premier league report 2013

7/30/2019 Premier League Report 2013

1/31Prozone part of the Amisco Group

PREMIER LEAGUE

PERFORMANCE REPORT2012/2013

WWW.PROZONESPORTS.COM

@PROZONESPORTS



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@PROZONESPORTS

Page 3 Introduction

Page 4-7 Season Trends

Page 8-28 Club Proles

Page 29-31 Transfer Market Overview

CONTENTS



Welcome to the rst edition of Prozones new end-of-season reports.

Reecting the progressive work weve been undertaking in the eld of advanced analytics,

these reports present the story of the Premier League season through a range of innovative new

metrics and performance benchmarks.

Over the following pages youll nd 2012/13 Premier League trends, team-by-team reports and

a summary of this seasons transfer activity. We hope you nd the analysis to be both useful

and insightful.

If you have any questions about the reports or would like to nd out how Prozone can further

support you with the application of analytics, email [email protected].

Enjoy your summer.

Kind Regards,

Barry McNeill (Managing Director)

INTRODUCTION



The analysts in our Performance Analysis Centre have looked at team and player outputs in the Premier

League through a series of innovative metrics to provide a series of insights into performance trends in the

league this season.

All data correct as of 16th May 2013.

SEASON TRENDS

This chart illustrates how effectively teams were able to control games at different states. Highlighting % of matchpossession when teams were a goal down, level, or a goal up, it gives us an indication of how effectively teams use

the ball in different situations.

Showing the % of match nal third entries Premier League teams had during different match states, this chart shows

how effective teams were at getting forward and posing an attacking threat when behind, level, or ahead.

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

Mancheste

rUnit

ed

Manchester

City

Arsenal

SwanseaCity

Liverpool

Everton

Wiga

nAthle

tic

Chels

ea

Totte

nham

Hotspur

Southampton

Newc

astle

United

Fulham

Queens

ParkRa

ngers

WestB

romwich

Albion

Sunderlan

d

WestH

amUnit

ed

AstonVi

lla

StokeCity

Reading

Norwich

City

% of match possession at different game states1 Goal Down Level Scores 1 Goal Up

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

Manchester

United

Arsenal

Everton

Manchester

City

Chels

ea

Southa

mpton

WestB

romwich

Albion

StokeCity

WestH

amUnited

Totte

nham

Hotspur

Liverpo

ol

Wigan

Athlet

ic

Sund

erlan

d

AstonVi

lla

Fulham

Queens

ParkRa

ngers

Reading

Norw

ichCity

Swan

seaCity

Newc

astle

United

% of match final third entries at different game states1 Goal Down Level Scores 1 Goal Up



Demonstrating the efciency of teams shooting in a variety of game situations, this chart gives us an indication of

how dangerous different clubs are in from of goal when faced with decits, draws and leads.

SHOTS VS. CONVERSION

0%

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SwanseaCity

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% of shots on target at different game states1 Goal UpLevel Scores1 Goal Down

Arsenal

Aston Villa

ChelseaEverton

Fulham

Liverpool

Manchester City

Manchester United

Newcastle United

Norwich City

Queens Park Rangers

Reading

Southampton

Stoke City

Sunderland

Swansea City

Tottenham Hotspur

West Bromwich Albion

West Ham United

Wigan Athletic

11.0

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17.0

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5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 11.0% 3.0% 5.0%

AverageShots

% of shots scored

Average shots vs % of shots scored

Create many chancesLow conversion

Create many chancesHigh conversion

Create few chances

High Conversion

Create few chances

Low Conversion

Plotting the average number of shots per game for each team against the % of shots scored, this crosshair chart

provides us with an overview of chance conversion for every club in the Premier League.

12.0% 1 14.0% 19.0



GOAL EFFICIENCY

Presenting goals for and against per 1,000 possessions, the Goal Efciency chart sorts teams by their goal scoring

efciency as well as that of their opponents to provide a basic summary of both offensive and defensive strength.

