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany

Flooded through the Back Door: Firm-Level Effects of Banks’ Lending Shifts

Matteo Millone*, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Remco Mocking, Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Research, Benedikt Vogt, Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Research, and Wolter Hassink, Utrecht University

Collateral Damage? Decreasing House Prices and Entrepreneurial Lending

Ronel Elul*, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, and Sebastian Tilson, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Owner Occupancy Fraud and Mortgage Performance

Klaus Schaeck*, University of Bristol, Thomas Kick, Deutsche Bundesbank, and Huyen Nguyen, University of Nottingham, United Kingdom

Interest Rate Risk Regulation and Bank Lending: A Regression Discontinuity Approach

Discussants: Larry D. Wall, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Evren Ors, HEC Paris Jaap Bos, Maastricht University Andreas Pfingsten, University of Muenster

[124] Pavilion Ballroom D 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Professional Development Session AEA Committee on the Status of Women in the Economics Profession

JOBS FOR ECONOMISTS: A PANEL DISCUSSION

ON WORK/FAMILY MANAGEMENT IN

GOVERNMENT, ACADEMIC, RESEARCH AND

PRIVATE SECTOR JOBS

Organizer: Heather Antecol, Claremont McKenna College Moderator: Heather Antecol, Claremont McKenna College Panelists: Heather Antecol, Claremont McKenna College Nicole M. Fortin, University of British Columbia Mary C. Daly, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Kathleen J. Mullen, RAND Corporation Xiaoling Ang, Edgeworth Economics

[125] Parksville 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics

GENDER

Organizer: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Chair: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 24 of 73

Papers: David Wozniak*, Eastern Michigan University

Gender Differences in Public Good Contributions by Competitive and Group Work Environments

Luise Goerges*, University of Hamburg

Choosing Between Career and Family: Gender Roles as a Coordination Device

Xiang Dan Piao*, Hitotsubashi University

Intra-household Resource Management and Couple’s Relative Sharing of Resources

Miriam Beblo*, University of Hamburg, and Eva Markowsky, University of Hamburg

Culture at Work? Moving the Epidemiological Approach to Contemporary Europe

Discussants: from above participants

[126] Junior Ballroom A 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

EFFECT OF PUBLIC POLICIES ON SOCIAL

BEHAVIORS AND HEALTH OUTCOMES

Organizer: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Chair: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Papers: Dhaval M. Dave*, Bentley University, Robert J. Kaestner, University of Illinois at Chicago, and George Wehby, University of Iowa

Effects of Minimum Wage on Long-Term Child Health and Development

Hope Corman*, Rider University, Dhaval M. Dave, Bentley University, Ariel Kalil, University of Chicago, and Nancy E. Reichman, Rutgers University

Effects of Welfare Reform on Pro-Social and Anti-Social Behaviors of Adolescents

Daniel S. Grossman, West Virginia University, Brad R. Humphreys, West Virginia University, and Jane E. Ruseski*, West Virginia University

Legal Opiod Prescriptions, Economic Conditions, and Overdose Deaths: Evidence from West Virginia

Monica Deza, Hunter College CUNY, Brady P. Horn*, University of New Mexico, and Dhaval M. Dave, Bentley University

The Effect of Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs on Crime

Discussants: Brad R. Humphreys, West Virginia University Brady P. Horn, University of New Mexico Hope Corman, Rider University Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University

[127] Junior Ballroom C 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Middle East Economic Association

INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION

Organizer: Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School, Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California, and Rahel Schomaker, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences Chair: Mahdi Majbouri, Babson College Papers: KyunHwa Kim*, SolBridge International School of Business, and Jong Jae Lee, Wuhan University

Customer Loyalty and Multi-Stop Shopping

Xiao Fu*, Fudan University, and Guofu Tan, University of Southern California

An Equilibrium Analysis of International Airline Cooperative Agreements

Eunhae Shin*, University of Southern California

The More Connected the Physicans, The Better the Referrals? Evidence from Patient-Sharing Networks

Yinan Liu*, University of Southern California

Does Independent Recruitment Help Elite Universities Select Better-qualified High School Students in China?

Moritz Kappler*, German University of Administrative Sciences Speyer

Empirical Study on MNCs as Alien Elements in Latin America

Discussants: from above participants

[128] Gulf Islands A 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Transportation and Public Utilities Group

PASSENGER TRAVEL AND TRANSPORTATION

INFRASTRUCTURE

Organizer: Wesley W. Wilson, University of Oregon Chair: Andrea Craig, Queen’s University, Ontario Papers: Joseph F. Wyer*, Federal Communications Commission, and Wesley W. Wilson, University of Oregon

Smartphones and Urban Transportation Mode Choice

Andrea Craig*, Queen’s University, Ontario

Commute Mode and Residential Location Choice

Andrew M. Malec*, O’Keefe & Associates Consulting, LLC, Patricia K. Smith, University of Michigan, Dearborn, and Anson E. Smuts, O’Keefe & Associates Consulting, LLC

Determinants of Automotive Recall Completion Rates

Discussants: Wesley W. Wilson, University of Oregon Andrea Craig, Queen’s University, Ontario Andrew M. Malec, O’Keefe & Associates Consulting, LLC

[129] Beluga 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

MOBILE TALENT, INNOVATION, AND GROWTH:

GLOBAL AND ASIAN PERSPECTIVES

Organizer: Martin Geiger, Carleton University, and Yejing Huang, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences Chair: Martin Geiger, Carleton University, and Yejing Huang, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences Papers: Martin Geiger, Carleton University, and Julia Constantinescu*, Carleton University

Canadian Policies on Talent Mobility: From Disconnects to Innovation and Growth?

Yejing Huang*, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences

Multi-National Corporations and their Integration in Local R&D Networks: Shanghai

Daqing Yao*, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences

International Financial Centers and the Competition over Financial Talents: Implications for Shanghai

Shahamak Rezaei*, Roskilde University, and Alexandra Dauncey-Elwood, Carleton University

Global Talent Mobility. Experiences and Challenges. The Case of the Nordic Countries

Discussants: Yejing Huang, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences Martin Geiger, Carleton University Martin Geiger, Carleton University Daqing Yao, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences

[130] Gulf Islands C 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

OPEN ACCESS AND COMMON POOL RESOURCES

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon Chair: Duncan Knowler, Simon Fraser University

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 25 of 73

Papers: Sami Dakhlia*, ESCE Paris, and Akbar Marvasti, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Did Tradable Quota Rights Really Affect Fleet Size? The Case of IFQ Programs in the Gulf of Mexico

Kevin Berry*, University of Alaska Anchorage, Eli Fenichel, Yale University, and Brian Robinson, McGill University

The Ecological Insurance Trap: Endogenous Locust Risk and Property Rights in Senegal

Akhil Rao*, University of Colorado Boulder, and Giacomo Rondina, University of Colorado Boulder

Space Debris and Collision Risk in the Orbital Commons

Discussants: Kevin Berry, University of Alaska Anchorage Akhil Rao, University of Colorado Boulder Sami Dakhlia, ESCE Paris

[132] Junior Ballroom B 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM North American Association of Sports Economists

CONSUMER DEMAND IN SPORTS

Organizer: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Chair: Stacey Brook, DePaul University Papers: Hayley Jang*, Sogang University, and Young Hoon Lee, Sogang University

Don’t European Football Fans Really Care Match Outcome Uncertainty?

Lachlan Glascott, Monash University, Ross Booth*, Monash University, and Robert Brooks, Monash University

The Effect of Marquee Players on Sports Demand: A-League of Soccer Superstars Advantage?

Stacey Brook*, DePaul University

Do NCAA Football Bowl Subdivision Programs Maximize Ticket Sales Revenue?

Arne Feddersen*, University of Southern Denmark

Does Physical Play and Violence Pay in Danish Hockey?

Discussants: Akira Motomura, Stonehill College Jeffrey G. Owen, Gustavus Adolphus College Laura B. Beaudin, Bryant University Eva Marikova Leeds, Moravian College

[134] Junior Ballroom D 6/27/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Association for University Business and Economic Research

WESTERN STATES FORECAST II

Organizer: Richard L. Wobbekind, University of Colorado Boulder Moderator: Richard L. Wobbekind, University of Colorado Boulder Papers: Carl S. Bonham*, University of Hawaii at Manoa

Hawaii Stephen M. Miller*, University of Nevada, Las Vegas

Nevada

Thomas P. Potiowsky*, Portland State University

Oregon

Granville 6/27/2018 6:15 PM–7:30 PM

IBEFA MEMBER RECEPTION

By invitation only.

Pavilion Ballroom C 6/27/2018 6:30 PM–8:00 PM

IHS RECEPTION

Join the Institute for Humane Studies for a chance to network and learn more about what IHS can do to increase your impact on campus and beyond! Drinks and hors d’oeuvres provided.

Pavilion Ballroom C 6/28/2018 7:30 AM–6:30 PM

WEAI LOUNGE

Pavilion Ballroom Foyer 6/28/2018 7:30 AM–6:30 PM

REGISTRATION OPEN

[135] Pavilion Ballroom D 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

ECONOMETRIC MODELING AND MONETARY

POLICY

Chair: Glenn Otto, University of New South Wales Papers: Ka Ming Cheng*, Hang Seng Management College

Are There Any Gender or Racial Differences in the U.S. Hysteresis Unemployment

Jongyearn Lee*, KDI School of Public Policy and Management Ex Ante Evaluation of Publicly Provided Goods Using the Life Satisfaction Approach: The Case of Arboretum

Glenn Otto*, University of New South Wales, and Nektarios Aslanidis, Universitat Rovira i Virgili

Asymmetry in Inflation Rates under Inflation Targeting

Paul Rudel*, University of Giessen, and Peter Tillmann, University of Giessen

News Shock Spillovers: How the Euro Area Responds to Expected Fed Policy

Discussants: Jongyearn Lee, KDI School of Public Policy and Management Glenn Otto, University of New South Wales Paul Rudel, University of Giessen Ka Ming Cheng, Hang Seng Management College

[136] Parksville 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics

EXTENSIONS TO THE STANDARD CHOICE MODEL

Organizer: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Chair: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Papers: Matthew G. Nagler*, City College of New York, CUNY

Adjusting to Choice

Morris Altman*, University of Newcastle

Behavioral Economics: Moving Forward

Hyeon Park*, Manhattan College

Inter-temporal Choices with Temporal Reference Dependence

Julia Puaschunder*, The New School Towards a Utility Theory of Privacy and Information Sharing and the Introduction of Hyper-Hyperbolic Discounting in the Digital Big Data Age

Discussants: from above participants

[137] Port McNeill 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Defense Economics Session

DEFENSE ECONOMICS: USING TRICARE REFORM

PILOTS TO INFORM THE NATIONAL HEALTHCARE

REFORM DISCUSSION

Organizer: Sarah Burns, Institute for Defense Analyses, and John E. Whitley, Institute for Defense Analyses Chair: David S. C. Chu, Institute for Defense Analyses Panelists: Raquel Bono, U.S. Defense Health Agency Jeffrey D. Goldstein, Office of Management and Budget Charles Abell, WellPoint Military Care Papers: Sarah Burns*, Institute for Defense Analyses

Using TRICARE Reform Pilots to Inform the National Healthcare Reform Discussion

[138] Beluga 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 26 of 73

AGGREGATE PRICE TARGETING AND

EXPECTATIONS

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Makram El-Shagi, Henan University Papers: Olena Ogrokhina*, Lafayette College, and Cesar M. Rodriguez, Portland State University

Inflation Targeting and Financial Openness in Sovereign Debt Denomination in Developing Countries

Aaron N. Mehrotra*, Bank for International Settlements, and Ryan Banerjee, Bank for International Settlements

Deflation Expectations

Pradyumna Dash*, Indian Institute of Management Raipur, and Abhishek Kumar Rohit, Indian Institute of Management Raipur

The De-Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in the U.S.: The Role of Perception of Inflation and Headline Inflation

Burak Dolar*, Western Washington University, and Ben Dale, Moss Adams

The Dodd-Frank Act’s Non-Uniform Regulatory Impact on the Banking Industry

Discussants: Aaron N. Mehrotra, Bank for International Settlements Pradyumna Dash, Indian Institute of Management Raipur Burak Dolar, Western Washington University Makram El-Shagi, Henan University

[139] Grand Ballroom C 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

EMPIRICAL INTERNATIONAL TRADE

Chair: Yizhe Daniel Xie, Waseda University Papers: Maria Domenica Tito*, Federal Reserve Board of Governors, and Ruoying Wang, University of British Columbia

Misallocation in Open Economy: Evidence from Chinese Data

Joseph Vavrus*, University of Redlands

Port Regions, Exports, and Subnational Trade

Gregory C. Wright*, University of California, Merced, and Alex Whalley, University of Calgary

Patenting and Performance in the Global Economy

Yizhe Daniel Xie*, Waseda University

Exchange Rate, Chinese Exports and Competition - An Empirical Evidence Using Product-Level Data

Discussants: Joseph Vavrus, University of Redlands Gregory C. Wright, University of California, Merced Yizhe Daniel Xie, Waseda University Maria Domenica Tito, Federal Reserve Board of Governors

[140] Grand Ballroom D 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS CYCLES

Chair: Iikka Korhonen, Bank of Finland Papers: Kimberly Berg*, Miami University, Ohio, and Nam Vu, Miami University, Ohio

International Spillovers of U.S. Financial Volatility

Iikka Korhonen*, Bank of Finland, Nauro F. Campos, Brunel University, and Jarko Fidrmuc, Zeppelin University

Business Cycle Synchronisation in a Currency Union: Taking Stock of the Evidence

Enrique Martinez-Garcia*, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Has Globalization Changed the Business Cycle and the Monetary Policy Trade-Offs?

Honghong Wei*, Queensland University of Technology, and Radhika Lahiri, Queensland University of Technology

Trading Relationships and the Effects of Domestic and Global Shocks in NAFTA Area: A GVAR Analysis

Discussants: Iikka Korhonen, Bank of Finland Enrique Martinez-Garcia, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Honghong Wei, Queensland University of Technology Kimberly Berg, Miami University, Ohio

[141] Pavilion Ballroom A 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

FINANCIAL MARKETS AND ASSET PRICES:

FINANCIAL ANALYSTS, FORECASTERS AND

INVESTMENT BEHAVIOR

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Xiao Cen, Columbia Business School Papers: Frank Zhichuan Li*, University of Western Ontario, Steve Foerster, University of Western Ontario, David Dang, University of Western Ontario, and Zhengyang Tang, Clark University

Analyst Innate Ability, Information, and Insider Trading

Nima Ebrahimi*, University of Houston

The Risks of Skewness and Kurtosis in Oil Market and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

Xiao Cen*, Columbia Business School Going Mobile, Investor Behavior, and Financial Fragility

Discussants: Lei Sandy Ye, World Bank Hannes Boehm, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Nima Ebrahimi, University of Houston

[142] Pavilion Ballroom B 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

FINANCIAL REGULATION: SYSTEMIC RELEVANCE

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Jaap Bos, Maastricht University Papers: Elis Naiborhu*, Bank of Indonesia, and University of Warwick

Banking Risks, the Bank Lending Channel, and the Macro-Prudential Policy in Indonesia

Marius Alin Andries*, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Simona Nistor, Babes-Bolyai University of Cluj-Napoca, Romania, Steven Ongena, University of Zurich, Swiss Finance Institute, and CEPR, and Nicu Sprincean, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University

On Becoming an O-SII (Other Systemically Important Institution)

Huyen Nguyen*, University of Nottingham, United Kingdom, and Danny McGowan, University of Birmingham

Risk Shifting and Foreclosure Laws: Evidence from the Securitization Market

Jaap Bos*, Maastricht University, and Michael Kurz, Maastricht University

The Curious Case of Banks’ Derivatives Use Reporting

Discussants: Corinne Dubois, Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne Oliver Rehbein, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Ronel Elul, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Ricardo Gimeno, Banco de Espana

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 27 of 73

[143] Gulf Islands B 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Individually Organized Session

ECONOMICS OF SUBSTANCE ABUSE

Organizer: Benjamin Hansen, University of Oregon, NBER, and IZA Chair: Benjamin Hansen, University of Oregon, NBER, and IZA Papers: Benjamin Hansen*, University of Oregon, NBER, and IZA, Keaton S. Miller, University of Oregon, and Caroline Weber, University of Oregon

Recreational Marijuana, High Driving, and Traffic Fatalities

Anita Mukherjee*, University of Wisconsin – Madison, and Jennifer L. Doleac, University of Virginia

The Moral Hazard of Lifesaving Innovations: Naloxone Access, Opiod Abuse, and Crimes

Justine Mallatt*, Purdue University

The Effect of Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs on Opioid Prescriptions and Heroin Crime Rates

Discussants: Danna Kang Thomas, Columbia University Drew McNichols, University of Oregon Glen R. Waddell, University of Oregon

[144] Orca 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

PUBLIC EDUCATIONAL EXPENDITURE AND ITS

ECONOMIC IMPACT

Organizer: Xun Zhang, Beijing Normal University Chair: Xuguang Song, Beijing Normal University Papers: Xin Li*, Peking University, Huijuan Guan, Beijing Normal University, and Dianqing Xu, University of Western Ontario

The Impact of Education Input on Labor Transfer and Inequality in China

Rui Zhang*, Peking University

Assessing the 2015 Chinese Education Finance Reform

Xun Zhang*, Beijing Normal University, Yafei Wang, Beijing Normal University, and Guangming Lyu, Beijing Normal University

The Influence of Sudden Stops of Two Direction Cross-Border Capital Flows on Economic Growth of China

Xuguang Song*, Beijing Normal University, and Zongyue He, Beijing Normal University

Does High School Student Funding Improve Family Education Decisions? Evidence from China

Nan Zhao*, Beijing Normal University

A Study of Compulsory Educational Fund-Input Gaps between Urban and Rural Areas in China

Discussants: Zongyue He, Beijing Normal University Xun Zhang, Beijing Normal University Xin Li, Peking University Nan Zhao, Beijing Normal University Zongyue He, Beijing Normal University

[145] Finback 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

WORK, GENDER, ETHNICITY, MARRIAGE, AND

WELLBEING IN CHINA

Organizer: Margaret Maurer-Fazio, Bates College Chair: Margaret Maurer-Fazio, Bates College Papers: Fiona MacPhail*, University of Northern British Columbia

Work and Gender Equality in China

Margaret Maurer-Fazio*, Bates College, Rachel Connelly, Bowdoin College, and Sai Ding, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

How Does Ethnic Intermarriage Correlate with Measures of Health and Wellbeing in China’s Minority Rich Regions?

Rachel Connelly*, Bowdoin College, Margaret Maurer-Fazio, Bates College, and Sai Ding, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

How Does Ethinic Intermarriage Influence Socioeconomic Outcomes in Minority-Concentrated Regions of China?

Discussants: Rachel Connelly, Bowdoin College Fiona MacPhail, University of Northern British Columbia Margaret Maurer-Fazio, Bates College

[146] Gulf Islands A 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM American Society of Hispanic Economists

LATINO/A ENTREPRENEURSHIP INITIATIVES

Organizer: Marie T. Mora, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley Chair: Marie T. Mora, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley Papers: Alberto Davila*, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley, Michael J. Pisani, Central Michigan University, and Gerardo Miranda, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley

The Business of Language: Latino Entrepreneurs, Language Use, and Firm Performance

Elsie Echeverri-Carroll*, University of Texas at Austin, and Marie T. Mora, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley

Social Network Utilization among Latino-Owned Buisnesses

Marlene Orozco*, Stanford University

SLEI-Education Scaling Program: A Business Intervention of National Economic Imperative

Discussants: Elsie Echeverri-Carroll, University of Texas at Austin Susan Pozo, Western Michigan University Alberto Davila, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley

[147] Port Hardy 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Korea International Finance Association

ASIAN ECONOMY I

Organizer: Hee-Yul Chai, Kyonggi University Chair: Yeongseop Rhee, Seoul National University Papers: In-chul Kim*, Sungkyunkwan University

FDI Incentive Policy for DCs and LDCs

Jung Sik Kim*, Yonsei University, Young-Ki Lee, Dongguk University, and Han-Gyul Cho, Yonsei University

Effect of Capital Gain Tax on Stock Market Volume and Capital Flows: Korean Experience

Gongpil Choi*, Korea Institute of Finance

Reconnecting the Dots: An Alternative Asian Clearing Network for the PSD2

Discussants: Young Sik Jeong, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy Seung-Gwan Baek, Hongik University Hee-Yul Chai, Kyonggi University

[148] Gulf Islands C 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

NATURAL HAZARDS

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon Chair: Eva Steiner, Cornell University Papers: W. Jason Beasley*, Oregon State University, and Steven Dundas, Oregon State University

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 28 of 73

Identifying the Determinants of the Decision to Install Beachfront Protective Structures

Patrick Baylis*, University of British Columbia, and Judson Boomhower, University of California, San Diego

Moral Hazard, Forest Fires, and Adaptation to Climate Change

Steven Dundas*, Oregon State University, and David J. Lewis, Oregon State University

Estimating Option Values and Spillover Damages for Coastal Protection

Eva Steiner*, Cornell University, Piet Eichholtz, Maastricht University, and Erkan Yonder, Ozyegin University

No Shelter from the Storm: Hurricanes and Commercial Real Estate Values

Discussants: Patrick Baylis, University of British Columbia Steven Dundas, Oregon State University Eva Steiner, Cornell University W. Jason Beasley, Oregon State University

[149] Gulf Islands D 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

ENVIRONMENT AND HOUSEHOLDS/CONSUMERS

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon Chair: Linda Tuyet-Mai Bui, Brandeis University Papers: Rebecca Taylor*, University of Sydney

A Mixed Bag: The Hidden Time Costs of Regulating Consumer Behavior

Jacqueline Doremus*, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo, Stephen F. Hamilton, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo, Timothy J. Richards, Arizona State University Polytechnic Campus, and Erika Veidis, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo

Can Consumer Boycotts Backfire When Retailers Mediate Sales? The Case of Microbeaded Toothpaste

Linda Tuyet-Mai Bui*, Brandeis University

Sorry We Don’t Carry That Here: Understanding the Distribution of Energy Star Products Across Neighborhoods

Discussants: Jacqueline Doremus, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo Linda Tuyet-Mai Bui, Brandeis University Rebecca Taylor, University of Sydney

[150] Port Alberni 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

TRANSPORTATION-RELATED EXTERNALITIES

Chair: Shane Ellis Thompson, Summit Consulting Papers: Carlos Hurtado*, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Strategic Pricing and Positioning in Response to Spatial Tax Notches: Evidence from Gasoline Retail

Shane Ellis Thompson*, Summit Consulting

Gender, Race, and Competition: Driving Speed with Randomized Carpools

Cody Nehiba*, University of California, Irvine

Taxed to Death? The Effects of Diesel Taxes on Freight Truck Collisions

Discussants: Shane Ellis Thompson, Summit Consulting Cody Nehiba, University of California, Irvine Carlos Hurtado, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

[151] Junior Ballroom B 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM North American Association of Sports Economists

TOPICS IN SPORTS ECONOMICS

Organizer: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Chair: Paul J. Gift, Pepperdine University Papers: Paul J. Gift*, Pepperdine University

Moving the Needle in the MMA: On the Marginal Revenue Product of UFC Fighters

Wenche Wang*, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, and Stacy-Lynn Sant, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

Unpatriotic or Activist? Media Framing of NFL Athletes’ Anthem Protests

Duane W. Rockerbie*, University of Lethbridge, and Stephen T. Easton, Simon Fraser University

Economic Issues of the National Hockey League: A Survey of the Literature

R.M.C.A. Senanayake, University of Kelaniya, A.R.N.D. Ramanayaka*, University of Kelaniya, and A.M.S.J.P. Sbeykoon, University of Kelaniya

The Fanaticism of Cricket Fans’ Impact on Brand Recall of Advertised Brand While Cricket Match Being Telecasted

Discussants: Brent Evans, Georgia College & State University A.R.N.D. Ramanayaka, University of Kelaniya Mariya Burdina, University of Central Oklahoma Ross Booth, Monash University

[152] Junior Ballroom A 6/28/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM National Association of Forensic Economics

NAFE SESSION I

Organizer: Christina P. Tapia, Northwest Economics, LLC, and University of Washington Seattle Chair: Marc A. Weinstein, Team Economics, LLC Papers: Kevin E. Cahill*, Boston College

Refuting Bogus Statistics in Litigation: A Case Study

Stephen J. Spurr*, Wayne State University

The Growth of Subrogation and the Future of Personal Injury Litigation

Roman Garagulagian*, Forensic Economic Services, and California State Polytechnic University, Pomona

Mitigating Future Economic Damages in Disputes Revolving Credit Damages

Discussants: Stephen M. Horner, Economic Consulting Craig A. Allen, Craig A. Allen, FCAS Scott Gilbert, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale

Pavilion Ballroom Foyer 6/28/2018 10:00 AM–10:15 AM

REFRESHMENT BREAK

[153] Junior Ballroom C 6/28/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM General Session

KEYNOTE ADDRESS

Introduction: Daniel L. McFadden, University of California, Berkeley Address: Charles F. Manski*, Northwestern University

Reasonable Patient Care under Uncertainty

[154] Gulf Islands A 6/28/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM American Society of Hispanic Economists, and AEA Committee on the Status of Women in the Economics Profession

IMMIGRANTS, ETHNIC ENCLAVES, AND POLICY

REFORMS

Organizer: Susan Pozo, Western Michigan University, and Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, San Diego State University Chair: Monica Garcia-Perez, St. Cloud State University

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 29 of 73

Papers: Sandra Orozco-Aleman*, Mississippi State University, and Heriberto Gonzalez Lozano, Mississippi State University

Drug-violence and Selectivity: Who is Migrating Today from Mexico to the U.S.?

Joanna Nestorowicz, University of Warsaw, and Joanna Tyrowicz*, University of Warsaw

Ethnic Competition or Complementarity: Which Drives (Returns to) Immigrant Self-employment?

Monica Hernandez, Tulane University, Douglas Harris*, Tulane University, and Stephen Barnes, Louisiana State University Baton Rouge

The Long Term Effects of School Reforms: An Analysis of Youth Crime in New Orleans

Daniel A. Mengistu, Grand Valley State University, Susan Pozo*, Western Michigan University, and Todd Sarnstrom II, St. Norbert College

An Alternative Approach for Identifying a Hidden Immigrant Population

Discussants: Carmen E. Carrion-Flores, Syracuse University Marie T. Mora, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley Marie C. Hull, University of North Carolina, Greensboro Zadia M. Feliciano, Queens College, CUNY, and Graduate Center, CUNY

[155] Port Hardy 6/28/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Korea International Finance Association

ASIAN ECONOMY II

Organizer: Hee-Yul Chai, Kyonggi University Chair: Daekeun Park, Hanyang University Papers: John Junggun Oh*, Korea Economic Research Institute, and Konkuk University

Impacts of US Monetary Policy Normalization and Needs of US-Asia Macroeconomic Policy Dialogue

Chong-Ook Rhee*, Seoul Women’s University

The Shock of Terms of Trade and REER on Industry-Specific Trade

Jai-Won Ryou*, Konkuk University, and Sun Hee Kwon, Daejin University

Sluggish Investment in Korea: Suboptimal or New Normal?

Discussants: Jin Ock Kim, Jeju National University Deok-Ryong Yoon, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy Chi-Young Song, Kookmin University

[156] Junior Ballroom A 6/28/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM National Association of Forensic Economics

NAFE SESSION II

Organizer: Christina P. Tapia, Northwest Economics, LLC, and University of Washington Seattle Chair: Constantine M. Boukidis, VWM Analytics Papers: Nikanor I. Volkov*, Mercer University

Earning Capacity of Undocumented Workers

William H. Rogers*, W.H. Rogers, LLC

Earnings Growth: Panel and Cross-Sectional Dataset Comparisons

Craig A. Allen, Craig A. Allen, FCAS Commercial Lease Damages in a Canadian Legal Malpractice Matter

Discussants: Michele Angerstein-Gaines, Economic Consulting Steven J. Shapiro, New York Institute of Technology

[157] Grand Ballroom A 6/28/2018 12:15 PM–2:15 PM Presidential Luncheon and Annual Business Meeting Session

KEYNOTE ADDRESS

Introduction: Michael R. Ransom, Brigham Young University Address: Orley Ashenfelter*, Princeton University

How Competitive are Labor Markets? A Monopsony Manifesto

Gulf Islands A 6/28/2018 12:30 PM–1:30 PM

ASHE GATHERING

Please join the ASHE gathering to learn more about the organization and ASHE activities and events. Everyone is welcome. [158] Junior Ballroom C 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Individually Organized Session

AGENT-BASED COMPUTATIONAL ECONOMICS II

Organizer: David S. Dixon, University of New Mexico, and Christopher S. Ruebeck, Lafayette College Chair: David S. Dixon, University of New Mexico Papers: Tim Gooding*, Kingston University London

What Price Indicates

Katharine A. Anderson*, Carnegie Mellon University

An Agent Based Model of Academic Matching with Mixed Preferences

David S. Dixon*, University of New Mexico, and Jacqueline Doremus, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo

When Boycotts Fail Discussants: from above participants

[159] Parksville 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics

COOPERATION, COMPARISONS, AND SOCIAL

RESPONSIBILITY

Organizer: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Chair: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Papers: Brock V. Stoddard*, Appalachian State University, and Abhijit Ramalingam, University of East Anglia

Does Reducing Inequality Increase Cooperation?

Yohanes Eko Riyanto*, Nanyang Technological University, Wang Yan, Nanyang Technological University, and Yew-Kwang Ng, Nanyang Technological University

Persuading Buyers to Embrace Socially Responsible Acts: An Experimental Investigation

Francesco Sarracino, STATEC Luxembourg, and Fabio Sabatini, University of Rome La Sapienza

Keeping up with the e-Joneses: Do Online Social Networks Raise Social Comparisons?

Joachim Weimann*, University of Magdeburg, Jeannette Brosig-Koch, University of Duisburg-Essen, Timo Heinrich, University of Duisburg-Essen, Heike Hennig-Schmidt, University of Bonn, and Claudia Keser, University of Gottingen

The Logic of Collective Action Revisited

Discussants: from above participants

[160] Port Hardy 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Individually Organized Session

FIRM PERFORMANCE AND MACROECONOMIC

IMPLICATION

Organizer: Jungsoo Park, Sogang University Chair: Young Hoon Lee, Sogang University Papers: Kyu Ho Bae, Seoul National University, and Jung-Wook Kim*, Seoul National University

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 30 of 73

Correlation between Firm Specific and Systematic Volatility at the Aggregate Level: Korean Case

Kaoru Hosono, Gakushuin University, Miho Takizawa, Toyo University, and Kenta Yamanouchi*, Keio University

Firm Age and Resource Misallocation

Jung Hur*, Sogang University, and Hitotsubashi University, Haeyeon Yoon, Sogang University, and Taehyun Ahn, Sogang University

Occupation Composition within Multinational Firms: Evidence from Korean Employer-Employee Matched Data

Atsuko Izumi, Japan Fair Trade Commission, and Hyeog Ug Kwon*, Nihon University

How Do Board Members’ Characteristics Influence Firm Performance?

Discussants: Jung Hur, Sogang University, and Hitotsubashi University Jung-Wook Kim, Seoul National University Kenta Yamanouchi, Keio University Michiru Sawada, Nihon University

[161] Junior Ballroom A 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Individually Organized Session

INEQUALITY, MOBILITY, AND FAIRNESS

Organizer: John A. Bishop, East Carolina University Chair: John A. Bishop, East Carolina University Papers: Casilda Lasso de la Vega, Universidad del Pais Vasco, Juan Gabriel Rodriguez*, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, and Rafael Salas, Universidad Complutense de Madrid

Inequality of Opportunity: Progressive Transfers when Effort Matters

Steven R. Beckman*, University of Colorado Denver, W. James Smith, University of Colorado Denver, and Lawrence R. Hamelin, University of Colorado Denver

The Veil of Ignorance in Practice: Voting Rules and Socially Fair Decisions

Buhong Zheng*, University of Colorado Denver

Stochastic Dominance and Decomposable Measures of Inequality and Poverty

John A. Bishop*, East Carolina University, Lester A. Zeager, East Carolina University, and Juan Gabriel Rodriguez, Universidad Complutense de Madrid

“Relative” vs “Absolute” Mobility — US and Germany Compared

Discussants: Lester A. Zeager, East Carolina University Buhong Zheng, University of Colorado Denver Rafael Salas, Universidad Complutense de Madrid Lawrence R. Hamelin, University of Colorado Denver

[162] Port McNeill 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Defense Economics Session

DEFENSE ECONOMICS: INDUSTRIAL BASE ISSUES

Organizer: Thomas Light, RAND Corporation, Ellen M. Pint, RAND Corporation, and Laura H. Baldwin, RAND Corporation Chair: Edward G. Keating, Congressional Budget Office Papers: William E. Kovacic*, George Washington University Law School

Merger Policy in the Defense Industry: A United Launch Alliance Retrospective

Elizabeth Hastings Roer*, RAND Corporation

Economic Effects and Agency Responses to the 2013 US Federal Budget Sequester

Discussants: Ellen M. Pint, RAND Corporation Wm. Brent Boning, Center for Naval Analyses

[163] Port Alberni 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Individually Organized Session

ECONOMIC POLICY ISSUES IN JAPAN

Organizer: Takero Doi, Keio University Chair: Toshihiro Ihori, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies, Japan Papers: Keigo Kameda*, Kwansei Gakuin University

Fiscal Sentiment and Long-term Interest Rates

Kazuko Nakata*, Setsunan University

Effects of Child Allowance on Family Expenditure

Takero Doi*, Keio University, and Hiroshi Katagi, Keio University

Social Welfare and Capital Structure after Corporate Tax Reform: The Case of Japan

Masayuki Otaki*, University of Tokyo

A Conundrum in Monetary Economics: Does Keynes Abandon the Second Postulate?

