prepared by: florida international university the metropolitan center broward affordable housing...
TRANSCRIPT
Prepared by:Florida International University
The Metropolitan Center
BROWARD AFFORDABLE HOUSINGBROWARD AFFORDABLE HOUSINGNEEDS ASSESSMENTNEEDS ASSESSMENT
BROWARD AFFORDABLE HOUSING NEEDS ASSESSMENT
• OverviewOverview• MethodologyMethodology• Labor Market and Economic BaseLabor Market and Economic Base• Housing Market Housing Market • Housing AffordabilityHousing Affordability• Preliminary Findings Preliminary Findings
Employment Growth 1999-2003Employment Growth 1999-2003Top 5 Industries in Broward County Top 5 Industries in Broward County
Persons Employed
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,0001999
2003
Retail Trade(6% Growth)
Health Care and Social Assistance
(2% Growth)
Administrative Support, Waste
Mgt., Remediation Services
(4% Growth)
Accommodation and Food Services
(13% Growth)
Wholesale Trade
(6% Growth)
Source: County Business Patterns 1999-2003
Occupations EmploymentMedian
Annual Income (2005)
Hourly Wage(2005 Wage Estimates)
Entry Experienced
Retail Salespersons 27,990 $18,931 $7.18 $14.19
Cashiers 19,990 $15,475 $6.47 $ 9.36
Office Clerks, General 18,790 $20,582 $7.52 $12.91
Customer Service Reps. 18,040 $24,269 $9.26 $15.36
Waiters and Waitresses 14,330 $12,326 $5.99 $ 7.53
All Occupations 711,110 $25,786 $8.06 $22.25
Source: Florida Agency for Workforce Innovation and US Dept of Labor
Top Five Occupations in Broward Top Five Occupations in Broward by Employment and Wages: 2005by Employment and Wages: 2005
2006 State of Florida Minimum Wage:
$6.40
Target Workforce OccupationsTarget Workforce Occupations
Occupation(sampling)
Employment 2005 MedianAnnual
Wage EstimatesWaiters and Waitresses 19,330 $12,324Cashiers 19,900 $15,480Retail Salespersons 27,990 $18,936Cooks (all types) 10,300 $20,016Construction Laborers 5,810 $21,060Truck drivers (all types) 10,910 $26,232Customer Service Reps 18,040 $24,264Secretaries & Admin Assistants(all types except legal, med, & exec)
9,760 $24,252
Elementary School Teacher 6,710 $39,876Secondary School Teacher 4,000 $44,556Fire Fighters 1,910 $47,172Police and Sheriff Patrol Officers 4,310 $49,188Registered Nurses 11,110 $50,364
Median Single Family Housing Prices by Largest Median Single Family Housing Prices by Largest Florida Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA) Florida Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA)
(November 2003-November 2005)(November 2003-November 2005)
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$450,0002003
2005
Jacksonville(38% change)
Tampa (50% change)
Miami (63% change)
Ft. Lauderdale(65% change)
West Palm Beach
(67% change)
Orlando(74% change)
Source: Florida Association of Realtors
Median Sale Prices: 2002-2005Median Sale Prices: 2002-2005
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
11/0
2
02/0
305
/03
08/0
311
/03
02/0
405
/04
08/0
4
11/0
402
/05
05/0
508
/05
11/0
5
Condominium / Townhome
Single Family House
$108,500
$202,500$395,000
95%
$193,000 78%
Source: Realtor Association of Greater Fort Lauderdale
Single Family and Condo Sales Value Increase Single Family and Condo Sales Value Increase 2004-20052004-2005
Annual IncreaseOver 30%
Condominiums / Townhomes For Sale vs. Sold Condominiums / Townhomes For Sale vs. Sold
For Sale
Sold
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
11/0
2
02/0
305
/03
08/0
3
11/0
302
/04
05/0
4
08/0
411
/04
02/0
505
/05
08/0
511
/05
Hurricane Wilma
Source: Realtor Association of Greater Fort Lauderdale
4,850
2,444
6,027
907 8111,493
Single Family Homes For Sale vs. Sold Single Family Homes For Sale vs. Sold
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
11/0
2
02/0
305
/03
08/0
311
/03
02/0
405
/04
08/0
411
/04
02/0
505
/05
08/0
5
11/0
5
Single Family For Sale
Single Family Sold
Hurricane Wilma
Source: Realtor Association of Greater Fort Lauderdale
5,606
2,412
4,987
940 932 623
Broward County Rents: 2000-2005Broward County Rents: 2000-2005
Source: 2000 US Census and Broward County Quarterly Housing Report, Third Quarter 2005: Reinhold P.Wolff Economic Research, Inc.*Survey of53,271 units
Area 2000 2005* Change%
ChangeBroward $757 $1,122 $365 48%
Cities with a Population over 100,000
Coral Springs $899 $1,173 $274 30%
Fort Lauderdale $ 641 $1,252 $611 95%
Hollywood $685 $1,178 $493 72%
Miramar $784 $1,110 $326 42%
Pembroke Pines $945 $1,110 $165 17%
Cities with a Population under 50,000
Hallandale $657 $1,178 $521 79%
North Lauderdale $794 $978 $184 23%
Average Monthly Rates for Average Monthly Rates for Broward CountyBroward County
Area Average Monthly RentsArea 1 BR 2 BR 3 BR
Coral Springs $929 $1,173 $1,424
Fort Lauderdale $972 $1,252 $2,266
Hollywood $882 $1,178 $1,482
Miramar $982 $1,110 $1,421
Pembroke Pines $982 $1,110 $1,421