GOAL RESIDUAL (TOP 10)

Player Team Goals Expected Goals Residual Goals

Gareth Bale Tottenham Hotspur 20 9.62 10.38

Christian Benteke Aston Villa 19 11.83 7.17

Luis Suarez Liverpool 23 15.90 7.10

Theo Walcott Arsenal 14 7.59 6.41

Lukas Podolski Arsenal 11 5.38 5.62

Robin Van Persie Manchester United 25 19.54 5.46

Frank Lampard Chelsea 15 9.87 5.13

Michu Swansea City 18 13.58 4.42

Gabriel Agbonlahor Aston Villa 9 4.87 4.13

Juan Mata Chelsea 10 6.51 3.49

Arsenal

Aston Villa

ChelseaEverton

Fulham

Liverpool

Manchester City

Manchester United

Newcastle United

Norwich City

Queens Park Rangers

Reading

Southampton

Stoke City

Sunderland

Swansea City

Tottenham Hotspur

West Bromwich AlbionWest HamUnited

Wigan Athletic

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

Goals conceded per1000 opposition

individual

possessions

Goals scored per 1000 individual possessions

Goalscoring Efficiency: Goals For & AgainstPer 1000 Possessions

Low goalscoring efficiencyHigh opposition goalscoring efficiency

Low goalscoring efficiencyLow opposition goalscoring efficiency

High goalscoring efficiencyHigh opposition goalscoring efficiency

High goalscoring efficiencyLow opposition goalscoring efficiency

Premier League Average Possessions Per Game: 529

1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0

By looking at the location and outcome of all shots in the Premier League over the last six seasons, we are able to

assign each shot a probability of resulting in a goal. When we apply this methodology to the current campaign, we

can determine which players are scoring more goals than would be expected according to the chance each shot has

of nding the net.



SAVE RESIDUAL (TOP 10)

Goalkeeper Team Goals ConcededExpected GoalsConceded

Residual GoalsConceded

Simon Mignolet Sunderland 49 61.36 -12.36

David De Gea Manchester United 23 33.30 -10.30

Jussi Jaaskelainen West Ham United 49 56.75 -7.75

Gerhard Tremmel Swansea City 13 19.86 -6.86

Alex McCarthy Reading 19 25.54 -6.54

Julio Cesar Queens Park Rangers 33 38.74 -5.74

Michel Vorm Swansea City 34 39.15 -5.15

Asmir Begovic Stoke City 40 44.57 -4.57

Brad Guzan Aston Villa 58 60.96 -2.96

Wojciech Szczesny Arsenal 24 26.92 -2.92

Using the same methodology as the Goal Residual metric, we are able to determine the number of goals wed expect

a goalkeeper to concede in the number of games theyve played this season. By measuring the actual number of

Goals Conceded against Expected Goals Conceded, we can provide a gure for Residual Goals Conceded which

reects the level of a goalkeepers performance over the course of the season.

EQUALISING/GAME LEAD GOALS (TOP 10)

Player Team Goals % Team Goals% TeamEqualising/GameLead Goals

Christian Benteke Aston Villa 19 42% 35%

Michu Swansea City 18 38% 36%

Luis Suarez Liverpool 23 33% 29%

Robin Van Persie Manchester United 25 31% 33%

Gareth Bale Tottenham Hotspur 20 31% 22%

Dimitar Berbatov Fulham 14 30% 37%

Rickie Lambert Southampton 14 29% 33%

Romelu Lukaku West Bromwich Albion 14 29% 26%

Demba Ba Newcastle United 13 29% 26%

Steven Fletcher Sunderland 11 27% 35%

While the quantity of goals a player scores reects the quality of their performances to an extent, the context of

those goals is equally as important. This chart highlights the players that have scored the highest percentage of their

teams goals and the proportion of those goals that either levelled the score or put them in the lead.



In this section youll nd individual analytical proles for each Premier League club. All data correct as of 16th May

unless otherwise stated. Each prole carries a number of charts and visualisations of team performance .

Heres a brief explanation of what each of them shows:

CLUB PROFILES

SEASON AT A GLANCE

Some basic facts and gures regarding the league performance of each

club. All data correct as of 20th May 2013.

SEASON TRENDSA chart which measures % of shots on target scored and % of opposition

shots on target scored against average points per game. Providing an

accurate gauge of offensive and defensive performance in the context of

results, the Season Trends chart provides a compelling statistical portrait of

each clubs season.

ACTION AREAS

A heat map divided into two-metre square segments, the Action Areas

graphic illustrates the number of touches teams had in different areas of the

eld. The redder the area, the more touches of the ball took place there.