Discussants: Akira Yakita, Nanzan University Mizuki Komura, Musashi University Hikaru Ogawa, University of Tokyo Toshihiro Ihori, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies, Japan

[164] Pavilion Ballroom A 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL STABILITY:

FINANCIAL REGULATION AND THE GLOBAL

ECONOMY

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Razvan Vlahu, De Nederlandsche Bank Papers: Razvan Vlahu*, De Nederlandsche Bank, Irina Stanga, De Nederlandsche Bank, and Jakob de Haan, De Nederlandsche Bank, and University of Groningen

Mortgage Arrears, Regulation and Institutions: Cross-Country Evidence

Hannes Boehm*, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany, and Stefan Eichler, Technische Universitat Dresden, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany

Avoiding the Fall into the Loop: Isolating Bank-to-Sovereign Risk Transmissions in the Euro Area and their Drivers

Discussants: Filippo Occhino, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Judit Temesvary, Federal Reserve Board of Governors

[165] Pavilion Ballroom B 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

FINANCIAL SYSTEM STRUCTURE: NETWORKS

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Christoph Aymanns, University of St. Gallen Papers: Abhimanyu Gupta*, University of Essex, Sotirios Kokas, University of Essex, and Alexander Michaelides, Imperial College London

Credit Market Spillovers: Evidence from a Syndicated Loan Market Network

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 31 of 73

Dieter Wang*, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Iman van Lelyveld, De Nederlandsche Bank, and Julia Schaumburg, Free University of Bozen-Bolzano

Fire-Sale Channels, Portfolio Overlap Networks and the Credit Spread Puzzle

Co-Pierre Georg, Deutsche Bundesbank, Christoph Aymanns*, University of St. Gallen, and Benjamin Golub, Harvard University

Illiquidity Spirals in Coupled Over-the-Counter Markets

Discussants: Julian Caballero, Inter-American Development Bank Christoph Aymanns, University of St. Gallen Enchuan Shao, University of Saskatchewan

[166] Gulf Islands A 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM American Society of Hispanic Economists

PUERTO RICO’S HUMANITARIAN AND ECONOMIC

CRISES: A PANEL DISCUSSION

Organizer: Marie T. Mora, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley Panelists: Marie T. Mora, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley Dennis W. Jansen, Texas A&M University, College Station Zadia M. Feliciano, Queens College, CUNY, and Graduate Center, CUNY

[167] Beluga 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

ECONOMICS OF AFRICA: ISSUES ON POPULATION

AND LABOR

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Jean-Claude Maswana, University of Tsukuba Papers: Francisco M.P Mugizi*, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies, Japan

Population Pressure and Soil Degradation in Sub-Saharan Africa: Panel Evidence from Kenya

Maryam Naghsh Nejad*, IZA

Child Labor and the Arrival of Refugees: Evidence from Tanzania

Uchechi Shirley Anaduaka*, Lingnan University

Does Family Structure Matter for the Health Status of Nigerian Children?

Discussants: Maryam Naghsh Nejad, IZA Uchechi Shirley Anaduaka, Lingnan University Francisco M.P Mugizi, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies, Japan

[168] Gulf Islands C 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

ELECTRICITY PRICES/GENERATION

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon Chair: Adeleke O. Salami, African Development Bank Papers: Becka Brolinson*, Georgetown University

Does Increasing Block Pricing Decrease Energy Use? Evidence from the Residential Electricity Market

Sarah Johnston*, University of Wisconsin – Madison

Electricity Price Variability, Adjustment Costs, and Manufacturing Productivity

Laura Grant*, Claremont McKenna College

Household Electricity Demand, Revisited Again

Adeleke O. Salami*, African Development Bank, and Kounagbe Lokonon Boris Odilon, Universite de Parakou

Impact of Climate Change on Renewable Energy Generation in Africa

Discussants: Sarah Johnston, University of Wisconsin – Madison Laura Grant, Claremont McKenna College Adeleke O. Salami, African Development Bank Becka Brolinson, Georgetown University

[169] Gulf Islands D 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon Chair: Muzhe Yang, Lehigh University Papers: Muhammad Irfan*, University of Waikato, Michael P. Cameron, University of Waikato, and Gazi Hassan, University of Waikato

Does Solid Fuel Use Cause Increases in Child Mortality? A Cross Country Panel Analysis

Rosie Mueller*, University of Oregon

Coal Mining and Public Health in Appalachia: Evidence from the Association between Coal Mining and Birth Outcomes

Kiet Tuan Nguyen, Virginia Commonwealth University, and Jack Knetsch*, Simon Fraser University

Estimates of WTP and WTA Values of a Statistical Life in Vietnam

Muzhe Yang*, Lehigh University, Laura M. Argys, University of Colorado Denver, and Susan L. Averett, Lafayette College

Light Pollution, Sleep Deprivation during Pregnancy, and Infant Health at Birth

Discussants: Rosie Mueller, University of Oregon Jack Knetsch, Simon Fraser University Muzhe Yang, Lehigh University Muhammad Irfan, University of Waikato

[170] Finback 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

ECONOMICS OF CHINA: HOUSING PRICE AND

EDUCATION

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Jin Sun, Central University of Finance and Economics, China Papers: Lu Liu*, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Gang-Zhi Fan, Konkuk University, Xiaoying Deng, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, and Yi Tu, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics

Urban Land Sale Revenue and the Supply of Affordable Housing: The Case of China

Xiaokuai Shao*, Tsinghua University

Allocation of Education, School District Policy and Housing Market Efficiency

Bei Liu*, Beijing Language and Culture University

Evaluations for National Language Policy - Putonghua through Industry of Farming, Forestry Animal Husbandry, and Fishery (IFFF) in Shanxi Province

Discussants: Xiaokuai Shao, Tsinghua University Jin Sun, Central University of Finance and Economics, China Lu Liu, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics

[171] Junior Ballroom B 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM North American Association of Sports Economists

ECONOMIC IMPACT OF SPORTS TEAMS AND MEGA

EVENTS

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 32 of 73

Organizer: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Chair: Brad R. Humphreys, West Virginia University Papers: Xuanhao He*, University of New Mexico, and Brady P. Horn, University of New Mexico

Proximity, Property Values and Professional Sports Stadiums: Evidence from Target Field in Minneapolis Minnesota

Brad R. Humphreys, West Virginia University, Umair M. Khalil, University of Adelaide, and Hyunwoong Pyun*, West Virginia University

Professional Sports Events and Public Spending: Causal Evidence from Municipal Police Budgets

Nola Agha*, University of San Francisco, and Daniel A. Rascher, University of San Francisco

Economic Development Effects of Professional Teams and Stadia

Robert W. Baumann*, College of the Holy Cross, and Victor A. Matheson, College of the Holy Cross

Impact of Olympic Games on Tourism: The Case of Brazil Discussants: Brad R. Humphreys, West Virginia University Victor A. Matheson, College of the Holy Cross Xuanhao He, University of New Mexico Dennis Coates, University of Maryland, Baltimore County

[172] Junior Ballroom D 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM National Association of Forensic Economics

NAFE SESSION III

Organizer: Christina P. Tapia, Northwest Economics, LLC, and University of Washington Seattle Chair: Kevin E. Cahill, Boston College Papers: David Green*, University of British Columbia, Pierre Brochu, University of Ottawa, Thomas Lemieux, University of British Columbia, and James Townsend, University of Winnipeg

The Minimum Wage, Turnover, and the Shape of the Wage Distribution

Jacob L. Vigdor*, University of Washington Seattle

Seattle’s Minimum Wage Ordinance: Impacts on Wages, Workers, Jobs, and Establishments

Michael Reich*, University of California, Berkeley

The New Wave of Minimum Wage Policies: Evidence from Six Cities

Discussants: Orley Ashenfelter, Princeton University Michael Reich, University of California, Berkeley Jacob L. Vigdor, University of Washington Seattle

[173] Pavilion Ballroom D 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM President-Elect Featured Session

INNOVATIONS IN DATA COLLECTION

Organizer: Jeffrey Dominitz, RAND Corporation Chair: Charles F. Manski, Northwestern University Papers: Jeffrey Dominitz*, RAND Corporation, and Charles F. Manski, Northwestern University

Minimax-Regret Sample Design in Anticipation of Missing Data, With Application to Panel Data

Arie Kapteyn*, University of Southern California, Marco Angrisani, University of Southern California, and Brian Finley, University of Southern California

Can Internet Match High Quality Traditional Surveys?

Jill E. Luoto*, RAND Corporation

Combining Modes of Data Delivery for a Large, Complex Randomized Trial in Rural Kenya

Discussants: from above participants

[174] Orca 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

INFRASTRUCTURE AND INDUSTRIALIZATION

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Liang Shao, Henan University Papers: Zaiyong Hu*, China Foreign Affairs University

The Study of International Trade Effect of the Infrastructure Construction under the One Belt and One Road

Xun Zhang*, Beijing Normal University, Ruochen Dai, Peking University, and Rui Zhang, Peking University

Road Infrastructure, Market Integration, and Productivity: Evidence from China’s Manufacturing Sector

Eric Evans Osei Opoku*, City University of Hong Kong, Kit Ming Isabel Yan, City University of Hong Kong, and Daniel Sakyi, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology

Does Trade Facilitation Matter for Industrialization in Developing Countries?

Discussants: Xun Zhang, Beijing Normal University Liang Shao, Henan University Leilei Shen, Kansas State University

[175] Gulf Islands B 6/28/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Individually Organized Session

HEALTH ECONOMICS I: SOCIAL INSURANCE AND

VULNERABLE POPULATIONS

Organizer: Anita Mukherjee, University of Wisconsin – Madison Chair: Anita Mukherjee, University of Wisconsin – Madison Papers: Hitoshi Shigeoka*, Simon Fraser University, and Toshiaki Iizuka, University of Tokyo

Patient Cost-sharing and Health Care Utilization among Children

Puneet Chehal*, Duke University, and University of Chicago

Medicaid Managed Care Market Places and Hospital Quality

Matthew Eisenberg*, Johns Hopkins University, and Emma B. McGinty, Johns Hopkins University

Direct-to-Physician Marketing of Opiods and High-Risk Drug Prescribing: Evidence from Hospital Conflict-of-Interest Policies

Andrea Kelly*, Texas A&M University, College Station, Jason M. Lindo, Texas A&M University, College Station, and Analisa M. Packham, Miami University, Ohio

New Evidence on the Effects of Expanding Contraceptive Choice

Discussants: Anita Mukherjee, University of Wisconsin – Madison Lauren Nicholas, Johns Hopkins University Andrea Kelly, Texas A&M University, College Station Victoria Perez, Indiana University Bloomington

Pavilion Ballroom Foyer 6/28/2018 4:15 PM–4:30 PM

REFRESHMENT BREAK

[176] Junior Ballroom C 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Individually Organized Session

AGENT-BASED COMPUTATIONAL ECONOMICS I

Organizer: David S. Dixon, University of New Mexico, and Christopher S. Ruebeck, Lafayette College Chair: Christopher S. Ruebeck, Lafayette College Papers: David S. Dixon*, University of New Mexico

The Wall

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 33 of 73

Paul R. Brenner*, University of Notre Dame, Eva Dziadula, University of Notre Dame, and John O’Hare, University of Notre Dame

Global Economic Migration Modeling

Amy Y. Guisinger, Lafayette College, Christopher S. Ruebeck*, Lafayette College, and Julie K. Smith, Lafayette College

Inequality and the Central Bank

Discussants: from above participants

[177] Chartroom 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

TIME SERIES MODELS WITH APPLICATIONS IN

MONEY AND INTEREST RATES

Chair: James Kolari, Texas A&M University, College Station Papers: William J. Crowder*, University of Texas at Arlington

Estimates of the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate in the U.S. Adviti Devaguptapu*, Indian Institute of Management, Pradyumna Dash, Indian Institute of Management Raipur, and Rashmi Shukla, Indian Institute of Management Indore

Globalization of Inflation - Comovement or No Comovement?

James Kolari*, Texas A&M University, College Station, and Ali Anari, Texas A&M University, College Station

The Fisher Puzzle and Real Rate Anomaly

Discussants: Adviti Devaguptapu, Indian Institute of Management James Kolari, Texas A&M University, College Station William J. Crowder, University of Texas at Arlington

[178] Pavilion Ballroom D 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM President-Elect Featured Session

PARTIAL IDENTIFICATION OF TREATMENT

EFFECTS

Organizer: John V. Pepper, University of Virginia Chair: John V. Pepper, University of Virginia Papers: Karim Chalak*, University of Virginia

Measurement Error in Multiple Equations: Tobin’s q and Corporate Investment, Saving, and Debt

Brendan Kline*, University of Texas at Austin, and Elie Tamer, Harvard University

Identifcation of Treatment Effects with Selective Participation in a Randomized Trial

Matt Masten*, Duke University

Identification under Partial Independence

Discussants: from above participants

[179] Parksville 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics

HAPPINESS, MOOD, AND PRODUCTIVITY

Organizer: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Chair: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Papers: Francesco Sarracino*, STATEC Luxembourg, and Kelsey J. O’Connor, STATEC Luxembourg

A Socially Sustainable Economic Growth: The Example of Japan

Mahnaz Nazneen*, University of Warwick, Eugenio Proto, University of Warwick, and IZA, and Daniel Sgroi, University of Warwick, and University of Oxford

The Effect of Positive Mood on Cooperation in Repeated Interaction

John Ifcher*, Santa Clara University, Lina Diaz, George Mason University, Daniel Houser, George Mason University, and Homa Zarghamee, Barnard College

An Experimental Approach to Income and Happiness?

Francesco Sarracino*, STATEC Luxembourg, Sarah El Joueidi, STATEC Luxembourg, and Chiara Peroni, STATEC Luxembourg

Productivity Gains from Job Satisfaction in Europe

Discussants: from above participants

[180] Port Hardy 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Individually Organized Session

EXPORTS, TAXATION, AND GROWTH

Organizer: Jungsoo Park, Sogang University Chair: Jung-Wook Kim, Seoul National University Papers: Kaoru Hosono*, Gakushuin University, Masaki Hotei, Daito Bunka University, and Daisuke Miyakawa, Hitotsubashi University

Tax Avoidance by Capital Reduction: Evidence from Corporate Tax Reform in Japan

Tomohiko Inui, Gakushuin University, and YoungGak Kim*, Senshu University

Exchange Rate Movements, Japanese Firm Export, and the Role of R&D and Global Outsourcing

Young Hoon Lee, Sogang University, and Jungsoo Park*, Sogang University

The Role of Productivity Growth in Economic Development Discussants: Jungsoo Park, Sogang University Kaoru Hosono, Gakushuin University YoungGak Kim, Senshu University

[181] Port McNeill 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Defense Economics Session

DEFENSE ECONOMICS: DEFENSE ACQUISITION

Organizer: Thomas Light, RAND Corporation, Ellen M. Pint, RAND Corporation, and Laura H. Baldwin, RAND Corporation Chair: Obaid Younossi, RAND Corporation Papers: Mark Lorell*, RAND Corporation

The Use of Fixed-Price Development Contracts in the Current Acquisition Reform Environment

Wm. Brent Boning*, Center for Naval Analyses, Julianne Nelson, Center for Naval Analyses, and Craig Goodwyn, Center for Naval Analyses

APN-6 Funding and Readiness

R. Bruce Williamson*, Maine Public Utilities Commission

Regulation and Manager Tenure Effect on Defense Acquisition Program Results

Discussants: James Craig Stone, Canadian Forces College Michael R. Guggisberg, Institute for Defense Analyses William E. Kovacic, George Washington University Law School Jake McKeon, Pardee RAND Graduate School

[182] Port Alberni 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Individually Organized Session

CURRENT ISSUES IN MACROECONOMICS

Organizer: Dennis W. Jansen, Texas A&M University, College Station Chair: Dennis W. Jansen, Texas A&M University, College Station Papers: Jeremy Choquette, Clemson University, Gerald P. Dwyer Jr.*, Clemson University, and Kyle Richard, Clemson University

Long-run and Short-run Volatility in Bitcoin’s Price

Eunseong Ma*, Texas A&M University, College Station

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 34 of 73

Who is Harmed by Wage Rigidity? A Quantitative Analysis in a Heterogeneous Agent Economy

Diego E. Vacaflores*, Texas State University

The Effectiveness of Governmental Cash Transfers in Promoting Economic Growth

Dennis W. Jansen, Texas A&M University, College Station, and Michael D. Bradley*, George Washington University

Fear the Machine?

Discussants: from above participants

[183] Grand Ballroom D 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

INFLATION

Chair: Robert G. Murphy, Boston College Papers: Wan-Shin Mo*, Chung Yuan Christian University, and Tsung-wu Ho, Shih Hsin University

The Link between Commodities and Inflation: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach Analysis

Robert G. Murphy*, Boston College

Can the Phillips Curve Explain Inflation over the Past Half-Century?

Ronald L. Tracy*, Oakland University

Unintended Consequences of a Low Inflation or Low Interest Rate Policy

Discussants: Wan-Shin Mo, Chung Yuan Christian University Robert G. Murphy, Boston College Ronald L. Tracy, Oakland University

[184] Grand Ballroom C 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

TRADE MODELS WITH IMPERFECT COMPETITION

Chair: Zeyuan Xiong, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law Papers: Eliav Danziger*, Simon Fraser University, and Leif Danziger, Ben-Gurion University

Uncertainty, Diversification and the Optimal Number of Export Destinations

Hiroshi Mukunoki*, Gakushuin University

Endogenous External Tariffs of a Free Trade Agreement under Unionized Oligopoly

Mian Farrukh Raza*, Kansas State University, and Yang-Ming Chang, Kansas State University

Dumping on Free Trade, Optimal Antidumping Duties, and Price Undertakings: A Two-Market Equilibrium Analysis with Endogenous Product Quality

Zeyuan Xiong*, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, and Tai-Liang Chen, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law

Product Differentiation, Free Trade Agreements and Vertical Trade

Discussants: Hiroshi Mukunoki, Gakushuin University Mian Farrukh Raza, Kansas State University Zeyuan Xiong, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law Eliav Danziger, Simon Fraser University

[185] Finback 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

ECONOMICS OF AFRICA: GROWTH, INVESTMENT,

AND TRADE PERFORMANCE

Organizer: Jean-Claude Maswana, University of Tsukuba, and Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Jean-Claude Maswana, University of Tsukuba Papers: Jean-Claude Maswana*, University of Tsukuba

Technology Progress through New Products and Economic Growth in Africa

Jean Blaise Nlemfu*, University of Quebec, Montreal An Empirical Investigation into Social Investments and Poverty in Africa

Daniel Sakyi*, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, and Sylvanus Kwaku Afesorgbor, Aarhus University

The Effects of Trade Facilitation on Trade Performance in Africa

Frank W. Agbola*, University of Newcastle

Financial Development, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Ghana

Discussants: Daniel Sakyi, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology Bei Liu, Beijing Language and Culture University Frank W. Agbola, University of Newcastle Eric Evans Osei Opoku, City University of Hong Kong

[186] Pavilion Ballroom A 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

POLITICAL ECONOMY AND FINANCE:

CORRUPTION AND SUASION

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Nam Nguyen, University of Quebec, Montreal Papers: Jana Ohls*, Deutsche Bundesbank

Moral Suasion in Regional Government Bond Markets

Cheng Sun, Peking University, Jiangmin Xu, Peking University, and Yinuo Zhang*, Princeton University

Anticorruption and Bank Lending

Nam Nguyen*, University of Quebec, Montreal, Hieu Phan, University of Massachusetts, Lowell, and Thuy Simpson, Grand Valley State University

Political Corruption and Mergers and Acquisitions

Discussants: Klaus Schaeck, University of Bristol Alexander Bleck, University of British Columbia Marius Alin Andries, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University

[187] Pavilion Ballroom B 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM International Banking, Economics and Finance Association

FINANCIAL SYSTEM STRUCTURE: SHADOW

BANKING, NON-BANK FINANCE, AND FINANCIAL

MARKET SEGMENTS

Organizer: Michael Koetter, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, and Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany Chair: Joseph Noss, Bank of England Papers: Anil Ari*, International Monetary Fund, Dawid Zochowski, European Central Bank, Christoffer Kok, European Central Bank, and Matthieu Darracq Paries, European Central Bank

Shadow Banking and Market Discipline on Traditional Banks

Philipp Koenig*, Deutsche Bundesbank, and David Pothier, University of Vienna

Safe but Fragile: Information Acquisition, Sponsor Support and Shadow Bank Runs

Joseph Noss*, Bank of England

Simulating Stress Across the Financial System: The Resilience of Corporate Bond Markets and the Role of Investment Funds

Discussants: Julia Körding, European Central Bank, and De Nederlandsche Bank

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 35 of 73

Quynh-Anh Vo, Bank of England Kebin Ma, University of Warwick

[187.5] Grand Ballroom B 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

BANKS AND LENDING

Chair: Maude Toussaint-Comeau, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Papers: Elijah Brewer III, DePaul University, William E. Jackson III, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, and Thomas S. Mondschean*, DePaul University

The Impact of Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) Advances on Small Business Lending by Community Banks

Wen-Chien Liu*, Chung Yuan Christian University, Sandy Suardi, University of Wollongong, Australia, and Yuan-Chen Chang, National Chengchi University, Taiwan

Stealing the Limelight: Celebrity CEOs and Bank Loan Contracting

Florence Neymotin*, Nova Southeastern University, and Pankaj Maskara, Nova Southeastern University

Do Credit Unions Serve the Underserved? Evidence from the Consumer Finance Survey

Discussants: Maude Toussaint-Comeau, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Florence Neymotin, Nova Southeastern University Thomas S. Mondschean, DePaul University

[188] Gulf Islands B 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Individually Organized Session

HEALTH ECONOMICS II: COST CONTAINMENT IN

PUBLIC INSURANCE PROGRAMS

Organizer: Victoria Perez, Indiana University Bloomington Chair: Victoria Perez, Indiana University Bloomington Papers: Matthew Eisenberg, Johns Hopkins University, and Lauren Nicholas*, Johns Hopkins University

Medicare Beneficiaries’ Exposure to Fraud and Abuse

Victoria Perez*, Indiana University Bloomington, and Coady Wing, Indiana University Bloomington

Effect of Medicaid Fraud Enforcement on Nursing Home Quality

Junhao Liu, University of Wisconsin – Madison, and Anita Mukherjee*, University of Wisconsin – Madison

Medicaid Eligibility for Nursing Home Care

Discussants: Hitoshi Shigeoka, Simon Fraser University Matthew Eisenberg, Johns Hopkins University Puneet Chehal, Duke University, and University of Chicago

[189] Beluga 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

SKILLS, MATCH, AND R&D

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Zaiyong Hu, China Foreign Affairs University Papers: Liang Shao*, Henan University

Skill and Occupation: Substitutable or Complementary?

Keiko Tamada*, Fukuoka University

The Effect of Skill Mismatch on Wages

Kun Jiang*, University of Nottingham, United Kingdom, Di Guo, University of Hong Kong, and Yan Guo, Peking University

Governance and Effects of Public R&D Subsidies: Evidence from China

Discussants: Keiko Tamada, Fukuoka University

Kun Jiang, University of Nottingham, United Kingdom Zaiyong Hu, China Foreign Affairs University

[190] Gulf Islands A 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES AND LABOR MARKET

OUTCOME

Chair: Atrayee Ghosh Roy, Minnesota State University, Mankato Papers: Fathali Firoozi*, University of Texas at San Antonio, Abol Jalilvand, Loyola University Chicago, and Mikiko Oliver, University of Texas at San Antonio

A Comparative Study of the Impact of Aging on Housing Markets in Singapore and the U.S.

David T. Flynn*, University of North Dakota, and Dara Morehouse, University of North Dakota

Self Employment & Fertility Choices

Atrayee Ghosh Roy*, Minnesota State University, Mankato, and Kwang-Woo Park, Minnesota State University, Mankato

The Demographic Transition and the Indian Economy: A Time-Series Analysis

Rebecca Taylor*, University of Sydney, Elizabeth Deakin, University of California, Berkeley, and Sofia Villas-Boas, University of California, Berkeley

Gender Differences in Accepting Low-Promotability Tasks? The Effect of Peer Comparisons on Pro-Social Behavior

Discussants: David T. Flynn, University of North Dakota Atrayee Ghosh Roy, Minnesota State University, Mankato Rebecca Taylor, University of Sydney Fathali Firoozi, University of Texas at San Antonio

[191] Orca 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

TOPICS ON HUMAN CAPITAL

Organizer: Massimiliano Tani, University of New South Wales, Canberra Chair: Matloob Piracha, University of Kent Papers: Leran Wang*, Keio University

Notional Defined Contribution Pension, Fertility, and Efficiency Wages in an OLG Economy

Linguere Mously Mbaye*, African Development Bank

Weather Shocks and Women Empowerment in Africa

Amy Peng*, Ryerson University

Working While Schooling and the Labour Market Outcome Post Graduation

Matloob Piracha*, University of Kent Ethnic Identity and Immigrants Labour Market Outcomes

Massimiliano Tani*, University of New South Wales, Canberra

Migrants Overeducation and Industry Productivity

Discussants: Massimiliano Tani, University of New South Wales, Canberra Amy Peng, Ryerson University Matloob Piracha, University of Kent Leran Wang, Keio University Linguere Mously Mbaye, African Development Bank

[192] Junior Ballroom A 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

LAW AND ECONOMICS

Chair: Sean D. Jasso, Pepperdine University Papers: W. David Allen*, University of Alabama in Huntsville, and W. Charles Sawyer, Texas Christian University

The Decline of the American Burglary

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 36 of 73

Sean D. Jasso*, Pepperdine University

The Rule of Law in America: Legislative Milestones of the 2000s and Their Impact on Business and Society

Hojun Lee*, Korea Development Institute, and Iljoong Kim, Sungkyunkwan University

Sanctions and Compensation in Regulatory Enforcement: The Case of the Mandatory Excavation Regulation

Shawn W. Ulrick*, Federal Trade Commission, and Malcolm B. Coate, Federal Trade Commission

Does Merger Enforcement Depend on the Portion of the Merger Associated with the Competitive Concerns?

Discussants: Sean D. Jasso, Pepperdine University Hojun Lee, Korea Development Institute Shawn W. Ulrick, Federal Trade Commission W. David Allen, University of Alabama in Huntsville

[193] Junior Ballroom D 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Individually Organized Session

POLYGAMY AND DEVELOPMENT

Organizer: Aine Seitz McCarthy, Lewis & Clark College Chair: Aine Seitz McCarthy, Lewis & Clark College Papers: Abigail Barr, University of Nottingham, United Kingdom, Marleen Dekker, Leiden University, Wendy Janssens, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Bereket Kebede, University of East Anglia, and Berber Kramer*, IFPRI

Cooperation in Polygynous Households

Sarah Deschenes*, Paris School of Economics

Household Structure, Son Preference and Intimate Partner Violence in Burkina Faso

Tia Palermo, UNICEF Office of Research-Innocenti, Elsa Valli, UNICEF Office of Research-Innocenti, and Amber Peterman*, UNICEF Office of Research-Innocenti

Government Anti-Poverty Programming and Intimate Partner Violence in Ghana

Discussants: Aine Seitz McCarthy, Lewis & Clark College Berber Kramer, IFPRI Tomoé Bourdier, University of California, Davis

[194] Gulf Islands C 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

FOSSIL FUELS

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon Chair: Kanishka Kacker, Indian Statistical Institute Papers: Gbadebo Oladosu*, Oak Ridge National Laboratory

A Statistical Analysis of U.S. Retail Gasoline Price Behavior and the Role of Price Gouging Laws

Eduardo Saucedo*, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Nancy Areli Bermudez Delgado, Tecnologico de Monterrey, and Estefania Bermudez Delgado, Tecnologico de Monterrey

The Oil Price, Stock Market and Exchange Rate Relationship: Evidence from Mexico

Kanishka Kacker*, Indian Statistical Institute, and Ian Lange, Colorado School of Mines

Inter-Regional Coal Mine Competition in the U.S.: Evidence from Rail Restrictions

Discussants: Eduardo Saucedo, Tecnologico de Monterrey Kanishka Kacker, Indian Statistical Institute Gbadebo Oladosu, Oak Ridge National Laboratory

[195] Gulf Islands D 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

ENVIRONMENT AND EMPLOYMENT/INEQUALITY

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon

Chair: Winston R. Moore, University of the West Indies Cave Hill Campus Papers: Oscar Zapata*, University of British Columbia

The Effect of Climate Disasters on Income Inequality: Novel Evidence

Deven Smith Azevedo*, Simon Fraser University, Hendrik Wolff, University of Washington Seattle, and Akio Yamazaki, University of Calgary

Do Carbon Taxes Kill Jobs? Evidence from British Columbia

Chi Man Yip*, University of Calgary

The Tradeoff Between Employment and Environment Winston R. Moore*, University of the West Indies Cave Hill Campus, Mahalia Jackman, University of the West Indies Cave Hill Campus, and Jade Kirton, University of the West Indies Cave Hill Campus

Unemployment Duration and Green Jobs

Discussants: Deven Smith Azevedo, Simon Fraser University Chi Man Yip, University of Calgary Winston R. Moore, University of the West Indies Cave Hill Campus Oscar Zapata, University of British Columbia

[196] Junior Ballroom B 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM North American Association of Sports Economists

PAY AND PERFORMANCE IN PROFESSIONAL

SPORTS

Organizer: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Chair: Eva Marikova Leeds, Moravian College Papers: Sheng-Ping Yang, Gustavus Adolphus College, and Jeffrey G. Owen*, Gustavus Adolphus College

Pay Dispersion, Efficiency Wage, and Team Performance: Evidence from Major League Baseball

Eva Marikova Leeds*, Moravian College, and Michael A. Leeds, Temple University

Pay Inequality and Team Performance in Nippon Professional Baseball

Anil Oezdemir*, University of Zurich, Giambattista Rossi, University of London, and Robert Simmons, Lancaster University

Are Workers Rewarded for Inconsistent Performance

Ritchie C. Woodard*, University of East Anglia, Peter M. Dawson, University of East Anglia, and Georgios Papadopoulos, University of East Anglia

Cultural Diversity and Team Performance

Discussants: Anil Oezdemir, University of Zurich Brady P. Horn, University of New Mexico Candon Johnson, West Virginia University Yang Zhou, West Virginia University

[197] Grand Ballroom A 6/28/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

HOUSING MARKETS

Chair: Paul E. Thorsnes, University of Otago Papers: Yuta Kuroda*, Tohoku University

Does Publication of School-Level Test Score Cause School Ranking? Evidence from Rental Housing Data

Xiaoyu Wu*, Central University of Finance and Economics, China, and Lixing Li, Peking University

Housing Price and Intergenerational Co-Residence in Urban China

Paul E. Thorsnes*, University of Otago

Booming Prices, Neighborhood Amenities, and Privatized Housing: A Recipe for Gentrification

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 37 of 73

Iljoong Kim*, Sungkyunkwan University

Price Effects of Regulatory Takings: With the Case of Land Use Restrictions for Urban Planning Facilities

Discussants: Xiaoyu Wu, Central University of Finance and Economics, China Paul E. Thorsnes, University of Otago Iljoong Kim, Sungkyunkwan University Yuta Kuroda, Tohoku University

Pavilion Ballroom A 6/29/2018 7:30 AM–6:30 PM

WEAI LOUNGE

Pavilion Ballroom Foyer 6/29/2018 7:30 AM–6:30 PM

REGISTRATION OPEN

[198] Grand Ballroom B 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Individually Organized Session

A NEW VIEW OF ECONOMICS: BEYOND THE MYTH

Organizer: James H. Alleman, University of Colorado Boulder, and Suzanne Helburn, University of Colorado Denver Chair: James H. Alleman, University of Colorado Boulder Papers: Suzanne Helburn*, University of Colorado Denver

Refocusing Economic Thinking on Twenty-first Century Capitalism

James H. Alleman*, University of Colorado Boulder

Internet Platforms’ Threats: Facebook, Google, etc. Jonathan Liebenau*, London School of Economics and Political Science

Inequality, Institutions and Technology: ‘Capitalism in the 21st Century’

Discussants: R. Bruce Williamson, Maine Public Utilities Commission Jonathan Liebenau, London School of Economics and Political Science Suzanne Helburn, University of Colorado Denver

[199] Parksville 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics

POWER, COMPETITION, AND ORDER EFFECTS

Organizer: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Chair: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Papers: Elena Pikulina*, University of British Columbia, and Chloe Tergiman, Pennsylvania State University, University Park

Preferences for Power

Helena Fornwagner*, University of Innsbruck, Loukas Balafoutas, University of Innsbruck, and Matthias Sutter, University of Innsbruck, Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods, and University of Cologne

Priming Women with Power Closes the Gender Gap in Competitiveness

Neil Metz*, University of Central Oklahoma, and Daniel C. Hickman, University of Idaho, Moscow

Behavioral Biases in Competition: Evidence from PGA Tour Match Play

Aaron Feudo*, United States Military Academy, and Richard W. Patterson, United States Military Academy

Ordering Effects and Major Selection

Discussants: from above participants

[200] Port Alberni 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

OLIGOPOLY AND MARKET IMPERFECTION

Chair: Jin Wang, Kansas State University Papers: Jiayi Li*, Carnegie Mellon University, and Eungsik Kim, Carnegie Mellon University

Shapley-Shubik Market Game Meets the Shimer Puzzle

Oksana Loginova*, University of Missouri – Columbia

Should I Sell through an Online Marketplace or Build My Own Website?

