present-day precipitation sources for northern borneo ... · shell and mojo caves at gunung buda,...

20
Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo: seasonal versus ENSO variability Image courtesy N. Meckler Harald Sodemann Norwegian Institute for Air Research and Caltech Jess Adkins Caltech John Worden NASA/JPL 1 Montag, 2. März 2009

Upload: others

Post on 03-Aug-2020

4 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo: seasonal versus ENSO variability

Image courtesy N. Meckler

Harald SodemannNorwegian Institute for Air Research and Caltech

Jess AdkinsCaltech

John WordenNASA/JPL

1Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 2: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

Present-day precipitation and cave-water isotopes

0 2 4 6 8

10 12 14 16 18 20

DNOSAJJMAMFJDNOSAJJMAMFJ

tp [m

m/d

ay]

2.5%,17%,83%,97.5% percentilesmean Index ERA40 precipitation 112-118E 2-8N

Isotope minimum: ~Oct (wet season)

Isotope maximum: ~Mar (dry season)

El Niño: extra-dry, less depleted?

La Niña: moist, depleted dry season

mentioned in previous studies (Rozanski et al., 1993;Vuille and Werner, 2005). Lastly, fractionation mayoccur through a more local “amount effect”, driven byevaporation and condensation in organized deepconvection closer to the site.

4. Methods

Two distinct sets of rainfall samples were collected atGunung Mulu/Buda — one set for the 3-yr continuousmonitoring program, and another set that representssamples collected during fieldtrips. The continuousrainfall !18O timeseries is constructed from two-weekcumulative rainfall samples collected in an oil-type, foil-covered reservoir following standard water isotopecollection protocols (Friedman et al., 1992). Bi-weekly,cumulative rainwater sampling was conducted duringisolated intervals at nearby Long Napir (4°10!N, 115°8!E) and Gunung Buda, and quasi-continuously at

Gunung Mulu from October 2003 to July 2006. Rain-fall !18O samples taken during fieldtrips representsnapshots of single rain events, with virtually nointegration. Rainwater samples were collected in125mL glass bottles (bi-weekly samples) and 4mLglass vials (spot sampling), sealed with polyseal caps.Dripwater !18O samples were collected in 4mL glassvials with polyseal caps. Rainwater and dripwater !18Owas measured using a GV Isoprime-Multiprep with along-term reproducibility of ± 0.04‰ (N N 500), ascalculated by repeat measurements of an internal waterstandard calibrated against NIST-VSMOW and NIST-GISP. All !18O data are reported with respect toVSMOW, unless otherwise stated.

A variety of climate datasets are used to provide aninterpretive framework for the rainwater !18O variabil-ity. Daily rainfall at Gunung Mulu as measured at theMulu airport is available since June, 1998 (data obtainedfrom Sarawak Department of Irrigation and Drainage).

Fig. 6. Timeseries of rainwater, dripwater, and climate indices from October 2003 to July 2006. (A) Rainwater (circles) and dripwater (squares) !18Ofor Gunung Mulu (red) and Gunung Buda (green). Rainwater !18O data from nearby Long Napir (4°10!N, 115°8!E) are plotted in black circles. Thedashed line represents an ad-hoc seasonal cycle in rainfall !18O, based on a visual fit to the data. (B) Dripwater !18O timeseries for two drips locatedin Wind Cave, Gunung Mulu. The dashed line represents a low-amplitude version of the dashed line in panel A (same mean value and phase). (C)Drip-rate for timeseries drips plotted in (B). (D) Precipitation at Gunung Mulu airport, smoothed with a 3-month running average. The blue shadedvertical bar represents the time period associated with maximum precipitation anomalies during the 2005/2006 La Niña event.