Tax Credit Apts $659 $766 $889
Fair Market Rent $830 $998 $1,380
Broward County $917 $1,122 $1,423Source: 2005 Rental Data: Broward County Quarterly Housing Report, Third Quarter 2005: Reinhold P.Wolff Economic Research, Inc. 2002 Rental Data: U.S. Census, American Survey for 2002 (Table HO61)
Condominium Conversions in Condominium Conversions in Broward County: 2003-2005Broward County: 2003-2005
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Miramar (32%)
Pembroke Pines (27%)
Coral Springs (21%)
Hollywood (13%)
Fort Lauderdale (7%)
Rental InventoryCondo Conversions
Municipalities and Percentage Condo Conversions in Rental Inventory
Source: 2004 American Survey and Apartment Realty Advisors
Household Compared to Housing Units in Most Household Compared to Housing Units in Most Populous Municipalities: 2005Populous Municipalities: 2005
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
HouseholdsHousing Units
Fort Lauderdale
Pembroke Pines
Coral Springs
Miramar Pompano Beach
Plantation Davie
Source: Broward County Certificate of Occupancy Data from 2001-2005 and 2000 Census*Assumes an average household size of 2.56, using 2005 population estimates for each municipality.*Certificates of Occupancy issued from 2000-2005
Future Housing DemandFuture Housing Demand
• The projected increase of 135,797 jobs in Broward County between 2004-2012 will create the demand for approximately 90,000 additional housing units
• Projected job growth in Broward County will impact the supply and affordability of housing, including the level, type and location of new housing production
• Job growth projections for Broward County will create the demand for approximately 27,000 new workforce housing units (80-150 percent AMI), including 6,000 teachers, 3,800 registered nurses, 1,200 police and sheriff patrol officers and 400 firefighters
• Job growth projections for Broward County will create the demand for approximately 51,300 new affordable housing units for households earning less than 80 percent AMI
Top Growth Areas for All Housing Top Growth Areas for All Housing Developments: 2000-2005Developments: 2000-2005
Davie7%
Ft. Lauderdale10%
Miramar24%Other
41%
Weston8%
Pembroke Pines 10%
New Housing Units Authorized New Housing Units Authorized by Building Permitsby Building Permits
(Thru June)
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Single Family Units Multi Family Units Total
Source: Broward County Quarterly Housing Report, Third Quarter 2005: Reinhold P.Wolff Economic Research, Inc.
2005 Affordability Gap 2005 Affordability Gap by Median Households Incomeby Median Households Income
Municipality
Median Household
Income
MedianSale Price
Affordable**Purchase
Price Affordability
Gap
North Lauderdale $48,524 $192,900 $183,662 ($9,238)
Pembroke Pines $64,902 $280,000 $256,414 ($23,586)
Coconut Creek $53,566 $215,000 $188,330 ($26,670)
Coral Springs $71,472 $320,512 $284,411 ($36,101)
Hollywood $45,177 $278,050 $168,933 ($109,117)
Hallandale $34,048 $290,000 $124,277 ($165,723)
Miramar $61,293 $410,000 $239,408 ($170,592)
Ft. Lauderdale $45,890 $452,000 $172,852 ($279,148)
Source: Florida Agency for Workforce Innovation and US Dept of Labor and US Census*Median household income has been adjusted for inflation**Assumptions for affordable purchase price: 30 year fixed rate mortgage, 6.0% interest, 5% down payment, average tax of $1257 per year, and no outstanding debt. Price was determined using the online calculator from bankrate.com
Affordability of Home Purchases by Occupation and Affordability of Home Purchases by Occupation and Median Selling Price ($391,100)Median Selling Price ($391,100)
Occupation MedianAnnual Wages
Affordable**Purchase
PriceAffordability Gap
Waiters and Waitresses $12,324 $33,965 $357,135
Cashiers $15,480 $47,143 $343,957
Retail salespersons $18,936 $61,578 $329,522
Cooks (all types) $20,016 $65,658 $325,442
Construction laborers $21,060 $70,440 $320,660
Truck drivers (all types) $26,232 $92,023 $299,077
Customer Service Reps $24,264 $83,812 $307,288
Secretaries & Admin Assistants(all types except legal & medical)
$24,252 $83,763 $307,337
Elementary School Teacher $39,876 $148,983 $242,117
Secondary School Teacher $44,556 $168,516 $222,584
Fire fighters $47,172 $179,440 $211,660
Police officers $49,188 $187,857 $203,243
Occupation <50% AMI <80% AMI <120% AMI <150% AMI
$25,673 $41,077 $61,615 $77,019
Waiters and Waitresses X
Cashiers X
Retail salespersons X
Cooks (all types) X
Construction laborers X
Truck drivers (all types) X
Customer Service Reps X
Secretaries & Admin Assistants (all types except legal & medical)
X
Elementary School Teacher X
Secondary School Teacher X
Fire fighters X
Police officers X
Annual Wages by Occupation Annual Wages by Occupation and Area Median Income (AMI)and Area Median Income (AMI)