Alexander J. McGlothlin*, University of Kentucky

The Importance of Mavericks: Evidence from the Airline Industry

Jin Wang*, Kansas State University

Do Birds of a Feather Flock Together? Platform’s Quality Screening and End-Users’ Choices Theory and Empirical Study of Online Trading Platforms

Discussants: Oksana Loginova, University of Missouri – Columbia Alexander J. McGlothlin, University of Kentucky Jin Wang, Kansas State University Jiayi Li, Carnegie Mellon University

[201] Port McNeill 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Defense Economics Session

DEFENSE ECONOMICS: MANAGING DOD

OPERATING AND SUPPORT COSTS

Organizer: Thomas Light, RAND Corporation, Ellen M. Pint, RAND Corporation, and Laura H. Baldwin, RAND Corporation Chair: William R. Gates, Naval Postgraduate School Papers: R. Derek Trunkey*, Congressional Budget Office

Trend in Operating Costs of Military Aircraft Julie A. Pechacek*, Institute for Defense Analyses, Dennis Kuo, Institute for Defense Analyses, Ethan Novak, Institute for Defense Analyses, and Nathaniel Latshaw, Institute for Defense Analyses

Assessing the Impact of Army National Guard Full-Time Support on Equipment Readiness

Edward G. Keating*, Congressional Budget Office

The Depot Maintenance Experiences of Current DoD Combat Aircraft: Insights for the F-35

Ellen M. Pint*, RAND Corporation, Beth Lachman, RAND Corporation, Jeremy Eckhause, RAND Corporation, and Steven Deane-Shinbrot, RAND Corporation

Army Installation Rail Operations: Implications of Increased Outsourcing

Discussants: Victoria A. Greenfield, George Mason University Elizabeth Hastings Roer, RAND Corporation Edward G. Keating, Congressional Budget Office

[202] Pavilion Ballroom C 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

DECISIONS UNDER UNCERTAINTY AND

ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION

Chair: Gavin E. Roberts, Weber State University Papers: Haeil Jung*, Korea University, and Yeonwoo Sim, Korea University

The Impact of the Marriage Brokers Business Management Act on the Marital Quality and Labor Market Participation of Marriage Migrant Women in South Korea

Yupeng Li*, Nanyang Technological University, Tai-Sen He, Nanyang Technological University, and Jubo Yan, Nanyang Technological University

I Don’t Like Loss: The Effect of First-Person Pronoun use on Loss Aversion

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 38 of 73

Gavin E. Roberts*, Weber State University, and Matt Gnagey, Weber State University

The Endogenous Risk of Avalanches

Discussants: Yupeng Li, Nanyang Technological University Gavin E. Roberts, Weber State University Haeil Jung, Korea University

[203] Orca 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Individually Organized Session

TOPICS IN MACROECONOMICS

Organizer: Tyler C. Schipper, University of St. Thomas Chair: Tyler C. Schipper, University of St. Thomas Papers: C. Richard Higgins*, Colgate University

Adaptive Learning in Nonlinear Models

Sacha Gelfer*, Bentley University

Evaluating the Nowcasting Performance of Mixed Frequency DSGE-DFM Models

Tyler C. Schipper*, University of St. Thomas, and Adam Check, University of St. Thomas

Determinants of Informality: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach

Adam Check*, University of St. Thomas, and Jeremy Piger, University of Oregon

BMA for Structural Break Models

Discussants: Adam Check, University of St. Thomas Tyler C. Schipper, University of St. Thomas C. Richard Higgins, Colgate University Sacha Gelfer, Bentley University

[204] Beluga 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

ISSUES IN MONETARY POLICY

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Bruce C. Brown, California State Polytechnic University, Pomona Papers: Huiqing Li*, Central University of Finance and Economics, China

Money Demand in the United States: Evidence from Novel Regional Panel Data

Bruce C. Brown*, California State Polytechnic University, Pomona

The Money Market - Dynamic versus Static Representations

Svatopluk Kapounek*, Mendel University in Brno

Herding Behaviour and Information Asymmetries in Crowdfunding

Discussants: Bruce C. Brown, California State Polytechnic University, Pomona Svatopluk Kapounek, Mendel University in Brno Huiqing Li, Central University of Finance and Economics, China

[205] Grand Ballroom D 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

INTERNATIONAL TRADE, EMPLOYMENT, AND

PRODUCTION

Chair: Dongwoo Yoo, University of Ulsan Papers: Jihyun Eum*, Bank of Korea

Effects of Chinese Exchange Rate on Korea’s Export as a Role of Competitor Country

Mike Hsu*, Hamilton College

Input Trade and Productivity Growth

Akira Sasahara*, University of Idaho, Moscow, and Robert Feenstra, University of California, Davis

The China Shock, Exports and U.S. Employment: A Global Input-Output Analysis

Dongwoo Yoo*, University of Ulsan, and Soohyun Oh, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy

Unemployment after Trade Liberalization

Discussants: Mike Hsu, Hamilton College Akira Sasahara, University of Idaho, Moscow Dongwoo Yoo, University of Ulsan Jihyun Eum, Bank of Korea

[206] Grand Ballroom A 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS

Chair: Lei Zhu, West Chester University Papers: Isha Agarwal*, Cornell University

The Bank Lending Channel and the Exchange Rate Disconnect Maxym Chaban*, University of Saskatchewan

Consumption of Traded Goods and Real Exchange Rate with Recursive Preferences

Lei Zhu*, West Chester University, and Dazhi Zheng, West Chester University

Exchange Rate Exposure: Firm Level Analysis on Multinational Firms

Discussants: Maxym Chaban, University of Saskatchewan Lei Zhu, West Chester University Isha Agarwal, Cornell University

[208] Gulf Islands B 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Individually Organized Session

FIRM PERFORMANCE AND GOVERNANCE

Organizer: Mina N. Baliamoune-Lutz, University of North Florida Chair: James D. Gaisford, Thompson Rivers University Papers: Mike Schulze*, European Management School

Integrated Reporting — A Systematic Review of Previous Findings and an Agenda for Future Research

Gerald M. Groshek*, University of Redlands

Marquee Government Agencies in the US and National Reputation

Discussants: James D. Gaisford, Thompson Rivers University Gerald M. Groshek, University of Redlands Mike Schulze, European Management School

[209] Pavilion Ballroom D 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

ISSUES IN TAXATION

Chair: Ronald C. Fisher, Michigan State University Papers: Yuchen Shao*, Nanjing University, and Chengrui Xiao, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics

Corporate Tax Policy and Heterogeneous Firm Innovation: Evidence from a Developing Country

James E. Prieger*, Pepperdine University, and Jonathan D. Kulick, New York University

Tax Evasion, Illicit Trade, and Smokers’ Responses to a Tax Increase

Keisuke Kawachi*, Mie University, Hikaru Ogawa, University of Tokyo, and Taiki Susa, Chubu University

Equilibrium Leadership in Tax Competition When Capital Supply is Endogenous

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 39 of 73

Ronald C. Fisher*, Michigan State University, Robert W. Wassmer, California State University, Sacramento, and Zachary Kuloszewski, Michigan State University

Property Tax Support in California Forty Years after Proposition 13

Discussants: James E. Prieger, Pepperdine University Keisuke Kawachi, Mie University Ronald C. Fisher, Michigan State University Yuchen Shao, Nanjing University

[210] Chartroom 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

OBESITY

Chair: Tannista Banerjee, Auburn University Papers: Paramita Dhar*, Central Connecticut State University

A Comparative Study of the Obesity Epidemic in U.S. and Spain

Dimitrios Nikolaou*, Illinois State University

Gay, Obese, and Bullied? Heterogeneous Effects of Bullying and Cyberbullying on Health Behaviors

James C. Pettigrew*, University of Central Oklahoma, and Mariya Burdina, University of Central Oklahoma

Economic Freedom and Obesity in the United States

Tannista Banerjee*, Auburn University

Efficacy of Price Interventions for Mitigating Childhood Obesity by Promoting Healthy Food Choices: A Neurobehavioral Study in Parents with Low Socioeconomic Status

Discussants: Dimitrios Nikolaou, Illinois State University James C. Pettigrew, University of Central Oklahoma Tannista Banerjee, Auburn University Paramita Dhar, Central Connecticut State University

[211] Grand Ballroom C 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

HEALTH AND EDUCATION

Chair: Kelly Chen, Boise State University Papers: Chon-Kit Ao*, National Cheng Kung University, Taiwan

The Impact of Privatization of Water Services on Educational Attainment: The Case of Argentina

Kelly Chen*, Boise State University, and Shelley A. Phipps, Dalhousie University, and Canadian Institute for Advanced Research

Why Can’t You Sit Still? Hyperactivity, Exercise and the Academic Outcomes of Young Children

Darrell J. Glaser*, U.S. Naval Academy, and Michael A. Insler, U.S. Naval Academy

The Deleterious Effects of Fatigue on Final Exam Performance

Fung-Mey Huang*, National Taiwan University, and Hung-Lin Tao, Soochow University

High School Entrance Exam Reform and Adolescents’ Depression - Evidence from Taiwan

Discussants: Kelly Chen, Boise State University Darrell J. Glaser, U.S. Naval Academy Fung-Mey Huang, National Taiwan University Chon-Kit Ao, National Cheng Kung University, Taiwan

[212] Finback 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

LABOR ECONOMICS: EDUCATION AND SALARY

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach

Chair: Kellie A. Forrester, California State Polytechnic University, Pomona Papers: Rosemary Walker*, Washburn University, Linda Espahbodi, Washburn University, Reza Espahbodi, Washburn University, G. Thomas White, Washburn University, and Frank Wood, Washburn University

Is Success on the CPA Exam all about Opportunity?

Jose J. Vazquez*, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Curiosity and the Pleasures of Learning: The Effect of Information Framing on Student State Epistemic Curiousity, Two Field Experiments

Sonny Chang, Soochow University, and Richard C. Lin*, Soochow University

Fundamental Causes of Taiwan’s Stagnant Salary: 2000-2017

Discussants: Jose J. Vazquez, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Kellie A. Forrester, California State Polytechnic University, Pomona Rosemary Walker, Washburn University

[213] Port Hardy 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM The Korea-America Economic Association

TOPICS IN MACROECONOMICS AND POLITICAL

ECONOMY

Organizer: Jaebeom Kim, Oklahoma State University Chair: Jaebeom Kim, Oklahoma State University Papers: Deockhyun Ryu*, Chung-Ang University

Fiscal Reform and Economic Growth: A Synthetic Control Method (SCM) Approach to the Korean Economy

Yong J. Yoon*, George Mason University

Power Toppled by Slander

Michael Osei, Oklahoma State University, and Jaebeom Kim*, Oklahoma State University

New Evidence on FDI and Economic Growth: A Dynamic Panel Threshold Model Approach

Discussants: from above participants

[214] Gulf Islands D 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

FORESTS AND DEFORESTATION

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon Chair: Lea Fortmann, University of Puget Sound Papers: Clark Lundberg*, San Diego State University, and Ryan M. Abman, San Diego State University

Does Free Trade Increase Deforestation? The Effects of Regional Trade Agreements

J. Forrest Williams*, Portland State University, Arnab Mitra, Portland State University, and Sahan T. M. Dissanayake, Portland State University

Towards Understanding Optimal Incentive Structures under REDD+

Ryan M. Abman*, San Diego State University, and Conor Carney, The Brattle Group

Land Rights, Agricultural Productivity, and Deforestation

Lea Fortmann*, University of Puget Sound, and Andrew Monaco, University of Puget Sound

Determinants of Household Preferences for Public Good Contributions Over Cash Dividends: Evidence from Community Forest Concessions in Guatemala

Discussants: J. Forrest Williams, Portland State University Ryan M. Abman, San Diego State University Lea Fortmann, University of Puget Sound Clark Lundberg, San Diego State University

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 40 of 73

[215] Gulf Islands C 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

MOBILE SOURCES AND ENERGY EFFICIENCY

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon Chair: Carmen E. Carrion-Flores, Syracuse University Papers: Diya B. Mazumder*, Soka University

Estimating the Economy Wide Effects of a CAFE Standard Using the Productivity Approach

Shuhei Nishitateno*, Kwansei Gakuin University, and Australian National University, and Paul J. Burke, Australian National University

Clunker Phase-Outs: Effects on Air Pollution and Land Prices

Lynda Gagne*, University of Victoria

Predictors of New Passenger Vehicles Market Share of Electric Vehicles in Canadian Provinces

Carmen E. Carrion-Flores*, Syracuse University

Analysis of the Distribution of Prices and Energy Consumption of Energy Star Homes

Discussants: Shuhei Nishitateno, Kwansei Gakuin University, and Australian National University Lynda Gagne, University of Victoria Carmen E. Carrion-Flores, Syracuse University Diya B. Mazumder, Soka University

[216] Junior Ballroom B 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM North American Association of Sports Economists

LABOR ISSUES IN SPORTS

Organizer: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Chair: Mark F. Stewart, RMIT University Papers: Aju J. Fenn*, Colorado College, David J. Berri, Southern Utah University, and Theodore Hooker, Colorado College

The Importance of Character on the Draft Selection and Subsequent Production of an NFL Quarterback

Adrian Barake, RMIT University, Heather Mitchell, RMIT University, Constantino Stavros, RMIT University, and Mark F. Stewart*, RMIT University

Escalation of Commitment in the AFL

Joseph S. Kuehn*, California State University, East Bay

The Effect of Competition on the Demand for Skilled Labor: Matching with Externalities in the NBA

Discussants: Mark F. Stewart, RMIT University Qi Ge, Skidmore College Mariya Burdina, University of Central Oklahoma

[217] Junior Ballroom A 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM National Association of Forensic Economics

NAFE SESSION IV

Organizer: Christina P. Tapia, Northwest Economics, LLC, and University of Washington Seattle Chair: to be announced Papers: Steven J. Shapiro*, New York Institute of Technology

Cryptocurrency Return and Risk Metric Estimation

Stephen Cheng*, Westcoast Actuaries Inc., and Neil Chicoine, Westcoast Actuaries Inc.

Quantifying Penions and Employment Benefit Loss: Approaches and Considerations

Michael L. Nieswiadomy*, University of North Texas, and Thomas A. Loudat, TNSP Ltd.

Effects of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Acts on Neutralizing the Adverse Effect of State and Federal Income Taxes on Lump Sum Awards in Employment Cases

Discussants: Roman Garagulagian, Forensic Economic Services, and California State Polytechnic University, Pomona William H. Rogers, W.H. Rogers, LLC William G. Brandt, Brandt Forensic Economics

[218] Gulf Islands A 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

NONMARKET EFFECTS OF CRIME,

INCARCERATION, AND SUBSTANCE ABUSE

Chair: Brady P. Horn, University of New Mexico Papers: Tennecia Dacass*, Kansas State University, and Amanda Gaulke, Kansas State University

Intergenerational Effects of Mass Incarceration

Brady P. Horn*, University of New Mexico, Aakrit Joshi, University of New Mexico, and Johanna C Maclean, Temple University

The Impact of Substance Abuse Treatment Centers on Property Values

Panka Bencsik*, University of Sussex

Stress and Behavioral Effects of Neighborhood Crime: Evidence from the UK

Discussants: Brady P. Horn, University of New Mexico Panka Bencsik, University of Sussex Tennecia Dacass, Kansas State University

[219] Junior Ballroom C 6/29/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Middle East Economic Association

INEQUALITY, SELF-EMPLOYMENT, AND

STRUCTURE

Organizer: Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School, Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California, and Rahel Schomaker, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences Chair: Hisham S. Foad, San Diego State University Papers: Kanika Aggarwal*, University of Southern California

Age Demography, Inequality and Economic Growth

Mi Kyung Pai*, Kyungpook National University

Structural Aspects of Korea’s Key Industries

Sarmistha Pal, University of Surrey, and Bibhas Saha*, Durham University

Self-Employment and Child Labour: Theory and Evidence

Qin Jiang*, University of Southern California

Bias in Social Media Surveys and Selection Bias Reduction by Propensity Score Adjustments

Rashad Ahmed, University of Southern California, Andreas Aristidou*, University of Southern California, and Eunjee Kwon, University of Southern California

Affordable Housing in Your Backyard: How Does the Introduction of Affordable Housing Units Impact Neighborhoods? Evidence from Los Angeles

Discussants: from above participants

Pavilion Ballroom A 6/29/2018 10:00 AM–10:15 AM

REFRESHMENT BREAK

[220] Gulf Islands B 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Individually Organized Session

FINANCIAL SERVICES INDICES, LIQUIDITY, AND

ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

Organizer: Jane M. Binner, University of Birmingham Chair: Jane M. Binner, University of Birmingham

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 41 of 73

Papers: Adrian R. Fleissig*, California State University, Fullerton, Barry E. Jones, Binghamton University SUNY, and Jane M. Binner, University of Birmingham

The Short Run and Long Run Impact on the Own User Cost Elasticities of Demand when Interest Rates are Near the Zero Lower Bound

Victor Valcarcel*, University of Texas at Dallas

Agnosticism in the Relationship between Monetary Policy Shocks and Market Interest Rates

John W. Keating*, University of Kansas, and A. Lee Smith, University of Kansas

A New Interpretation of Money Growth Targeting and the Monetarist Experiment

Jane M. Binner, University of Birmingham, Logan J. Kelly*, University of Wisconsin – River Falls, and Jonathan A. Tepper, Nottingham Trent University

On the Robustness of Sluggish State-Based Neural Networks for Providing Useful Insight into the Output Gap

Discussants: Victor Valcarcel, University of Texas at Dallas Logan J. Kelly, University of Wisconsin – River Falls Adrian R. Fleissig, California State University, Fullerton John W. Keating, University of Kansas

[221] Port Alberni 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

CONSUMER ECONOMICS AND HOUSEHOLD

PRODUCTION

Chair: Nadia Streletskaya, Oregon State University Papers: Akira Yakita*, Nanzan University

Family Bargaining Powers, Education and Fertility Decisions, and Policy

Shaoying Ma*, Graduate Center, CUNY, Jing Li, Miami University, Ohio, and George K. Davis, Miami University, Ohio

The Effect of Income Inequality on Household Consumption: Evidence from China Household Finance Survey Data

Damien Sheehan-Connor*, Wesleyan University

Do Behavioral Responses Offset the Impacts of Safety Policies? Estimates Exploiting Changes in Perceived Vehicle Safety

Nadia Streletskaya*, Oregon State University, Jura Liaukonyte, Cornell University, and Harry M. Kaiser, Cornell University

Organic Grapes or Organic Wine? Unpacking Consumer Preferences in Presence of Certification Standards Information

Discussants: Shaoying Ma, Graduate Center, CUNY Damien Sheehan-Connor, Wesleyan University Nadia Streletskaya, Oregon State University Akira Yakita, Nanzan University

[222] Pavilion Ballroom C 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

WELFARE ECONOMICS

Chair: Peter M. Phelps, University of Leeds Papers: Dirk W. Early*, Southwestern University, Aresha Davwa, Southwestern University, Texas, and Manuela Figueroa-Casas, Southwestern University, Texas

The Benefits and Costs of Rental Housing Assistance Programs

Stephen Martin*, Purdue University

Kaldor-Hicks and All That Peter M. Phelps*, University of Leeds, and Philip Arestis, University of Cambridge

Inequality Implications of Emu Membership: A Reassessment

Discussants: Stephen Martin, Purdue University

Peter M. Phelps, University of Leeds Dirk W. Early, Southwestern University

[223] Port McNeill 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Defense Economics Session

DEFENSE ECONOMICS: RECRUITING AND FORCE

MANAGEMENT

Organizer: Thomas Light, RAND Corporation, Ellen M. Pint, RAND Corporation, and Laura H. Baldwin, RAND Corporation Chair: Henry “Chip” Leonard, RAND Corporation Papers: David Knapp*, RAND Corporation, Bruce Orvis, RAND Corporation, Chris Maerzluft, RAND Corporation, and Tiffany Tsai, RAND Corporation

Resources Required to Meet the Army’s Enlisted Recruiting Requirements Under Alternative Recruiting Goals, Conditions, and Eligibility Policies

Lawrence Goldberg*, Institute for Defense Analyses, Dennis Kimko, Institute for Defense Analyses, and Susan L. Rose, Institute for Defense Analyses

Analysis of the Supply of Enlistments to the Army National Guard

Lauren Malone*, Center for Naval Analyses

Analysing the Relationship between Spousal Collocation and Retention in the Navy

Lauren Malone*, Center for Naval Analyses

Retaining the Marine Corps’ Highest Quality Enlisted Marines

Discussants: Jesse M. Cunha, Naval Postgraduate School David R. Graham, Institute for Defense Analyses Elizabeth Bass, Congressional Budget Office William R. Gates, Naval Postgraduate School

[224] Orca 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

TOPICS IN INTERNATIONAL & MONETARY

ECONOMICS

Organizer: Andrew Ojede, Texas State University, and Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Andrew Ojede, Texas State University Papers: Andrew Ojede*, Texas State University, and Jack Mogab, Texas State University

The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment Inflows on Economic Growth: Evidence at the Sectoral Level

Emanuel M. Xavier-Oliveira*, Michigan Technological University

Impact of Institutional Quality on the Role that Income Inequality Plays in Entrepreneurial Motivations

Ruby P. Kishan*, Texas State University

Market Structures Search Cost and Retail Deposit Rates

Eddery Lam*, Rochester Institute of Technology

The Role of Expectation on Exchange Rate Forecast Discussants: Emanuel M. Xavier-Oliveira, Michigan Technological University Ruby P. Kishan, Texas State University Eddery Lam, Rochester Institute of Technology Andrew Ojede, Texas State University

[225] Port Hardy 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM The Korea-America Economic Association

TOPICS IN INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND APPLIED

MICROECONOMICS

Organizer: Jaebeom Kim, Oklahoma State University

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 42 of 73

Chair: Sunghyun Henry Kim, Sungkyunkwan University Papers: Sunghyun Henry Kim*, Sungkyunkwan University, and Serge Shikher, U.S. International Trade Commission

Can Protectionism Improve Trade Balance?

Yiesul Byun, Korea Institute of Public Finance, Seokjin Woo*, Myongji University, and Kibeom Binh, Myongji University

The Effects of Tax Incentives on Investment, Dividends, and Wages: Evidence from Quasi-Natural Experiment in South Korea

Jinwon Kim*, California State University, Long Beach

Estimating the Social Cost of Congestion Using the Bottleneck Model

Discussants: from above participants

[226] Beluga 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

ECONOMICS OF CHINA: MONETARY POLICY

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Nan-Ting Chou, University of Louisville Papers: Shen Zhang*, Tianjin University, and Wan Jing, Tianjin University

Are China’s Targeted Monetary Policies Really Functioning?

Nan-Ting Chou*, University of Louisville

Trade Credit and Monetary Policy: Evidence in China

Discussants: Nan-Ting Chou, University of Louisville Shen Zhang, Tianjin University

[227] Junior Ballroom D 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

BEHAVIOR OF BANKS IN RESPONSE TO POLICY

AND FLUCTUATIONS

Chair: Chao-Hsi Huang, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan Papers: Padma R. Sharma*, University of California, Irvine

Moral Hazard Effects of Bank Resolution Policies: Inferences from a Bayesian Nonparametric Study

Chao-Hsi Huang*, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan, and Ta-Jung Liu, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan

Macroeconomic Shocks and Bank Risk: An Empirical Study Using Taiwan’s Micro Bank Data

Valery Shemetov*, Northern Virginia Community College

On the 60th Anniversary of Modigliani-Miller Propositions:The Bad News: They Are All Wrong; The Good News: We Know What to Do

Discussants: Chao-Hsi Huang, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan Valery Shemetov, Northern Virginia Community College Padma R. Sharma, University of California, Irvine

[228] Pavilion Ballroom D 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

TAXATION AND ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY

Chair: Margo Bergman, University of Washington Seattle Papers: Jonas Fooken*, University of Queensland, and Johannes Becker, University of Muenster

Gift Exchange when Gifts are Taxed

Christopher A. Clarke*, Washington State University Pullman, and University of Nevada, Las Vegas, and Raymond G. Batina, Washington State University Pullman

Public Capital Skill-Complementarity and Inequality

Jason L. Saving*, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Fiscal Policy Adjustments and Regional Wage Convergence

Discussants: Jason L. Saving, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Jonas Fooken, University of Queensland Margo Bergman, University of Washington Seattle

[229] Gulf Islands A 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

HEALTH IMPACTS OF THE ACA AND TAX POLICIES

Chair: Jerome Dugan, Drexel University Papers: Jerome Dugan*, Drexel University, and Layla Booshehri, Drexel University

The Differential Impacts of Tax Deduction Status on Chronic Disease Morbidity

Lauren E. Jones*, Ohio State University, and Tansel Yilmazer, Ohio State University

The Long-Term Effect of the EITC on Cognitive Ability among Aging Adults

Bisakha Sen*, University of Alabama at Birmingham

Political Sentiment, Insurance Status and Adverse Selection Following Passage of ACA

Allison E. Witman*, University of North Carolina, Wilmington, and Angelica Meinhofer, RTI International

The Role of Health Insurance on Treatment for Opioid Use Disorders: Evidence from the Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansion

Discussants: Lauren E. Jones, Ohio State University Bisakha Sen, University of Alabama at Birmingham Allison E. Witman, University of North Carolina, Wilmington Jerome Dugan, Drexel University

[230] Grand Ballroom D 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

EFFECT OF POLICY ON LABOR MARKET OUTCOME

Chair: Alicia Sasser Modestino, Northeastern University Papers: Anil Kumar*, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, and Che-Yuan Liang, Uppsala University

Labor Market Effects of Credit Constraints: Evidence from a Natural Experiment

Tetsuya Kuratani*, Shikoku University

Why is Medical Coding Job so Popular with Junior College Students in Spite of its Allegedly Relatively Lower Wages?

Jie Ma*, Colgate University

Within Occupation Schooling Dispersion, Over-Education and Mismatch in the Labor Market: Theory and Empirics

Alicia Sasser Modestino*, Northeastern University

How Do Summer Youth Employment Programs Improve Criminal Justice Outcomes, and for Whom?

Discussants: Tetsuya Kuratani, Shikoku University Jie Ma, Colgate University Alicia Sasser Modestino, Northeastern University Anil Kumar, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

[231] Grand Ballroom C 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

SCHOOL TRACKING, PEER EFFECTS, AND

RELATIVE AGE EFFECTS

Chair: Matthew Larsen, Lafayette College Papers: Aya Uemura*, Keio University, Ryoga Kobayashi, Keio University, and Makiko Nakamuro, Keio University

The Relative Age Effect-Panel Data Analysis between 4th to 9th Students in Japan under Uniform Cut-Off Date

Juliana Silva Goncalves*, Queensland University of Technology, Dorothea Kuebler, WZB Berlin Social Science Center, and Philipp Albert, WZB Berlin Social Science Center

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 43 of 73

Peer Effects of Intentions: Performance Goals versus Task Difficulty

Matthew Larsen*, Lafayette College

Peer Effects of Retention Policies: Evidence from Louisiana

Meradee Tangvatcharapong*, Texas A&M University, College Station

The Impact of School Tracking and Peer Quality on Student Achievement: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from Thailand

Discussants: Juliana Silva Goncalves, Queensland University of Technology Matthew Larsen, Lafayette College Meradee Tangvatcharapong, Texas A&M University, College Station Aya Uemura, Keio University

[232] Grand Ballroom B 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

UNION AND WAGE INEQUALITY

Chair: Donald O. Parsons, George Washington University Papers: Joseph V. Kopecky*, University of California, Davis, and Andrew Padovani, University of California, Davis

Life Cycle Investments in Human Capital and Wage Inequality

Donald O. Parsons*, George Washington University

Employer-Provided Severance Pay: Unions and the Great Expansion, 1954-1979

Galiya Sagyndykova*, Nazarbayev University, and Ronald L. Oaxaca, University of Arizona

The Short-Run Impacts of Raising the Overtime Premium or Reducing the Standard Workweek on Employment, Hours, and Earnings in the U.S. Manufacturing

Discussants: Donald O. Parsons, George Washington University Galiya Sagyndykova, Nazarbayev University Joseph V. Kopecky, University of California, Davis

[233] Finback 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

ECONOMICS OF CHINA: LABOR AND HEALTH

ISSUES

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Tao-Tony Fang, Memorial University of Newfoundland Papers: Suqin Ge*, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University

Assimilation and the Wage Growth of Rural-to-Urban Migrants in China

Lijian Qin*, Anhui University of Finance and Economics

Working and Living Conditions of College-Educated Rural Migrants

Tao-Tony Fang*, Memorial University of Newfoundland

The Use and Impact of Job-Search Procedures by Migrant Workers in China

Feng Liu*, Chinese University of Hong Kong, and Youhong Lin, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies

Fluoride Pollution and Health: Empirical Evidence from China

Discussants: Feng Liu, Chinese University of Hong Kong Suqin Ge, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Lijian Qin, Anhui University of Finance and Economics Tao-Tony Fang, Memorial University of Newfoundland

[234] Parksville 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM

Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics

MARKETS, COMPETITION, AND INFORMATION

Organizer: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Chair: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Papers: Loukas Balafoutas*, University of Innsbruck, Helena Fornwagner, University of Innsbruck, Rudolf Kerschbamer, University of Innsbruck, Matthias Sutter, University of Innsbruck, Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods, and University of Cologne, and Maryna Tverdostup, University of Innsbruck

Insurance and Diagnostic Uncertainty in Credence Goods Markets

Emmanuel Dechenaux*, Kent State University, Sujoy Chakravarty, Jawaharlal Nehru University, and Krishnendu Ghosh Dastidar, Jawaharlal Nehru University

Bertrand Competition with an Avoidable Fixed Cost: An Experiment

Owen Powell*, Vienna University of Economics and Business, and Natalia Shestakova, University of Vienna

Robustness of Mispricing Results in Experimental Asset Markets

Matthew G. Nagler*, City College of New York, CUNY

Consumer Adjustment to Competitive Offers

Discussants: from above participants

[235] Gulf Islands C 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

INVASIVE AND ENDANGERED SPECIES

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon Chair: Christian Langpap, Oregon State University Papers: Benjamin A. Jones*, University of New Mexico

The Impacts of Forest-Attacking Invasive Species on Infant Health: Evidence from the Invasive Emerald Ash Borer

Pierce Donovan*, University of California, Davis, Lucas Bair, U.S. Geological Survey, Charles Yackulic, U.S. Geological Survey, and Michael Springborn, University of California, Davis

Cost-effective Management of a Non-Native Species to Achieve Population Viability Goals for an Endangered Species in the Grand Canyon

Duncan Knowler*, Simon Fraser University, and Rupananda Widanage, Simon Fraser University

Public and Private Management of Invasive Species that Affect Rangeland Productivity

Christian Langpap*, Oregon State University

Interest Groups, Litigation, and Agency Decisions: Evidence from the Endangered Species Act

Discussants: Pierce Donovan, University of California, Davis Duncan Knowler, Simon Fraser University Christian Langpap, Oregon State University Benjamin A. Jones, University of New Mexico

[236] Gulf Islands D 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

TOPICS IN ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS

Organizer: Trudy Ann Cameron, University of Oregon Chair: Peter M. Schwarz, University of North Carolina, Charlotte Papers: Noah C. Dormady*, Ohio State University, Alfredo Roa-Henriquez, Ohio State University, Adam Rose, University of Southern California, and Heather Rosoff, University of Southern California

Estimating the Cost-Effectiveness of Resilience to Disasters

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 44 of 73

Kankesu Jayanthakumaran*, University of Wollongong, Australia, and Mohammad Tariful Bari, University of Wollongong, Australia

Resource Booms and Firm Heterogeneity: Mongolia 2007 and 2011

Peter M. Schwarz*, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, Matthew Withrow, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, and Joseph A. Cochran, University of North Carolina, Charlotte

It’s Not Just the Economy, Stupid: State Opposition to the Clean Power Plan

Discussants: Kankesu Jayanthakumaran, University of Wollongong, Australia Peter M. Schwarz, University of North Carolina, Charlotte Noah C. Dormady, Ohio State University

[237] Junior Ballroom B 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM North American Association of Sports Economists

TOPICS IN SPORTS ECONOMICS: PARTICIPATION,

PERFORMANCE, AND POLICY

Organizer: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Chair: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Papers: Soren Dallmeyer*, German Sport University Cologne, Pamela Wicker, German Sport University Cologne, and Christoph Breuer, German Sport University Cologne

The Effect of Sport Participation on Job Satisfaction: An Instrumental Variable Approach

Velda Buldas*, University of Tartu

How Economic Factors Affect Participation in Sport and Physical Activity

Christine A. Clarke*, University of the West Indies at Mona

The Impact of Public Finance on Sport in Jamaica

Sofia Paklina, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Russia, Petr Parshakov, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Russia, and Dennis Coates*, University of Maryland, Baltimore County

Does Coach Matter? Evidence from eSports

Discussants: Hyunwoong Pyun, West Virginia University Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Velda Buldas, University of Tartu Daniel C. Hickman, University of Idaho, Moscow

[238] Grand Ballroom A 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Financial Data Science Association

PREDICTABILITY IN FINANCIAL DATA SCIENCE

Organizer: Andreas Hoepner, University College Dublin, James Hodson, Josef Stefan Institute, and David McMillan, University of Stirling Chair: David McMillan, University of Stirling Papers: Anastassia Fedyk*, Harvard University

Front Page News: The Effect of News Positioning

Stanislava Milcheva*, University College London

Geographic Asset Concentration, Institutional Ownership and Stock Returns

David McMillan*, University of Stirling

Does the Stock Market Predict Macro Variables?

Discussants: from above participants

[239] Junior Ballroom A 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM National Association of Forensic Economics

NAFE SESSION V: PANEL ANALYSIS AND

REBUTTAL OF ECONOMIC DAMAGES IN

WRONGFUL DEATH CASE STUDY

Organizer: Christina P. Tapia, Northwest Economics, LLC, and University of Washington Seattle Moderator: David Tucek, Value Economics LLC Panelists: James D. Rodgers, Pennsylvania State University, University Park William H. Rogers, W.H. Rogers, LLC Thomas M. Roney, Thomas Roney, LLC

[240] Junior Ballroom C 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Middle East Economic Association

EXCHANGE RATES AND SOVEREIGN WEALTH

FUNDS

Organizer: Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School, Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California, and Rahel Schomaker, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences Chair: Rahel Schomaker, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences Papers: Rashad Ahmed*, University of Southern California

Do Exchange Rates Reflect Economic Policy Uncertainty?

Camden Ball*, University of Southern California, and Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California

How Do the Size and Institutional Characteristics of Sovereign Wealth Funds Affect Financial Market Development in Oil Exporting Countries? Evidence from 2007-2016

Leila Dagher*, American University of Beirut A New Causality Relationship Between Stock Market Returns and Oil Prices: Evidence from the GCC Countries

[241] Chartroom 6/29/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

TOURISM ECONOMICS

Chair: Vincent E. Dropsy, University of French Polynesia Papers: Harold E. Cuffe*, Victoria University of Wellington

Does Crowding by International Tourists Reduce Locals’ Enjoyment of Public Places?

Vincent E. Dropsy*, University of French Polynesia, Christian Montet, University of French Polynesia, and Bernard Poirine, University of French Polynesia

Tourism, Insularity and Remoteness: A Gravity-Based Approach

Shinya Kawahara*, Rissho University

Tourism Tax/Subsidy and the Privatization of Public Firm in a Mixed Oligopoly

Discussants: Vincent E. Dropsy, University of French Polynesia Shinya Kawahara, Rissho University Harold E. Cuffe, Victoria University of Wellington

[242] Gulf Islands B 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

ECONOMETRIC MODELING AND FINANCIAL

APPLICATIONS

Chair: Wanling Huang, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley Papers: Piyadasa Edirisuriya*, Monash University, Abeyratna Gunasekarage, Monash University, and Michael Dempsey, RMIT University

Product Diversification, Solvency and Risk: Evidence from South Asian Banking Institutions

Wanling Huang*, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley

Portfolio Selection Using Copulas: Evidence from Major Oil Stock Market

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 45 of 73

Shinn-Juh Lin*, National Chengchi University, Taiwan

Examining the Performance of Leveraged and Inverse Exchange - Traded Funds in Taiwan

Discussants: Wanling Huang, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley Shinn-Juh Lin, National Chengchi University, Taiwan Piyadasa Edirisuriya, Monash University

[243] Gulf Islands C 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

DESIGN OF EXPERIMENTS

Chair: Aric Shafran, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo Papers: Hui-Chun Peng*, National Taipei University

How the In-Group Favoritism Affects Individual Donation Decision?: A Real Donation Lab Experimental Study

Wayne A. Sandholtz*, University of California, San Diego

Policy Information Can Improve Democratic Accountability for Public Goods: Evidence from Three Linked Experiments in Liberia

Aric Shafran*, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo, Blake A. Allison, Emory University, and Jason J. Lepore, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo

Prize Scarcity and Bidding Behavior in All-Pay Contests

Discussants: Hui-Chun Peng, National Taipei University Wayne A. Sandholtz, University of California, San Diego Aric Shafran, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo

[244] Parksville 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics

PREFERENCES, FINANCIAL DECISION-MAKING,

AND DECISION ARCHITECTURE

Organizer: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Chair: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Papers: Ray Sin*, Morningstar, Ryan O. Murphy, Morningstar, Angela Fontes, University of Chicago, and Mark Lush, University of Chicago

Why People Invest and How to Nudge People Away from Overpriced Index ETF: A Population-Based Survey Experiment

Shereen Chaudhry*, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Michael S. Hand, USDA Forest Service, Howard Kunreuther, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, and Rick Larrick, Duke University

Preparing for Disaster, One Decision at a Time: The Effect of Broad Bracketing on Non-Clustered Risky Choices

Discussants: from above participants

[245] Port Alberni 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

MARKET STRUCTURE AND IMPERFECT MARKETS

Chair: Leslie J. Reinhorn, Durham University Papers: Chin-Sheng Chen*, Soochow University

Quality, Price Control and Parallel Imports

Yutian Chen*, California State University, Long Beach, and Ying-Ju Chen, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

On the National-Brand Manufacturer’s Incentive to Supply the Retailer’s Store Brand

Chun-Hui Miao*, University of South Carolina, Columbia

The Costly Quest for a Better Price - A Model of Consumer Search Beyond the Supermarket

Leslie J. Reinhorn*, Durham University

Existence of Equilibrium in an Economy with Two Distortions: Monopolistic Competition and Taxation

Discussants: Yutian Chen, California State University, Long Beach Chun-Hui Miao, University of South Carolina, Columbia Leslie J. Reinhorn, Durham University Chin-Sheng Chen, Soochow University

[246] Port McNeill 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Defense Economics Session

DEFENSE ECONOMICS: IMPROVING ACQUSITION

AND SUSTAINMENT OUTCOMES

Organizer: Thomas Light, RAND Corporation, Ellen M. Pint, RAND Corporation, and Laura H. Baldwin, RAND Corporation Chair: Thomas Light, RAND Corporation Papers: Francois Melese*, Naval Postgraduate School (affiliated but not representing NPS)

Decision Criteria for Major Defense Acquisitions: Economics vs. Decision Sciences — Is the Pentagon Using the Wrong Tool?