212 K.M. Cobb et al. / Earth and Planetary Science Letters 263 (2007) 207–220

Cobb et al., 2007

Jul 03

Jan 04

Jul 04

Jan 05

Jul 06

Jan 06

Jul 05

2Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 3: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

0 2 4 6 8

10 12 14

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004

tp [m

m/d

ay]

cipitation 112-118E 2-8N (era40_tp_112-118E_2-8N_n_1990:2010)

-2-1.5

-1-0.5

0 0.5

1 1.5

2 2.5

3

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

SSTA

[C]

NINO3.4 (hadisst1_nino3.4a_1990:2009)

ENSO and precipitation time series

ERA-40Precipitation (mm/d)

3Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 4: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

05010015020025030035040045050055060065070075080085090095010001050110011501200125013001350140014501500

northern Sarawak, Malaysian Borneo (Fig. 1). Thecaves formed in the northeast-striking Melinau lime-stone formation, driven by runoff flowing down thenorthwestern flank of Gunung Mulu peak, a sandstoneformation which rises to an elevation of 2376m abovesea level (Fig. 1). Rivers have cut steep gorges throughthe Melinau limestone to form topographically isolatedmounds of carbonate which rise from the base of therainforest (! 100m above sea level) to 1710m above sealevel, in the case of Gunung Api, the largest of theMelinau carbonate mounds. Therefore, these activekarst systems are presently fed exclusively by rainfallthat falls directly over the carbonate mounds. GunungMulu National Park, a UNESCO world heritage site,contains all of the Melinau carbonate mounds with theexception of Gunung Buda, which is contained within aseparate, undeveloped national park to the north ofGunung Mulu. A September, 2003 expedition includedcollections from Snail Shell, Mojo, Chin Chin, GreenCathedral, and Bukit Assam caves, all located withinGunung Buda. Expeditions during March, 2005 andJune, 2006 expeditions included return visits to SnailShell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well asLang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at GunungMulu. Detailed information concerning overburden,distance from cave entrances, and soil cover is notavailable for these remote cave systems. In situ loggingdevices measured stable relative humidity levels of !100% in the caves.

3. Climatic setting

Warm sea-surface temperatures drive year-roundatmospheric deep convection in northern Borneo,which receives over 5m of rainfall per year with weakseasonality (Fig. 2), as documented by daily precipita-tion data collected at the Mulu airport since 1998.Analysis of the Mulu airport rainfall data reveals thatintraseasonal (30–60day) variability (Madden andJulian, 1971; Madden and Julian, 1972; Knutson andWeickmann, 1987) accounts for approximately 20% oftotal precipitation variance at the research site, roughlyequivalent to the variance contribution from weakseasonal variability. Temperatures lie between 26 and27°C year-round, as recorded by on-site temperatureloggers.

Fig. 1. (left) Topographic map of Borneo (GTOPO30 data, available at http://eros.usgs.gov/). Note that the scale was chosen to maximize contrast atlow elevations, meaning that peaks above 2000 m a.s.l. are saturated. Thick black box represents inset map. (right) Topographic map of GunungMuluNational Park, Sarawak, Malaysia, showing locations of research caves (after Fig. 86 of Hazebroeck and Morshidi, 2002).

Fig. 2. Seasonal precipitation cycle for Mulu airport (shown with 1!s.d.), calculated from June 1998 to December 2005.

209K.M. Cobb et al. / Earth and Planetary Science Letters 263 (2007) 207–220

Study area Gunung Caves, Northern Borneo

smoothed ECMWF model orography (1°x1°)high-resolution DEM

Cobb et al., 2007

4Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 5: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

Back-trajectory calculations

q

T

T

T

T

T

T

T

q

q

q

q

t = -20 d

x

5Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 6: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

Identification of moisture sources

▸ Precipitation at arrival point over Greenland▸ Within well-mixed marine boundary layer▸ Moisture increase in an air parcel▸ Account for uptake sequence

boundary layer

Δq > 0.2 g/kg/6h

RH > 80%

Δq1 ...... Δq5Δq4Δq2 Δq3

Pr6Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 7: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

boundary layer

Δq > 0.2 g/kg/6h

RH > 80%

Δq1 ...... Δq5Δq4Δq2 Δq3

Pr

▸ Particle transport model FLEXPART• Mass-flux convection parameterisation

(Emanuel and Živković-Rothman, 1999)• Boundary-layer turbulence• 3h-boundary fields

above-boundary layer

Improved water source diagnostic for convective regions

7Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 8: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