AGE DISTRIBUTION

Visualising the number of players each team has in different age groups

versus the league average, this chart provides an insight into the

composition of each squad and its age relative to the rest of the division.



Season At A Glance

League Position:4

Total Points:73

Home Rank:5

Away Rank:2

Win %:55.26

Total Goals:72

Top Goal Scorer:Walcott (14)

Clean Sheets: 14

Longest Winning Streak:4

Longest Streak Without Winning:3

ARSENAL

Arsenal Season Trends 2012-13

Arsenal Action Areas 2012-13 Arsenal Age Distribution 2012-13

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% of Shots on TargetScored / Conceded From

Average PointsPer Game

POINTS PER GAME

% OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED% OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED

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< 18 1 8 - 21 21 - 24 24 - 27 27 - 30 30 - 33 33 - 36 > 36

Age

WEIGHTED DISTRIBUTION OF PLAYER AGES% OF TOTAL MINUTES PLAYED

EXCLUDING GOALKEEPERS

PREMIER LEAGUE AVERAGE

VARSENAL



Season At A Glance

League Position:15

Total Points:41

Home Rank:17

Away Rank:8

Win %:26.31

Total Goals:47

Top Goal Scorer:Benteke (19)

Clean Sheets: 5



ASTON VILLA

Aston Villa Season Trends 2012-13

Aston Villa Action Areas 2012-13 Aston Villa Age Distribution 2012-13

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POINTS PER GAME

% OF SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED

% OF OPPOSITION SHOTS ON TARGET SCORED

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VASTON VILLA



Season At A Glance

League Position:3

Total Points:75

Home Rank:4

Away Rank:3

Win %:57.89

Total Goals:75

Top Goal Scorer:Lampard (15)

Clean Sheets: 14



CHELSEA

Chelsea Season Trends 2012-13

Chelsea Action Areas 2012-13 Chelsea Age Distribution 2012-13

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VCHELSEA

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POINTS PER GAME




Season At A Glance

League Position:6

Total Points:63

Home Rank:3

Away Rank:7

Win %:42.10

Total Goals:55

Top Goal Scorer:Fellaini (11)

Clean Sheets: 11



EVERTON

Everton Season Trends 2012-13

Everton Action Areas 2012-13 Everton Age Distribution 2012-13

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VEVERTON

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POINTS PER GAME




Season At A Glance

League Position:12

Total Points:43

Home Rank:15

Away Rank:10

Win %:28.94

Total Goals:50

Top Goal Scorer:Berbatov (15)

Clean Sheets: 8



FULHAM

Fulham Season Trends 2012-13

Fulham Action Areas 2012-13 Fulham Age Distribution 2012-13

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PREMIER LEAGUEAVERAGE

VFULHAM



Season At A Glance

League Position:7

Total Points:61

Home Rank:7

Away Rank:6

Win %:42.10

Total Goals:71

Top Goal Scorer:Suarez (23)

Clean Sheets: 16



LIVERPOOL

Liverpool Season Trends 2012-13

Liverpool Action Areas 2012-13 Liverpool Age Distribution 2012-13

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VLIVERPOL



MANCHESTER

CITYSeason At A GlanceLeague Position:2

Total Points:78

Home Rank:2

Away Rank:5

Win %:60.53

Total Goals:66

Top Goal Scorer:Dzeko (14)

Clean Sheets: 18



Manchester City Season Trends 2012-13

Manchester City

Action Areas 2012-13

Manchester City

Age Distribution 2012-13

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VMANCHESTER CITY



MANCHESTER

UNITEDSeason At A GlanceLeague Position:1

Total Points:89

Home Rank:1

Away Rank:1

Win %:73.68

Total Goals:86

Top Goal Scorer:Van Persie (26)

Clean Sheets: 13



Manchester United Season Trends 2012-13

Manchester United


Manchester United


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VMANCHESTER UNITED



NEWCASTLE


Total Points:41

Home Rank:12

Away Rank:16

Win %:28.94

Total Goals:45

Top Goal Scorer:Ba (13)

Clean Sheets: 6



Newcastle United Season Trends 2012-13

Newcastle United


Newcastle United


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WEIGHTED DISTRIBUTIONOF PLAYER AGES