Wm. Brent Boning*, Center for Naval Analyses, Robert P. Trost, Center for Naval Analyses, Jim Jondrow, Center for Naval Analyses, Robert Shuford, Center for Naval Analyses, and Greggory Schell, Center for Naval Analyses

Robust Stochastic Optimizatoin: An Application to Nuclear Aircraft Carrier Rediness when Shipyard Maintenance Times are Uncertain

Ellen M. Pint*, RAND Corporation, Joslyn Fleming, RAND Corporation, Gene Germanovich, RAND Corporation, and Luke Muggy, RAND Corporation

Addressing Ballistic Glass Delamination in the Marine Corps Tactical Vehicle Fleet

Discussants: Stanley A. Horowitz, Institute for Defense Analyses David M. Tate, Institute for Defense Analyses Justin Joffrion, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Personnel and Readiness

[247] Gulf Islands A 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

HOUSEHOLD BEHAVIOR DURING

MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS

Chair: Mubashir Qasim, University of Waikato Papers: Mubashir Qasim*, University of Waikato, Les Oxley, University of Waikato, and Eoin McLaughlin, University of St Andrews

Testing Genuine Savings as a Long-Run Sustainability and Well-Being Indicator for New Zealand

Chengyu Yang*, Beijing Normal University, and Yaowu Yang, Beijing Normal University

How Do Financial and Housing Wealth Affect Consumption and Consumption Inequality? Evidence from China

Weiqiu Yu*, University of New Brunswick, and Xuan Cui, University of New Brunswick

The Impact of Age Structure on Consumption in Canada

Discussants: Mubashir Qasim, University of Waikato Chengyu Yang, Beijing Normal University Weiqiu Yu, University of New Brunswick Hyun Lee, University of Connecticut

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 46 of 73

[248] Orca 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

MONETARY POLICY, INTEREST RATES, AND

FINANCIAL MARKETS

Chair: Mari Robertson, University of Cincinnati Papers: Alexander C. Jung*, European Central Bank, and Harald Uhlig, University of Chicago

Monetary Policy News Shocks and the Soundness of the European Banking System

Mari Robertson*, University of Cincinnati, and Shawn C-Y Leu, University of New England

The Unintended Consequences of Monetary Policy Normalization on Mortgage Credit Volumes

Amelia L. Ruzzo*, University of Wisconsin – Whitewater

The Price Puzzle Relationship with Gold Forward Rates

Discussants: Mari Robertson, University of Cincinnati Amelia L. Ruzzo, University of Wisconsin – Whitewater Alexander C. Jung, European Central Bank

[249] Port Hardy 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

Chair: Matias Fontenla, University of New Mexico Papers: Jose Bucheli, University of New Mexico, and Matias Fontenla*, University of New Mexico

Return Migration and Development Amrita Dhar*, University of Mary Washington, and Christoper Biolsi, Western Kentucky University

Social Openness and International Capital Flows

Yongkul Won*, University of Seoul, and Gil Seong Kang, Ministry of Strategy and Finance, South Korea

Eurasian Economic Integration and Regional Connectivity

Discussants: Amrita Dhar, University of Mary Washington Yongkul Won, University of Seoul Matias Fontenla, University of New Mexico

[250] Gulf Islands D 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

OPEN-ECONOMY MACROECONOMIC ISSUES

Chair: Yung-Hsiang Ying, National Taiwan Normal University Papers: Serdar Kabaca*, Bank of Canada

Labor Share Fluctuations in Emerging Markets: The Role of the Cost of Borrowing

Yanze Li*, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics

Testing for Endogenous Growth from Product Varieties in China and the United States

Jair Ojeda-Joya*, Central Bank of Colombia, and Jose A. Ocampo, Central Bank of Colombia

Supply Shocks, Policy Responses and Graduation

Yung-Hsiang Ying*, National Taiwan Normal University, and Koyin Chang, Ming Chuan University

The Stylized Facts and Sources of Total Factor Productivity in East and Southeast Asia Economies

Discussants: Yanze Li, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics Jair Ojeda-Joya, Central Bank of Colombia Yung-Hsiang Ying, National Taiwan Normal University Serdar Kabaca, Bank of Canada

[251] Junior Ballroom D 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

FIRM VALUE AND FINANCING

Chair: Andrew C. Spieler, Hofstra University Papers: Hamza Ajmal*, University of Waikato

The Impact of Economic Size, Growth and Institutional Quality on IPOs Mispricing

Mihye Lee*, Kangwon National University

A Study on the Determinants of Bank Lending using Korean Firm-Level Data

Andrew C. Spieler*, Hofstra University

Information Asymmetry Around REIT Equity Offerings

Discussants: Mihye Lee, Kangwon National University Andrew C. Spieler, Hofstra University Hamza Ajmal, University of Waikato

[252] Pavilion Ballroom D 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Individually Organized Session

ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR AND SOCIAL INSTITUTIONS

Organizer: Nicolas Duquette, University of Southern California Chair: Nicolas Duquette, University of Southern California Papers: Jason Sandvik*, University of Utah, Richard Saouma, Michigan State University, and Nathan Seegert, University of Utah

Knowledge Transfers Among Employees: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Abigail Payne*, University of Melbourne, Kim Scharf, University of Birmingham, and Sarah Smith, University of Bristol

Mass Event Fundraising Behavior

Nicolas Duquette*, University of Southern California

Asset Markets and Wealth Shocks to Charitable Giving

[253] Grand Ballroom C 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

USE OF ALCOHOL, DRUGS, AND CIGARETTES

Chair: Barry Watson, University of New Brunswick Papers: Christopher A. Ambrose*, Washington State University Pullman, Benjamin W. Cowan, Washington State University Pullman, and Robert Rosenman, Washington State University Pullman

The Legalization of Recreational Cannabis and Adult Use

Ben Brewer*, University of Hartford, and Jennifer Trudeau, Sacred Heart University

The Impact of Ridesharing Apps on Personal Alcohol Consumption

Yoon Jae Ro*, University of California, Riverside

The Early Exposure to Drinking Culture and Impact on Educational Attainment

Barry Watson*, University of New Brunswick, Angela Daley, University of Maine, Lars Osberg, Dalhousie University, and Nicholas Rohde, Griffith University

Blown Off-Course? Unhealthy Vices of the Economically Insecure During the Great Recession

Discussants: Ben Brewer, University of Hartford Yoon Jae Ro, University of California, Riverside Barry Watson, University of New Brunswick Christopher A. Ambrose, Washington State University Pullman

[254] Beluga 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

ISSUES IN TRADE AND GROWTH

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 47 of 73

Chair: Andrew Ojede, Texas State University Papers: Andrew Ojede*, Texas State University

Income Inequality and Economic Growth at the U.S. State Level: A Dynamic Spatial Panel Regression Approach

Fei Guo*, City University of Hong Kong, Eric Evans Osei Opoku, City University of Hong Kong, and Kit Ming Isabel Yan, City University of Hong Kong

The Impact of Heterogeneous Sectoral FDI Spillover on Real Exchange Rates

Jack W. Hou*, California State University, Long Beach, and Xiaosong Wang, Renmin University of China

ITC Anti-dumping Case Rulings: Is China Being Unfairly Targeted?

Discussants: Fei Guo, City University of Hong Kong Jean Blaise Nlemfu, University of Quebec, Montreal Andrew Ojede, Texas State University

[255] Grand Ballroom B 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

GENDER, IMMIGRATION, AND LABOR MARKET

Chair: Gibson Nene, University of Minnesota Duluth Papers: Jeff Chan*, Wilfrid Laurier University

The Effect of Immigration on Local Public Finances

Gibson Nene*, University of Minnesota Duluth, and Melaku T. Abegaz, University of Minnesota Duluth

Gender Wage Gap and Productivity Differentials in the Ethiopian Manufacturing Sector

Tung Le*, University of Chicago

Immigrants, Language Barrier, and the Assimilation Processes

Discussants: Gibson Nene, University of Minnesota Duluth Tung Le, University of Chicago Jeff Chan, Wilfrid Laurier University

[256] Grand Ballroom D 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Individually Organized Session

LABOR ECONOMICS

Organizer: Amanda Gaulke, Kansas State University Chair: Amanda Gaulke, Kansas State University Papers: Maria Zhu*, Duke University

The Role of Social Networks on Labor Market Outcomes

Amanda Gaulke*, Kansas State University, Hugh Cassidy, Kansas State University, and Sheryll Namingit, Rollins College

The Effect of Post-Baccalaureate Certificates on Job Search: Results from a Correspondence Study

Katya Jardrim, University of Washington Seattle, Mark C. Long, University of Washington Seattle, Robert Plotnick, University of Washington Seattle, Emma van Inwegen, University of Washington Seattle, Jacob L. Vigdor, University of Washington Seattle, and Hilary Wething*, University of Washington Seattle

Job Creation, Job Destruction, and the Minimum Wage: A Longitudinal Analysis of Work

Hugh Cassidy*, Kansas State University, and Tennecia Dacass, Kansas State University

Occupational Licensing and Immigrants

Discussants: Tyler M. Ransom, University of Oklahoma Hilary Wething, University of Washington Seattle Hugh Cassidy, Kansas State University

[257] Junior Ballroom A 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

IMMIGRATION AND LABOR MARKET

Chair: Deborah T. Rho, University of St. Thomas

Papers: Annie Laurie Hines*, University of California, Davis, and Giovanni Peri, University of California, Davis

Do Apprehensions of Undocumented Create Job-Opportunities for U.S. Workers? Evidence from U.S. Districts, 2000-2015

Andrew Padovani*, University of California, Davis

Immigrants and the Great Divergence

Deborah T. Rho*, University of St. Thomas, and Marina Gorsuch, St. Catherine University

Customer Prejudice and Salience: The Effect of the 2016 Election on Employment Discrimination

Iain G. Snoddy*, University of British Columbia

Job Search and Immigrant Enclaves

Discussants: Andrew Padovani, University of California, Davis Deborah T. Rho, University of St. Thomas Iain G. Snoddy, University of British Columbia Annie Laurie Hines, University of California, Davis

[258] Finback 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

NURSING HOMES IN USA: A REVIEW

Organizer: Mustafa Z. Younis, Jackson State University Chair: Mustafa Z. Younis, Jackson State University Papers: Mustafa Z. Younis*, Jackson State University

Regional Variations and Characteristics of Nursing Homes in USA

Mustafa Z. Younis*, Jackson State University, and Joyce Buckner-Brown, Jackson State University

Examinations of Nursing Homes Characteristic in Mississippi Mustafa Z. Younis*, Jackson State University, Tony Sinay, California State University, Long Beach, Adnan Kisa, University of Oslo, Henry O’Lawrence, California State University, Long Beach, and Michael Hartmann, Friedrich Schiller University of Jena

Measuring the Quality of Nursing Homes in California

Discussants: Kristina Lin, University of Hawaii, West Oahu Ali Alobadi, Consultant

[260] Pavilion Ballroom C 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

TOPICS IN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

Chair: Daishoku Kanehara, Kyoto University Papers: Wenbiao Cai*, University of Winnipeg

We See Thee Rise: Quantifying Farm Size Expansion in Canada

T M Tonmoy Islam*, Elon University, and Brandon Sheridan, Elon University

National Disasters Intensity, Foreign Aid, and its Impact on Economic Growth

Jeyapraba Suresh*, Eastern University

Impact of Remittances on Household Poverty in Sri Lanka

Daishoku Kanehara*, Kyoto University

A Simple Method to Incorporate Heterogeneous R&D Quality in Romer’s R&D Based Growth Model

Discussants: T M Tonmoy Islam, Elon University Jeyapraba Suresh, Eastern University Daishoku Kanehara, Kyoto University Wenbiao Cai, University of Winnipeg

[261] Junior Ballroom B 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM North American Association of Sports Economists

DISCRIMINATION AND REFEREE BIAS IN SPORTS

Organizer: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 48 of 73

Chair: Michael A. Leeds, Temple University Papers: Candon Johnson*, West Virginia University

Wage Discrimination in the NBA Revisited

Peter von Allmen, Skidmore College, and Michael A. Leeds*, Temple University

Discrimination Based on National or Provincial Origin in the National Hockey League

James Reade, University of Reading, and Juan de Dios Tena Horrillo*, University of Liverpool, and University of Sassari

Social Pressure or Rational Reactions to Incentives? A Historical Analysis of Reasons for Referee Bias in Spanish Football

Christian Deutscher*, Bielefeld University, Hendrik Scholten, Bielefeld University, and Sandra Schneemann, Bielefeld University

The Impact of Age on In-Group Bias

Discussants: Joseph S. Kuehn, California State University, East Bay Robert W. Baumann, College of the Holy Cross Aju J. Fenn, Colorado College Juan de Dios Tena Horrillo, University of Liverpool, and University of Sassari

[262] Grand Ballroom A 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Financial Data Science Association

FROM ECONOMETRICS TO MACHINE LEARNING

Organizer: Andreas Hoepner, University College Dublin, and James Hodson, Josef Stefan Institute Chair: Chardin Wese Simen, University of Reading Papers: Chardin Wese Simen*, University of Reading

The Information Content of Short-Term Options

Conall O’Sullivan*, University College Dublin

Option Implied Tail Risk

Hardik Patel*, Qplum

What Makes Machine Learning for Financial Markets So Hard

Discussants: from above participants

[263] Junior Ballroom C 6/29/2018 12:30 PM–2:15 PM Middle East Economic Association

SOCIOECONOMIC OUTCOMES, REFORMS, AND

POLITICAL ECONOMY

Organizer: Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School, Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California, and Rahel Schomaker, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences Chair: Hassan Y. Aly, Ohio State University Papers: Cheyenne Blackford, San Diego State University, and Hisham S. Foad*, San Diego State University

Comparing the Socioeconomic Outcomes of Generations 2.0 and 2.5 Immigrants

Samer S. Kherfi*, American University of Sharjah

Effects of Perceptions on Outcomes: The Case of UAE Youth

Omar Al aboud*, Jazan University

At Which Threshold Does Governance Influence Economic Growth in the MENA Countries?

Moundir Lassassi*, CREAD-Algerie

Inequality of Opportunity in Early Childhood Development in Algeria over Time

Rahel Schomaker*, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences, and Michael W. Bauer, German University of Administrative Sciences Speyer

Arab Bureaucracy: Status Quo and Reform Trends — Evidence from New Survey Data in the Middle East and North Africa

Discussants: from above participants

[264] Gulf Islands A 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT

Chair: Roger Conover, Azusa Pacific University Papers: Bernard Poirine*, University of French Polynesia, and Vincent E. Dropsy, University of French Polynesia

Institutions, Culture and the Tropical Development Gap: The Agro-Climatic Origins of Social Norms about Thrift and Sharing

Roger Conover*, Azusa Pacific University

Scarcity Examined: A Typology for Understanding Different Scarcities

Peter S. Ho*, University of Denver

Increasing Returns and Production Economies: Rethinking Marshall in Connection with Smith and Young

Frank M. Machovec*, Wofford College

An Economist’s Deconstruction of the Philosophy of Martin Heidegger: The Likely Inspirational Source of the “Smashing Impulse” Feared by Friedrich Hayek

Discussants: Roger Conover, Azusa Pacific University Peter S. Ho, University of Denver Frank M. Machovec, Wofford College Bernard Poirine, University of French Polynesia

[265] Gulf Islands D 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

STUDENT SUCCESS IN ECONOMICS

Chair: Lewis R. Gale IV, University of the Pacific Papers: Tim J. Rogmans, Zayed University, Christina Zenker, Zayed University, and Shereef Ellaboudy*, Zayed University

The Impact of a Macroeconomics Simulation Game on Student Engagement and Performance

Keiko Yoshida*, Momoyama Gakuin University

Does Instructor Appearance Affect Student Learning and Perceptions?

Lewis R. Gale IV*, University of the Pacific, and Clifford Nowell, Weber State University

Motivation, Ethnicity, and Academic Performance: A Comparison of U.S. and Chinese University Students

Li Dan Shang*, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan, Eric S. Lin, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan, IZA, and National Taiwan University, and Robert K. Toutkoushian, University of Georgia, Athens

Does Instructors’ Grading Policy Affect Student Evaluation of Teaching? Evidence from National Tsing Hua University

Discussants: Keiko Yoshida, Momoyama Gakuin University Lewis R. Gale IV, University of the Pacific Li Dan Shang, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan Shereef Ellaboudy, Zayed University

[266] Finback 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS AND MICROECONOMIC

TOPICS

Chair: Melissa Trussell, College of Coastal Georgia Papers: Steven B. Albert*, Monterey Peninsula College

The Economics of Cognitive Dissonance and Changing Someone’s Opinion

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 49 of 73

Elena Capatina*, University of New South Wales, Michael Keane, University of New South Wales, and Shiko Maruyama, University of Technology Sydney

Health Shocks and the Evolution of Consumption and Income over the Life-Cycle

Melissa Trussell*, College of Coastal Georgia

The Cyclical Relationship of Peace and Trust Chi Man Yip*, University of Calgary, and Ying Tung Chan, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics

Search Relativity

Discussants: Elena Capatina, University of New South Wales Melissa Trussell, College of Coastal Georgia Chi Man Yip, University of Calgary Steven B. Albert, Monterey Peninsula College

[267] Port Alberni 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Defense Economics Session

DEFENSE ECONOMICS: SPECIAL FORCES, CONUS

COLA, AND CERP

Organizer: Jerry Pannullo, Office of the Secretary of Defense Chair: William R. Gates, Naval Postgraduate School Papers: Mark Zais*, U.S. Special Operations Command

Modeling SOF Resources with Optimization and Metaheuristics

Justin Joffrion*, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Personnel and Readiness, and Michael J. Kuzara, Office of the Secretary of Defense

Reviewing the CONUS COLA Calculation Methodology

Daniel Egel*, RAND Corporation, and Garrett Summers, Office of the Secretary of Defense

Commanders Emergency Response Program (CERP) Discussants: Edward G. Keating, Congressional Budget Office Mark Zais, U.S. Special Operations Command Michael S. Kofoed, United States Military Academy

[268] Port McNeill 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Defense Economics Session

DEFENSE ECONOMICS: TOPICS IN MILITARY

HEALTHCARE

Organizer: Sarah Burns, Institute for Defense Analyses Chair: Chris Meyer, Center for Naval Analyses Papers: Chris Meyer*, Center for Naval Analyses

Measuring the Health of Sailors and Marines: Descriptive Analysis and Recommendations for Improvement

Lauren Malone*, Center for Naval Analyses

Attracting Physicians to the U.S. Army Reserve Medical Corps: Approach and Preliminary Findings

James Bishop*, Institute for Defense Analyses

Medical Total Force Management: Readiness and Cost Discussants: Alan Gelder, Institute for Defense Analyses James Bishop, Institute for Defense Analyses Chris Meyer, Center for Naval Analyses

[270] Port Hardy 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL FLOWS

Chair: John D. Burger, Loyola University Maryland Papers: John D. Burger*, Loyola University Maryland, Frank E. Warnock, University of Virginia, and Veronica Cacdac Warnock, University of Virginia

Benchmarking Capital Flows

Nathan Converse*, Federal Reserve Board of Governors, Eduardo Levy-Yeyati, Universidad Torcuato di Tella, and Tomas Williams, George Washington University

How ETFs Amplify the Global Financial Cycle in Emerging Markets

Anh TN Nguyen*, University of Otago

A Global Analysis of Factors Impacting the Intensive and Extensive Margins of Bilateral FDI

Lei Yang*, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Arijit Mukherjee, CESifo, City University of Hong Kong, and University of Nottingham, United Kingdom, and Sugata Marjit, Centre for Studies in Social Sciences

Strategic Foreign Direct Investment when Local Firms Face Credit Constraints

Discussants: Nathan Converse, Federal Reserve Board of Governors Anh TN Nguyen, University of Otago Lei Yang, Hong Kong Polytechnic University John D. Burger, Loyola University Maryland

[271] Junior Ballroom D 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

FINANCIAL MARKET PARTICIPATION

Chair: Ke Xu, University of Victoria Papers: Susanne Trimbath*, Cochise College, and Muath Asmar, An-Najah National University

The Effects of Regulatory Reform on Trade Settlement Failures in U.S. Equity Markets

Ke Xu*, University of Victoria

Who Makes the Market During Stressed Periods? HFTs vs. Dealers

Bahram Adrangi*, University of Portland, Arjun Chatrath, University of Portland, Joseph Macri, Macquarie University, and Kambiz Raffiee, University of Nevada, Reno

U.S. Diesel Fuel Price Responses to the Global Crude Oil Supply and Demand

Yi-Chen Wu*, Soochow University, Dong-Hyeon Kim, Korea University, and Shu-Chin Lin, Tamkang University

Finance and Carbon Dioxide Emissions

Discussants: Ke Xu, University of Victoria Bahram Adrangi, University of Portland Yi-Chen Wu, Soochow University Susanne Trimbath, Cochise College

[272] Orca 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Individually Organized Session

WELFARE EFFECTS OF POLICIES, PROGRAMS,

AND DOWNTURNS

Organizer: Brady P. Horn, University of New Mexico Chair: Brady P. Horn, University of New Mexico Papers: Aakrit Joshi*, University of New Mexico, and Brady P. Horn, University of New Mexico

The Impact of New Stadiums and New Teams on Residential Property Values: Evidence from the Construction of Yankee Stadium II and the Entry of New York City FC

Timothy J. Classen*, Loyola University Chicago

Surviving the Great Recession: Suicides During an Economic Downturn

Yanghao Wang*, University of Minnesota Twin Cities, and Metin Cakir, University of Minnesota Twin Cities

The Welfare Impacts of Reforming Teff Trade in Ethiopia

Jacob Miller*, Southern Utah University

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 50 of 73

Fentanyl Pricing on the Darknet: Trends and the Effects of Regulatory and Law Enforcement Actions on Darknet Markets

Discussants: Aakrit Joshi, University of New Mexico Timothy J. Classen, Loyola University Chicago Yanghao Wang, University of Minnesota Twin Cities Jacob Miller, Southern Utah University

[273] Grand Ballroom C 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

PARENTAL IMPACT ON CHILDREN’S HEALTH

Chair: Tim A. Bersak, Wofford College Papers: Tim A. Bersak*, Wofford College, and Lyudmyla Sonchak, State University of New York at Oswego

Impacts of Prenatal Care on Infant and Early Childhood Health: A Panel Data Approach

Brandy Lipton*, San Diego State University

Can Reducing Disparities in Parental Health Behaviors Reduce Disparities Among Children? Evidence from Dental Visits

Rakesh Banerjee*, Rice University, and Farhan Majid, Rice University

Parental Investments in Response to Early Life Health

Dajung Jun*, Michigan State University

The Effect of the Dependent Coverage Provision on Working Fathers

Discussants: Brandy Lipton, San Diego State University Rakesh Banerjee, Rice University Dajung Jun, Michigan State University Tim A. Bersak, Wofford College

[274] Grand Ballroom D 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Individually Organized Session

ECONOMICS OF HIGHER EDUCATION

Organizer: Amanda Gaulke, Kansas State University Chair: Amanda Gaulke, Kansas State University Papers: Jared Ashworth*, Pepperdine University, and Michael A. Olabisi, Michigan State University

Distance and Mismatch in Graduate School Selection Amanda Gaulke*, Kansas State University, and Christopher Reynolds, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency

Dynamics of Student Loan Repayment Discussants: Marie C. Hull, University of North Carolina, Greensboro Andrew J. Hill, Montana State University Bozeman Ying Shi, Stanford University

[275] Grand Ballroom B 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

TECHNOLOGY, SKILLS, AND JOBS

Chair: Robert D. Mohr, University of New Hampshire Papers: Seth Murray*, University of Maryland, College Park

Retirements, Vacancy Chains, and the Slowdown in Worker Reallocation

W. David Bradford*, University of Georgia, Athens, and Meriem Hodge Doucette, California State University, Fullerton

Motivations for Participating in the Gig Economy and Traditional Moonlighting

Rowena Gray*, University of California, Merced, Paul Gaggl, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, and Duke University, and Ioana Marinescu, University of Pennsylvania

Technological Revolutions and Occupational Change: Electrifying News from the Old Days

Robert D. Mohr*, University of New Hampshire, and Cindy E. Cunningham, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Using Tools to Distinguish General and Occupation-Specific Skills

Discussants: W. David Bradford, University of Georgia, Athens Rowena Gray, University of California, Merced Robert D. Mohr, University of New Hampshire Seth Murray, University of Maryland, College Park

[276] Pavilion Ballroom D 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Individually Organized Session

POLITICAL ECONOMY AND ECONOMIC HISTORY

Organizer: Nicolas Duquette, University of Southern California Chair: Nicolas Duquette, University of Southern California Papers: Enda Hargaden*, University of Tennessee, Knoxville

Representation of the People: Franchise Extension and the “Sinn Fein Election” in Ireland, 1918

Rob Gillezeau*, University of Victoria, and Injamam Alam, University of Victoria

All We Are is Votes in the Wind: The Dust Bowl and American Elections

Nicolas Duquette*, University of Southern California, and Mirae Kim, Georgia State University

Beethoven, Baumol and Bloat: The Establishment and Effects of the National Endowment for the Arts, 1965-1974

[278] Parksville 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics

CLIMATE, THE ENVIRONMENT, AND

GENERATIONAL COHORTS

Organizer: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Chair: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Papers: Gareth P. Green*, Seattle University

Environmental Discount Rates

Julia Puaschunder*, The New School Climate Policies with Burden Sharing: The Economics of Climate Financing

Sabina Lissitsa*, Ariel University, and Kol Ofrit, Ariel University

Generation Cohort or Personality? The Association between Big Fives Personality Traits and Online Shopping Behavior among Four Generation Cohorts

Discussants: from above participants

[279] Gulf Islands B 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

PRODUCTIVITY SPILLOVER AND LABOR MARKETS

Chair: Mark E. Schweitzer, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Papers: Joe Lee*, Milken Institute, and Minoli Ratnatunga, Milken Institute

University Spillover Effects on Metro Level High-Tech Employment

Mark E. Schweitzer*, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Manufacturing Employment Losses and the Economic Performance of the Industrial Heartland

Paul R. Kutasovic*, New York Institute of Technology

Engines of Job Growth in the NY Metro Economy: Small, Large, or New Firms?

Eduardo Saucedo*, Tecnologico de Monterrey, and Teofilo Ozuna Jr., Tecnologico de Monterrey

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 51 of 73

The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Skilled and Low Skilled Employment in Mexico

Discussants: Mark E. Schweitzer, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Paul R. Kutasovic, New York Institute of Technology Eduardo Saucedo, Tecnologico de Monterrey Joe Lee, Milken Institute

[280] Gulf Islands C 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

ECONOMICS OF THE ARTS AND RELIGION

Chair: Fabio Mariani, Universite Catholique de Louvain Papers: Fabio Mariani*, Universite Catholique de Louvain, David de la Croix, Universite Catholique de Louvain, and Marion Mercier, Universite Catholique de Louvain

Human Capital and Secularization: Civil vs. Religious Marriages in Italy

Prosper Raynold*, Miami University, Ohio

An Economic Theory of Violent Religious Extremism

Johannes W. Fedderke*, Pennsylvania State University, University Park

Art in Africa: Market Structure and Pricing Behavior in the South African Fine Art Auction Market, 2009 - 2013

Carol M. Boyer*, Long Island University, and James Ang, Florida State University

Corporate Acquisitions of Fine Art: Valuation, Investment and Agency Issues

Discussants: Prosper Raynold, Miami University, Ohio Johannes W. Fedderke, Pennsylvania State University, University Park Carol M. Boyer, Long Island University Fabio Mariani, Universite Catholique de Louvain

[281] Junior Ballroom B 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM North American Association of Sports Economists

IMPACT OF SPORT POLICY AND SPORT INDUSTRY

Organizer: Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Chair: Christine A. Clarke, University of the West Indies at Mona Papers: Christine A. Clarke*, University of the West Indies at Mona

Sport Policy: Has it Mattered to Developing Countries: A Case Study of Jamaica

Huei Wen Lin*, Aletheia University

Does the Sport Industry Matter? An Industrial Linkage Analysis from Taiwan

Huei-Fu Lu*, Aletheia University

Estimating the Total Production Values and Multipliers Effects of Taiwan’s Sports Industry

Cornel Nesseler*, University of Zurich, and University of Amsterdam, and Petr Parshakov, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Russia

Employment and Participation after the Crimea Crisis: Evidence from Sports Data

Discussants: Soren Dallmeyer, German Sport University Cologne Cornel Nesseler, University of Zurich, and University of Amsterdam Christine A. Clarke, University of the West Indies at Mona Nola Agha, University of San Francisco

[282] Junior Ballroom A 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM National Association of Forensic Economics

NAFE SESSION VI: WORKLIFE EXPECTANCY

Organizer: Christina P. Tapia, Northwest Economics, LLC, and University of Washington Seattle Chair: to be announced Papers: Matthew J. Cushing*, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, and David I. Rosenbaum, University of Nebraska, Lincoln

Higher-order Markov Estimates of Worklife

Matthew J. Cushing*, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, and David I. Rosenbaum, University of Nebraska, Lincoln

A Cohort Approach to Worklife Estimation

Scott Gilbert*, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale

Worklife Norms, Risks, and Duration

Discussants: Stephen J. Spurr, Wayne State University Gary R. Skoog, Legal Econometrics, Inc. Robert W. Baumann, College of the Holy Cross

[283] Grand Ballroom A 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Financial Data Science Association

FINTECH AND DEEP LEARNING

Organizer: Andreas Hoepner, University College Dublin, and James Hodson, Josef Stefan Institute Chair: James Hodson, Josef Stefan Institute Papers: Mark A. Chen*, Georgia State University

How Valuable is FinTech Innovation?

David Edelman*, University College Dublin

Linear Deep Learning in Finance

James Hodson*, Josef Stefan Institute

Trading on Talent: Human Capital and Firm Performance

Discussants: from above participants

[284] Junior Ballroom C 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Middle East Economic Association

EXPORTS AND CURRENT ACCOUNT: EMPIRICAL

AND EXPERIMENTAL ANALYSES

Organizer: Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School, Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California, and Rahel Schomaker, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences Chair: Wassim Shahin, Lebanese American University Papers: Matthew Kidder*, University of International Business and Economics, China

A Quasi Experiment on Learning by Exporting without the Quasi Heterogeneity

Farzana Alamgir*, North South University, and Sakib Amin, North South University

Nexus between Oil Price and Stock Market: Evidence from South Asia

Shaif Jarallah*, Qatar University

The Impact of Nominal Effective Exchange Rate on Trade Balance in GCC Countries: A Panel Cointegration Approach

Zulal Denaux*, Valdosta State University, Esra Hasdemir, Turk Hava Kurumu University, and Tolga Omay, Atilim University

Testing the Current Account Sustainability of BRICS Countries: Evidence from Nonlinear Panel Framework

Discussants: from above participants

[285] Pavilion Ballroom C 6/29/2018 2:30 PM–4:15 PM Association for the Advancement of African Women Economists

GENDER AND DEVELOPMENT IN AFRICA

Organizer: Elizabeth Asiedu, University of Kansas Chair: Tatenda Zinyemba, United Nations University -- MERIT

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 52 of 73

Papers: Elizabeth Asiedu*, University of Kansas, Neepa Gaekwad, State University of New York at Fredonia, Malokele Nanivazo, University of Kansas, Mwanza Nkusu, International Monetary Fund, and Yi Jin, Monash University

On the Impact of Income per Capita on Health Outcomes: Is Africa Different?