PloTra 3.1 EPS graphics output

2007 09

specific humidity (g/kg)

2 20

8Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 9: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

Niño 3.4: 0.64

2007 01

borneo 04 dq40 200701 lon

104

106

108

110

112

114

116

118

120

122

124

126

128

130

132

134

136

borneo 04 dq40 200701 lat

−12−11−10−9−8−7−6−5−4−3−2−101234567891011121314151617181920

borneo 04 dq40 200701 upt

0.10.20.40.60.811.21.41.61.82

9Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 10: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

borneo 04 dq40 200801 lon

104

106

108

110

112

114

116

118

120

122

124

126

128

130

132

134

136

borneo 04 dq40 200801 lat

−12−11−10−9−8−7−6−5−4−3−2−101234567891011121314151617181920

Niño 3.4: -1.73

2008 01

borneo 04 dq40 200801 upt

0.10.20.40.60.811.21.41.61.82

10Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 11: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

borneo 05 dq40 199801 lat

−12−11−10−9−8−7−6−5−4−3−2−101234567891011121314151617181920

borneo 05 dq40 199801 lon

104

106

108

110

112

114

116

118

120

122

124

126

128

130

132

134

136

Niño 3.4: 2.54

1998 01

borneo 05 dq40 199801 upt

0.10.20.40.60.811.21.41.61.82

11Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 12: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

TES stable isotopes of the water vapour (850-500 hPa)

Worden et al., 2007

12Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 13: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

TES stable isotope ratio of the water vapour (850-500 hPa)

red: more depletion during El Niño, blue: more depletion during La Niña13Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 14: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

tes 04 nina 200801 con

00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.11.21.31.41.51.61.71.81.92

tes 04 nina 200801 coz

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2400

2600

2800

3000

tes 04 nino 200701 con

00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.11.21.31.41.51.61.71.81.92

tes 04 nino 200701 coz

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2400

2600

2800

3000

La Niña

El Niño

0.462425m

0.702447

TES: less depletion during La Niña

14Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 15: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

PloTra 3.1 EPS graphics output

PloTra 3.1 EPS graphics output

La Niña

El Niño15Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 16: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

tes 03 nina 200801 con

00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.11.21.31.41.51.61.71.81.92

tes 03 nina 200801 coz

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2400

2600

2800

3000

tes 03 nino 200701 con

00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.11.21.31.41.51.61.71.81.92

tes 03 nino 200701 coz

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2400

2600

2800

3000

La Niña

El Niño

0.501481m

0.321677m

TES: slightly less depletion during La Niña

16Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 17: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

PloTra 3.1 EPS graphics outputLa Niña

El Niño PloTra 3.1 EPS graphics output

17Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 18: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

tes 02 nina 200801 con

00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.11.21.31.41.51.61.71.81.92

tes 02 nina 200801 coz

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2400

2600

2800

3000

tes 02 nino 200701 con

00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.11.21.31.41.51.61.71.81.92

tes 02 nino 200701 coz

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2400

2600

2800

3000

La Niña

El Niño

0.141109m

0.211032m

TES: much more depletion during La Niña

18Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 19: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

La Niña

El Niño

PloTra 3.1 EPS graphics output

PloTra 3.1 EPS graphics output

19Montag, 2. März 2009

Page 20: Present-day precipitation sources for Northern Borneo ... · Shell and Mojo caves at Gunung Buda, as well as Lang's, Wind, Clearwater, and Deer caves at Gunung Mulu. Detailed information

Summary and Questions

What is the best way forward in tying TES isotopesto surface precipitation isotopes?

What fraction of the water that TES sees causes what fraction of the precipitation?

Other processes, such as advection of depletedvapour seem to be important

Convection frequency and intensity partly agreewith TES observations

20Montag, 2. März 2009