% OF TOTAL MINUTES PLAYEDEXCLUDING GOALKEEPERS


VNEWCASTLE UNITED



Season At A Glance

League Position:11

Total Points:44

Home Rank:10

Away Rank:18

Win %:26.31

Total Goals:41

Top Goal Scorer:Holt (7)

Clean Sheets: 10



NORWICH CITY

Norwich City Season Trends 2012-13

Norwich City Action Areas 2012-13 Norwich City Age Distribution 2012-13

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VNORWICH CITY



QUEENS PARK

RANGERSSeason At A GlanceLeague Position:20

Total Points:25

Home Rank:20

Away Rank:19

Win %:10.52

Total Goals:30

Top Goal Scorer:Taarabt, Remy (5)

Clean Sheets: 7



Queens Park Rangers Season Trends 2012-13

Queens Park Rangers


Queens Park Rangers


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VQUEENS PARK RANGERS



Season At A Glance

League Position:19

Total Points:28

Home Rank:18

Away Rank:20

Win %:15.78

Total Goals:43

Top Goal Scorer:Le Fondre (12)

Clean Sheets: 5



READING

Reading Season Trends 2012-13

Reading Action Areas 2012-13 Reading Age Distribution 2012-13

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VREADING



Season At A Glance

League Position:14

Total Points:41

Home Rank:14

Away Rank:13

Win %:23.68

Total Goals:49

Top Goal Scorer:Lambert (15)

Clean Sheets: 7



SOUTHAMPTON

Southampton Season Trends 2012-13

Southampton Action Areas 2012-13 Southampton Age Distribution 12-13

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VSOUTHAMPTON



Season At A Glance

League Position:13

Total Points:42

Home Rank:11

Away Rank:15

Win %:23.68

Total Goals:34

Top Goal Scorer:Walters (8)

Clean Sheets: 12



STOKE CITY

Stoke City Season Trends 2012-13

Stoke City Action Areas 2012-13 Stoke City Age Distribution 2012-13

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VSTOKE CITY



Season At A Glance

League Position:17

Total Points:39

Home Rank:16

Away Rank:14

Win %:23.68

Total Goals:41

Top Goal Scorer:Fletcher (11)

Clean Sheets: 11



SUNDERLAND

Sunderland Season Trends 2012-13

Sunderland Action Areas 2012-13 Sunderland Age Distribution 2012-13

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VSUNDERLAND



Season At A Glance

League Position:9

Total Points:46

Home Rank:13

Away Rank:9

Win %:28.94

Total Goals:47

Top Goal Scorer:Michu (18)

Clean Sheets: 10



SWANSEA CITY

Swansea City Season Trends 2012-13

Swansea City Action Areas 2012-13 Swansea City Age Distribution 12-13

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VSWANSEA CITY



TOTTENHAM

HOTSPURSeason At A GlanceLeague Position:5

Total Points:72

Home Rank:6

Away Rank:4

Win %:55.26

Total Goals:66

Top Goal Scorer:Bale (21)

Clean Sheets: 9



Tottenham Hotspur Season Trends 2012-13

Tottenham Hotspur


Tottenham Hotspur


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VTOTTENHAM HOTSPUR



WEST BROMWICH

ALBIONSeason At A GlanceLeague Position:8

Total Points:49

Home Rank:9

Away Rank:11

Win %:36.84

Total Goals:53

Top Goal Scorer:Lukaku (17)

Clean Sheets: 8



West Bromwich Albion Season Trends 2012-13





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VWEST BROMWICH ALBION



WEST HAM


Total Points:46

Home Rank:8

Away Rank:17

Win %:31.57

Total Goals:45

Top Goal Scorer:Nolan (10)

Clean Sheets: 11



West Ham United Season Trends 2012-13

West Ham United


West Ham United


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VWEST HAM UNITED



WIGAN

ATHLETICSeason At A GlanceLeague Position:18

Total Points:36

Home Rank:19

Away Rank:12

Win %:23.68

Total Goals:47

Top Goal Scorer:Kone (11)

Clean Sheets: 5



Wigan Athletic Season Trends 2012-13

Wigan Athletic


Wigan Athletic


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VWIGAN ATHLETIC



The 2012/13 season was another busy campaign for

Premier League clubs in the transfer market.