Setou Diarra*, University of Ottawa, Roland Pongou, University of Ottawa, and Harvard University, and Sanni Yaya, University of Ottawa

XY vs XX Chromosomes, In Utero Exposure to HIV, and Early-age Human Capital

Tatenda Zinyemba*, United Nations University -- MERIT, Wim Groot, Maastricht University, Eleonora Nillesen, United Nations University -- MERIT, and Milena Pavlova, Maastricht University

Effects of HIV on Gender-Differences in Children’s Schooling in Sub-Saharan Africa

Gbadebo Odularu*, Marymount University

The Political Economy of Financial Inclusiveness and Gender Inequality in Selected Sub Saharan African Countries

Tigist Mekonnen*, World Bank, and Yesuf Awal, Economic Consultant

Land Tenure, Gender and Productivity in East Africa

Discussants: from above participants

Pavilion Ballroom A 6/29/2018 4:15 PM–4:30 PM

REFRESHMENT BREAK

[286] Junior Ballroom A 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

ECONOMETRIC METHODS AND SINGLE EQUATION

MODELS

Chair: David W. Mushinski, Colorado State University, Fort Collins Papers: Ding En Huang*, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan, Li Dan Shang, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan, and Eric S. Lin, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan, IZA, and National Taiwan University

A Refinement on Binary Response Decomposition

Gareth P. Green*, Seattle University, and Matthew Jennings, Seattle University

Inference from Machine Learning Models

David W. Mushinski*, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Sammy Zahran, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, and Aanston Frazier, Colorado State University, Fort Collins

The Impact of Tort Reform on the Incidence of Cesarean Sections: Investigating the Diverse Empirical

Hyeonjun Hwang*, Washington State University Pullman, and Myoung-Jae Lee, Korea University

A Simple Makeover Can Increase Bus Ridership

Discussants: Gareth P. Green, Seattle University David W. Mushinski, Colorado State University, Fort Collins Hyeonjun Hwang, Washington State University Pullman Ding En Huang, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan

[287] Finback 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

APPLIED MICRO II

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Wei Sun, Renmin University of China Papers: Suresh Kanesh*, Queensland University of Technology, Uttam Khanal, Queensland University of

Technology, Clevo I. Wilson, Queensland University of Technology, and Samithamby Santhirakumar, Open University of Sri Lanka

An Economic Analysis of Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change Impacts in Sri Lanka: An Endogenous Switching Regression Analysis

Jean-Paul K. Tsasa Vangu*, University of Quebec, Montreal Examinations of Nursing Homes Characteristic in Mississippi

Wei Sun*, Renmin University of China, Jia Junxue, Renmin University of China, and Xuewen Long, Renmin University of China

The Impact of Population Policies on Growth and Inequality

Christian R.C Kouakou*, University of Sherbrooke

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of an Obesity Management Program in a Family Medicine Clinic in Quebec

Discussants: Jean-Paul K. Tsasa Vangu, University of Quebec, Montreal Christian R.C Kouakou, University of Sherbrooke Suresh Kanesh, Queensland University of Technology Wei Sun, Renmin University of China

[288] Parksville 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics

BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS: MOVING FORWARD

(THIS IS AN OPPORTUNITY TO LEARN ABOUT

THIS NEW TEXTBOOK)

Organizer: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Chair: John Ifcher, Santa Clara University Papers: Beryl Y. Chang*, Columbia University

Book Session

[289] Port Alberni 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

INCOME INEQUALITY AND DISTRIBUTION

Chair: Joseph Marchand, University of Alberta Papers: Hope A. Anyabolu*, Eastern Mediterranean University, and Glenn P. Jenkins, Eastern Mediterranean University

The Determinants of Human Capital Formation in Nigeria

Joseph Marchand*, University of Alberta

The College Spike in Poverty

Craig A. Medlen*, Menlo College

Piketty Paradox, Capital Spillage and Inequality

Lucas Hafemann*, University of Giessen, Joerg Schmidt, Justus Liebig Universitat Giessen, and Paul Rudel, University of Giessen

Moving Closer or Drifting Apart: Distributional Effects of Monetary Policy

Discussants: Joseph Marchand, University of Alberta Craig A. Medlen, Menlo College Lucas Hafemann, University of Giessen Hope A. Anyabolu, Eastern Mediterranean University

[290] Junior Ballroom B 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

COLLECTIVE DECISION MAKING AND SOCIAL

CHOICE

Chair: Ethan Spangler, J.P. Morgan Chase Bank Papers: Ryne A. Rohla*, Washington State University Pullman, and M. Keith Chen, University of California, Los Angeles

The Partisan Tithe: Revealed Preferences for Political Homogeneity in Church Selection

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 53 of 73

Samuel K. Allen*, Virginia Military Institute, and Bing Jiang, Virginia Military Institute

Patterns of Generosity and Leadership: Evidence from Military Undergraduates

Xiaofan Li*, University of Texas at Austin, and Andrew B. Whinston, University of Texas at Austin

Identification and Estimation of Heterogeneous Peer Effects on Social Networking Platforms

Ethan Spangler*, J.P. Morgan Chase Bank, and Ben O. Smith, University of Nebraska, Omaha

Let Them Tweet Cake: Estimating Public Dissent and Political Stability Using Twitter

Discussants: Samuel K. Allen, Virginia Military Institute Xiaofan Li, University of Texas at Austin Ethan Spangler, J.P. Morgan Chase Bank Ryne A. Rohla, Washington State University Pullman

[291] Port McNeill 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Defense Economics Session

DEFENSE ECONOMICS: ACQUISITION SCHEDULES

Organizer: Raymond E. Franck Jr., Naval Postgraduate School Chair: Raymond E. Franck Jr., Naval Postgraduate School Papers: Bernard Udis, University of Colorado Boulder, and Raymond E. Franck Jr.*, Naval Postgraduate School

Factors in F-35 Development Schedule

Gregory G. Hildebrandt*, Independent Consultant Cost and Schedule Analysis of Advanced Tactical Fighter Selected Acquisition Report Data

Thomas Light*, RAND Corporation, Robert S. Leonard, RAND Corporation, Meagan Smith, RAND Corporation, Akilah Wallace, RAND Corporation, and Mark V. Arena, RAND Corporation

Benchmarking Schedules for Major Defense Acquisition Programs

Michael R. Guggisberg*, Institute for Defense Analyses, David M. Tate, Institute for Defense Analyses, and Tom Coonce, Institute for Defense Analyses

Estimating and Forecasting Growth of DoD Acquisition Programs

Discussants: Thomas Light, RAND Corporation Gregory G. Hildebrandt, Independent Consultant Raymond E. Franck Jr., Naval Postgraduate School

[292] Port Hardy 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

FACTORS AFFECTING INTERNATIONAL TRADE

AND COMPOSITION

Chair: Arnab Nayak, Mercer University Papers: Arnab Nayak*, Mercer University, and Tannista Banerjee, Auburn University

Explaining Price and Quantity Variations of U.S. Imports from Rich and Poor Countries using a Helpman-Krugman Model with Non-Homothetic

Dominique Brabant*, Boston College

The Effect of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on International Trade: The Role of Financial Frictions

Juan-Felipe Mejia*, Universidad EAFIT, Hermilson Velasquez, Universidad EAFIT, and Victor Zapata, Bielefeld University

Understanding Import Diversification: An Empirical Analysis

Rui Zhang*, Peking University

Beyond Iceberg: Endogenous Quality Choice, Shipping Costs, and Export Prices

Discussants: Dominique Brabant, Boston College

Juan-Felipe Mejia, Universidad EAFIT Rui Zhang, Peking University Arnab Nayak, Mercer University

[293] Beluga 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

ECONOMICS OF CHINA: EXCHANGE RATE AND

TRADE

Organizer: Jack W. Hou, California State University, Long Beach Chair: Lein Lein Chen, University of Nevada, Las Vegas Papers: Julan Du*, Chinese University of Hong Kong, and Yifei Zhang, Chinese University of Hong Kong

China’s 8/11 Exchange Rate Reform: A Crisis of Misinterpretation and Reverse Spillover

Min Ye*, Hunan University

Institutional Ownership and Foreign Exchange Exposure in Chinese Listed Firms

Svatopluk Kapounek*, Mendel University in Brno, and Zuzana Kucerova, Mendel University in Brno

Google Trends and Exchange Rate Movements: Much Cry and Little Wool?

Discussants: Svatopluk Kapounek, Mendel University in Brno Min Ye, Hunan University John J. Devereux, Queens College, CUNY

[294] Junior Ballroom D 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

FINANCIAL CRISIS AND THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM

Chair: Viktoria Dalko, Hult International Business School Papers: Li Chun Chen*, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan

On Credit Rating Industry in Corporate Bond and Sub-Prime Mortgage Security Markets

Mitchell C. Collins*, Providence College, Peter J. Nigro, Bryant University, and Keith D. Harvey, Boise State University

Mortgage Broker Loan Pricing During the Financial Crisis: Were Yield Spread Premiums the Problem?

Viktoria Dalko*, Hult International Business School Does Life Insurance Carry Life-Threatening Risk?

Danbee Park*, Kangwon National University

Impact of Private Credit and International Debt on Bank Stability: Evidence from Banking Crisis

Discussants: Mitchell C. Collins, Providence College Viktoria Dalko, Hult International Business School Danbee Park, Kangwon National University Li Chun Chen, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan

[295] Orca 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

INCOME INEQUALITY AND PUBLIC ECONOMICS

Chair: O. David Gulley, Bentley University Papers: Tesa E. Leonce-Regalado*, Columbus State University, and Fady Mansour, Columbus State University

The Role of Income in Predicting the Importance of Political Freedom

Gregory G. Lubiani*, Texas A&M University – Commerce

Income Sensitivity and Education Expenditures in the U.S. Aziz N. Berdiev*, Bryant University, Laura B. Beaudin, Bryant University, and Bryanna Seefeldt, Bryant University

Education Expenditures and Income Inequality

O. David Gulley*, Bentley University, and David K. Forrest, University of Liverpool

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 54 of 73

New Odds, New Hope? An Examination of a Change in the Prize Structure of the UK National Lottery

Discussants: Gregory G. Lubiani, Texas A&M University – Commerce Aziz N. Berdiev, Bryant University O. David Gulley, Bentley University Tesa E. Leonce-Regalado, Columbus State University

[296] Grand Ballroom C 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

IMPACT OF STATE POLICIES ON HEALTH

Chair: Melissa McInerney, Tufts University Papers: Michael A. Leeds*, Temple University, and Han Julie Pham, Temple University

No Country for Young Women? The Impact of Restrictive Legislation on Women’s Health in Texas

Sharmila V. Vishwasrao*, Florida Atlantic University, Patrick M. Bernet, Florida Atlantic University, and Gulcin Gumus, Florida Atlantic University

Effectiveness of Public Health Spending: Evidence from Infant Mortality in Florida

Leo H. Kahane*, Providence College

State Gun Laws and Suicide

Melissa McInerney*, Tufts University, and Shihang Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

The Impact of State Policies to Reduce Back Injuries Among Nursing Staff in Hospitals and Nursing Homes

Discussants: Sharmila V. Vishwasrao, Florida Atlantic University Leo H. Kahane, Providence College Melissa McInerney, Tufts University Michael A. Leeds, Temple University

[297] Pavilion Ballroom D 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Individually Organized Session

INSTITUTIONS, HEALTH DISPARITIES, AND

HEALTH INTERVENTIONS

Organizer: Brady P. Horn, University of New Mexico Chair: Brady P. Horn, University of New Mexico Papers: Bern C. Dealy*, U.S. Food and Drug Administration, Brady P. Horn, University of New Mexico, Mance Buttram, Nova Southeastern University, and Steven Kurtz, Nova Southeastern University

An Economic Analysis of Project GOAL: A Risk Reduction Intervention for Urban Substance Using MSM

Jane E. Ruseski*, West Virginia University, and Yang Zhou, West Virginia University

Institutions Matter: Political Ideology, Race, and Health Disparities

Brady P. Horn*, University of New Mexico, Xiaoxue Li, University of New Mexico, Saleh Mamun, University of New Mexico, Paul Guerrin, University of New Mexico, Barbara McCrady, University of New Mexico, and Michael T. French, University of Miami

The Economic Impact of Jail-Based Medication Assisted Treatment: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of a Large Jail-Based Methadone Maintenance Treatment Program in New Mexico

Discussants: Bern C. Dealy, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Jane E. Ruseski, West Virginia University Brady P. Horn, University of New Mexico

[298] Gulf Islands D 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM

Volunteer Individual Session

ECONOMICS OF EDUCATION II

Chair: Gregory Gilpin, Montana State University Bozeman Papers: Gregory Gilpin*, Montana State University Bozeman, and Anton Bekkerman, Montana State University Bozeman

Does Public Library Use Influence Summer Learning Loss?

Lingsheng Meng*, Chinese University of Hong Kong, and Hongbin Li, Stanford University

Scarring Effects of Deprived College Education during China’s Cultural Revolution

Minh T. Nguyen*, University of Illinois at Chicago

Teacher Strategic Behaviors in Response to Teacher Pay-for-Performance Scheme: A Regression Discontinuity Approach

Discussants: Lingsheng Meng, Chinese University of Hong Kong Minh T. Nguyen, University of Illinois at Chicago Gregory Gilpin, Montana State University Bozeman

[299] Grand Ballroom D 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Individually Organized Session

EVALUATION OF PUBLIC PROGRAMS

Organizer: Alfonso Flores-Lagunes, Syracuse University Chair: Alfonso Flores-Lagunes, Syracuse University Papers: John C. Ham*, New York University Abu Dhabi, and Ken Ueda, National University of Singapore

The Case for Replication and Diagnostics when Evaluating a Social Program with Limited Application and Variation: Estimating Employment Effect of the TennCare Public Insurance Contraction

Ozkan Eren, Louisiana State University Baton Rouge, My Nguyen, Louisiana State University Baton Rouge, and Serkan Ozbeklik*, Claremont McKenna College

Diversity and Team Production: Evidence from Teaching Using a Large Scale Randomized Experiment

German Blanco*, Illinois State University, and Alfonso Flores-Lagunes, Syracuse University

Does Youth Training Lead to Better Job Quality? Evidence from Job Corps

Discussants: Alfonso Flores-Lagunes, Syracuse University German Blanco, Illinois State University John C. Ham, New York University Abu Dhabi

[300] Grand Ballroom B 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

PARENTS’ IMPACT ON CHILDREN

Chair: Chizu Yoshida, Kanto Gakuin University Papers: Jun Hyung Kim*, University of Chicago

Economic Analysis of Parenting Style and Child Outcome

Herdis Steingrimsdottir*, Copenhagen Business School, and Snaebjorn Gunnsteinsson, University of Maryland, College Park

The Impact of Child Disability on Families

Qiongda Zhao*, University of Calgary, and Chi Man Yip, University of Calgary

The Impact of Parental Leave on Fertility: A Natural Experiment from Canada

Chizu Yoshida*, Kanto Gakuin University

Perceived Utility of Having a Child in Contemporary Japan

Discussants: Herdis Steingrimsdottir, Copenhagen Business School Qiongda Zhao, University of Calgary Chizu Yoshida, Kanto Gakuin University Jun Hyung Kim, University of Chicago

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 55 of 73

[301] Gulf Islands A 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Individually Organized Session

THE ECONOMICS OF RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA

Organizer: Keaton S. Miller, University of Oregon Chair: Keaton S. Miller, University of Oregon Papers: Danna Kang Thomas*, Columbia University

License Quotas and the Inefficient Regulation of Sin Goods: Evidence from the Washington Recreational Marijuana Market

Keaton S. Miller, University of Oregon, and Boyoung Seo*, Indiana University Bloomington

The Substitutability of Sin Goods: Marijuana, Alcohol, and Tobacco

Benjamin Hansen, University of Oregon, NBER, and IZA, Kendall Houghton*, University of Oregon, Keaton S. Miller, University of Oregon, and Caroline Weber, University of Oregon

The Costs and Benefits of Simultaneous Retail Price Promotions: Evidence from Recreational Marijuana and National Weed Day

Discussants: Keaton S. Miller, University of Oregon Danna Kang Thomas, Columbia University Justine Mallatt, Purdue University

[302] Junior Ballroom C 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

PRICES AND BUNDLING

Chair: Travis Roach, University of Central Oklahoma Papers: Thomas Knight*, University of Florida

Spears and Dylan? Characterizing the Incentive to Bundle Horizontally Differentiated Products

Travis Roach*, University of Central Oklahoma

Market Power and Second Degree Price Discrimination in Retail Gasoline Markets

Ming-Fang Tsai*, Tamkang University, Pei-Cyuan Shih, Ming Chuan University, and Jin-Ji Chen, CTBC Financial Management College

Input Pricing and Parallel Import under a Vertically Related Market

Discussants: Travis Roach, University of Central Oklahoma Ming-Fang Tsai, Tamkang University Thomas Knight, University of Florida

[303] Gulf Islands B 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

HOUSING MARKET ANALYSIS

Chair: Dag Einar Sommervoll, Norwegian University of Life Sciences Papers: Jaewook Byeon*, Sungkyunkwan University, and Iljoong Kim, Sungkyunkwan University

Physically Decayed Urban Areas and Crimes in South Korea

Dag Einar Sommervoll*, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Erling Roed Larsen, Eiendomsverdi, and Andreas Jensen, Eiendomsverdi

Keep Your Cool When the Market Cools? The Effect of Ask Price Revisions

Erling Roed Larsen*, Eiendomsverdi, Andre Kallak Anundsen, Norges Bank, and Dag Martin Sundelius, Eiendomsverdi

The Housing Phillips Curve

Azhar Iqbal*, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, and Mark Vitner, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC

Quantifying the Housing Recovery: Which MSA’s are Experiencing Bubbles?

Discussants: Dag Einar Sommervoll, Norwegian University of Life Sciences Erling Roed Larsen, Eiendomsverdi Azhar Iqbal, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Iljoong Kim, Sungkyunkwan University

[304] Gulf Islands C 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Volunteer Individual Session

DEMOGRAPHIC AND CULTURAL ECONOMICS

Chair: Daniel L. Hicks, University of Oklahoma Papers: Duman Bahrami-Rad*, Simon Fraser University

Perpetuating the Family Name: Female Inheritance, In-Marriage and Gender Norms

Daniel L. Hicks*, University of Oklahoma

Saved: The Observance of Lent and Drunk Driving Fatalities in the U.S.

Siobhan O’Keefe*, University of California, Davis

The Effects of Increased Sentencing Severity on Fertility and Family Formation

Discussants: Daniel L. Hicks, University of Oklahoma Siobhan O’Keefe, University of California, Davis Duman Bahrami-Rad, Simon Fraser University

[305] Grand Ballroom A 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Financial Data Science Association

CRYPTOS, BLOCKCHAIN AND NEURAL NETS

Organizer: Andreas Hoepner, University College Dublin, and James Hodson, Josef Stefan Institute Chair: Andreas Hoepner, University College Dublin Papers: Fahad Saleh*, New York University

Blockchain Without Waste: Proof-of-Stake

Chris Berg*, RMIT University

Institutional Discovery and Competition in the Evolution of Blockchain Technology

Andreas Hoepner*, University College Dublin

Towards the Automatic Recognition and Categorisation of Digital Corporate Reports: A Use Case for Neural Networks?

Discussants: from above participants

[306] Pavilion Ballroom C 6/29/2018 4:30 PM–6:15 PM Transportation and Public Utilities Group

AIR TRANSPORT

Organizer: Wesley W. Wilson, University of Oregon Chair: to be announced Papers: John Howard Brown*, Georgia Southern University

Airline Capacity Strategies in an Era of Tight Oligopoly

Lei He*, University of Oklahoma, and Georgia Kosmopoulou, University of Oklahoma, and National Science Foundation

The Formation of Network Among U.S. Airline Carriers

Discussants: Lei He, University of Oklahoma John Howard Brown, Georgia Southern University

Pavilion Ballroom A 6/30/2018 7:30 AM–12:00 PM

WEAI LOUNGE

Pavilion Ballroom Foyer 6/30/2018 7:30 AM–12:00 PM

REGISTRATION OPEN

Pavilion Ballroom A 6/30/2018 7:45 AM–8:15 AM

MORNING COFFEE AND TEA

[306.5] Finback 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 56 of 73

Individually Organized Session

APPLIED ECONOMETRICS

Organizer: Tatsuma Wada, Keio University Chair: Tatsuma Wada, Keio University Papers: Mikio Ito, Keio University, Akihiko Noda, Kyoto Sangyo University, and Kiyotaka Maeda*, Keio University

Discretion versus Policy Rules in Futures Markets: A Case of the Osaka-Dojima Rice Exchange, 1914-1939

Ryoga Kobayashi*, Keio University, and Tatsuma Wada, Keio University

Estimation of the Time-Varying VAR Model using Sparse Technique

Tatsuma Wada*, Keio University

The Band Spectral Regression and Exchange Rate Puzzles

Discussants: Ryoga Kobayashi, Keio University Mikio Ito, Keio University Ryoga Kobayashi, Keio University

[307] Port Hardy 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

ECONOMETRIC MODELING AND MATHEMATICAL

METHODS

Chair: Leila Dagher, American University of Beirut Papers: Leila Dagher*, American University of Beirut, Nasser Badra, American University of Beirut, and Ibrahim Jamali, American University of Beirut

Do Commodities Prices Contain Predictive Power for Stock Markets

Seongeun Kim*, Sejong University

Exports, Input-Output Network and the Resilience of an Economy

Discussants: Seongeun Kim, Sejong University Leila Dagher, American University of Beirut

[308] Junior Ballroom B 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

POLITICAL PROCESSES AND POLITICAL

STABILITY

Chair: Suleiman Abu-Bader, Ben-Gurion University Papers: Berthold Wigger*, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, and Benjamin Bittschi, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

On the Political Feasibility of Increasing the Legal Retirement Age

Rishman Jot Kaur Chahal*, Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur, and Wasim Ahmad, Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur

Overinvestment, Political Connections and Government-Owned Banks: Evidence from India

Suleiman Abu-Bader*, Ben-Gurion University, and Elena Ianchovichina, World Bank

Polarization, Foreign Military Intervention, and Civil Conflict Discussants: Rishman Jot Kaur Chahal, Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur Suleiman Abu-Bader, Ben-Gurion University Berthold Wigger, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

[309] Port McNeill 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Defense Economics Session

DEFENSE ECONOMICS: POLITICS AND CONFLICT

Organizer: Thomas Light, RAND Corporation, Ellen M. Pint, RAND Corporation, and Laura H. Baldwin, RAND Corporation Chair: James Craig Stone, Canadian Forces College

Papers: Dean D. Dudley*, United States Military Academy, and Jason Galui, United States Military Academy

A Model of Extreme Political Activity

James T. Bang*, St. Ambrose University, and Atin Basuchoudhary, Virginia Military Institute

Is Terrorism a Tactical Choice?

Victoria A. Greenfield*, George Mason University

Reducing the Threat of Improvised Explosive Device Attacks by Reducing Access to Chemical Explosive Precursors

Discussants: Heewon Chung, Korea Institute for Defense Analyses Jason Galui, United States Military Academy R. Derek Trunkey, Congressional Budget Office

[310] Port Alberni 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Individually Organized Session

TOPICS IN EMPIRICAL MACROECONOMICS

Organizer: Victor Valcarcel, University of Texas at Dallas, and Enrique Martinez-Garcia, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Chair: Victor Valcarcel, University of Texas at Dallas Papers: Zhengyang Chen*, University of Texas at Dallas

Risk Aversion Driven by Monetary Policy

John W. Keating*, University of Kansas

to be announced

Nathan S. Balke, Southern Methodist University, Enrique Martinez-Garcia*, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, and Soma Patra, California State University, Northridge

Rethinking Entrepreneurship with Endogenous Entry: Regulation and Financial Distress during Recessions

Victor Valcarcel*, University of Texas at Dallas

An Assessment of a New Tool of Monetary Policy: The Normalizing Effects of Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements for Interest Rate Spreads

Discussants: from above participants

[311] Gulf Islands C 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

MONETARY POLICY AND FINANCIAL MARKETS

Chair: Devika Hazra, California State University, Los Angeles Papers: Devika Hazra*, California State University, Los Angeles

Distributional Role of Monetary Policy under Limited Credit Access

Joerg Schmidt*, Justus Liebig Universitat Giessen

Unconventional Monetary Policy and Bank Risk-Taking in the Euro Area

Maximilian A. Freier*, European Central Bank, Marien Ferdinandusse, European Central Bank, and Annukka Ristiniemi, Sveriges Riksbank

Quantitative Easing and the Price-Liquidity Trade-Off Mariusz Krawczyk*, Ryukoku University

Much Ado About (almost) Nothing: Assessing QE Policy of the Bank of Japan

Discussants: Joerg Schmidt, Justus Liebig Universitat Giessen Maximilian A. Freier, European Central Bank Mariusz Krawczyk, Ryukoku University Devika Hazra, California State University, Los Angeles

[312] Junior Ballroom A 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS

Chair: ByungWoo Kim, Korea National University of Transportation

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 57 of 73

Papers: Jungsik Hyun*, Columbia University, and Ryan Kim, Columbia University

Business Cycles with Input Complementarity

Mark A. Wynne*, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Alexander Chudik, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, and Janet Koech, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

The Sources of State and Metro Business Cycles

Yasser Fahmy*, University of Alberta

The Lessons to be Learned from the Financial Crisis of 2008

Discussants: Mark A. Wynne, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Yasser Fahmy, University of Alberta Jungsik Hyun, Columbia University

[313] Grand Ballroom D 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM International Economics and Finance Society

INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND FINANCE

Organizer: Tibor Besedes, Georgia Institute of Technology Chair: Cesar M. Rodriguez, Portland State University Papers: Sajal Lahiri*, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale, and Erick Kitenge, Central State University

Is the Internet Bringing Down Language-based Barriers to International Trade?

Cesar M. Rodriguez*, Portland State University, and Ana Carolina Garriga, Centro de Investigacion y Docencia Economicas (CIDE), Mexico

Central Bank Independence and Inflation in the Light of New Data: Evidence for Developing Countries

Discussants: Sajal Lahiri, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale Cesar M. Rodriguez, Portland State University

[314] Junior Ballroom C 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Middle East Economic Association

PUBLIC GOODS AND POLITICAL ECONOMY

Organizer: Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School, Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California, and Rahel Schomaker, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences Chair: Bibhas Saha, Durham University Papers: Louis Jaeck*, United Arab Emirates University

Political Economy of Immigration Policy: Direct versus Indirect Political Influence

Chengyu Yang*, Beijing Normal University, and Xupeng Wang, Beijing Normal University

Income and Cultural Consumption: Model Analysis and Empirical Evidence

Eunjee Kwon*, University of Southern California

The Effect of Transportation on the Spatial Job Distribution: Evidence from South Korea

Xiaochen Ma, Peking University, Yiwei Qian*, University of Southern California, and Scott D. Rozelle, Stanford University

Effect of Providing Free Eyeglasses on Children’s Mental Health Outcomes in China: A Cluster-randomized Controlled Trial

Bruno Ascencio Bautista*, University of Southern California

Innovation and Productivity in LDC: The Importance of R&D Expenditures and FDI Allocations

Discussants: from above participants

[315] Grand Ballroom A 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

STRATEGIC TRADING IN FINANCIAL MARKETS

Chair: Sangwon Suh, Chung-Ang University

Papers: Yun-Yi Wang*, Feng Chia University, Taiwan

Strategic Spoofing Order Trading by Different Types of Investors in Futures Markets

Michael J. Shin*, University of California, Irvine

Endogenous Participation, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market

Saad M. Alnefaee*, Saudi Electronic University

Macroeconomic Activity and the Stock Market Behavior: Empirical Evidence from Saudi Arabia

Sangwon Suh*, Chung-Ang University

Unexploited Currency Carry Trade Profit Opportunity

Discussants: Michael J. Shin, University of California, Irvine Saad M. Alnefaee, Saudi Electronic University Sangwon Suh, Chung-Ang University Yun-Yi Wang, Feng Chia University, Taiwan

[316] Pavilion Ballroom C 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

LOCAL TAXATION

Chair: Robert W. Wassmer, California State University, Sacramento Papers: Xuanhao He*, University of New Mexico

The Impact of Medicaid Primary Care Physician Fees on Medicaid Enrollment

Joe Lesica*, Wilfrid Laurier University, and Seungjin Han, McMaster University

Analysis of Differential Excise Taxes: The Unique Case of Beer in Ontario

Trevon D. Logan*, Ohio State University

Whitelashing: Black Politicians, Taxes, and Violence

Robert W. Wassmer*, California State University, Sacramento, Daphne A. Kenyon, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, Adam H. Langley, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, and Bethany P. Paquin, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

The Economic and Fiscal Impacts of Property Tax Abatement in a Large Ohio County

Discussants: Joe Lesica, Wilfrid Laurier University Trevon D. Logan, Ohio State University Robert W. Wassmer, California State University, Sacramento Xuanhao He, University of New Mexico

[317] Pavilion Ballroom D 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

ECONOMIC CONDITIONS AND HEALTH

Chair: Iris Buder, Idaho State University Papers: Kimberly Groover*, University of Georgia, Athens

Local Economic Conditions and Quality of Care

Patricia K. Smith*, University of Michigan, Dearborn, and Jay L. Zagorsky, Ohio State University

The Association between Socioeconomic Status and Adult Consumption of Sugar-Sweetened Beverages in the U.S.

Iris Buder*, Idaho State University, and Jake Jennings, California State University, Chico

Socioeconomic Status and Mentally Healthy Days

Manachaya Uruyos*, Chulalongkorn University, and Yoshitaka Koda, Chulalongkorn University

Manufactured Life Span and Economic Growth

Discussants: Patricia K. Smith, University of Michigan, Dearborn Iris Buder, Idaho State University Manachaya Uruyos, Chulalongkorn University Kimberly Groover, University of Georgia, Athens

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 58 of 73

[318] Gulf Islands D 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Individually Organized Session

K-12 EDUCATION

Organizer: Marie C. Hull, University of North Carolina, Greensboro Chair: Marie C. Hull, University of North Carolina, Greensboro Papers: Ying Shi*, Stanford University, and John Singleton, University of Rochester

Teachers’ Unions, School Board Composition, and District Performance

Andrew J. Hill*, Montana State University Bozeman, and Daniel Jones, University of South Carolina, Columbia

The Effect of School Closings on Teacher Labor Market Outcomes and Teacher Effectiveness

Marie C. Hull*, University of North Carolina, Greensboro, and Jonathan Norris, University of North Carolina, Greensboro

The Skill Development of Children of Immigrants

Discussants: Jared Ashworth, Pepperdine University Amanda Gaulke, Kansas State University Maria Zhu, Duke University

[319] Grand Ballroom B 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

FAMILY COMPOSITION AND ECONOMIC OUTCOME

Chair: Emily Yiying Zheng, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen Papers: Mahsa Akbari*, Simon Fraser University

Leaving Parental Home and Future Incomes

Raisa Sara*, Texas A&M University, College Station, Marco Castillo, Texas A&M University, College Station, and Ragan Petrie, Texas A&M University, College Station

The Many Faces of Abuse: Labor Market Opportunities and Domestic Violence on Women

William Jergins*, Texas Tech University

Beliefs about Women and Son Preference: Evidence from Immigrants Living in the United States

Emily Yiying Zheng*, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, and Jason M. Lindo, Texas A&M University, College Station

Better Economy, More Babies? New Evidence on the Effects of Economic Conditions on Childbearing

Discussants: Raisa Sara, Texas A&M University, College Station William Jergins, Texas Tech University Emily Yiying Zheng, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen Mahsa Akbari, Simon Fraser University

[320] Gulf Islands A 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Individually Organized Session

LABOR ECONOMICS

Organizer: Michael S. Kofoed, United States Military Academy Chair: Michael S. Kofoed, United States Military Academy Papers: Peter Blair*, Clemson University, and Benjamin Posmanick, Clemson University

The Effect of (Un)Imposed Labor Market Flexibility on Gender Wage Gaps

Gregory Gilpin*, Montana State University Bozeman, and Faisal Al-Saad, Economist

Healthy and Risky Behaviors and Educational Attainment: An Update to Dee and Evans (2003)

Elizabeth Setren, Tufts University, and NBER, Kyle Greenberg, United States Military Academy, Oliver Moore*, United States Military Academy, Michael Yankovich, United States Military Academy, and Michael S. Walker, United States Military Academy

The Impact of “Flipping the Classroom” on Academic Performance: Evidence from a Randomized Trial at the United States Military Academy

Liesl Himmelberger*, University of Georgia, Athens

Immigrant Wartime Contributions to America’s Military

Discussants: from above participants

[321] Orca 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–12:00 PM Individually Organized Session

ECONOMICS OF EDUCATION

Organizer: Seth Gershenson, American University Washington D.C. Chair: Seth Gershenson, American University Washington D.C. Papers: Harold E. Cuffe, Victoria University of Wellington, and Glen R. Waddell*, University of Oregon

Performance Feedback and Major Choice

Seth Gershenson*, American University Washington D.C., Stephen B. Holt, University at Albany SUNY, and Rui Wang, American University Washington D.C.

The Evolution of Teachers’ Mental Health

Drew M. Anderson*, RAND Corporation, Matthew D. Baird, RAND Corporation, and Robert Bozick, RAND Corporation

Explaining Real Leaks and Debunking False Leaks in the STEM Pipeline: New Evidence from a Survey of Workers

Jennifer A. Heissel*, Naval Postgraduate School, Emma K. Adam, Northwestern University, Jennifer L. Doleac, University of Virginia, David N. Figlio, Northwestern University, and Jonathan Meer, Texas A&M University, College Station

Stress and Testing: How Students Respond to High-Stakes Testing

Peter L. Hinrichs*, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Affirmative Action and Racial Segregation

Discussants: Seth Gershenson, American University Washington D.C. Jennifer A. Heissel, Naval Postgraduate School Peter L. Hinrichs, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Andrew J. Hill, Montana State University Bozeman Drew M. Anderson, RAND Corporation

[323] Gulf Islands B 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Volunteer Individual Session

AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY AND EXPORTS

Chair: Sung Chul No, Southern University and A&M College Papers: Sheng-Jang Sheu*, National University of Kaohsiung, and Heng-chi Lee, National Kaohsiung University of Science and Technology

Is There an Inverse Relationship between Productivity and Farm Size in Taiwan?

Yir-Hueih Luh*, National Taiwan University

Economic Consequences of Organic Farming: Evidence from Taiwan

Sung Chul No*, Southern University and A&M College

Asymmetry Exchange Rate Pass-Through in U.S. Exports of Rice

Discussants: Yir-Hueih Luh, National Taiwan University Sung Chul No, Southern University and A&M College Sheng-Jang Sheu, National University of Kaohsiung

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 59 of 73

[325] Junior Ballroom D 6/30/2018 8:15 AM–10:00 AM Middle East Economic Association

NATURAL RESOURCES-EXPORTING ECONOMIES

Organizer: Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School, Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California, and Rahel Schomaker, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences Chair: Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California Papers: Fateh Belaid*, Centre Scientifique et Technique du Batiment, and Adel Ben Youssef, University of Nice Sophia-Antipolis

Natural Resource Curse and Finance--Economic Performance Nexus in Algeria: The Role of Invesment

Ashraf Galal Eid*, Qatar University

Government Expenditure and Non-Oil GDP Growth in the State of Qatar: A Nonlinear ARDL Approach

Jeffrey B. Nugent*, University of Southern California

The Determinants of Net Adjusted (Sustainable) Savings in Natural Resource-Exporting Countries

Mahdi Majbouri*, Babson College

Doing the Energy Reforms Right: Policy Recommendations for Oil-Producing Countries

Mohamad Abdelaziz Eissa*, Qatar University, and Mohammed Elgammal, Qatar University

FDI Determinants in Oil Exporting Countries: Revisitng the Role of Natural Resources

Discussants: from above participants

Pavilion Ballroom A 6/30/2018 10:00 AM–10:15 AM

REFRESHMENT BREAK

[326] Finback 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

GAME THEORY: COOPERATIVE AND

NONCOOPERATIVEGAMES

Chair: Steven Kivinen, Dalhousie University Papers: Erika Seki*, Osaka University, and Ai Takeucki, Ritsumeikan University

Coordination and Free Riding Problem in Blood Donations

Steven Kivinen*, Dalhousie University, and Norov Tumennasan, Dalhousie University

Robust Group Strategy-Proofness

Dongryul Lee*, Sungshin Women’s University, and Pilwon Kim, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology

The Formation of Groups in Contests: My Son, be the Second Man Rather than the Number One!

Nejat Anbarci*, Deakin University, Nick Feltovich, Monash University, and Mehmet Y. Gurdal, Bogazici University

Payoff Inequity Reduces the Effectiveness of Correlated-Equilibrium Recommendations

Discussants: Steven Kivinen, Dalhousie University Dongryul Lee, Sungshin Women’s University Nejat Anbarci, Deakin University Erika Seki, Osaka University

[327] Gulf Islands D 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

HOUSEHOLD SAVING AND DEBT

Chair: Ryoko Wada, Keiai University Papers: Tom Miller*, Mississippi State University, and Onyumbe Lukongo, Southern University and A&M College

Measuring the Consequences of a Binding Interest Rate Cap

Walter Theseira*, Singapore University of Social Sciences, Qiyan Ong, National University of Singapore, and Irene Ng, National University of Singapore

Reducing Debt Improves Psychological Functioning and Changes Decision Making in the Poor

Ryoko Wada*, Keiai University

Which Risk Preference Affects Altruistic Choice under Uncertainty among Risk Preference, Prudence and Temperance?

Discussants: Tom Miller, Mississippi State University Walter Theseira, Singapore University of Social Sciences Ryoko Wada, Keiai University

[328] Junior Ballroom B 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

ANALYSIS OF CONFLICT

Chair: Satya Das, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and Indian Statistical Institute Papers: Rogerio B. Santarrosa*, University of British Columbia

Conflict or Compromise? Theory and Evidence from Africa and Asia

Yang-Ming Chang*, Kansas State University, and Manaf Sellak, Kansas State University

Endogenous Security, Optimal Tariffs, and Regional Trade Agreements: Is Trade Regionalism a Double-Edged Sword?

