present and future sector development in myanmar
TRANSCRIPT
Present and Future Sector Development in Myanmar
OLIVER MASSMANN
DUANE MORRIS SELVAM MYANMAR
Contents
• Present conditions starting from 2009 • Future availability up to 2016
Present Development in Electric Power Sector
Present Supply characteristics (installed capacity)
Present Supply characteristics (installed capacity)
Supply characteristics (generated energy)
Present Supply characteristics (generated energy)
Present trend in supply characteristics
Present trend in supply characteristics
• The electricity is NOT ONLY for a specific time-stamp.
• It needs to keep sustainability also. • Development of new installed capacities
becomes required. • In hourly basis, hourly time-stamp
generation is expected to become higher. • Another important characteristic, LOAD
Present trend in supply characteristics
Present trend in supply characteristics
Increment in present supply characteristics
Increment in present supply characteristics
Seasonal feature of supply
Seasonal feature of supply
• 65% of seasonal peak supply developed after 3 hot seasons (May)
• But … • The insufficient supply STILL existed in every
hot seasons. • WHY? • Load is always lower than demand. • Load has not be seen under definite
characteristics.
Demand characteristics (Types)
Demand characteristics (Regions)
• National Grid supply reaches all regions except Chin, Rakhine and Tanintharyi in 2013.
• Chin and Rakhine is going to be supplied on 2014. • Tanintharyi would be on 2016. • Present trend of development of electricity
demand shall be expected to change in increase from 15% to above. – Chin: from 4% to 7% and above – Rakhine: from 13% to 16% and above – Tanintharyi:from 13% to 20% and above (SEZ
included)
Demand characteristics (in Sectors)
• View to the supply side record, sectors are classified as – Industrial – Commercial – Households
• Industrial and commercial sector demand is significantly high at day time, 6 am to 5 pm.
• But Myanmar peak load mostly happens at 7 pm. • The comparison of hourly peak load between past
years reflects it.
Demand characteristics (Day & Night)
Demand characteristics (Day & Night)
Demand characteristics (Day & Night)
• Up to the past summer, insufficient supply to demand still happened at day time.
• The unplanned load shedding quantity became nearer to 300 MW.
• The demand is expected to increase throughout the day time especially at Summer afternoons.
Future Supply characteristics
Future Supply characteristics (2016)
Future demand characteristics
Measures
Conclusion
• Electricity is a product for every second consumption.
• Best mix of generation in Master Plan is essential for sustainability.
• Reinforcement in transmission system is for reliability.
• Investment in distribution network is to reduce technical loss.
Thank you for kind attention!