From 1st June 2012 through to the loan deadline on 28th

March 2013, clubs in the top ight spent an estimated

total of 589.2m on 136 players at an average cost

of 4.33m. Of those 136 deals, 40 (29.4%) were free

transfers, with loans accounting for 25 (18.4%) of all

players signed by Premier League clubs.

With half of teams spending 30m or more this season,

2012/13 saw the heavy spending of Premier League

clubs continue unabated despite UEFAs Financial Fair

Play regulation and the prevailing economic conditions.

Recouping 274.1m in transfer income, the leagues net

spend this season was -315.1m.

TRANSFER ACTIVITY

OVERVIEW

Club Transfer Expenditure Actual League Position

Chelsea 85m 3

Tottenham Hotspur 60.3m 5

Manchester United 58.9m 1

Manchester City 47.2m 2

Arsenal 43m 4

Queens Park Rangers 39.3m 20

Liverpool 35.5m 7

Southampton 30.6m 14

Aston Villa 30.2m 15

Sunderland 30m 17

Newcastle United 27.4m 16

Everton 18.5m 6

Stoke City 17.5m 13

West Ham United 16.7m 10

Swansea City 15.5m 9

Norwich City 10.3m 11

Wigan Athletic 7.7m 18

Reading 6.1m 19

Fulham 6m 12

West Bromwich Albion 3.5m 8

TEAMS BY TRANSFER EXPENDITURE

*Where transfer fees were undisclosed, estimates have been taken from BBC Sport and www.transfermarkt.co.uk



HIGHEST TRANSFER FEES (INCOMING)

Player From To Estimated Cost

Eden Hazard Lille Chelsea 32m

Oscar Internacional Chelsea 25m

Robin Van Persie Arsenal Manchester United 22m

Santi Cazorla Malaga Arsenal 20m

Javi Garcia Benca Manchester City 16m

Joe Allen Swansea City Liverpool 15m

Wilfried Zaha Crystal Palace Manchester United 15m

Mousa Dembele Fulham Tottenham Hotspur 15m

Olivier Giroud Montpellier Arsenal 13m

Christopher Samba Anzhi Makhachkala Queens Park Rangers 12.5m

HIGHEST TRANSFER FEES (OUTGOING)

Player From To Estimated Cost

Luka Modric Tottenham Hotspur Real Madrid 30m

Robin Van Persie Arsenal Manchester United 22m

Mario Balotelli Manchester City AC Milan 19m

Joe Allen Swansea City Liverpool 15m

Mousa Dembele Fulham Tottenham Hotspur 15m

Alex Song Arsenal Barcelona 15m

Daniel Sturridge Chelsea Liverpool 12mJack Rodwell Everton Manchester City 12m

Rafael van der Vaart Tottenham Hotspur Hamburg 10m

Adam Johnson Manchester City Sunderland 10m

League From Number of Deals %

England 71 44%

France 16 9.9%

Unattached 13 8%Spain 10 6.2%

Germany, Netherlands 8 4.9%

INCOMING TRANSFERS: LEAGUE FROM (TOP 5)

League To Number of Deals %

England 345 86.4%

Scotland 11 2.7%

Italy 8 2%

Spain 8 2%

Germany 6 1.5%

OUTGOING TRANSFERS: LEAGUE TO (TOP 5)


31/31

JANUARY 2013 WINDOW

Using data from Englands top two divisions, we can see how the total cost of permanent deals changed throughout

the 2013 January window. Most notably, in the last three days of the window, the total cost of transfers increased by

78% even though only 39% more players were sold than average.

TRANSFER AGE DISTRIBUTION

Looking at all permanent transfers and

loan deals across the Premier League

and Championship, we can gain an

understanding of market patterns withregard to

player age.

One of the most obvious trends is that

permanent deals involved players who were

30 months older on average than those

involved in loan deals. Furthermore, nearly

two-thirds of all players loaned were 22 years

old or younger, compared to just a third of all

permanent transfers.

0.0%

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JANUARY 2013 TRANSFER WINDOW

TOTAL COST OF PERMANENT TRANSFERS

VTOTAL NUMBER OF PERMANENT TRANSFERS

01-Jan13

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31-Jan

13

premier league report 2013

Documents