Satya Das*, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and Indian Statistical Institute, and Sajal Lahiri, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale

Why Direct Counter-Terror (CT) Measures Only May Fail: An Analysis of Direct and Preventive CT Measures

Discussants: Rogerio B. Santarrosa, University of British Columbia Yang-Ming Chang, Kansas State University Satya Das, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and Indian Statistical Institute

[329] Port McNeill 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Defense Economics Session

DEFENSE ECONOMICS: MILITARY HEALTHCARE

Organizer: Thomas Light, RAND Corporation, Ellen M. Pint, RAND Corporation, and Laura H. Baldwin, RAND Corporation Chair: Stanley A. Horowitz, Institute for Defense Analyses Papers: James Bishop*, Institute for Defense Analyses, Susan Clark-Sestak, Institute for Defense Analyses, David R. Graham, Institute for Defense Analyses, Michael R. Guggisberg, Institute for Defense Analyses, and Nathaniel Latshaw, Institute for Defense Analyses

Bayesian Methods for Comparing County-Level Army National Guard and General Population Suicide Rates

Carla Tighe Murray*, Congressional Budget Office, and Elizabeth Bass, Congressional Budget Office

Approaches to Changing TRICARE

Ryan Sullivan*, Naval Postgraduate School, Laura E. Armey, Naval Postgraduate School, John Leeth, Bentley University, and Thomas Kniesner, Claremont Graduate University

Measuring the Effect of Combat Deployments on Casualty Rates: Evidence from Iraq and Afgahanistan

Discussants: David Knapp, RAND Corporation Lawrence Goldberg, Institute for Defense Analyses Kara Mandell, Center for Naval Analyses

[330] Junior Ballroom A 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM

Revised 5/29/2018 PROGRAM IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE Page 60 of 73

Volunteer Individual Session

LABOR MARKETS AND MACROECONOMIC

FLUCTUATIONS

Chair: Jeffrey A. Parker, Reed College Papers: Kevin Capehart*, California State University, Fresno

What’s the Natural Rate of Unemployment? A Critical Analysis of Professional Estimates

Ziho Park*, University of Chicago

Age Profile of Labor Market Outcomes

Jeffrey A. Parker*, Reed College

Macroeconomic Correlates of Unemployment in Regions of East-Central Europe

Discussants: Ziho Park, University of Chicago Jeffrey A. Parker, Reed College Kevin Capehart, California State University, Fresno

[331] Grand Ballroom A 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

MERGERS, ACQUISITIONS, CORPORATE

GOVERNANCE

Chair: Satish Thosar, University of Redlands Papers: Susan Elkinawy*, Loyola Marymount University, Joshua Spizman, Loyola Marymount University, and Hai Tran, Loyola Marymount University

The Effect of Distracted Audit Committee Members on Earnings Quality

Satoshi Koibuchi*, Chuo University, and Mizuki Goto, Hitotsubashi University

Cross-Border Merger and Currency Risk: Evidences from In-Out M&A’s of Japanese Firms

Andrew C. Spieler*, Hofstra University, Garrett Smith, University of Wisconsin – Whitewater, and Jeffrey M. Coy, Pennsylvania State University, Behrend, Erie

Differences between International Domestic and Cross-Border M&A Transactions and the Role of Reference Point Theory

Satish Thosar*, University of Redlands, and Sanjiv Jaggia, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo

The Making of a CEO: How Much Does Educational Background Matter?

Discussants: Satoshi Koibuchi, Chuo University Andrew C. Spieler, Hofstra University Satish Thosar, University of Redlands Susan Elkinawy, Loyola Marymount University

[332] Gulf Islands B 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

TRADE POLICY

Chair: Kyriacos Aristotelous, Otterbein University Papers: Nathan Cook*, Furman University, and Jason C. Jones, Furman University

The Impact of the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) on Trade and Income in Sub-Saharan Africa

Yuko Imura*, Bank of Canada

Reassessing Trade Barriers with Global Value Chains

Beyza Ural Marchand*, University of Alberta

Inequality and Trade Policy: Determining the Pro-Poor Bias of India’s Contemporary Trade Restrictions

Discussants: Yuko Imura, Bank of Canada Beyza Ural Marchand, University of Alberta Nathan Cook, Furman University

[333] Grand Ballroom D 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

INTERNATIONAL DEBT FLOWS

Chair: Judit Temesvary, Federal Reserve Board of Governors Papers: Walter Bazan-Palomino*, Fordham University

Valuation Effect, Risk Aversion and International Portfolio Allocation

Sandy Suardi*, University of Wollongong, Australia, Shu-hen Chiang, Chung Yuan Christian University, and Wen-Chien Liu, Chung Yuan Christian University

Factors Driving European Stock Returns in Crisis Period: A Shift-Share Decomposition

Elod Takats, Bank for International Settlements, and Judit Temesvary*, Federal Reserve Board of Governors

Can Macroprudential Measures Make Cross-Border Lending More Resilient? Lessons from the Taper Tantrum

Discussants: Sandy Suardi, University of Wollongong, Australia Judit Temesvary, Federal Reserve Board of Governors Walter Bazan-Palomino, Fordham University

[334] Pavilion Ballroom C 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

PENSIONS, RETIREMENT, AND PUBLIC

ECONOMICS

Chair: John H. Beck, Gonzaga University Papers: John H. Beck*, Gonzaga University

A Georgist Perspective on Fiscal Federalism

Young Jun Chun*, Hanyang University

Incomplete Careers and Public Pension: A Generational Equilibrium Approach

Natalie Laub*, University of Freiburg

Reduced Retirement Age - Off we Go! Evidence on the Impact of a Pension Reform on Retirement

Amjad Toukan*, Lebanese American University

Empirical Tests of the Theory of the Small Minority Autocratic Rule in Tribal Societies

Discussants: Young Jun Chun, Hanyang University Natalie Laub, University of Freiburg Amjad Toukan, Lebanese American University John H. Beck, Gonzaga University

[335] Pavilion Ballroom D 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

HEALTH ECONOMICS II

Chair: Gregory Gilpin, Montana State University Bozeman Papers: Attila Cseh*, Valdosta State University

Moon Cycles and Birth Outcomes

Shuqiao Sun*, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

Dynamic Complementarities Very Early in Life: Family Planning, Early Childhood Education, and Lifetime Human Capital Development

Gregory Gilpin*, Montana State University Bozeman

Graduated Driver Licensing, Teen Licensure, and Driving Fatalities

Discussants: Shuqiao Sun, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor Gregory Gilpin, Montana State University Bozeman Attila Cseh, Valdosta State University

[338] Grand Ballroom B 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

DEMOGRAPHICS IN INTERNATIONAL

PERSPECTIVE

Chair: Shawn D. Knabb, Western Washington University

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Papers: Shawn D. Knabb*, Western Washington University, and Patrick M. Emerson, Oregon State University

A Demographic Headwind: Will an Aging Society Reduce the Real Interest Rate and Potential Growth of the Economy?

Mizuki Komura*, Musashi University, and Kota Ogasawara, Chiba University

Consequences of War: Japanese Demographic Transition and the Marriage Market

Nelson L. Paes*, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, Rafael Tine, Banco Central do Brasil, and Carlos Eduardo de Freitas, Universidade Federal do Mato Grosso

Impact of the Demographic Transition on Tax Collection in Brazil: An Analysis of the Federative Aspect

Discussants: Mizuki Komura, Musashi University Nelson L. Paes, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco Shawn D. Knabb, Western Washington University

[339] Gulf Islands A 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Individually Organized Session

WHO RETIRES WHEN AND WHAT ARE THE

EFFECTS OF WORKING LONGER?

Organizer: Mary K. Hamman, University of Wisconsin – La Crosse, and Daniela Hochfellner, New York University Chair: Florian Hoffmann, University of British Columbia Papers: Mary K. Hamman*, University of Wisconsin – La Crosse, Daniela Hochfellner, New York University, John M. Nunley, University of Wisconsin – La Crosse, and Christopher J. Ruhm, University of Virginia

Peer Effects and Retirement Decisions: Evidence from Pension Reform in Germany

Peter Berg, Michigan State University, Marissa Eckrote*, Michigan State University, Mary K. Hamman, University of Wisconsin – La Crosse, Daniela Hochfellner, New York University, Matthew Piszczek, Wayne State University, and Christopher J. Ruhm, University of Virginia

Does Working Longer Mean Wating Longer? The Impact of Increases in Pensionable Age on Promotion of Younger Workers

Brooke Helppie McFall, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, and Amanda Sonnega*, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

Working after Social Security Claiming: What Jobs are People Doing?

Discussants: Florian Hoffmann, University of British Columbia Daniela Hochfellner, New York University

[340] Parksville 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Volunteer Individual Session

MARKET REGULATION

Chair: Alex Hill, Arizona State University Papers: Cheng-Hau Peng*, Fu-Jen Catholic University, Horn-In Kuo, Ming Chuan University, and K.L. Glen Ueng, National Chengchi University, Taiwan

On the Neutrality of Profit Taxation in a Mixed Oligopoly

Mark S. LeClair*, Fairfield University

How Do We Evaluate Nonprofits?

Stefanie R. Ramirez*, University of Idaho, Moscow

Regulation and the Payday Lending Industry

Alex Hill*, Arizona State University

Investment and Free Entry in Deregulated Markets: Evidence from the Electricity Sector

Discussants: Mark S. LeClair, Fairfield University Stefanie R. Ramirez, University of Idaho, Moscow

Alex Hill, Arizona State University Cheng-Hau Peng, Fu-Jen Catholic University

[341] Port Hardy 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Individually Organized Session

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING AND ECONOMICS

Organizer: Kashi Nath Tiwari, KNT’s Academic Financial Research Chair: Kashi Nath Tiwari, KNT’s Academic Financial Research Papers: Sung Chul No*, Southern University and A&M College, Ghirmay Ghebreyesus, Southern University and A&M College, Eric Porter, Southern University and A&M College, and Donald R. Andrews, Southern University and A&M College

Entrepreneurship: Creating Neighborhood Developers

David H. Lindsay*, California State University, Stanislaus, Annhenrie Campbell, California State University, Stanislaus, Gokce A. Soydemir, California State University, Stanislaus, and Andrew J. Wagner, California State University, Stanislaus

The Differential Impact of the Federal Reserve Rate Hikes on National and Regional Employment: Evidence from San Joaquin County and Surrounding Region

David H. Lindsay, California State University, Stanislaus, Parporn Akathaporn*, Marshall University, and Nancy Lankton, Marshall University

Earnings Quality and Board of Director Characteristics: Evidence from Thailand

Kashi Nath Tiwari*, KNT’s Academic Financial Research

Preferences and Stock Trades

Kashi Nath Tiwari*, KNT’s Academic Financial Research

The 2018 Corporate Tax Structure

Discussants: Kashi Nath Tiwari, KNT’s Academic Financial Research Sung Chul No, Southern University and A&M College David H. Lindsay, California State University, Stanislaus Parporn Akathaporn, Marshall University

[342] Beluga 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Contemporary Economic Policy Session

KERN COUNTY REGIONAL ECONOMICS

Organizer: S. Aaron Hegde, California State University, Bakersfield Chair: S. Aaron Hegde, California State University, Bakersfield Papers: Richard S. Gearhart*, California State University, Bakersfield

Impact of Minimum Wage on Agriculture and Resource Extraction

Nyakundi Michieka*, California State University, Bakersfield

The Economic Benefits of Using Produced Water for Manufacturing in Kern County

John Deal*, California State University, Bakersfield

Kern County Agriculture: A Case Study

S. Aaron Hegde*, California State University, Bakersfield

Does High School Student Funding Improve Family Education Decisions? Evidence from China

Mark E. Evans*, California State University, Bakersfield

Analyzing Oil Booms and Busts with Regional Income Accounting Identities

Discussants: Nyakundi Michieka, California State University, Bakersfield Mark E. Evans, California State University, Bakersfield Richard S. Gearhart, California State University, Bakersfield John Deal, California State University, Bakersfield

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S. Aaron Hegde, California State University, Bakersfield

[343] Port Alberni 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Individually Organized Session

ECONOMICS OF MULTILINGUALISM

Organizer: Ramon Caminal, Institute of Economic Analysis (CSIC), and Antonio Di Paolo, University of Barcelona Chair: Ramon Caminal, Institute of Economic Analysis (CSIC) Papers: Ainhoa Aparicio*, Collegio Carlo Alberto

Foreign Language Education at Origin and Migrant’s Choice of Destination Country

Omer Ozak*, Southern Methodist University, Oded Galor, Brown University, and Assaf Sarid, University of Haifa

Geographical Origins of Language Structures

Antonio Di Paolo*, University of Barcelona, Ramon Caminal, Institute of Economic Analysis (CSIC), and Lorenzo Cappellari, Catholic University of Milan

Linguistic Skills and the Intergenerational Transmission of Language

Estefania Santacreu-Vasut*, ESSEC Business School, Victor Gay, University of Chicago, Daniel L. Hicks, University of Oklahoma, and Amir Shoham, Temple University

Decomposing Culture: An Analysis of Gender, Language, and Labor Supply in the Household

[344] Junior Ballroom C 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Middle East Economic Association

FINANCIAL RISK, FINANCIAL STABILITY, AND

FINANCIAL MARKETS

Organizer: Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School, Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California, and Rahel Schomaker, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences Chair: Leila Dagher, American University of Beirut Papers: Leila Dagher, American University of Beirut, Layal Mansour Ichrakieh*, American University of Beirut, and Sadika El Hariri, American University of Beirut

Is the Lebanese Economy under Control or under Red Alert? Empirical Assessment of the Lebanese Financial Market by Constructing the First Financial Stress Index

Ahmed Elsayed*, Durham University

Financial Stability and Risk Transmission in Malaysian Dual Financial System

Comfort O.K. Ibidapo*, Adeyemi College of Education

Structure of Equity Ownership and Market Performance of Quoted Firms in Nigeria

Mohammed Elgammal*, Qatar University, Fatma Zaki, Qatar University, and David McMillan, University of Stirling

Do Factors Have Any Investment Value?

Discussants: from above participants

[345] Junior Ballroom D 6/30/2018 10:15 AM–12:00 PM Middle East Economic Association

ECONOMICS AND CONFLICTS IN THE MIDDLE

EAST

Organizer: Shawkat M. Hammoudeh, Drexel University, and Montpellier Business School, Jeffrey B. Nugent, University of Southern California, and Rahel Schomaker, Carinthia University of Applied Sciences Chair: Marcus Marktanner, Kennesaw State University Papers: Dlorah Jenkins, Kennesaw State University, Marcus Marktanner*, Kennesaw State University, Almuth D. Merkel, Kennesaw State University, and David Sedik, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

The Burden of War on Child Mortality: The Case of Yemen

Marcus Marktanner*, Kennesaw State University, and Almuth D. Merkel, Kennesaw State University

Palestine — 100% Aid Dependent?

William Duncan*, University of Kansas, and Asmaa Yaseen, University of Kansas

Effects of Terrorism on Labor Markets: A Case Study of Iraq

Discussants: from above participants

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Abbott, Andrew J. ....................................... [118] Abegaz, Melaku T. ...................................... [255] Abell, Charles ............................................. [137] Abman, Ryan M. ......................................... [214] Abu-Bader, Suleiman ................................. [308] Acar, Sevil ..................................................... [48] Adam, Emma K........................................... [321] Adrangi, Bahram ................................ [115] [271] Afesorgbor, Sylvanus Kwaku ...................... [185] Agarwal, Isha .............................................. [206] Agbola, Frank W. ................................. [76] [185] Aggarwal, Kanika ........................................ [219] Agha, Nola ......................................... [171] [281] Ahmad, Wasim ........................................... [308] Ahmed, Rashad ................................. [219] [240] Ahn, Taehyun ............................................. [160] Ahnert, Toni ......................................... [62] [120] Aisen, Ari ...................................................... [78] Aizenman, Joshua ................................... [6] [19] Ajmal, Hamza ............................................. [251] Akathaporn, Parporn .................................. [341] Akbari, Mahsa ............................................. [319] Al aboud, Omar........................................... [263] Al Mamun, Md............................................... [70] Al-Saad, Faisal ........................................... [320] Alam, Injamam ............................................ [276] Alam, M. Jahangir ....................................... [110] Alamgir, Farzana ........................................ [284] Albert, Philipp .............................................. [231] Albert, Steven B. ........................................ [266] Alexeev, Michael........................................... [19] Alfaro, Laura .......................................... [80] [99] Alleman, James H................................ [87] [198] Allen, Craig A. .................................... [152] [156] Allen, Marcus T. ............................................ [92] Allen, Samuel K. .................................. [16] [290] Allen, W. David ........................................... [192] Allison, Blake A. .......................................... [243] Almahmood, Hassan .................................. [101] Alnefaee, Saad M. ...................................... [315] Alobadi, Ali .................................................. [258] Altman, Morris ...................................... [76] [136] Aly, Hassan Y. ............................................ [263] Amara, Jomana ................................... [57] [117] Ambrose, Christopher A. ............................ [253] Amin, Sakib ................................................. [284] Amporfu, Eugenia ........................................ [43] Amuedo-Dorantes, Catalina [33] [66] [111] [154] Anaduaka, Uchechi Shirley ........................ [167] Anari, Ali ..................................................... [177] Anbarci, Nejat ............................................. [326] Anderson, Drew M. ..................................... [321] Anderson, Katharine A. .............................. [158] Andrews, Donald R. .................................... [341] Andries, Marius Alin ........................... [142] [186] Andruska, Emily .......................................... [122] Ang, James ................................................. [280] Ang, Xiaoling ............................................... [124] Angers, Jeffrey P. ......................................... [35] Angerstein-Gaines, Michele ....................... [156] Angrisani, Marco ......................................... [173] Antecol, Heather ......................................... [124] Antman, Francisca ........................................ [33] Anundsen, Andre Kallak ............................. [303] Anyabolu, Hope A. ...................................... [289] Ao, Chon-Kit ............................................... [211] Aparicio, Ainhoa.......................................... [343]

apRoberts-Warren, Margaret........................ [78] Arce, Oscar ............................................ [21] [39] Arena, Mark V. ............................................ [291] Arestis, Philip .............................................. [222] Argys, Laura M. .......................................... [169] Ari, Anil ................................................ [82] [187] Arias, Maria .................................................. [93] Aristidou, Andreas ...................................... [219] Aristotelous, Kyriacos ................................. [332] Arkes, Jeremy ............................................... [57] Armey, Laura E. .......................................... [329] Aruoba, Boragan .......................................... [37] Ascencio Bautista, Bruno ........................... [314] Asch, Beth J. ................................................ [95] Ashenfelter, Orley .............. [88] [105] [157] [172] Ashraf, Arisha ............................................... [90] Ashworth, Jared ........................ [105] [274] [318] Asiedu, Elizabeth ........................................ [285] Aslanidis, Nektarios .................................... [135] Asmar, Muath ............................................. [271] Austria, Myrna S. .......................................... [58] Averett, Susan L. ........................................ [169] Avery, Matthew ............................................. [77] Awal, Yesuf ................................................. [285] Aymanns, Christoph ................................... [165] Azam, Mehtabul ............................................ [65] Azevedo, Deven Smith ............................... [195] Bacolod, Marigee .......................................... [57] Badra, Nasser ............................................. [307] Badunenko, Oleg ........................................ [109] Bae, Kyu Ho ............................................... [160] Bae, Yong-Kyun ......................................... [107] Baek, Seung-Gwan .................................... [147] Bagis, Bilal .................................................... [20] Bahrami-Rad, Duman ................................. [304] Bai, Chong-En .............................................. [13] Bai, Xue ........................................................ [22] Bair, Lucas .................................................. [235] Baird, Matthew D. ....................... [47] [105] [321] Bako, Barna .................................................. [55] Balafoutas, Loukas ............................ [199] [234] Baldwin, Laura H. ....... [18] [77] [117] [162] [181] [201] [223] [246] [309] [329] Baliamoune-Lutz, Mina N. .......................... [208] Balke, Nathan S. ......................................... [310] Ball, Camden .............................................. [240] Ballis, Briana M. ............................................ [45] Banaian, King ............................................. [112] Banerjee, Rakesh ....................................... [273] Banerjee, Ryan ........................................... [138] Banerjee, Tannista ............................ [210] [292] Bang, James T. ................................... [18] [309] Bao, Ge Cathy .............................................. [99] Barake, Adrian ............................................ [216] Bari, Mohammad Tariful ............................. [236] Barnes, Stephen ......................................... [154] Barnwal, Prabhat .......................................... [64] Barr, Abigail ................................................ [193] Barth, James R. ................................... [34] [121] Basnet, Hem C. ............................................ [41] Bass, Elizabeth ........................... [77] [223] [329] Basu, Anup .......................................... [82] [120] Basuchoudhary, Atin ........................... [57] [309] Batina, Raymond G. ................................... [228] Bauer, Michael W. ...................................... [263] Baumann, Robert W. ................ [171] [261] [282]

Bayles, Mark ................................................. [93] Baylis, Patrick ............................................. [148] Bazan-Palomino, Walter ............................. [333] Beasley, W. Jason ...................................... [148] Beaudin, Laura B. ....................... [32] [132] [295] Beaulieu, Eugene ................................ [80] [119] Beblo, Miriam.............................................. [125] Beck, John H. ............................................. [334] Becker, Chris ................................................ [62] Becker, Johannes ....................................... [228] Beckman, Steven R. ................................... [161] Bediako, Kwabena ......................................... [4] Bekkerman, Anton ...................................... [298] Belaid, Fateh ....................................... [70] [325] Belskaya, Volha ............................................ [47] Bencsik, Panka ........................................... [218] Bengoa, Marta .............................................. [80] Bennett, Neil M. ............................................ [33] Berdiev, Aziz N. ................................... [32] [295] Berg, Chris........................................... [20] [305] Berg, Kimberly ............................................ [140] Berg, Peter ................................................. [339] Bergman, Margo .................................. [94] [228] Bermudez Delgado, Estefania .................... [194] Bermudez Delgado, Nancy Areli ................ [194] Bernet, Patrick M. ....................................... [296] Berri, David J. ............................................. [216] Berry, Kevin ................................................ [130] Bersak, Tim A. ............................................ [273] Bertay, Ata Can ............................................ [89] Besedes, Tibor ........................................... [313] Bhai, Moiz ................................................... [106] Bharati, Tushar ............................................. [24] Bhattacharya, Arghya ................................... [78] Bi, Ruigang ................................................... [84] Biehl, Amelia M............................................. [92] Binh, Kibeom .............................................. [225] Binner, Jane M. .......................................... [220] Biolsi, Christoper ................................. [43] [249] Birch, Matthew R. ......................................... [45] Bird, Graham .............................................. [101] Bishop, James ............ [35] [77] [117] [268] [329] Bishop, John A. .......................................... [161] Bittschi, Benjamin ....................................... [308] Blackford, Cheyenne .................................. [263] Blair, Peter .................................................. [320] Blair, Roger D. .............................................. [32] Blanco, German.......................................... [299] Bleck, Alexander ............................... [120] [186] Boehm, Hannes ................................. [141] [164] Bolt, Wilko....................................................... [3] Bonham, Carl S. ......................................... [134] Boning, Wm. Brent ................... [162] [181] [246] Bonnemaison, Geoffroy ................................ [48] Bono, Raquel .............................................. [137] Boomhower, Judson ................................... [148] Booshehri, Layla ......................................... [229] Booth, Ross ....................................... [132] [151] Borensztein, Eduardo R. .............................. [83] Boris Odilon, Kounagbe Lokonon............... [168] Bos, Jaap........................................... [123] [142] Boukidis, Constantine M. ........................... [156] Bourdier, Tomoé ........................................ [193] Bowblis, John ............................................. [116] Boyer, Carol M............................................ [280] Bozick, Robert ..................................... [47] [321] Brabant, Dominique .................................... [292]

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Bradford, W. David ..................................... [275] Bradley, Michael D...................................... [182] Brandt, Loren ................................................ [80] Brandt, William G. ....................................... [217] Brenner, Paul R. ......................................... [176] Breuer, Christoph........................................ [237] Brewer, Ben ................................................ [253] Brewer, Elijah, III...................................... [187.5] Brochu, Pierre ............................................. [172] Brolinson, Becka ......................................... [168] Bronfman, Javier........................................... [65] Brook, Stacey ............................................. [132] Brooks, Robert ............................................ [132] Brosig-Koch, Jeannette .............................. [159] Brown, Bruce C........................................... [204] Brown, John Howard .................................. [306] Bucheli, Jose .............................................. [249] Buckner-Brown, Joyce ................................ [258] Buder, Iris ................................................... [317] Bui, Linda Tuyet-Mai ................................... [149] Buldas, Velda.............................................. [237] Burdekin, Richard C. K. .............................. [121] Burdina, Mariya................. [16] [151] [210] [216] Burger, John D............................................ [270] Burke, Paul J. ............................................. [215] Burns, Sarah ...............................[35] [137] [268] Buttram, Mance .......................................... [297] Byeon, Jaewook ......................................... [303] Byun, Yiesul ................................................ [225] Cahill, Kevin E. .................................. [152] [172] Cai, Shenghan .............................................. [79] Cai, Wenbiao .............................................. [260] Cakir, Metin ................................................. [272] Cameron, Michael P. .................................. [169] Cameron, Trudy Ann . [90] [91] [108] [109] [130] [148] [149] [168] [169] [194] [195] [214] [215] [235] [236] Caminal, Ramon .................................. [11] [343] Campbell, Annhenrie .................................. [341] Campos, Nauro F. ...................................... [140] Capatina, Elena .......................................... [266] Capehart, Kevin .......................................... [330] Cappellari, Lorenzo..................................... [343] Carney, Conor ............................................ [214] Carr, Jillian B. ............................................... [27] Carrion-Flores, Carmen E. ................ [154] [215] Carroll, David R. .......................................... [45] Casanova Rivas, Maria ........................... [9] [68] Cassidy, Hugh ............................................ [256] Castillo, Marco ............................................ [319] Cen, Xiao ............................................. [83] [141] Chaban, Maxym.......................................... [206] Chahal, Rishman Jot Kaur .......................... [308] Chai, Hee-Yul .................................... [147] [155] Chakraborti, Lopamudra ............................. [108] Chakraborty, B. ............................................. [49] Chakravarty, Sujoy ..................................... [234] Chalak, Karim ............................................. [178] Chalfin, Aaron ............................................... [27] Chan, Jeff ................................................... [255] Chan, Ying Tung ......................................... [266] Chan Fong Yee, Fanny ................................ [75] Chang, Beryl Y............................................ [288] Chang, Koyin ....................................... [65] [250] Chang, Sonny ............................................. [212] Chang, Yang-Ming ............................. [184] [328]

Chang, Young-Tae ................................ [31] [50] Chang, Yuan-Chen .................................. [187.5] Chapman, James T. E. ............................... [120] Chapman, Kenneth S. .................................... [9] Chatrath, Arjun ........................................... [271] Chatterjee, Arpita .......................................... [22] Chattopadhyay, Manojit ................................ [34] Chaudhry, Shereen .................................... [244] Check, Adam .............................................. [203] Chehal, Puneet .................................. [175] [188] Chen, Been-Lon ........................................... [96] Chen, Chin-Sheng ...................................... [245] Chen, Hao .................................................... [15] Chen, Jin-Ji ................................................. [302] Chen, Kai ...................................................... [25] Chen, Kelly ................................................. [211] Chen, Lein Lein .......................................... [293] Chen, Li Chun ............................................. [294] Chen, M. Keith ............................................ [290] Chen, Maggie X. ........................................... [99] Chen, Mark A. ............................................. [283] Chen, Ming-Yuan .......................................... [36] Chen, Siyu .................................................... [25] Chen, Tai-Liang .......................................... [184] Chen, Wei-Chih ............................................ [40] Chen, Wei-Peng ............................................. [7] Chen, Ying-Erh ...................................... [15] [17] Chen, Ying-Ju ............................................. [245] Chen, Yutian ............................................... [245] Chen, Zhengyang ....................................... [310] Cheng, Ka Ming .......................................... [135] Cheng, Ming-Chang .............................. [25] [28] Cheng, Stephen .......................................... [217] Cheng, Zhiming ............................................ [79] Cherney, Samantha .................................... [117] Cherniwchan, Jevan ................................... [109] Cheung, Yin-Wong ....................................... [19] Chi, Miao ...................................................... [86] Chiang, Shu-hen ......................................... [333] Chicoine, Neil ............................................. [217] Chih, Yao-Yu ................................................ [19] Chiu, Eric Ming-Ping .......................... [101] [121] Cho, Han-Gyul ............................................ [147] Choi, Gongpil .............................................. [147] Choi, Kyoungsuk .......................................... [31] Choi, Woon Gyu ........................................... [81] Choi, Yeon ...................................................... [8] Choquette, Jeremy ................................ [3] [182] Chou, Nan-Ting .......................................... [226] Chou, Ping-Hung ..................................... [6] [17] Chou, Ta-Sheng ............................................. [6] Chou, Yu-Hsi ................................................ [81] Chu, Chih-Kang .......................................... [122] Chu, David S. C. ........................... [35] [95] [137] Chudik, Alexander ...................................... [312] Chun, Hyunbae .................................... [99] [119] Chun, Young Jun ........................................ [334] Chung, Heewon ................................... [18] [309] Clark, Christopher D. .................................... [90] Clark-Sestak, Susan ................................... [329] Clarke, Christine A. ..................... [43] [237] [281] Clarke, Christopher A. ................................ [228] Classen, Timothy J. .................................... [272] Claussen, Catharina ..................................... [82] Coate, Malcolm B. ...................................... [192] Coate, Patrick ............................................... [86] Coates, Dennis .................................. [171] [237]

Cochran, Joseph A. .................................... [236] Coletta, Timothy ........................................... [32] Collins, Mitchell C. ...................................... [294] Conchada, Mitzie Irene ................................ [64] Condliffe, Simon ............................................. [8] Connelly, Rachel ........................................ [145] Connolly, Michael .................................. [4] [102] Conover, Emily ............................................. [33] Conover, Roger .......................................... [264] Constantinescu, Julia ................................. [129] Converse, Nathan ...................................... [270] Cook, Justin ................................................ [110] Cook, Nathan.............................................. [332] Coon, Michael A. .......................................... [86] Coonce, Tom .............................................. [291] Corman, Hope ............................................ [126] Cosman, Jacob.......................................... [11.5] Cowan, Benjamin W. .................................. [253] Cox, Caleb A. ............................................. [104] Coy, Jeffrey M. ........................................... [331] Craft, Erik D. ................................................. [73] Craig, Andrea ............................................. [128] Cretarola, Alessandra ..................................... [3] Crowder, William J. .................................... [177] Cseh, Attila ................................................. [335] Cuffe, Harold E. ................................. [241] [321] Cui, Xuan .................................................... [247] Cullen, Julie ................................................ [111] Cunha, Jesse M. ................................. [77] [223] Cunningham, Cindy E. ............................... [275] Currier, Kevin.............................................. [109] Cushing, Matthew J. ................................... [282] Dacass, Tennecia .............................. [218] [256] Dacuycuy, Lawrence B. ................................ [58] Dagher, Leila ............................ [240] [307] [344] Dai, Ruochen .............................................. [174] Dakhlia, Sami ............................................. [130] Dale, Ben .................................................... [138] Daley, Angela ............................................. [253] Dalko, Viktoria ............................................ [294] Dallmeyer, Soren ............................... [237] [281] Daly, Mary C. .............................................. [124] Dang, David ................................................ [141] Danziger, Eliav ........................................... [184] Danziger, Leif ............................................. [184] Dar, Aaditya .................................................. [64] Darracq Paries, Matthieu ............................ [187] Das, Satya .................................................. [328] Dash, Pradyumna .............................. [138] [177] Dastidar, Krishnendu Ghosh ...................... [234] Dauncey-Elwood, Alexandra ...................... [129] Dave, Dhaval M. ......................................... [126] Davidson, Sinclair ......................................... [20] Davila, Alberto ............................................ [146] Davis, George K. ........................................ [221] Davwa, Aresha ........................................... [222] Dawson, Peter M. ....................................... [196] de Freitas, Carlos Eduardo ........................ [338] de Freitas, Fernando .................................. [107] de Haan, Jakob .......................................... [164] de la Croix, David ....................................... [280] de Villiers, Pierre .......................................... [30] Deakin, Elizabeth ....................................... [190] Deal, John .................................................. [342] Dealy, Bern C. ............................................ [297] Deane-Shinbrot, Steven ............................. [201]

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Dechenaux, Emmanuel .............................. [234] DeGraff, Deborah ......................................... [64] Dekker, Marleen ......................................... [193] Dell'Ariccia, Giovanni .................................... [39] Demetriades, Panicos .................................. [69] Dempsey, Michael ...................................... [242] Denaux, Zulal .............................................. [284] Deng, Xiaoying ........................................... [170] Deschenes, Sarah ...................................... [193] Deutscher, Christian ............................ [16] [261] Deutscher, Viola ......................................... [115] Devaguptapu, Adviti ................................... [177] Devereux, John J. ....................................... [293] Deyo, Darwyyn ............................................. [44] DeYoung, Robert .......................................... [82] Deza, Monica ....................................... [27] [126] Dezso, Linda ................................................. [55] Dhar, Amrita ................................................ [249] Dhar, Paramita............................................ [210] Di Paolo, Antonio ........................................ [343] Diarra, Setou ............................................... [285] Diaz, Lina .................................................... [179] Dickert, Stephan ........................................... [55] Diewert, Erwin ............................................... [56] Dillender, Marcus .......................................... [47] Dinar, Ariel .................................................... [90] Ding, Sai .................................................... [145] Dissanayake, Sahan T. M. ......................... [214] Distinguin, Isabelle........................................ [82] Dixon, David S. .................................. [158] [176] Djordjevic, Ljubica......................................... [89] Djoundourian, Salpie .................................... [48] Dlouhy, Curtis ............................................... [71] Dluhosch, Barbara .......................................... [5] Doehr, Rachel ............................................... [21] Doi, Takero ................................................. [163] Dolar, Burak ......................................... [59] [138] Doleac, Jennifer L. ............................. [143] [321] Dominitz, Jeffrey ......................................... [173] Domnisoru, Ciprian ....................................... [45] Donou-Adonsou, Ficawoyi ............................ [41] Donovan, Pierce ......................................... [235] Doremus, Jacqueline ......................... [149] [158] Dormady, Noah C. ...................................... [236] Dow, James P................................................. [9] Dropsy, Vincent E. ............................. [241] [264] Du, Julan .....................................[84] [100] [293] Du, Wenti .................................................... [101] Du, Xiao-rong ................................................ [61] Duarte, Diogo ........................................... [4] [21] Dubois, Corinne ................................. [103] [142] Dudley, Dean D. .........................[18] [117] [309] Dugan, Jerome ........................................... [229] Dulleck, Uwe ............................................... [120] Duncan, William .......................................... [345] Dundas, Steven .......................................... [148] Dunigan, Martha ......................................... [117] Duquette, Nicolas .............................. [252] [276] Dwyer, Gerald P., Jr. ............................. [3] [182] Dyhrberg, Ann............................................... [20] Dzator, Janet ................................................ [43] Dzator, Michael ............................................. [43] Dziadula, Eva .............................................. [176] Early, Dirk W. .............................................. [222] Easton, Stephen T. ..................................... [151] Ebrahimi, Nima ........................................... [141]

Echeverri-Carroll, Elsie ............................... [146] Eckhause, Jeremy ...................................... [201] Eckrote, Marissa ......................................... [339] Edelman, David .......................................... [283] Edirisuriya, Piyadasa .................................. [242] Efremidze, Levan .......................................... [60] Egel, Daniel ................................................ [267] Egozcue, Martin ............................................ [17] Eichholtz, Piet ............................................. [148] Eichler, Stefan ............................................ [164] Eid, Ashraf Galal ......................................... [325] Eisenberg, Matthew ........................... [175] [188] Eissa, Mohamad Abdelaziz ........................ [325] El Hariri, Sadika .......................................... [344] El Joueidi, Sarah ........................................ [179] El-Shagi, Makram ................................ [59] [138] Elgammal, Mohammed ............... [48] [325] [344] Elkinawy, Susan ......................................... [331] Ellaboudy, Shereef ..................................... [265] Elsayed, Ahmed ......................................... [344] Elul, Ronel .................................. [37] [123] [142] Emerson, Patrick M. ................................... [338] Engineer, Merwan ...................................... [107] English, Burton C. ......................................... [90] Eren, Ozkan ................................................ [299] Erickson, Christopher A. ............................... [29] Espahbodi, Linda ........................................ [212] Espahbodi, Reza ........................................ [212] Eum, Jihyun ................................................ [205] Evans, Brent ........................................ [51] [151] Evans, Mark E. ........................................... [342] Facchini, Francois ........................................ [48] Fahmy, Yasser ........................................... [312] Fairlie, Robert W. ........................................ [108] Fan, Gang-Zhi ............................................ [170] Fanasch, Patrizia .......................................... [88] Fang, Tao-Tony .......................................... [233] Fedderke, Johannes W. ............................. [280] Feddersen, Arne ................................ [112] [132] Fedyk, Anastassia ...................................... [238] Feenstra, Robert ................................ [119] [205] Feir, Donna ................................................... [74] Feliciano, Zadia M. ..... [80] [99] [119] [154] [166] Feltovich, Nick ............................................ [326] Fenichel, Eli ................................................ [130] Fenn, Aju J. ....................................... [216] [261] Ferdinandusse, Marien ............................... [311] Ferguson, William D. .................................... [29] Feudo, Aaron ......................................... [1] [199] Fidrmuc, Jarko ............................................ [140] Figlio, David N. ........................................... [321] Figueroa-Casas, Manuela .......................... [222] Fikru, Mahelet G. .......................................... [30] Finck, David .................................................. [97] Findeisen, Sebastian .................................... [67] Findeisen, Stefanie ..................................... [115] Finley, Brian ................................................ [173] Firoozi, Fathali ............................................ [190] Fischer, Eric .................................... [4] [21] [102] Fisher, Ronald C. ........................................ [209] Fishman, Ram .............................................. [64] Fitz, Dylan ..................................................... [69] Fitzenberger, Bernd ...................................... [26] Fixler, Dennis ................................................ [56] Fleissig, Adrian R. ...................................... [220] Fleming, Joslyn ........................................... [246]

Flores-Lagunes, Alfonso ..................... [26] [299] Flynn, David T. ........................................... [190] Foad, Hisham S. ................................ [219] [263] Fochmann, Martin ...................................... [104] Foerster, Steve ........................................... [141] Foley, Sean .................................................. [20] Fontenla, Matias ......................................... [249] Fontes, Angela ........................................... [244] Fooken, Jonas ............................................ [228] Forbes, Kristin .............................................. [62] Fornwagner, Helena .......................... [199] [234] Forrest, David K.......................................... [295] Forrester, Kellie A. ...................................... [212] Fort, Rodney D. ..................................... [32] [51] Fortin, Nicole M. ......................................... [124] Fortmann, Lea ............................................ [214] Fox, Kevin J. ................................................. [56] Fracassi, Cesare ........................................ [105] Franck, Raymond E., Jr. ............................. [291] Frandsen, Brigham R. ........................... [1] [105] Frazier, Aanston ......................................... [286] Freier, Maximilian A. ................................... [311] French, Michael T. ...................................... [297] Freund, Steven ............................................. [63] Frick, Bernd .................................................. [88] Friedrich, Christian ....................................... [62] Friedt, Felix ............................................ [31] [50] Fu, Dahai ............................................... [61] [98] Fu, Xiao ...................................................... [127] Gaekwad, Neepa ........................................ [285] Gaggl, Paul ................................................. [275] Gagne, Lynda ............................................. [215] Gaisford, James D. ..................................... [208] Gale, Lewis R., IV ....................................... [265] Galor, Oded ................................................ [343] Galui, Jason................................................ [309] Gao, Zhijun F. ............................................... [60] Garagulagian, Roman ....................... [152] [217] Garcia-Perez, Monica ................... [33] [66] [154] Garcia-Posada, Miguel ................................. [39] Garnreiter, Sebastian ............................ [42] [63] Garriga, Ana Carolina ................................. [313] Gates, William R. ...................... [201] [223] [267] Gaulke, Amanda .............. [218] [256] [274] [318] Gay, Victor .................................................. [343] Ge, Qi ................................................ [112] [216] Ge, Suqin.................................................... [233] Gearhart, Richard S. .................................. [342] Gehrmann, Sebastian .................................. [16] Geiger, Martin ...................................... [98] [129] Gelder, Alan................................................ [268] Gelfer, Sacha.............................................. [203] Gelman, Michael ........................................ [121] Georg, Co-Pierre ........................................ [165] Germanovich, Gene ................................... [246] Gershenson, Seth ...................................... [321] Ghebreyesus, Ghirmay .............................. [341] Ghosh Roy, Atrayee ................................... [190] Ghossoub, Edgar A. ..................................... [97] Gift, Paul J. .......................................... [51] [151] Gilbert, Scott ...................................... [152] [282] Giles, Meg .................................................. [181] Gillen, David ................................................. [50] Gillezeau, Rob ..................................... [74] [276] Gilpin, Gregory ......................... [298] [320] [335] Gimeno, Ricardo.................................. [21] [142]

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Glandon, Phillip........................................... [115] Glascott, Lachlan ........................................ [132] Glaser, Darrell J. ......................................... [211] Gnagey, Matt ....................................... [92] [202] Goel, Manisha............................................. [102] Goerges, Luise ........................................... [125] Goff, Sandra Hughes .................................. [104] Goldberg, Lawrence .......................... [223] [329] Goldstein, Jeffrey D. ............................ [35] [137] Goldstein, Robin ........................................... [88] Golub, Benjamin ......................................... [165] Gomez, Fabiana ......................................... [103] Goncalves, Juliana Silva ............................ [231] Gong, Jinquan ............................................ [100] Gong, Yun ................................................... [106] Gonzalez Lozano, Heriberto ....................... [154] Gooding, Tim .............................................. [158] Goodwyn, Craig .......................................... [181] Gorsuch, Marina ......................................... [257] Goto, Mizuki ................................................ [331] Gouri Suresh, Shyam ................................... [69] Graham, David R. ...... [35] [77] [117] [223] [329] Grant, Kara ................................................... [44] Grant, Laura ................................................ [168] Gray, Devin Lee .......................................... [109] Gray, Rowena ............................................. [275] Green, David ............................................... [172] Green, Gareth P. ............................... [278] [286] Greenberg, Kyle.......................................... [320] Greenfield, Victoria A. ........................ [201] [309] Grginovic, Antonio ................................. [84] [98] Grieb, Terrance............................................. [54] Grijalva, Therese C. ...................................... [92] Groot, Wim .................................................. [285] Groover, Kimberly ....................................... [317] Groshek, Gerald M. .................................... [208] Grossman, Daniel S.................................... [126] Gu, Xinhua .................................................... [19] Guan, Huijuan ............................................. [144] Guerrin, Paul ............................................... [297] Guggisberg, Michael R. ............[181] [291] [329] Guisinger, Amy Y. ....................................... [176] Gulati, Sumeet .............................................. [90] Gulley, O. David.......................................... [295] Gumus, Gulcin ............................................ [296] Gunasekarage, Abeyratna .......................... [242] Gunnsteinsson, Snaebjorn ......................... [300] Guo, Di ........................................................ [189] Guo, Fei ........................................................ [79] Guo, Fei ...................................................... [254] Guo, Xu ......................................................... [17] Guo, Yan ..................................................... [189] Gupta, Abhimanyu ............................... [63] [165] Gurdal, Mehmet Y....................................... [326] Gutierrez, Italo A. .......................................... [95] Haddad, Mahmoud ..................................... [114] Hafemann, Lucas........................................ [289] Haggag, Kareem............................................. [1] Hakim, Sam ................................................ [114] Halim, Nafisa ................................................ [85] Halliday, Simon ............................................. [55] Ham, John C. ....................................... [26] [299] Hamelin, Lawrence R. ................................ [161] Hamilton, Stephen F. .................................. [149] Hamman, Mary K. ....................................... [339]

Hammoudeh, Shawkat M. ..... [24] [48] [70] [114] [127] [219] [240] [263] [284] [314] [325] [344] [345] Han, Heejoon .................................................. [7] Han, Seungjin ............................................. [316] Hand, Michael S. ........................................ [244] Hanna, Sherman D. ...................................... [10] Hansen, Benjamin ................. [1] [27] [143] [301] Haouas, Ilham .............................................. [48] Hargaden, Enda ......................................... [276] Harger, Kaitlyn R. ......................................... [92] Hariharan, Govind .......................................... [9] Harris, Douglas ........................................... [154] Hartmann, Michael ..................................... [258] Harvey, Keith D. ......................................... [294] Hasdemir, Esra ........................................... [284] Hassan, Gazi ....................................... [85] [169] Hasseeb, Muhammed .................................. [48] Hassink, Wolter .......................................... [123] Hastings, Katherine .................................... [117] Haupert, Michael J. ....................................... [74] Hazra, Devika ............................................. [311] He, Lei ........................................................ [306] He, Tai-Sen ................................................ [202] He, Tina T. .................................................... [25] He, Xuanhao ...................................... [171] [316] He, Yaping .................................................... [30] He, Zongyue ............................................... [144] Hegde, S. Aaron ......................................... [342] Heinrich, Timo ............................................ [159] Heissel, Jennifer A. .............................. [57] [321] Helburn, Suzanne ....................................... [198] Helppie McFall, Brooke ............................. [339] Hennig-Schmidt, Heike ............................... [159] Hepner, Kimberly .......................................... [95] Hernandez, Monica .................................... [154] Hershbein, Brad J. ........................................ [47] Hickman, Daniel C. ..................... [16] [199] [237] Hicks, Daniel L. .................................. [304] [343] Higgins, C. Richard ..................................... [203] Highfill, Jannett ............................................. [36] Hildebrandt, Gregory G. ............................. [291] Hill, Alex ...................................................... [340] Hill, Andrew J. ........................... [274] [318] [321] Hilmer, Christiana E. ................................... [105] Hilmer, Michael J. ....................................... [105] Hilmi, Nathalie .............................................. [48] Himmelberger, Liesl .................................... [320] Hines, Annie Laurie .................................... [257] Hinrichs, Peter L. ........................................ [321] Hirsch, Barry T. ............................................. [67] Ho, Ai Thuy ................................................. [118] Ho, Javier D. ................................................ [31] Ho, Peter S. ................................................ [264] Ho, Tsung-wu ............................................. [183] Hoang, Nam ................................................. [54] Hoang, Thi Truong An .................................. [65] Hobijn, Bart ................................................... [89] Hochfellner, Daniela ................................... [339] Hodge Doucette, Meriem............................ [275] Hodgson, Charles ....................................... [107] Hodson, James ................ [238] [262] [283] [305] Hoepner, Andreas ........... [238] [262] [283] [305] Hoffman, Dennis L. ..................................... [113] Hoffmann, Florian ....................................... [339] Hollingsworth, Alex ....................................... [91] Holt, Stephen B. ......................................... [321]

Hong, Chang ................................................ [76] Hong, Junjie.................................................. [99] Hooker, Theodore ...................................... [216] Horn, Brady P. ........ [126] [171] [196] [218] [272] [297] Horner, Stephen M. .................................... [152] Hornstein, Abigail S. ................................... [119] Hornsten, James .......................................... [73] Horowitz, Stanley A. ................... [35] [246] [329] Hosek, James R. .......................................... [95] Hosono, Kaoru................................... [160] [180] Hossain, Belayet .......................................... [12] Hotei, Masaki .............................................. [180] Hotz, Joseph............................................... [105] Hou, Catherine ............................................... [9] Hou, Jack W. . [6] [10] [15] [17] [19] [34] [40] [49] [59] [61] [76] [84] [98] [100] [138] [167] [170] [174] [185] [189] [204] [212] [224] [226] [233] [254] [287] [293] Houghton, Kendall ............................... [27] [301] Houser, Daniel ............................................ [179] Hsieh, Meng-Fen ........................................ [122] Hsu, Mike .................................................... [205] Hsu, Sara .................................................... [100] Hu, Zaiyong ....................................... [174] [189] Hua, Cathy...................................................... [7] Huang, Chao-Hsi ........................................ [227] Huang, Ding En .......................................... [286] Huang, Fung-Mey ....................................... [211] Huang, Sean Shenghsiu ............................ [116] Huang, Wanling .......................................... [242] Huang, Yejing ............................................. [129] Huber, Bettina................................................. [9] Hughes, Danny ............................................. [44] Hull, Marie C. ............................ [154] [274] [318] Humphreys, Brad R. . [92] [111] [112] [126] [171] Hur, Jung ............................. [80] [99] [119] [160] Hurtado, Carlos .......................................... [150] Hwang, Hyeonjun ....................................... [286] Hwang, Ruey-Ching ................................... [122] Hyun, Jungsik ............................................. [312] Ianchovichina, Elena .................................. [308] Ibidapo, Comfort O.K. ................................. [344] Ichrakieh, Layal Mansour ........................... [344] Ifcher, John ........ [55] [75] [104] [125] [136] [159] [179] [199] [234] [244] [278] [288] Ihori, Toshihiro ............................................ [163] Iizuka, Toshiaki ........................................... [175] Imura, Yuko ................................................ [332] Inagaki, Kazuyuki ......................................... [97] Insler, Michael A. ........................................ [211] Inui, Tomohiko ............................................ [180] Iqbal, Azhar ................................................ [303] Irfan, Muhammad ....................................... [169] Islam, Md. Deen ........................................... [85] Islam, T M Tonmoy ..................................... [260] Ito, Hiro ......................................................... [19] Ito, Mikio .................................................. [306.5] Izumi, Atsuko .............................................. [160] Jackman, Mahalia ...................................... [195] Jackson, William E., III ............................ [187.5] Jacobson, Susan A. ..................................... [73] Jaeck, Louis.................................. [24] [48] [314] Jaggia, Sanjiv ............................................. [331] Jakus, Paul M. .............................................. [15]

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Jalilvand, Abol............................................. [190] Jamali, Ibrahim ........................................... [307] Jana, R.K. ..................................................... [49] Jang, Hayley ........................................ [51] [132] Janko, Zuzana .............................................. [96] Jansen, Dennis W.............................. [166] [182] Jansen, Mark .............................................. [105] Janssens, Wendy ....................................... [193] Jarallah, Shaif ............................................. [284] Jardrim, Katya............................................. [256] Jasso, Sean D. ........................................... [192] Javorcik, Beata S. ........................................... [5] Jayanthakumaran, Kankesu ....................... [236] Jeffree, Patrick .............................................. [69] Jenkins, Dlorah ........................................... [345] Jenkins, Glenn P......................................... [289] Jennings, Jake ............................................ [317] Jennings, Matthew ...................................... [286] Jensen, Andreas ......................................... [303] Jeong, Minsoo .............................................. [71] Jeong, Young Sik........................................ [147] Jergins, William........................................... [319] Jewell, R. Todd ............................................. [32] Jeworrek, Sabrina ......................................... [75] Jiang, Bing .................................................. [290] Jiang, I-Ming ................................................. [54] Jiang, Kun ................................................... [189] Jiang, Qin .................................................... [219] Jiang, Ying .................................................... [61] Jin, Yi .......................................................... [285] Jing, Wan .................................................... [226] Jinnai, Yusuke .............................................. [68] Jo, Ahhyun .................................................... [31] Joffrion, Justin.................................... [246] [267] Johnson, Candon............................... [196] [261] Johnston, Sarah.......................................... [168] Jondrow, Jim ............................................... [246] Jones, Barry E. ........................................... [220] Jones, Benjamin A. ..................................... [235] Jones, Daniel .............................................. [318] Jones, Jason C. .......................................... [332] Jones, Lauren E.......................................... [229] Jones, Maggie .............................................. [74] Jones, Philip ............................................... [118] Jonkers, Nicole ........................................ [3] [20] Jonson, Peter D. ........................................... [38] Joshi, Aakrit ....................................... [218] [272] Jun, Byung-Hill.............................................. [52] Jun, Dajung ................................................. [273] Jung, Alexander C. ..................................... [248] Jung, Dawoon ............................................... [24] Jung, Haeil .................................................. [202] Junxue, Jia .................................................. [287] Kabaca, Serdar ........................................... [250] Kacker, Kanishka ........................................ [194] Kaestner, Robert J. ..................................... [126] Kahane, Leo H. ........................................... [296] Kaiser, Harry M. .......................................... [221] Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem ............................... [37] Kalil, Ariel .................................................... [126] Kallon, Kelfala M. .......................................... [41] Kameda, Keigo ........................................... [163] Kanehara, Daishoku ................................... [260] Kanesh, Suresh .......................................... [287] Kang, Gil Seong.......................................... [249] Kang, Taesu ................................................. [81]

Kao, Chun Lin ............................................... [36] Kapinos, Pavel ......................................... [4] [21] Kapounek, Svatopluk ......................... [204] [293] Kappler, Moritz ........................................... [127] Kapteyn, Arie .............................................. [173] Karakaya, Neslihan .................................... [102] Karayalcin, Cem (Ali) .................................... [96] Katagi, Hiroshi ............................................ [163] Kawachi, Keisuke ....................................... [209] Kawahara, Shinya ...................................... [241] Kawasaki, Akio ............................................. [11] Keane, Michael ........................................... [266] Keating, Edward G. .................. [162] [201] [267] Keating, John W. ............................... [220] [310] Kebede, Bereket ......................................... [193] Keister, Todd ................................................ [62] Kelly, Andrea .............................................. [175] Kelly, Logan J. ............................................ [220] Kenyon, Daphne A. .................................... [316] Kerschbamer, Rudolf .................................. [234] Keser, Claudia ............................................ [159] Khalid, Ayesha .............................................. [87] Khalifa, Ahmed A. ......................................... [70] Khalil, Umair M. .......................................... [171] Khamis, Melanie ........................................... [33] Khan, Bilal .................................................... [24] Khanal, Uttam ............................................. [287] Kherfi, Samer S. ......................................... [263] Kick, Thomas ....................................... [63] [123] Kidder, Matthew .......................................... [284] Kim, ByungWoo ................................... [37] [312] Kim, Chang Sik ............................................... [7] Kim, Chong-Uk ............................................. [52] Kim, Daehyun ................................................. [8] Kim, Dong-Hyeon ....................................... [271] Kim, Eungsik ............................................... [200] Kim, Geun-Young ......................................... [81] Kim, H. Youn ................................................ [43] Kim, Hyunchul .............................................. [11] Kim, Iljoong ............................... [192] [197] [303] Kim, In-chul ................................................. [147] Kim, Jaebeom .................................... [213] [225] Kim, Jin Ock ............................................... [155] Kim, Jinwon ................................................ [225] Kim, Jun Hyung .......................................... [300] Kim, Jung Sik .............................................. [147] Kim, Jung-Wook ................................ [160] [180] Kim, Kenneth S. .......................... [60] [101] [121] Kim, KyunHwa ............................................ [127] Kim, Minjung ................................................. [22] Kim, Mirae .................................................. [276] Kim, Pilwon ................................................. [326] Kim, Ryan ................................................... [312] Kim, Seongeun ........................................... [307] Kim, Sunghyun Henry ................................. [225] Kim, YoungGak .......................................... [180] Kimko, Dennis ............................................ [223] Kindsiko, Eneli .............................................. [68] Kinoshita, Tomio ........................................... [67] Kirchler, Erich ............................................... [55] Kirton, Jade ................................................ [195] Kisa, Adnan ................................................ [258] Kishan, Ruby P. .......................................... [224] Kitenge, Erick ............................................. [313] Kivinen, Steven ........................................... [326] Kline, Brendan ............................................ [178] Klumpp, Tilman ............................................. [36]

Knabb, Shawn D. ....................................... [338] Knabe, Andreas ............................................ [65] Knapp, David .............................. [95] [223] [329] Knetsch, Jack ............................................. [169] Kniesner, Thomas ...................................... [329] Knight, Thomas .......................................... [302] Knowler, Duncan ............................... [130] [235] Knox, Melissa ........................................ [33] [66] Knutson, Felix ............................................... [95] Kobayashi, Ryoga .......................... [231] [306.5] Koda, Yoshitaka ......................................... [317] Koech, Janet............................................... [312] Koenig, Philipp..................................... [21] [187] Koetter, Michael.... [4] [21] [39] [42] [63] [82] [83] [102] [103] [120] [123] [141] [142] [164] [165] [186] [187] Kofoed, Michael S. ................... [105] [267] [320] Koibuchi, Satoshi ........................................ [331] Kok, Christoffer ........................................... [187] Kokas, Sotirios............................................ [165] Kolari, James .............................................. [177] Komura, Mizuki .................................. [163] [338] Kopecky, Joseph V. .................................... [232] Körding, Julia ..................................... [103] [187] Korhonen, Iikka........................................... [140] Kosmopoulou, Georgia ............................... [306] Kou, Zonglai ................................................. [84] Kouakou, Christian R.C .............................. [287] Kovacic, William E. ............................ [162] [181] Kovacs, Tunde.............................................. [63] Kramer, Berber ........................................... [193] Krautmann, Anthony C. ....................... [51] [112] Krawczyk, Mariusz ..................................... [311] Kriebel, Johannes ......................................... [82] Krishna, Kala ................................................ [22] Krolikowski, Pawel M. ................................... [86] Kucerova, Zuzana ...................................... [293] Kuebler, Dorothea ...................................... [231] Kuehlwein, Michael K. .................................. [97] Kuehn, Joseph S. .............................. [216] [261] Kulick, Jonathan D. .................................... [209] Kuloszewski, Zachary ................................. [209] Kumar, Anil ................................................. [230] Kumbhakar, Subal C. ................................. [109] Kunreuther, Howard ................................... [244] Kuo, Dennis ................................................ [201] Kuo, Horn-In ............................................... [340] Kurakawa, Yukihide ...................................... [91] Kuratani, Tetsuya ....................................... [230] Kuroda, Yuta............................................... [197] Kurtz, Steven .............................................. [297] Kurz, Michael .............................................. [142] Kutasovic, Paul R. ...................................... [279] Kuttner, Ken................................................ [115] Kuzara, Michael J. ............................... [57] [267] Kwon, Eunjee .................................... [219] [314] Kwon, Hyeog Ug......................................... [160] Kwon, Sun Hee........................................... [155] Lachman, Beth ........................................... [201] Laeven, Luc .................................................. [39] Lafky, Jonathan ............................................ [55] Lahiri, Radhika............................................ [140] Lahiri, Sajal ........................................ [313] [328] Lam, Eddery ............................................... [224] Lamb, Laura A. ............................................. [12] Lambert, Dayton M. ...................................... [90]

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Lambertini, Luisa ........................................ [103] Lange, Ian ................................................... [194] Langley, Adam H. ....................................... [316] Langpap, Christian...................................... [235] Lankton, Nancy ........................................... [341] Lara, Jaime ................................................... [66] Larrick, Rick ................................................ [244] Larsen, Matthew ......................................... [231] Lassassi, Moundir ....................................... [263] Lasso de la Vega, Casilda .......................... [161] Latshaw, Nathaniel ............................ [201] [329] Laub, Natalie ............................................... [334] Le, Tung ...................................................... [255] LeClair, Mark S. .......................................... [340] Lee, Byongju ................................................. [81] Lee, Chien-Chi .............................................. [25] Lee, Chien-Chiang ...................................... [122] Lee, Dongryul ............................................. [326] Lee, Eunhee ................................................... [7] Lee, Heng-chi ............................................. [323] Lee, Hojun .................................................. [192] Lee, Jin-Ping ............................................... [122] Lee, Jinhyung ............................................... [44] Lee, Joe ...................................................... [279] Lee, Jong Jae ............................................. [127] Lee, Jongyearn ........................................... [135] Lee, Junsoo .................................................. [54] Lee, Mihye .................................................. [251] Lee, Myoung-Jae ........................................ [286] Lee, Shi Young ............................................. [40] Lee, Young Hoon .............. [51] [132] [160] [180] Lee, Young-Ki ............................................. [147] Leeds, Eva Marikova ......................... [132] [196] Leeds, Michael A. ........... [112] [196] [261] [296] Leeth, John ................................................. [329] Lefgren, Lars J. ............................................... [1] Lehner, Alexander ........................................ [74] Lemieux, Thomas .............................. [111] [172] Leonard, Henry "Chip" ................[77] [117] [223] Leonard, Robert S. ..................................... [291] Leonce-Regalado, Tesa E. ......................... [295] Lepore, Jason J. ......................................... [243] Lesica, Joe .................................................. [316] Leu, Shawn C-Y.......................................... [248] Leung, PingSun ............................................ [14] Levy-Yeyati, Eduardo ................................. [270] Lewis, David J............................................. [148] Lewis, Randall ................................................ [1] Li, Bei ............................................................ [69] Li, Bing ................................................... [84] [98] Li, Bingjing .................................................... [80] Li, Frank Zhichuan ............................... [63] [141] Li, Guoqiang ................................................. [19] Li, Hao-Chung............................................... [22] Li, Hongbin .................................................. [298] Li, Huiqing ................................................... [204] Li, Ian W. ....................................................... [45] Li, Jiayi ........................................................ [200] Li, Jie ................................................. [101] [121] Li, Jing ........................................................ [221] Li, Lixing ...................................................... [197] Li, Wilson X. B. ............................................. [25] Li, Xiao Ping .................................................. [61] Li, Xiao-Ming .......................................... [42] [83] Li, Xiaofan ................................................... [290] Li, Xiaoxue .................................................. [297] Li, Xin .......................................................... [144]

Li, Yanze ..................................................... [250] Li, Yi Xian ..................................................... [61] Li, Yupeng .................................................. [202] Lian, Chuah Lay ........................................... [81] Liang, Che-Yuan ......................................... [230] Liao, Shian-Yu .............................................. [96] Liaukonyte, Jura ......................................... [221] Liebenau, Jonathan .................................... [198] Light, Thomas ....[18] [77] [117] [162] [181] [201] [223] [246] [291] [309] [329] Lim, Byung In ................................................ [44] Lim, Dickson ................................................. [58] Lim, Gieyoung .............................................. [52] Lin, Ching-Yi ................................................. [41] Lin, Eric S. ......................................... [265] [286] Lin, Faqin ............................................... [84] [98] Lin, Huei Wen ............................................. [281] Lin, Kristina ................................................. [258] Lin, Ping ...................................................... [118] Lin, Richard C. ............................................ [212] Lin, Shinn-Juh ............................................. [242] Lin, Shu-Chin .............................................. [271] Lin, Youhong .............................................. [233] Linask, Maia ................................................. [73] Lindo, Jason M. ................................. [175] [319] Lindsay, David H. ....................................... [341] Link, Charles R. .............................................. [8] Lipton, Brandy ............................................ [273] Lissitsa, Sabina .......................................... [278] Liu, Bei ............................................... [170] [185] Liu, Bo .......................................................... [67] Liu, Feng ..................................................... [233] Liu, HaiYue ................................................... [61] Liu, Junhao ................................................. [188] Liu, Lu ........................................... [15] [17] [170] Liu, Qing ....................................................... [13] Liu, Ta-Jung ................................................ [227] Liu, Wen-Chien ............................... [187.5] [333] Liu, Xingfei .................................................... [79] Liu, Yinan .................................................... [127] Liu, Zexuan ................................................ [11.5] Liu, Zhiqiang ............................................... [100] Logan, Trevon D. ................................. [74] [316] Loginova, Oksana ....................................... [200] Long, Mark C. ............................................. [256] Long, Xuewen ............................................ [287] Lorell, Mark ................................................. [181] Loudat, Thomas A. ..................................... [217] Lowe, Ben ..................................................... [75] Lu, Huei-Fu ................................................. [281] Lu, Lee-Jung ................................................. [29] Lu, Na ........................................................... [90] Lu, Runjing ................................................... [25] Lu, Yan Olivia ............................................... [54] Lubiani, Gregory G. ............................. [44] [295] Luh, Yir-Hueih ............................................. [323] Lukongo, Onyumbe .................................... [327] Lumbantobing, Rotua ................................... [51] Lundberg, Clark .......................................... [214] Luo, Shan ................................................... [122] Luo, Yu ......................................................... [10] Luoto, Jill E. ................................................ [173] Lush, Mark .................................................. [244] Luzius, Michael ............................................. [73] Lyu, Guangming ......................................... [144] Ma, Eunseong ............................................ [182]

Ma, Hong ...................................................... [22] Ma, Jie ........................................................ [230] Ma, Kebin .......................................... [120] [187] Ma, Qianqian .............................................. [100] Ma, Shaoying.............................................. [221] Ma, Xiaochen.............................................. [314] Machovec, Frank M. ................................... [264] Maclean, Johanna C ................................. [218] MacNeill, Timothy ......................................... [75] MacPhail, Fiona .......................................... [145] Macri, Joseph ............................................. [271] Maeda, Kiyotaka ...................................... [306.5] Maerzluft, Chris .......................................... [223] Magnabosco, Ana Lelia .............................. [107] Mahjabeen, Rubana ..................................... [85] Mahmud, Sakib............................................. [85] Majbouri, Mahdi ................................. [127] [325] Majid, Farhan.............................................. [273] Malec, Andrew M. ....................................... [128] Mallatt, Justine................................... [143] [301] Malone, Lauren.................. [77] [117] [223] [268] Mamun, Saleh ............................................ [297] Mandal, Bidisha ............................................ [44] Mandell, Kara ............................................. [329] Manfre, Chris .............................................. [101] Manski, Charles F. ............................ [153] [173] Mansour, Fady............................................ [295] Marchand, Joseph ...................................... [289] Marchelle, Taylor Paige ................................ [38] Mariani, Fabio ............................................. [280] Marinescu, Ioana ........................................ [275] Marjit, Sugata ............................................. [270] Markowsky, Eva ......................................... [125] Marks, Stephen V. ........................................ [40] Marktanner, Marcus ................................... [345] Marques, Yeande ......................................... [71] Martin, Darius D.......................................... [106] Martin, Stephen .......................................... [222] Martinez-Garcia, Enrique ...... [4] [21] [140] [310] Martinez-San Roman, Valeriano .................. [80] Martynova, Natalya ............................. [42] [120] Maruyama, Shiko ...................................... [266] Marvasti, Akbar........................................... [130] Maskara, Pankaj ...................................... [187.5] Masten, Matt ............................................... [178] Maswana, Jean-Claude ..................... [167] [185] Matheson, Victor A. .................................... [171] Mattock, Michael .......................................... [95] Maurel, Arnaud ........................................... [105] Maurer-Fazio, Margaret .............................. [145] Mayordomo, Sergio ............................... [21] [39] Mazumder, Diya B. ..................................... [215] Mazumder, Sandeep .................................. [115] Mbaye, Linguere Mously ............................ [191] McAsey, Michael .......................................... [36] McAvoy, Michael .......................................... [74] McCarthy, Aine Seitz .................................. [193] McCollough, John ......................................... [30] McCord, Gordon C. ...................................... [64] McCrady, Barbara ...................................... [297] McFadden, Daniel L. .................................. [153] McFall, Todd A. ............................................ [51] McGinty, Emma B. ..................................... [175] McGlothlin, Alexander J. ............................ [200] McGowan, Danny ....................................... [142] McInerney, Melissa .................................... [296] McKeon, Jake ............................................. [181]

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McLaughlin, Eoin ........................................ [247] McLaughlin, Joanne Song .......................... [100] McMillan, David ................................. [238] [344] McNichols, Drew ......................................... [143] Medlen, Craig A. ......................................... [289] Meer, Jonathan ........................................... [321] Megginson, William....................................... [63] Mehay, Stephen L......................................... [57] Mehrotra, Aaron N. ..................................... [138] Meinhofer, Angelica .................................... [229] Mejia, Juan-Felipe ...................................... [292] Mekonnen, Tigist ........................................ [285] Melese, Francois ........................................ [246] Mendez-Carbajo, Diego ................................ [93] Meng, Lingsheng ........................................ [298] Mengistu, Daniel A...................................... [154] Mercier, Marion ........................................... [280] Merkel, Almuth D. ....................................... [345] Mertins, Vanessa .......................................... [75] Meslier, Celine ............................................ [102] Metz, Neil ............................................. [16] [199] Meyer, Chris ........................................ [95] [268] Meyer, Jake .................................... [6] [19] [101] Miao, Chun-Hui ........................................... [245] Miao, Jerry Chen-Yu ..................................... [17] Michaelides, Alexander .............................. [165] Michalski, Tomasz ................................. [5] [102] Michieka, Nyakundi..................................... [342] Milcheva, Stanislava ................................... [238] Miller, Jacob ................................................ [272] Miller, Keaton S. .........................[27] [143] [301] Miller, Laura .................................................. [95] Miller, Stephen M. ....................................... [134] Miller, Stephen Matteo .................................. [78] Miller, Tom .................................................. [327] Miller, Trey .................................................. [105] Millone, Matteo .................................. [102] [123] Min, Heechul ................................................. [52] Miranda, Gerardo........................................ [146] Mitchell, David T. .......................................... [44] Mitchell, Heather ......................................... [216] Mitkov, Yuliyan.............................................. [62] Mitra, Arnab ................................................ [214] Mitra, Subrata K. ........................................... [49] Miyakawa, Daisuke ..................................... [180] Miyake, Atsushi...................................... [38] [94] Miyakoshi, Tatsuyoshi ................................ [116] Mo, Wan-Shin ............................................. [183] Mocking, Remco ......................................... [123] Modestino, Alicia Sasser ............................ [230] Mogab, Jack ............................................... [224] Mohr, Robert D. .......................................... [275] Molina, Teresa .............................................. [24] Monaco, Andrew ......................................... [214] Mondschean, Thomas S. ......................... [187.5] Monreal, Javiera ........................................... [65] Montet, Christian......................................... [241] Moore, Oliver .............................................. [320] Moore, Richard ............................................... [9] Moore, Winston R. ...................................... [195] Mora, Marie T. ..........................[146] [154] [166] Morehouse, Dara ........................................ [190] Morrow, Peter M. ................................. [80] [119] Motomura, Akira .................................. [51] [132] Mouminoux, Claire ........................................ [55] Mozumder, Pallab ......................................... [85] Mueller, Nathan ............................................ [64]

Mueller, Rosie ............................................. [169] Muggy, Luke ............................................... [246] Mugizi, Francisco M.P ................................ [167] Mukherjee, Anita ................ [27] [143] [175] [188] Mukherjee, Arijit .......................................... [270] Mukunoki, Hiroshi ....................................... [184] Mullen, Kathleen J. ..................................... [124] Munasib, Abdul A. ............................... [80] [119] Mundra, Kusum ..................................... [33] [66] Muro, Kazunobu ........................................... [38] Murphy, Anthony ................................... [4] [122] Murphy, Robert G. ...................................... [183] Murphy, Ryan O. ........................................ [244] Murray, Carla Tighe .................... [77] [117] [329] Murray, Seth ............................................... [275] Mushinski, David W. ................................... [286] Nagaraj, Priya ........................................ [80] [99] Naghsh Nejad, Maryam .............................. [167] Nagler, Matthew G. ............................ [136] [234] Naiborhu, Elis ...................................... [39] [142] Naito, Tohru .................................................. [11] Najjar, Nouri ................................................ [109] Nakabayashi, Masaki ................................... [86] Nakamuro, Makiko ...................................... [231] Nakata, Kazuko .......................................... [163] Naknoi, Kanda ..................................... [99] [119] Namingit, Sheryll ........................................ [256] Nanivazo, Malokele .................................... [285] Nasseh, Kamyar ......................................... [116] Natraj, Ganesh Viswanath ....................... [6] [59] Navarro, Salvador ......................................... [26] Nayak, Arnab .............................................. [292] Nazneen, Mahnaz ...................................... [179] Ndhlela, Thandinkosi .................................... [78] Nehiba, Cody .............................................. [150] Nelson, Julianne ......................................... [181] Nene, Gibson .............................................. [255] Nesseler, Cornel ......................................... [281] Nestorowicz, Joanna .................................. [154] Neymotin, Florence ................................. [187.5] Ng, Irene ..................................................... [327] Ng, Yew-Kwang .......................................... [159] Ngo, Christine ............................................... [89] Nguyen, Anh TN ......................................... [270] Nguyen, Chi Duc ........................................ [118] Nguyen, Huyen ......................... [102] [123] [142] Nguyen, Kiet Tuan ...................................... [169] Nguyen, Luyen ............................................. [29] Nguyen, Minh T. ......................................... [298] Nguyen, My ................................................ [299] Nguyen, Nam .............................. [63] [103] [186] Ni, Yinan ....................................................... [34] Nichiporuk, Brian ........................................ [117] Nicholas, Lauren ................................ [175] [188] Nieswiadomy, Michael L. ............................ [217] Nigro, Peter J. ............................................. [294] Nikolaou, Dimitrios ...................................... [210] Nillesen, Eleonora ...................................... [285] Nishitateno, Shuhei .................................... [215] Nistor, Simona ............................................ [142] Niu, Mengqi .................................................. [34] Nkusu, Mwanza .......................................... [285] Nlemfu, Jean Blaise ........................... [185] [254] No, Sung Chul ................................... [323] [341] Noda, Akihiko .......................................... [306.5] Norris, Jonathan ......................................... [318]

Noss, Joseph ..................................... [120] [187] Novak, Ethan .............................................. [201] Nowell, Clifford ........................................... [265] Nugent, Jeffrey B. [24] [48] [70] [114] [127] [219] [240] [263] [284] [314] [325] [344] [345] Nunley, John M........................................... [339] O'Connor, Kelsey J. .................................... [179] O'Hare, John .............................................. [176] O'Keefe, Siobhan ....................................... [304] O'Lawrence, Henry ..................................... [258] O'Sullivan, Conall ....................................... [262] Oaxaca, Ronald L. ............................. [105] [232] Ocampo, Jose A. ........................................ [250] Occhino, Filippo ................................... [82] [164] Odularu, Gbadebo ...................................... [285] Oezdemir, Anil ............................................ [196] Ofrit, Kol ...................................................... [278] Ogasawara, Kota ........................................ [338] Ogawa, Hikaru ................................... [163] [209] Ogrokhina, Olena ................................ [59] [138] Oh, John Junggun ...................................... [155] Oh, Soohyun............................................... [205] Ohler, Adrienne ............................................ [71] Ohls, Jana ........................................... [39] [186] Ojeda-Joya, Jair ......................................... [250] Ojede, Andrew ................................... [224] [254] Okano, Eiji .................................................... [97] Olabisi, Michael A. ...................................... [274] Oladosu, Gbadebo ..................................... [194] Oliver, Mikiko .............................................. [190] Omay, Tolga ............................................... [284] Ong, Qiyan ................................................. [327] Ongena, Steven .................................. [39] [142] Opoku, Eric Evans Osei ........... [174] [185] [254] Orozco, Marlene ......................................... [146] Orozco-Aleman, Sandra ...................... [66] [154] Orozco-Rocha, Karina .................................. [64] Ors, Evren .................................... [5] [102] [123] Orvis, Bruce ................................................ [223] Osberg, Lars ............................................... [253] Osei, Michael .............................................. [213] Ossandon Busch, Matias ...................... [39] [62] Osumi, Yasuyuki .......................................... [94] Otaki, Masayuki .......................................... [163] Otter, Nils .................................................... [114] Otting, Marius ............................................... [16] Otto, Glenn ................................................. [135] Ouyang, Alice Y. ........................................... [60] Owen, Jeffrey G. ............................... [132] [196] Oxley, Les................................................... [247] Ozak, Omer ................................................ [343] Ozbeklik, Serkan ........................................ [299] Ozuna Jr., Teofilo ....................................... [279] Packham, Analisa M. ........................... [27] [175] Padovani, Andrew ............................. [232] [257] Paes, Nelson L. .......................................... [338] Pagaduan, Jesson ........................................ [58] Pai, Mi Kyung ............................................. [219] Pakel, Banu Demir ......................................... [5] Paklina, Sofia.............................................. [237] Pal, Sarmistha ..................................... [24] [219] Paleckova, Iveta ........................................... [17] Palermo, Tia ............................................... [193] Pan, Huiran............................................ [84] [98] Panda, Pallavi............................................... [64]

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Pannullo, Jerry ............................................ [267] Papadopoulos, Georgios ............................ [196] Papillon, Benoit M. ........................................ [74] Paquin, Bethany P. ..................................... [316] Park, Daekeun ............................................ [155] Park, Danbee .............................................. [294] Park, Hae Yeun ......................................... [11.5] Park, Hyeon ................................................ [136] Park, Jungsoo .................................... [160] [180] Park, Kwang-Woo ....................................... [190] Park, Sangwon ............................................. [52] Park, Seonyoung .......................................... [29] Park, Ziho ................................................... [330] Parker, Jeffrey A. ........................................ [330] Parker, Susan W........................................... [64] Parshakov, Petr ................................. [237] [281] Parsons, Donald O. .................................... [232] Pasaribu, Katryn ........................................... [90] Pascalau, Razvan ......................................... [54] Patel, Hardik ............................................... [262] Patra, Soma ................................................ [310] Patterson, Richard W. ........................... [1] [199] Pavel, Tanvir ................................................. [85] Pavlova, Milena .......................................... [285] Payne, Abigail ............................................. [252] Pearlman, Sarah .................................... [33] [66] Pechacek, Julie A. ........................ [77] [95] [201] Peng, Amy .................................................. [191] Peng, Cheng-Hau ....................................... [340] Peng, Daoju .................................................. [13] Peng, Hui-Chun .......................................... [243] Pentecost, Eric J. ................................. [60] [101] Pepper, John V. .......................................... [178] Perez, Victoria ................................... [175] [188] Perez-Reyna, David...................................... [41] Peri, Giovanni ............................................. [257] Peroni, Chiara ............................................. [179] Perotti, Enrico ............................................... [42] Peter, Klara S. .............................................. [47] Peterman, Amber........................................ [193] Petrie, Ragan .............................................. [319] Pettigrew, James C..................................... [210] Pfingsten, Andreas .............................. [82] [123] Pham, Han Julie ......................................... [296] Phan, Hieu ........................................... [63] [186] Phelps, Peter M. ......................................... [222] Phipps, Shelley A........................................ [211] Piao, Xiang Dan .......................................... [125] Picucci, Peter ................................................ [77] Pieters, Arne ............................................... [104] Pieters, Gina C. ....................................... [3] [20] Piger, Jeremy .............................................. [203] Pikulina, Elena ............................................ [199] Pint, Ellen M. ..... [18] [77] [117] [162] [181] [201] [223] [246] [309] [329] Pintea, Mihaela ............................................. [96] Piracha, Matloob ......................................... [191] Pisani, Michael J. ........................................ [146] Piszczek, Matthew ...................................... [339] Plotnick, Robert .......................................... [256] Poirine, Bernard ................................. [241] [264] Pongou, Roland .......................................... [285] Pope, Nolan G. ............................................... [1] Popli, Gurleen ............................................... [96] Porter, Eric .................................................. [341] Posmanick, Benjamin ................................. [320] Pothier, David ............................................. [187]

Potiowsky, Thomas P. ................................ [134] Potts, Jason .................................................. [20] Powell, Owen .............................................. [234] Pozo, Susan ...................................... [146] [154] Pratoomchat, Praopan .................................. [85] Pratt, Bryan ................................................. [108] Price, Michael ............................................... [70] Prieger, James E. ....................................... [209] Prieto, Rodolfo ................................................ [4] Proto, Eugenio ............................................ [179] Puaschunder, Julia ............................ [136] [278] Pyun, Hyunwoong ............................. [171] [237] Qasim, Mubashir ........................................ [247] Qian, Yiwei ................................................. [314] Qiao, Zhuo .................................................... [15] Qin, Lijian .................................................... [233] Qiu, Mei ........................................................ [83] Quintero, Luis ............................................ [11.5] Radmard, Hossein ........................................ [76] Raffiee, Kambiz .......................................... [271] Ramalingam, Abhijit .................................... [159] Ramanayaka, A.R.N.D. .............................. [151] Ramirez, Miguel D. ......................................... [5] Ramirez, Stefanie R. .................................. [340] Randrianariso, Laingo ........................... [31] [50] Ransom, Michael R. ................................... [105] Ransom, Tyler M. .............................. [105] [256] Rao, Akhil ................................................... [130] Rascher, Daniel A. ...................................... [171] Ratnatunga, Minoli ...................................... [279] Raynold, Prosper ........................................ [280] Raza, Mian Farrukh .................................... [184] Razek, Noha A. ............................................ [71] Reade, James ............................................ [261] Rebessi, Filippo ............................................ [41] Reed, Robert R. ............................................ [97] Rehbein, Oliver ......................... [103] [123] [142] Reich, Michael ............................................ [172] Reichman, Nancy E. ................................... [126] Reinhardt, Dennis ......................................... [62] Reinhorn, Leslie J. ...................................... [245] Rewilak, Johan ............................................. [69] Reynolds, Christopher ................................ [274] Rezaei, Shahamak ..................................... [129] Rhee, Chong-Ook ....................................... [155] Rhee, Yeongseop ....................................... [147] Rho, Deborah T. ......................................... [257] Richard, Kyle ......................................... [3] [182] Richards, Timothy J. ................................... [149] Riddell, W. Craig ........................................... [88] Ristiniemi, Annukka .................................... [311] Riyanto, Yohanes Eko ................................ [159] Ro, Yoon Jae .............................................. [253] Roa-Henriquez, Alfredo .............................. [236] Roach, Travis ............................................. [302] Roberts, Gavin E. ....................................... [202] Robertson, Mari .......................................... [248] Robinson, Brian .......................................... [130] Rockerbie, Duane W. .......................... [16] [151] Rodgers, James D. ..................................... [239] Rodriguez, Cesar M. ................... [59] [138] [313] Rodriguez, Juan Gabriel ............................. [161] Roed Larsen, Erling .................................... [303] Roer, Elizabeth Hastings ................... [162] [201] Rogers, William H. .................... [156] [217] [239]

Rogmans, Tim J. ........................................ [265] Rohde, Nicholas ......................................... [253] Rohit, Abhishek Kumar ............................... [138] Rohla, Ryne A. ........................................... [290] Romana, Amrit.............................................. [77] Rondina, Giacomo ...................................... [130] Roney, Thomas M. ..................................... [239] Rose, Adam ................................................ [236] Rose, Liam ................................................. [108] Rose, Susan L. ........................................... [223] Rosenbaum, David I. .................................. [282] Rosenman, Robert .............................. [45] [253] Rosoff, Heather .......................................... [236] Ross, Johannes ............................................ [55] Rossi, Giambattista .................................... [196] Rosston, Gregory L. ..................................... [87] Rousseau, Peter L. ...................................... [69] Rovira, Flavia.................................................. [5] Rozelle, Scott D. ......................................... [314] Rudel, Paul ........................................ [135] [289] Ruebeck, Christopher S. ................... [158] [176] Ruhm, Christopher J. ................................. [339] Rulliere, Jean-Louis ...................................... [55] Ruseski, Jane E. . [16] [32] [51] [112] [126] [132] [151] [171] [196] [216] [237] [261] [281] [297] Ruvalcava, Raymundo ................................... [9] Ruzzo, Amelia L. ........................................ [248] Ryou, Jai-Won ............................................ [155] Ryu, Deockhyun ......................................... [213] Sabaa, Salah .............................................. [114] Sabatini, Fabio............................................ [159] Sachs, Florian............................................. [104] Sadrieh, Abdolkarim ................................... [104] Safa, Alain .................................................... [48] Sagyndykova, Galiya .................................. [232] Saha, Bibhas .............................. [24] [219] [314] Saito, Kuniyoshi ............................................ [43] Saizan, Alexandra ........................................ [77] Sakyi, Daniel...................................... [174] [185] Salami, Adeleke O. ..................................... [168] Salas, Rafael .............................................. [161] Saleh, Fahad .............................................. [305] Sandholtz, Wayne A. .................................. [243] Sandvik, Jason ........................................... [252] Sant, Stacy-Lynn ........................................ [151] Santacreu-Vasut, Estefania ........................ [343] Santarrosa, Rogerio B. ............................... [328] Santhirakumar, Samithamby ...................... [287] Santos, Ricardo M. ....................................... [51] Saouma, Richard ........................................ [252] Saplala, Dino Carlo A. ................................ [110] Sapriza, Horacio ........................................... [39] Sara, Raisa ................................................. [319] Sarid, Assaf ................................................ [343] Sarnstrom, Todd, II ..................................... [154] Sarracino, Francesco ........................ [159] [179] Sasahara, Akira .......................... [99] [119] [205] Sattari, Yaser .............................................. [110] Saucedo, Eduardo ............................. [194] [279] Sauler, Mariel Monica ................................... [58] Sauviat, Alain.............................................. [102] Saving, Jason L. ......................................... [228] Sawada, Michiru ......................................... [160] Sawyer, W. Charles .................................... [192] Sayeed, Jamil ............................................... [85] Sbeykoon, A.M.S.J.P. ................................ [151]

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Schaeck, Klaus .................................. [123] [186] Scharf, Kim ................................................. [252] Schaumburg, Julia ...................................... [165] Schell, Greggory ......................................... [246] Schertler, Andrea .......................................... [63] Scheubel, Beatrice...................................... [103] Schipper, Tyler C. ....................................... [203] Schirmer, Peter ........................................... [117] Schmidt, Joerg ............................[97] [289] [311] Schneemann, Sandra .......................... [16] [261] Schneider, Markus P. ................................... [89] Schoellman, Todd ......................................... [89] Scholten, Hendrik ................................ [16] [261] Schomaker, Rahel ....... [24] [48] [70] [114] [127] [219] [240] [263] [284] [314] [325] [344] [345] Schreyer, Paul .............................................. [56] Schulze, Mike ............................................. [208] Schwarz, Peter M. ...................................... [236] Schweitzer, Mark E. .................................... [279] Schwille, Michael ........................................ [117] Seagren, Chad.............................................. [57] Sedik, David ................................................ [345] Seefeldt, Bryanna ....................................... [295] Seegert, Nathan.......................................... [252] Seifried, Jurgen........................................... [115] Seki, Erika ................................................... [326] Sellak, Manaf .............................................. [328] Sen, Bisakha ............................................... [229] Senanayake, R.M.C.A. ............................... [151] Seo, Boyoung ............................................. [301] Setren, Elizabeth ........................................ [320] Sever, Can .................................................... [89] Sfeir, Raymond E........................................ [113] Sgroi, Daniel ............................................... [179] Shafran, Aric ............................................... [243] Shah, Manisha ............................................ [110] Shahbaz, Muhammad .................................. [70] Shahin, Wassim ................................... [48] [284] Shahrier, Nur Ain .......................................... [81] Shang, Li Dan .................................... [265] [286] Shao, Enchuan ...................................... [4] [165] Shao, Liang ........................................ [174] [189] Shao, Xiaokuai............................................ [170] Shao, Yuchen ............................................. [209] Shapiro, Steven J. ............................. [156] [217] Sharma, Padma R. ..................................... [227] Sharma, Rajiv ................................................. [8] Sheehan-Connor, Damien .......................... [221] Sheldon-London, Monika ............................ [114] Shemetov, Valery ....................................... [227] Shen, Leilei ........................................ [100] [174] Sheng, Pengfei ............................................. [30] Sheng, Yu ..................................................... [14] Sheridan, Brandon ...................................... [260] Shestakova, Natalia .................................... [234] Sheu, Sheng-Jang ...................................... [323] Shi, Kang ...................................................... [13] Shi, Ying ............................................ [274] [318] Shiamptanis, Christos ................................... [37] Shigeoka, Hitoshi ............................... [175] [188] Shih, Pei-Cyuan .......................................... [302] Shikher, Serge ............................................ [225] Shimada, Akira ........................................... [116] Shin, Donggyun ............................................ [29] Shin, Eunhae .............................................. [127] Shin, Michael J. .......................................... [315] Shoham, Amir ............................................. [343]

Shuford, Robert .......................................... [246] Shukla, Rashmi .......................................... [177] Sikic, Luka .................................................... [89] Silwal, Shikha ........................................ [33] [66] Sim, Yeonwoo ............................................ [202] Simione, Felix ............................................... [78] Simmons, Robert ........................................ [196] Simon, Daniel H. ........................................... [91] Simpson, Thuy ............................................ [186] Sin, Ray ...................................................... [244] Sinay, Tony ................................................. [258] Singleton, John ........................................... [318] Skoog, Gary R. ........................................... [282] Sleeman, Allan G. ....................................... [115] Smith, A. Lee .............................................. [220] Smith, Austin C. .......................................... [116] Smith, Ben O. ............................................. [290] Smith, Garrett ............................................. [331] Smith, Julie K. ............................................. [176] Smith, Meagan ........................................... [291] Smith, Patricia K. ............................... [128] [317] Smith, Sarah ............................................... [252] Smith, W. James ........................................ [161] Smuts, Anson E. ......................................... [128] Smyth, Russell .............................................. [79] Snoddy, Iain G. ........................................... [257] Sohag, Kazi .................................................. [70] Sohn, Wook .................................................. [12] Soliman, Ali ................................................. [114] Solow, John L. ............................................ [112] Sommervoll, Dag Einar ............................... [303] Son, Nyeong Seon .............................. [99] [119] Sonchak, Lyudmyla .................................... [273] Song, Chi-Young ........................................ [155] Song, Hosin .................................................. [52] Song, Xuguang ........................................... [144] Sonnega, Amanda ...................................... [339] Sorrentino, John A. ..................................... [108] Soydemir, Gokce A. .................................... [341] Spangler, Ethan .......................................... [290] Spearot, Alan C. ........................... [80] [99] [119] Spieler, Andrew C. ............................. [251] [331] Spizman, Joshua ........................................ [331] Sprincean, Nicu .......................................... [142] Springborn, Michael .................................... [235] Spurr, Stephen J. ............................... [152] [282] Stanga, Irina ............................................... [164] Stano, Miron ................................................... [8] Stansel, Dean ............................................... [92] Stavros, Constantino .................................. [216] Steiner, Eva ................................................ [148] Steingrimsdottir, Herdis .............................. [300] Steinwender, Claudia ................................... [99] Stewart, Kenneth G. ..................................... [14] Stewart, Mark F. ......................................... [216] Stock, Wendy A. ........................................... [10] Stoddard, Brock V. ............................ [104] [159] Stone, James Craig .................... [18] [181] [309] Streletskaya, Nadia .................................... [221] Stroup, Caleb .............................................. [115] Su, Xuejuan .................................................. [36] Suardi, Sandy ................................. [187.5] [333] Suarez, Gustavo .................................... [21] [39] Suarez, Javier ............................................... [42] Suh, Sangwon ............................................ [315] Sula, Ozan .................................................. [101] Sullivan, Ryan ............................... [57] [77] [329]

Summers, Garrett ................................ [57] [267] Summers, Peter M. ...................................... [37] Sun, Cheng................................................. [186] Sun, Jin ................................................ [98] [170] Sun, Shuqiao .............................................. [335] Sun, Wei ..................................................... [287] Sun, Yanfei ................................................. [121] Sun, Yanming ............................................. [109] Sundelius, Dag Martin ................................ [303] Suresh, Jeyapraba ..................................... [260] Susa, Taiki .................................................. [209] Susu-Mago, Raven ......................................... [8] Sutter, Matthias ................................. [199] [234] Svec, Jiri ....................................................... [20] Sytsma, Toby......................................... [31] [50] Takats, Elod................................................ [333] Takeucki, Ai ................................................ [326] Takizawa, Miho........................................... [160] Talamanca, Gianna Figa ......................... [3] [20] Tam, Pui Sun ................................................ [19] Tamada, Keiko ........................................... [189] Tamer, Elie ................................................. [178] Tan, Guofu.................................................. [127] Tanaka, Makoto ............................................ [91] Tang, Gordon Y. N. ...................................... [25] Tang, Sam Hak Kan ..................................... [69] Tang, Yihong ................................................ [98] Tang, Zhengyang ....................................... [141] Tangvatcharapong, Meradee ..................... [231] Tani, Massimiliano ............................... [79] [191] Tao, Hung-Lin ............................................. [211] Tao, Ran ..................................................... [121] Tapia, Christina P. .. [152] [156] [172] [217] [239] [282] Tarazi, Amine ...................................... [82] [103] Taschdjian, Martin ........................................ [87] Tate, David M. .......................... [181] [246] [291] Taylor, Keith ................................................. [93] Taylor, Matthew P. ....................................... [75] Taylor, Rebecca ................................ [149] [190] Temesvary, Judit ........................ [39] [164] [333] Tena Horrillo, Juan de Dios ........................ [261] Tepper, Jonathan A. ................................... [220] Tergiman, Chloe ......................................... [199] Theseira, Walter ......................................... [327] Thomas, Danna Kang ....................... [143] [301] Thomas, Mallika M. ...................................... [47] Thompson, Shane Ellis .............................. [150] Thornton, Robert J. ...................................... [68] Thorsnes, Paul E. ....................................... [197] Thosar, Satish ............................................ [331] Tian, Wei ...................................................... [61] Tica, Josip .................................................... [89] Tick, Simona ................................................. [57] Tillmann, Peter .................................... [97] [135] Tilson, Sebastian ........................................ [123] Timmons, Edward J. ..................................... [68] Tine, Rafael ................................................ [338] Tinkler, Sarah E. ............................................. [8] Tiongco, Marites ........................................... [64] Tito, Maria Domenica ................................. [139] Tiwari, Aviral Kumar ..................................... [48] Tiwari, Kashi Nath ...................................... [341] Todorov, Radomir ......................................... [62] Tombe, Trevor ....................................... [80] [99] Tong, Patricia ........................................ [77] [95]

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Tong, Sodany ............................................... [76] Tonzer, Lena ................................................. [62] Toukan, Amjad............................................ [334] Toussaint-Comeau, Maude ..................... [187.5] Toutkoushian, Robert K. ............................. [265] Townsend, James....................................... [172] Tracy, Ronald L. ......................................... [183] Tran, Audrey Q. ............................................ [28] Tran, Hai ..................................................... [331] Treme, Julianne ............................................ [16] Trimbath, Susanne ..................................... [271] Trost, Robert P. .......................................... [246] Trudeau, Jennifer........................................ [253] Truett, Dale B................................................ [94] Truett, Lila J. ................................................. [94] Trunkey, R. Derek.............................. [201] [309] Trussell, Melissa ......................................... [266] Tsai, Ming-Fang .......................................... [302] Tsai, Tiffany ................................................ [223] Tsasa Vangu, Jean-Paul K. ........................ [287] Tseng, Jen-Jen ............................................... [6] Tu, Yi .......................................................... [170] Tucek, David ............................................... [239] Tumennasan, Norov ................................... [326] Tverdostup, Maryna .................................... [234] Tyrowicz, Joanna ................................. [66] [154] Uchiba, Prudencia ........................................ [28] Uchida, Hideaki............................................. [69] Udis, Bernard .............................................. [291] Ueda, Ken ................................................... [299] Uemura, Aya ............................................... [231] Ueng, K.L. Glen .......................................... [340] Uhlig, Harald ............................................... [248] Ulrick, Shawn W. ........................................ [192] Ume, Ejindu S. .............................................. [97] Ume, Laila ..................................................... [12] Upadhyaya, Kamal ....................................... [41] Ural Marchand, Beyza ................................ [332] Uruyos, Manachaya .................................... [317] Vacaflores, Diego E. ................................... [182] Vadasz, Tamas ........................................... [120] Vaillant, Marcel ............................................... [5] Valcarcel, Victor ................................. [220] [310] Valli, Elsa .................................................... [193] van der Velde, Lucas ............................. [33] [66] Van Gaasbeck, Kristin A. .............................. [38] van Inwegen, Emma ................................... [256] van Lelyveld, Iman ...................................... [165] van Oordt, Maarten .................................. [3] [42] Vavrus, Joseph ........................................... [139] Vazquez, Jose J. ........................................ [212] Veidis, Erika ................................................ [149] Veith, Pat ...................................................... [77] Velasquez, Hermilson ................................. [292] Vellodi, Nikhil ................................................ [36] Vig, John Alex ............................................... [77] Vigdor, Jacob L. ................................. [172] [256] Villa, Kira ....................................................... [90] Villas-Boas, Sofia........................................ [190] Vindas Quesada, Alberto J. .......................... [89] Vishwasrao, Sharmila V. ............................ [296] Vitner, Mark ................................................ [303] Vlahu, Razvan ..................................... [62] [164] Vlassopoulos, Michael .................................. [75] Vo, Quynh-Anh .................................. [103] [187]

Vogt, Benedikt ............................................ [123] Volkov, Nikanor I. ....................................... [156] von Allmen, Peter ....................................... [261] von der Goltz, Jan ........................................ [64] Vu, Nam ...................................................... [140] Vujicic, Marko ............................................. [116] Wada, Ryoko .............................................. [327] Wada, Tatsuma ....................................... [306.5] Waddell, Glen R. ............................... [143] [321] Wagner, Andrew J. ..................................... [341] Walch, Ryan ................................................. [91] Walker, Duncan G. ....................................... [12] Walker, Michael S. ...................................... [320] Walker, Rosemary ...................................... [212] Wall, Larry D. .............................................. [123] Wallace, Akilah ........................................... [291] Wallsten, Scott .............................................. [87] Wan, Hong .................................................... [49] Wang, Alan T. ............................................... [54] Wang, Chi-ling .............................................. [17] Wang, Chia-Chi ............................................ [11] Wang, Dieter ........................................ [82] [165] Wang, Haining .............................................. [79] Wang, Jin .................................................... [200] Wang, Leran ............................................... [191] Wang, Ming-Chang ......................................... [7] Wang, Rui ................................................... [321] Wang, Ruoying ........................................... [139] Wang, Shihang ........................................... [296] Wang, Wei-Neng .......................................... [29] Wang, Wenche ........................... [32] [112] [151] Wang, Xiaosong ......................................... [254] Wang, Xupeng ............................................ [314] Wang, Yafei ................................................ [144] Wang, Yanghao .......................................... [272] Wang, Yun-Yi ............................................. [315] Warnock, Frank E. ...................................... [270] Warnock, Veronica Cacdac ........................ [270] Washington, Ebonya L. .............................. [111] Wassmer, Robert W. ......................... [209] [316] Watson, Barry ............................................. [253] Weber, Caroline .......................... [27] [143] [301] Wehby, George .......................................... [126] Wei, Honghong ........................................... [140] Weimann, Joachim ............................ [104] [159] Weinstein, Marc A. ..................................... [152] Welling, Linda ............................................. [107] Weng, Pei-Chen ........................................... [22] Wenger, Jeffrey B. ........................ [77] [95] [105] Wese Simen, Chardin ................................. [262] West, Jeremy .............................................. [108] Wething, Hilary ........................................... [256] Whalley, Alex .............................................. [139] Whinston, Andrew B. .................................. [290] White, G. Thomas ....................................... [212] White, Lawrence J. ....................................... [25] Whitley, John E. ................................... [35] [137] Whitney-Brown, Janet ................................ [107] Wicker, Pamela .......................................... [237] Widanage, Rupananda ............................... [235] Wigger, Berthold ......................................... [308] Wilkins, Carolyn .......................................... [120] Willett, Thomas D. ...................... [60] [101] [121] Williams, J. Forrest ..................................... [214] Williams, Kevin M. ...................................... [105] Williams, Tomas ........................................ [270]

Williamson, R. Bruce .................. [18] [181] [198] Willox, Michael............................................ [109] Wilson, Alistair .............................................. [55] Wilson, Clevo I............................................ [287] Wilson, Wesley W. [31] [50] [71] [87] [111] [128] [306] Wilson, William W. ................................. [31] [50] Wing, Coady ............................................... [188] Winkler, John D. ........................................... [95] Winter, Jennifer ............................................ [99] Withrow, Matthew ....................................... [236] Witman, Allison E. ...................................... [229] Wobbekind, Richard L. ...................... [113] [134] Wolff, Hendrik ............................................. [195] Won, Yongkul ............................................. [249] Wong, Jeffrey ................................................. [1] Wong, Rebeca .............................................. [64] Wong, Sara................................................... [22] Wong, Wing-Keung ............................... [17] [49] Wong, Woan Foong .............................. [31] [50] Wong, Yuet Yee ........................................... [67] Woo, Seokjin .............................................. [225] Wood, Frank ............................................... [212] Woodard, Ritchie C. ................................... [196] Wozniak, David.................................... [75] [125] Wright, Gregory C. ..................................... [139] Wu, Chih-Chiang ............................................ [7] Wu, Chih-Hsun ............................................. [25] Wu, Jo-wei ................................................... [81] Wu, Jyh-Lin................................................... [81] Wu, Weixiao ................................................. [76] Wu, Xiancong .......................................... [6] [49] Wu, Xiaoyu ................................................. [197] Wu, Yi-Chen ............................................... [271] Wyer, Joseph F. ......................................... [128] Wymer, Clifford R. ........................................ [38] Wynne, Mark A. .......................................... [312] Xavier-Oliveira, Emanuel M. ....................... [224] Xiao, Chengrui ............................................ [209] Xie, Yizhe Daniel ........................................ [139] Xiong, Zeyuan ............................................ [184] Xu, Dianqing ............................................... [144] Xu, Jiangmin ............................................... [186] Xu, Juanyi Jenny .......................................... [13] Xu, Kangning ................................................ [30] Xu, Ke ......................................................... [271] Xu, Xinpeng ................................................. [14] Xu, Yuyun ................................................... [100] Xue, Shan ..................................................... [60] Yackulic, Charles ........................................ [235] Yakita, Akira ...................................... [163] [221] Yamanouchi, Kenta .................................... [160] Yamazaki, Akio .................................... [91] [195] Yan, Jubo ................................................... [202] Yan, Kit Ming Isabel ................. [100] [174] [254] Yan, Wang .................................................. [159] Yan, Xiaochen .............................................. [98] Yang, Chengyu .................................. [247] [314] Yang, Lei .................................................... [270] Yang, Muzhe .............................................. [169] Yang, Rui ...................................................... [61] Yang, Sheng-Ping ............................... [94] [196] Yang, Yaowu .............................................. [247] Yang, Yiwen ................................................. [14] Yankovich, Michael .................................... [320]

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Yao, Daqing ................................................ [129] Yao, Wen ...................................................... [13] Yasar, Yavuz ................................................ [89] Yaseen, Asmaa .......................................... [345] Yasmin, Shanjida .......................................... [85] Yaya, Sanni ................................................ [285] Ye, Lei Sandy ...................................... [83] [141] Ye, Min ........................................................ [293] Yencha, Christopher ..................................... [92] Yeo, Jungwon ............................................... [11] Yilmazer, Tansel ......................................... [229] Ying, Yung-Hsiang ............................... [65] [250] Yip, Chi Man .............................[195] [266] [300] Yonder, Erkan ............................................. [148] Yoo, Dongwoo ............................................ [205] Yoon, Deok-Ryong ..................................... [155] Yoon, Haeyeon .................................. [119] [160] Yoon, Yong J. ............................................. [213] Yoshida, Chizu............................................ [300] Yoshida, Keiko ............................................ [265] You, Jung S. ................................................. [71] Younis, Mustafa Z. ...................................... [258] Younossi, Obaid ......................................... [181] Youssef, Adel Ben ............................... [70] [325] Yu, Fei .......................................................... [15]

Yu, Jun Hyung ..................................... [18] [117] Yu, Miaojie ............................................. [61] [98] Yu, Weiqiu .................................................. [247] Yuan, Dian ......................................... [102] [120] Yuen, Andrew ............................................... [50] Yuskavage, Robert E. ................................... [80] Zabek, Mike .................................................. [86] Zaber, Melanie A. ......................................... [47] Zagorsky, Jay L. ......................................... [317] Zahran, Sammy .......................................... [286] Zais, Mark ................................................... [267] Zaki, Fatma ................................................. [344] Zamzow, Ben ......................................... [16] [32] Zapata, Oscar ............................................. [195] Zapata, Victor ............................................. [292] Zarghamee, Homa ...................................... [179] Zeager, Lester A. ........................................ [161] Zemel, Michelle .......................................... [102] Zenker, Christina ........................................ [265] Zhang, Anming ............................................. [50] Zhang, Cuiyi ................................................. [97] Zhang, Helen Huixian .............................. [6] [17] Zhang, Lishu ................................................. [10] Zhang, Longyao .......................................... [100]

Zhang, Rui ................................ [144] [174] [292] Zhang, Shen ............................................... [226] Zhang, Shiyun .............................................. [96] Zhang, Xun ........................................ [144] [174] Zhang, Yifei ................................................ [293] Zhang, Yinuo ....................................... [83] [186] Zhangaliyeva, Aigerim .................................. [86] Zhao, Nan ................................................... [144] Zhao, Qiongda ............................................ [300] Zheng, Buhong ........................................... [161] Zheng, Dazhi .............................................. [206] Zheng, Emily Yiying .................................... [319] Zhou, Mohan ................................................ [98] Zhou, Yan ....................................................... [7] Zhou, Yang ................................. [92] [196] [297] Zhu, Lei ....................................................... [206] Zhu, Maria ......................................... [256] [318] Zieschang, Kimberly D. ................................ [56] Zinyemba, Tatenda .................................... [285] Zirogiannis, Nikos ......................................... [91] Zochowski, Dawid ...................................... [187]